[{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1422013197},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425271128},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5337785097},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1442155608},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5356296819},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0c20162bae6257b7fcaa67c009a710e82f0faad0ce168d775b2bc3524121f83a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1136253538},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0c20162bae6257b7fcaa67c009a710e82f0faad0ce168d775b2bc3524121f83a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1170212248},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0c20162bae6257b7fcaa67c009a710e82f0faad0ce168d775b2bc3524121f83a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.118654128},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0c20162bae6257b7fcaa67c009a710e82f0faad0ce168d775b2bc3524121f83a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.12048187},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0c20162bae6257b7fcaa67c009a710e82f0faad0ce168d775b2bc3524121f83a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1225836119},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0d4a0bfb8b28c7884d4a22a6570a4ea4411980b99bcccc03d81c9767be90e768","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0633228476},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0d4a0bfb8b28c7884d4a22a6570a4ea4411980b99bcccc03d81c9767be90e768","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660297438},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0d4a0bfb8b28c7884d4a22a6570a4ea4411980b99bcccc03d81c9767be90e768","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0709918122},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0d4a0bfb8b28c7884d4a22a6570a4ea4411980b99bcccc03d81c9767be90e768","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638306062},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"0d4a0bfb8b28c7884d4a22a6570a4ea4411980b99bcccc03d81c9767be90e768","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680125022},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689685366},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.070927157},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660306059},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637728131},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1046cad489447b1c0dd4fb695cddf48bd3d7e6a66f15b0a2f81080b4398ca387","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726250533},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1189191f304052c00dd55b9c4818297bbe491768917856324f963b97e95d1b8f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.08193319},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1189191f304052c00dd55b9c4818297bbe491768917856324f963b97e95d1b8f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0850331896},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1189191f304052c00dd55b9c4818297bbe491768917856324f963b97e95d1b8f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0896297407},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1189191f304052c00dd55b9c4818297bbe491768917856324f963b97e95d1b8f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0937987057},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1189191f304052c00dd55b9c4818297bbe491768917856324f963b97e95d1b8f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999952566},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1a0426c8b3d715290f3ad93dae8dfc9f84d6f6e38ea1fd4d20f11496049204b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0562989347},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1a0426c8b3d715290f3ad93dae8dfc9f84d6f6e38ea1fd4d20f11496049204b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058625096},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1a0426c8b3d715290f3ad93dae8dfc9f84d6f6e38ea1fd4d20f11496049204b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534134186},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1a0426c8b3d715290f3ad93dae8dfc9f84d6f6e38ea1fd4d20f11496049204b5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511461605},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1a0426c8b3d715290f3ad93dae8dfc9f84d6f6e38ea1fd4d20f11496049204b5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0493142573},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531160904},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053812642},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559850555},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518093664},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512990216},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1f7b3ef2436775c7530d7858dc141a4cf7a5692745e9f476e1bbd534d183f3f2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0944916844},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1f7b3ef2436775c7530d7858dc141a4cf7a5692745e9f476e1bbd534d183f3f2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956924909},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1f7b3ef2436775c7530d7858dc141a4cf7a5692745e9f476e1bbd534d183f3f2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927045877},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1f7b3ef2436775c7530d7858dc141a4cf7a5692745e9f476e1bbd534d183f3f2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1010981361},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"1f7b3ef2436775c7530d7858dc141a4cf7a5692745e9f476e1bbd534d183f3f2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1068174909},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0489677199},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512022023},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540539261},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576712705},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623781664},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1574719815},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1594168088},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.158216809},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1665719803},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1825961161},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3527af895c3fba5850bad3c91193244d88ef272e0bc7251e828b9b2029236ad9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.251314709},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3527af895c3fba5850bad3c91193244d88ef272e0bc7251e828b9b2029236ad9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457216445},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3527af895c3fba5850bad3c91193244d88ef272e0bc7251e828b9b2029236ad9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514723219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3527af895c3fba5850bad3c91193244d88ef272e0bc7251e828b9b2029236ad9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2341590638},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3527af895c3fba5850bad3c91193244d88ef272e0bc7251e828b9b2029236ad9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3056416768},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"39f1ff2b98ec6f5f85699fde53f5fb2f6746325a4e0320027bf618e7e40f9c7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3904538388},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"39f1ff2b98ec6f5f85699fde53f5fb2f6746325a4e0320027bf618e7e40f9c7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3799331506},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"39f1ff2b98ec6f5f85699fde53f5fb2f6746325a4e0320027bf618e7e40f9c7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3545917746},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"39f1ff2b98ec6f5f85699fde53f5fb2f6746325a4e0320027bf618e7e40f9c7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3331641912},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"39f1ff2b98ec6f5f85699fde53f5fb2f6746325a4e0320027bf618e7e40f9c7c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3415400522},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3d8c7edc8a70211d39a3e4827f448e5908cd5e98dbbb1e3d7501c7761a877788","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0759045796},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3d8c7edc8a70211d39a3e4827f448e5908cd5e98dbbb1e3d7501c7761a877788","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808726118},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3d8c7edc8a70211d39a3e4827f448e5908cd5e98dbbb1e3d7501c7761a877788","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0811524526},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3d8c7edc8a70211d39a3e4827f448e5908cd5e98dbbb1e3d7501c7761a877788","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0898790332},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"3d8c7edc8a70211d39a3e4827f448e5908cd5e98dbbb1e3d7501c7761a877788","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927348457},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991094187},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1050388058},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0995974187},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003687412},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1231828058},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"447c809c60421e327f266315b62b36749b6362b8b688c133985c93c9ad9be608","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003150638},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"447c809c60421e327f266315b62b36749b6362b8b688c133985c93c9ad9be608","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1066773622},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"447c809c60421e327f266315b62b36749b6362b8b688c133985c93c9ad9be608","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1040612332},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"447c809c60421e327f266315b62b36749b6362b8b688c133985c93c9ad9be608","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1172884509},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"447c809c60421e327f266315b62b36749b6362b8b688c133985c93c9ad9be608","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1219473219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588078379},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610626766},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569336444},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634982573},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660821283},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"46b630b92f887abf75c7d2c530f0d70f7cc1c398227da6ef8b682cfcaa7815c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.282484922},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"46b630b92f887abf75c7d2c530f0d70f7cc1c398227da6ef8b682cfcaa7815c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817409221},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"46b630b92f887abf75c7d2c530f0d70f7cc1c398227da6ef8b682cfcaa7815c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2442900649},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"46b630b92f887abf75c7d2c530f0d70f7cc1c398227da6ef8b682cfcaa7815c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3030030227},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"46b630b92f887abf75c7d2c530f0d70f7cc1c398227da6ef8b682cfcaa7815c6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994235404},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa59262070b24c69f8ad98ddedd5eba84a94a7fd8737e4728c54d6182e5c4db","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0805617761},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa59262070b24c69f8ad98ddedd5eba84a94a7fd8737e4728c54d6182e5c4db","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0802774658},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa59262070b24c69f8ad98ddedd5eba84a94a7fd8737e4728c54d6182e5c4db","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0826183275},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa59262070b24c69f8ad98ddedd5eba84a94a7fd8737e4728c54d6182e5c4db","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0861479822},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa59262070b24c69f8ad98ddedd5eba84a94a7fd8737e4728c54d6182e5c4db","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0863435684},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4b0cdaeb4874d9d9aec17bb16a7f36ea9fecc746476f84df1584a572ae3c1ad5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1355099154},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4b0cdaeb4874d9d9aec17bb16a7f36ea9fecc746476f84df1584a572ae3c1ad5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1320912607},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4b0cdaeb4874d9d9aec17bb16a7f36ea9fecc746476f84df1584a572ae3c1ad5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.129528399},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4b0cdaeb4874d9d9aec17bb16a7f36ea9fecc746476f84df1584a572ae3c1ad5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1292751231},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4b0cdaeb4874d9d9aec17bb16a7f36ea9fecc746476f84df1584a572ae3c1ad5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1285400887},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4d0226bb7d28b3509344cecbac6e7003dbb7cb5ac9ffc68518218fb163925931","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1807027733},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4d0226bb7d28b3509344cecbac6e7003dbb7cb5ac9ffc68518218fb163925931","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1824229346},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4d0226bb7d28b3509344cecbac6e7003dbb7cb5ac9ffc68518218fb163925931","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1732350314},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4d0226bb7d28b3509344cecbac6e7003dbb7cb5ac9ffc68518218fb163925931","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1882326121},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"4d0226bb7d28b3509344cecbac6e7003dbb7cb5ac9ffc68518218fb163925931","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1939059992},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"51641f21873dd7734140740107c7b5ff8375d86f14637855f0292c6696e5b7b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765504404},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"51641f21873dd7734140740107c7b5ff8375d86f14637855f0292c6696e5b7b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0780780264},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"51641f21873dd7734140740107c7b5ff8375d86f14637855f0292c6696e5b7b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833987154},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"51641f21873dd7734140740107c7b5ff8375d86f14637855f0292c6696e5b7b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920918177},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"51641f21873dd7734140740107c7b5ff8375d86f14637855f0292c6696e5b7b6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0872090597},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"535b6436c6cc9eba749153f2878872daba10219f5b12b6cd94d64f6dba931541","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808159488},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"535b6436c6cc9eba749153f2878872daba10219f5b12b6cd94d64f6dba931541","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0867918101},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"535b6436c6cc9eba749153f2878872daba10219f5b12b6cd94d64f6dba931541","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0876090513},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"535b6436c6cc9eba749153f2878872daba10219f5b12b6cd94d64f6dba931541","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0953849124},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"535b6436c6cc9eba749153f2878872daba10219f5b12b6cd94d64f6dba931541","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1027814632},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"54cccd2dd254ef101fc5a2d46172dc0ee2cc6f6d54461d091c5970df91a17c37","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.122195262},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"54cccd2dd254ef101fc5a2d46172dc0ee2cc6f6d54461d091c5970df91a17c37","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0966395412},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"54cccd2dd254ef101fc5a2d46172dc0ee2cc6f6d54461d091c5970df91a17c37","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0967721274},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"54cccd2dd254ef101fc5a2d46172dc0ee2cc6f6d54461d091c5970df91a17c37","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1328159502},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"54cccd2dd254ef101fc5a2d46172dc0ee2cc6f6d54461d091c5970df91a17c37","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.138446984},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"570966f9caa62dc73ea1ee2424b821f1e8df53a35ee979c121584c9982bf63ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1443739142},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"570966f9caa62dc73ea1ee2424b821f1e8df53a35ee979c121584c9982bf63ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1438139143},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"570966f9caa62dc73ea1ee2424b821f1e8df53a35ee979c121584c9982bf63ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1390642253},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"570966f9caa62dc73ea1ee2424b821f1e8df53a35ee979c121584c9982bf63ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1423126387},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"570966f9caa62dc73ea1ee2424b821f1e8df53a35ee979c121584c9982bf63ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1423752938},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"5713f8a61c04fa270a3a9e1791e4d9b5fa8e0d1cc1c1c232aef84d80c5b89c09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2017911927},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"5713f8a61c04fa270a3a9e1791e4d9b5fa8e0d1cc1c1c232aef84d80c5b89c09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3889187093},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"5713f8a61c04fa270a3a9e1791e4d9b5fa8e0d1cc1c1c232aef84d80c5b89c09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3850292577},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"5713f8a61c04fa270a3a9e1791e4d9b5fa8e0d1cc1c1c232aef84d80c5b89c09","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3560543866},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"5713f8a61c04fa270a3a9e1791e4d9b5fa8e0d1cc1c1c232aef84d80c5b89c09","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2146925799},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"600e496f50daaa9743707de63ce115d974431d123cd136ff68b8f92bc74eb435","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0604312899},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"600e496f50daaa9743707de63ce115d974431d123cd136ff68b8f92bc74eb435","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0604474189},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"600e496f50daaa9743707de63ce115d974431d123cd136ff68b8f92bc74eb435","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605151608},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"600e496f50daaa9743707de63ce115d974431d123cd136ff68b8f92bc74eb435","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605151608},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"600e496f50daaa9743707de63ce115d974431d123cd136ff68b8f92bc74eb435","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060779677},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"607789976d54f4e876b6a60e9d196886af0d768824ad7bd357b59bcd3e1e90d8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1539788702},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"607789976d54f4e876b6a60e9d196886af0d768824ad7bd357b59bcd3e1e90d8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1586892144},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"607789976d54f4e876b6a60e9d196886af0d768824ad7bd357b59bcd3e1e90d8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.150896112},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"607789976d54f4e876b6a60e9d196886af0d768824ad7bd357b59bcd3e1e90d8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1574581801},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"607789976d54f4e876b6a60e9d196886af0d768824ad7bd357b59bcd3e1e90d8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1736305918},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606159514},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0603538825},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0600504343},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602573308},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0601573308},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"66b6a2d010663acd0151084028b848f1fabb2f0104caef851775a7cb75e634b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584021669},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"66b6a2d010663acd0151084028b848f1fabb2f0104caef851775a7cb75e634b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602504425},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"66b6a2d010663acd0151084028b848f1fabb2f0104caef851775a7cb75e634b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0593125116},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"66b6a2d010663acd0151084028b848f1fabb2f0104caef851775a7cb75e634b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632849249},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"66b6a2d010663acd0151084028b848f1fabb2f0104caef851775a7cb75e634b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629056146},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"679aca5c46d7e9a3966503abc06f64d74369b3c5ea29ffbc5607c7497927975c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1803483837},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"679aca5c46d7e9a3966503abc06f64d74369b3c5ea29ffbc5607c7497927975c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1818764869},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"679aca5c46d7e9a3966503abc06f64d74369b3c5ea29ffbc5607c7497927975c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1802079699},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"679aca5c46d7e9a3966503abc06f64d74369b3c5ea29ffbc5607c7497927975c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1818718317},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"679aca5c46d7e9a3966503abc06f64d74369b3c5ea29ffbc5607c7497927975c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1862010725},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"6eee18f909f384a15b0d936d3d07b7151a285118f994cc75e04fcf9e709812cb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0793745697},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"6eee18f909f384a15b0d936d3d07b7151a285118f994cc75e04fcf9e709812cb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0840090518},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"6eee18f909f384a15b0d936d3d07b7151a285118f994cc75e04fcf9e709812cb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0824849141},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"6eee18f909f384a15b0d936d3d07b7151a285118f994cc75e04fcf9e709812cb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0946228435},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"6eee18f909f384a15b0d936d3d07b7151a285118f994cc75e04fcf9e709812cb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1011159461},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1206237367},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1291064942},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1183030473},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1233555984},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1476616297},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792435435},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812814742},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0838056118},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812056122},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"76b5a922d6379f14838bbb051a7f3c70001b3661b6af959d4db6749a946e3efb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0817504397},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"7de1da056e3c1cf3e02778d4631cd6d10a716795d083dd2f64d3988d10b27848","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1294110316},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"7de1da056e3c1cf3e02778d4631cd6d10a716795d083dd2f64d3988d10b27848","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.135947322},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"7de1da056e3c1cf3e02778d4631cd6d10a716795d083dd2f64d3988d10b27848","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1264465155},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"7de1da056e3c1cf3e02778d4631cd6d10a716795d083dd2f64d3988d10b27848","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1351303865},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"7de1da056e3c1cf3e02778d4631cd6d10a716795d083dd2f64d3988d10b27848","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1484626446},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987090499},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.102391808},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1020573253},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1086788762},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1164090821},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"89aa41e4f8fcce6aebc49ed9abc3b7be16f6356c50ec20ba14f6d5b8490bbf06","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635010279},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"89aa41e4f8fcce6aebc49ed9abc3b7be16f6356c50ec20ba14f6d5b8490bbf06","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2668805102},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"89aa41e4f8fcce6aebc49ed9abc3b7be16f6356c50ec20ba14f6d5b8490bbf06","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2730566129},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"89aa41e4f8fcce6aebc49ed9abc3b7be16f6356c50ec20ba14f6d5b8490bbf06","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2477646507},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"89aa41e4f8fcce6aebc49ed9abc3b7be16f6356c50ec20ba14f6d5b8490bbf06","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615346834},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d2ba46db9e608f4c68374e40a33076c33f58219df26b504135b506194d1622c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0503607887},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d2ba46db9e608f4c68374e40a33076c33f58219df26b504135b506194d1622c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.050615961},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d2ba46db9e608f4c68374e40a33076c33f58219df26b504135b506194d1622c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512306161},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d2ba46db9e608f4c68374e40a33076c33f58219df26b504135b506194d1622c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520918229},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d2ba46db9e608f4c68374e40a33076c33f58219df26b504135b506194d1622c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533409607},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d5c97e6c9d26429339b3bf1ca0bfc816f9927f2bb0214ca584d483f306bed01","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3635021182},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d5c97e6c9d26429339b3bf1ca0bfc816f9927f2bb0214ca584d483f306bed01","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532021541},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d5c97e6c9d26429339b3bf1ca0bfc816f9927f2bb0214ca584d483f306bed01","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3268424334},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d5c97e6c9d26429339b3bf1ca0bfc816f9927f2bb0214ca584d483f306bed01","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117572975},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"8d5c97e6c9d26429339b3bf1ca0bfc816f9927f2bb0214ca584d483f306bed01","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3360926391},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.112850838},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1158569993},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1128836122},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1140642574},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9043472375a02690dfb338bd3d11605105562e5cae9672a989961b0c5bef9b51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1158247413},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9338de937aee2ca6a5a892e879683a60310ddb3a4f16c3b352056b450abce9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1271988389},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9338de937aee2ca6a5a892e879683a60310ddb3a4f16c3b352056b450abce9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1313560797},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9338de937aee2ca6a5a892e879683a60310ddb3a4f16c3b352056b450abce9e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311030108},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9338de937aee2ca6a5a892e879683a60310ddb3a4f16c3b352056b450abce9e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1405665958},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9338de937aee2ca6a5a892e879683a60310ddb3a4f16c3b352056b450abce9e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1419440784},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"97e9467176cf6658b3bd9c9ebf89d8510df5e3aabff8c3d14cdcb5d9dfa596c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1517355598},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"97e9467176cf6658b3bd9c9ebf89d8510df5e3aabff8c3d14cdcb5d9dfa596c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1523355598},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"97e9467176cf6658b3bd9c9ebf89d8510df5e3aabff8c3d14cdcb5d9dfa596c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1454665951},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"97e9467176cf6658b3bd9c9ebf89d8510df5e3aabff8c3d14cdcb5d9dfa596c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1435355609},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"97e9467176cf6658b3bd9c9ebf89d8510df5e3aabff8c3d14cdcb5d9dfa596c5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1551140077},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9d683eff8747219752163f7d11d94ff96bbf3b3386a147b59c4829ddb5dac130","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0585505799},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9d683eff8747219752163f7d11d94ff96bbf3b3386a147b59c4829ddb5dac130","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618368702},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9d683eff8747219752163f7d11d94ff96bbf3b3386a147b59c4829ddb5dac130","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0648763863},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9d683eff8747219752163f7d11d94ff96bbf3b3386a147b59c4829ddb5dac130","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0693538057},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"9d683eff8747219752163f7d11d94ff96bbf3b3386a147b59c4829ddb5dac130","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0748659992},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"a6df218adf1cf6a40983148234c46052bc83c7d2b8e31157dfdd6e58a9f83f5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129057414},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"a6df218adf1cf6a40983148234c46052bc83c7d2b8e31157dfdd6e58a9f83f5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3025513543},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"a6df218adf1cf6a40983148234c46052bc83c7d2b8e31157dfdd6e58a9f83f5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2784918058},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"a6df218adf1cf6a40983148234c46052bc83c7d2b8e31157dfdd6e58a9f83f5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2877954187},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"a6df218adf1cf6a40983148234c46052bc83c7d2b8e31157dfdd6e58a9f83f5d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2746369671},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0682957089},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714376767},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686993218},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686803863},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0685487089},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b2c16b3c0744a315c41326c635faea3d15d8206e657856b721a43bd2592d169f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1014538771},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b2c16b3c0744a315c41326c635faea3d15d8206e657856b721a43bd2592d169f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1070823247},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b2c16b3c0744a315c41326c635faea3d15d8206e657856b721a43bd2592d169f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1098193933},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b2c16b3c0744a315c41326c635faea3d15d8206e657856b721a43bd2592d169f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1178573232},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b2c16b3c0744a315c41326c635faea3d15d8206e657856b721a43bd2592d169f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1271849082},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b48c0a80ed5a62b128815b699b93d3d167bf2a3265058028871320c0a5c85913","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569483537},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b48c0a80ed5a62b128815b699b93d3d167bf2a3265058028871320c0a5c85913","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0574550634},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b48c0a80ed5a62b128815b699b93d3d167bf2a3265058028871320c0a5c85913","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0589536763},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b48c0a80ed5a62b128815b699b93d3d167bf2a3265058028871320c0a5c85913","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0598130311},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"b48c0a80ed5a62b128815b699b93d3d167bf2a3265058028871320c0a5c85913","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610494182},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ba55ec8fa639399c7008a2a1c50e255936187a9bd722f8b3a66334ea4709f00d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1713941779},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ba55ec8fa639399c7008a2a1c50e255936187a9bd722f8b3a66334ea4709f00d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1733010742},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ba55ec8fa639399c7008a2a1c50e255936187a9bd722f8b3a66334ea4709f00d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1601907311},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ba55ec8fa639399c7008a2a1c50e255936187a9bd722f8b3a66334ea4709f00d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1748217637},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ba55ec8fa639399c7008a2a1c50e255936187a9bd722f8b3a66334ea4709f00d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1808907284},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ccda7990a2565cabd7c375a036751bd3b953b8bed45d859010919cd3a84d7e78","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673174908},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ccda7990a2565cabd7c375a036751bd3b953b8bed45d859010919cd3a84d7e78","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702303941},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ccda7990a2565cabd7c375a036751bd3b953b8bed45d859010919cd3a84d7e78","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0678924908},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ccda7990a2565cabd7c375a036751bd3b953b8bed45d859010919cd3a84d7e78","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067582007},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"ccda7990a2565cabd7c375a036751bd3b953b8bed45d859010919cd3a84d7e78","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688336199},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d2f53c35645247d8ff5bdd09147c7409afb6752ace3d5863ea759e821c619b07","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3507124648},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d2f53c35645247d8ff5bdd09147c7409afb6752ace3d5863ea759e821c619b07","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3350547082},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d2f53c35645247d8ff5bdd09147c7409afb6752ace3d5863ea759e821c619b07","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3499863959},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d2f53c35645247d8ff5bdd09147c7409afb6752ace3d5863ea759e821c619b07","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3357795012},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d2f53c35645247d8ff5bdd09147c7409afb6752ace3d5863ea759e821c619b07","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129726421},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d53c1683bf29c37c17aed31f5b2e2403aa5c040883b280940f946138800ac1fb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552745811},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d53c1683bf29c37c17aed31f5b2e2403aa5c040883b280940f946138800ac1fb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584745807},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d53c1683bf29c37c17aed31f5b2e2403aa5c040883b280940f946138800ac1fb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612607872},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d53c1683bf29c37c17aed31f5b2e2403aa5c040883b280940f946138800ac1fb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0590159599},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d53c1683bf29c37c17aed31f5b2e2403aa5c040883b280940f946138800ac1fb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0699194068},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1225806119},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218068458},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1249189023},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1261773539},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1308652571},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"df90cdceaad74c30e35c84791dd12ac5120b233928a6bc4ff3af2c8ece3f306b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037711265},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"df90cdceaad74c30e35c84791dd12ac5120b233928a6bc4ff3af2c8ece3f306b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1029297473},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"df90cdceaad74c30e35c84791dd12ac5120b233928a6bc4ff3af2c8ece3f306b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1125745736},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"df90cdceaad74c30e35c84791dd12ac5120b233928a6bc4ff3af2c8ece3f306b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071366433},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"df90cdceaad74c30e35c84791dd12ac5120b233928a6bc4ff3af2c8ece3f306b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1158262973},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1233271498},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1234061498},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.123052805},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1264907356},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1303507351},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520874509},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2740334187},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2603414832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520120961},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e53dabd31f71786f3b044bd12e498deee5a732a43de2d9be7468ebaced466977","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2622523219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496622711},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2536139947},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2630002004},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2740883369},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2557734772},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f0535b536401f2bfa43ed741298dd8d89c745701593f04a8b410115c8a3c6142","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2228642057},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f0535b536401f2bfa43ed741298dd8d89c745701593f04a8b410115c8a3c6142","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3752967374},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f0535b536401f2bfa43ed741298dd8d89c745701593f04a8b410115c8a3c6142","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223917788},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f0535b536401f2bfa43ed741298dd8d89c745701593f04a8b410115c8a3c6142","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.309516884},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f0535b536401f2bfa43ed741298dd8d89c745701593f04a8b410115c8a3c6142","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3289080883},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f29228009a407cdf130062251d274b898fc8e925f21b5d9c16376e35fd5a9fbd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.13490458},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f29228009a407cdf130062251d274b898fc8e925f21b5d9c16376e35fd5a9fbd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1405482978},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f29228009a407cdf130062251d274b898fc8e925f21b5d9c16376e35fd5a9fbd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1361311929},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f29228009a407cdf130062251d274b898fc8e925f21b5d9c16376e35fd5a9fbd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1396088139},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f29228009a407cdf130062251d274b898fc8e925f21b5d9c16376e35fd5a9fbd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1437344187},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f4c38ca3c45ac8dea0e76cc1fbe7e0a89b58f854a04174b0078a5ee5aefc66d8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0420194366},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f4c38ca3c45ac8dea0e76cc1fbe7e0a89b58f854a04174b0078a5ee5aefc66d8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0453952983},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f4c38ca3c45ac8dea0e76cc1fbe7e0a89b58f854a04174b0078a5ee5aefc66d8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0423194366},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f4c38ca3c45ac8dea0e76cc1fbe7e0a89b58f854a04174b0078a5ee5aefc66d8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0356056444},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"f4c38ca3c45ac8dea0e76cc1fbe7e0a89b58f854a04174b0078a5ee5aefc66d8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0363332305},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0880182896},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0875386202},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0901013541},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0923739348},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0957215154},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa2e38da1538dba16674994feb8bf783ced8b7d5763bd089a6905794dcf90f68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1694243506},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa2e38da1538dba16674994feb8bf783ced8b7d5763bd089a6905794dcf90f68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1770071082},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa2e38da1538dba16674994feb8bf783ced8b7d5763bd089a6905794dcf90f68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2173312409},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa2e38da1538dba16674994feb8bf783ced8b7d5763bd089a6905794dcf90f68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3455044999},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"acled","id":"fa2e38da1538dba16674994feb8bf783ced8b7d5763bd089a6905794dcf90f68","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.199465726},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2171541777},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134454109},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1917650718},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1540271457},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896271279},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3506860318},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.324315064},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2056376444},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1684860314},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3061924833},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3527309316},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2400680857},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2237699025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1862957088},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2406275188},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2392838587},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646999609},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.205528001},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1739788673},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726616129},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3289728124},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2964864719},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1961995885},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1705306263},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3023099194},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3464202239},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3192960896},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2231754125},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1890443825},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287637473},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496497652},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2638304349},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.240395709},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.190260225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2413053864},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3523578433},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2507813518},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2246965154},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1918150637},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3357473221},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2153210208},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129630107},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2002432895},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1807634508},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635465155},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3563822916},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3301775092},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2038478289},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1649202478},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2973202304},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124926422},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926409206},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1955374851},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1817340387},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2919719552},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3527995334},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3260202266},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1923133476},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1569754212},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2734857507},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3243443648},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.288789197},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1955961058},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1709271435},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2929857482},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3780957093},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3413086972},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1758481282},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1370699023},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3078094188},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2101059588},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3192682985},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2006961051},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1621340412},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316534021},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3166625609},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087425579},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1986473218},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1615868378},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3084190962},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2188340338},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3135176811},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2237788607},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2109513107},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3264167783},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3429340175},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3173271243},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1936547267},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1510280082},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3593891878},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3361460923},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2171271375},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.191378865},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3350891909},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633537735},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2805467329},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1870215153},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1663892572},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876215155},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2384167898},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2643944782},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1831719695},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1450582159},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2787926466},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646031943},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2959824999},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1842247411},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1562860314},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2510117255},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2927047325},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.194434037},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1601702484},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2908616105},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358511866},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050857611},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1899061927},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1704666765},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2979569994},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2153546429},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3137352341},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.193520244},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1620004206},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917236794},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.233209894},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2526111053},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2151236894},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1922133821},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353995357},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2262478259},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2624314558},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2281064808},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2112340351},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3067409188},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2373739348},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690245706},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1892215476},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1685061927},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27095458},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367150638},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615770106},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2144731283},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1736053862},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2360989348},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2017167897},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2070880955},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2102569992},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1804021604},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352347553},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2302763819},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424707645},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1995634508},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1582021604},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3024210466},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.208148724},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2256761323},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1671616613},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2629819118},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1966305884},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2129456134},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352616178},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2524926501},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2448924832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2702602252},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1856247411},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.152508612},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748763542},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1858448994},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2140240347},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241761617},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1964443815},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2226098954},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264512742},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570167874},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2095167936},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1824038662},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040064364},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2432567539},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2971319994},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1878061927},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1615989346},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2783880701},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1775639479},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.386715005},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3431616037},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4405960736},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3531149619},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1834875016},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1910625534},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2995581611},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3992305618},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2316719797},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2122300677},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2209157554},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2304167909},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1996443811},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3292774863},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3986084223},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2043553806},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3337671873},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.353070604},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2403246362},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3745344189},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2040997411},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3735347578},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3572831569},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2595642251},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2159150315},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3359169387},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2202918085},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2473469611},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3818676331},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2770971315},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1815032873},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1761913983},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2640512692},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3496605093},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3427151472},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2181279545},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2116249483},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3509745395},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3576877532},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.183280998},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2359988031},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2115896678},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3415206337},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3841344997},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3905234444},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2538940923},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2334299865},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3165282277},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3503299723},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3629135798},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.248088445},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2299886112},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3341861589},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3507081575},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3851228256},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.231683982},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2104910344},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3302634189},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3694590812},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3831432864},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3178028302},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3283215315},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3411494174},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2147545378},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3429527889},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1981644839},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2084022178},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2315536312},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2139537784},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2333676438},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3103921068},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3207489626},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3226421433},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3312236623},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.350639192},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2253928565},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2092984696},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1904623562},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3638015427},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3907846623},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2515518007},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.229997253},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3471468248},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3684590338},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1846611134},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2935332072},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3028840901},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3168781115},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3269116085},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.340941606},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117032194},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3142301964},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187543308},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3272556169},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.336085059},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2227766602},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2061365472},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3367503464},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3656192308},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3744626898},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4148724026},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4005828228},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3832529587},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3688221429},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2026429621},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2915992169},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3111195295},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3381092074},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.208582911},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1977759431},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.235886462},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3351165208},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3765113272},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1805849529},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1708179671},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3014825892},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.30146798},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3159496336},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230642724},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3470714168},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827438926},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2861534435},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826861828},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2322029091},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2908864045},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2582917788},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2530989846},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516617324},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2505295775},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2517375047},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2919278601},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.306903813},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3094855371},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2275589314},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2187712195},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247390532},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312009715},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3183092289},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2014828079},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2184872002},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2991983865},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3033499899},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.318536894},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3321227861},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3511594047},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3091718836},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3159302882},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.331402219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1958349736},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1939964038},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.313060562},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3316604862},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3472898855},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1900584079},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1879040965},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3166430952},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3079588019},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3235589041},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3271800837},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3350768142},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.259734652},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2751056065},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847334283},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3057365707},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3512033005},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.353296586},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3579795243},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3675858037},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3772321018},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3871944343},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1322958253},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1276202837},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1322151368},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1405812015},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1498834057},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3262187912},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3362423291},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3341538618},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3643572148},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3673620665},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3221307506},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3315282982},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3289480938},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329981784},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.343863929},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.325288285},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3231452533},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3228689031},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129935368},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3195418035},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4657590087},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4624374892},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4597331423},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.456830261},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4557195372},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.291422199},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2731873853},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2676254412},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2652387178},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2751112238},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.327630902},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.32582157},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2114650498},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2214627407},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2965561941},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2975414201},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2338035503},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.314841979},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3465453031},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3723992046},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4165608216},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.442595385},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5004337173},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3772365801},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3825945263},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3942117376},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4134793671},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4331055046},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3305367322},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3197651835},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3195979613},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3160026971},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184577509},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889578186},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2678451782},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2486291989},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3291744788},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3671631762},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1738178444},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3885241227},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3768702646},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3658468323},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3548113288},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.386870513},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3805655596},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3770763141},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3807393782},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3927478388},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818884184},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2696237806},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2735463017},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726454441},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932556641},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1926200791},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3835701},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4098392537},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1501886689},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4721053263},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.353831162},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.192771427},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.19387655},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1937903457},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1994795517},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525084016},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2580288199},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2658784888},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2820952619},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2919098533},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230583078},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3550515637},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3822537976},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4171153199},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4617018177},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3080324169},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.332026996},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3631897898},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1798110244},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1715651975},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3120106215},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3021505469},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2380258516},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2993032219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1901342047},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3471151459},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.348654254},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3492091619},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3494927372},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1910945699},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3636364457},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3552878582},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3555524126},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3642308506},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1991265725},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.201461926},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3504824704},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3619413855},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3719101864},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.131142445},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1316192255},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1339718592},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1421576171},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1554943483},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3444760807},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1821101821},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1746573503},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1737464456},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1678064211},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3052569436},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3078018057},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3104548611},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2470657703},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2621667248},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060096855},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016741191},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3192867904},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3172954528},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3511826948},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2450689605},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2383575931},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2855404261},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2907309167},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2564370427},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3673844106},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1835224192},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1839489901},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1875265448},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1990905254},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764010466},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2920818446},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2326690254},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3149728362},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2242912964},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3492479807},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1865016762},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3281664918},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2046371755},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2308739144},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2330249197},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3128958232},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2964806768},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3234687623},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124413023},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.140251251},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.485565585},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1698310751},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1912508948},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3549996269},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2859891629},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2705201994},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2600615801},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2526719259},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2550904031},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0910228437},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1056297383},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1259228391},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1511090427},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.182464211},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2409737412},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2373826767},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2448021606},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574692896},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2678292142},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007408703},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039086122},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099078058},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.119488451},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1349690961},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2298546875},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2254926191},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2307788253},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2345546869},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422477893},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989086282},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1127581512},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1320960796},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1550615939},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4040403868},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0865110315},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0853336122},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854594186},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0879884509},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938690961},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1141639746},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1237512579},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.483788586},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4389144063},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3990057646},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071228764},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1082159797},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.110405738},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1163197028},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218797365},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1080658703},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1124819993},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1192142574},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1291755477},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1445013542},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f4e9bef478eb0032ddb58280d4bcdfa31f5934dccd230a28cc22eaaae6f3411","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2563795116},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f4e9bef478eb0032ddb58280d4bcdfa31f5934dccd230a28cc22eaaae6f3411","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2767726124},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f4e9bef478eb0032ddb58280d4bcdfa31f5934dccd230a28cc22eaaae6f3411","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2774174399},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f4e9bef478eb0032ddb58280d4bcdfa31f5934dccd230a28cc22eaaae6f3411","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2771691641},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f4e9bef478eb0032ddb58280d4bcdfa31f5934dccd230a28cc22eaaae6f3411","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2837277839},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f7f3d8ce69dbc5297e9bebded95b3e4e3204845a2667894806c89c869b01e32","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179236415},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f7f3d8ce69dbc5297e9bebded95b3e4e3204845a2667894806c89c869b01e32","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2962276788},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f7f3d8ce69dbc5297e9bebded95b3e4e3204845a2667894806c89c869b01e32","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2803428533},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f7f3d8ce69dbc5297e9bebded95b3e4e3204845a2667894806c89c869b01e32","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2674854412},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f7f3d8ce69dbc5297e9bebded95b3e4e3204845a2667894806c89c869b01e32","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2590629652},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1190884832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1200014832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.122738451},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1258529671},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.132263451},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0819287735},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0847207089},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0890400638},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961819993},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1078174832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073985225},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812634509},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0909690961},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.105611838},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1276303865},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1126780136},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1194780127},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1296228389},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1441573198},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1681573166},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4c98ccd0d64f8cad6896b50e8131b7173dcc95e40e1492413d69a7bf75d3328c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1314949965},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4c98ccd0d64f8cad6896b50e8131b7173dcc95e40e1492413d69a7bf75d3328c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4793832597},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4c98ccd0d64f8cad6896b50e8131b7173dcc95e40e1492413d69a7bf75d3328c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4280394984},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4c98ccd0d64f8cad6896b50e8131b7173dcc95e40e1492413d69a7bf75d3328c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4195719539},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4c98ccd0d64f8cad6896b50e8131b7173dcc95e40e1492413d69a7bf75d3328c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3921053544},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1057711179},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1046159457},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1049849111},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085228417},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.116878013},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792539145},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0810919488},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0875340514},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0974124983},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104435311},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0796719834},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0822125003},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0885400857},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098760774},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1148435305},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0747691283},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0756143863},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771629347},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0805021605},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0864819993},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1280497413},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1356949026},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1489336123},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1669376446},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1937763543},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1414814581},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1402986996},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1416849063},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1461573195},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1521676636},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0845987069},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0867366377},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0894262925},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938918091},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1010849116},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.06077802},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707056049},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.08499181},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1035745662},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1306814591},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905509133},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986050829},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5187905214},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1402952088},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1675556285},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1116822892},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5111379954},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1502187324},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1758707853},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2103064487},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.151988451},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1577110317},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1686078059},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1868658705},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2098368382},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0826918106},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0868995687},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.09295043},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1013331875},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1128297377},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0776331906},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0819676728},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0884883616},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978883603},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105400828},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1153297374},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1210711159},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.132615942},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1484607675},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1709228335},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c7985d78360e28f5bb4bc303f157919422a4963fd9ab6d37515f6c5581cbe06","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0820857759},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c7985d78360e28f5bb4bc303f157919422a4963fd9ab6d37515f6c5581cbe06","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0826443965},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c7985d78360e28f5bb4bc303f157919422a4963fd9ab6d37515f6c5581cbe06","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0856409478},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c7985d78360e28f5bb4bc303f157919422a4963fd9ab6d37515f6c5581cbe06","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0924987055},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c7985d78360e28f5bb4bc303f157919422a4963fd9ab6d37515f6c5581cbe06","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1068745657},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3240132575},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3205770317},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3255634511},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3385620317},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3535485802},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.083553096},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0868790638},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0915094186},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986336122},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1081561929},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1012303864},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031828058},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1069497412},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129852251},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1233569993},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0811746039},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.084643569},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0895919476},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0966754295},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.106598704},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3623243253},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3526070852},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2322792379},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3442843473},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.35059255},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0773616389},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827918106},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0902159476},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004469807},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143469789},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1065573247},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105685311},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1176124957},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1285297356},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1456607679},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1042512992},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1091159796},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1160919442},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1270268393},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1414560788},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1348636358},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.153554428},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1964461605},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2278126444},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3177385536},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1069168419},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1073617729},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1090030141},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1140469789},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1217780124},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1130658703},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162110316},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1212086122},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1291755477},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1400271607},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cfecaf75abdfe4be7627c5e61a5d7c88541a74fbf3f030dd0b3b81e3f456e655","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2569132574},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cfecaf75abdfe4be7627c5e61a5d7c88541a74fbf3f030dd0b3b81e3f456e655","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2463672896},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cfecaf75abdfe4be7627c5e61a5d7c88541a74fbf3f030dd0b3b81e3f456e655","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.240535838},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cfecaf75abdfe4be7627c5e61a5d7c88541a74fbf3f030dd0b3b81e3f456e655","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2446035799},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cfecaf75abdfe4be7627c5e61a5d7c88541a74fbf3f030dd0b3b81e3f456e655","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2501442431},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.320513986},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3175545726},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2776469571},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130738835},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3173480262},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1342193901},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1463435264},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1646193861},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1950676579},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2351021354},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060866446},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2990310639},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2999763542},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3057416727},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3239822332},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.120709047},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1257193912},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1335711143},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1448228369},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1616952485},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3437993967},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3186415724},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2893872659},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2628399246},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2419650652},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2909133002},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2857443353},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912029553},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2906167485},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3021351738},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0734013544},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0735981286},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0757336134},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801852264},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0878432925},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425797091},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1453853542},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1496984188},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1572279672},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1642916769},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.07950219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854609134},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938093605},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058202555},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1093021516},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3172710993},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3171851833},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3196343082},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3394193333},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3531453578},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.236513672},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.29020191},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2228650941},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2173642566},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.213929957},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3200801202},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2011699833},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1989984776},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3506647194},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1986448174},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2046953874},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2007212034},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1959072679},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3412485407},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1890880809},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2135024476},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2074809509},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2035301633},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2026829266},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2021837647},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2311837222},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2973670008},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2180959398},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.310012913},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2155412468},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2307551848},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2331896514},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2307584732},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2343444984},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CBRE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2280567013},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2855337019},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2881661342},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2419734094},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2535727547},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2527117534},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134096165},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2127429374},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3206947969},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2102654106},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2099107719},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.217003607},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2201157397},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2115859377},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2217358908},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CFG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2072477309},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2214844552},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2176648398},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2025323885},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.202058682},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1867432274},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2975532175},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2321551607},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2362231054},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2429109892},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2929061731},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3066728254},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.217207326},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2136366501},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2202495436},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3191772403},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2180405515},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2089673324},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2151748462},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3318972798},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2165905938},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932529003},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3045889745},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3233724032},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3387489018},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3570476392},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2120223102},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2105282454},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2076131849},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2062235133},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2115051035},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876562594},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.293135097},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2289167339},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3058841232},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3217297781},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847118842},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2319372845},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2325004219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2223841753},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186932937},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2390784938},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2311303639},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2296046323},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2383765553},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3168209847},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2203774616},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186587748},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2140036045},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2144180931},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2136585487},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2806407351},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2309717526},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2323149445},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2314368774},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2302263159},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2209092431},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2172245751},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2120042336},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2052242867},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1943979667},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2955190607},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2942747907},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2977376776},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3012359424},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3069816584},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FFIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247239883},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FFIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2225698865},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FFIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.222869665},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FFIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2236996616},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FFIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2156518969},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2144847721},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2125987221},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2040110543},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2074165078},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2073218199},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3027256387},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3054171013},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2239640686},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2254063905},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2249722304},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.215789506},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2158442848},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2118628683},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.210990144},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.210100129},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2857559777},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827071999},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2825490121},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2806788978},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835497723},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3046652632},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2173752432},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2183794263},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2160536273},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2158720574},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2250343532},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3193806231},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3252396751},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3372148521},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3561066293},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.230088807},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2306591572},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2266616353},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2254478009},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264901796},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3213689953},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.200958445},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3270626929},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3366704807},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1998564987},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.300153389},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2134873615},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2054468376},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2016560538},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2026652179},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2164631005},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3243280075},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1996360629},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.181170181},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.187969836},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2467629623},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2487464501},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2471684592},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2949896026},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304485708},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994873679},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2253768987},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2212890502},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3157035451},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3297183686},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2959823967},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2239346462},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2196054421},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2179392637},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2212265008},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3208090427},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3346290666},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.20623159},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.208501029},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3342476843},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847293345},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2885950447},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2266864392},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2327280738},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2260338253},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2271625297},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2225639128},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.214361291},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2149010003},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.333043212},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210172485},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3075863169},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2159968003},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3168874357},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.217593041},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247647019},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2119583653},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2035152021},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1923213155},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1849788779},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2969681588},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2203654208},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.22260806},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3057117702},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129044579},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.216866217},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3095167493},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3181612693},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.326046866},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.328552474},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2153009817},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096572678},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2213541639},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3066514},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3224530567},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2145132181},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124502243},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2064903325},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.207359625},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2037389571},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2241770318},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2158032846},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2113058844},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2055533439},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2007394738},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2343251782},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.228434614},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.221363858},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2185044134},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.213720097},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3037300545},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2170510665},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2178567554},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2198412289},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2201646223},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.214305566},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2131831783},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2146919113},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191640743},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3365766908},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244060452},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2128245307},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2055127391},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1946109866},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.186716994},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2333926883},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2318110584},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2307789159},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2286403257},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2292750945},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258103758},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.293378477},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229424384},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2193772243},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229683346},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876673211},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2343540404},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2275560482},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2199540045},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2128057147},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2991815555},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2939436296},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2328165981},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2340538366},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.238975212},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3055464945},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016058849},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2260246107},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3146761043},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2166515838},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3006969361},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.22201512},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2218379279},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2249341394},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2268143553},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2102349214},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.203917643},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1975872748},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3465248079},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1899032604},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3037601188},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3086872302},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109120227},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3262826288},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2034911383},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3019265161},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917177842},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2368915259},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2323703105},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2359826329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0666e0e9870b24a330020ab0360019637b400f4ccfd948582ac981ce09c5bb3b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.206529297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0666e0e9870b24a330020ab0360019637b400f4ccfd948582ac981ce09c5bb3b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2117920063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0666e0e9870b24a330020ab0360019637b400f4ccfd948582ac981ce09c5bb3b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2566340402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0666e0e9870b24a330020ab0360019637b400f4ccfd948582ac981ce09c5bb3b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2430350617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0666e0e9870b24a330020ab0360019637b400f4ccfd948582ac981ce09c5bb3b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2732640143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"06fcdbcc3f927d4733c938ca693d8c5efbbdd86136f9510600497df456a77068","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0624763163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"06fcdbcc3f927d4733c938ca693d8c5efbbdd86136f9510600497df456a77068","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480148035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"06fcdbcc3f927d4733c938ca693d8c5efbbdd86136f9510600497df456a77068","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0486320156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"06fcdbcc3f927d4733c938ca693d8c5efbbdd86136f9510600497df456a77068","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.049583616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"06fcdbcc3f927d4733c938ca693d8c5efbbdd86136f9510600497df456a77068","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512008678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0f920e9e2b328ab275f921e8358491ac592627108b56254fc1001ac728ffd829","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531071936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0f920e9e2b328ab275f921e8358491ac592627108b56254fc1001ac728ffd829","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556572951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0f920e9e2b328ab275f921e8358491ac592627108b56254fc1001ac728ffd829","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0594886975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0f920e9e2b328ab275f921e8358491ac592627108b56254fc1001ac728ffd829","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643138894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"0f920e9e2b328ab275f921e8358491ac592627108b56254fc1001ac728ffd829","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0693953416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1396819988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1373151547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100509253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1126537361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.151399465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513696245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524571678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547635095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579511363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629528978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"147dd89b0b7983e83a136804ca8542fb89839c30ff00b1e2aef91a40969fed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0911040177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"147dd89b0b7983e83a136804ca8542fb89839c30ff00b1e2aef91a40969fed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.087403308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"147dd89b0b7983e83a136804ca8542fb89839c30ff00b1e2aef91a40969fed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0886013556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"147dd89b0b7983e83a136804ca8542fb89839c30ff00b1e2aef91a40969fed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0910137641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"147dd89b0b7983e83a136804ca8542fb89839c30ff00b1e2aef91a40969fed11","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919977408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"14e21caf983148a951015e7cdd31e9fec4060c8ea4604f74e3ce9339f568fb3c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610262587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"14e21caf983148a951015e7cdd31e9fec4060c8ea4604f74e3ce9339f568fb3c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643138894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"14e21caf983148a951015e7cdd31e9fec4060c8ea4604f74e3ce9339f568fb3c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0703828809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"14e21caf983148a951015e7cdd31e9fec4060c8ea4604f74e3ce9339f568fb3c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0789457215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"14e21caf983148a951015e7cdd31e9fec4060c8ea4604f74e3ce9339f568fb3c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0934478609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.289143146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847119697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3076166309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088201163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3224679092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"240bdbc9f3406309ca238c696fc073cd04be6f9d131dab465f81de93455f6b97","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0495773657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"240bdbc9f3406309ca238c696fc073cd04be6f9d131dab465f81de93455f6b97","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485350742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"240bdbc9f3406309ca238c696fc073cd04be6f9d131dab465f81de93455f6b97","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0484445081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"240bdbc9f3406309ca238c696fc073cd04be6f9d131dab465f81de93455f6b97","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491148473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"240bdbc9f3406309ca238c696fc073cd04be6f9d131dab465f81de93455f6b97","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.050978984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0769907063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854135413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0947244117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1048092504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6893915059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"26d1840d9d1771bd02ff900e1c3595aa6e0e60b1190179796ce1423dfaecc7b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0469835125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"26d1840d9d1771bd02ff900e1c3595aa6e0e60b1190179796ce1423dfaecc7b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0471037673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"26d1840d9d1771bd02ff900e1c3595aa6e0e60b1190179796ce1423dfaecc7b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0477397926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"26d1840d9d1771bd02ff900e1c3595aa6e0e60b1190179796ce1423dfaecc7b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0489289024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"26d1840d9d1771bd02ff900e1c3595aa6e0e60b1190179796ce1423dfaecc7b6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508336657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0926930809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949856721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0967194911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985740649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2b6dfa51c453c3f82d6740304ba6d6c8e967b40107f35257522b245e20bdf6e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1049330678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1267317128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.129628578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1787962215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1342131979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2d174ea076671029f5f979a23e79ea4dfa45348b432508da0815b05578e94f19","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1498653206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2e152139083c10ed2b508c60781748e8c988994da5d342de00a06b9e897bdc97","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3499502525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2e152139083c10ed2b508c60781748e8c988994da5d342de00a06b9e897bdc97","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353262332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2e152139083c10ed2b508c60781748e8c988994da5d342de00a06b9e897bdc97","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3768638231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2e152139083c10ed2b508c60781748e8c988994da5d342de00a06b9e897bdc97","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2960769218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2e152139083c10ed2b508c60781748e8c988994da5d342de00a06b9e897bdc97","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3083020957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535822125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542322384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0565073289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608512517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686531246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"326e9de32577009f974d5865b247139d08461aa41209775260848be9d64f3048","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0817785842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"326e9de32577009f974d5865b247139d08461aa41209775260848be9d64f3048","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0850710277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"326e9de32577009f974d5865b247139d08461aa41209775260848be9d64f3048","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0869098508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"326e9de32577009f974d5865b247139d08461aa41209775260848be9d64f3048","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990333331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"326e9de32577009f974d5865b247139d08461aa41209775260848be9d64f3048","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1079066236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3dc58efa4d7bcd5d611bd112e0fc7d204d5b2eadcf653c4ab30fdf41235996ba","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2388498327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3dc58efa4d7bcd5d611bd112e0fc7d204d5b2eadcf653c4ab30fdf41235996ba","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2330721029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3dc58efa4d7bcd5d611bd112e0fc7d204d5b2eadcf653c4ab30fdf41235996ba","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2316506088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3dc58efa4d7bcd5d611bd112e0fc7d204d5b2eadcf653c4ab30fdf41235996ba","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2332724234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3dc58efa4d7bcd5d611bd112e0fc7d204d5b2eadcf653c4ab30fdf41235996ba","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2392020968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3e1289c57ea52f9ce28b72f4249fc56d015cb760c0f4de8122ae96ffe69c4df8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1204308719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3e1289c57ea52f9ce28b72f4249fc56d015cb760c0f4de8122ae96ffe69c4df8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1167472253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3e1289c57ea52f9ce28b72f4249fc56d015cb760c0f4de8122ae96ffe69c4df8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1198051595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3e1289c57ea52f9ce28b72f4249fc56d015cb760c0f4de8122ae96ffe69c4df8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1260298446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3e1289c57ea52f9ce28b72f4249fc56d015cb760c0f4de8122ae96ffe69c4df8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1257417081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3ea48306007417558e6d9e3082151f0c65eed77eb3dd9621fa2de76cae252eb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0900899149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3ea48306007417558e6d9e3082151f0c65eed77eb3dd9621fa2de76cae252eb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0875713147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3ea48306007417558e6d9e3082151f0c65eed77eb3dd9621fa2de76cae252eb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927525833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3ea48306007417558e6d9e3082151f0c65eed77eb3dd9621fa2de76cae252eb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983295551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"3ea48306007417558e6d9e3082151f0c65eed77eb3dd9621fa2de76cae252eb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1056873478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"41ef1c3360bafba4b6aecb6cde6870d5f84500f3ad0be39cdd4d40f1f697e724","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.399583477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"41ef1c3360bafba4b6aecb6cde6870d5f84500f3ad0be39cdd4d40f1f697e724","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3880080165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"41ef1c3360bafba4b6aecb6cde6870d5f84500f3ad0be39cdd4d40f1f697e724","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3772513386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"41ef1c3360bafba4b6aecb6cde6870d5f84500f3ad0be39cdd4d40f1f697e724","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.369569783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"41ef1c3360bafba4b6aecb6cde6870d5f84500f3ad0be39cdd4d40f1f697e724","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3646570875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"43f1c15641c235294c3ac293947171fca2cc468d9266f8ea6a3471faae907109","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3470892012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"43f1c15641c235294c3ac293947171fca2cc468d9266f8ea6a3471faae907109","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3409451442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"43f1c15641c235294c3ac293947171fca2cc468d9266f8ea6a3471faae907109","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.294710555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"43f1c15641c235294c3ac293947171fca2cc468d9266f8ea6a3471faae907109","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3170186924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"43f1c15641c235294c3ac293947171fca2cc468d9266f8ea6a3471faae907109","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3220667057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074558047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787832151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854834816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0933775456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1075343588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2160874897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2366067435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.244085791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2064933581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"524d8228bdba3a16a5591f5de0373847d1186c0b789e078d87d8364434dc7e99","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4236754354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0499008161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510821131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532009474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055832302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"5c78934d8767272a2a6576a8cce3d7860ef120ef34db3bb5f7af189bce405315","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0592949398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"6e9bac5f477266f4b6768411cd4ba4d2c9d065b42eeda14eb73ddeca49338e64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0868928502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"6e9bac5f477266f4b6768411cd4ba4d2c9d065b42eeda14eb73ddeca49338e64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0886449199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"6e9bac5f477266f4b6768411cd4ba4d2c9d065b42eeda14eb73ddeca49338e64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0900829771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"6e9bac5f477266f4b6768411cd4ba4d2c9d065b42eeda14eb73ddeca49338e64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0933588574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"6e9bac5f477266f4b6768411cd4ba4d2c9d065b42eeda14eb73ddeca49338e64","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991440875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3643086362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3171952619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2634161225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3084736025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984372657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"734e27101e4087730723824d0cdf18b0bca67d89cb6bb9c686117d52b06ac9dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1464409691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"734e27101e4087730723824d0cdf18b0bca67d89cb6bb9c686117d52b06ac9dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1875875435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"734e27101e4087730723824d0cdf18b0bca67d89cb6bb9c686117d52b06ac9dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1616003221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"734e27101e4087730723824d0cdf18b0bca67d89cb6bb9c686117d52b06ac9dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.184610175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"734e27101e4087730723824d0cdf18b0bca67d89cb6bb9c686117d52b06ac9dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2039879459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7bfeb70a394235fc918bf2335240307747ede7f90984fe7d285addccc40bed24","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666929841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7bfeb70a394235fc918bf2335240307747ede7f90984fe7d285addccc40bed24","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706817053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7bfeb70a394235fc918bf2335240307747ede7f90984fe7d285addccc40bed24","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075776908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7bfeb70a394235fc918bf2335240307747ede7f90984fe7d285addccc40bed24","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0829833821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7bfeb70a394235fc918bf2335240307747ede7f90984fe7d285addccc40bed24","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931235355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7c03640d48debf66a4a4764e82b6b8a2e75000c9f9f7b86f64dc0c264c6bbcc9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.06407638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7c03640d48debf66a4a4764e82b6b8a2e75000c9f9f7b86f64dc0c264c6bbcc9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655639392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7c03640d48debf66a4a4764e82b6b8a2e75000c9f9f7b86f64dc0c264c6bbcc9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680202869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7c03640d48debf66a4a4764e82b6b8a2e75000c9f9f7b86f64dc0c264c6bbcc9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717891868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"7c03640d48debf66a4a4764e82b6b8a2e75000c9f9f7b86f64dc0c264c6bbcc9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795332449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"812b5c3b04dd2b850e5629f852618d974c6cada2db57ae9412c4ddd25dac8419","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138009206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"812b5c3b04dd2b850e5629f852618d974c6cada2db57ae9412c4ddd25dac8419","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063921259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"812b5c3b04dd2b850e5629f852618d974c6cada2db57ae9412c4ddd25dac8419","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1095809402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"812b5c3b04dd2b850e5629f852618d974c6cada2db57ae9412c4ddd25dac8419","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.127297645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"812b5c3b04dd2b850e5629f852618d974c6cada2db57ae9412c4ddd25dac8419","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5867971746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0467711291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625288809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0628050169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631257172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0640967558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8b6e62ac7f89d03b59f15f5dcfa721c9515a9d8f7c50e5529d28eb0f007afae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2020256178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8b6e62ac7f89d03b59f15f5dcfa721c9515a9d8f7c50e5529d28eb0f007afae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2094399753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8b6e62ac7f89d03b59f15f5dcfa721c9515a9d8f7c50e5529d28eb0f007afae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2607127025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8b6e62ac7f89d03b59f15f5dcfa721c9515a9d8f7c50e5529d28eb0f007afae6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2521703627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8b6e62ac7f89d03b59f15f5dcfa721c9515a9d8f7c50e5529d28eb0f007afae6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2425084783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8feddb5c9091b11630ebb135ef715546db087ce0a021fcad2dc30f7532c626e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3332955899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8feddb5c9091b11630ebb135ef715546db087ce0a021fcad2dc30f7532c626e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818338552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8feddb5c9091b11630ebb135ef715546db087ce0a021fcad2dc30f7532c626e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3430687912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8feddb5c9091b11630ebb135ef715546db087ce0a021fcad2dc30f7532c626e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2949855659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"8feddb5c9091b11630ebb135ef715546db087ce0a021fcad2dc30f7532c626e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2920256982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a13e6cd780ae1fbcb151c32b5bd8b74890a3fa5e9dce73a8b196d7ba805e183","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0478648601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a13e6cd780ae1fbcb151c32b5bd8b74890a3fa5e9dce73a8b196d7ba805e183","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0478914236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a13e6cd780ae1fbcb151c32b5bd8b74890a3fa5e9dce73a8b196d7ba805e183","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480211163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a13e6cd780ae1fbcb151c32b5bd8b74890a3fa5e9dce73a8b196d7ba805e183","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0481914356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a13e6cd780ae1fbcb151c32b5bd8b74890a3fa5e9dce73a8b196d7ba805e183","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0503854604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a678195eae4d8f4654163c8c29239d1d605cf4a63f426c75ad2b3953f6bc97b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0677577765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a678195eae4d8f4654163c8c29239d1d605cf4a63f426c75ad2b3953f6bc97b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0565260796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a678195eae4d8f4654163c8c29239d1d605cf4a63f426c75ad2b3953f6bc97b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622700581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a678195eae4d8f4654163c8c29239d1d605cf4a63f426c75ad2b3953f6bc97b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0699141122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9a678195eae4d8f4654163c8c29239d1d605cf4a63f426c75ad2b3953f6bc97b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0824896125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9ad5b743657885d225f4025fdc949f3837be8f60e2a5f84c4c0cbf33114556fe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787563043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9ad5b743657885d225f4025fdc949f3837be8f60e2a5f84c4c0cbf33114556fe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1380320998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9ad5b743657885d225f4025fdc949f3837be8f60e2a5f84c4c0cbf33114556fe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0973739824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9ad5b743657885d225f4025fdc949f3837be8f60e2a5f84c4c0cbf33114556fe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1124308314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"9ad5b743657885d225f4025fdc949f3837be8f60e2a5f84c4c0cbf33114556fe","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311673893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a10db9c50d2b3dba376a5acf76c520875d01af6a7a08c265d4c62695eac0a146","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0775379155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a10db9c50d2b3dba376a5acf76c520875d01af6a7a08c265d4c62695eac0a146","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0776113559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a10db9c50d2b3dba376a5acf76c520875d01af6a7a08c265d4c62695eac0a146","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777316732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a10db9c50d2b3dba376a5acf76c520875d01af6a7a08c265d4c62695eac0a146","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778473028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a10db9c50d2b3dba376a5acf76c520875d01af6a7a08c265d4c62695eac0a146","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0781703782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a65027a87e70449d043d6c03d753009ec11cf4caa1240902918f29e58ea77aee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0495570524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a65027a87e70449d043d6c03d753009ec11cf4caa1240902918f29e58ea77aee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0486148274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a65027a87e70449d043d6c03d753009ec11cf4caa1240902918f29e58ea77aee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0482507504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a65027a87e70449d043d6c03d753009ec11cf4caa1240902918f29e58ea77aee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.048402319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a65027a87e70449d043d6c03d753009ec11cf4caa1240902918f29e58ea77aee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0494664238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3694245272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3734277489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722096598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3767081294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"a6865d299e7891a26084c8d2327334ddbcd34b8eabf9061c7d2626867948df5c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2866102327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.047750793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0479945527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0483945687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0490461571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508386034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"aec3f78b7bcd5b919dcdd2e7061217a31ec5886e57e8f49e6d64d88d190e7808","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0848709572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"aec3f78b7bcd5b919dcdd2e7061217a31ec5886e57e8f49e6d64d88d190e7808","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0841021767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"aec3f78b7bcd5b919dcdd2e7061217a31ec5886e57e8f49e6d64d88d190e7808","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854959821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"aec3f78b7bcd5b919dcdd2e7061217a31ec5886e57e8f49e6d64d88d190e7808","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0869210388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"aec3f78b7bcd5b919dcdd2e7061217a31ec5886e57e8f49e6d64d88d190e7808","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0924275078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0470758287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0476321008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0486260779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0499826943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b7117581b74f845358760575c9ef5d47d3bdc27b054963ff8c5efcff7f23042b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525339833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b9644f0584c7a45d3ee725dd4bd74a8cb230e3cda5d83cb294914daf99670587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1426947853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b9644f0584c7a45d3ee725dd4bd74a8cb230e3cda5d83cb294914daf99670587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1437823286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b9644f0584c7a45d3ee725dd4bd74a8cb230e3cda5d83cb294914daf99670587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1470074569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b9644f0584c7a45d3ee725dd4bd74a8cb230e3cda5d83cb294914daf99670587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1532577055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"b9644f0584c7a45d3ee725dd4bd74a8cb230e3cda5d83cb294914daf99670587","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1644394004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"be0b0754eb17bbd0bc449c471243d3b24ee4e5f711ed49e01e34c9f5446af77e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0477444803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"be0b0754eb17bbd0bc449c471243d3b24ee4e5f711ed49e01e34c9f5446af77e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0475257216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"be0b0754eb17bbd0bc449c471243d3b24ee4e5f711ed49e01e34c9f5446af77e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.047963239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"be0b0754eb17bbd0bc449c471243d3b24ee4e5f711ed49e01e34c9f5446af77e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0486445161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"be0b0754eb17bbd0bc449c471243d3b24ee4e5f711ed49e01e34c9f5446af77e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0504211493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c0519eef069a9f3181d365e780e41c8269095dace0623cce322651fde8f6c88f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061611907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c0519eef069a9f3181d365e780e41c8269095dace0623cce322651fde8f6c88f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064616714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c0519eef069a9f3181d365e780e41c8269095dace0623cce322651fde8f6c88f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657920733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c0519eef069a9f3181d365e780e41c8269095dace0623cce322651fde8f6c88f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656955694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c0519eef069a9f3181d365e780e41c8269095dace0623cce322651fde8f6c88f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655268127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c08b57f404bdbb645efdc7fa09a1bad1130eb88b89d38471e4f8b0ea084d3f9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1832561211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c08b57f404bdbb645efdc7fa09a1bad1130eb88b89d38471e4f8b0ea084d3f9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1979192045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c08b57f404bdbb645efdc7fa09a1bad1130eb88b89d38471e4f8b0ea084d3f9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2230139528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c08b57f404bdbb645efdc7fa09a1bad1130eb88b89d38471e4f8b0ea084d3f9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615904874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c08b57f404bdbb645efdc7fa09a1bad1130eb88b89d38471e4f8b0ea084d3f9e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3112737139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c2f855cdf819c8583f43bbe6ad849fdfb75532f3f3b120a8b566f35e9ceaebcb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2145761171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c2f855cdf819c8583f43bbe6ad849fdfb75532f3f3b120a8b566f35e9ceaebcb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207831765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c2f855cdf819c8583f43bbe6ad849fdfb75532f3f3b120a8b566f35e9ceaebcb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2299267278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c2f855cdf819c8583f43bbe6ad849fdfb75532f3f3b120a8b566f35e9ceaebcb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2383270619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c2f855cdf819c8583f43bbe6ad849fdfb75532f3f3b120a8b566f35e9ceaebcb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.248433714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4556210c1c530bd94a602094abc8875e53804b3befd5141a966766774b570eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0504445877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4556210c1c530bd94a602094abc8875e53804b3befd5141a966766774b570eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508321031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4556210c1c530bd94a602094abc8875e53804b3befd5141a966766774b570eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526009235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4556210c1c530bd94a602094abc8875e53804b3befd5141a966766774b570eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554572871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4556210c1c530bd94a602094abc8875e53804b3befd5141a966766774b570eb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637763681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0775722294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8037968072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0877216331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0970529419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1114722655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d295dfbd06c894f65bfa757d04df9fb8f124253b4f3f3c6832e0724680a2538b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617904766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d295dfbd06c894f65bfa757d04df9fb8f124253b4f3f3c6832e0724680a2538b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618406661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d295dfbd06c894f65bfa757d04df9fb8f124253b4f3f3c6832e0724680a2538b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0619034811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d295dfbd06c894f65bfa757d04df9fb8f124253b4f3f3c6832e0724680a2538b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620232358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d295dfbd06c894f65bfa757d04df9fb8f124253b4f3f3c6832e0724680a2538b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623515614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d31f61bf54fe860a6c9dc94c32d0a5f19b8873a776eeb22593520027d206df16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558338646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d31f61bf54fe860a6c9dc94c32d0a5f19b8873a776eeb22593520027d206df16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055304156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d31f61bf54fe860a6c9dc94c32d0a5f19b8873a776eeb22593520027d206df16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559901208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d31f61bf54fe860a6c9dc94c32d0a5f19b8873a776eeb22593520027d206df16","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576229983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d31f61bf54fe860a6c9dc94c32d0a5f19b8873a776eeb22593520027d206df16","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623848127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388013715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.376458557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3258102922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3460244088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2918844425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2990357895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2988294688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2737687219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2441082919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2598232296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"dbfa8b923d0016c40e12589fe3def61537569e9f8a098540e27cca33e26a1860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536884668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"dbfa8b923d0016c40e12589fe3def61537569e9f8a098540e27cca33e26a1860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548072613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"dbfa8b923d0016c40e12589fe3def61537569e9f8a098540e27cca33e26a1860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599449656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"dbfa8b923d0016c40e12589fe3def61537569e9f8a098540e27cca33e26a1860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672390058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"dbfa8b923d0016c40e12589fe3def61537569e9f8a098540e27cca33e26a1860","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787519638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e59eb396ef8d1427e82a4f5c3e9c3079a6f09b4967b70c02635e1541df0f213f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.071970444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e59eb396ef8d1427e82a4f5c3e9c3079a6f09b4967b70c02635e1541df0f213f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771206489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e59eb396ef8d1427e82a4f5c3e9c3079a6f09b4967b70c02635e1541df0f213f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0842396821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e59eb396ef8d1427e82a4f5c3e9c3079a6f09b4967b70c02635e1541df0f213f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0929025267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e59eb396ef8d1427e82a4f5c3e9c3079a6f09b4967b70c02635e1541df0f213f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062218066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e77cb71ed23241744d20d10a4f8cd3d1d71d74edb41ee8c7512b567890e13e9c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2185887767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e77cb71ed23241744d20d10a4f8cd3d1d71d74edb41ee8c7512b567890e13e9c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2238452358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e77cb71ed23241744d20d10a4f8cd3d1d71d74edb41ee8c7512b567890e13e9c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4325841023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e77cb71ed23241744d20d10a4f8cd3d1d71d74edb41ee8c7512b567890e13e9c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4265876137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"e77cb71ed23241744d20d10a4f8cd3d1d71d74edb41ee8c7512b567890e13e9c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4172404294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"eb1f8fe4a204741916dea409f18e806711408b361f96017b9ba617a74e3958c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553525955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"eb1f8fe4a204741916dea409f18e806711408b361f96017b9ba617a74e3958c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612575179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"eb1f8fe4a204741916dea409f18e806711408b361f96017b9ba617a74e3958c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0698106081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"eb1f8fe4a204741916dea409f18e806711408b361f96017b9ba617a74e3958c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0809485512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"eb1f8fe4a204741916dea409f18e806711408b361f96017b9ba617a74e3958c9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.097623027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800426402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0799800752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800832668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0845288186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854668559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0501899526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0486461412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0496776197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512654954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f02e779aa62e6d0f50d0121cbdea0ee4e67544d1ccb97e6cfdc3d420c9dda767","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536750912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f2f5a87614d54bbf15bb82e3780b11ecc17b796b5ed59f6203d853f22e1ac02b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1889414098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f2f5a87614d54bbf15bb82e3780b11ecc17b796b5ed59f6203d853f22e1ac02b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2266625979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f2f5a87614d54bbf15bb82e3780b11ecc17b796b5ed59f6203d853f22e1ac02b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.207071131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f2f5a87614d54bbf15bb82e3780b11ecc17b796b5ed59f6203d853f22e1ac02b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4285368788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f2f5a87614d54bbf15bb82e3780b11ecc17b796b5ed59f6203d853f22e1ac02b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.260109741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0466023255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0466023255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0466726252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0467572535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0473544648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f9a2a27d9881905bd2ae860175c4428a0fddf07fc79c7cca18fe239c4b15b65d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0739601482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f9a2a27d9881905bd2ae860175c4428a0fddf07fc79c7cca18fe239c4b15b65d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0915467853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f9a2a27d9881905bd2ae860175c4428a0fddf07fc79c7cca18fe239c4b15b65d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.761938892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f9a2a27d9881905bd2ae860175c4428a0fddf07fc79c7cca18fe239c4b15b65d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1174540659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"f9a2a27d9881905bd2ae860175c4428a0fddf07fc79c7cca18fe239c4b15b65d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6887002284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"fb7cc1364d0ecc77a915a6e189edd1cd07ca72d2bbfbbf4568e4a0c0f9b33752","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3502058251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"fb7cc1364d0ecc77a915a6e189edd1cd07ca72d2bbfbbf4568e4a0c0f9b33752","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2861295261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"fb7cc1364d0ecc77a915a6e189edd1cd07ca72d2bbfbbf4568e4a0c0f9b33752","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3662161496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"fb7cc1364d0ecc77a915a6e189edd1cd07ca72d2bbfbbf4568e4a0c0f9b33752","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.394858289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"acled","id":"fb7cc1364d0ecc77a915a6e189edd1cd07ca72d2bbfbbf4568e4a0c0f9b33752","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2536354209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2192779216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.120023381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612262666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0590386796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2662624624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.198714467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1257865111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0764456221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2456738519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2058793309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0829396304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833271458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748200357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2087019076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1126660615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0626591361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0497571229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2565437583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2027985811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1040592206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059576201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664577247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288115614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1970678268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104812317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0665327902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635264212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2287345204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2342536932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1448983452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0700516177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2356871677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466536635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1378559194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0831146374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0684828053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540376256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244833633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1092157193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629263343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0585886617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525005956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.211270366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1185202574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064176384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067759339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2538956596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1916377632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004278261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0594074443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563262592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2295857477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1925628607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008317358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0557197976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638638715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2430805695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1690942569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0995215401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075814347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531072561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2072301422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2187728843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1154658634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632763482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0693329016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2278177275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1228899455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643763919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2858167203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258121943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.122732014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0591761851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540401057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2348965042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.207471002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1198535989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0626825746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595136985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2285998702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.198741749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003590734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0570260995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.06860156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2209190859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2150348473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.117345482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750143151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801582698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2534059424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2290794936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1314168958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767081325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786832111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.276197306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2325767846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1208223874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657326959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553135314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.222580968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2232620699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1178847706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0682015441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0713642324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.233221434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2119617245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1193316406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0744486051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0796651251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2280288564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1983889957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105219777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723392087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.083883418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2238569418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2394114619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1254788227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0671702531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687390655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2326380047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1165159661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0628575815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580073886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2297970117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2214180148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1163222084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646451526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687390655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2022198282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1035779514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580261393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055869866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317098082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2206663105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6449119865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0626138218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544697478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3716437514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2333290723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1304602708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651951745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656889442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241854002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.227749624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1226412098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620012975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652889282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2407483281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244577309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1169847348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0624450651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422192836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2199237313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1170784885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615075278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649764158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2265768812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2351379714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1181097795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623450611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547447588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2421335393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2243490413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1214224113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655139372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552088397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2552774333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2379244937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1304852718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760268554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0671327516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2763139383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2443580171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.120609879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061688785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543322424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275255845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3435834011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2877102765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.325209789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3494877341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821726928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2578303845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3521210243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.322136646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3241679768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.257459073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3041609309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2712533718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2857851999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3861463854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3012867282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3320616247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4118277141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.481155472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3401248616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897067695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3382749941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2245139871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2602281914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.336962083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3224640865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2773275802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3197930007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2761161067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3555504753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3516440699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3790826614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4476341274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1043877864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0590464924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537025923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4207987886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635258256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1914814484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.130816535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1233849894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2668648357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3193177839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1777684028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1342979235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3368522851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1965912388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2435079559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3429205058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1851263554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1233724889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1092969289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3842702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2428647425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2085008754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1704013763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1386355961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2203897295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3395601217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3111429136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2849210106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2612952006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2315254445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3401988956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3010014386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2623252714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3766940938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4254675607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2853153701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2604848754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2381123568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2195641965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1979902739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3083344132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184849138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2582733919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3735688072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4083051757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2597651492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3165758881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.270457606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3684674091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4169210495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817352206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2494218949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2248402349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4241294129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4707669552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3359324311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3631260263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3958055166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1974009335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1795074363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3141694216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2809961805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2515625102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3805456965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2005906833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3120819821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912812148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2708756659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3590471953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3864861546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916211676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683976444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2444121816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3926710637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2002608545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2790390462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901259489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2603494836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3747409416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4270490628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3723301128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3933297412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4140063076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4294475506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4679769774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3560558334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3095572933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.256878037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216299645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4728639874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3295381336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3689809222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3745763534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317919593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2100240199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821208593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2680410251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2586866106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2476017231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2377159542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2913202228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2732165235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2527597893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2399185975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210166423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3226350236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2579178249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3515555587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3694965965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2331667548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798804111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016409335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3217277934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3474065552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.379646966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2791189845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016208647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3280889022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571307237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3948875011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2195668584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615324479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3195002946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3818733262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4122435107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3025984126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3232477187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.246193813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3930726389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4384230693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2785945954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2589741758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2433801572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2260062562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2113969927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2950584779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307267692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367188798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.396510355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4436289125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102689418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3346745838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2463568282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3805848464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3989792797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2794200525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3324272873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2501321604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3688188166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3908450809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3274521864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3390537048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3533588301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.362964361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3791344315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2881123834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3207056792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3385749581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571312155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3753338964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2811756515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3354134635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2470938768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3770587895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3965952887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.290349717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3212082786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2581674764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3566635017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3819300564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.293549934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2878876906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3274340301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3514775567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3708772829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3569816981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2990302774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3296848483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3579617273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3890805118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3303518798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2183946334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1727117611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1672475981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.527651041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060204421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2813361115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.261800986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2470076607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2331451701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2528610355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897866184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2657243057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2249006299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4719435967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3555202488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3819999129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4099192146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4263436995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4386364537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904727278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601958366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2269180905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1969937234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1719028163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1076215616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1417729464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1931344623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2544757971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3435487392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3197223689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3510193673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.221469193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1943831994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1691488316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3670713093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3256315699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3383652162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2417328704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2081588513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3863688553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.326990969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2716423363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3900293342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.448040376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316752825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3385914054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2377333369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2212600038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2001276687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119442919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3534556348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288118075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4408555018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4732843426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3036267392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3262054542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571556061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3993562961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3049663225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3403433002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3873293649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4367135549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5113838882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4453324105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2785752172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3206910559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3838131912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4714423393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892061688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3100109248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.335704899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3648993971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4030543083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2870501137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156990184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3501042786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3920478981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.219640157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3461396002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3556271667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2562661625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3853222484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4042085249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3070039007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3404307106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3745031388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4113336771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4201024306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3488977232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3714008739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.398102452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2431627695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4628635286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4110327546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2681676538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2945430227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3292564481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3702939806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2972843261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3176423547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3391150503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2453005058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.376781259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2304020375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1867012798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1559798904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1339137899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.115344051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3623992998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3982257456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4355301024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.478699362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5455653779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3098537186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3802556283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3858194592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2176947228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.191423849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060267959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2718750748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2527135654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3783590192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4059889083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852742221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124078378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2595865156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3700180947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.409894504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2395448624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2668464705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2954656689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3147259396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3872693683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.28329813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2564338632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3912855191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4371375559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.485787606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2943305954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312961338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329706505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2948578126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3054945237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1882871027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1523594185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1292525319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129865191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0957614676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3351091182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3552724491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3791244102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4114141608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4500639759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689466708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2620223722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3660826581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3864707514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4249363209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.199113002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2103884505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2385270699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685431265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.293402686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962090881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1061993357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.120537835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1444219321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.472885575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1028716733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1043420443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1074234169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.113697104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1288789579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.11686598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1243287769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1388293538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1519236247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.154462129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1027107301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037045346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1066491361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1119319088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1272663938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1214724133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1284726918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1393793757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1576426022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.187300032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1026986039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032425631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.105968984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1108785544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1247241052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1898688842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2041382019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2297829721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2585028646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2702288937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1086031513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1243162764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1451358547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5341888318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4567482511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1025483011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.102586037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031944987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1053878984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.110353221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031906235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1038783384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.107073528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1125098693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1227920283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1025545982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1030423051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1043989216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1075625474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1147052066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1190989439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1198616617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1224755782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1274539013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1435920432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1961191329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.271584635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2905666401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156926397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3573442966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1025795367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031734978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1061131148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120447883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1305790256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1030123039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1043107931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1095672522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1200114177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1519111242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.102549848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032063116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062639333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1127345657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.128828956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1183426638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1188491214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1207005076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1250381176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1340416633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1016387996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218498271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.148282879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4775533062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2320399745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031654975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037407079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1078046821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1146971438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1344541797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1028500475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103881651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1078733098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1157549984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1420060427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1028546102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1034798225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058499793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1095923157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.116134951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0735955087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0822271021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969776889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1204536228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1656116692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1483717195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1945538204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4468409875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3787196637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3308983057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1061843051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1135908498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1253413172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1439733084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1862062385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033233788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1041986011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1093080544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1181040918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.139349687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1034779475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.673631879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5972788416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1663992006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4398475787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031795137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037358327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071989705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1133526528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1327431742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1034735723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039989057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063499992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109385567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1225180174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.102560786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1026172257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032738143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1055818436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.110907243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1034780256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1049593814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1095790027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1175965716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1436920472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031795606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037235197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071499685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1140799317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1270913868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1513035075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773012528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5235420586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4725936852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4003400471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031733103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1038297739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1061709296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1103937851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1237287531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1026922287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1027113545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1035077611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1060047355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109300564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.102712292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032388129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058561046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105344782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1261100978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2160949275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2364269864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2636905709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3010045553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3471671294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039530289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1050970119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1121111034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1239350113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1509735869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1183426794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1189552507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1216558581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1264462362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1347682547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1536215523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1578316689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.175904658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4744907862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.406644346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10285005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10391828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077242439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1142924427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1344919312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0886773587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096452668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10806563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1291414684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1715556557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2026705975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2310215579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087941044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3751200038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2631966664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1060217987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1142533761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1259975933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1431982776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1749932924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132720871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1176660119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1334666404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1526593828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1805146478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1027233549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033173161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.106645261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129158854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d19e7dae2cc81341d2a1863ee45319a0430d345e8e2d9a987c3d4f2659dee954","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1255053862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0862578789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077872988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1331813321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1730182139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2408158734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1024045923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1029298006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1050827613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1090047923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1165940942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2004693059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2314267874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3118987387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3498439983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.403908649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1502048063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.217523905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.248414452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889787374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.357481236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1025374732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1025562239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036187681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1064735722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129554495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1346791887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1473421924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.174655779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2031694133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.236756484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036435947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1041686624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1081970727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1151237232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"wikipedia","id":"eda8e5b43e0db651905667586e1e72a7d5679cbb5b3ef4dd6faa6444759e2dee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1331916295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3198820839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2575828611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424243881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3854002163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2075928043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3171806574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3268321009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3391243181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3553035314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258810054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3198267947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2576530654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3558474128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2341980832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2189338783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2638070773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.353175723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3756387118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4014920924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.198257789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3181294466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3362302085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3625894752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210444083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2019720804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3114589809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704132001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3356255355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2515843988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2446233623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3147832587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3354128351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3643255173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2194926503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1954930278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3153376313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2614575878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3518822924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2326141649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2156424999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184493019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3346568918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3586178971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3811069784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4156705708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.271660299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.258908387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2464407205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2321146594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.414693576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CHD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.273572921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CHD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3381267302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CHD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3547844454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CHD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3740020213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CHD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4068163091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2718208731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2596985195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3555353391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3735676324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.404890737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2694137066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514085199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3672444808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3947439802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.427510798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3264600748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3461402843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3749223886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4009508707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4430021485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263790188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3365116469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3513498314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3664952077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3943988177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3154217243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3393992851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2333967068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2167152902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4344921972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2781874131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3284346962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3435427179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3609751714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3900118923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3115917869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2666750158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2532218273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2364453944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2111654174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2731475881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2590035687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2463598771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2327541368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2146068283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748100488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.264833027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3470665265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3670220828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3991412058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2711334013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3395900749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571863724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.234461165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2174737482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31328636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3208880526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3399071298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.360112398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3922970019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3199592464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.338706911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3654808264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3930603123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4315842047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3113006836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3233607786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3369492698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2472791232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3738987994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2788040423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3418531458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2308391569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.210251447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.188988485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3288997201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.343738993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3660969858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3859220309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4198356556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109533503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3313496015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481099118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.231911649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2051927109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3181147971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3247789403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3310012796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2564558542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2426668299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31792763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2628289227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2476578421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352462316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2139132028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3182308982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3328605854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.346282375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3613186516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3849660644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3072704038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3210880257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3368059644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3518402067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3739129502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2721726249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.334115773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3518869971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2339024747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4029316431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2743612057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3350093736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3589100374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3835145159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2070915454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2707965757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3421210234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.369052574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.219298307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1950248278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2708867612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3441455838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2320630765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2141271552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1918818619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3141630643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3222988094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3316711473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.341802895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3610110881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3125924651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3319546018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3545960332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2320834478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2094291012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3041782047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2762912713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2592304792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2494161602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2314439197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2734571496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388580215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3584264526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2249413164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2058871705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.269959906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516563393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.234789781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3955222471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4362449339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109455932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3241008652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.339124257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2450059526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2292573191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3104481881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3278674352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3471850973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2343728792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.213692236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3337182704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3455443065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2398328091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2284625091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2182027384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3176390869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3345284749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.239772276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244682292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.201730318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2743161511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329145702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2449564772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2289475443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2104046227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3206036104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3443213971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.231322166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4065097551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4509431825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2743145017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3321285198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3522049289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2312780549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2088564417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3233946418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2528584284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2374197567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207515676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4190333871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3153340821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.330765425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481858406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2347659627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2127801848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3157724868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2651267248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.352680796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3768806938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2103915121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3236746729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3405579502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.362553963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2248496708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4294227687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3074028719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.324148196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2561611838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2397252499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2172457049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148894377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3321991558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3548683445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3814519278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4150941055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.278421279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2575477196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2415657173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3848598675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2109974382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3248065463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3429854387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3643764293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2302627578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4128455651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3301064495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532739689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3766858241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2087255061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1853820607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130316846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2713417881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2577501671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2432854798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2253712277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2665326052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3408535107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424529597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2289981816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4074963714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"V","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3241067612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"V","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3480487197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"V","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2336408926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"V","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.403557178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"V","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4505141219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3152114189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322494806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3460016971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2407060266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229173087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3197970741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3358437278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3510886504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3724414951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4002286265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3182588796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2637434303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3465662571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2383388462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.21920774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3166463585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3350773559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3533157596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2318016974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4001247389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"01dc4820f1d157556d2143201cb14f45ec4d8db486fd02261713184772e3f13f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656775102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"01dc4820f1d157556d2143201cb14f45ec4d8db486fd02261713184772e3f13f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656472803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"01dc4820f1d157556d2143201cb14f45ec4d8db486fd02261713184772e3f13f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669876264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"01dc4820f1d157556d2143201cb14f45ec4d8db486fd02261713184772e3f13f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0696490884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"01dc4820f1d157556d2143201cb14f45ec4d8db486fd02261713184772e3f13f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0732089092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"03d9155ee98e3e628ef7fde02f8e637025e74baf1bcdc884eed4e3746162241c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0443153738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"03d9155ee98e3e628ef7fde02f8e637025e74baf1bcdc884eed4e3746162241c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0443153738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"03d9155ee98e3e628ef7fde02f8e637025e74baf1bcdc884eed4e3746162241c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0444079096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"03d9155ee98e3e628ef7fde02f8e637025e74baf1bcdc884eed4e3746162241c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0444929072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"03d9155ee98e3e628ef7fde02f8e637025e74baf1bcdc884eed4e3746162241c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0446787565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636992593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0627935161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649530695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0704836798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0813141379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09b8cab569dc098dae932334f999e6a5270647f83f3a848b0da4fb17ccdc1829","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.222362223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09b8cab569dc098dae932334f999e6a5270647f83f3a848b0da4fb17ccdc1829","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1911161206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09b8cab569dc098dae932334f999e6a5270647f83f3a848b0da4fb17ccdc1829","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2068492071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09b8cab569dc098dae932334f999e6a5270647f83f3a848b0da4fb17ccdc1829","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2589274035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09b8cab569dc098dae932334f999e6a5270647f83f3a848b0da4fb17ccdc1829","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2970139248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0449767971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0450001042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0451235621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0453401713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0458170807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09e8449ecef759940a0753fde27422f775de8900e2297afd570fd8a2decece9f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752497978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09e8449ecef759940a0753fde27422f775de8900e2297afd570fd8a2decece9f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2950369218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09e8449ecef759940a0753fde27422f775de8900e2297afd570fd8a2decece9f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3120768169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09e8449ecef759940a0753fde27422f775de8900e2297afd570fd8a2decece9f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3591970018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"09e8449ecef759940a0753fde27422f775de8900e2297afd570fd8a2decece9f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2838782423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0489631442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0467459002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0469535865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0471305045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0475843376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"141f95a02ac3f48c7c9fbce011abe0c0a24a501efc13a5ecead4cc6b05aadae0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1357279595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"141f95a02ac3f48c7c9fbce011abe0c0a24a501efc13a5ecead4cc6b05aadae0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1258743964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"141f95a02ac3f48c7c9fbce011abe0c0a24a501efc13a5ecead4cc6b05aadae0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1222821919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"141f95a02ac3f48c7c9fbce011abe0c0a24a501efc13a5ecead4cc6b05aadae0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1193207385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"141f95a02ac3f48c7c9fbce011abe0c0a24a501efc13a5ecead4cc6b05aadae0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1235283099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"15c2659874faee783be845d3b1cc83775390929d8521e5f367f7692ec4af1b89","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606070405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"15c2659874faee783be845d3b1cc83775390929d8521e5f367f7692ec4af1b89","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675529948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"15c2659874faee783be845d3b1cc83775390929d8521e5f367f7692ec4af1b89","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.076706578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"15c2659874faee783be845d3b1cc83775390929d8521e5f367f7692ec4af1b89","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0881524031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"15c2659874faee783be845d3b1cc83775390929d8521e5f367f7692ec4af1b89","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1046826974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0458016965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461266103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0468843577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0479631729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1cd3eb2885aa031e2fccb89e40415a0a5b899b49991ccb89e5ebdbe45df4c98d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0501958011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1efcbd3211a7cede0d1096d16e076887993bded8098ef4a90c2025f7b110a616","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537764674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1efcbd3211a7cede0d1096d16e076887993bded8098ef4a90c2025f7b110a616","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531111019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1efcbd3211a7cede0d1096d16e076887993bded8098ef4a90c2025f7b110a616","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0562843954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1efcbd3211a7cede0d1096d16e076887993bded8098ef4a90c2025f7b110a616","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060222513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"1efcbd3211a7cede0d1096d16e076887993bded8098ef4a90c2025f7b110a616","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0678530054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"28142a17fbd561cbc2a21368f991c853b87ab5761f6737fd30b7bf9b6c08c225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0451306389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"28142a17fbd561cbc2a21368f991c853b87ab5761f6737fd30b7bf9b6c08c225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0450616409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"28142a17fbd561cbc2a21368f991c853b87ab5761f6737fd30b7bf9b6c08c225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0452620197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"28142a17fbd561cbc2a21368f991c853b87ab5761f6737fd30b7bf9b6c08c225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0453632476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"28142a17fbd561cbc2a21368f991c853b87ab5761f6737fd30b7bf9b6c08c225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461843778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"319472955f13a394ef7ec8092a37290110e809d2a53960b83a4789d2a6ed15ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479915808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"319472955f13a394ef7ec8092a37290110e809d2a53960b83a4789d2a6ed15ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2368759001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"319472955f13a394ef7ec8092a37290110e809d2a53960b83a4789d2a6ed15ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3862746855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"319472955f13a394ef7ec8092a37290110e809d2a53960b83a4789d2a6ed15ed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2708924615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"319472955f13a394ef7ec8092a37290110e809d2a53960b83a4789d2a6ed15ed","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3809055321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4184447614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4148264038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3978466608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3734396696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"33342b89d642c0bfe67f5789010fa7fa504789f2bb708a4716075d81cc312c31","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4232581616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"35b9b01ffb939d92e022dca223372393c792c1019e884c358b8745bd858f5509","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0502457996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"35b9b01ffb939d92e022dca223372393c792c1019e884c358b8745bd858f5509","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514226889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"35b9b01ffb939d92e022dca223372393c792c1019e884c358b8745bd858f5509","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537072387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"35b9b01ffb939d92e022dca223372393c792c1019e884c358b8745bd858f5509","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560533251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"35b9b01ffb939d92e022dca223372393c792c1019e884c358b8745bd858f5509","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058345567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"45a87395232f6db78b837ccc197c25db3b0aacd8d25fd9a6d4c7f440ae6aa827","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0592224648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"45a87395232f6db78b837ccc197c25db3b0aacd8d25fd9a6d4c7f440ae6aa827","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652299846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"45a87395232f6db78b837ccc197c25db3b0aacd8d25fd9a6d4c7f440ae6aa827","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073252831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"45a87395232f6db78b837ccc197c25db3b0aacd8d25fd9a6d4c7f440ae6aa827","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0832833121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"45a87395232f6db78b837ccc197c25db3b0aacd8d25fd9a6d4c7f440ae6aa827","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949598998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827064056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803757034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808372286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0826602531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0861755368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"481aa3a68c0f2d81d989b94dbf311987c84291c12de58c2a10736915eb4cb83a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410760103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"481aa3a68c0f2d81d989b94dbf311987c84291c12de58c2a10736915eb4cb83a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2630347641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"481aa3a68c0f2d81d989b94dbf311987c84291c12de58c2a10736915eb4cb83a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690779751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"481aa3a68c0f2d81d989b94dbf311987c84291c12de58c2a10736915eb4cb83a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358697752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"481aa3a68c0f2d81d989b94dbf311987c84291c12de58c2a10736915eb4cb83a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210735848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4b3b0fae087e0d55113b373536295bb507b079119bd02e538b982adadd46147d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052763035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4b3b0fae087e0d55113b373536295bb507b079119bd02e538b982adadd46147d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525688098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4b3b0fae087e0d55113b373536295bb507b079119bd02e538b982adadd46147d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539303092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4b3b0fae087e0d55113b373536295bb507b079119bd02e538b982adadd46147d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0565148503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4b3b0fae087e0d55113b373536295bb507b079119bd02e538b982adadd46147d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0624223729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4e50ffb834adbf6af03d1e143e9a558cb1e8b50a459ed91fa597fefe9c4ac2e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1265589921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4e50ffb834adbf6af03d1e143e9a558cb1e8b50a459ed91fa597fefe9c4ac2e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1166996599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4e50ffb834adbf6af03d1e143e9a558cb1e8b50a459ed91fa597fefe9c4ac2e8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.109790243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4e50ffb834adbf6af03d1e143e9a558cb1e8b50a459ed91fa597fefe9c4ac2e8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1016827836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"4e50ffb834adbf6af03d1e143e9a558cb1e8b50a459ed91fa597fefe9c4ac2e8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962444783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0730220684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571917539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625992909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0705298323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0843755885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"52bf60c761bac91a28752ce0c93efe7745edae97141c10cb338412a1b2107cd8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0483170089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"52bf60c761bac91a28752ce0c93efe7745edae97141c10cb338412a1b2107cd8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0496073564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"52bf60c761bac91a28752ce0c93efe7745edae97141c10cb338412a1b2107cd8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516476824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"52bf60c761bac91a28752ce0c93efe7745edae97141c10cb338412a1b2107cd8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547687466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"52bf60c761bac91a28752ce0c93efe7745edae97141c10cb338412a1b2107cd8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0597839872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"5cd966511a679ab0d39ea5d711a48072a480ca76846762357cc76ffca706993e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1151415509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"5cd966511a679ab0d39ea5d711a48072a480ca76846762357cc76ffca706993e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1217253617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"5cd966511a679ab0d39ea5d711a48072a480ca76846762357cc76ffca706993e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1366322412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"5cd966511a679ab0d39ea5d711a48072a480ca76846762357cc76ffca706993e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1584060773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"5cd966511a679ab0d39ea5d711a48072a480ca76846762357cc76ffca706993e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1999049621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"608c702ed4bad261f6e4c774c4214084cd6b3fdc17e7ea19830d29909d32c264","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485785398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"608c702ed4bad261f6e4c774c4214084cd6b3fdc17e7ea19830d29909d32c264","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0479438658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"608c702ed4bad261f6e4c774c4214084cd6b3fdc17e7ea19830d29909d32c264","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.04833047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"608c702ed4bad261f6e4c774c4214084cd6b3fdc17e7ea19830d29909d32c264","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513246148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"608c702ed4bad261f6e4c774c4214084cd6b3fdc17e7ea19830d29909d32c264","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547918229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"60f01c83f5ec1b7c0e0aeb46de28b7b21b80e28cc858aba05afafa14be7ab22e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1421970814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"60f01c83f5ec1b7c0e0aeb46de28b7b21b80e28cc858aba05afafa14be7ab22e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1433695861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"60f01c83f5ec1b7c0e0aeb46de28b7b21b80e28cc858aba05afafa14be7ab22e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1476123104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"60f01c83f5ec1b7c0e0aeb46de28b7b21b80e28cc858aba05afafa14be7ab22e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1542601195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"60f01c83f5ec1b7c0e0aeb46de28b7b21b80e28cc858aba05afafa14be7ab22e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1697707508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667087883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657122784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673413855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0694934006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0746566369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6268886886fec42fd812446e5a6f646a9f09c2368c6f81199c3b9cfb5a4ffd30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993148516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6268886886fec42fd812446e5a6f646a9f09c2368c6f81199c3b9cfb5a4ffd30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1103440733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6268886886fec42fd812446e5a6f646a9f09c2368c6f81199c3b9cfb5a4ffd30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1227064874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6268886886fec42fd812446e5a6f646a9f09c2368c6f81199c3b9cfb5a4ffd30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1378482063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6268886886fec42fd812446e5a6f646a9f09c2368c6f81199c3b9cfb5a4ffd30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1358421101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"68bb8dc76bd44d3fe76210dc0ec58f8d882ddb785ff0616293ab48742fb79e0d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.357495743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"68bb8dc76bd44d3fe76210dc0ec58f8d882ddb785ff0616293ab48742fb79e0d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2834976378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"68bb8dc76bd44d3fe76210dc0ec58f8d882ddb785ff0616293ab48742fb79e0d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.342665169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"68bb8dc76bd44d3fe76210dc0ec58f8d882ddb785ff0616293ab48742fb79e0d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2480090419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"68bb8dc76bd44d3fe76210dc0ec58f8d882ddb785ff0616293ab48742fb79e0d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2791853771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6cc13f8928a503f53c02e79d90ec44e80e9efc83b6ffa25fbf7a50ef3b7031af","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0694730165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6cc13f8928a503f53c02e79d90ec44e80e9efc83b6ffa25fbf7a50ef3b7031af","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795218817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6cc13f8928a503f53c02e79d90ec44e80e9efc83b6ffa25fbf7a50ef3b7031af","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096794924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6cc13f8928a503f53c02e79d90ec44e80e9efc83b6ffa25fbf7a50ef3b7031af","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1183207672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"6cc13f8928a503f53c02e79d90ec44e80e9efc83b6ffa25fbf7a50ef3b7031af","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1497737099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4120249458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2248672451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3603668144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2341977463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2420249061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"749d1a20eff8580abbf2a1bfe90e79d7381da8fc2614fb693e09c3669035b522","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1045208559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"749d1a20eff8580abbf2a1bfe90e79d7381da8fc2614fb693e09c3669035b522","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983266493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"749d1a20eff8580abbf2a1bfe90e79d7381da8fc2614fb693e09c3669035b522","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.163704079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"749d1a20eff8580abbf2a1bfe90e79d7381da8fc2614fb693e09c3669035b522","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.125397487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"749d1a20eff8580abbf2a1bfe90e79d7381da8fc2614fb693e09c3669035b522","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6050545548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"784d7f61078dc6e24c9e0cfdfe1bea7672efe7a20bf2ce1e9cd58ed2311f92c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4419883928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"784d7f61078dc6e24c9e0cfdfe1bea7672efe7a20bf2ce1e9cd58ed2311f92c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2640396583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"784d7f61078dc6e24c9e0cfdfe1bea7672efe7a20bf2ce1e9cd58ed2311f92c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570647817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"784d7f61078dc6e24c9e0cfdfe1bea7672efe7a20bf2ce1e9cd58ed2311f92c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2732547782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"784d7f61078dc6e24c9e0cfdfe1bea7672efe7a20bf2ce1e9cd58ed2311f92c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2871082264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7995b87ae1e77b1eb0fdd1822f47def9c15fa3c4e53d94310b2cc30c2b18298b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0504304097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7995b87ae1e77b1eb0fdd1822f47def9c15fa3c4e53d94310b2cc30c2b18298b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521534371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7995b87ae1e77b1eb0fdd1822f47def9c15fa3c4e53d94310b2cc30c2b18298b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552302718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7995b87ae1e77b1eb0fdd1822f47def9c15fa3c4e53d94310b2cc30c2b18298b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060653193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7995b87ae1e77b1eb0fdd1822f47def9c15fa3c4e53d94310b2cc30c2b18298b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658068911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7bac3cf9ebcb22130dc397027bcfd98f286cc36cb8de9e63ef0447c88f163891","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0471843491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7bac3cf9ebcb22130dc397027bcfd98f286cc36cb8de9e63ef0447c88f163891","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0478997132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7bac3cf9ebcb22130dc397027bcfd98f286cc36cb8de9e63ef0447c88f163891","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526995753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7bac3cf9ebcb22130dc397027bcfd98f286cc36cb8de9e63ef0447c88f163891","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0567840734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"7bac3cf9ebcb22130dc397027bcfd98f286cc36cb8de9e63ef0447c88f163891","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672299271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.049211214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0498477341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511764652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525383492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560957085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8ac7bdaa41ff40aeb4bde4f0d5000078733b864ad687933e50bbc73a7bce462f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667927858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8ac7bdaa41ff40aeb4bde4f0d5000078733b864ad687933e50bbc73a7bce462f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0681385933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8ac7bdaa41ff40aeb4bde4f0d5000078733b864ad687933e50bbc73a7bce462f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0695262458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8ac7bdaa41ff40aeb4bde4f0d5000078733b864ad687933e50bbc73a7bce462f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.069874005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8ac7bdaa41ff40aeb4bde4f0d5000078733b864ad687933e50bbc73a7bce462f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0728962259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8bc2ac1ebb303b411aeecda4b906cb5f3311650c74526302d8f6d7f7ee6eedaf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657376623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8bc2ac1ebb303b411aeecda4b906cb5f3311650c74526302d8f6d7f7ee6eedaf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0728451505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8bc2ac1ebb303b411aeecda4b906cb5f3311650c74526302d8f6d7f7ee6eedaf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0829063999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8bc2ac1ebb303b411aeecda4b906cb5f3311650c74526302d8f6d7f7ee6eedaf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927445788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8bc2ac1ebb303b411aeecda4b906cb5f3311650c74526302d8f6d7f7ee6eedaf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1067364846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8cb98794394458da6db4e043eb45c84c099a5a79f91f4eb6bbafc8b43de7c0fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0453305562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8cb98794394458da6db4e043eb45c84c099a5a79f91f4eb6bbafc8b43de7c0fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0455262429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8cb98794394458da6db4e043eb45c84c099a5a79f91f4eb6bbafc8b43de7c0fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0460939958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8cb98794394458da6db4e043eb45c84c099a5a79f91f4eb6bbafc8b43de7c0fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0466689793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8cb98794394458da6db4e043eb45c84c099a5a79f91f4eb6bbafc8b43de7c0fd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0478939441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0447651878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639184069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0641396313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644626989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655645904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"975fde53bd3e829fa5147bfd5b30ee090ac81fcb8220e0e2829a2cde3dfc43e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0445999618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"975fde53bd3e829fa5147bfd5b30ee090ac81fcb8220e0e2829a2cde3dfc43e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639304065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"975fde53bd3e829fa5147bfd5b30ee090ac81fcb8220e0e2829a2cde3dfc43e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0642230904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"975fde53bd3e829fa5147bfd5b30ee090ac81fcb8220e0e2829a2cde3dfc43e6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646091563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"975fde53bd3e829fa5147bfd5b30ee090ac81fcb8220e0e2829a2cde3dfc43e6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651152956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"980df3710afe2a71e904ecae61419a511057ea082f0d5c29b9af02783af99a47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0488766082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"980df3710afe2a71e904ecae61419a511057ea082f0d5c29b9af02783af99a47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513842285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"980df3710afe2a71e904ecae61419a511057ea082f0d5c29b9af02783af99a47","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548995121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"980df3710afe2a71e904ecae61419a511057ea082f0d5c29b9af02783af99a47","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.05949938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"980df3710afe2a71e904ecae61419a511057ea082f0d5c29b9af02783af99a47","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669453199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"9a8103fa5b3f321c8241255f845078bf3c695730fa4735c39f547397dc16d401","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0494996672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"9a8103fa5b3f321c8241255f845078bf3c695730fa4735c39f547397dc16d401","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0479304815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"9a8103fa5b3f321c8241255f845078bf3c695730fa4735c39f547397dc16d401","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0493150571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"9a8103fa5b3f321c8241255f845078bf3c695730fa4735c39f547397dc16d401","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518072932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"9a8103fa5b3f321c8241255f845078bf3c695730fa4735c39f547397dc16d401","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558917913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"a4289c4419e5d033301de801a3ea245c5c36ae07a75cdc168e02dcee989e4474","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1440751043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"a4289c4419e5d033301de801a3ea245c5c36ae07a75cdc168e02dcee989e4474","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1304712643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"a4289c4419e5d033301de801a3ea245c5c36ae07a75cdc168e02dcee989e4474","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1432431282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"a4289c4419e5d033301de801a3ea245c5c36ae07a75cdc168e02dcee989e4474","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.164992042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"a4289c4419e5d033301de801a3ea245c5c36ae07a75cdc168e02dcee989e4474","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.195557087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"aa1c24fb54d794e52e188956f7b2d90073a38969252512710a65eb8207e8812c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690099529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"aa1c24fb54d794e52e188956f7b2d90073a38969252512710a65eb8207e8812c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714304988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"aa1c24fb54d794e52e188956f7b2d90073a38969252512710a65eb8207e8812c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0756776845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"aa1c24fb54d794e52e188956f7b2d90073a38969252512710a65eb8207e8812c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777185489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"aa1c24fb54d794e52e188956f7b2d90073a38969252512710a65eb8207e8812c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7487561962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511303896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510611608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546072128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0601993599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689298783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0647530752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0633934989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649838378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691221805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.076352742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3697440065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.380837534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2655596916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2768569055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3426393236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0878997949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0921739029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0975272107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1098363956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1214206782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c258d05b6aa40658c2a86d037ad231c3988ea9eba10405dbcbdbcb431e947f79","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0681241322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c258d05b6aa40658c2a86d037ad231c3988ea9eba10405dbcbdbcb431e947f79","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680586726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c258d05b6aa40658c2a86d037ad231c3988ea9eba10405dbcbdbcb431e947f79","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672856948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c258d05b6aa40658c2a86d037ad231c3988ea9eba10405dbcbdbcb431e947f79","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673638464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"c258d05b6aa40658c2a86d037ad231c3988ea9eba10405dbcbdbcb431e947f79","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0682472056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004490498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006015839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1038904125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1147431008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"cafd095fe3a221cf37cc55b60c476dd9ff579bc01e10be2d9d31cfc6273ae60a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1217136698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d10acc492b637f535691d9be726842f4241cc9dc8490e1c42bb7f54752b89b51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0486689218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d10acc492b637f535691d9be726842f4241cc9dc8490e1c42bb7f54752b89b51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0500784967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d10acc492b637f535691d9be726842f4241cc9dc8490e1c42bb7f54752b89b51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527688041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d10acc492b637f535691d9be726842f4241cc9dc8490e1c42bb7f54752b89b51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0564379294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d10acc492b637f535691d9be726842f4241cc9dc8490e1c42bb7f54752b89b51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618531585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d5f3b9fc7c1e800bd99566e31d0251f126048d9f73cd3971f93622271a2cd69e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646464629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d5f3b9fc7c1e800bd99566e31d0251f126048d9f73cd3971f93622271a2cd69e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0855096328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d5f3b9fc7c1e800bd99566e31d0251f126048d9f73cd3971f93622271a2cd69e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.08389291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d5f3b9fc7c1e800bd99566e31d0251f126048d9f73cd3971f93622271a2cd69e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0852582554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"d5f3b9fc7c1e800bd99566e31d0251f126048d9f73cd3971f93622271a2cd69e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0864573748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4314733872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2406307923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2744965887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3281959692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3091095175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3144ff38ca35aa20403268d762f53b627df261d5eb3cba55145ce2bec47d76f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2133641909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3144ff38ca35aa20403268d762f53b627df261d5eb3cba55145ce2bec47d76f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2284041435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3144ff38ca35aa20403268d762f53b627df261d5eb3cba55145ce2bec47d76f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352712539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3144ff38ca35aa20403268d762f53b627df261d5eb3cba55145ce2bec47d76f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2643473418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3144ff38ca35aa20403268d762f53b627df261d5eb3cba55145ce2bec47d76f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2699857183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3acddb9c29a6f5d97a04ad8b209aebf5fbd5d03fd1f0e1f5e0957355230a8d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0451632533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3acddb9c29a6f5d97a04ad8b209aebf5fbd5d03fd1f0e1f5e0957355230a8d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643414716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3acddb9c29a6f5d97a04ad8b209aebf5fbd5d03fd1f0e1f5e0957355230a8d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0647069227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3acddb9c29a6f5d97a04ad8b209aebf5fbd5d03fd1f0e1f5e0957355230a8d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065178063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e3acddb9c29a6f5d97a04ad8b209aebf5fbd5d03fd1f0e1f5e0957355230a8d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662991846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e50f69a359f2ce4be943a2ee4801291035b25334323febfdf1e63596326db9b1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2909047328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e50f69a359f2ce4be943a2ee4801291035b25334323febfdf1e63596326db9b1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2478312008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e50f69a359f2ce4be943a2ee4801291035b25334323febfdf1e63596326db9b1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2946233952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e50f69a359f2ce4be943a2ee4801291035b25334323febfdf1e63596326db9b1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887084882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e50f69a359f2ce4be943a2ee4801291035b25334323febfdf1e63596326db9b1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2736470746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e5e7326536f22814234b9d726ec82624b5aae786fe974f34821a41081058faed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521918976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e5e7326536f22814234b9d726ec82624b5aae786fe974f34821a41081058faed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538149279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e5e7326536f22814234b9d726ec82624b5aae786fe974f34821a41081058faed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0566148474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e5e7326536f22814234b9d726ec82624b5aae786fe974f34821a41081058faed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060122439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e5e7326536f22814234b9d726ec82624b5aae786fe974f34821a41081058faed","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658299673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461843778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0457613131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0462997591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0470228153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e6750dee35cefca653620998ba97516000ce7fbf2c00d12b16f30b145daea25d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0494458226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e79b6ce29b4d554f08659deccf0ccf239eb6b61f15d0cc07b85225c3dcbd11d4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3680712084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e79b6ce29b4d554f08659deccf0ccf239eb6b61f15d0cc07b85225c3dcbd11d4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3923513571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e79b6ce29b4d554f08659deccf0ccf239eb6b61f15d0cc07b85225c3dcbd11d4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3458450007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e79b6ce29b4d554f08659deccf0ccf239eb6b61f15d0cc07b85225c3dcbd11d4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2992847997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"e79b6ce29b4d554f08659deccf0ccf239eb6b61f15d0cc07b85225c3dcbd11d4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3368298751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1805115962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4233735429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1881283004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.208787707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2183025106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f2ca1bb6cd322cd6a3a82f6b54f06cca58c42265a35aa50949b7cb7bcd7bbf05","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3618233879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f2ca1bb6cd322cd6a3a82f6b54f06cca58c42265a35aa50949b7cb7bcd7bbf05","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016924998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f2ca1bb6cd322cd6a3a82f6b54f06cca58c42265a35aa50949b7cb7bcd7bbf05","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3428008574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f2ca1bb6cd322cd6a3a82f6b54f06cca58c42265a35aa50949b7cb7bcd7bbf05","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2607952131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f2ca1bb6cd322cd6a3a82f6b54f06cca58c42265a35aa50949b7cb7bcd7bbf05","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2730240156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f603aac5459005105dbd3021e3113dd57fc1afa4f51984f1f97458bfb4ec4e25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0449767971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f603aac5459005105dbd3021e3113dd57fc1afa4f51984f1f97458bfb4ec4e25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0450385646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f603aac5459005105dbd3021e3113dd57fc1afa4f51984f1f97458bfb4ec4e25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0453555555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f603aac5459005105dbd3021e3113dd57fc1afa4f51984f1f97458bfb4ec4e25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0458766944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"f603aac5459005105dbd3021e3113dd57fc1afa4f51984f1f97458bfb4ec4e25","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0474151117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"fb3b2dc4c3c1f5a0e9e8331418dca4b1c633d2af59118433252db5dd18596637","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3325706897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"fb3b2dc4c3c1f5a0e9e8331418dca4b1c633d2af59118433252db5dd18596637","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3176919633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"fb3b2dc4c3c1f5a0e9e8331418dca4b1c633d2af59118433252db5dd18596637","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2979617608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"fb3b2dc4c3c1f5a0e9e8331418dca4b1c633d2af59118433252db5dd18596637","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3368068757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"acled","id":"fb3b2dc4c3c1f5a0e9e8331418dca4b1c633d2af59118433252db5dd18596637","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2976771536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2383828164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1230177631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583994116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0648069198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216286633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1220202396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599993656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0828679395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683417961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303180239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1514967373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0858909296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827833265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2625416182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2409610392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.121868735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588609368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0718144108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2564484806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2511092605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1237436884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771604111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005443548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2768948176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2305549863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129435406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607070376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711999762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2554297278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2480278822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.148542976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0700144625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949368236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2558035476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.232041264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143054979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0604685829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692683301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2468863749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2189184559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1223898811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583994116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655376681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2373038026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2221921046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.120443986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559456359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0743835678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2622501601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2172329325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1179077673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625608305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0719913288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2416529966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.212807671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1081312085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552379639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623839125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2527159287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365244337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1265533612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653838263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771757953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2558251938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.222467035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1173845361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551918114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.072983608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2832838363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270815755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1315118354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657684307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673376163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2374032515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2217254892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143901109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0572148302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667991703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2598098364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2310329141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1243821316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0592224648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0802757062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2691025317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2092643087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1196899587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573686719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662684163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.22342788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2344513117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1298645082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664530264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0886216203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2947143014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2472324488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1472045529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0802603221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0923830508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479216015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2119180786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1222283473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0570532964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667376336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2110796412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2321790351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1251898007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625454463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0858370849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2189409538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.230663694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1220129689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660914983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0695606294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.219225561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2470170704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1230744768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639915586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0871139713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2562628158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2482631884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1431585153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080075712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0848217295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520790737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2205716762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1275820397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580994202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692683301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190717193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979213532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542456847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0768219593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457717402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2503830152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1339587796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786219076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0862063051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2731909171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303713947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1278897231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058884013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654761314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2375250353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2330020883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1339357033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808910732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0858832375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2240023469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2377942584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1275820397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0601916678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2427018097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.226848419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1388509467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0806756947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0864678361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2386557721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2183871235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218898955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588147842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672683876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.216741017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2339257798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218898955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610916419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723836252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2128829196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2356481662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1216129803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580686518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755143045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2632188812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2172798525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1289711371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058084036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787603651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615711754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2480785783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2853494106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.293100362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994155652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2561783457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601723898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3071178787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3114152205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.310038337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984064619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3098567709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3189516151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3258532673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3237994802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3696981617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2921301364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3252609766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4046971563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3489295275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3439988999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2605012984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2660118217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3381947067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3248660519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2538507032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835380405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896163879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.257741081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3552413145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.376728729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3402297774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156612524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3651601653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2375074156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1234162546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0756989146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0836448402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3895109413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2596017462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2075016887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1398893784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1481199112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2871567762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2468592982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1747345313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2098192413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466478502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2011799255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1093210257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.108190289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2387667482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287436641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.118823737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2848467529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912831454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3440604366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4417883986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4567773163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3742749533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3013019387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748726979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3405937601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3617525877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3867418918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3125600572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2667535832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2513228706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3637603375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2393034799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303470339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2740861742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3570788516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3867774038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4284364731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984626074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.281046587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.33776806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3576509496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.379654738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2715406044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3444470412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2282298616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2106095749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1870562126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.32423987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2838785132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2459790361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3961667179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4432523551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.271271802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2907864831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3502446624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.392908179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1867477699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2884972368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2786944167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3434570199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3767972142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4262872907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750117183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303616593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3319765289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3664622019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2117263666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2985712713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750669946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3421038742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3641174543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3901494192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3091596823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722961954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3291352277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3406312251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493917817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2890609507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287018274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3438809402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3763296544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4205295211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2833587436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926797887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3355555932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3700845069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2055279293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2332253644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1908645587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1574524381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1320549397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1101477505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288299682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2655682753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2972382367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2490117181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4320319486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.236955681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4252598489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4923150483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1349920847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1078056864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3618287144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2956438827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.259444292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2194693401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4686284113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1270701124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006567388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854400769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2844425248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3209410532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2531126134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3645425756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2331393476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2773063971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2940964912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3069313433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3176522466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3285369909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3068879287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2945577004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3034491561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3136492541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2907648734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2957230101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.307612837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3222343255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3334699869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2560667394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2991259879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753367784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2666105415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2562782803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2475541305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1193492978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1481538069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2078942167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925143243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4179383394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3190765344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2538024592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2323909944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.388275036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4120945206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184414704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.259084256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2426842852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3732672409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.397218514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3135509798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2645489716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520210211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2388947092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2171781701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2957207579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3100308382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3288331197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3445542223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3673710969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3084275701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2945242084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3194844216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3495748056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3955333075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1223335299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1534109504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2092923088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827044437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3709720163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287989597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133529745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2550443011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.372475005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.398553363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3362619175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2176985548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.190895622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2059272317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1893186285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2872852754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2961940575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2851859713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3204206788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.260354195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.283961804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2677380303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2596545928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.252200342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2497739864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.275782416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109892858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.351765057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4034659327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3007306966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2679172053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2345859749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4218787059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4600691116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4182716261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3702171063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2844650279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3234141086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.370423832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4260870168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3729419709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2960578719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3379304156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4118025134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2680923196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3402702255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2338442862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2199808468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2010790377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3079070179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749446363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506839629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4124453391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4593117162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2853308605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2935111621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701857972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3511058809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2429819183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.273093091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899989051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322688486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3669934917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3137195745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187887385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3279087767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2641897601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2253491754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4033652885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2063307368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4288171963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4515809834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2565356063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3546791248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2376672374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3967169827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4258388158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798550903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795257786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3744118389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4335013393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1639860838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2579462468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.300589192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2489381985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4105512839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1710242796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3141386238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3068163193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3273562135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3520617445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270148734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3200473522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994110601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2712617743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2489280365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.223945424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2811343936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.284054743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.253069024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.378159248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2049609003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2318716669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1942869284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1580449531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1340671913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138982034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27229541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2517293112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2279705392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2084101142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1856764673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3651630445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4093096522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1791772838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1584950465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1348475387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772880661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2969048307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.267243792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3616632259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2103839063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3082860565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3354341516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3706275821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4141489083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4696136481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.267874238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3415488819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3182302054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.290660602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2691642176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.284792096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304404607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2891827558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2773557243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.262445134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.331434224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283172934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4280164984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4620285527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5011382908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2961014438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.308023589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3243782183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703583583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2612721033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1900728923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1581292207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1361279079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1185515641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1051938869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2828819435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.268895408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2500611091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3744164262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4157662533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2425636125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210954921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1980120671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1787061578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1575285142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145690288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1157692251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1216176725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1314626205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.157504257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0e36430bac2b279a6b4ef515b349bc26437a0d4a3a7f5311f91aecde2d66e46b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1781209725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0e36430bac2b279a6b4ef515b349bc26437a0d4a3a7f5311f91aecde2d66e46b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1736653313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0e36430bac2b279a6b4ef515b349bc26437a0d4a3a7f5311f91aecde2d66e46b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2468401524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0e36430bac2b279a6b4ef515b349bc26437a0d4a3a7f5311f91aecde2d66e46b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2509938792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"0e36430bac2b279a6b4ef515b349bc26437a0d4a3a7f5311f91aecde2d66e46b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649242483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1147843303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162322888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1230590927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1367683142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1774652221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1147536389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1159538352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1205399342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.127966644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1534043748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2094344465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2110288486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2499372477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2662223578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3030281943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1766267847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1732653428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1760498782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1814958756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1955440391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0745604858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835448431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0968829215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1154746951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1516275028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1139902762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.115767379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1201460225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1270089792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1484814393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1642732934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.161842594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1721269139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1897879451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2267891716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1229744797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1373125294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.558264985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5095861188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4358501076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058441289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6570702553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5865039175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5087770126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4227455695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1136229022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114246192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1169822672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218668192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1369452322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137998209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143998037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1160459126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1199381246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1286346248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114759408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1155676925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1201053313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1278204943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1547966425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1157073808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1191284363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1273589691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1423200778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1818189432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1141766563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1154381769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1209850753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1301325818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1543505015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1002674397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.649882421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1482352925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.180472828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2335482265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138075123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1149846323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1184088416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1238647618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.141273954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964831438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137626916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1397739971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.17638833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4189967456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1147536389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1161384453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1225071854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1335280227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1657347899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1330376522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.134260694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.137715287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1433326641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6cf34d59dc1e52734175e6c258b6746f2033ded0a271142a5545a00562ee2fef","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1613906839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0866601382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7012117158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6078374749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1580427031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4441191008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143843611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1149844015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1184088416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1239446826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1415604843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114561356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1148844813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1171707233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1216543638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1296762103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1139978145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1223898811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.134266463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1528043921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1833573606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1186130665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.134620299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1463122708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1580042427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1760114177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114561356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1152460094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1188717514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1246019714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427912181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1228437142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1220437372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1306665664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1439661844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1597677914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145537408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.115154012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1177634755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1229925561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1354655824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.117859242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1208360796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1336280198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1536197532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1986953815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1147535628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1154612532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1196774206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1267480636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.151204438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137998209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114423113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1176024225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1232552409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1402682137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1339742599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1352358198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1410211151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1503793079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.176392176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1901019829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1845905301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4724272808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4511895941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3727678315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1332051858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1337823231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1359903366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1406837402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1500743166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1338145537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1350299219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1394240072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1462988097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1683347152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0212ecdf18becdbb0888cd48fe3fb2327af271cef9d19ad7e7eaa50d893b001","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145747402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0212ecdf18becdbb0888cd48fe3fb2327af271cef9d19ad7e7eaa50d893b001","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1158824526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0212ecdf18becdbb0888cd48fe3fb2327af271cef9d19ad7e7eaa50d893b001","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1229444036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0212ecdf18becdbb0888cd48fe3fb2327af271cef9d19ad7e7eaa50d893b001","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1351790522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0212ecdf18becdbb0888cd48fe3fb2327af271cef9d19ad7e7eaa50d893b001","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1655905632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1340662878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1639565665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5377625647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2335482265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795084447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1741653169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1793805517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1988953758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2278637744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2977826364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1618810544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1624964213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1753114378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1935801438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2349261835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1139920646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1146478727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1184315333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1249043473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1431681304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114561356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1159459893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218392046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1316946907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1601368737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1214668307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6298753034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5281551484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.218164053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571985208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.11402091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1146440267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1184364562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.124860964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1442200233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1179743519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6304797548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5485318842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4733631145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3883553823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1861342039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1902725465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2118488498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2485477956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3285454977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1650886546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.172573055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2721471177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31207674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3793132701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0950368207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1067980213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.124066756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.151112133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.211241175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1569735031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1684347123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.184818857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2108584937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.268008852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114755485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1171304168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.12379361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1348433695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1664886144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1153305454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1163999762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1208033113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1284897059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1532120726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0995136152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1195130407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1448969269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4693121563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.378165708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1573888757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1743730033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1985415398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2309252249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2773469684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114759408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1161672906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1224225725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1330741896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1638809969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.317756721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322498192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.352165091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3764701073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.205040666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3177789067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3429104679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3799941478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4131567344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4621628887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131594378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388371013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2327441741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2120689527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1852860676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2700511729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3350451765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3584972961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3826506875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1986755643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2687814093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.341734644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2287557729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.210123211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1837149952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.317415403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3348541249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2368818418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2196912672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1967144737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2761284935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3366886624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2413413901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2262355781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4132149691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635641184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3479630996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2344204559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.220284135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2050838859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2842141817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3233410844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.243734573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2230794874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1937015238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2780505794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148185727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3175338358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701245079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BBY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353615538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722201466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3260231869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525437031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2408503413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2238551367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749832133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2566214421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2401137186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2242297254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4197771153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2708133948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2597741384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3531280618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3726015001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4081952462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3154425369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3278494312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2477658283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2331195983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2135951791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.269165306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2564557743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2442846498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2311969362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.216060825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2758165839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3253592336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3433158564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2395409865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2257138537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2816857269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3283751764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496394495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2333275542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2140103392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2643090333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2486187412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2332980662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.218156739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"COST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2000755264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3266871497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2467695687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2327395715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2193521613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.428039352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129400038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3378729671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2378969509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2201448337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.194414231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2751083378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2616198315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481330284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2342573622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2192317611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2702408836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3331969618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2425488049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2272458045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2090164112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DLTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2659939335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DLTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2537763616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DLTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2464333542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DLTR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2349265468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DLTR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2193737881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798742729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.319624363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2623938445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2490503828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365703402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3106008768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187790705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3360725254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3563050308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3856359327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3178955303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3369801595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571321576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3804112489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4144654569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3086076294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275303541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3512583379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3705206659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4042268598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3128610507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3283180989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479202303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317229812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4018048277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722195936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3310050005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3540764308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3814138893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4221872629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.269128625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2557985374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2411309915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.227533675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2085906397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719344103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2609379273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2452470418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2284074828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.20835116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3185306113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615538983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2486533583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.233237747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4052551148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2724949409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3252607184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2554159674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2462885974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2332243709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798283572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2627117702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3450628639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365116755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"HUM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4032610381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"K","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726829881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"K","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2578624448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"K","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3456996817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"K","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3657566778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"K","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2134654058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148927171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601424281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3513028513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3691451958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3977863606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3186076764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3341050281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2464728236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2332677621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2155312817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2759462095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3293801917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3442993222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2384330274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2217182146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2743148873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3311352357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3503687103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3728663677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2189094106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2739520977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2592272963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2445614368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317901161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.211074266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3073418806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3193510868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.331569654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.249835979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3711423239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2715596743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3341053956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2443174483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2336707586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186194669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683332101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3444909554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2311987359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2117408113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1921463161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2777177636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2568809758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2355427423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2161157926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1911300802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.318982969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3325508862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.244059288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2302629036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.410226788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775029415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3283809728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3465221711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.367105529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3990079036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3164452336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.257632629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2418154989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3808473973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4149056009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2758136526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2603177572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3541458586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303221832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2086042913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3049233307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3287836097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3539261919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2224470413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2015865249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2776159408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689179601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3315200523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.342954225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2341796316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3199116772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3427116045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3589912128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3813339181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4171682706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3137343781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2572767324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2414089305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276053132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2046711173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119640118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683651722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3315431415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3454750074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3629541954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3135852082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3219796779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3398878748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532565549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3829165074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2707192221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3357633424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2416028815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2277799904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4145488263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3065574417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3224296323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3384045285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3638965266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3985758469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2828670379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3214098757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3399667363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2418585769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2240579195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2758180178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2580122281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424844203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2254389422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2020008739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184090293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3406345369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3693686178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3995122685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4469147206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187471013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3327269583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2435509554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2284211899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2069308097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3376576941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3445472697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3622407785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2273716748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4004176842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2972854781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3146848477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2563660089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2369284728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2148372918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2733058965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3253302959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2572202894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2478995132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3745575625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0917199973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919154506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0952745188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993744911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0496d3ec0efa0d7a1375aeedf5dd8bfdb78a6e4cd9e73c1bd642cb12c4b8d6f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10681535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1721883634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.181331029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1744219847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1961903833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1910275545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0cf75124c554391dec92b387feb1f60e5aa8e81ddf9d8f6abb2d4af7f8a8f242","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0380979047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0cf75124c554391dec92b387feb1f60e5aa8e81ddf9d8f6abb2d4af7f8a8f242","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0381479043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0cf75124c554391dec92b387feb1f60e5aa8e81ddf9d8f6abb2d4af7f8a8f242","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0382811307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0cf75124c554391dec92b387feb1f60e5aa8e81ddf9d8f6abb2d4af7f8a8f242","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0384459478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0cf75124c554391dec92b387feb1f60e5aa8e81ddf9d8f6abb2d4af7f8a8f242","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0386718667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ede0d4cfdb9f310caf636c590882c0d330b985db0b97a497000c65aac4d809f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2868223626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ede0d4cfdb9f310caf636c590882c0d330b985db0b97a497000c65aac4d809f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3039214744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ede0d4cfdb9f310caf636c590882c0d330b985db0b97a497000c65aac4d809f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3098058438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ede0d4cfdb9f310caf636c590882c0d330b985db0b97a497000c65aac4d809f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3389046929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ede0d4cfdb9f310caf636c590882c0d330b985db0b97a497000c65aac4d809f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3514455174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0453566739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.047320297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516702676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578747712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669156193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"1f46d8affd83fdab6badfffb996d70737a7f2e2e06f81d430770269e4e51da66","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516587677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"1f46d8affd83fdab6badfffb996d70737a7f2e2e06f81d430770269e4e51da66","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0507622737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"1f46d8affd83fdab6badfffb996d70737a7f2e2e06f81d430770269e4e51da66","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528725777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"1f46d8affd83fdab6badfffb996d70737a7f2e2e06f81d430770269e4e51da66","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0507620919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"1f46d8affd83fdab6badfffb996d70737a7f2e2e06f81d430770269e4e51da66","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512282706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"222f8a6a9ccf0329bca648cb438c7ac208f57103aa3b62e731fd3283cd07abbc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542048414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"222f8a6a9ccf0329bca648cb438c7ac208f57103aa3b62e731fd3283cd07abbc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556948314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"222f8a6a9ccf0329bca648cb438c7ac208f57103aa3b62e731fd3283cd07abbc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0611591127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"222f8a6a9ccf0329bca648cb438c7ac208f57103aa3b62e731fd3283cd07abbc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0665223947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"222f8a6a9ccf0329bca648cb438c7ac208f57103aa3b62e731fd3283cd07abbc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074504159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525475344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535838911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554202423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0574838647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"2583aba178bce6e547ab9cca2d678483e5cd58b0bde5a8130d480f6f22fb9d18","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061229294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"25c33e0bdcb6b13dfe3774b119dee3f92dd6cbcfe7c16c56fa48fa2deefc7ee0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3562238488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"25c33e0bdcb6b13dfe3774b119dee3f92dd6cbcfe7c16c56fa48fa2deefc7ee0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3393512808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"25c33e0bdcb6b13dfe3774b119dee3f92dd6cbcfe7c16c56fa48fa2deefc7ee0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2591020042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"25c33e0bdcb6b13dfe3774b119dee3f92dd6cbcfe7c16c56fa48fa2deefc7ee0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2732606359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"25c33e0bdcb6b13dfe3774b119dee3f92dd6cbcfe7c16c56fa48fa2deefc7ee0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3885816304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0408032959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.041611245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0432748702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0455521275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0489339243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0386896734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0387942181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0390771708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.039576031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0408765223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662774872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067563024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.066369623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656304916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651203587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521884459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531066216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542429775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0555793321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582793139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0555021054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0601975283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634151429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.071016728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0789502653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0457976254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0454316734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0467023011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0489021499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"443a7b85b1256b7ede89fe5ee9857f4cb8222aa705bfe80af68484309a3f7502","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053011179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0430066897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0456566718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0499202794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553747881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"519689a520e7e15fe54f6d85ad40f6e0186b5b1ce657e41144abfe398812749c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0641701833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"51b38397c43736d778e9f90307debfc5d6979ccfda77f1911d7454506ccbb9a6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0844632281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"51b38397c43736d778e9f90307debfc5d6979ccfda77f1911d7454506ccbb9a6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621548332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"51b38397c43736d778e9f90307debfc5d6979ccfda77f1911d7454506ccbb9a6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.062578694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"51b38397c43736d778e9f90307debfc5d6979ccfda77f1911d7454506ccbb9a6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0628763284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"51b38397c43736d778e9f90307debfc5d6979ccfda77f1911d7454506ccbb9a6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0640667294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"53ee9dae07e4a565c700d8d7b39010b52c6f5ce128822c5b47137a4d92f925f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7142623417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"53ee9dae07e4a565c700d8d7b39010b52c6f5ce128822c5b47137a4d92f925f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0935401669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"53ee9dae07e4a565c700d8d7b39010b52c6f5ce128822c5b47137a4d92f925f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1135618499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"53ee9dae07e4a565c700d8d7b39010b52c6f5ce128822c5b47137a4d92f925f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.131174322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"53ee9dae07e4a565c700d8d7b39010b52c6f5ce128822c5b47137a4d92f925f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1492772907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5550267c0daf6cc0e615a7a419655d3c3f7c552d08de876bd52e961d91f8a902","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3897229409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5550267c0daf6cc0e615a7a419655d3c3f7c552d08de876bd52e961d91f8a902","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3749499042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5550267c0daf6cc0e615a7a419655d3c3f7c552d08de876bd52e961d91f8a902","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2677972182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5550267c0daf6cc0e615a7a419655d3c3f7c552d08de876bd52e961d91f8a902","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117096037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5550267c0daf6cc0e615a7a419655d3c3f7c552d08de876bd52e961d91f8a902","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3410647238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5679eee039862319d3edf183b065371fa415f414ca2bd4188b4e914970e9bda5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632895074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5679eee039862319d3edf183b065371fa415f414ca2bd4188b4e914970e9bda5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632304169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5679eee039862319d3edf183b065371fa415f414ca2bd4188b4e914970e9bda5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634201883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5679eee039862319d3edf183b065371fa415f414ca2bd4188b4e914970e9bda5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635065514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5679eee039862319d3edf183b065371fa415f414ca2bd4188b4e914970e9bda5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0647258613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2055732745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2267122227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2677733547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2792925952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3365885267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5fbfe97225ce257fd1694dfb5ec42ccb90960041885669c12b7c5f570f53e2c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0504158215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5fbfe97225ce257fd1694dfb5ec42ccb90960041885669c12b7c5f570f53e2c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0501782322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5fbfe97225ce257fd1694dfb5ec42ccb90960041885669c12b7c5f570f53e2c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519907655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5fbfe97225ce257fd1694dfb5ec42ccb90960041885669c12b7c5f570f53e2c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528469415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"5fbfe97225ce257fd1694dfb5ec42ccb90960041885669c12b7c5f570f53e2c5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527543967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2655210518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3214170382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2956995754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3535136852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3496348023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"754e9f1d2529920fd6542ebc31d21beb6fa07756a094b65410db99dee7611b30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1277674359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"754e9f1d2529920fd6542ebc31d21beb6fa07756a094b65410db99dee7611b30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1320531797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"754e9f1d2529920fd6542ebc31d21beb6fa07756a094b65410db99dee7611b30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427871073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"754e9f1d2529920fd6542ebc31d21beb6fa07756a094b65410db99dee7611b30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1616513891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"754e9f1d2529920fd6542ebc31d21beb6fa07756a094b65410db99dee7611b30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1590533611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0395760315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.039785121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0400953007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0406414334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.041338521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7cd6b1abe26d83449b075db16c760d3f40d86ebaa75c6b4c2a048730b65401f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0746147491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7cd6b1abe26d83449b075db16c760d3f40d86ebaa75c6b4c2a048730b65401f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0757519687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7cd6b1abe26d83449b075db16c760d3f40d86ebaa75c6b4c2a048730b65401f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766601899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7cd6b1abe26d83449b075db16c760d3f40d86ebaa75c6b4c2a048730b65401f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0774630481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7cd6b1abe26d83449b075db16c760d3f40d86ebaa75c6b4c2a048730b65401f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0804522097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0391022161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0400169826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0416385626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0439067291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0468805727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667940292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708663199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0743841598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803216197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"879e9fdee9306f74a9047b846015e46ae252b4bfa2486dde131c23bfc7f13c5c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0876427521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"89d627dfaec0d96a1554e40989164649cc07bc23b585459369daf7e9edb1f82e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520760061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"89d627dfaec0d96a1554e40989164649cc07bc23b585459369daf7e9edb1f82e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3408348617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"89d627dfaec0d96a1554e40989164649cc07bc23b585459369daf7e9edb1f82e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3024033029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"89d627dfaec0d96a1554e40989164649cc07bc23b585459369daf7e9edb1f82e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3301956608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"89d627dfaec0d96a1554e40989164649cc07bc23b585459369daf7e9edb1f82e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3118865116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.200796534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2069304926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4511941624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2231454741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4059124225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"912ac9eafede388b736805cc0c15056677c6986a52e68704ed96644402a0ac19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.084011913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"912ac9eafede388b736805cc0c15056677c6986a52e68704ed96644402a0ac19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0896195115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"912ac9eafede388b736805cc0c15056677c6986a52e68704ed96644402a0ac19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989399941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"912ac9eafede388b736805cc0c15056677c6986a52e68704ed96644402a0ac19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1108296866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"912ac9eafede388b736805cc0c15056677c6986a52e68704ed96644402a0ac19","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6263800257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1246981839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1308674604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1335344879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1393946756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"91cecdff6f69fe6e4497c10723aa6a1949145d904d842944ca802d7e0e1b45fa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1476889378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"9afa4a414049550328d40bf9ae4e56ed3fc2d9332875ccc23e095271c6b9fc25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518020849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"9afa4a414049550328d40bf9ae4e56ed3fc2d9332875ccc23e095271c6b9fc25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538157077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"9afa4a414049550328d40bf9ae4e56ed3fc2d9332875ccc23e095271c6b9fc25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584929488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"9afa4a414049550328d40bf9ae4e56ed3fc2d9332875ccc23e095271c6b9fc25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064574726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"9afa4a414049550328d40bf9ae4e56ed3fc2d9332875ccc23e095271c6b9fc25","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0738064819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a59ba97c72c26ee3ed404b731fc85b6e6d45777ba7f610201cc8bc34b90c8d6f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0418305613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a59ba97c72c26ee3ed404b731fc85b6e6d45777ba7f610201cc8bc34b90c8d6f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0432975968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a59ba97c72c26ee3ed404b731fc85b6e6d45777ba7f610201cc8bc34b90c8d6f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.046215759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a59ba97c72c26ee3ed404b731fc85b6e6d45777ba7f610201cc8bc34b90c8d6f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.049615736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a59ba97c72c26ee3ed404b731fc85b6e6d45777ba7f610201cc8bc34b90c8d6f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553747881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a9ed9408f27bc84512158be10fbb5d310a582d00022f22ea8d554c3a0fa98c10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0404796159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a9ed9408f27bc84512158be10fbb5d310a582d00022f22ea8d554c3a0fa98c10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0419250607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a9ed9408f27bc84512158be10fbb5d310a582d00022f22ea8d554c3a0fa98c10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0447750414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a9ed9408f27bc84512158be10fbb5d310a582d00022f22ea8d554c3a0fa98c10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485750158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"a9ed9408f27bc84512158be10fbb5d310a582d00022f22ea8d554c3a0fa98c10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553479246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aead6661e5dea40d13f87d38b729746c75c0362bcc0e864fe2f14a0a66a188fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527293514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aead6661e5dea40d13f87d38b729746c75c0362bcc0e864fe2f14a0a66a188fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530111677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aead6661e5dea40d13f87d38b729746c75c0362bcc0e864fe2f14a0a66a188fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529702588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aead6661e5dea40d13f87d38b729746c75c0362bcc0e864fe2f14a0a66a188fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541202511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aead6661e5dea40d13f87d38b729746c75c0362bcc0e864fe2f14a0a66a188fa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560475108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aee89ca59ca9f1c624a1944bc04a1cf73450e6b408e2b5efa51b05cea0a64e7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0506248201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aee89ca59ca9f1c624a1944bc04a1cf73450e6b408e2b5efa51b05cea0a64e7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526884426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aee89ca59ca9f1c624a1944bc04a1cf73450e6b408e2b5efa51b05cea0a64e7f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608383876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aee89ca59ca9f1c624a1944bc04a1cf73450e6b408e2b5efa51b05cea0a64e7f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0694656021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"aee89ca59ca9f1c624a1944bc04a1cf73450e6b408e2b5efa51b05cea0a64e7f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.084038231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651610857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584929488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643338185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708474109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.081446203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b0b838588fe5a1d44df81dd386091dc415044109f8e96b8ac1bdcb7da6e620ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.334004226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b0b838588fe5a1d44df81dd386091dc415044109f8e96b8ac1bdcb7da6e620ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2501189284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b0b838588fe5a1d44df81dd386091dc415044109f8e96b8ac1bdcb7da6e620ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2512566026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b0b838588fe5a1d44df81dd386091dc415044109f8e96b8ac1bdcb7da6e620ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2530844084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b0b838588fe5a1d44df81dd386091dc415044109f8e96b8ac1bdcb7da6e620ab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3654743318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2228438398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3853725611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2448202824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2837127472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3013504009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0809212066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077217777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0738394362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.070736048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683622004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"be0ac29e0992ec3157aecf4180f7eab3f254e16c7b56dc13af1ac313db94e16d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550032451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"be0ac29e0992ec3157aecf4180f7eab3f254e16c7b56dc13af1ac313db94e16d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539293887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"be0ac29e0992ec3157aecf4180f7eab3f254e16c7b56dc13af1ac313db94e16d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537341173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"be0ac29e0992ec3157aecf4180f7eab3f254e16c7b56dc13af1ac313db94e16d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550139723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"be0ac29e0992ec3157aecf4180f7eab3f254e16c7b56dc13af1ac313db94e16d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532835295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"bedd7e209670c913bc7df49f7d99a3e0d98111482c2cf4d24c27ea1036d18d0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.072916897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"bedd7e209670c913bc7df49f7d99a3e0d98111482c2cf4d24c27ea1036d18d0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0783995872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"bedd7e209670c913bc7df49f7d99a3e0d98111482c2cf4d24c27ea1036d18d0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823210153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"bedd7e209670c913bc7df49f7d99a3e0d98111482c2cf4d24c27ea1036d18d0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0898620099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"bedd7e209670c913bc7df49f7d99a3e0d98111482c2cf4d24c27ea1036d18d0b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103432691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c7578180a214aeca97c41bc2b56db57940cc6c2422c6822c8c0c3f91474f0ba7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042960174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c7578180a214aeca97c41bc2b56db57940cc6c2422c6822c8c0c3f91474f0ba7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2909504711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c7578180a214aeca97c41bc2b56db57940cc6c2422c6822c8c0c3f91474f0ba7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.328120402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c7578180a214aeca97c41bc2b56db57940cc6c2422c6822c8c0c3f91474f0ba7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3073480422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c7578180a214aeca97c41bc2b56db57940cc6c2422c6822c8c0c3f91474f0ba7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2727005942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0611486582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0611997488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617020636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0619486528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"c8cce97d5978df9dea5943b3467189646d06ea57e4ad23b1251b1bddd1fbd530","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.062948646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435079136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549396546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558543757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573259567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0591952623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617919379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0613090321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621224812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618080742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618900623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4fa357174eb852edc176c03fca1ef95e43c37ad947c148356a606f23b11bf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514862234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4fa357174eb852edc176c03fca1ef95e43c37ad947c148356a606f23b11bf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4fa357174eb852edc176c03fca1ef95e43c37ad947c148356a606f23b11bf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.051237316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4fa357174eb852edc176c03fca1ef95e43c37ad947c148356a606f23b11bf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052018038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc4fa357174eb852edc176c03fca1ef95e43c37ad947c148356a606f23b11bf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532782568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc6a04275c6e01921b897c77526a7779f2b07c6cc5d2b7f13ee8ffc7c2c860e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0487886516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc6a04275c6e01921b897c77526a7779f2b07c6cc5d2b7f13ee8ffc7c2c860e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0487886516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc6a04275c6e01921b897c77526a7779f2b07c6cc5d2b7f13ee8ffc7c2c860e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0488251527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc6a04275c6e01921b897c77526a7779f2b07c6cc5d2b7f13ee8ffc7c2c860e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0488796978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"cc6a04275c6e01921b897c77526a7779f2b07c6cc5d2b7f13ee8ffc7c2c860e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0489937007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d2cd2a3f71b6e4ba866cc006d45ff5a1e9fbecaad79873d36d0253d3a174803d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491124326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d2cd2a3f71b6e4ba866cc006d45ff5a1e9fbecaad79873d36d0253d3a174803d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491124326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d2cd2a3f71b6e4ba866cc006d45ff5a1e9fbecaad79873d36d0253d3a174803d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491351938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d2cd2a3f71b6e4ba866cc006d45ff5a1e9fbecaad79873d36d0253d3a174803d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491851935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d2cd2a3f71b6e4ba866cc006d45ff5a1e9fbecaad79873d36d0253d3a174803d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0493036472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516315861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518179939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536749814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560431472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"d4f699577a5fc967f0291e1a2b9efd51913104344456aeca00a35eebd433aaca","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059888394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726671259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075551061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0809932061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0879620682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0941976624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dbdbe1690ef850b339d0d60e51153e30ef4af6b88817ee62b8221b747341a737","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521486735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dbdbe1690ef850b339d0d60e51153e30ef4af6b88817ee62b8221b747341a737","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529623043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dbdbe1690ef850b339d0d60e51153e30ef4af6b88817ee62b8221b747341a737","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545122939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dbdbe1690ef850b339d0d60e51153e30ef4af6b88817ee62b8221b747341a737","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569031868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"dbdbe1690ef850b339d0d60e51153e30ef4af6b88817ee62b8221b747341a737","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610895222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"ddd18a73c4823a3ba57b64e9bab2cdf7deb6c22c57ff0077c7da2ee71e60c357","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0449066769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"ddd18a73c4823a3ba57b64e9bab2cdf7deb6c22c57ff0077c7da2ee71e60c357","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461884864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"ddd18a73c4823a3ba57b64e9bab2cdf7deb6c22c57ff0077c7da2ee71e60c357","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0500884601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"ddd18a73c4823a3ba57b64e9bab2cdf7deb6c22c57ff0077c7da2ee71e60c357","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547713831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"ddd18a73c4823a3ba57b64e9bab2cdf7deb6c22c57ff0077c7da2ee71e60c357","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0619656981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0410578847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0408317044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0413794734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429124176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461669411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e3ef966eb26d20c6c2a8172a53e5704680407c185d648bdabe478fe1c083ff39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1150016584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e3ef966eb26d20c6c2a8172a53e5704680407c185d648bdabe478fe1c083ff39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071846657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e3ef966eb26d20c6c2a8172a53e5704680407c185d648bdabe478fe1c083ff39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6644979502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e3ef966eb26d20c6c2a8172a53e5704680407c185d648bdabe478fe1c083ff39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1192527206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e3ef966eb26d20c6c2a8172a53e5704680407c185d648bdabe478fe1c083ff39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1515203211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e4f57450c0f49ead93af2a13e1c5c5d2535dfe581a480924609b22743ce69e26","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3002231358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e4f57450c0f49ead93af2a13e1c5c5d2535dfe581a480924609b22743ce69e26","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3067067738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e4f57450c0f49ead93af2a13e1c5c5d2535dfe581a480924609b22743ce69e26","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3257231455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e4f57450c0f49ead93af2a13e1c5c5d2535dfe581a480924609b22743ce69e26","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2968958855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e4f57450c0f49ead93af2a13e1c5c5d2535dfe581a480924609b22743ce69e26","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.300654951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e91585433a9ab0fb3af4330a28521cee4ead897545f1a99f6f0fd1f21f14d1bd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480521102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e91585433a9ab0fb3af4330a28521cee4ead897545f1a99f6f0fd1f21f14d1bd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0500805056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e91585433a9ab0fb3af4330a28521cee4ead897545f1a99f6f0fd1f21f14d1bd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559429661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e91585433a9ab0fb3af4330a28521cee4ead897545f1a99f6f0fd1f21f14d1bd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625213308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"e91585433a9ab0fb3af4330a28521cee4ead897545f1a99f6f0fd1f21f14d1bd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0725803538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f0020c1789458f92258ab6591b0fcc66d703390f14bfeb1dec1151ab7c57c43f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537066175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f0020c1789458f92258ab6591b0fcc66d703390f14bfeb1dec1151ab7c57c43f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549929725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f0020c1789458f92258ab6591b0fcc66d703390f14bfeb1dec1151ab7c57c43f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0572884115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f0020c1789458f92258ab6591b0fcc66d703390f14bfeb1dec1151ab7c57c43f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602293008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f0020c1789458f92258ab6591b0fcc66d703390f14bfeb1dec1151ab7c57c43f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065529265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f15d3dd84304b541d22281aab3b140ac77536242d43572c98ae612db0069eeb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0759257857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f15d3dd84304b541d22281aab3b140ac77536242d43572c98ae612db0069eeb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778848634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f15d3dd84304b541d22281aab3b140ac77536242d43572c98ae612db0069eeb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920316316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f15d3dd84304b541d22281aab3b140ac77536242d43572c98ae612db0069eeb9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1029536034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f15d3dd84304b541d22281aab3b140ac77536242d43572c98ae612db0069eeb9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138078483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f5aa930803057d3a60c16779206b5614990e3ef0e5187643992207b436df4595","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1493160178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f5aa930803057d3a60c16779206b5614990e3ef0e5187643992207b436df4595","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1454698164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f5aa930803057d3a60c16779206b5614990e3ef0e5187643992207b436df4595","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1846800973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f5aa930803057d3a60c16779206b5614990e3ef0e5187643992207b436df4595","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1654380908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f5aa930803057d3a60c16779206b5614990e3ef0e5187643992207b436df4595","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1702524219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f75086a635c11f2ea32d0711dacad8f7b6b38a5295ef577ea60da927eed5bd41","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0439703196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f75086a635c11f2ea32d0711dacad8f7b6b38a5295ef577ea60da927eed5bd41","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429089631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f75086a635c11f2ea32d0711dacad8f7b6b38a5295ef577ea60da927eed5bd41","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435089591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f75086a635c11f2ea32d0711dacad8f7b6b38a5295ef577ea60da927eed5bd41","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0455725815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"f75086a635c11f2ea32d0711dacad8f7b6b38a5295ef577ea60da927eed5bd41","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485032435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"fc801585512581ef182934d9a851e09c37b442e80346ccecf19d2592d6acb139","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485248343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"fc801585512581ef182934d9a851e09c37b442e80346ccecf19d2592d6acb139","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064156547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"fc801585512581ef182934d9a851e09c37b442e80346ccecf19d2592d6acb139","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707201391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"fc801585512581ef182934d9a851e09c37b442e80346ccecf19d2592d6acb139","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0797621235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"acled","id":"fc801585512581ef182934d9a851e09c37b442e80346ccecf19d2592d6acb139","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0900984174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1512536814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927940744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0473066607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563365294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3953258559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1845937557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1202648058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059888394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075830365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3887743811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.428978962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1355593665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536657087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0817291557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3475292399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5122326984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1053875039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0587929468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0790744348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3506735241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2290049359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.17484676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0815791567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.712742699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3605206214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2169519374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1610230966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1081392047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1384413139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2823312714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2261641551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1644052359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060456572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7484836437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.315139432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4398378283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1279762691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0609202052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0818442507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184030608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1620169841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1079227644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0500839147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702735353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3559183454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.205984749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1487023585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0955568966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1130832727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3396056591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1282818315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0780791803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0947213445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3478879983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1790137974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1277258841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689474237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1016722635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2489057147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1691540163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1123601951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.050097551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669975231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4025816747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2125156129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1701348934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0783564966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998195289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3893498474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2010529842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.145463006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0515929954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636667147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2440491565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317500581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1506430311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1127404222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2774309999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1585304295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.107958869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602065736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074915785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.233772899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1855266243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.133748666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0886275637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993561893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3761504054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.183635711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1270281606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0703610506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0899447369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3676462863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2079719253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1512073192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061529292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0730383817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2681111019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1683454048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1146097311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667747111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981790447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3628017361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.197067675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1443004782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037948704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1187265878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3984979114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1772524234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1148256669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0475702953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707655933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4056171967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1674669576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1114227418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0604838445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835867833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3543982465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1793867974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1123210344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0601974828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0735064839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317683756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2109599728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535884365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920245407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.375116509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1449091484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0877968923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0484430167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0724019459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4083370964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1652358698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132530034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535793456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0742439933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3755194764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1956125548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1317510244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0477157488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0732519402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3718892382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.172872896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1094340941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0609338415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0794564437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2390261599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1691724268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1102139187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618247445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771382776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3863318661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1757234191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1070931536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518066303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3891650169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1898958252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1331411784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905586529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0947692495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3704587198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1752318859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1064176816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608974781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687337888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.350443574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5005102112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1041803822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581839055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0764655548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3837027372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1903744436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1279764757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615065649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0699746895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.356928254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1795244667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1074137237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060456572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833382357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3641760337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3235928421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3455008302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3970541187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2909456489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3309030416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.348031904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3885498124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3728817363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2739369495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2915609258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3589602278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3823635048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4033756476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.375159008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3730444127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4734304132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6207307551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5350722423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3784505719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2860496039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3396047558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3301865699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3605272743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2758026524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3125045234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.344890889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749744425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547154883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4641367965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4446349599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4092178548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4525372982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143152994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0619020167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0796109882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3973577576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3424060696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2056083652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1429542425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1667222639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322136617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4234034247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4063771728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2095953209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1650212105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1247352748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1530308937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3778076093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3366922254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2710746362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.624208709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3484091742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2598772783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2541170275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2494787888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210964418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050779593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2937218644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2623577355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2285720584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4050759506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1858543342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3185904976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2797380222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3415504102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3812690641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4316064447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122481174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3468718849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3891525326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.410334709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2023729549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316883966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2809461097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3433691174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3831535206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1922236966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835949408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3174531514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3512800079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3815851356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2277567158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3533883399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312130995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3366983357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3684081143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4118151171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750202974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516538331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3762790305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3969566616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.193313716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081417064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3405786868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3727315916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3945854768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4216933027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2738912306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2495783389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3638728561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3932077655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4296025873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821183421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3245025111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3536344007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3779231583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2095617646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3343957118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2324283266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2176301604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2064669884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1931642672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2045637602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1761503908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1508752133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.134846178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1181656456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4007958222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1885634529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1669282879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1504560962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1359976469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.104122883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0900536126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.085763097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042954202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2604635268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241365569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3766994773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2179254767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3007415971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2591594608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2302473246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.396654664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1942494996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3166439454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3344714939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3554984791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3748880522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2128616032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2877650925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2998459576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123502662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.328907251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3486172697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3360974174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3055616678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3258615401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3594553547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3962972726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3047618432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.262024306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2428482506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2301615895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2198430828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2988616329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2776964735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514588607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3825683853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.424191298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060579737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3286397081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3560938524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3779491315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4048726454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.344409302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3622514049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2129911324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.201768859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1888574379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1833337722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283974002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3006972676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3857577403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.476306147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1827231604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1625387278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1457972531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1365375915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1321328445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3447921399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3681292997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4011583168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4139101376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4239564744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3246442134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3528126363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.236305588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3954130006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4229665994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.292538615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275747734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3695450799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3973462659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4242917581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685215943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3009738581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3547758275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3894559849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4273162429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131076543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2848985374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2680818941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2498521456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2707220171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2557831226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2490429999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2431123575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358989985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2983224534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3116599617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3346163206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3563386708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3894321718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3656707267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.308496862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2532263497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2080068834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4740133317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2713006772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250623177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2259888207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2127309342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1902788183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2757030033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3113356737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3659383154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.388966224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4058676059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3120180228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3399290501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3682767911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.408898805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3143459406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2392781468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4050145138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4505256185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4931626244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3228436273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358499527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2069985187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4417358878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.468274422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3527349808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2194058658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2042310421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.192210004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1783887127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3534111431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3915349773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4320365186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4776414055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2972924921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2777002393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.242783753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4145589022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4422394598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3027994173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303415397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.305595271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016660544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2604527936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2964048631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3488109869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3996783609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4697329631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3457847675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3660048965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3851550887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4030975534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4140296925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.336213863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3620261819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3945986678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4250616438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4578284861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.328165842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3660933469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.409872725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4626561582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2992314358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2632410037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2485118012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4136820257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4321702231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2742978927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2400285754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4190193479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4398283543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4515009668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1444850258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1298204352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1216015937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1196496231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1223130002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3338590149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.372387887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1905014989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1675471728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142699989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3665091066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.318120125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230428742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288549526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1893154184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2626596654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994095387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3330686901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2304826591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1874318608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2882557771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3289046481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2178170908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1850118003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1504568025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.266079802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3182164249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3033428194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925927915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3420432113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2345866972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2268810973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2223399156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2200850519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2231374488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.201750767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1726736278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1522053533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1383134614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1240639556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3128404741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3420051733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3733111358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3943317119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.246019322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.346228505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2213286865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2090990314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1997350082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1918447395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2304003064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2185743684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3963148473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4134705322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2114938488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3110487058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753610818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703187261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2702508191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2771854441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.173200318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5561302245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1212573261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058676859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978068719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3367289372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3464567608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3645012687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.393690986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.42916247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0793428195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080870116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0858749913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0957637882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1172755067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787747665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795988973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0819406997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0855659025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0967631451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0790019468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801202574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0847257264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0930199886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1170016449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785475408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786022222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.079317081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0815716567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0865486232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"12486c21df689124f8fdad70760247dffe2b7696599748bcb5c7a738735285d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905290963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"12486c21df689124f8fdad70760247dffe2b7696599748bcb5c7a738735285d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10102448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"12486c21df689124f8fdad70760247dffe2b7696599748bcb5c7a738735285d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1191561758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"12486c21df689124f8fdad70760247dffe2b7696599748bcb5c7a738735285d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5830803179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"12486c21df689124f8fdad70760247dffe2b7696599748bcb5c7a738735285d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5089353637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1629786074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.184733006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4508675737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3960952161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3029140267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0901393716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0906440501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0932078964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977767747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1091289708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787065056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792248544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0816441108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0859207638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0933745316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.090156417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0914804081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956029257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103415373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1251243174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1128154459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132611702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1148168869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1181710007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1257244951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0900246906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905440962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0929704435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098239317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1113937282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0903745632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0914393629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956340164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1025830604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1210845719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786747677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0790794481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801715866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.082721649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0887897444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0384476409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.039434032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0840111403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919847683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1117107715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1817739351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1920875019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2139782632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303372437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2515200289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5472305598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.494408189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.19882382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352053927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2790505514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0819246089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920745404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1134834868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1434287393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1914375062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.15882409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1789330452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4783673881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361423475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2768459984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0901518716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905974595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0932347599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985654057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1123062221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0899076009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0902485091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920520447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0958313901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1017291116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1012700693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1013927957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1021383816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039931418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1075405269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7295202387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6704751826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6071710644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1526877677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"6f7f685d66034654244163c275aa8d4e22e72015e99d02a1161c5bc5e88ba444","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4670265556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0900223724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0907590038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931472604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.097844956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1070108032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7293569275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6711620803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.122194831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1453171725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.185031389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0897974649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0898521463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905351872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918488601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0970258252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2179509637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2381690091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2728869566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3160157052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3774310998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1824602941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1888147967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2014283479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2184325069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2360830714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0794610801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808350253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0871893461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003290302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1417469325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786849035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0790861735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812177955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.085190496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0967529179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114278936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.130074284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1501877846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4935945581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4301858951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1013881707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1014700225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1023932435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.105323951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1121471322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2156418884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216418479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2230645655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2324599567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2444864279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0907018338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0923382204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979165464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084198846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1330469912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.185419365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1955647511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2122100933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2321690496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2353079349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787747211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795248524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823348789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0872200732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1023791981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3335956378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.350090981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3621363543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3821180376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4091633097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0899076573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0902758366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0912850912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0936861659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0994149909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788793113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0789396745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0802396203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0831951003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0899565547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0901337808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0910066385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0944987513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1009631168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.117857321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2274827175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2371781067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2558688896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925679621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3335546999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.130642462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488241574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1802603089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.213182814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3685797994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0791303555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795804888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0821496187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0868484848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1015483401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.207691942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207373085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2429846431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2747119049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2938593981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0818427913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0898745553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1176607314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1310742772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1718921836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.069979235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0805882543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986108599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1258152218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1687103869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6856568984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6245164019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5500714497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4888243924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2198428825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5847737901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5321458218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4673430713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4086280342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3446688211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2695051612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2768187482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2919095555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048458318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3339365446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749551245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2841959712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3168422368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3650273453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.399256419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1072926195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1208061647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1455241797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1850239132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d563befa9ded6fdc765857663fceeb546cd5b983b2de7850615c037880a25390","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2290508888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1636194329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1759873783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2371190161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2234827445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3379910701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0791111733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080788662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0871995279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004119841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1398060365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0700139461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920484042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0975426853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071426205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1319037637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1013837049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1013974775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.102029655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10399496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1087119281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0793247174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0810157514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.085789401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0945291148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1175164142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0901246899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905340508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920404952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0953337911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1025256062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3402289982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3630377808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3955789871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1944921295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1779671262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3235215185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3404296138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3618212342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2226686726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2082188223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3331807043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2346117094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2200145442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2071896181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1908556011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3345819902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3622797807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2083836071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4184265222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4603340766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3252322747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3501876014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2188905558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2029180603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1825189638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3276455554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353944998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3526558379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3689752433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3935780801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3310954031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2325481532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2212427933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4077830565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BALL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.195350067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.321496673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3476828812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2126979633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1992752977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1743667952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3360121361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3579791625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2133286709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2012195364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4542442434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3056178488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3212278522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2445062998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2310423495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"BXP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3884491399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3128166422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.336796132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.232446824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2234410105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.210966121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3292004013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2408216638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247990676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3876465794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.422881508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3180363138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2465498924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2359183487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288569486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2130343085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3373015558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2259368949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3962151512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4284961451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4702315086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3265959604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3421098555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3510013992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3647963583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3842641828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3345184783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3525955819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2202239003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3985521206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4279111251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3786710347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2130128002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.193344565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1785905487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4857705593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3274242555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3491676725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3752478665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4033936515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.435694079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3190214206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3369510571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2347575839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3747857303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2067709807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3228318982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410694875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2227200408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2098895809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1896006734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3178725204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3345342474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3534721542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3703198063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3982200708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3285564735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.348770676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3689259636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3877858425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4192591811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3142878683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3400788968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3667490969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3893041651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4213221969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3170858263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.25296505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3458941799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2345436641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2242712033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3265709109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3383929178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2378765015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.232313805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2262945989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3259550786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3462463623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3692112202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3951955712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"FTV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4264504539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3068499087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3311249974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361276583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2212835068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4226135562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3235818878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3407861988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3597275619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2285767267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2224242435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3181980053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2449557008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.229957289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.215001202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1955159118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3419070854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229622282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.201174181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1805656564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1560067619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3231264169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3386859473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HES","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3568844093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HES","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.372822855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HES","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.397922131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3225091348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3423985014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.232227308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3867558376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2042229847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3103323761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230658719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2451895283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2340574984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2218526753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"JNPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3192532379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"JNPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3327915092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"JNPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2325615907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"JNPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2196638436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"JNPR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2044845868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3116008094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3264319275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2429071832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3726129002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2153612517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3213355666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3397019244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3569983909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3756253095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"LKQ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4023046859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3427425398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.368270268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2095840311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4231638645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4616994667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3176865523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3398919216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3686490197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2080836891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4392192908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3194473448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3363300538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317392589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.220820881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4067662759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3071162819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3220618215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2452883423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2327761231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3992272061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3406130819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2302456221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2121521964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1975051261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.178583026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138064934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2634634734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2658718781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2679711164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2680033012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3292671483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3486047563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.223776511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2127942033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2051243313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3257780357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3438433982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2224073266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2057542487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1879120367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3266676421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3470571508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.372350334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3945376187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4254972822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3272342968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3434353433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3649468941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3886777682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4179955368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3402819064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2327650622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2195432276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2088290368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1958127449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3228335317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3428963902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3576102528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3750088246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2114578862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223142657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3398047565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2344913646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2262914083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2167138463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3228647917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525508691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2460231289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2394071795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2277903004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3384259771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3560968258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3751717563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3942707534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4248356522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3379549451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3600894976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2108853332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4185435826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4540659674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3317818853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2407831473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2298952326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2209869479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2117880613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129730814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3397144867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.370353609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.398630713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4382223157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3446264943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2272049561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2100073418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1977111253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4456390232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.329186586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2341893539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2107539531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1965125813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1727348956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3291004531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.242290447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3599596669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3712109205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3986748896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TRGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3337962252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TRGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3507416446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TRGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3708302533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TRGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3934450764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TRGP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1963113557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3215966612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3419779551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3669603656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.390301863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1935898824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3349557935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2284426342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2131006828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2008738709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1845585421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3147025959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3257943241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3385608686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2353506132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3740061514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3219107188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2420903399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2278023919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2129897776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4279802492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3269742155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3498602147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2193639712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2057114684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4419273292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"01346d2f460ef9641cbbfd76f83cd6c68f49ca5505adbd7b92226bba95c0acd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0495155007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"01346d2f460ef9641cbbfd76f83cd6c68f49ca5505adbd7b92226bba95c0acd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0500774999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"01346d2f460ef9641cbbfd76f83cd6c68f49ca5505adbd7b92226bba95c0acd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516274979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"01346d2f460ef9641cbbfd76f83cd6c68f49ca5505adbd7b92226bba95c0acd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053765495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"01346d2f460ef9641cbbfd76f83cd6c68f49ca5505adbd7b92226bba95c0acd9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0577914896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"04ef52919fbff0c898a66545abe81eb03f40128e63e348a09f662d1524035f59","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2446217978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"04ef52919fbff0c898a66545abe81eb03f40128e63e348a09f662d1524035f59","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2498342708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"04ef52919fbff0c898a66545abe81eb03f40128e63e348a09f662d1524035f59","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3286935645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"04ef52919fbff0c898a66545abe81eb03f40128e63e348a09f662d1524035f59","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2705321629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"04ef52919fbff0c898a66545abe81eb03f40128e63e348a09f662d1524035f59","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.331304561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"06bf81855d0b29e01f018e03f1a7f5e7d14d7d4a874f2a644d360da8671f18eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3527430921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"06bf81855d0b29e01f018e03f1a7f5e7d14d7d4a874f2a644d360da8671f18eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3453191021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"06bf81855d0b29e01f018e03f1a7f5e7d14d7d4a874f2a644d360da8671f18eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642232114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"06bf81855d0b29e01f018e03f1a7f5e7d14d7d4a874f2a644d360da8671f18eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2398514042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"06bf81855d0b29e01f018e03f1a7f5e7d14d7d4a874f2a644d360da8671f18eb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925151733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2117190021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2175783943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2063604894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.237805207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"087192bb1e0199a05ee75c95ab956741c530e1a4fd3aa2b6255395be26208616","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2255762635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"0dd12a60709b51a48dc9ecfb7cbcfef768e7ba9e9c6003a20439531ac9691359","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2902030164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"0dd12a60709b51a48dc9ecfb7cbcfef768e7ba9e9c6003a20439531ac9691359","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050901963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"0dd12a60709b51a48dc9ecfb7cbcfef768e7ba9e9c6003a20439531ac9691359","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3004831625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"0dd12a60709b51a48dc9ecfb7cbcfef768e7ba9e9c6003a20439531ac9691359","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2950191699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"0dd12a60709b51a48dc9ecfb7cbcfef768e7ba9e9c6003a20439531ac9691359","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2922911736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1678ff4d972c0e2681335a82169058b070b29e29d6f61603d2599df99658c6aa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571706904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1678ff4d972c0e2681335a82169058b070b29e29d6f61603d2599df99658c6aa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0565767712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1678ff4d972c0e2681335a82169058b070b29e29d6f61603d2599df99658c6aa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578899294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1678ff4d972c0e2681335a82169058b070b29e29d6f61603d2599df99658c6aa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583560488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1678ff4d972c0e2681335a82169058b070b29e29d6f61603d2599df99658c6aa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583776888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1db71fd02cb758d7185a72907ddb21b70de676e5495c2ffe5ecaec5575cea1cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0471715039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1db71fd02cb758d7185a72907ddb21b70de676e5495c2ffe5ecaec5575cea1cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533354956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1db71fd02cb758d7185a72907ddb21b70de676e5495c2ffe5ecaec5575cea1cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621234837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1db71fd02cb758d7185a72907ddb21b70de676e5495c2ffe5ecaec5575cea1cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0716714709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"1db71fd02cb758d7185a72907ddb21b70de676e5495c2ffe5ecaec5575cea1cc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851084527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0764444644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0770604636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803324592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0862044513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961044379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"289abed405f394cb2086add019b4ebbbf42e4b5eff27aa0736d2019941e4d87e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931778819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"289abed405f394cb2086add019b4ebbbf42e4b5eff27aa0736d2019941e4d87e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1045088666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"289abed405f394cb2086add019b4ebbbf42e4b5eff27aa0736d2019941e4d87e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6403534646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"289abed405f394cb2086add019b4ebbbf42e4b5eff27aa0736d2019941e4d87e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1386872206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"289abed405f394cb2086add019b4ebbbf42e4b5eff27aa0736d2019941e4d87e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1537033603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0458965456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0459969854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0462381051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465275447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"291ffb284a54ae015ded44e3721c9a02a3cc401c44adb359bc158cb30b37883a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0471195439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2286007572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2671735052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.275464374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2823262848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827485642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2e9bf49fbd8cf69bb990cacdfd11a224aad78e42e2596dcaa07cc0e927ab9f60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065607479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2e9bf49fbd8cf69bb990cacdfd11a224aad78e42e2596dcaa07cc0e927ab9f60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0668114774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2e9bf49fbd8cf69bb990cacdfd11a224aad78e42e2596dcaa07cc0e927ab9f60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0704954724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2e9bf49fbd8cf69bb990cacdfd11a224aad78e42e2596dcaa07cc0e927ab9f60","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0769834637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"2e9bf49fbd8cf69bb990cacdfd11a224aad78e42e2596dcaa07cc0e927ab9f60","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0860154515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0577714896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058167489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059711487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620804838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654934792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"32ecb5fbf7ab2c59696abf324eb8a90efc1ec8eac6d200a3381c2b3b5a8a3e25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0368995177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"32ecb5fbf7ab2c59696abf324eb8a90efc1ec8eac6d200a3381c2b3b5a8a3e25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0375795168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"32ecb5fbf7ab2c59696abf324eb8a90efc1ec8eac6d200a3381c2b3b5a8a3e25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0387795152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"32ecb5fbf7ab2c59696abf324eb8a90efc1ec8eac6d200a3381c2b3b5a8a3e25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.040427513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"32ecb5fbf7ab2c59696abf324eb8a90efc1ec8eac6d200a3381c2b3b5a8a3e25","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435255088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"34c7dd508c00dc86583a6e768ad4a7064663f6e9369dbc86be68408195bf3cbb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607376456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"34c7dd508c00dc86583a6e768ad4a7064663f6e9369dbc86be68408195bf3cbb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625794431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"34c7dd508c00dc86583a6e768ad4a7064663f6e9369dbc86be68408195bf3cbb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669587172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"34c7dd508c00dc86583a6e768ad4a7064663f6e9369dbc86be68408195bf3cbb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726824695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"34c7dd508c00dc86583a6e768ad4a7064663f6e9369dbc86be68408195bf3cbb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0805260989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"36ab4a290a05f75d8eb1e71171c9e8e0c6f5d8297be1c8866dfd38886e145a93","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0572845702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"36ab4a290a05f75d8eb1e71171c9e8e0c6f5d8297be1c8866dfd38886e145a93","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560952518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"36ab4a290a05f75d8eb1e71171c9e8e0c6f5d8297be1c8866dfd38886e145a93","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573758901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"36ab4a290a05f75d8eb1e71171c9e8e0c6f5d8297be1c8866dfd38886e145a93","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0565334913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"36ab4a290a05f75d8eb1e71171c9e8e0c6f5d8297be1c8866dfd38886e145a93","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573430902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"47b122a15d33dccb5903da83e0bb13cc3cb06893b0cfe6419c6cca692285ce7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1694412991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"47b122a15d33dccb5903da83e0bb13cc3cb06893b0cfe6419c6cca692285ce7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1836740799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"47b122a15d33dccb5903da83e0bb13cc3cb06893b0cfe6419c6cca692285ce7d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2001106578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"47b122a15d33dccb5903da83e0bb13cc3cb06893b0cfe6419c6cca692285ce7d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2403082036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"47b122a15d33dccb5903da83e0bb13cc3cb06893b0cfe6419c6cca692285ce7d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2002583376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3356551152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3345311167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3720871061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3378591122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3345551166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1730794142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1547694389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.138327741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1239198405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1100524691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5182040bcc5023c539f2179cdbb79210af27d717f12924ea1de4f4d8469def46","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0647391206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5182040bcc5023c539f2179cdbb79210af27d717f12924ea1de4f4d8469def46","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646057308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5182040bcc5023c539f2179cdbb79210af27d717f12924ea1de4f4d8469def46","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644508022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5182040bcc5023c539f2179cdbb79210af27d717f12924ea1de4f4d8469def46","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657788904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5182040bcc5023c539f2179cdbb79210af27d717f12924ea1de4f4d8469def46","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651826432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0404675129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424475102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0460925053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0504524994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579516493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"61b3cdc53bca4d48c5fd124c3f8545264a0aa971f01eb39818b57c26b1cc1a39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530731359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"61b3cdc53bca4d48c5fd124c3f8545264a0aa971f01eb39818b57c26b1cc1a39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542573343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"61b3cdc53bca4d48c5fd124c3f8545264a0aa971f01eb39818b57c26b1cc1a39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571312504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"61b3cdc53bca4d48c5fd124c3f8545264a0aa971f01eb39818b57c26b1cc1a39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.101220471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"61b3cdc53bca4d48c5fd124c3f8545264a0aa971f01eb39818b57c26b1cc1a39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823370965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"6b6534d83caa2ab09073e8cf5621b00727e3e5fa2163fa164a5c8bf0120a6e45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1497632056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"6b6534d83caa2ab09073e8cf5621b00727e3e5fa2163fa164a5c8bf0120a6e45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1592787128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"6b6534d83caa2ab09073e8cf5621b00727e3e5fa2163fa164a5c8bf0120a6e45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1720913755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"6b6534d83caa2ab09073e8cf5621b00727e3e5fa2163fa164a5c8bf0120a6e45","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1885650733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"6b6534d83caa2ab09073e8cf5621b00727e3e5fa2163fa164a5c8bf0120a6e45","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1587083136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0793474605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0945748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1122005762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1314059504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1489792067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"72a1ee6ec5369a218ebd324247b811acef9e1f29eda329bd8b62d688ee8171dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549634934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"72a1ee6ec5369a218ebd324247b811acef9e1f29eda329bd8b62d688ee8171dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0568154909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"72a1ee6ec5369a218ebd324247b811acef9e1f29eda329bd8b62d688ee8171dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608874854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"72a1ee6ec5369a218ebd324247b811acef9e1f29eda329bd8b62d688ee8171dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669434772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"72a1ee6ec5369a218ebd324247b811acef9e1f29eda329bd8b62d688ee8171dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755874656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1608011108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1752767713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.197002542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2178516339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.234857211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610834851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629154827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662034782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0704354725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"78d6917390816489f411fbbe13dc5bb599199fa8018654ae6aec2f536fec2217","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0768044639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4304349385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2111584873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2313365002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2548091085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8a25a2cb44d0e40e39c32a0b1358e9e9b81dbd8e28297a5ed67c1789d5f75867","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3015869655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0758435052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0661605183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667805174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0674325166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"8e55cc35b2a7ca4dd631d71ce91243c429a1c52e95c1275ec94e572f551c3008","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687645148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"93aa2a0ea71cd9e300047c9bf899b60e5fdaf27d94d2e7a2a0df99bcfa308436","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669128773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"93aa2a0ea71cd9e300047c9bf899b60e5fdaf27d94d2e7a2a0df99bcfa308436","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0679368759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"93aa2a0ea71cd9e300047c9bf899b60e5fdaf27d94d2e7a2a0df99bcfa308436","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0697251535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"93aa2a0ea71cd9e300047c9bf899b60e5fdaf27d94d2e7a2a0df99bcfa308436","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0716535109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"93aa2a0ea71cd9e300047c9bf899b60e5fdaf27d94d2e7a2a0df99bcfa308436","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0747184667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0994715534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0882475685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771477035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0701999128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672567968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"97cedbe084f58bc06c3f359c95175c8ad2dc6b7f0f42c4f46f351cee04545b5f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465125048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"97cedbe084f58bc06c3f359c95175c8ad2dc6b7f0f42c4f46f351cee04545b5f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0471885038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"97cedbe084f58bc06c3f359c95175c8ad2dc6b7f0f42c4f46f351cee04545b5f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0488534616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"97cedbe084f58bc06c3f359c95175c8ad2dc6b7f0f42c4f46f351cee04545b5f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508754989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"97cedbe084f58bc06c3f359c95175c8ad2dc6b7f0f42c4f46f351cee04545b5f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543644942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755714656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0773274632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795434602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0836154548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"99f588e6c99abd595cf5966b589ee96d47b79f60e1fe4a6854d2c202707fa254","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0900754461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a0d2baecd6388ca8f245a6513ac524fbd2bb7373b731507ca867f83dff32160f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461264653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a0d2baecd6388ca8f245a6513ac524fbd2bb7373b731507ca867f83dff32160f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0447017872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a0d2baecd6388ca8f245a6513ac524fbd2bb7373b731507ca867f83dff32160f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0458400257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a0d2baecd6388ca8f245a6513ac524fbd2bb7373b731507ca867f83dff32160f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0458700656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a0d2baecd6388ca8f245a6513ac524fbd2bb7373b731507ca867f83dff32160f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465156647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a2b7d2eef6052a544f0c41f8b37d78fdc2ef0142c75beaec35e470404ca66e45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664581279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a2b7d2eef6052a544f0c41f8b37d78fdc2ef0142c75beaec35e470404ca66e45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0776282228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a2b7d2eef6052a544f0c41f8b37d78fdc2ef0142c75beaec35e470404ca66e45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0776181428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a2b7d2eef6052a544f0c41f8b37d78fdc2ef0142c75beaec35e470404ca66e45","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795320603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a2b7d2eef6052a544f0c41f8b37d78fdc2ef0142c75beaec35e470404ca66e45","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812796179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0361235588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0361885587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0364445583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0368715577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0379525563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b489198fc9888524b4b01cdb8c998d7e789c3cc90cc055c12af051d14dec9f44","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533715355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b489198fc9888524b4b01cdb8c998d7e789c3cc90cc055c12af051d14dec9f44","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053743535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b489198fc9888524b4b01cdb8c998d7e789c3cc90cc055c12af051d14dec9f44","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554915327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b489198fc9888524b4b01cdb8c998d7e789c3cc90cc055c12af051d14dec9f44","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583755288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b489198fc9888524b4b01cdb8c998d7e789c3cc90cc055c12af051d14dec9f44","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063364522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b645702d9ab82f363e85a7a5b29284b4f8c7c37605751c248de2368116deab0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610277252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b645702d9ab82f363e85a7a5b29284b4f8c7c37605751c248de2368116deab0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649854799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b645702d9ab82f363e85a7a5b29284b4f8c7c37605751c248de2368116deab0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683934753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b645702d9ab82f363e85a7a5b29284b4f8c7c37605751c248de2368116deab0a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0739224278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b645702d9ab82f363e85a7a5b29284b4f8c7c37605751c248de2368116deab0a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.07970002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b6df1144753f09655180469ba0dbefbb2d85ed8dbbede072091e18e2a4892c9b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0415315115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b6df1144753f09655180469ba0dbefbb2d85ed8dbbede072091e18e2a4892c9b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0423555104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b6df1144753f09655180469ba0dbefbb2d85ed8dbbede072091e18e2a4892c9b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0445075075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b6df1144753f09655180469ba0dbefbb2d85ed8dbbede072091e18e2a4892c9b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.047843503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"b6df1144753f09655180469ba0dbefbb2d85ed8dbbede072091e18e2a4892c9b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8541874165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"bd1840614a15c545c07afcd710445f23a31d995c45513709f17eab6295015796","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2619874644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"bd1840614a15c545c07afcd710445f23a31d995c45513709f17eab6295015796","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3083720419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"bd1840614a15c545c07afcd710445f23a31d995c45513709f17eab6295015796","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2831409159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"bd1840614a15c545c07afcd710445f23a31d995c45513709f17eab6295015796","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2833727156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"bd1840614a15c545c07afcd710445f23a31d995c45513709f17eab6295015796","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2784599222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c3a81dc8c2f068e7ca9dd3d25639ed1f2f373f98f657e1b416487a41e0d41b39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536494951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c3a81dc8c2f068e7ca9dd3d25639ed1f2f373f98f657e1b416487a41e0d41b39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0452205065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c3a81dc8c2f068e7ca9dd3d25639ed1f2f373f98f657e1b416487a41e0d41b39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0484535021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c3a81dc8c2f068e7ca9dd3d25639ed1f2f373f98f657e1b416487a41e0d41b39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523044969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c3a81dc8c2f068e7ca9dd3d25639ed1f2f373f98f657e1b416487a41e0d41b39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581474491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c8d60c43bf2daee08cf23fbcf43bb1bca6d6ab9c78b1afa098980503d27c5a21","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.045606546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c8d60c43bf2daee08cf23fbcf43bb1bca6d6ab9c78b1afa098980503d27c5a21","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0459659855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c8d60c43bf2daee08cf23fbcf43bb1bca6d6ab9c78b1afa098980503d27c5a21","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0466995045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c8d60c43bf2daee08cf23fbcf43bb1bca6d6ab9c78b1afa098980503d27c5a21","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0476391032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"c8d60c43bf2daee08cf23fbcf43bb1bca6d6ab9c78b1afa098980503d27c5a21","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0489575415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb29650b335fca5835a355588909fac8272a36c806b962d5e4b387fa79dc4531","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3236154914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb29650b335fca5835a355588909fac8272a36c806b962d5e4b387fa79dc4531","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752470365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb29650b335fca5835a355588909fac8272a36c806b962d5e4b387fa79dc4531","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3333021583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb29650b335fca5835a355588909fac8272a36c806b962d5e4b387fa79dc4531","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2644734511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb29650b335fca5835a355588909fac8272a36c806b962d5e4b387fa79dc4531","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3137391847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb932dbe1f047788e6c93dbf758ba668616058a1a8d51231540e0191317bc5e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1391949399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb932dbe1f047788e6c93dbf758ba668616058a1a8d51231540e0191317bc5e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1643751859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb932dbe1f047788e6c93dbf758ba668616058a1a8d51231540e0191317bc5e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1713900965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb932dbe1f047788e6c93dbf758ba668616058a1a8d51231540e0191317bc5e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264032624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cb932dbe1f047788e6c93dbf758ba668616058a1a8d51231540e0191317bc5e3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1904927507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605554858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061187485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637554815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0677034762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0737404681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d149d458a84b8af482a7f3192891cc49d422e10dd35cd8ee7eca63dbf654f973","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055267493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d149d458a84b8af482a7f3192891cc49d422e10dd35cd8ee7eca63dbf654f973","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0598114868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d149d458a84b8af482a7f3192891cc49d422e10dd35cd8ee7eca63dbf654f973","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664634779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d149d458a84b8af482a7f3192891cc49d422e10dd35cd8ee7eca63dbf654f973","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0740914676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d149d458a84b8af482a7f3192891cc49d422e10dd35cd8ee7eca63dbf654f973","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851834526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1712444967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1684569804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1719700957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1855004775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2064151293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0832132153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981197952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1172560494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1208200446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1296163928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689394745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0734834684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0821354568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0924794428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d39e95460bd2384aade687b3a48a43a25ebc2b40af32e909e16059ff217df3fb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062274243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3011161217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2751969566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3264037676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3271360866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3401535491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d4b970811ce22f5d73dedc6e95ee9114d05c84d28295b1464e0bef8321b5fb5f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052247497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d4b970811ce22f5d73dedc6e95ee9114d05c84d28295b1464e0bef8321b5fb5f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055255493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d4b970811ce22f5d73dedc6e95ee9114d05c84d28295b1464e0bef8321b5fb5f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0577634896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d4b970811ce22f5d73dedc6e95ee9114d05c84d28295b1464e0bef8321b5fb5f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061163485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"d4b970811ce22f5d73dedc6e95ee9114d05c84d28295b1464e0bef8321b5fb5f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666594776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549554934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588074882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656644789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0741564675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"dd94c666b5ce990c07314ec545df22d59b849ccf8cb47d5ea16a99c5370db7e2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.084896453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e16aa58414ab685dcbf27d5676d53540a64c6885367888f37e33104c10830b4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0575314899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e16aa58414ab685dcbf27d5676d53540a64c6885367888f37e33104c10830b4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0585754885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e16aa58414ab685dcbf27d5676d53540a64c6885367888f37e33104c10830b4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605994858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e16aa58414ab685dcbf27d5676d53540a64c6885367888f37e33104c10830b4b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622114836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e16aa58414ab685dcbf27d5676d53540a64c6885367888f37e33104c10830b4b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065635479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e18b494129e21e38576f3660e4860f03204be6e21fe472ce8f819b0dddc65f7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0501034999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e18b494129e21e38576f3660e4860f03204be6e21fe472ce8f819b0dddc65f7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528714962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e18b494129e21e38576f3660e4860f03204be6e21fe472ce8f819b0dddc65f7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0572074903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e18b494129e21e38576f3660e4860f03204be6e21fe472ce8f819b0dddc65f7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0630314825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e18b494129e21e38576f3660e4860f03204be6e21fe472ce8f819b0dddc65f7e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0709994718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e1c4f9a9452636eb6e31eedf81a584bdd7b12454aa527fe1c09a897a61e2aa12","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0354216401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e1c4f9a9452636eb6e31eedf81a584bdd7b12454aa527fe1c09a897a61e2aa12","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0355126412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e1c4f9a9452636eb6e31eedf81a584bdd7b12454aa527fe1c09a897a61e2aa12","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0356016431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e1c4f9a9452636eb6e31eedf81a584bdd7b12454aa527fe1c09a897a61e2aa12","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0358046492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e1c4f9a9452636eb6e31eedf81a584bdd7b12454aa527fe1c09a897a61e2aa12","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0364377983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e637425ec78336f6e8acd29b79225f27778c9c236b868d80390ab62a72a45ce1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540274946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e637425ec78336f6e8acd29b79225f27778c9c236b868d80390ab62a72a45ce1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579394894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e637425ec78336f6e8acd29b79225f27778c9c236b868d80390ab62a72a45ce1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0650834797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e637425ec78336f6e8acd29b79225f27778c9c236b868d80390ab62a72a45ce1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0757074654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e637425ec78336f6e8acd29b79225f27778c9c236b868d80390ab62a72a45ce1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0899874462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e695043883121c76960bc3b860860e325016c2756d85e900d10438cb06953227","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.070051473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e695043883121c76960bc3b860860e325016c2756d85e900d10438cb06953227","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0722114701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e695043883121c76960bc3b860860e325016c2756d85e900d10438cb06953227","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0753834659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e695043883121c76960bc3b860860e325016c2756d85e900d10438cb06953227","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0790554609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e695043883121c76960bc3b860860e325016c2756d85e900d10438cb06953227","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0844734536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e79c1be1b29a98b535d7a6ff51d1bd13b47d52d48f227be80a1c010eaa831448","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3318511203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e79c1be1b29a98b535d7a6ff51d1bd13b47d52d48f227be80a1c010eaa831448","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3347471164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e79c1be1b29a98b535d7a6ff51d1bd13b47d52d48f227be80a1c010eaa831448","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897991769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e79c1be1b29a98b535d7a6ff51d1bd13b47d52d48f227be80a1c010eaa831448","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.343207105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"e79c1be1b29a98b535d7a6ff51d1bd13b47d52d48f227be80a1c010eaa831448","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3009791619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"eec5a3f4a5b21837462ec4a0655d61d9ba268f27fe67895815faf8106313fbcd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0395835141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"eec5a3f4a5b21837462ec4a0655d61d9ba268f27fe67895815faf8106313fbcd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0400045135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"eec5a3f4a5b21837462ec4a0655d61d9ba268f27fe67895815faf8106313fbcd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0409915122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"eec5a3f4a5b21837462ec4a0655d61d9ba268f27fe67895815faf8106313fbcd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0425355101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"eec5a3f4a5b21837462ec4a0655d61d9ba268f27fe67895815faf8106313fbcd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0453885063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0473795436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0488005417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514195381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548285335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595915271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f65749ad3b8944a143570b2d6cd637d4403ca99adce244370d94fe0103513a25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3490510971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f65749ad3b8944a143570b2d6cd637d4403ca99adce244370d94fe0103513a25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2885432186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f65749ad3b8944a143570b2d6cd637d4403ca99adce244370d94fe0103513a25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3003511627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f65749ad3b8944a143570b2d6cd637d4403ca99adce244370d94fe0103513a25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3213551344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f65749ad3b8944a143570b2d6cd637d4403ca99adce244370d94fe0103513a25","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3217511339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f7989f0020b1bef6f2c996d436a026789ba7c39ed63e336e5f39efa8f78e3a0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2144272785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f7989f0020b1bef6f2c996d436a026789ba7c39ed63e336e5f39efa8f78e3a0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3634695177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f7989f0020b1bef6f2c996d436a026789ba7c39ed63e336e5f39efa8f78e3a0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3661128341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f7989f0020b1bef6f2c996d436a026789ba7c39ed63e336e5f39efa8f78e3a0a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3508295347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"f7989f0020b1bef6f2c996d436a026789ba7c39ed63e336e5f39efa8f78e3a0a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2417712417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"fc8cfdcf5a4ac34bdd7c926c9425a3763038eb1a7d20ab356d41e2be4e8f8176","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2478962334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"fc8cfdcf5a4ac34bdd7c926c9425a3763038eb1a7d20ab356d41e2be4e8f8176","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2232010267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"fc8cfdcf5a4ac34bdd7c926c9425a3763038eb1a7d20ab356d41e2be4e8f8176","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270044216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"fc8cfdcf5a4ac34bdd7c926c9425a3763038eb1a7d20ab356d41e2be4e8f8176","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2262761025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"acled","id":"fc8cfdcf5a4ac34bdd7c926c9425a3763038eb1a7d20ab356d41e2be4e8f8176","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2421350812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3581870848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1650760783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096808847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2918135105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3100391497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3768870596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1515111606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0872884455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984686895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3069031539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3698277524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1397637392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0797674599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2353742459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3284871248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3469850028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1669998283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0697972528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3717556134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3437031043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2427512403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1629277504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854758365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3442698214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3152191427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3916562216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1486424153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0591878463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3830547296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3523550926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3547287294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1539485368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0834115362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748505016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3576736455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3427184434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1690177175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792245497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.274157859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3256671286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3704839796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1420663484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0752227791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3340466475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3327396103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3678394923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1434987945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0799525331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3372860857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3030473877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3564860831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1564285857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0824497706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3643028729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3567484711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3725804353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1548005592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0951886279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3923320527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184151384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4193710023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1301574311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607927179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4080535895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3581310849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3576052885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1683738223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0597618678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3844800386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3354151155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.347496001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1703010581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0757159034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263057207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.320188296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4010174555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1239450208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0586843669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2222443425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3990044452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4023793778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1317636515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0852114526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722534023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3500442254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4215166914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.108614463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4103562034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3608594063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3741350633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1418002477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.070602934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3719693232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532310915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3786085546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1419656639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0725461687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2674272671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316286983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3582279128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1251553249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0577310438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2409641825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3288215332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3822707032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1462834159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0762130959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2373008917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3508433655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3787878163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5724576638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607674855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2185522256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3554748456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.403303024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1307686456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614804454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3990483541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3682790712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3642945944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1410892012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766724098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2830923904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3174993036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3567259213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904810279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.428030113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3481156233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4005140882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0594594873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.251112042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3548914131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.240735243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1387133504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655555191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2453297722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3207871352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303638371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1232961552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064175481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2392363759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3520874403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3560392953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1445169848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588547989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3232029048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3106711488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3687794349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1608506137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0893109241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2622055262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3250558729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.386967046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.140185759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580171356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2977481174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3361511145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3771453643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1441318098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0671754769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525790138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3196944151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4113930588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1239783573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.070075473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1869099627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3878694995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2129491035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1173354093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.070043473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1989352994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2439428349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4089704909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1373097448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683394753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2304165222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3911230404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3632549653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1480272078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765674643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2052352909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2658425377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2861711818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.307571153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.359483083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.281571188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.280835189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3107431487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3436271044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4097590153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3216071341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.340931108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3185805427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3094231505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3341631172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2979631659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3656830747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3624731858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4631109434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6676146679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3159111418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3631070782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2992250651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.325280519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3802642375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.332187757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3497033032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353352636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3764230602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4657709398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2985591651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3250523632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207327164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1139874138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673554767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1854353176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2206912223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2426659772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4721429312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982114351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3808445604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3376471125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4779596053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2700423063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3692359271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4736510637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1497786778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.465551224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3855144118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2975395841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4415193901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2187876902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3596595004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2813717234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3104042609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3509169055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3922974229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4408147873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2776454567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3044814825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3343479944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3660395107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4060769695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2723573798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3025691871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3361858112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3771932469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4218765979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2940646477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3157760938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.346248278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3736852096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4141866053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2868333256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3157073141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3481984137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3807563945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.418244855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2328914341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2141167635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1931643483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1760706226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1571237351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2939257541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3221920223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3580410841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3969468081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4390891867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689661954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2975253981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3291910436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3627539151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3996948863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2819270779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048780582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3364766895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3629492193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3995440688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3091657888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307924399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3563522217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3871818728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4251466485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3018257139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3332287989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3657062774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4052117137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4414827416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2828475366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3095814545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3416494153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.374593812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4085642731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2337300988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2185030219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2062943922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1955201732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4469448357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3614515581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223435609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2915068473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2603133115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4005432268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2028817731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.181014672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1666063205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1571435837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1423815641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1076315715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0901051609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080311453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2559494046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.242574935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3713097968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2212870776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2157974601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2958442657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3282847051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3666327946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4044566921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4384008144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2521531621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2406652844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.233962856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.361235838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2307212861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2938517027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690497583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3236022021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2507357592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3517695983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2989903057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295445727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3192757663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3445333651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3760967045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.265718252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.297636292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835779244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.271719239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2621489425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2672962338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2561576278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496458926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2488035185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2471256976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3226542438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2439629371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3579566869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3790778826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4011011311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2921827698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2622888995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3484955643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.383013269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4237323188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3176260802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.238638279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2234501795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3964251142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1974323395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3067192251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2482424603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2282081706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3880192014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4134342121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722735588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514625592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2268690407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3894957442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4202693656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2908297751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3094280042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3415068048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3894989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4173551446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3404687951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2133463733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1920630821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1720126858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1528626318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1719160631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1508939692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1360708628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1250445774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218066505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3215978748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2485029275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2291121987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4057504115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.447263217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2746204089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2531180107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361157529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3928864893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4208773133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2050666487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2381619909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2845444677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3359595113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.396199443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2531627867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2986663368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3416615398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3905602179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4291866808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2793122774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050295165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3282258171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2549120654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649430097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2955832637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263950414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.243724405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1550019945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1745040258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2011472607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.229401667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2680348467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.391932953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4056205465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4157740154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4307685341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4489516639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.327327825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.352475489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2173322066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.194558519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1720203516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2815833565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3331984118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3539029232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3723510401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3995641969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3461187021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2165294628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1955583099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1800172908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1637089112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3952797435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574920323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2942838254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.260419669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2198420336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3454082142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.282289448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096463222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388755515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.365652271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3039941113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3431279602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3827548265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4207991387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4631019697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.291068524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3126055013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3387098678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3709056163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042884877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081296971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2888964498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2948637063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3331642398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2333720051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2336108683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3887294701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4039856532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3321493806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3220805113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3582299374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.384995323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4225605935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3876381023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2623682777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887626893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3160189819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3092865204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2314358573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750649164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277783724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3774714537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1978252791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3056460487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2862706717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2698223569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610025758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529379964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2473645322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2780371621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131204342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3487546131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2256407599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1836742087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1620848996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1468508044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1359434295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1270515789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2856084491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295632946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3104907257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3245775509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3416866684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2567977155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685786405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2845965513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3015616088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3265035825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2156632653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2039114145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4350552574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1764904598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1629824407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2759657085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2467230854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2241164561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3967926987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4200075903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2718990938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892495588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3015158468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2964489105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2924869199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701542672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2822057456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3067114059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2997010526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897047926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3601396112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3836778917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4096675985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4372058906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4713716273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3642143001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.358937826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.261046997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3624407772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3724745862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1016875104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1028166289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1067205836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1149604125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1372833824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.082680496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0838356145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0883238084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959124382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143154134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2269712616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2257072633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2305672567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2418335961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646474049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1896393119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1986312998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2127872807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2313672557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2532752711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823794664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833954951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0876118094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961059979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1197604061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2062352895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2211632694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2465512352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2715712015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3018911606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0815835475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823395765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851598927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.091603044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1117727768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2668752078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775631934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.299367164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3207911352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3541000317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1025314293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104434186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1268953964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1464593701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1867113158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918834836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0930316021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0974044362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1061514244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1297273926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717836307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726197496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0761216649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.083467655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1020934299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1018004819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1023725131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1051168454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104792986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1270573962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.091587524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0926916425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962278378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1042964669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1244443997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0917876037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925678427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0966288772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1038646275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1169645698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0749314665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803034592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0924714428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.113119415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1584513539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1023794295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1056634251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1125514158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1252993986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1541353597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919914935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0933725216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0967397571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1026170692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1174059692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1018114402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1030794685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1082277816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1189419672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1449283721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1322028745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5663473351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1686773952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4556478757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3918232853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1002954323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111754176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1200994056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1322593892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1526353618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918804536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0935694413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981557952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062629842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1287843939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.091592524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.092377763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0958544383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033644281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218794032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071354231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1172634094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.13911538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1668883426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2089553259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2106712836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2209872697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2325352541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2491880357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.277876267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0942124443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1198088095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5251105938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4535840665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3758508292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1014956307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1023568295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1054244654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1121154164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1272633959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827474659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0845434935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0892358072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098313995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1194764064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1015995505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1022726696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1052801456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.111643057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8479becc589b4ebdee63d615cf02da764ddabaef498f07dca6c62faf2c51d4fa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1280277149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1708353372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1796393254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1975673012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2135889748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2093685328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0916914539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931244819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0974604361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.106415424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1291273934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367552484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2426232405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2543672247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703775817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3071839154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918804836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0932994817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988834742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1117274569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1476403685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1022954796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1028795088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1067598236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1128820153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"91e191b62004ae99aeefa0037c2e5412ac308a9ef2aaa6f6bb7e6b4095567f5e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1265365569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1144714132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1266393968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1461873704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1712833366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2129352805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1142684135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1171834095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1254883983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1415203767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1825473215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1520603332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1781433274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.199231299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2257352633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2639352118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0819884574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0828804573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0866804906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0940534407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1121874163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2519712279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2645712109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2819064211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3347831163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3603916178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918835336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920606834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0945167601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993494336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077284223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1178874186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1156754516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162245708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1208117646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1361779439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1946393052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2063432894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2219432684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2402112438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2671731047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1024924693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1044394667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1083274615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1150075725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1302883919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1322913892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1199104309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5502713635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4954348999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3854789402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0820874972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0840214642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0886954879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098304435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1238114006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1985712999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2193232719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2409632427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2533032261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2679463578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2040472925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2095592851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.212547281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2232832666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2416372313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218874432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1225075624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1247963993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1299713923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1433513743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2357512498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.259327218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925511732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3306911218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3877090071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847511837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.301603161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3332956507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3821350525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4220140196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2552112635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2591682182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2699272037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2940883496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3356951981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629714826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0722274701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.095307439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1177594088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1659353438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2218392685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2307632565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.248207233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.265055153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2930559082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2451592371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.248183233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2553512234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2684975934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900784806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925804827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0939154809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993955935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084957812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1315043902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0825805062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851036528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920968033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063539841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1412723771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3240525295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2335398032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2173830072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2014564367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1849280507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2567316637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2379445733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3656696883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2092254261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACGL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1869444784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3468808211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2158480483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4084573686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4427910214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4792760383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.326056923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2312782935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2105355877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1942388152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1752619268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.308346149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2518879283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365693506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2234719238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.192615876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2508965894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2387518084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2309848751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3702671827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.209622171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2480411801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2331719232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2200732471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2133223186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1982480944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2508290689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361589544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2282318384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191498219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.209691977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3457553053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.21590652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1983019251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1812275112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.162076581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2558347286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2622507865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2688934396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2735920798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2785045866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2696647645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277967026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2277157925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3846749631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.425499683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2522935238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2293909698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.211000122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.41813421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1778489875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3364065581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3607222399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3886661267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4120199921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4470166609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547130028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2419294416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2281302115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2167435863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2025473408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.25636853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2461184102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2381507161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2371472635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"BWA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.22961624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2499937396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2335172964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207148728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2072524914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1872718356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3269591092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3406240045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3575547934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2157741639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2004080724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570859094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2437038886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2327299324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2205015008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2072771197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588206638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275414311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2386346304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3632503047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3884662711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102176863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2398430158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2230314052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3926054874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1923887842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3188820121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2398026787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216190869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3979803834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1878578696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2507989114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3331983817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3440958768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3626283036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2188775637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2477017829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2356919106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2227243199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3891152617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2030756722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3163459548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2483432303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2357795317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2255554951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2128605505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2425187606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2262856473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2104824873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1970114122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1807859287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2517196422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2415064742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3603104654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2192026048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2086480937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506668171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2371595028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3605330622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3790541187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4054593737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2573474067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2414098332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.229496286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2180982624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2003112304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275697257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3486161359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.219090462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2079355042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1931225112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3222770846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3425651026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3675601859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3922554382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4324664223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3475973467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207091713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2024610779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1906141246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1811914466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571177967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410814371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317864353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2255697104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2123982807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2535648922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2286524776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2066084261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1857587152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1677312738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571269548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.239530871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2241887363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2116585198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.192634057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424893584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247516413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2060477988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1899266611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ICE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1737531841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540722198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3384199769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3607331822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3853435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.419623768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633457522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250098481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2348232587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2248280141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2082523015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3282166514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2315432478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2137058399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2023874677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1868571285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2530094639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388164876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3621591083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3883387978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.418942667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2474963537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3459759713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3675918203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3903141472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1931007868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3260959108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2305290329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.213032945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1990411356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"LDOS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1862457562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230452897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2360009632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.21752385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2014544191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1831762712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2501438882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2411618759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2309194869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2263271837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2168919442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3249366343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2357029766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2172725344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2034490654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1876752354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3234989691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2329051003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2171590152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2025213355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1854483798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.251356845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2393789519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2318636116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264538595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2197706312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2536613854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2391076762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270081052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2173221409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2033939396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.246515895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2252057176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2070246081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1903656374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1692576176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2507688017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367288326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2254392421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2137314317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2026687377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3190890625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2370591683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2168355757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2078376341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1865846774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3286663631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2384991075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2297571687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2217791646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2127713462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571717553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2391540501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2221389873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2031299462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1862109661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.251859457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2416676584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2299453621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2195451605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2021899567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2434889081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2328585477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2249813119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2179658945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2093069517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2468805027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3534641675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3773561749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.407097867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4418982279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520402692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2393324605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.225198275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3911316206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4263527668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3191420543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2409598416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2252898471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2134409176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.201925384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2886535636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818141204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2731903624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2659664418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601718696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2612600234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2390010844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2181102319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1981045162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1753294687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2554752913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2408027458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258170939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2152900841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"WRB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4200730175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3218165594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3333668989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3498140743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3673942501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3948716548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3287490524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2311271783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2181039372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.402474143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4396187933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0b91490dc38bdc5b6fcaef9cc8084bb101f50bef357b89adbe23098955649b2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708405484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0b91490dc38bdc5b6fcaef9cc8084bb101f50bef357b89adbe23098955649b2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0742043066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0b91490dc38bdc5b6fcaef9cc8084bb101f50bef357b89adbe23098955649b2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0798026852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0b91490dc38bdc5b6fcaef9cc8084bb101f50bef357b89adbe23098955649b2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0867496498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0b91490dc38bdc5b6fcaef9cc8084bb101f50bef357b89adbe23098955649b2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0958887865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0bad119606d7890329c6982b23f86f826b845f4015b3064ce8c021b684475a39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639046183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0bad119606d7890329c6982b23f86f826b845f4015b3064ce8c021b684475a39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651669285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0bad119606d7890329c6982b23f86f826b845f4015b3064ce8c021b684475a39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0678573764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0bad119606d7890329c6982b23f86f826b845f4015b3064ce8c021b684475a39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711072725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"0bad119606d7890329c6982b23f86f826b845f4015b3064ce8c021b684475a39","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075380134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"141c201122df7e14cf2ddb48607ce290b0d3e8dca7d5852b19ed0f167ad56178","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602746877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"141c201122df7e14cf2ddb48607ce290b0d3e8dca7d5852b19ed0f167ad56178","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.062679515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"141c201122df7e14cf2ddb48607ce290b0d3e8dca7d5852b19ed0f167ad56178","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0665596524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"141c201122df7e14cf2ddb48607ce290b0d3e8dca7d5852b19ed0f167ad56178","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711459966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"141c201122df7e14cf2ddb48607ce290b0d3e8dca7d5852b19ed0f167ad56178","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0774281337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0729551692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750263068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786133063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0834158919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1c13719ba23f46950f7871d662127e0b573edeb6e830e73ab71c7a50da880dbf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7641722858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054502654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0568021709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620652047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688078245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"1e4b09b761a4a5184ec8781031add2f084f2acfbcbdfaef7c7673988af48e959","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0783068578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"21982fcca1cc5db737404b185cbbd6143ffca6c69cd072914ab04d4274f8908e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615043082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"21982fcca1cc5db737404b185cbbd6143ffca6c69cd072914ab04d4274f8908e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663258593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"21982fcca1cc5db737404b185cbbd6143ffca6c69cd072914ab04d4274f8908e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.789407661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"21982fcca1cc5db737404b185cbbd6143ffca6c69cd072914ab04d4274f8908e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0855327534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"21982fcca1cc5db737404b185cbbd6143ffca6c69cd072914ab04d4274f8908e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.102931889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2780fd8e8824fafeeb8bed36c955fad96f9f38cb69ec0df94b1330613b547a2e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0601156533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2780fd8e8824fafeeb8bed36c955fad96f9f38cb69ec0df94b1330613b547a2e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638758252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2780fd8e8824fafeeb8bed36c955fad96f9f38cb69ec0df94b1330613b547a2e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.068989859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2780fd8e8824fafeeb8bed36c955fad96f9f38cb69ec0df94b1330613b547a2e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766403063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2780fd8e8824fafeeb8bed36c955fad96f9f38cb69ec0df94b1330613b547a2e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0861017188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2815a94cd2c6ccc2950c00b5edff981500bb090d99485029205b8df0fb5b68e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3437594436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2815a94cd2c6ccc2950c00b5edff981500bb090d99485029205b8df0fb5b68e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3451318572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2815a94cd2c6ccc2950c00b5edff981500bb090d99485029205b8df0fb5b68e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3561180627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2815a94cd2c6ccc2950c00b5edff981500bb090d99485029205b8df0fb5b68e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3073835863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2815a94cd2c6ccc2950c00b5edff981500bb090d99485029205b8df0fb5b68e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3166422058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529409701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529603783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540862747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054589516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571221709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2f25fb2ff990d10a07f8729c29755b25ad1dec1b9fdbbfb33b3f8af30b50af9c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4156215032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2f25fb2ff990d10a07f8729c29755b25ad1dec1b9fdbbfb33b3f8af30b50af9c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2362939405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2f25fb2ff990d10a07f8729c29755b25ad1dec1b9fdbbfb33b3f8af30b50af9c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2491456629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2f25fb2ff990d10a07f8729c29755b25ad1dec1b9fdbbfb33b3f8af30b50af9c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2628249715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"2f25fb2ff990d10a07f8729c29755b25ad1dec1b9fdbbfb33b3f8af30b50af9c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241345664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"30852037dde9d127bc0c0c6a9230fef1321d7fb2ce22bed487693e22a8bad51e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631822735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"30852037dde9d127bc0c0c6a9230fef1321d7fb2ce22bed487693e22a8bad51e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639764803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"30852037dde9d127bc0c0c6a9230fef1321d7fb2ce22bed487693e22a8bad51e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667072731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"30852037dde9d127bc0c0c6a9230fef1321d7fb2ce22bed487693e22a8bad51e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680573074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"30852037dde9d127bc0c0c6a9230fef1321d7fb2ce22bed487693e22a8bad51e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0724226861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"3383dfd82875c789d329ad5369d6ddbfd782912d15286cc9e68bd94e67bce862","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553319987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"3383dfd82875c789d329ad5369d6ddbfd782912d15286cc9e68bd94e67bce862","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0555321021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"3383dfd82875c789d329ad5369d6ddbfd782912d15286cc9e68bd94e67bce862","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0594741016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"3383dfd82875c789d329ad5369d6ddbfd782912d15286cc9e68bd94e67bce862","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655548939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"3383dfd82875c789d329ad5369d6ddbfd782912d15286cc9e68bd94e67bce862","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075259272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"38572a61e1ba56cb16578f043b4a474bfe30fbcf9bdaa26c12a59f719629a7e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654422388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"38572a61e1ba56cb16578f043b4a474bfe30fbcf9bdaa26c12a59f719629a7e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765456856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"38572a61e1ba56cb16578f043b4a474bfe30fbcf9bdaa26c12a59f719629a7e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0922525801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"38572a61e1ba56cb16578f043b4a474bfe30fbcf9bdaa26c12a59f719629a7e6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1052939577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"38572a61e1ba56cb16578f043b4a474bfe30fbcf9bdaa26c12a59f719629a7e6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1251905068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3000732425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2960353119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2976111738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984663461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3242973772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0456570348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.046099553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0470885946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.04842431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0505392062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0865491325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931120627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1055353369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1188939559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1201741281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"444da803de93756d4b54f49ae7ffafd2aa66eb112576a140dbbbd9f5f641cb40","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526304129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"444da803de93756d4b54f49ae7ffafd2aa66eb112576a140dbbbd9f5f641cb40","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528201715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"444da803de93756d4b54f49ae7ffafd2aa66eb112576a140dbbbd9f5f641cb40","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534451369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"444da803de93756d4b54f49ae7ffafd2aa66eb112576a140dbbbd9f5f641cb40","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540884816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"444da803de93756d4b54f49ae7ffafd2aa66eb112576a140dbbbd9f5f641cb40","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553427573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"4fa969ae82cfb55a82a74cd8216328b5282322a72ba2bb821c22e10fd0aa8650","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1040699578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"4fa969ae82cfb55a82a74cd8216328b5282322a72ba2bb821c22e10fd0aa8650","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1020560271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"4fa969ae82cfb55a82a74cd8216328b5282322a72ba2bb821c22e10fd0aa8650","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1066043023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"4fa969ae82cfb55a82a74cd8216328b5282322a72ba2bb821c22e10fd0aa8650","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1112767155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"4fa969ae82cfb55a82a74cd8216328b5282322a72ba2bb821c22e10fd0aa8650","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1259663688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0946009246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0852697534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.086467236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0885318909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"50c614c87f469d41a8a4be76d1622cb6b46a491072237947a5264f515c4aeb10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0930568903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"52d12ff46535191cc31053e70d088d519103190834e0074d034c834d2142466d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0597293516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"52d12ff46535191cc31053e70d088d519103190834e0074d034c834d2142466d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621404461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"52d12ff46535191cc31053e70d088d519103190834e0074d034c834d2142466d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065984618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"52d12ff46535191cc31053e70d088d519103190834e0074d034c834d2142466d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702201347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"52d12ff46535191cc31053e70d088d519103190834e0074d034c834d2142466d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785155129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569976192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0592679034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629374115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673934109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"5667d1d7a4170b2ae7efd79b166b4eb95d63a1991db9ce52406ce6ea7a74f845","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0732107895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0880744772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795376507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074157479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0738415135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6041ad121df11c802df748a652f7b6fc6b41c0c124abc15075465ae8debda146","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785506853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578473173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0575024343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583529035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602034895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636522735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6ba13517dcb7ae71be29436bf40e975ab88ac8ded291358f85b162dedb0d98d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548669988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6ba13517dcb7ae71be29436bf40e975ab88ac8ded291358f85b162dedb0d98d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558467228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6ba13517dcb7ae71be29436bf40e975ab88ac8ded291358f85b162dedb0d98d7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8885374756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6ba13517dcb7ae71be29436bf40e975ab88ac8ded291358f85b162dedb0d98d7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.864833789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"6ba13517dcb7ae71be29436bf40e975ab88ac8ded291358f85b162dedb0d98d7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0668913765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7136deef44e4876117dc7f7bcc724765fbeb120c47fc4dd3b7710059c304e9dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672253851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7136deef44e4876117dc7f7bcc724765fbeb120c47fc4dd3b7710059c304e9dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0626947305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7136deef44e4876117dc7f7bcc724765fbeb120c47fc4dd3b7710059c304e9dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0593201792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7136deef44e4876117dc7f7bcc724765fbeb120c47fc4dd3b7710059c304e9dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569025244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7136deef44e4876117dc7f7bcc724765fbeb120c47fc4dd3b7710059c304e9dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055876559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0469975177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0475390019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0496882108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529256283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579439894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"831f7bd0d58fcdc6f4b917f43b1065794f0743609baf0f04716bc862d496a415","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629891012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"831f7bd0d58fcdc6f4b917f43b1065794f0743609baf0f04716bc862d496a415","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634577218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"831f7bd0d58fcdc6f4b917f43b1065794f0743609baf0f04716bc862d496a415","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643786527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"831f7bd0d58fcdc6f4b917f43b1065794f0743609baf0f04716bc862d496a415","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653375146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"831f7bd0d58fcdc6f4b917f43b1065794f0743609baf0f04716bc862d496a415","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067012342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"88900c75a92d2261c172c97391a85adfe65ca38664d1c91e09956eb459d899dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0816767194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"88900c75a92d2261c172c97391a85adfe65ca38664d1c91e09956eb459d899dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0914698216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"88900c75a92d2261c172c97391a85adfe65ca38664d1c91e09956eb459d899dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.105987061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"88900c75a92d2261c172c97391a85adfe65ca38664d1c91e09956eb459d899dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1213525763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"88900c75a92d2261c172c97391a85adfe65ca38664d1c91e09956eb459d899dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1430939527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"8ab1e9f1ba8379b3f7c1916316a7e410f285c7761e2fdebdc28c05674e484e9c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4160904686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"8ab1e9f1ba8379b3f7c1916316a7e410f285c7761e2fdebdc28c05674e484e9c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.412676676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"8ab1e9f1ba8379b3f7c1916316a7e410f285c7761e2fdebdc28c05674e484e9c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4056525389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"8ab1e9f1ba8379b3f7c1916316a7e410f285c7761e2fdebdc28c05674e484e9c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2399042848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"8ab1e9f1ba8379b3f7c1916316a7e410f285c7761e2fdebdc28c05674e484e9c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2284663553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0737284446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7377869781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0894180977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1002836135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a443fb4ea2879aea67ce7de62be2127f7863db520ffe40b4bdb941e6d46a96e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.115076715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553572056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.05632424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0590420672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0626388598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675509626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a5f7d9636dc46332fd716b067f480d107d08185680c24fceeeb7ac376dcb11ec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435088161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a5f7d9636dc46332fd716b067f480d107d08185680c24fceeeb7ac376dcb11ec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435260778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a5f7d9636dc46332fd716b067f480d107d08185680c24fceeeb7ac376dcb11ec","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435816382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a5f7d9636dc46332fd716b067f480d107d08185680c24fceeeb7ac376dcb11ec","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0437095606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"a5f7d9636dc46332fd716b067f480d107d08185680c24fceeeb7ac376dcb11ec","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0439162157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0626777912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063619449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0682125487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0744639962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"abd370f7008067794d307d8078be608a59fc9cc5a6140ae84d5a1af5f1becb0c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.083422064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ac331aa22943f476fa00b24217a37b140046927564e329b03f2da1e65e3a141f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692294542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ac331aa22943f476fa00b24217a37b140046927564e329b03f2da1e65e3a141f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0695674897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ac331aa22943f476fa00b24217a37b140046927564e329b03f2da1e65e3a141f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0701125227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ac331aa22943f476fa00b24217a37b140046927564e329b03f2da1e65e3a141f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0709580312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ac331aa22943f476fa00b24217a37b140046927564e329b03f2da1e65e3a141f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723636518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b23ebe3ac41a1db83fbc4bf7cb8be2a5793af2248a5af94873c932d54549800d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0503318963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b23ebe3ac41a1db83fbc4bf7cb8be2a5793af2248a5af94873c932d54549800d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533672417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b23ebe3ac41a1db83fbc4bf7cb8be2a5793af2248a5af94873c932d54549800d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578603518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b23ebe3ac41a1db83fbc4bf7cb8be2a5793af2248a5af94873c932d54549800d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635258942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b23ebe3ac41a1db83fbc4bf7cb8be2a5793af2248a5af94873c932d54549800d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715708242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3753628877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2336146305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2391318711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3827180592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b2b6faea064330dc4874ce842a6207f0414cb5f7d86d18c4bef0f06c4ec498f9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3709042676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b4746cfe25d3d473b6fa397045743b6803afb77914c7f733beefca082cc50e0d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0443889315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b4746cfe25d3d473b6fa397045743b6803afb77914c7f733beefca082cc50e0d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0460901737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b4746cfe25d3d473b6fa397045743b6803afb77914c7f733beefca082cc50e0d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485568703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b4746cfe25d3d473b6fa397045743b6803afb77914c7f733beefca082cc50e0d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525403094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b4746cfe25d3d473b6fa397045743b6803afb77914c7f733beefca082cc50e0d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0572789985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1997499798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4593464974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4425801203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4268559844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.237590492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2695677378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3452642796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.33720566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3326677296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"bb37ada897832957ed86044f8cc5adbf1d7b9eddd9fcb0c92767d5a5dcb38d90","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2988642857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c1c621382bb3454268fdff59c61a9acb0599aa87bbb1ccd2edefb3a02c0f1690","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5597249325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c1c621382bb3454268fdff59c61a9acb0599aa87bbb1ccd2edefb3a02c0f1690","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1459698144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c1c621382bb3454268fdff59c61a9acb0599aa87bbb1ccd2edefb3a02c0f1690","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1554973994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c1c621382bb3454268fdff59c61a9acb0599aa87bbb1ccd2edefb3a02c0f1690","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1689215355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c1c621382bb3454268fdff59c61a9acb0599aa87bbb1ccd2edefb3a02c0f1690","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1684939494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c2c447e34d901f61aaeba8112969ae66147a42885b87f798534c22f54f91f6a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.045762181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c2c447e34d901f61aaeba8112969ae66147a42885b87f798534c22f54f91f6a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0463276637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c2c447e34d901f61aaeba8112969ae66147a42885b87f798534c22f54f91f6a9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.047505767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c2c447e34d901f61aaeba8112969ae66147a42885b87f798534c22f54f91f6a9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0492044564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c2c447e34d901f61aaeba8112969ae66147a42885b87f798534c22f54f91f6a9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517670423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c5acc7371ebd008b20a2d64230ba58ab9cdebc1395a5eb9c5e2aadd3f4ac646f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652293771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c5acc7371ebd008b20a2d64230ba58ab9cdebc1395a5eb9c5e2aadd3f4ac646f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621079302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c5acc7371ebd008b20a2d64230ba58ab9cdebc1395a5eb9c5e2aadd3f4ac646f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618462823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c5acc7371ebd008b20a2d64230ba58ab9cdebc1395a5eb9c5e2aadd3f4ac646f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629919287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c5acc7371ebd008b20a2d64230ba58ab9cdebc1395a5eb9c5e2aadd3f4ac646f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664773421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581853776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0593327913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0616868255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664993076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c600ea7a4413975bf8436567cd07a70aa86963753a2f8f4f82f8a67f2ceea6b8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0740129273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c999d83feefec6fc54c864168dac5c68171ad939033f345836502b2089413ed7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3476801328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c999d83feefec6fc54c864168dac5c68171ad939033f345836502b2089413ed7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.274300832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c999d83feefec6fc54c864168dac5c68171ad939033f345836502b2089413ed7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3245594461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c999d83feefec6fc54c864168dac5c68171ad939033f345836502b2089413ed7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3097180688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"c999d83feefec6fc54c864168dac5c68171ad939033f345836502b2089413ed7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3213456535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533467066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.062012352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0627643529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.062871665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643003265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637536269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0648994112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670297903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0698466865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0737237549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d624c97fc49aa38ea304558cb0d1e84d38c6f7e8b3ddb3bdcd65adefd6945fbd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.072326031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d624c97fc49aa38ea304558cb0d1e84d38c6f7e8b3ddb3bdcd65adefd6945fbd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0744852031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d624c97fc49aa38ea304558cb0d1e84d38c6f7e8b3ddb3bdcd65adefd6945fbd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0805014437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d624c97fc49aa38ea304558cb0d1e84d38c6f7e8b3ddb3bdcd65adefd6945fbd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0839992708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d624c97fc49aa38ea304558cb0d1e84d38c6f7e8b3ddb3bdcd65adefd6945fbd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0940397178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d7878e307f9c32d542171d8c5a0d2697e99749446c2514da642a28e958a98356","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516547923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d7878e307f9c32d542171d8c5a0d2697e99749446c2514da642a28e958a98356","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532426542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d7878e307f9c32d542171d8c5a0d2697e99749446c2514da642a28e958a98356","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559820331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d7878e307f9c32d542171d8c5a0d2697e99749446c2514da642a28e958a98356","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059679205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d7878e307f9c32d542171d8c5a0d2697e99749446c2514da642a28e958a98356","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644625837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480120686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509603441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558784469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620534461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"d9c14625f757e5fb87a7bdfe5154170e6fd569a1bb4b215cf1fb50e704bdc739","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717353414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4034663323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3760353014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2800525554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3010284147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130594476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"dc9fe064f3baa6742b8c2b03c39ab53dbb9d24f2950e3f2dcb0b62d959df2e2e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0466994481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"dc9fe064f3baa6742b8c2b03c39ab53dbb9d24f2950e3f2dcb0b62d959df2e2e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0462056896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"dc9fe064f3baa6742b8c2b03c39ab53dbb9d24f2950e3f2dcb0b62d959df2e2e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0467348619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"dc9fe064f3baa6742b8c2b03c39ab53dbb9d24f2950e3f2dcb0b62d959df2e2e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480461721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"dc9fe064f3baa6742b8c2b03c39ab53dbb9d24f2950e3f2dcb0b62d959df2e2e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511377234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3336077208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329284106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3370353066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2923008297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2911077264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0c6b102bb7ddfc5c10fd66e8e4f82fbf057dd16052794c6b92c54bc2f51d825","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571803781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0c6b102bb7ddfc5c10fd66e8e4f82fbf057dd16052794c6b92c54bc2f51d825","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0572288264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0c6b102bb7ddfc5c10fd66e8e4f82fbf057dd16052794c6b92c54bc2f51d825","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578536194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0c6b102bb7ddfc5c10fd66e8e4f82fbf057dd16052794c6b92c54bc2f51d825","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0586149997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0c6b102bb7ddfc5c10fd66e8e4f82fbf057dd16052794c6b92c54bc2f51d825","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059816524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3328732381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932525537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3009491044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3113663444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2792594521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e1b7a404b3848363b040dc8005535f710fb0e42f2c99ab7522105761b11aaf92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3167835851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e1b7a404b3848363b040dc8005535f710fb0e42f2c99ab7522105761b11aaf92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3103422066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e1b7a404b3848363b040dc8005535f710fb0e42f2c99ab7522105761b11aaf92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3074973794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e1b7a404b3848363b040dc8005535f710fb0e42f2c99ab7522105761b11aaf92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.338618065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e1b7a404b3848363b040dc8005535f710fb0e42f2c99ab7522105761b11aaf92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3089422068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e48e3772ddd1f14d017b4c9103f5c2c58463b77c760a07695bf82a92e1ea1bcf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0467872067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e48e3772ddd1f14d017b4c9103f5c2c58463b77c760a07695bf82a92e1ea1bcf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0481287928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e48e3772ddd1f14d017b4c9103f5c2c58463b77c760a07695bf82a92e1ea1bcf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0504302407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e48e3772ddd1f14d017b4c9103f5c2c58463b77c760a07695bf82a92e1ea1bcf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534871369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e48e3772ddd1f14d017b4c9103f5c2c58463b77c760a07695bf82a92e1ea1bcf","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580287225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e4f594a0a81c749c69b5ade5d1aa44e149c1677bc72a61fc6814d91e6d922f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835614091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e4f594a0a81c749c69b5ade5d1aa44e149c1677bc72a61fc6814d91e6d922f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0849887883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e4f594a0a81c749c69b5ade5d1aa44e149c1677bc72a61fc6814d91e6d922f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0895639611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e4f594a0a81c749c69b5ade5d1aa44e149c1677bc72a61fc6814d91e6d922f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938121695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e4f594a0a81c749c69b5ade5d1aa44e149c1677bc72a61fc6814d91e6d922f23","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.101429622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e6c8934f55ad5c913cec5bdead27bb4869b851ac1bb03882af49251b067df9b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3106077238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e6c8934f55ad5c913cec5bdead27bb4869b851ac1bb03882af49251b067df9b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134973786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e6c8934f55ad5c913cec5bdead27bb4869b851ac1bb03882af49251b067df9b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3195801364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e6c8934f55ad5c913cec5bdead27bb4869b851ac1bb03882af49251b067df9b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263559976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"e6c8934f55ad5c913cec5bdead27bb4869b851ac1bb03882af49251b067df9b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2938387605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.122219861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.117582034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.115338337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1169597851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1223119241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f1a26e1b856a583cd0bc87a54dbd38c55374f264c0ef7fcceabf437ee82a0544","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1242465759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f1a26e1b856a583cd0bc87a54dbd38c55374f264c0ef7fcceabf437ee82a0544","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1231813346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f1a26e1b856a583cd0bc87a54dbd38c55374f264c0ef7fcceabf437ee82a0544","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1267465411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f1a26e1b856a583cd0bc87a54dbd38c55374f264c0ef7fcceabf437ee82a0544","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6257748894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f1a26e1b856a583cd0bc87a54dbd38c55374f264c0ef7fcceabf437ee82a0544","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1477775728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f67c4303f61bb8c8f005544c42034dd02151e61bdf3600fd1a7bbe1c9723585b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063264308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f67c4303f61bb8c8f005544c42034dd02151e61bdf3600fd1a7bbe1c9723585b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0640038941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f67c4303f61bb8c8f005544c42034dd02151e61bdf3600fd1a7bbe1c9723585b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656038056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f67c4303f61bb8c8f005544c42034dd02151e61bdf3600fd1a7bbe1c9723585b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0674668333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"f67c4303f61bb8c8f005544c42034dd02151e61bdf3600fd1a7bbe1c9723585b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708996518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644845841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660853435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686142125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721299275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0772069614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fce2c9e19842f641b1e4ba334fcdf796acaedbbc9548adc5446d9afbe300901b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1169810941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fce2c9e19842f641b1e4ba334fcdf796acaedbbc9548adc5446d9afbe300901b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1113915431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fce2c9e19842f641b1e4ba334fcdf796acaedbbc9548adc5446d9afbe300901b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1074663712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fce2c9e19842f641b1e4ba334fcdf796acaedbbc9548adc5446d9afbe300901b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.108371578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"acled","id":"fce2c9e19842f641b1e4ba334fcdf796acaedbbc9548adc5446d9afbe300901b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1080561642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3987973674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1639499845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1202974385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704284188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3303904799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4144738485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1825083617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1445463322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2597152481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3202186884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2130284263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1577456749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1221232658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.298890484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2816732449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4609870144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1505180897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.126238817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109387583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3325422037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4083220589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1791953359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132534394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048775522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3106803531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4311387425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5821904468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1192913696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817732449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162353093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2201078047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1549199856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1173099216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4305796046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649912471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2136284262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1661948117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1339603332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3609111655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.305162897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1861904988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311939543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1015741306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.365762889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2707629015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4477249472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1502836069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1234560243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3239491014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2834870377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4182042614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5791766541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1181767146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.275038763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3201835846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3973456435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.159712054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114945715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2183629083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2796939348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4477961196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1696680527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2736595907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042563109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3747683623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1982890751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1556106324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540683781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3338338849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4487628781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1401491255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0971698208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3509732358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2838008308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4542249464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1421146425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1057318886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.333121514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2741111769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4723456336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1457318834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1119250258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2833663481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2960628982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4178375029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1768823621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2759409698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3173168264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3908913136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1893189263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1528361725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481327117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3099947725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4717628751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1341698159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0929698214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3043525522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2961870361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1989629109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1348905055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006706824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3934249543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826663482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1957111872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1352111951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989775792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3389835822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2645180747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2074180822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1524215377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1215155417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.307880138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.298790484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258767005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1820154993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1363388157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077628966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303873242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1951560148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1421017115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1157258873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3628697859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2556629035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1903973948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1340637815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1041388199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3589111658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601111787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.223699377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1620002471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1291063204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.383261425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2837373001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4203973646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1634042949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750525561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2860042788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1951629114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1035284751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2799525554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2712732462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2103061401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1609208017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1355613568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3934612885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2930613016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1650430878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1183423698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835905467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.435000811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2470077322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1813767063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.133393954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1102741639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4212766748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514939385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1959111872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1485215382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1244120586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3181387573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.285893934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2452616634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1777651206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1386866774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081320776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3112020686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4877421833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.133018092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1028836132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2801870382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3280732388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1754870519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1142698186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0748706858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4027904704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2421629052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2471813873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1899577052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1526668911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3478356155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.298777553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162594472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2941870363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2981077255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689973845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3207284122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3198180674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127077236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2987594495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2882801406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263540819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3037368435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2812851223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093230497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3338713223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2952815724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2902712283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2787781263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2736057132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3409126009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.30597669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367456646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2890525542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2831234742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.261109684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2311958948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4019682862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2585604857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3719525434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520215246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2729939357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2985180702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3113042755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1753465347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1256361964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0836775812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2140491158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4148008136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3791318528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2230973905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1906318775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3395663407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109835858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2176835981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1233353346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2751525561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2521456625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2307939412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.192528429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1556732614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481422148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2631904887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3654838653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4426252344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1758379736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1934183706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2694942227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2645801437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3830387488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2381387678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2565491102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610353165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3352904792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.301807725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3385835822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3772249565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4196490888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2873939338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2608042821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3640835789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3844490934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4012249533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4071973663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2716766945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040422074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3381111685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3808835767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3205215156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.302521518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2850835892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3296215144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703146257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3062077244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889801405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3317077211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.34764565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3544490974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.338955996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3720490951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2051904963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1883111882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1709215353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.277518073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096491033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3485180637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3940870232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4470318439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901180713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3164180679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3460008226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3739421983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4064559871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900835886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3303628937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3608732345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3813594387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4061111596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3462904778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.294283588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3344456517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3779284046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4220318471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2376422162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1956663596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1630870535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1420525735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1246353344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3771801289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3802594388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2408732502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3888663342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4045870218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3189180676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2551629035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2280215278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2108525645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4587973596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1960698078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1615353296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1345491262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1200077488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120732671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1190080593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0930499938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0799439265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123594477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3311663418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2465456633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.370821509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365904922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3054870348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3185180676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3362870308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3511215116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.36878013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3107042755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3221628947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.338042203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3526422011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2469111805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912146229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994525529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2898042783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3338491001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2760215215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2380698023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2679008329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050111728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3419697887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.375628405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3161077231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2871387614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3434939264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.377507715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.415131848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3828146109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571387522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3398180648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3228628946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3534904768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.306014621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.286545658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682560052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3666111648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574594549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3202939295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2993387598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.282914624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3651215098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529249728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2785766936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574904894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2392387677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.385945645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2217111838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2893835887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2793318659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2326387685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2385008367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2336042857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1336474022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1641879155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2069801512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2618560061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3340525483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1689913631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2146085985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2671973847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3145422061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.372273233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2173042878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2024732553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1847387748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1811698098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1764042932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3663318544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3395490993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3232939291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223146188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3498249601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1345422297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1605663642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2107008404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2566146275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2760766939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3587215106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3296318593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3372180652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3490490981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3769008186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2569180757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.280097383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2995835873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817456587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2874008303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.301883587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3153732404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2678663501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2636387645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852663478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133215166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.270018074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642663506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2800629003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2973904842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2997353115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3379284099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3755939222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2086767027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1867560159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.16399395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3292663421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3387973753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3549387525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3713525434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3984180571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.30031807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3135732407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772973834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.243900836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2066318754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547426181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798012355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096495074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3484253644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2953077258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2806387622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3477215121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3711353021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4018801256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2822536176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081846487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3400742997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3813673977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2838146239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.263645661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2419525604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2230594595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2003870486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121180685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2869594511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2843077273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2918939332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.344590478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2893284163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3222525499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772697972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2585387651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2281284243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2620594543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3049215177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.344590478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3916146098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3457697882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3382318581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3364008239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3294387558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3567387523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3228985312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3508184675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3706908787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3962908753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4429283961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2563870413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3914318512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.315418068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3615215103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3965801263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3278387561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3318939279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3358628929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3591249588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1509477793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1329977127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1151737495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1030777338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0929352096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703697981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2965801395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277870319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3589353037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4020042636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2151008398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2265560107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.409935297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.275376694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3453318572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.278669797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2998146218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3286870318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571663384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2443077325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2855215202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2841973825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2591491099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2396318711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2221456665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3114387582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2945422087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2779801419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.341511168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2494766974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2472077321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3416387542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3193732399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117456547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2820042793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.207728427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1786318791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1517732619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1335491264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1187215421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179559987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3321284107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3457353054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3709939228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3958284023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2804258312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2908947954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3174318609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3494422015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.405452539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3343559966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2741318665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615732475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3966111608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4469525335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3706318539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682594535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4157904686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2598215236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2661180745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5056456293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5419732107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.154842227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1390801601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.113098267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539716282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559925159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622434116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0722246172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0965534416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521493443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529150683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556238349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0609746876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074883203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518985947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524784232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549981581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060430637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0753032061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2541707657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.272559544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3004388455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156121111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3654493059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424870562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1562732613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.178793948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.46085598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3859525415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519054223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520677326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531822421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559282435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622601102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1264387825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488663657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4896766658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4102766763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3281456526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605192053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610578259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634571714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0676690402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777426509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0974570277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1056193369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1319111956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1559594683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2027284276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1597836057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1696422251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.181573258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2008767037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2206077356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608665163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.062215284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0650542433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708212498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0843491759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0693941359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0696734475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714943604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0761497636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0865557201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606873084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0616603082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653726181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0724399275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0937396488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788388577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0807570643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854638223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0935846144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"41d6868cf1e538e692adfe95e00ab012ef60858c3bb6808964a425efdf8c2474","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1142051634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545767919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580343777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0650827561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077552582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111939569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0782837547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801321348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0845429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.092468718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1128917153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.051976965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527427925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560547921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636676187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0822374866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1304974026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1454353317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5160283865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4522939121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2566801447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1053637852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.115452577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1644215361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1851973955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2342663545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109939569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1294387821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1605732608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2002318762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2560629034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606011363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615533775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638284117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0679431019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0775587575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1450560214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1596422264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1928836013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2351284234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.286607727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6716214696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6224456139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5241318337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4464870163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3630387514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1727732592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.188659464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2135215297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241621526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682835915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521632409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537611382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0566901396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0611856962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"712254290f4fb3ec29aef6451f2e13327271a6b0ad5c6eb741790534b364c893","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706674105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1323879196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1386008499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1712318801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.197287049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7221cc24a88774591bc4c40046c92d692c12d8bc1b63c39c3f295522e9181c57","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2541766968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1210663694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1352629193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1643663637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2029249793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2727525564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1516767102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1715594662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4372525348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3630284066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2863904856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0856129258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938065109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1255879205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1499456759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2031560138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608562073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0613675203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637016317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690275486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0822108241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0896232701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085222676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1307465405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1478974004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2133180814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077753134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786433419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814172367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0861244429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956045796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1497112277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1671870875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4677145998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3973628849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3278870319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777630654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0782081429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080046481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0839130701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0950715883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0701888592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721166258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0779396854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0885163737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"8e267cf2270bb8977f77685ef6144f3408a464bdb3485506109935728b17b8d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1153215426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1265603342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1378456775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1686836045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.182387051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2278801485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530147921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554149987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0611856186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706945829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"96afe629289d138e2c6509aedc247dc4a961ec0b4c05022ae68db47abe4b91b6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0935439592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1346905055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1492939519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1733180867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2051629101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2549594553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052063206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529531714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554126539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060385998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721795827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522699657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535702758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0564744834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617496589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0712094942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ac59948243d13c19d7d1191d7c3aabe8a44edfd0d1fb9972a2eefd319233d16c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605984491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ac59948243d13c19d7d1191d7c3aabe8a44edfd0d1fb9972a2eefd319233d16c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606088118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ac59948243d13c19d7d1191d7c3aabe8a44edfd0d1fb9972a2eefd319233d16c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620365978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ac59948243d13c19d7d1191d7c3aabe8a44edfd0d1fb9972a2eefd319233d16c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065154756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ac59948243d13c19d7d1191d7c3aabe8a44edfd0d1fb9972a2eefd319233d16c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.070720215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0695597986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707498329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0754033533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0834759826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1022012082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0611985845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622094475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655844887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723489275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905546148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1808801546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1943353253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191318738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2398629055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8181fa81ec7af1afc15aa56a2286320fcea592dacb469500b309fda8c76cb7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2779008316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606080073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612909986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634171718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0674301385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0791488677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1213836107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424284356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1871973952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2430732499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2867422097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608606535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615206276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064387792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702789019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0863207188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1518284343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1633318811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1890594639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2108271852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2388120436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621855237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0647736871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692929624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0762804098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0907930975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1996560143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2073973925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2279939416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2511387661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2837215205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4910042519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4430697754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3789870252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3229732394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726249702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1269732652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1408801599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5141352833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4499077055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649215229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.15886033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1669767082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1794594652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1968939456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2173077361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2169525637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2253111833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506594558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2809835898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3231077222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0604424125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607391118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622325595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663886555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0752656254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623362395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0640113438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692086262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.078635375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.108114647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691253507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0698806523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715501014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0747412751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0826982106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1044560267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1204249902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1485215382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.188083602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2488594561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518951723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052309587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540979389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576401712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652274126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016525526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2815766932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2627042818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457077323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ADM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.225883597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2738077287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.256045662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2324042858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.219197391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ANSS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1997249798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2883249681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2755801422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2627973853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2495698008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.397276678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2823396241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.26122842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2401913538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.220962908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4414214998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2780904867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3262801356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2552180759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.359928407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2411215261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2546698001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2388180781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2232904939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2110077369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1968491181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2671284192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615249717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547456622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3536939251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3765904738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2656284194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2528870417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2388835953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2265525624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2103249784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704215222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2566525585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2392077332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3813697835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4174904684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2850318651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3356663412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457008358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2308732515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4295146048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.314052551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3274456527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3443973746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2441249739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3898042652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2854947961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3150732405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2693901085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2621363164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2508004558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2503870421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2370525611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247525627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4000042638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4293559841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2616741096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.256483593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2418797673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2336103546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210073563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2696835913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2505456627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2319146307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2143732537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1938008426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3398387545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3469904777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3602353035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.375866336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3978490917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2870628993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2720042806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2568663516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424491121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264456659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2837594515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2626146267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3768318531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2217663562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2010663589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2723146254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2564939378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2404008365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2277732519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2136835986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2643663506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3468284087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.37145944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3970732297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4306801219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2890697956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.327424963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3556042696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3826077144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4228077091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2583732479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2499456628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2419560087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358904923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3928180579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682387639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2527973866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2366594577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216560114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2043801516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900560024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2834456584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2740422114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2640732472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2504560076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2531223865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410042847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258672177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2126284263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1976353249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2943766915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2871042786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753732457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2675939364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2575008342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.268804281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3422318576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2326180789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2144042882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1947663597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2793732452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.272559453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2658284194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2611697993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514353178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900904851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798491072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2667870399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2533939382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"IRM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2372249748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2824284172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3189042745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3278835836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3412766853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3650387512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2998180701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2849870375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2699491085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2566491102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LVS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2393698021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3139180682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3266353079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525422142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3639111651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2294215276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2662318676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.256307731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2447594566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2345766993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.225031873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646394885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2648673505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2692077293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2715503496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2848229341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2597732477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2539766968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2418698018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2373870438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264353211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2676663502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2482180768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276663554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.208618082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1858387747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.281849969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2768766938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690866603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2654880401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2663107986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2806051416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2677008329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2530590762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2399983883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.222831494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2604663511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2535077313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2420318708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3747249568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4016628843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2660594538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3389490994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2409318709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2316249756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"NUE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229180802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2706904877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3375973755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2385698022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2236525628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2039008413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PEP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2662697986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PEP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3483284085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PEP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2236456663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PEP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2025042897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PEP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1749594658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2837353136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2734939356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2608353166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2497525594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2359180785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2839008308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2730077288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2604766959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2527732487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241659457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876525544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2783560039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2650422126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2535008348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PNR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2400973883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2871973821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726456598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2573077308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2430698017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276215278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2922456573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764835904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2602284201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2462284219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"PTC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4118939174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"REG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2774904868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"REG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2643353161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"REG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3468422018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"REG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367215266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"REG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.223704287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2729560046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2568146274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3668559923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2291042862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"ROST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2160491155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827732447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2671732468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493629043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2329491133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2153077363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2694525568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2559422138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3580215107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.381938749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4142939171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2957766913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2851697961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703077291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571939377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.244500836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2741732459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2696146258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2658456607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3453697882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3600525449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2654146263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3381490995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3568973729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3766111634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4035077116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2565042827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2379732506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2178422188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4247628813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4695732202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2546663519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2411111812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2273180796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2169870465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.209018082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2696146258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2623387646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570111791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2471284218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.23195601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2914732436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2757766939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2594284202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2454801462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303525619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818663483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2700111774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2589111789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2501870421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2389249746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2990741047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887732439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750560044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2628663508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481732493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685939362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571077309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2464284219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2416801467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2294801483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540560071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.236462906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2178180808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4184663304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4590318423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2580697997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2531180762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241821526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2333353202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2203318736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0aafe67a867f3ef3a885f3e457f93ee60b2ec588164878953dd73a42e5186f24","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525155616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0aafe67a867f3ef3a885f3e457f93ee60b2ec588164878953dd73a42e5186f24","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524246531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0aafe67a867f3ef3a885f3e457f93ee60b2ec588164878953dd73a42e5186f24","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523928365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0aafe67a867f3ef3a885f3e457f93ee60b2ec588164878953dd73a42e5186f24","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523701094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0aafe67a867f3ef3a885f3e457f93ee60b2ec588164878953dd73a42e5186f24","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523793403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f625614e627f20ecd22043655e85213f2fd46622dbcc9d3bfb65facc3bef57e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2783575366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f625614e627f20ecd22043655e85213f2fd46622dbcc9d3bfb65facc3bef57e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2783391277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f625614e627f20ecd22043655e85213f2fd46622dbcc9d3bfb65facc3bef57e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3272658884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f625614e627f20ecd22043655e85213f2fd46622dbcc9d3bfb65facc3bef57e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3046949498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f625614e627f20ecd22043655e85213f2fd46622dbcc9d3bfb65facc3bef57e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3239806833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f76c09f2836705ede48640cce5afef3de7f5b3b52539cdd46aec63578f2002d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0591141071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f76c09f2836705ede48640cce5afef3de7f5b3b52539cdd46aec63578f2002d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060528643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f76c09f2836705ede48640cce5afef3de7f5b3b52539cdd46aec63578f2002d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644031623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f76c09f2836705ede48640cce5afef3de7f5b3b52539cdd46aec63578f2002d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0648513411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"0f76c09f2836705ede48640cce5afef3de7f5b3b52539cdd46aec63578f2002d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0699425795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"11812e52b4313c70875c0f970476806c4bece3d2505b7c39adf84a7c6bef49a8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545245926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"11812e52b4313c70875c0f970476806c4bece3d2505b7c39adf84a7c6bef49a8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545029564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"11812e52b4313c70875c0f970476806c4bece3d2505b7c39adf84a7c6bef49a8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545234562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"11812e52b4313c70875c0f970476806c4bece3d2505b7c39adf84a7c6bef49a8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546018648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"11812e52b4313c70875c0f970476806c4bece3d2505b7c39adf84a7c6bef49a8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547604546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"15ab9ade31e3d06c11bbb5904ad9512315bd8d04d4ead999b4cb3915058f8771","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0470132796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"15ab9ade31e3d06c11bbb5904ad9512315bd8d04d4ead999b4cb3915058f8771","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0497541702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"15ab9ade31e3d06c11bbb5904ad9512315bd8d04d4ead999b4cb3915058f8771","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536995982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"15ab9ade31e3d06c11bbb5904ad9512315bd8d04d4ead999b4cb3915058f8771","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588950176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"15ab9ade31e3d06c11bbb5904ad9512315bd8d04d4ead999b4cb3915058f8771","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653542013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"19b6840b22cac51862630f9b4263f79336108a1aae22b0283829d476fc62b2af","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1185202062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"19b6840b22cac51862630f9b4263f79336108a1aae22b0283829d476fc62b2af","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.125816157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"19b6840b22cac51862630f9b4263f79336108a1aae22b0283829d476fc62b2af","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.135583591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"19b6840b22cac51862630f9b4263f79336108a1aae22b0283829d476fc62b2af","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1846850324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"19b6840b22cac51862630f9b4263f79336108a1aae22b0283829d476fc62b2af","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1618442775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1ae1e1dda977f7369da77940683d2029f632c1044d884ab22cd7b911fffaddc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602677357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1ae1e1dda977f7369da77940683d2029f632c1044d884ab22cd7b911fffaddc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617951344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1ae1e1dda977f7369da77940683d2029f632c1044d884ab22cd7b911fffaddc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0641908001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1ae1e1dda977f7369da77940683d2029f632c1044d884ab22cd7b911fffaddc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0678096848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1ae1e1dda977f7369da77940683d2029f632c1044d884ab22cd7b911fffaddc0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0729516501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0696216271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692564023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0718789755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0753138614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0804061907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c30974220af4e3352fb824c080992e6863e22e7d59cf55b16ab449ae1567b4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.043432577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c30974220af4e3352fb824c080992e6863e22e7d59cf55b16ab449ae1567b4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0441325736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c30974220af4e3352fb824c080992e6863e22e7d59cf55b16ab449ae1567b4f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.045128031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c30974220af4e3352fb824c080992e6863e22e7d59cf55b16ab449ae1567b4f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465689645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c30974220af4e3352fb824c080992e6863e22e7d59cf55b16ab449ae1567b4f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485616328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0426610822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424792666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0427749942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0433716338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1c9c9d7b576258a7dcb4ae71399ffb2f0bf91c8c7bc9740ca081022a6ceb7ed3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0443177978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1d102eec5b3c899fa95096e68d7ff084443d712e67dc91d3256737e3fb321449","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539370516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1d102eec5b3c899fa95096e68d7ff084443d712e67dc91d3256737e3fb321449","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547336385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1d102eec5b3c899fa95096e68d7ff084443d712e67dc91d3256737e3fb321449","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0561648202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1d102eec5b3c899fa95096e68d7ff084443d712e67dc91d3256737e3fb321449","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579108879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"1d102eec5b3c899fa95096e68d7ff084443d712e67dc91d3256737e3fb321449","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607991866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2447254c0dc0dad5a5497ed8cf5cb47daa35ff07f8e5530db7e1cabd92144c57","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0470223705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2447254c0dc0dad5a5497ed8cf5cb47daa35ff07f8e5530db7e1cabd92144c57","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0506041645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2447254c0dc0dad5a5497ed8cf5cb47daa35ff07f8e5530db7e1cabd92144c57","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0562497173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2447254c0dc0dad5a5497ed8cf5cb47daa35ff07f8e5530db7e1cabd92144c57","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0630223989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2447254c0dc0dad5a5497ed8cf5cb47daa35ff07f8e5530db7e1cabd92144c57","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721134739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0633310332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653987919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652030301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632518264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"292174b033d8325538df2173525a964c10f0498c16f56fdd0cfbffc43d424e73","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063165202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0768676691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691824937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0739972339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.079786013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2bbe225ae556b715917ec31bdc2cd9b94df091136ec3b3f39d71041a45b6ecb0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0872405082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2cf9f1407c7a35ae3cdffa19aeab70f0718138bc61434b157ee53590a956c1f7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750853179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2cf9f1407c7a35ae3cdffa19aeab70f0718138bc61434b157ee53590a956c1f7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778898458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2cf9f1407c7a35ae3cdffa19aeab70f0718138bc61434b157ee53590a956c1f7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.078036938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2cf9f1407c7a35ae3cdffa19aeab70f0718138bc61434b157ee53590a956c1f7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0798185696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"2cf9f1407c7a35ae3cdffa19aeab70f0718138bc61434b157ee53590a956c1f7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823613138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"365ebbc4669aef1d1455160bcfbb55156bd5a05e9fb3cfe7a6aededccbd69f64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0944470505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"365ebbc4669aef1d1455160bcfbb55156bd5a05e9fb3cfe7a6aededccbd69f64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927254712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"365ebbc4669aef1d1455160bcfbb55156bd5a05e9fb3cfe7a6aededccbd69f64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0933493306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"365ebbc4669aef1d1455160bcfbb55156bd5a05e9fb3cfe7a6aededccbd69f64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0955720429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"365ebbc4669aef1d1455160bcfbb55156bd5a05e9fb3cfe7a6aededccbd69f64","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999721495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0455734716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0470416449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0498336356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532314195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583190215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4b9cf739b31ef0ddec1c66a0b6d9dffcab6dad3a8c0e518d8bda1cf74927d76e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2806655211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4b9cf739b31ef0ddec1c66a0b6d9dffcab6dad3a8c0e518d8bda1cf74927d76e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896195061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4b9cf739b31ef0ddec1c66a0b6d9dffcab6dad3a8c0e518d8bda1cf74927d76e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042459528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4b9cf739b31ef0ddec1c66a0b6d9dffcab6dad3a8c0e518d8bda1cf74927d76e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.319872711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4b9cf739b31ef0ddec1c66a0b6d9dffcab6dad3a8c0e518d8bda1cf74927d76e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2960319628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3300658695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.326145396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3252032205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3241568185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"4d48e503147b168225745dabcf23942fa1a8f042fa72b9487c981184049e5298","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3094660085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"52ccc876c702113b429db82ea4e6c66481a3fd1274a0003b8012becdfc88b1ca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0423519929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"52ccc876c702113b429db82ea4e6c66481a3fd1274a0003b8012becdfc88b1ca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0419975862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"52ccc876c702113b429db82ea4e6c66481a3fd1274a0003b8012becdfc88b1ca","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0419442684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"52ccc876c702113b429db82ea4e6c66481a3fd1274a0003b8012becdfc88b1ca","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0420014044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"52ccc876c702113b429db82ea4e6c66481a3fd1274a0003b8012becdfc88b1ca","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0423162204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0433587589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0444269335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0452770641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0464818287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0481200449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"56049d9346ec16d8289932a40a7f78b675235e6737ace75eb471c7105e27a569","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1597954276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"56049d9346ec16d8289932a40a7f78b675235e6737ace75eb471c7105e27a569","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1563272692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"56049d9346ec16d8289932a40a7f78b675235e6737ace75eb471c7105e27a569","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1543829187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"56049d9346ec16d8289932a40a7f78b675235e6737ace75eb471c7105e27a569","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1545534176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"56049d9346ec16d8289932a40a7f78b675235e6737ace75eb471c7105e27a569","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1546727349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5df98290d20fc7021ca89a43e4284a2b120b54f6a2473ee0cc309dd34de2b9c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2759264621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5df98290d20fc7021ca89a43e4284a2b120b54f6a2473ee0cc309dd34de2b9c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3364112812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5df98290d20fc7021ca89a43e4284a2b120b54f6a2473ee0cc309dd34de2b9c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916341289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5df98290d20fc7021ca89a43e4284a2b120b54f6a2473ee0cc309dd34de2b9c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3054118995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"5df98290d20fc7021ca89a43e4284a2b120b54f6a2473ee0cc309dd34de2b9c9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3058717146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"613133dbd19489d25cd4d49bf32a22a11a2986d9361eee0b5b19eabbd41499b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491041746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"613133dbd19489d25cd4d49bf32a22a11a2986d9361eee0b5b19eabbd41499b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536235987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"613133dbd19489d25cd4d49bf32a22a11a2986d9361eee0b5b19eabbd41499b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607510506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"613133dbd19489d25cd4d49bf32a22a11a2986d9361eee0b5b19eabbd41499b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8365363153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"613133dbd19489d25cd4d49bf32a22a11a2986d9361eee0b5b19eabbd41499b0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0831527176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"62d4ffc7ac1aba2046cd0ee9d2d580c343095aa6f55bdd9233964662b85eb4a7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0440235271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"62d4ffc7ac1aba2046cd0ee9d2d580c343095aa6f55bdd9233964662b85eb4a7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0452609733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"62d4ffc7ac1aba2046cd0ee9d2d580c343095aa6f55bdd9233964662b85eb4a7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0472543235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"62d4ffc7ac1aba2046cd0ee9d2d580c343095aa6f55bdd9233964662b85eb4a7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0499829414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"62d4ffc7ac1aba2046cd0ee9d2d580c343095aa6f55bdd9233964662b85eb4a7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513154779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2677333811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3210704757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3143857935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775662693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2969913654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"734cc2c67c3a3a85a323d41b21f7462267979f4d115aced0b28f63e8a1d0eb08","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0842902558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"734cc2c67c3a3a85a323d41b21f7462267979f4d115aced0b28f63e8a1d0eb08","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.087877733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"734cc2c67c3a3a85a323d41b21f7462267979f4d115aced0b28f63e8a1d0eb08","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.093408387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"734cc2c67c3a3a85a323d41b21f7462267979f4d115aced0b28f63e8a1d0eb08","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003720105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"734cc2c67c3a3a85a323d41b21f7462267979f4d115aced0b28f63e8a1d0eb08","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1093277682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3815609766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2714494014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133970729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3379976342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3002251618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"7dc70394daa920e16360916cada735fd518555af86433d2ff0fff9446b849803","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571191205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"7dc70394daa920e16360916cada735fd518555af86433d2ff0fff9446b849803","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595476496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"7dc70394daa920e16360916cada735fd518555af86433d2ff0fff9446b849803","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612208201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"7dc70394daa920e16360916cada735fd518555af86433d2ff0fff9446b849803","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625374476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"7dc70394daa920e16360916cada735fd518555af86433d2ff0fff9446b849803","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652973835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"801fe80e4399ce14328807001d519916c28c11898779ff0c43fa01f0ebf61c25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580143418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"801fe80e4399ce14328807001d519916c28c11898779ff0c43fa01f0ebf61c25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584041119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"801fe80e4399ce14328807001d519916c28c11898779ff0c43fa01f0ebf61c25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0609144586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"801fe80e4399ce14328807001d519916c28c11898779ff0c43fa01f0ebf61c25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064836023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"801fe80e4399ce14328807001d519916c28c11898779ff0c43fa01f0ebf61c25","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710430266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"87bdcf532a0d3d7b1061ec9118a866cff99577ecf4644dedaf8bd7af78b7fed3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.113567376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"87bdcf532a0d3d7b1061ec9118a866cff99577ecf4644dedaf8bd7af78b7fed3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1203822391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"87bdcf532a0d3d7b1061ec9118a866cff99577ecf4644dedaf8bd7af78b7fed3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949622743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"87bdcf532a0d3d7b1061ec9118a866cff99577ecf4644dedaf8bd7af78b7fed3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.105944382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"87bdcf532a0d3d7b1061ec9118a866cff99577ecf4644dedaf8bd7af78b7fed3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1377730308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8a61408039d409dd2defc7077c78d9ed0565d44b5eb78def7147e1236143ca09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543427756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8a61408039d409dd2defc7077c78d9ed0565d44b5eb78def7147e1236143ca09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540393231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8a61408039d409dd2defc7077c78d9ed0565d44b5eb78def7147e1236143ca09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543870935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8a61408039d409dd2defc7077c78d9ed0565d44b5eb78def7147e1236143ca09","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548882265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8a61408039d409dd2defc7077c78d9ed0565d44b5eb78def7147e1236143ca09","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560291279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8adecc3b9cefc00205f870e78b00c6cb48436cca2a0c503fb6dce563aa2c5e09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0432337597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8adecc3b9cefc00205f870e78b00c6cb48436cca2a0c503fb6dce563aa2c5e09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0442433438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8adecc3b9cefc00205f870e78b00c6cb48436cca2a0c503fb6dce563aa2c5e09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.046182058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8adecc3b9cefc00205f870e78b00c6cb48436cca2a0c503fb6dce563aa2c5e09","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0488450855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"8adecc3b9cefc00205f870e78b00c6cb48436cca2a0c503fb6dce563aa2c5e09","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531326929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"94a703650024b7c355023a0d91fce37a5adf1f07234efd26881732a4f0e2e27b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3574827754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"94a703650024b7c355023a0d91fce37a5adf1f07234efd26881732a4f0e2e27b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388124014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"94a703650024b7c355023a0d91fce37a5adf1f07234efd26881732a4f0e2e27b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3658747188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"94a703650024b7c355023a0d91fce37a5adf1f07234efd26881732a4f0e2e27b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3308753641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"94a703650024b7c355023a0d91fce37a5adf1f07234efd26881732a4f0e2e27b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3210463395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9b11cea95fabc92c5dbe17eb24c49cf5aa858f54725038ecd1702138663f985c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058876836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9b11cea95fabc92c5dbe17eb24c49cf5aa858f54725038ecd1702138663f985c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612962742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9b11cea95fabc92c5dbe17eb24c49cf5aa858f54725038ecd1702138663f985c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655680635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9b11cea95fabc92c5dbe17eb24c49cf5aa858f54725038ecd1702138663f985c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.071136935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9b11cea95fabc92c5dbe17eb24c49cf5aa858f54725038ecd1702138663f985c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788016106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524588011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525191643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526909827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528878927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532792219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a1996ce7bdc102ddae2d4665090c6be7e1c78fb2f516ba0a2cc500b7e82a2133","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2260020718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a1996ce7bdc102ddae2d4665090c6be7e1c78fb2f516ba0a2cc500b7e82a2133","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2504456795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a1996ce7bdc102ddae2d4665090c6be7e1c78fb2f516ba0a2cc500b7e82a2133","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2643846764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a1996ce7bdc102ddae2d4665090c6be7e1c78fb2f516ba0a2cc500b7e82a2133","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2711026311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a1996ce7bdc102ddae2d4665090c6be7e1c78fb2f516ba0a2cc500b7e82a2133","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2914524937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0630858985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655780635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717373401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0790880177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0910299372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0601325093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608938678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638370298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.068099501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0733086931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a7a970800d7cd2df5923a81bbb8fafda0792d1867330f4223adb817b799033da","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0428098989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a7a970800d7cd2df5923a81bbb8fafda0792d1867330f4223adb817b799033da","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0431689874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a7a970800d7cd2df5923a81bbb8fafda0792d1867330f4223adb817b799033da","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.043582621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a7a970800d7cd2df5923a81bbb8fafda0792d1867330f4223adb817b799033da","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0441007993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"a7a970800d7cd2df5923a81bbb8fafda0792d1867330f4223adb817b799033da","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.045203201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3960174245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3749065215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3771564608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3649985883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3716610434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0449428391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0470246432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508575264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0562007176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0647529327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b21952b29a054cfba1953aab6e15b322a13e7352de820f9b220aaf171c4a248a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0470825974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b21952b29a054cfba1953aab6e15b322a13e7352de820f9b220aaf171c4a248a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0484024066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b21952b29a054cfba1953aab6e15b322a13e7352de820f9b220aaf171c4a248a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0506752549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b21952b29a054cfba1953aab6e15b322a13e7352de820f9b220aaf171c4a248a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541643678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b21952b29a054cfba1953aab6e15b322a13e7352de820f9b220aaf171c4a248a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0593542418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b74ea990b7d074931723dfadf46d3f00532b0b441fee7ec41c0c83fabd299657","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0761974009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b74ea990b7d074931723dfadf46d3f00532b0b441fee7ec41c0c83fabd299657","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812066853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b74ea990b7d074931723dfadf46d3f00532b0b441fee7ec41c0c83fabd299657","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949090928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b74ea990b7d074931723dfadf46d3f00532b0b441fee7ec41c0c83fabd299657","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1070746925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b74ea990b7d074931723dfadf46d3f00532b0b441fee7ec41c0c83fabd299657","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1064828783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b93c42646135319279acffe697d376f25a55b139e1445ec594c1243571f875b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080489781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b93c42646135319279acffe697d376f25a55b139e1445ec594c1243571f875b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0955211341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b93c42646135319279acffe697d376f25a55b139e1445ec594c1243571f875b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1128971532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b93c42646135319279acffe697d376f25a55b139e1445ec594c1243571f875b5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1305267161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"b93c42646135319279acffe697d376f25a55b139e1445ec594c1243571f875b5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.137238489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646415698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0642990266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662551953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689131319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bb2ea8402975f456a7e4f5bfe1cbe412bfefd23f9712930022a0a24ca46ed05b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0727859694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bd4556bc6b041da6a292e12d1e2d5562fc3a8a60ab9eb97b0e5e1070df8fb2c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576517988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bd4556bc6b041da6a292e12d1e2d5562fc3a8a60ab9eb97b0e5e1070df8fb2c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0590448803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bd4556bc6b041da6a292e12d1e2d5562fc3a8a60ab9eb97b0e5e1070df8fb2c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0611676841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bd4556bc6b041da6a292e12d1e2d5562fc3a8a60ab9eb97b0e5e1070df8fb2c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638972112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bd4556bc6b041da6a292e12d1e2d5562fc3a8a60ab9eb97b0e5e1070df8fb2c0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0693130837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bdaa857ecd2b6515c694bd0ebf6888baa2dee88f618fa6a018bada5a24e72608","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0561893541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bdaa857ecd2b6515c694bd0ebf6888baa2dee88f618fa6a018bada5a24e72608","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599893284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bdaa857ecd2b6515c694bd0ebf6888baa2dee88f618fa6a018bada5a24e72608","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638184844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bdaa857ecd2b6515c694bd0ebf6888baa2dee88f618fa6a018bada5a24e72608","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689000865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"bdaa857ecd2b6515c694bd0ebf6888baa2dee88f618fa6a018bada5a24e72608","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075237271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"cfd52ce9f61cdac0900077fac761edc4aad270e46ad1857a7ab06c68f455527e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.047159915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"cfd52ce9f61cdac0900077fac761edc4aad270e46ad1857a7ab06c68f455527e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0486473595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"cfd52ce9f61cdac0900077fac761edc4aad270e46ad1857a7ab06c68f455527e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517057934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"cfd52ce9f61cdac0900077fac761edc4aad270e46ad1857a7ab06c68f455527e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0557199936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"cfd52ce9f61cdac0900077fac761edc4aad270e46ad1857a7ab06c68f455527e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612935015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.348614108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3428521469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3483185191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2653792151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2934707074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1317035718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1027023584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.112381384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1243492578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1805441513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d730705224f3cb2611f688d5e91096b2d0b085203cfc95a2d7f2b10142a1345f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0881129568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d730705224f3cb2611f688d5e91096b2d0b085203cfc95a2d7f2b10142a1345f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1015320026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d730705224f3cb2611f688d5e91096b2d0b085203cfc95a2d7f2b10142a1345f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1189025672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d730705224f3cb2611f688d5e91096b2d0b085203cfc95a2d7f2b10142a1345f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1403827859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d730705224f3cb2611f688d5e91096b2d0b085203cfc95a2d7f2b10142a1345f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1526492941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d804ec3793f7d324347ed01f930fab78714b6bf68f0840e5889248481fbdfe41","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0421375403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d804ec3793f7d324347ed01f930fab78714b6bf68f0840e5889248481fbdfe41","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.042211723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d804ec3793f7d324347ed01f930fab78714b6bf68f0840e5889248481fbdfe41","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.042468958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d804ec3793f7d324347ed01f930fab78714b6bf68f0840e5889248481fbdfe41","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0430166703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"d804ec3793f7d324347ed01f930fab78714b6bf68f0840e5889248481fbdfe41","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0438100285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"de704df3f9a5ab634b0f7a4dd86460e158ef26411e258216f738207652781671","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0469507346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"de704df3f9a5ab634b0f7a4dd86460e158ef26411e258216f738207652781671","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0500234412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"de704df3f9a5ab634b0f7a4dd86460e158ef26411e258216f738207652781671","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550244983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"de704df3f9a5ab634b0f7a4dd86460e158ef26411e258216f738207652781671","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608540499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"de704df3f9a5ab634b0f7a4dd86460e158ef26411e258216f738207652781671","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689650861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3676536159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3227439189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.348871379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3046251321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230931893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511268883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526451962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.05518177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596551943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670698716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5adefd3f744ff7949571692d7da3fd2304ea6fdb6fbe51a124475930c92178f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3071932966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5adefd3f744ff7949571692d7da3fd2304ea6fdb6fbe51a124475930c92178f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3324794896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5adefd3f744ff7949571692d7da3fd2304ea6fdb6fbe51a124475930c92178f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3006933405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5adefd3f744ff7949571692d7da3fd2304ea6fdb6fbe51a124475930c92178f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3413885204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5adefd3f744ff7949571692d7da3fd2304ea6fdb6fbe51a124475930c92178f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926161222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0818278174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0869641464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0994596075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1097684925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1231911292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ee283973ade277059ffce181c11edcc4ad1d9c2f01d4fbf8df02243e7da4a5f1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3939745291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ee283973ade277059ffce181c11edcc4ad1d9c2f01d4fbf8df02243e7da4a5f1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3745992508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ee283973ade277059ffce181c11edcc4ad1d9c2f01d4fbf8df02243e7da4a5f1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3726474003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ee283973ade277059ffce181c11edcc4ad1d9c2f01d4fbf8df02243e7da4a5f1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3589113112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ee283973ade277059ffce181c11edcc4ad1d9c2f01d4fbf8df02243e7da4a5f1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2792116672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fac1490cb1ce92d7144b57bb7dc858a8ffc0b374849b37ac2147b5d38dbf9d3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523906984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fac1490cb1ce92d7144b57bb7dc858a8ffc0b374849b37ac2147b5d38dbf9d3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0411044109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fac1490cb1ce92d7144b57bb7dc858a8ffc0b374849b37ac2147b5d38dbf9d3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0412055466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fac1490cb1ce92d7144b57bb7dc858a8ffc0b374849b37ac2147b5d38dbf9d3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.041378409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fac1490cb1ce92d7144b57bb7dc858a8ffc0b374849b37ac2147b5d38dbf9d3d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0418785434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fe9af79b3fa9b610f03bbbfb13282b9b8787246d935519fd1965ae00d07019a4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0418883261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fe9af79b3fa9b610f03bbbfb13282b9b8787246d935519fd1965ae00d07019a4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0419246894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fe9af79b3fa9b610f03bbbfb13282b9b8787246d935519fd1965ae00d07019a4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0421304053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fe9af79b3fa9b610f03bbbfb13282b9b8787246d935519fd1965ae00d07019a4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0425077664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"fe9af79b3fa9b610f03bbbfb13282b9b8787246d935519fd1965ae00d07019a4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.042818903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"feba82eb6fa6331fbfef78b9eec18775abc23832436a84147e2ed75990ce6313","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672235069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"feba82eb6fa6331fbfef78b9eec18775abc23832436a84147e2ed75990ce6313","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0679910017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"feba82eb6fa6331fbfef78b9eec18775abc23832436a84147e2ed75990ce6313","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0676164588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"feba82eb6fa6331fbfef78b9eec18775abc23832436a84147e2ed75990ce6313","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691149487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"feba82eb6fa6331fbfef78b9eec18775abc23832436a84147e2ed75990ce6313","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0729748317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ff59c5034850f3cf551c4fc91e421b155085a5b7eb040c9534e9f396081c82ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0724365172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ff59c5034850f3cf551c4fc91e421b155085a5b7eb040c9534e9f396081c82ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808406877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ff59c5034850f3cf551c4fc91e421b155085a5b7eb040c9534e9f396081c82ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919418401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ff59c5034850f3cf551c4fc91e421b155085a5b7eb040c9534e9f396081c82ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7020599501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"acled","id":"ff59c5034850f3cf551c4fc91e421b155085a5b7eb040c9534e9f396081c82ff","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1075975526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3415675375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.532414036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7340267398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.162212373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2989048964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3238841411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4817915257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6687236892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1248765269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.282660923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3804567879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1239856308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765721256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1622195016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3152366913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3595379388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5408371177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835740748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1532605072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3153146702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3609013556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5402133169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0867698248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1511258013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2935989512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4169504321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084521009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706505747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1340725529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3334700797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2580092277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1755566755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1283126856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1833668354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3044730059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3704184423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.132513166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0770039409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1465730335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2961145849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.271727949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.178721289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.127480873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1745461563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2797883446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3768268266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.133487184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0805902803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1747545597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3757018778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1479158486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0939433874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1331990162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722100457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3414185266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1545318333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1166173016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1645897135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2872406703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3992092821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1244575318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961367663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1431526476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133185504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3727731736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.160753481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1169900347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1433123062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827308064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.256975894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1451546543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0930553979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1623991544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2797325952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2663476435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1359396564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0907583935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1761786974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899755681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610807422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1110537111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.146557369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2949084277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3626174099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1436710962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104764423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1746003472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748010836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3881884434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1278445069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0944129143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1359608377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3171151711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2741418734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1542513287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085037283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1245048377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2686130224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2594130643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1516170737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1116082528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1491182152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2890432724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2149913977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114353187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0816357278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1416804206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917310081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2160252786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1342353729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1002719657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1848399027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016636815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2436818146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1413241272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1022628614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1704553223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912794694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496503063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1350790815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0902575333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1556430181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3002256357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1284399574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0868538744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.274386497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2053864167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1200627412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835459422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795356213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2005412199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1187445683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0805505079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1642843396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3111134272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2564130638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1374065807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.084758434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1633133957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329513437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2357353642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1363199583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0901720339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1790190107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2692114275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2389016771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1256904152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0913220261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1761032721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077894238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2256925727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1266441652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0975628931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1540496387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.273973535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.204072259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.122912722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0908356657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1602090977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2648828636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4028540981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.128553593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0877095959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1969250722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2911212192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1898454048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003901467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608279137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1750976481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2691882127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4340192911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1067173767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.072103974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1782316036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250959926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060449289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3431839628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4000717555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3214817823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133114929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3240778568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3546566127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4002881229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3250567349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.320137675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3347794741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3690065158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3010930156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3056433071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148760083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3106523642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3225204659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3035937905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3323158543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3449430418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4148925698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4962784297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900622319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3126597652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3843298164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615947407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2973888628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4341334955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984250933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.320794308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3424317008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3921781634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3207938209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3551939525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3160768118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3374794559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3860245828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2586218606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3191859775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4293893916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1408546918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039628953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2960929373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3536545468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3669466917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1700134131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1205491016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2464635188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3189157511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3577370228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4668976568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1573731045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3599974857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3076977482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3583514467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4887429952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3700766904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3567496037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4092474832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1862888614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2694799147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2164112527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2707980637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040738362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3413845755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3840336209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4324388876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2810451268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3010930361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3346449692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3649232728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3985691991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493028942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818740128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3218081073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3644164632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4143975648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2370327907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2660356602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3055569277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3486571539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.39811955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.26724204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2969841412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.328435177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3555397028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3935004133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.279568068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3063329561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3332216062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3608684402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3884821611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2781199631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3005072958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3297702283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3607681724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3943168412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719920972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2948515069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3274227106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3624186826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3971707186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2873996864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3073264849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3300576604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3547872517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.386850233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042833893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3233913621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3492865368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3625761945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3781871386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.255352945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2329028558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2119529954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.196521785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1829716472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2026618665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1755643371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1529302192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.140610128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1192820823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3433215594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2378104089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2329903344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3871677494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4126328999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2614522457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2395246702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2203305335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2051599169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4623036373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3995621942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3591802048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263286872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2782421852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3894318157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3846659169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3332612406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.29876959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2421106047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4599901395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1054808767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814303271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123558787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2828214374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2905931742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.307060158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3142027461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1420275816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1710908856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2164826689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703801618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.346643703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488982057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.176167245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2238130438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2825159322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.372600787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303218659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610397363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.313256505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3538431888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3954112128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.272757743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.258020582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3514273384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3766445142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4068581351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2909141145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2671428413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3543493065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3793748184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216189816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3013271613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.321036385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.282512983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.336450983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3550494943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2786039945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2608271028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3504731027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3713142051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2355528789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772530551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2688074459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3463033633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3605090452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2461993467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752056239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2607318829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3500162056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3731308073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2162123204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093926774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3238539036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3533215725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2222381761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.408293843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1385152161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1730619065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2255524221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2855451975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3687098707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4088939594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3735486164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133696039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3479588855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.388706249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3429744362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2854939442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3061458351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2736366861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2744661224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2920958938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2877695237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701273116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4586416892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3935259093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2866876259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3422234009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4082317284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2323672698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3905954821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4177812174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4381945621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.481289009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1315719648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1618830391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2061509381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682282658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.350770329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2727460708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2943936839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3215154814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532037695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3877679965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835515448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096547049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3276645318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.347766979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3722319004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601626006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2463296606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317107279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2148528812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1991282748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2400396311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2715124223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316617624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3477540761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3875272452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2939804946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3258777164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3565348136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3844030266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4198673163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3143237914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2713255136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3651843623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4047174172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4530626301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2841616153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896156557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2964714833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048035631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3429216136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2959526392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.266028448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.360545683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3947731341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3401368803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3283640242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3568174237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.382604877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4156832244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2454935204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.272974376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3067581668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3492537842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4197280002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2760014399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3126718081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3358405326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3606255755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3887842584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2374858464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4087928558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994479972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3463018853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3823459377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2754874661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3118227766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.359592569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4141473114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4324371628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2824197292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3236282657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.370687473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.424144031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3455371293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3687343617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3889988116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3905433129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.390552841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2971593551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3281194053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3743957044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481123882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493394821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3751551943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3203446693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3343966549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2464145828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2084399984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2911220446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3142802724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2568660813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3607670341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2217386796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3550277543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3292684734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3063473595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2864088802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.265291713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3520544498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3195304002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3089933898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3455848308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2224609541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2074391337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.173757359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1443025429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1233986437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031383858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2215404349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1908209495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.159201091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1373926679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1177124182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2702563461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795455412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925930617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3165943792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3309625859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3702736756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230636583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3506878634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3996974072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4531848961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3481410489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3660963304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2272628195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288236744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276763497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2971550472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925278277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892443747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3476036344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3817883501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2429786903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.234045085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2318941671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2290231118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2366018207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3869435322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3007714661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3280324798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3621540853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2564351375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1163060052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1173833048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1212222789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.128979272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"048b354eb4a2d24ea29fd579964f996a67e3acb40f67a3f9d6d41d8d431be560","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1451854808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.201634918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1995803864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2021758235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2099075895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2246775426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0943004605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0954827707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988880205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1057268834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1286081381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1223627257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6125139635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1630478279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4810773421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4003313387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0936095111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949186041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989867925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1076014617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.129089953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1281195505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1429914956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1626710446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1851432566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.219963158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0822358156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0831960377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0870222942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0948951388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1117096158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1622166634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5300617833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4949151227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4547722108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4109668081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2482800578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2604390667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2788343971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3086844929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3066835908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0852709306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0951115005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099974001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1314019374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b6d5c38b8ee7751461358ec55a5fa80040f996b824eee281e00ac6593133cef","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1693325906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1050697515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058232919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.108041686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1133287412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1274015099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058912914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1117359338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1206820552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1328081098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1558943176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1070322383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1087050906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1127197908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.120067923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1412807799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1307899984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1345820523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427143156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.15433401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1831600427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0939629742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.095436862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0997994689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1095909937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.136754674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1319461184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1498328756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4978842147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4380375767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2444004586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938811452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0947822755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982221613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.106272107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1298858113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0937176463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0944770048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0974699391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1040913036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.123258356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.156056352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1690245793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1806639912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2033403221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2429862249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0824914493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0836324871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0873561438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0952549541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1144264156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0820143162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827462659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.084828434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0882156398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"651abc635d0c4932529f80903fc95b9442e49ca01b4215b06a600cb74a435106","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949237859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.105191342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1060188833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1091344173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1160037232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1313355742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0821187705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0828586759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0853361688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0903096238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1046005274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1260936765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5847762876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5070516546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4327796958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3523043192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1492226742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1664684453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1884193413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2166202664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2572389741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0937356921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.094535688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0976993126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1047856625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1199049696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1669306068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1779078054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1950895077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2144211839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244197895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071537374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1092309961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114462779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1265808791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1787623451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938267369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949369581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977225852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032566728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1198839243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0935085113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0946631854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098568659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1079221413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.134568507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2137212001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2123030279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2150666456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2219620536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2360349269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2049303503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2164802724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288801887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4452650921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4250938498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938132138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0942086998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0967246828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1010066539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d6816578f7adcb1e66eae05cd291216e812656e831c2a6f009143d5b0bfa898","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1094044041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1599226995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1740714677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1917031669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2066348843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2305210867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1055448392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063496065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1110468475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1207866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1466989251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.258148173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2691344625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.293072638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.32227664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3733852781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0937288285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0945106414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0975322133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1043264856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1229900056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0836006691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854497475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918595225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1046157546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1366126295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0824585973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835415786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0871087932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0945741405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1144541995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1051766149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1061131099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1094725513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1168098541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1329503361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938460091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0950009104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989097022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071594647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.13075926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1659351589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1733578361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1873668325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2073621521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367996149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0828289584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0847255706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0889043151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0957262236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132961505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1481898241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5351417583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4664740399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4005017578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.334393113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c457c0e8ded5941d94854d81e267fbb7aec5144c479947cd9178c689d660af00","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1160720423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c457c0e8ded5941d94854d81e267fbb7aec5144c479947cd9178c689d660af00","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1167812661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c457c0e8ded5941d94854d81e267fbb7aec5144c479947cd9178c689d660af00","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1196725216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c457c0e8ded5941d94854d81e267fbb7aec5144c479947cd9178c689d660af00","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1261642578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c457c0e8ded5941d94854d81e267fbb7aec5144c479947cd9178c689d660af00","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1436150846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2395937528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2956388291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.313202347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2945024731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3519975397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0889140878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037901238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1281581411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1572443085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2187620752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1051822057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062594712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099037662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1176900868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1416493228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0891484225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1198949637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1330449402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1915384994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2393697751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422585075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2437437248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2536527488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2837665183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3167128031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0865129676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972128954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1191172931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1527079755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2156666415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0842880736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0861416065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0906624851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977822552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1189174762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1048311286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1059142476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.110196001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1190090211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1393567928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571854027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.237645197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2346756101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2355999091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2243449366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2596004266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2450843441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.233715824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2213706766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AMTM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2091816207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2641191497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3373865824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2354402878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3819709841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4160226574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646804418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.333216027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2419243633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3695405562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3959059552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ATO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3199088368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ATO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3306328658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ATO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2413265713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ATO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2282007434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ATO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2132779297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3190700801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3389904195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3655312869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3897686663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4223156108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2511750478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2409806587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2300555701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3850315145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4098764399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2811098457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2686127346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3441556799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3693841607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4066520363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704520868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2626381072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2527449715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2432370751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2325110154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.263704421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307462733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.339688572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3549732872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.376013047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2631465443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466436563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3670191431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3934593519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4273952587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2741635294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2631403987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2521820292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2404388842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283293371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2644316537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2469785655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2301724715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2152751338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2008158762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2569069749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2423215624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.227175066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4014402871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4405496947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649543201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3368108081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2373397432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2269063767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2143870495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547273705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2425526996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3750182861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4003938008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4355081187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2605189328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2431985737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2290744091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2150991556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ECL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4256555651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117467081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3237515947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3430087528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3609807205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3836703754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642822481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2486468614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3630552473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3920003298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.428096296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3350419996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3479298984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3628113134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3794705579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4044422085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.272539973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2596109397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2503184766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2403907702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2313326548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.260927384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3522812582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3811874316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4144347319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4634993374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2669935635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.256359079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.246286698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361856259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"FITB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2249912889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704992808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3339692269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.350122138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3734811217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4069216028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2440680612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2294942335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2116425574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1950571859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.175339445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633490426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466458993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2301114393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2145655622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4270369333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2585574095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424788525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2231454928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2039782619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4487418125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3378507322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.351346654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2308412269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2249804836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.218225905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HLT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642363675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HLT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.247803181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HLT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2289168175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HLT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2114226143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HLT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1937415908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.266514362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574815658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2483689365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358566974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3173168318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3361595605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.231587114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3919155547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1952171287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2661699715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2482979799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2309120317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191020033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2015301869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3147242561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3291253418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2438798069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3655989041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"KR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3943951823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2512775964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2397649684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3718566578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2167386388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2064539043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2680265269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3260825534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516518073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2418203129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.232062652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2632113387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2504057135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2360516305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2231012937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2111710978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2674852515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3357937118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.364545366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3960358462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4301908718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3270506865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3390736415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3547738496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3726736916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.398370895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2769722079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2671119296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588588185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2505714145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2420842435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2625299259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2523128588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410064346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2313901783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MPWR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2177468519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2616997836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2453385512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2230630436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2084773141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1903467617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2632412767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2504989359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.234862392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.217475221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2043616174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3254516892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2501506783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2401714207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2318004653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191810479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3297873796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2401072713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2260820912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2120453944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1975190837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NWSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2790928517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NWSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133177264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NWSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2647414507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NWSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3433645374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"NWSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3668815647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3163526252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525293783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2378168335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216470187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2010939108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2672357948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3242532358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3374837364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3541519337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3735921274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2552951363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2372461229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3806368657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.204451226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1871752622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547280785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2482207602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2359900901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3841414231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2100577123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3241781248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3378844294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2397945456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303723784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2197398561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2717094635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3250157045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3414328313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3553115093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2269517245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2653547086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479824868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2275750913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2106073231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1935514369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2631127979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2485550453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2329144669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.218792586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2056873346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2539101409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2390155827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3795179712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4011885023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4287480933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2587006623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2448011007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2349319955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2253661118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2157830329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2593039299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3348180341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3495982973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3666452996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3914550723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2658591598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588818282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2454091508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2336363605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2152079769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2599293481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.246581626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2310876948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2162855209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2003597057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2606380584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2434485347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2260247638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2106331483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1935628021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.245618459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2265069409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3977976344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4232224667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1785919794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.317230948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3295864139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2443034351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2339274669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2181658759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2655300961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2459136299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3724599269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.217136344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2019496924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2661594497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2562938336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424217079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3686672182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3953090639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"00fc71a02fb3b50786c62e16fb709f746e9999ffacf8e426a0463fa32dcc5eb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0728284842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"00fc71a02fb3b50786c62e16fb709f746e9999ffacf8e426a0463fa32dcc5eb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0758864181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"00fc71a02fb3b50786c62e16fb709f746e9999ffacf8e426a0463fa32dcc5eb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800547081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"00fc71a02fb3b50786c62e16fb709f746e9999ffacf8e426a0463fa32dcc5eb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0860912583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"00fc71a02fb3b50786c62e16fb709f746e9999ffacf8e426a0463fa32dcc5eb2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0945555648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"08d84b25ed07be4862d40e4e51ca9c4b15cc0b8dca370d401ddf860470a49fc4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541411103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"08d84b25ed07be4862d40e4e51ca9c4b15cc0b8dca370d401ddf860470a49fc4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545013351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"08d84b25ed07be4862d40e4e51ca9c4b15cc0b8dca370d401ddf860470a49fc4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0555878278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"08d84b25ed07be4862d40e4e51ca9c4b15cc0b8dca370d401ddf860470a49fc4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0570332726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"08d84b25ed07be4862d40e4e51ca9c4b15cc0b8dca370d401ddf860470a49fc4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0593008482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605313399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617734678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635479559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664243456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690006918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"19b556f956794f40ad784891ce428e3c56a29724203ab83b52d20d94532e9ec0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.08111661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"19b556f956794f40ad784891ce428e3c56a29724203ab83b52d20d94532e9ec0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0830159609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"19b556f956794f40ad784891ce428e3c56a29724203ab83b52d20d94532e9ec0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0865971185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"19b556f956794f40ad784891ce428e3c56a29724203ab83b52d20d94532e9ec0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0911794512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"19b556f956794f40ad784891ce428e3c56a29724203ab83b52d20d94532e9ec0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096139645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1fe32dcda8eabebcb3233c7468799d8a7be39dbb8e035c7607f3cb96e86fb193","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0469229317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1fe32dcda8eabebcb3233c7468799d8a7be39dbb8e035c7607f3cb96e86fb193","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480501968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1fe32dcda8eabebcb3233c7468799d8a7be39dbb8e035c7607f3cb96e86fb193","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0502865454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1fe32dcda8eabebcb3233c7468799d8a7be39dbb8e035c7607f3cb96e86fb193","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536092502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"1fe32dcda8eabebcb3233c7468799d8a7be39dbb8e035c7607f3cb96e86fb193","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0585683077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"23958ce12af866b9fcb3506c3e56d19b436074e51e4b3fb804bfe1f2ffb644f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0740295215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"23958ce12af866b9fcb3506c3e56d19b436074e51e4b3fb804bfe1f2ffb644f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792602135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"23958ce12af866b9fcb3506c3e56d19b436074e51e4b3fb804bfe1f2ffb644f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0838840005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"23958ce12af866b9fcb3506c3e56d19b436074e51e4b3fb804bfe1f2ffb644f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919874003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"23958ce12af866b9fcb3506c3e56d19b436074e51e4b3fb804bfe1f2ffb644f5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1028736905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"27e70022df39c1286195f35f6e73ff0a3bc9823ff281628630e4e38c3f246a1b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707239074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"27e70022df39c1286195f35f6e73ff0a3bc9823ff281628630e4e38c3f246a1b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714932204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"27e70022df39c1286195f35f6e73ff0a3bc9823ff281628630e4e38c3f246a1b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0749386063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"27e70022df39c1286195f35f6e73ff0a3bc9823ff281628630e4e38c3f246a1b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0789454429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"27e70022df39c1286195f35f6e73ff0a3bc9823ff281628630e4e38c3f246a1b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0843613154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"374d20db009e901bb92d4ab0f5b1d2e33ce1019cf561eee1e75b4fc68a290808","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0421116914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"374d20db009e901bb92d4ab0f5b1d2e33ce1019cf561eee1e75b4fc68a290808","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0430214126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"374d20db009e901bb92d4ab0f5b1d2e33ce1019cf561eee1e75b4fc68a290808","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0441910865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"374d20db009e901bb92d4ab0f5b1d2e33ce1019cf561eee1e75b4fc68a290808","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.045811621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"374d20db009e901bb92d4ab0f5b1d2e33ce1019cf561eee1e75b4fc68a290808","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0479307885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"37bb9720a8980c257e8b6ec59b1d9e6a30c36e5ddf38293eeccbb98175dcda18","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0426559605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"37bb9720a8980c257e8b6ec59b1d9e6a30c36e5ddf38293eeccbb98175dcda18","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0430434579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"37bb9720a8980c257e8b6ec59b1d9e6a30c36e5ddf38293eeccbb98175dcda18","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0437822256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"37bb9720a8980c257e8b6ec59b1d9e6a30c36e5ddf38293eeccbb98175dcda18","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0450074446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"37bb9720a8980c257e8b6ec59b1d9e6a30c36e5ddf38293eeccbb98175dcda18","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0472513386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536331591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543922449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0555060101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569744093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3884d50c869e40bf8dafd318d1841666ddf2d3a6a8958befb9962e8fbfa882a2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596478458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3bbe65cba1ada663992b871337c71ee014f315503897beae00550619c0886cba","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0471638846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3bbe65cba1ada663992b871337c71ee014f315503897beae00550619c0886cba","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0500613196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3bbe65cba1ada663992b871337c71ee014f315503897beae00550619c0886cba","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547740605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3bbe65cba1ada663992b871337c71ee014f315503897beae00550619c0886cba","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602137966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3bbe65cba1ada663992b871337c71ee014f315503897beae00550619c0886cba","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0681093342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.398337732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2087270721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2135569032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2433228387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2332324067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660864842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0674819293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0703150011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736481604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"3fc41392cc7af95f3974c74323958db08c9756f63f159770ff0fae2ad3867a2d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785783999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"436b56dbec711452fc8eaab9dd4f18eb80112950cda18c11a54c9e242f78caa3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0456468494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"436b56dbec711452fc8eaab9dd4f18eb80112950cda18c11a54c9e242f78caa3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461104826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"436b56dbec711452fc8eaab9dd4f18eb80112950cda18c11a54c9e242f78caa3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0472322023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"436b56dbec711452fc8eaab9dd4f18eb80112950cda18c11a54c9e242f78caa3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0488062826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"436b56dbec711452fc8eaab9dd4f18eb80112950cda18c11a54c9e242f78caa3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508524506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"45effc3f2f4b36c0bdd3705be79836c6f20685f189da217126fd2105dd504b34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.84535668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"45effc3f2f4b36c0bdd3705be79836c6f20685f189da217126fd2105dd504b34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0705662267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"45effc3f2f4b36c0bdd3705be79836c6f20685f189da217126fd2105dd504b34","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778056778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"45effc3f2f4b36c0bdd3705be79836c6f20685f189da217126fd2105dd504b34","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7535731175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"45effc3f2f4b36c0bdd3705be79836c6f20685f189da217126fd2105dd504b34","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0953451504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0585183535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0486456928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510774946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550092862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602139329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1359603308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1407554349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1530911243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1741413914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1733397604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0668421609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0693194169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0751887864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0838776369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4940d17de83bf8e1a4992fdf8fd7296279f28fb4ef3934dbd0aff74632b39538","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956157849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0894432811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925157604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980491776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1054704457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063358944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625285082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654693975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0696693691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766909126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.083887455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0674102934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692693718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0719500355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0759090997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"5f4f3994b4bb534e32cd7506a44ce2df113c82811e8151b69960beee90b83f09","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0816101976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"649ef19adcff9d71b160d0b800a1763bace6cefa008d641ba9862fd123f24f04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2667091303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"649ef19adcff9d71b160d0b800a1763bace6cefa008d641ba9862fd123f24f04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.281016852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"649ef19adcff9d71b160d0b800a1763bace6cefa008d641ba9862fd123f24f04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2739623087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"649ef19adcff9d71b160d0b800a1763bace6cefa008d641ba9862fd123f24f04","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2853635499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"649ef19adcff9d71b160d0b800a1763bace6cefa008d641ba9862fd123f24f04","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3062640907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6550e9c72e857dd6927499208796557e812571de330f74aefd10799aa9fe32ec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559274618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6550e9c72e857dd6927499208796557e812571de330f74aefd10799aa9fe32ec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0566638206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6550e9c72e857dd6927499208796557e812571de330f74aefd10799aa9fe32ec","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578594038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6550e9c72e857dd6927499208796557e812571de330f74aefd10799aa9fe32ec","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0593232589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6550e9c72e857dd6927499208796557e812571de330f74aefd10799aa9fe32ec","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614921557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6abd7481f55934eaf6403849337b5b166b7b001a5914c2aa3c82f5966e3b6251","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.091308314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6abd7481f55934eaf6403849337b5b166b7b001a5914c2aa3c82f5966e3b6251","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0936086621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6abd7481f55934eaf6403849337b5b166b7b001a5914c2aa3c82f5966e3b6251","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.088156108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6abd7481f55934eaf6403849337b5b166b7b001a5914c2aa3c82f5966e3b6251","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062743948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6abd7481f55934eaf6403849337b5b166b7b001a5914c2aa3c82f5966e3b6251","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1018418338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6ddad58cd4547581fa3bfda4e1afcf2fbc3c6c7a83676679f0212232623832b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639747257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6ddad58cd4547581fa3bfda4e1afcf2fbc3c6c7a83676679f0212232623832b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706184536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6ddad58cd4547581fa3bfda4e1afcf2fbc3c6c7a83676679f0212232623832b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077646588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6ddad58cd4547581fa3bfda4e1afcf2fbc3c6c7a83676679f0212232623832b5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0876225661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"6ddad58cd4547581fa3bfda4e1afcf2fbc3c6c7a83676679f0212232623832b5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989202172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7020f827b201715cd1abfd774f2cec168daa8227aabf2be4e3dcd3d47a12b776","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3472993138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7020f827b201715cd1abfd774f2cec168daa8227aabf2be4e3dcd3d47a12b776","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3443447882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7020f827b201715cd1abfd774f2cec168daa8227aabf2be4e3dcd3d47a12b776","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3418811685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7020f827b201715cd1abfd774f2cec168daa8227aabf2be4e3dcd3d47a12b776","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826997497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7020f827b201715cd1abfd774f2cec168daa8227aabf2be4e3dcd3d47a12b776","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3369584744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"711409a039d2c1fb4b00672768d92cb9a092282d3096c8f673be2fd44915dd4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2650549142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"711409a039d2c1fb4b00672768d92cb9a092282d3096c8f673be2fd44915dd4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496990178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"711409a039d2c1fb4b00672768d92cb9a092282d3096c8f673be2fd44915dd4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2431334712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"711409a039d2c1fb4b00672768d92cb9a092282d3096c8f673be2fd44915dd4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424923392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"711409a039d2c1fb4b00672768d92cb9a092282d3096c8f673be2fd44915dd4e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2950780298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"72092650debefbf0c8c973d60983f5ca636e7d717ea6d584c53f2de1aa9cf049","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525286666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"72092650debefbf0c8c973d60983f5ca636e7d717ea6d584c53f2de1aa9cf049","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532207074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"72092650debefbf0c8c973d60983f5ca636e7d717ea6d584c53f2de1aa9cf049","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543480634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"72092650debefbf0c8c973d60983f5ca636e7d717ea6d584c53f2de1aa9cf049","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560771427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"72092650debefbf0c8c973d60983f5ca636e7d717ea6d584c53f2de1aa9cf049","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584370813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063113777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653548073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688148294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073528434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"7f338047d5eca2dfca4bb766b2371c5188aac4ad166bf878b1366add77cfa490","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792181683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523911221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524570307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526672566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529433911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535707505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"88fd3752ee3838fb46f66b14503061e658c46f12d26909b975c1b1f5da69dde4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614226066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"88fd3752ee3838fb46f66b14503061e658c46f12d26909b975c1b1f5da69dde4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615664692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"88fd3752ee3838fb46f66b14503061e658c46f12d26909b975c1b1f5da69dde4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654518976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"88fd3752ee3838fb46f66b14503061e658c46f12d26909b975c1b1f5da69dde4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0724265778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"88fd3752ee3838fb46f66b14503061e658c46f12d26909b975c1b1f5da69dde4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755977382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"938371b1a1a68ec787a1c1c24976264e7042e9227d6a95d8fcbc2e3fb08b83b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521626691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"938371b1a1a68ec787a1c1c24976264e7042e9227d6a95d8fcbc2e3fb08b83b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539602933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"938371b1a1a68ec787a1c1c24976264e7042e9227d6a95d8fcbc2e3fb08b83b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0585921711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"938371b1a1a68ec787a1c1c24976264e7042e9227d6a95d8fcbc2e3fb08b83b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654948973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"938371b1a1a68ec787a1c1c24976264e7042e9227d6a95d8fcbc2e3fb08b83b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736067971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9994df23bccf6fbeb343126c2f01a84231237f2970106e143ae6a44d110f884d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0782170387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9994df23bccf6fbeb343126c2f01a84231237f2970106e143ae6a44d110f884d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0802313433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9994df23bccf6fbeb343126c2f01a84231237f2970106e143ae6a44d110f884d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0797937099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9994df23bccf6fbeb343126c2f01a84231237f2970106e143ae6a44d110f884d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827701898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9994df23bccf6fbeb343126c2f01a84231237f2970106e143ae6a44d110f884d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.756185509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"99aa6344239ecc2cedd893fc6527bd6b7d82b6e61f78b0f3364b9a3ec5ab4416","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429866401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"99aa6344239ecc2cedd893fc6527bd6b7d82b6e61f78b0f3364b9a3ec5ab4416","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0441923138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"99aa6344239ecc2cedd893fc6527bd6b7d82b6e61f78b0f3364b9a3ec5ab4416","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0466140247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"99aa6344239ecc2cedd893fc6527bd6b7d82b6e61f78b0f3364b9a3ec5ab4416","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0502608183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"99aa6344239ecc2cedd893fc6527bd6b7d82b6e61f78b0f3364b9a3ec5ab4416","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055374011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9cd72948f0b09ec8d0e6e9d8443bcfad462a80a7d044de3c15ba6076ee498520","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1367775981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9cd72948f0b09ec8d0e6e9d8443bcfad462a80a7d044de3c15ba6076ee498520","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1459166273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9cd72948f0b09ec8d0e6e9d8443bcfad462a80a7d044de3c15ba6076ee498520","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1794176739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9cd72948f0b09ec8d0e6e9d8443bcfad462a80a7d044de3c15ba6076ee498520","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1746013428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9cd72948f0b09ec8d0e6e9d8443bcfad462a80a7d044de3c15ba6076ee498520","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1747721144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9fbd7500f94298949defd9d8e8f06567e1cde07e760ed93ccc79025279961114","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063251367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9fbd7500f94298949defd9d8e8f06567e1cde07e760ed93ccc79025279961114","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632890031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9fbd7500f94298949defd9d8e8f06567e1cde07e760ed93ccc79025279961114","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634194113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9fbd7500f94298949defd9d8e8f06567e1cde07e760ed93ccc79025279961114","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636462279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"9fbd7500f94298949defd9d8e8f06567e1cde07e760ed93ccc79025279961114","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0645231311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a110951cb1e6878652f5697b879f988626c2ff2dbe44be50f42469b63b219e80","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2805299462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a110951cb1e6878652f5697b879f988626c2ff2dbe44be50f42469b63b219e80","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826315683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a110951cb1e6878652f5697b879f988626c2ff2dbe44be50f42469b63b219e80","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3017712119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a110951cb1e6878652f5697b879f988626c2ff2dbe44be50f42469b63b219e80","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3273059941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a110951cb1e6878652f5697b879f988626c2ff2dbe44be50f42469b63b219e80","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.309563932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a4d24c43cb10f0fe11e49b7ae2194a39433d4e71218b24a6296f92bcf7183310","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063783182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a4d24c43cb10f0fe11e49b7ae2194a39433d4e71218b24a6296f92bcf7183310","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637422732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a4d24c43cb10f0fe11e49b7ae2194a39433d4e71218b24a6296f92bcf7183310","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0641191357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a4d24c43cb10f0fe11e49b7ae2194a39433d4e71218b24a6296f92bcf7183310","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0641916829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a4d24c43cb10f0fe11e49b7ae2194a39433d4e71218b24a6296f92bcf7183310","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649743667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0459195294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0478297438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0503274542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538751575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0585410351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0472911565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465684341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0486185566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524733033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573190434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524990759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529479365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542490641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550842857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ac7b7ca153f613fa81d9c0eff4f0aa25bb62bba04da7610ae4eec7e1586425bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573673612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ae45dbc5ad3d8f7b9e405255b4201e97aee7fbef1f895794f03074f96cee9a53","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0740285788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ae45dbc5ad3d8f7b9e405255b4201e97aee7fbef1f895794f03074f96cee9a53","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0749208923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ae45dbc5ad3d8f7b9e405255b4201e97aee7fbef1f895794f03074f96cee9a53","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0749943445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ae45dbc5ad3d8f7b9e405255b4201e97aee7fbef1f895794f03074f96cee9a53","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077333181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"ae45dbc5ad3d8f7b9e405255b4201e97aee7fbef1f895794f03074f96cee9a53","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771213643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0572183622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0592092579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0628684605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0681277431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.07520115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"c3792ed73906350a1ec5495c99397d11ef3873284bb5ad8bccf9f70df9dfda73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1266185757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"c3792ed73906350a1ec5495c99397d11ef3873284bb5ad8bccf9f70df9dfda73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1304040047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"c3792ed73906350a1ec5495c99397d11ef3873284bb5ad8bccf9f70df9dfda73","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1398048504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"c3792ed73906350a1ec5495c99397d11ef3873284bb5ad8bccf9f70df9dfda73","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1472677091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"c3792ed73906350a1ec5495c99397d11ef3873284bb5ad8bccf9f70df9dfda73","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1541131174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"caf8045bf0832f64838bf7728a5a1f30ea5c6f739f6c3528930d71f749569ec5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033586418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"caf8045bf0832f64838bf7728a5a1f30ea5c6f739f6c3528930d71f749569ec5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1013239737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"caf8045bf0832f64838bf7728a5a1f30ea5c6f739f6c3528930d71f749569ec5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006760235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"caf8045bf0832f64838bf7728a5a1f30ea5c6f739f6c3528930d71f749569ec5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1049481765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"caf8045bf0832f64838bf7728a5a1f30ea5c6f739f6c3528930d71f749569ec5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1093847375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d154ff8967515b7656737f09bdca9d620a6e5aac0809301ee6f461d0bde3e8bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0733637533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d154ff8967515b7656737f09bdca9d620a6e5aac0809301ee6f461d0bde3e8bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0738345683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d154ff8967515b7656737f09bdca9d620a6e5aac0809301ee6f461d0bde3e8bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0761080529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d154ff8967515b7656737f09bdca9d620a6e5aac0809301ee6f461d0bde3e8bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777912234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d154ff8967515b7656737f09bdca9d620a6e5aac0809301ee6f461d0bde3e8bb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808361119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1701902817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1589741755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1646385464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1757621077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2152172505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d2bb7badb3d0a1acccc864328504d7f226b4097adff8a57f8e43aab0a051ad65","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4309159768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d2bb7badb3d0a1acccc864328504d7f226b4097adff8a57f8e43aab0a051ad65","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2184792285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d2bb7badb3d0a1acccc864328504d7f226b4097adff8a57f8e43aab0a051ad65","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3731309576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d2bb7badb3d0a1acccc864328504d7f226b4097adff8a57f8e43aab0a051ad65","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3460476858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d2bb7badb3d0a1acccc864328504d7f226b4097adff8a57f8e43aab0a051ad65","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3284312593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d392b398d3410b7720e8ebc58aeaf9b4746299387caf1a09992bb7529093a77c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179176938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d392b398d3410b7720e8ebc58aeaf9b4746299387caf1a09992bb7529093a77c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3287819842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d392b398d3410b7720e8ebc58aeaf9b4746299387caf1a09992bb7529093a77c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.290263835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d392b398d3410b7720e8ebc58aeaf9b4746299387caf1a09992bb7529093a77c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2891497062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d392b398d3410b7720e8ebc58aeaf9b4746299387caf1a09992bb7529093a77c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2735909021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d847df467fc41d7e9893d00a03b3422162b5d1c83088dfe91685acaaec55c1b7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0758857826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d847df467fc41d7e9893d00a03b3422162b5d1c83088dfe91685acaaec55c1b7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0749439708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d847df467fc41d7e9893d00a03b3422162b5d1c83088dfe91685acaaec55c1b7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0737877527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d847df467fc41d7e9893d00a03b3422162b5d1c83088dfe91685acaaec55c1b7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075899693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d847df467fc41d7e9893d00a03b3422162b5d1c83088dfe91685acaaec55c1b7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0742151171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3005587201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925901829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3235665194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3164756581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3344300824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"dc7827b14e38f0e6c78e5404377b02793ba6dec39990f72ec85310600a5313b7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5136879636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"dc7827b14e38f0e6c78e5404377b02793ba6dec39990f72ec85310600a5313b7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5162027194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"dc7827b14e38f0e6c78e5404377b02793ba6dec39990f72ec85310600a5313b7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4979937514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"dc7827b14e38f0e6c78e5404377b02793ba6dec39990f72ec85310600a5313b7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1956287009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"dc7827b14e38f0e6c78e5404377b02793ba6dec39990f72ec85310600a5313b7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2070548056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e1df9b16b73d978f78d31a83ea2d6aa84f7c081b60fb27810b249389bae2eab4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367807414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e1df9b16b73d978f78d31a83ea2d6aa84f7c081b60fb27810b249389bae2eab4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2590519093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e1df9b16b73d978f78d31a83ea2d6aa84f7c081b60fb27810b249389bae2eab4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093218882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e1df9b16b73d978f78d31a83ea2d6aa84f7c081b60fb27810b249389bae2eab4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3152938479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e1df9b16b73d978f78d31a83ea2d6aa84f7c081b60fb27810b249389bae2eab4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2973671053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e24c62f161efe95f5a1b28f394fe3562e3f1f6357f1b0c8e8306328ec8c354aa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2349730617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e24c62f161efe95f5a1b28f394fe3562e3f1f6357f1b0c8e8306328ec8c354aa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2473175238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e24c62f161efe95f5a1b28f394fe3562e3f1f6357f1b0c8e8306328ec8c354aa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682744278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e24c62f161efe95f5a1b28f394fe3562e3f1f6357f1b0c8e8306328ec8c354aa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4115988394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e24c62f161efe95f5a1b28f394fe3562e3f1f6357f1b0c8e8306328ec8c354aa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2556923309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3453754631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329068654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3585973739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2964076117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e2b85ccba2abbdce06f3a0e52d27a22f9a3c13e62220f2e3aa4ffde3cfa67dd8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2807940807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e35510d7e711ec7a2001e4046137a30cfea9fbc946e11b99cc2d319ef5b3c652","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0566859113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e35510d7e711ec7a2001e4046137a30cfea9fbc946e11b99cc2d319ef5b3c652","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0590486226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e35510d7e711ec7a2001e4046137a30cfea9fbc946e11b99cc2d319ef5b3c652","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0598983896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e35510d7e711ec7a2001e4046137a30cfea9fbc946e11b99cc2d319ef5b3c652","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061917876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e35510d7e711ec7a2001e4046137a30cfea9fbc946e11b99cc2d319ef5b3c652","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673632483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687337845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708789973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777112694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785504455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e429dc1fb30f687799c41892ca15a669110805570c9a2e1626af03b6c834142e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827090993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3377211511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994816364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.323176022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2962596127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e6ce2c6e65187d1883dce212dcb943e3ddbf45b0c8f0936001e3060f1bde2f7c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3413163996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e7843625e3901e4111e68ee658d5eff63d1a329fb5bc7f62b5e79246c1125adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533741154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e7843625e3901e4111e68ee658d5eff63d1a329fb5bc7f62b5e79246c1125adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543429271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e7843625e3901e4111e68ee658d5eff63d1a329fb5bc7f62b5e79246c1125adc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559125983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e7843625e3901e4111e68ee658d5eff63d1a329fb5bc7f62b5e79246c1125adc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582513098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"e7843625e3901e4111e68ee658d5eff63d1a329fb5bc7f62b5e79246c1125adc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0600797066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f13c393f0493e0f437d7667b05bc11404a2ea470d9e202e996d9b884ee03d465","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0805863863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f13c393f0493e0f437d7667b05bc11404a2ea470d9e202e996d9b884ee03d465","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0798693457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f13c393f0493e0f437d7667b05bc11404a2ea470d9e202e996d9b884ee03d465","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0813546993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f13c393f0493e0f437d7667b05bc11404a2ea470d9e202e996d9b884ee03d465","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0856185342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f13c393f0493e0f437d7667b05bc11404a2ea470d9e202e996d9b884ee03d465","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931555743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f5bc3f62ca6ec4b95b69d3419a5c1d261a1942da4746a5416bfbb2fc7e628869","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3976114742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f5bc3f62ca6ec4b95b69d3419a5c1d261a1942da4746a5416bfbb2fc7e628869","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2228581081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f5bc3f62ca6ec4b95b69d3419a5c1d261a1942da4746a5416bfbb2fc7e628869","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.372729824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f5bc3f62ca6ec4b95b69d3419a5c1d261a1942da4746a5416bfbb2fc7e628869","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3546617641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"f5bc3f62ca6ec4b95b69d3419a5c1d261a1942da4746a5416bfbb2fc7e628869","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3454754624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1213383841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1136418451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132600295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129226681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1167728694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4490134228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.137658683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1516907427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2721576139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2069367178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1417541099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1182872228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3255152875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2006586607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1310317238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0922862619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1614721587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4576676628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1216199456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037874958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1402677563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900172924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1629335312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062204617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784045374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1306860028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2834763562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1797132151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145497481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7134366157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1277690888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3004333731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1770836455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1193682274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.099098787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.190321964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2664820204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4456248221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1049332591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074063306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1330314415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3203478423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1952874669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1313551137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.09648737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1428404662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897182619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1790508175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1197144859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999964372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1359041494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2680365619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1694385295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1185042668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904555925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1368768701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2605997143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1899278484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1386950397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6815288764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2660469836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1642994234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1095270547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0967862316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1151270169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2681069198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1659047212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062361678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801090714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1373996393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3000068023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1647724732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1101956932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0774511348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1524449469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2497896428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1804429296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1211678852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0894283267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1338587541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2672350668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1794997627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1384177688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1240917291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704476647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1634086467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1091906933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.094849881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1107361374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2678444306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1876607605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1323132646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1130452128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1535222123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3030991519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788080956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1106481049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812590636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1345541585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2742794712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1866263749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.13998594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.136400737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1524585831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540543926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1591697673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.094399884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7826361487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1273723888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.264776496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1587998723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1116281769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972146378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.164531229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.272940855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1883906398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1498313282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.666360797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1422131977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2779595157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.19452344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1242133192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0892317371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1225281033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2891431776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1439586645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0883692429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067137568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1522220564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2337523168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1638413714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1098827341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0768818659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1979484403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.239631115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1818563898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1014918816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1428404662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2619707714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1620980684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063725305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0844329058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1397904868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2609759248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1526247189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.105361848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904010474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1726357197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457360747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1631948123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1245717879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0992191697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1624779609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.259137763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1640807765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1078997929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0913817226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1794292747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2587842975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1669237318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1204508446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982317218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1370950505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2627042129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1646692082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099190975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0921464902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1831674668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2641110691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773851699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1140781603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0819874678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1305996398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2596337597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4914251893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032861877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.086968116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1435313707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.269883818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1736810594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1202326643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0935272081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1571949148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2745733872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3462207776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3311393545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3854122612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3194892742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3177484401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050440196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3009389306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.320752902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3631298887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701339646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3469388442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3848615603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077484443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2643340112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.341982847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3449527387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3856399641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3345618997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3112395116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2414830288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4008488015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4646333474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3752161708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2595805875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2919679876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899320223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3062635233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2555897054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3619417355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3428610967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287562387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3400879176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4096635778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.343856012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3405093095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3531992739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3884253544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3910342201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3008431629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1517402327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099770971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0966271872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2073028585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2443163103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2128081734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1750278468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1554791648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2001037162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2939894462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.22542267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2003491691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1801686234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2146490726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3072472614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190576397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1839250315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1691226978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2027491529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3274892202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2127374572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1944989057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1622130628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2699577902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2240717519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2920405553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3072761688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3235577945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3436994215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3622290534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2769302607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.294837544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156618454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3468101423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2454341392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764013298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2884207684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3141702343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3341569628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3597168659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2435148987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2245953664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2071940751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1941031292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1783807518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3429346695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2929841617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3372419366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.384482969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4285309126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2828051023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303159787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3258077908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3464169003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3744691486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2982733578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3163708038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3421203453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3685168507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3994421934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3313316547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3462913734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2335946977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3855273152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4098556893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4102306877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.354475305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.299469296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2401252593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4290117295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4513593761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1601152571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1351171023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1197040004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1106469659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3889310664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3558783179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.321962961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2745402915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3928518961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1171781589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"CURRCIR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1018839891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3078280415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3118820477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682950449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703322933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2790582175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817400438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131654487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3471654497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3880147006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4195919964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.289164598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2832585685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2687381208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2606237825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540615383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1934631004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2169927586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2512935244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3049232897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3666308278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1771484961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1959736621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247294926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2743727663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3378871372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2831750934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3086588852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3374905851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3692745823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2134078183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932409438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3174345351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2871520333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3514872095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3747494575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826347941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3065719424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3317324669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3517314916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2544278071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119440679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3427732217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3736259538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4037927437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1925086492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2631638453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3259009041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3073587129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3195149745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3454844457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2559534668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2380127094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2230097014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2077796124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1902458255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1925694331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1703258822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1537336075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1447492799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1418606335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179325326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3155153083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3132012028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3203011192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3172033882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2693747301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088074218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2980065607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3059003552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2804452977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2357257391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.26480232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040564206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3420172672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3972739909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3225200313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.300739522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3225776368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2632980769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4079045059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3539722481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2993250178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571319636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3741928805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3637242826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3533349395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3485206758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3495793497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3663011553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1831401278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2043044557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2370207924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2769391241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3344052914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3164824036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2863600506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3253761095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.344104566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.367492051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304876706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3107936007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3211077037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3256180322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3012954182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3285325542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3610862737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3883668106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4117045973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296138691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3288355103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3682961447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4037650694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4301186266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2535578935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2430211904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2321209296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2273820905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2206640543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2839712855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2983037757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3516520619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3901206808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2400761993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2556880287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081587707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892584249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703825982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2582997901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2868959315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3237161581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3599365753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4049268588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2786282785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2688589906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3305786641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3396835029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2910011858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179299197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3469150696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3658483642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3923689145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2241199686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2503197757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821016193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134509806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3586844009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2935464724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772220165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3577194709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3717106109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3834853047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223957616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3170072237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3191032529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3317663769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3423116084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3061805321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3324912066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3586726828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3927663095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3736078372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3907027813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3890955226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3818081648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3779041038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3071556401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3178492718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2939124153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.341438366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3539542571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1894978587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1677861006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1476253972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.134158912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1248243657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2213446153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2651930033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3206792425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2341529951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4177476482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2794879365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.254058512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2274578392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2061145285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4536257515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2814349345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3195482668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3560146168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2087497936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1756583538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2915062217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3194331983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3568491844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4046092202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1798199197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3511588423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3165411221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2834981437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3434444473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3806867911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2433005905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.258228442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2839437329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3159723469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2551041057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.200158401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1723757229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1495909285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1375017418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1288993225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2065973224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1834592333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4862912955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1491228427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1388888556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3334427091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3549364348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2298681831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2278971126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2139150913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3694386298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2363242895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2460144303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2567317794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2702182092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.385612914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3614309337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3685736545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3660949005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3607231811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3423191224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3318284098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719946197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701651638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2652001474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3216637774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3366598718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2423625861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2318898385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2189956498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037773667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103841004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1044047824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062868947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104488666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1265089855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1270412092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1289213329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1322480832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1423054244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1065635406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1083911078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114038797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1229496914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1441040941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931136654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.094377566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0974332727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1029419173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1168690506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132876842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.626294268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5619675889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.496561247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4083667114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1046885878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1051070395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1080843376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1130066226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1256816748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1408929509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5438279376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4805555936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4216869727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.26947191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1175395006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1236360504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1340177985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1490131519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1721402685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925420788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0932548577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959243738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1014525183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1179554069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0944057022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0958012837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100843386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1092149659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2cab1958b1bd726695b512f3fa260e0b2ad5dbeadc5c5e1bc5b35104733c57fc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1287280615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2e88b046538e239140043da9471c2b4894615a12173c3a52ee707321acf2ed8d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0903684567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2e88b046538e239140043da9471c2b4894615a12173c3a52ee707321acf2ed8d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0994592135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2e88b046538e239140043da9471c2b4894615a12173c3a52ee707321acf2ed8d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6900553644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2e88b046538e239140043da9471c2b4894615a12173c3a52ee707321acf2ed8d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6386387568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2e88b046538e239140043da9471c2b4894615a12173c3a52ee707321acf2ed8d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5567959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0934829811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0944382929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0992135788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1072624336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1252735393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1047067236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1047739049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1066965738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1107547282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1185327212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0930226661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.093972796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0975873625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644819041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1263178505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1046181333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1054319005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.109038058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1149251546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1274735245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1221678785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1401495753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1648130452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1991219046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2431670619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.08179556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827411445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0845342688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0876340206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0966646415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1043771803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1046364059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1060002603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088918772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1192726253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.078246584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0838681369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927953494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1067134373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1300041892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0952601055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1048816315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1203451635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1453677219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1908992328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0820148767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0830570515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0857080791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905060467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1054829456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145067734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1296405479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1504567692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1774946366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7a86e59923d2878ed9a4b845ca72820de05cf8800f14ac6688c48ae342bdd1b3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2195214022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311666814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1442875474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1613750684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1827538333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5573967596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084418347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1185315394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1348359748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1595585352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2055309523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.210117285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2241755737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617659986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.319500828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3581514881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925435784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0932955279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0948340175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984158115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1086545151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.09540215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978453153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1044861796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1178406349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1521858577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0819001048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0829320523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.086356802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938999329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1134554373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1044056347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1054661275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1100006424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1182805865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a2805fcb003dc3297ab7d0f82651c385d6471af5692612c8848e94fea5a1d312","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1389636288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0926500781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931152582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0945307582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0970196391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1048339045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.225458136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270673524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352909787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2487124791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.274362306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0930613476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0940832044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981203135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.106077078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1278632946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0950646523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0995725764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099179611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1269587552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1711402753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0929045309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0934866193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964786996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033600963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1220917426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0932273015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0950004259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988396286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.104773689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1184054493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1457324922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1561869671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1761493324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2000003078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2405943975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0934147543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0955955578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007920682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088229231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7ffdbc93c13b54d6a2ccb3c68ae204e493c5d86bf9915ff278a9ecc9f4b2022","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1245008173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1133452107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1352814263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1657994022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4528292834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3655071454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.117670227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1202770276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1267406203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1387132668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.165176861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2275671672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2329307674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2863758612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2627851114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c616ad86f3283d5d7215011d03389000bb6a52925467930f9af2397c1029db9a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3290937548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1195792596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1289678326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1461177168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1635812354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1949173875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0928055766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100640751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1154224694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1334314388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1681539318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1042646811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1048386772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1068559363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1108248187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1240271386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258535424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2217399338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2287989771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2452199609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2783185855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493761109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2452170481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2489079323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2572730686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.274156964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1798830358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.164994658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1878492534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4346475879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"d77b4436814e49dbff57b2bffc7c4841405960b76b4a5d24ecfd0dff8847e1cb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3715298321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.093043575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938211152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0966491416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1011698838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1117634032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1153703334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1161294192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.117574864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1198009854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1264692131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.094277294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.095683239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1022203313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.110640729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1312043629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1682539311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1857901764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2086445676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2373034651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3773424562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2666957548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2575013059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250688012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2449223159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2360579851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.255471697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2405585571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2256932202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3961190574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4293066772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2623298505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2528516241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2431730414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2339944038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AME","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2237457749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2632550817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2490779565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2362836715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3764190273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4038729148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2607282828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2489255177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3551231758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3786008953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4056435181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2630866377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.247080493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2318609666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3840826041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4138129916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2723569912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3272854279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2419649129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3738135071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2125534562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649325448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2551339579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.242185094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2300771783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2162063463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2593001852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2487189009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.236261323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3749694502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4007395973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2560052229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2458080148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2325574509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207473512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2042788123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2780213447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635265096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2454095295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3675405744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"BMY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2139376643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683359951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520094357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358522396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2223941468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CAT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2045340145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2608491739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481578718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3523610061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303431812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2131180094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3225113469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3366890424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3502733804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3643515924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3885018228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2636788186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.252815017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2397613496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2279154567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2115891099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3259664999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2505776433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479924439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2462842587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2437058416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617974876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329934619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3536857518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3764238008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4056946075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2624026469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2543449495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457126138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241376878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"CVX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2353434365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250431154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2371264732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3701833178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.384108719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2142956919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3531136254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.362262404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.374744133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3938725091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4222601142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3207867281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2605226521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2587809762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2602846005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2585452079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.247876373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2405643747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.233602671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3694386743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.388196201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683484685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2544734289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2406427667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.228533665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2166551151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.328903821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2535970824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2504024557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2488128406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466250014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2517798544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2408268483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3726970841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2197572726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4088299188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2579677839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2487366404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2398085291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2292663326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.214032003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2645664889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.246796435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2294023568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3948671164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4252494286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2517414876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2441348241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2374149914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2320936781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2298233425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617088892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329349232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466786197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2438508488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2368977043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2675772549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2544905953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2463626231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2450771917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3150029526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2603559215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2508005083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2435536358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2391257501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601932662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2446235371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2277909148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2133594548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1962702921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2624965109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2532694881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2448344942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2389309732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2305217903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2555167348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3395873635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3523224082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2314278452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2231046129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2621468109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3284475898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.344350447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3582336959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"KVUE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3799829235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2636036063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479786829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3562392069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3804024927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MDLZ","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4121899858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2607171428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2461030226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2340831711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2221751539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2027121798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689431685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2721360803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27767977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312029811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2965982083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2716600285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2600750025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388828273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.353788932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3749939193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2598743217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2460640122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2340322487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2294539147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2064438264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.265643924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2494048904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2354850734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2194081308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NOC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2069578807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2584630801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2494168678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2400715363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2322433527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2224950386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2725130085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.260694079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2546581805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2478231441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3673754107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.322920312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2446858027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3668885201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3891557878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ODFL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.202225862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529833216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.237604411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2228394291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2133275446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2035194473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2444134301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3621544166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3723788334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3887103008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4137266902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3200041595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263948342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3328124589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3410939725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PCG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3545778749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2935911215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2802745774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2605003607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2469483261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288195936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633173147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.330714915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2491651819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2450497386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2349523683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689013225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3347397993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2392093287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264832946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4043271222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2680759803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571597182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2434017951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2296008034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3954136237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2664261076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2530151579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2379808901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.374943677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4085584772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3153125863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3312252025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358118894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3761155401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4058318128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2648726548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2557655418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2465406148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2380144731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.228168503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2657810292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2511006247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2401927412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3702720957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4025234903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2554191431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2472281072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2375984769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2301275281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2200744123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3294503188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3362460286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3396450715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3448656405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3643198903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2632835853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506278652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2363693263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.225591901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.21224478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3338631643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2416580922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3685877926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3893707748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2019090675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2349436579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2307567293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3696333997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3752473096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3841228928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2622461035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.252441986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3513649355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3701449715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3953533987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2695267679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2657183543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2618723131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2562446535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2477404683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0bbebaa2c975f9b4ddee2db64f2630dff8a3978f18e9522d0d9e768fb3b43e9a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1853301129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0bbebaa2c975f9b4ddee2db64f2630dff8a3978f18e9522d0d9e768fb3b43e9a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2021608486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0bbebaa2c975f9b4ddee2db64f2630dff8a3978f18e9522d0d9e768fb3b43e9a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2084280995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0bbebaa2c975f9b4ddee2db64f2630dff8a3978f18e9522d0d9e768fb3b43e9a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2302968048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0d2f01f665eb2ba1bdc98a0827c9bd6b885bd6b6b6eb3940ca5c14268f350b98","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0273613869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0d2f01f665eb2ba1bdc98a0827c9bd6b885bd6b6b6eb3940ca5c14268f350b98","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0273613869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0d2f01f665eb2ba1bdc98a0827c9bd6b885bd6b6b6eb3940ca5c14268f350b98","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0273613869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"0d2f01f665eb2ba1bdc98a0827c9bd6b885bd6b6b6eb3940ca5c14268f350b98","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0273613869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0277779257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0277779257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0277779257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"13d316bde5b42878373d60756d8b44aea44719b36d5140fd01dc4a39e4dc669a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0278279304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0742625924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690039355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708267721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1584df0b9ab9d6905557af699733fb5f771ec036dd7dadd11decf38a2d157105","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760425917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b821deda9429dbe4a11f4f9e2273482924641c8c5d9f8a5cf140a5cc6b4cf9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2158861281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b821deda9429dbe4a11f4f9e2273482924641c8c5d9f8a5cf140a5cc6b4cf9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506388678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b821deda9429dbe4a11f4f9e2273482924641c8c5d9f8a5cf140a5cc6b4cf9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4392829534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b821deda9429dbe4a11f4f9e2273482924641c8c5d9f8a5cf140a5cc6b4cf9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3815277361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0780159423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0741482484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074222422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1b89485888b4ccaf75f0d9bbb699035705875a20289f045617fd5f94e058e281","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0741155787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1ecedf1339eab28c215082edfbdf55116d606bb98da6b07c2d9d1a3f68df2557","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0729122999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1ecedf1339eab28c215082edfbdf55116d606bb98da6b07c2d9d1a3f68df2557","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0775085617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1ecedf1339eab28c215082edfbdf55116d606bb98da6b07c2d9d1a3f68df2557","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0745682876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"1ecedf1339eab28c215082edfbdf55116d606bb98da6b07c2d9d1a3f68df2557","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788161836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2db9a683dc3c509378b6c64f74a9b2fc09c99d93b3e40d505165ae53dcaa91be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1103231207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2db9a683dc3c509378b6c64f74a9b2fc09c99d93b3e40d505165ae53dcaa91be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1103249542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2db9a683dc3c509378b6c64f74a9b2fc09c99d93b3e40d505165ae53dcaa91be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104104621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2db9a683dc3c509378b6c64f74a9b2fc09c99d93b3e40d505165ae53dcaa91be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104129624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2e089db53f54ed4247a51722d1430bc44d33f34c2c831d722ebddeec4eea8846","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2214194772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2e089db53f54ed4247a51722d1430bc44d33f34c2c831d722ebddeec4eea8846","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817322663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2e089db53f54ed4247a51722d1430bc44d33f34c2c831d722ebddeec4eea8846","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3811248652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2e089db53f54ed4247a51722d1430bc44d33f34c2c831d722ebddeec4eea8846","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847153778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1527395748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1529229252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1533229625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"2f97a6b72463ddb3e23653d55c6ba2afcf5e8c6fb4c7c730815e2f6d7bb29173","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1537896727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2741610605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3484971569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3967623229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"36687d3bebf951b40778ba2f114cc2a1d58b1e17c2e6d69e851e1ed1d16f5855","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984099877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.033395116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0354786436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0386956101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.042695983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"404a8ce920f7ea0dcef124bdcc07f6a03e736c8720ad663860d407db30c781f3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543804056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"404a8ce920f7ea0dcef124bdcc07f6a03e736c8720ad663860d407db30c781f3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621311281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"404a8ce920f7ea0dcef124bdcc07f6a03e736c8720ad663860d407db30c781f3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0716320138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"404a8ce920f7ea0dcef124bdcc07f6a03e736c8720ad663860d407db30c781f3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0824663572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"42bf94fbe729e5a33ade25e1ceb2599f9fc55d2310ee41420f19a06f12076c36","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0502300187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"42bf94fbe729e5a33ade25e1ceb2599f9fc55d2310ee41420f19a06f12076c36","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0445461555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"42bf94fbe729e5a33ade25e1ceb2599f9fc55d2310ee41420f19a06f12076c36","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0398790538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"42bf94fbe729e5a33ade25e1ceb2599f9fc55d2310ee41420f19a06f12076c36","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0364787368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0685985644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0685985644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0685985644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0685985644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087776209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827825309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2145648382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916253553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0340118402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0340326754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0345785597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"46287c3a153a1245f7e8dbc19f00f793f66ea318a7862cf69b822577271a3a7d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0351661144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4694372f99f6236f495badc4707b58d724d5bc40f6e91be8be914c6826359858","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2465024822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4694372f99f6236f495badc4707b58d724d5bc40f6e91be8be914c6826359858","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2618190767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4694372f99f6236f495badc4707b58d724d5bc40f6e91be8be914c6826359858","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3062653867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4694372f99f6236f495badc4707b58d724d5bc40f6e91be8be914c6826359858","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3171208986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663930254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711734711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0769533432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0816544481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"48f47b7008c99ef265cdd5b778d04880fd1ab7464b85d5e4223cd3fc30836331","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0700151964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"48f47b7008c99ef265cdd5b778d04880fd1ab7464b85d5e4223cd3fc30836331","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.071265313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"48f47b7008c99ef265cdd5b778d04880fd1ab7464b85d5e4223cd3fc30836331","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736155321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"48f47b7008c99ef265cdd5b778d04880fd1ab7464b85d5e4223cd3fc30836331","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0768658351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4965044a81b3a0df40724eb16d09aaff4ab3afb166af5b6a54dd960f853d847c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2251156551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4965044a81b3a0df40724eb16d09aaff4ab3afb166af5b6a54dd960f853d847c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3240228754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4965044a81b3a0df40724eb16d09aaff4ab3afb166af5b6a54dd960f853d847c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3303394642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"4965044a81b3a0df40724eb16d09aaff4ab3afb166af5b6a54dd960f853d847c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.25355914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"53890f771d8cfb8ed330fbef2e3509bf65102455d7b205c2f38ef76e431a8487","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2455078895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"53890f771d8cfb8ed330fbef2e3509bf65102455d7b205c2f38ef76e431a8487","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.273636345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"53890f771d8cfb8ed330fbef2e3509bf65102455d7b205c2f38ef76e431a8487","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.205183297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"53890f771d8cfb8ed330fbef2e3509bf65102455d7b205c2f38ef76e431a8487","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2499583043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"593eaeefbaa4a037bfc14cdc487ba9ffc4f8e10938291cc2814ae5ee269a3751","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.026944848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"593eaeefbaa4a037bfc14cdc487ba9ffc4f8e10938291cc2814ae5ee269a3751","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.026944848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"593eaeefbaa4a037bfc14cdc487ba9ffc4f8e10938291cc2814ae5ee269a3751","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0269453481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"593eaeefbaa4a037bfc14cdc487ba9ffc4f8e10938291cc2814ae5ee269a3751","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0269461815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5b473ffd3b0a98afd2f6e6ecd922cd40881b63c276a75738501290cc10b19566","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3790508385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5b473ffd3b0a98afd2f6e6ecd922cd40881b63c276a75738501290cc10b19566","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4678096127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5b473ffd3b0a98afd2f6e6ecd922cd40881b63c276a75738501290cc10b19566","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1729507922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5b473ffd3b0a98afd2f6e6ecd922cd40881b63c276a75738501290cc10b19566","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.487254092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5c4848dc44539a8c3a98fc902ffbbffd439ba3955cb1e82f37080efef9f22f9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.026944848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5c4848dc44539a8c3a98fc902ffbbffd439ba3955cb1e82f37080efef9f22f9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.026944848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5c4848dc44539a8c3a98fc902ffbbffd439ba3955cb1e82f37080efef9f22f9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.026944848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"5c4848dc44539a8c3a98fc902ffbbffd439ba3955cb1e82f37080efef9f22f9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.026944848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686317341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686317341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686317341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"615aeb10db32869c4bc5e40fa4abcf1cc40b7eb5a52865a6061167c5e59079b9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686317341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0731321537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073382177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736655367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6ae5f6f9b6cbcd807fe5c6d7e35aa1c25cf0bda40ff43f8667c4bc7b1f605585","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0739822329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6bfe94e960b30db21ced0a03062b489eba64a0936ed204a33cc5caa2447e6a8f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0763584544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6bfe94e960b30db21ced0a03062b489eba64a0936ed204a33cc5caa2447e6a8f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0809922197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6bfe94e960b30db21ced0a03062b489eba64a0936ed204a33cc5caa2447e6a8f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989887307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"6bfe94e960b30db21ced0a03062b489eba64a0936ed204a33cc5caa2447e6a8f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1201858734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"734c95295ab4009bc60b70b548574b22fb3eefb2b0cb571c338e6ea0a6bd728d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536345027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"734c95295ab4009bc60b70b548574b22fb3eefb2b0cb571c338e6ea0a6bd728d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0603424614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"734c95295ab4009bc60b70b548574b22fb3eefb2b0cb571c338e6ea0a6bd728d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0975177603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"734c95295ab4009bc60b70b548574b22fb3eefb2b0cb571c338e6ea0a6bd728d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551864808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"75173b97044c7040dafe3f970e74bfb8917e05ebc9aea6c91eb142b7f7186a91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0398290491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"75173b97044c7040dafe3f970e74bfb8917e05ebc9aea6c91eb142b7f7186a91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0398290491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"75173b97044c7040dafe3f970e74bfb8917e05ebc9aea6c91eb142b7f7186a91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.040345764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"75173b97044c7040dafe3f970e74bfb8917e05ebc9aea6c91eb142b7f7186a91","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0408958152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7843183d36133f789733ef2e1552051cf95c63f62e03afade54db9de66c52a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714819999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7843183d36133f789733ef2e1552051cf95c63f62e03afade54db9de66c52a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714819999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7843183d36133f789733ef2e1552051cf95c63f62e03afade54db9de66c52a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714819999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7843183d36133f789733ef2e1552051cf95c63f62e03afade54db9de66c52a16","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0716653503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1092348526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1139019543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145900184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1147628679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7e7852258088a24d9da2f4081c522af7f1e85dd101b64810d17665c0cd58b0f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1107356591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7e7852258088a24d9da2f4081c522af7f1e85dd101b64810d17665c0cd58b0f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1107356591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7e7852258088a24d9da2f4081c522af7f1e85dd101b64810d17665c0cd58b0f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1108690049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"7e7852258088a24d9da2f4081c522af7f1e85dd101b64810d17665c0cd58b0f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1108690049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"817bb443605c60f25576ddcd80659e2b4e8a7b326071a74dc070058db9bb5873","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706694241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"817bb443605c60f25576ddcd80659e2b4e8a7b326071a74dc070058db9bb5873","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706819253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"817bb443605c60f25576ddcd80659e2b4e8a7b326071a74dc070058db9bb5873","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707027605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"817bb443605c60f25576ddcd80659e2b4e8a7b326071a74dc070058db9bb5873","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707819346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"883f4bb1daee85df8423b282ac50ec899721d8366315887b92904aa4f13197ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710819626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"883f4bb1daee85df8423b282ac50ec899721d8366315887b92904aa4f13197ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717320232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"883f4bb1daee85df8423b282ac50ec899721d8366315887b92904aa4f13197ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723320791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"883f4bb1daee85df8423b282ac50ec899721d8366315887b92904aa4f13197ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0730654808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0744156067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074815644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0758657418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"932ca6c16ead137f4a1c5b0518e8cb6de2389d12b776ea06feaf49d35a8716e6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767324893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998013065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984845171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972510687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982011573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2400983852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410186376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3754103325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"9f49f8f716d03bb62b6cb6b68bf139d1b09da6887139aa97088595c7878417ea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2185372085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075574048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0725857694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750840023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"a56500f762052d5f97a2718d354f788efbbd9c1005b7b0544f5843f722e38fc5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0770528525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ab054d501ea266ed64af76a677b23c28a6691ff9e1cd2797426935f9842ea04c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2714479743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ab054d501ea266ed64af76a677b23c28a6691ff9e1cd2797426935f9842ea04c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2631191979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ab054d501ea266ed64af76a677b23c28a6691ff9e1cd2797426935f9842ea04c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3813608872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ab054d501ea266ed64af76a677b23c28a6691ff9e1cd2797426935f9842ea04c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2806514989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0277449226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0277449226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0277454227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ad6e543adcb486b3f1155624e23640457a18412e271cc670deea7f5ec3503fa6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0277462561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"b5e565a0588235f3f9a72a8469039348eac66aa367b6fb76b6c0af1a71d05a40","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1212533063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"b5e565a0588235f3f9a72a8469039348eac66aa367b6fb76b6c0af1a71d05a40","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1225367592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"b5e565a0588235f3f9a72a8469039348eac66aa367b6fb76b6c0af1a71d05a40","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.124636955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"b5e565a0588235f3f9a72a8469039348eac66aa367b6fb76b6c0af1a71d05a40","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1266371415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"bb357ae548b498b5e8d73a4297dacf2c7dc74e9789f69b4af5d593656c96ae33","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0718820371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"bb357ae548b498b5e8d73a4297dacf2c7dc74e9789f69b4af5d593656c96ae33","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721320605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"bb357ae548b498b5e8d73a4297dacf2c7dc74e9789f69b4af5d593656c96ae33","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0724154202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"bb357ae548b498b5e8d73a4297dacf2c7dc74e9789f69b4af5d593656c96ae33","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0729154668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c115d0f3d9ed99b416c1acac322433a0f63c6f5b82e7622f0828ca76972a48fb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0725029284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c115d0f3d9ed99b416c1acac322433a0f63c6f5b82e7622f0828ca76972a48fb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0895238484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c115d0f3d9ed99b416c1acac322433a0f63c6f5b82e7622f0828ca76972a48fb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058560376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c115d0f3d9ed99b416c1acac322433a0f63c6f5b82e7622f0828ca76972a48fb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1288746834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2315070843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.236245526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2359306633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c572935b3b46f3baeeb57a73a941872d68f8bcd9f9045a103e6ff9dfbac6ccc9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2360041702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c5c8db63d8aee4250acd2b86c3986169c7e70342eb3aaba08e6d610ca391c3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690317714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c5c8db63d8aee4250acd2b86c3986169c7e70342eb3aaba08e6d610ca391c3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690317714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c5c8db63d8aee4250acd2b86c3986169c7e70342eb3aaba08e6d610ca391c3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690526067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"c5c8db63d8aee4250acd2b86c3986169c7e70342eb3aaba08e6d610ca391c3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690817761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.111903268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120707836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137861102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1222075619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0290280422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0290280422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0290280422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"caa6ef690f4ec7cfdb7a37427c4cfc99c112ec64cd22c0098af43bc6f647d550","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0290780469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0734758541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0746951344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0762867828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0741705855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ccf20622d7b0a338afc1db330d214a4789c9d92f6b36334b52b64e39b02dbde4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.034828583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ccf20622d7b0a338afc1db330d214a4789c9d92f6b36334b52b64e39b02dbde4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0350619381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ccf20622d7b0a338afc1db330d214a4789c9d92f6b36334b52b64e39b02dbde4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0357953398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ccf20622d7b0a338afc1db330d214a4789c9d92f6b36334b52b64e39b02dbde4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0368787741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cdce03b5df9aafaeb98d177e2edc315f722ce0ddc6f4ddcc1cac7e73d2e58778","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710819626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cdce03b5df9aafaeb98d177e2edc315f722ce0ddc6f4ddcc1cac7e73d2e58778","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0720487193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cdce03b5df9aafaeb98d177e2edc315f722ce0ddc6f4ddcc1cac7e73d2e58778","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0749489897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"cdce03b5df9aafaeb98d177e2edc315f722ce0ddc6f4ddcc1cac7e73d2e58778","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803161567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d4e491c66f1ba53f7f4422c8e7bfbff0277cbdc506d10158710ad5551d046358","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.071065461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d4e491c66f1ba53f7f4422c8e7bfbff0277cbdc506d10158710ad5551d046358","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710659611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d4e491c66f1ba53f7f4422c8e7bfbff0277cbdc506d10158710ad5551d046358","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0712528118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d4e491c66f1ba53f7f4422c8e7bfbff0277cbdc506d10158710ad5551d046358","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714819999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d686c629266c383d7353ff4203150104fb408fca1c9c66c20d65921e80da5cb4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1862433647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d686c629266c383d7353ff4203150104fb408fca1c9c66c20d65921e80da5cb4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1576768684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d686c629266c383d7353ff4203150104fb408fca1c9c66c20d65921e80da5cb4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0844167056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"d686c629266c383d7353ff4203150104fb408fca1c9c66c20d65921e80da5cb4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1795169043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbcf0bca92e968c391588e3206e6d37bd74db276e9fd73c98835531911c47c88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2419145545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbcf0bca92e968c391588e3206e6d37bd74db276e9fd73c98835531911c47c88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3276065428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbcf0bca92e968c391588e3206e6d37bd74db276e9fd73c98835531911c47c88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2843566777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbcf0bca92e968c391588e3206e6d37bd74db276e9fd73c98835531911c47c88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2979237757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbdf65cf02f739a66134264ff7d3446374ad8a0202cb62772c5c78bcbd69ddd3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1825530207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbdf65cf02f739a66134264ff7d3446374ad8a0202cb62772c5c78bcbd69ddd3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4589282848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbdf65cf02f739a66134264ff7d3446374ad8a0202cb62772c5c78bcbd69ddd3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4266151058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"dbdf65cf02f739a66134264ff7d3446374ad8a0202cb62772c5c78bcbd69ddd3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4252156421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"e5876adf70b842a154d5a404049cdc3c1eead76dda25c7546af5c22c84a729d4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.157934059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"e5876adf70b842a154d5a404049cdc3c1eead76dda25c7546af5c22c84a729d4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1668615579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"e5876adf70b842a154d5a404049cdc3c1eead76dda25c7546af5c22c84a729d4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1818422878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"e5876adf70b842a154d5a404049cdc3c1eead76dda25c7546af5c22c84a729d4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1943782897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ed656cf1b80dd86e71859fed0e7b431597b7042a2f5e403ea077cc989960517d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0397957127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ed656cf1b80dd86e71859fed0e7b431597b7042a2f5e403ea077cc989960517d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0432627025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ed656cf1b80dd86e71859fed0e7b431597b7042a2f5e403ea077cc989960517d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480464818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ed656cf1b80dd86e71859fed0e7b431597b7042a2f5e403ea077cc989960517d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553804988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ee4549481de2289f2c7923d1998b6be87e44213e00b767c46478f78091b3e853","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0731654901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ee4549481de2289f2c7923d1998b6be87e44213e00b767c46478f78091b3e853","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760824287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ee4549481de2289f2c7923d1998b6be87e44213e00b767c46478f78091b3e853","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800161287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ee4549481de2289f2c7923d1998b6be87e44213e00b767c46478f78091b3e853","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0848165763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"f8e3180ab8d161a1e5d000747e28e4893f80d130b080e443f5d1af062db49f8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2320563021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"f8e3180ab8d161a1e5d000747e28e4893f80d130b080e443f5d1af062db49f8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4073966476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"f8e3180ab8d161a1e5d000747e28e4893f80d130b080e443f5d1af062db49f8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3940013989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"f8e3180ab8d161a1e5d000747e28e4893f80d130b080e443f5d1af062db49f8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3588587895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"fccbb1072be1e149157e3eb05962bff41f58a33fdf4cc92f98776876e6579dfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717320232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"fccbb1072be1e149157e3eb05962bff41f58a33fdf4cc92f98776876e6579dfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723320791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"fccbb1072be1e149157e3eb05962bff41f58a33fdf4cc92f98776876e6579dfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0732988359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"fccbb1072be1e149157e3eb05962bff41f58a33fdf4cc92f98776876e6579dfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0752156812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ff4a928c0fc68c73a530dbea40ca40214affebc7b2363825f99f645177e24ec1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0339618355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ff4a928c0fc68c73a530dbea40ca40214affebc7b2363825f99f645177e24ec1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0342118588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ff4a928c0fc68c73a530dbea40ca40214affebc7b2363825f99f645177e24ec1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.034678569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"acled","id":"ff4a928c0fc68c73a530dbea40ca40214affebc7b2363825f99f645177e24ec1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.035211952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1977438698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1420545165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2865139497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.088800281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1867330665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.154039403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.278169265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0894003369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2222848604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.162380746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2273298615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.175658378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1999831523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1620079688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2957352634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.076482466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.190309013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1468516712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2780424842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0881502204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2039867567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1528234007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2765600535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0910671589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1830356674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.156051254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2578160368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0914838645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2027608457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1606569795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3206718963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.076482466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1765614116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1602548454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2488839905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0908004674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1914170828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1882973302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2567904822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1174696202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1759164536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1450306467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2856387929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0881502204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2083320577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1419262137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2550985894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0994012692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1706368592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5531353966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2090179718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077353794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1953183949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4854783009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3222835307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0856499873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2235464315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2091931623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2473667617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1789920221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1556117844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077705944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.318669643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517968314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4592842278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2658299702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0894003369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2595558352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4373467863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.257108786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0873168093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1801808727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1360493418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2840367272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657981367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1754007188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1202980438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2473518423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1150527282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250346391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1531847784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3061999202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.209980673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4972154858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2862457837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0843998707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2725735822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3706887386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229182605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.126070422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4694798041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1170359931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2959835959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543970738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3900557471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1611406388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3224714515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0804661707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2034390829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1287763926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550471344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2268772974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1503825444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.275347793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.088050211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2225078852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5181903093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2577041109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795494186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3490633503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1562259785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3715718154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0848165763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.419143218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.126632167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2736490283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531469573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1694129103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.136685088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0910671589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1688306783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0886515711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288681667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.05939754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1715056267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5723620259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3213472906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777325825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1880301571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1210699558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2173289292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0894003369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1810715881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1294040661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4346099457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1294040661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.200517427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1444054645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3014005127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0923172755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060676136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3269324014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4848372001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358139858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.275737028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2407819118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102715768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2154787568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3238230281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3188883967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2774011959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3326563469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615568681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2568826165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388235885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2193957886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087891039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2765483717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3115510496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4360993233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3142002312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3370068078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2840335919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2794180506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2500553996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3056879092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3182366576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3168412949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2225009963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2238795399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2584827657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2814356375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.220015182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1210699558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1989938867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1156527842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3521494709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3383673537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361355214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1256537165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3007248687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3215053074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1156527842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3941406375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3597956432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2791275109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1256537165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1878577598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1743356193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2017274748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3801398808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3387722711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2480519375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2735962488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2472378753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3525191895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2859624444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2809377919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3004356634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3218741038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3433766503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2319704965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2597977829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896440387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3137027046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3397105629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2439741087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2223467671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2024202785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1895043536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1663217501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2927617478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3070422742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3361787089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3667135391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4021824747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3266123099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2657815861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2911399593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.329597967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3626052853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.353512526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466194099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821734436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3222480515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3567274242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2670999854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2860425637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3030185246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.323413452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3327937879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3408956115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.260661234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2582224584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3290139611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3659875841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2363930705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.247061851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2694820737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2910975546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3209293114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2676271274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2782285156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295000025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119529623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2631563702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3503873173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540495778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925524014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3255098641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3621271192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.356156019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3234633748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2745118817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2985693563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3310402789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.280043731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2891417209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574208916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2543637962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410479271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.288120654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2866362908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2850878766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2878635515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3044570547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2981703523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901788697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2842960225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2769508129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2747314122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2658036643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2833268308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2981873802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3203466239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3564200582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2814205286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2871619204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852279623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826863976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2951542071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3035704838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3481746644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4106491044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4671568132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.532328358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.299065651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3150019969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3437341193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3681726424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3729575458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.265187337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2862155117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3066114887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3271117259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2394093705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123337256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2554594806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2647614589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2863163667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS1MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2890482157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2627675324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2903814279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3343511118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3741032687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1811878079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2541135376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.307682413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3173655898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3239207897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2976423979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2706832864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2918235864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2782667244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2879114186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3111565463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2820338896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2564136336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2461428911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361318333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2362078145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2983442593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3572351922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.413199585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4584363855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5195718488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3372918365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1898357407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4409421945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4943981059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5527303565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3344833361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3673317536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3944862212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4211715832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4309650074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926863597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2955780199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2959928055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040626764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3144613535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2755708967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3128096272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3438278171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3819216411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4178587065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2567881973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258731729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1946058329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1765424363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1528590055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.181037767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2056676279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2132535887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2268377347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2429502611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1952473111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2221439352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3281319058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892967994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3369168589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138515854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3140667958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3221655226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3306320622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3515227048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3253003746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422425098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424062879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2476903431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2489631932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2502205573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2061045569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1742086738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2021281027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241615832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2771071826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514539244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2147560395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1963863309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2182506467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184945292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2796790832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2430650611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1804879646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2140849643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457561293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2858519544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.334636424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2551117028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352759093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2226106825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.210352389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1877356115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2923699623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2972788357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3146379591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3358691516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276755937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2228035722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.332825238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3247810941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3089463994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704952653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2823025063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3288267604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3764100187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.420824728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4678367799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3302050534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1935273024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1610499616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3317379347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3726560943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4032830813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4484692541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4668110836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4152522677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2252563711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.315835251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821776435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2380069648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3650077475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3367523436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.32066263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2919388787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2711408127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2893358368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2597311874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.253836164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.255267773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3061632366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2266606928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2341140321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529257906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2960198056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2791339036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2562004647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.281037321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3180696526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2221395486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1946502117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1850052659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1645612877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1486373656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1344828324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1192559536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2090450394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4174482591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1584393311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1341101523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1226954221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156452001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3363119694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.230229597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2330088017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3980830959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3486134511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3352959651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283350172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2412359227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2425683097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.267270895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2637855471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2510319963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2519649581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2568664082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1735911721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1536421711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1304506412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1194588968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.158253772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1385432435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1225442238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1093827649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263245486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3368363353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2093058046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.368501399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2177068659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2413662587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3434013426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3776590097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4089745179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4508383736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3346367926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3659153749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1905302578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.168575166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1482705981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190290894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190290944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190791341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191626002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2194297917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773628702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773668706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.177425376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1775295524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1778259134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186290504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186998904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2188624055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2192499416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2208292555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1177363117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1255870436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1430553387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1584734426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1824448429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773753714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1778967533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1789461845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1816589374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1873928052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190290877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2203292089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2224960776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.226079745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2373474621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111356964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138359481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1185530545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1259704127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1460722866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6324029953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1302115358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5447107956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1528072009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4678516855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2606831374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2619372544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2640832877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2671335721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2712339543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191626002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2204627214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2227462676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2260839121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.23174694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773918729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1775418869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1781086064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1812255636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"202e51ac25a071492b64fb3164f98abd711c6a2a067f5675b2ddf7d50a62a802","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1902264027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6129874349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5732935965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5361314295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4778422005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4186686518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773753714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773753714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1774758807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1780434337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1794295629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186290504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186790551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2188290691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2192291064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210959471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1777754087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1794795675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1825590213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1879595247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1964936536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707819346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.07466563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814662639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918005606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1148193732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4915b3770f5c9ac893f684482dfcf6204390beea98faacd43b4dd0393ad93bf2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1777919102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4915b3770f5c9ac893f684482dfcf6204390beea98faacd43b4dd0393ad93bf2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.179512904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4915b3770f5c9ac893f684482dfcf6204390beea98faacd43b4dd0393ad93bf2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1826090259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4915b3770f5c9ac893f684482dfcf6204390beea98faacd43b4dd0393ad93bf2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1880428658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"4915b3770f5c9ac893f684482dfcf6204390beea98faacd43b4dd0393ad93bf2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1956435744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1294040661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1274705525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1273872114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1309905371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.155516446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186457187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2187165586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2189290784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2194457932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2214959844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0761324334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0825830347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918839017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1047184315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1310708881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773588698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1774128749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1779587591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1792093757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1829005531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773793717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1778794184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.178908681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1815464269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1874303087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071298502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.562014827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5371804172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5474977784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4449836794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186332175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2187040574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2188684061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2193039467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210927801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773918729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1779419242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1793587229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1833090912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b5ae258d99205be0f8e1e4396d34caa191b640b860ce569345d93f7f4634adc","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1939934205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111356964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129858689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.116469527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1230534741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.141488526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0718653689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750656673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814662639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918005606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1148193732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186292171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2187832315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2193124475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2211167823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.228046595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1819256289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1781252746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1792420454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.186045027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2033369783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145827085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1237121288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1396301242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1603898053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1858497711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773753714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.177425376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1775592218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1779127548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1807421852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1060685574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0952175458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0841331792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0752990223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715871175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1289873606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1410718204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5127731376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4601013364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358347819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1356546488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1477391086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1669075622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1910764819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2250709562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1855799041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2203182182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2909215374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3718830868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4143495448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2156621072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2177456347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.226913156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410811434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690004128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773918729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1775418869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1781086064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1795254051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"abb6f71b0d60d9266abb8d350e718812b00a5a01b880238c4e4cb8760c1f0c1d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1833924323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773588698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773633703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1774267095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1775127175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1782419522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773793717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1774293764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1775752233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1780252653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1803754844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190457559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190957606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2196291437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2208792602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2248296285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1477391086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5273578306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3427572885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.310670964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c7641bb790c72e9d31722937b6d5078eab2f278277311b95a3c526afeccf6aab","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2808430765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.110723158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120691168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1144693405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.118136349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.126070422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0719153736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765491389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833664411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0926339717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1073186739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1106856545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120357803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145526816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1189864283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1289873606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2006607087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.208994819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.226913156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.334743137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2cfcce09363ddad01df31559624e330557f69eabcab39ed3734c11a60f153c7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3799671669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1496891433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1024442477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1130001435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2181825046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4109778455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2206625733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.24233126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690004128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3006700317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3444101203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186292171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186797218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.218813901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191666005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207374136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.260699639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2611496809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2621331059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2645666661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"e6b1c55cdc17f3a16b42d70c31cc1d0208c7a877aacdb3e4aa6fae2e358e2fb2","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690004128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190290877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2194791297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2204625547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2228961149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2273298615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2606612852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27483429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2940027435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3498412822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2969196821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773752047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.17739604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.177475214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1780419335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f085362f8814ffa84888e2c01d4588fd1da934aaa8a0008cef17e62f2c118b2d","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1798421013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773793717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1774333768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.177625228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.178079437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1799296095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1790420267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1812755683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1844425302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1889929544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1964769854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186292171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186797218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2188347363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2192166052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207834179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3204805344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2299303296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2250004036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2115557187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2033952206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2970165796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3017413707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2523004781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2416592357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2272440765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.270785252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2951826413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2478131683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2376298287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AMCR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2503162858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2836956745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772920144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2988948349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3185637584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3427018025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3023203526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570076975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2538450891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2622687362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"AXP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2657735996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2797664155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2742143666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772882217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2807219092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2854041725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2707268175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.263656743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2953904495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3071938733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3155133055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CBOE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2629873881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CBOE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2742347089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CBOE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795244894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CBOE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904266728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CBOE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3003029308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2455802983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2451903848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2409589342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2409919503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2420713376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3046491798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2591417378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3034904061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3041589809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117032844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896244455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2668123536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3065659973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3189942222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3387941914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2727205413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2854013052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2745395925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2743413312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2862052503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2511997971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3034415721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2484522751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2483977795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2395119578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752628569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2783180944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3010481384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2651825974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3439739242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2569579118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2662583128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2724243447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2841618864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"COP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304346564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2808846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2713462271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.260289035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3324786397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493013407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2861169567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2666207057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719389504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2746945761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.276301414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3188550008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.325688849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2291665932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210073012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2079228696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2865647398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2630645616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3053083364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3186417169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"EMN","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223520625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3013046041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3159234828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3210306566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3401137677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3613100925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821685066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2808364413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2845448153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2819437092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2854762721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.305693208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3095403851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2606486807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2585342634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2623135675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2923697981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.270820894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2784725849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2845798364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2938007099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2528436033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2377254928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2235829633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2159782852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.209220039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2427403613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2275634836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2189651361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2027832861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1917129103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2870796567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2539771744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2420972686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2368705731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"GPC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3498188685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295972482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2648745768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2644042566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2662157588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2680108165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2796281147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2760190921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2930211463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2774221482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2786424838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081475294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2523869465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457431076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2446469662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2473288562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088293625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3221696582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3396702861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.364385834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3936120402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2777586677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2652034895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040292058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2533437486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2490143581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2878228123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2705561048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2811871157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2751649769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KIM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649027184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3097086983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2403191554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2347005139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2295715145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3856957589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2680122615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2664337474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689801899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27597879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2863159277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2613809398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2951632849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817666663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753499506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3171188815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2842892013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2988915317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2584757082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2452489586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3778207067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.309470468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3288224481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3567248835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.381049717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4054100503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3111311374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2360452588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3209901158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3261371887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3318255733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2471345143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358491431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.230595589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2180299082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2057818297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984585286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2965103743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3118799253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2446260763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MNST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2433604494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3066247908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2280541491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3628942853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3886023779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1896217261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887738649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2797708269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3006199196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162766589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.313191319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2831553309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2811590471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.280985145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2886082301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2939236479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2933356594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601638644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2593782494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615885925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2625833742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2581823006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361598948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244262818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2136146899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1992518226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2928769939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2505030497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2379962196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.227862763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3584657028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016805524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984940243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3015358732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102321279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3145962805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2809444128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2625724518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2533336852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2334622262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2255903101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2739910532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2879381224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2728395038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2691461103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.32475186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2834419362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2631687133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2537450167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2444078721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2347241989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2950977895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2665536311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2630397594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610659094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.263005065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2944537413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2576927833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2561867592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2522372713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TRMB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3170097414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2484671559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2541136558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048203505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3116202988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"TYL","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.327210531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.252752308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2356743761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2158304475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3731703235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3962757125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.237747609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2313250002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3260994421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.238356174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"VRTX","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3404142557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3053029106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2320686808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3420688145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2099745263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2071076203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3287911727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.33110893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2340773596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264800879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2221613324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2971065002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016460663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529512917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2437285932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"WTW","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3228786178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3470196618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2158350834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2097755441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3618900923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":365.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3764991637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1280572673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1211648336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1213314866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1275403098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"072996d2d8598234693622824f75c240134dae70efc8b611daa19b381a5007b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1688418797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"072996d2d8598234693622824f75c240134dae70efc8b611daa19b381a5007b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4993067282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"072996d2d8598234693622824f75c240134dae70efc8b611daa19b381a5007b6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1361858961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"072996d2d8598234693622824f75c240134dae70efc8b611daa19b381a5007b6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.324795733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0878412382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0943607026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0973814544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0940283965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0b169ca055db4159f29bf981ea529c369b0a0beb9e9ebaadbb507e963094206a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1250961773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0b169ca055db4159f29bf981ea529c369b0a0beb9e9ebaadbb507e963094206a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2902772724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0b169ca055db4159f29bf981ea529c369b0a0beb9e9ebaadbb507e963094206a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2675794706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0b169ca055db4159f29bf981ea529c369b0a0beb9e9ebaadbb507e963094206a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3903227192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0c17d606a81026f7b82afbdcb8391a34d20e05118d440c118409734c87ad8084","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0c17d606a81026f7b82afbdcb8391a34d20e05118d440c118409734c87ad8084","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0c17d606a81026f7b82afbdcb8391a34d20e05118d440c118409734c87ad8084","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0c17d606a81026f7b82afbdcb8391a34d20e05118d440c118409734c87ad8084","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0f5c6aef52d92a3ea69734581adeb0dbaa0adc8e69cb889c88696e6b1b04e242","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2348781574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0f5c6aef52d92a3ea69734581adeb0dbaa0adc8e69cb889c88696e6b1b04e242","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2820942781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0f5c6aef52d92a3ea69734581adeb0dbaa0adc8e69cb889c88696e6b1b04e242","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156581871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"0f5c6aef52d92a3ea69734581adeb0dbaa0adc8e69cb889c88696e6b1b04e242","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.386032405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"16b038428ed580bfdd126798a0a0d92e1de156657542ce2986ef7fddef427486","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2963184427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"16b038428ed580bfdd126798a0a0d92e1de156657542ce2986ef7fddef427486","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2320023937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"16b038428ed580bfdd126798a0a0d92e1de156657542ce2986ef7fddef427486","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1779944977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"16b038428ed580bfdd126798a0a0d92e1de156657542ce2986ef7fddef427486","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162404726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"19276061861552ab5b4f6cc0859abc26f83e5bad9ba7063f7f6f5f5f68830cbb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"19276061861552ab5b4f6cc0859abc26f83e5bad9ba7063f7f6f5f5f68830cbb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0204994378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"19276061861552ab5b4f6cc0859abc26f83e5bad9ba7063f7f6f5f5f68830cbb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0263322919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"19276061861552ab5b4f6cc0859abc26f83e5bad9ba7063f7f6f5f5f68830cbb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0338316757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"1b9cc53522d74386d1fc67fc84003a4c82ee2456ac19faa5743f75c7bc2a2ebb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"1b9cc53522d74386d1fc67fc84003a4c82ee2456ac19faa5743f75c7bc2a2ebb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"1b9cc53522d74386d1fc67fc84003a4c82ee2456ac19faa5743f75c7bc2a2ebb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"1b9cc53522d74386d1fc67fc84003a4c82ee2456ac19faa5743f75c7bc2a2ebb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"25b26edef1346e353e49d629f2d9b986d9280077452e25cb173b0125d29f2e19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1394259999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"25b26edef1346e353e49d629f2d9b986d9280077452e25cb173b0125d29f2e19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1409148776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"25b26edef1346e353e49d629f2d9b986d9280077452e25cb173b0125d29f2e19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1087591862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"25b26edef1346e353e49d629f2d9b986d9280077452e25cb173b0125d29f2e19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1183450653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"26a77f0daf907c5f4eff80c4211d5b937ca4b8b6b701c79fefa8ba923c0ccce1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0229992324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"26a77f0daf907c5f4eff80c4211d5b937ca4b8b6b701c79fefa8ba923c0ccce1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0288320865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"26a77f0daf907c5f4eff80c4211d5b937ca4b8b6b701c79fefa8ba923c0ccce1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0363314703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"26a77f0daf907c5f4eff80c4211d5b937ca4b8b6b701c79fefa8ba923c0ccce1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0454973839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"29bc2c5f909f6faa245771dd864c7059d25324ab8997b65b82b09feeca7dfa3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0976600981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"29bc2c5f909f6faa245771dd864c7059d25324ab8997b65b82b09feeca7dfa3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0937164222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"29bc2c5f909f6faa245771dd864c7059d25324ab8997b65b82b09feeca7dfa3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1107816867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"29bc2c5f909f6faa245771dd864c7059d25324ab8997b65b82b09feeca7dfa3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0946933419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"2eb2be80da401524c4ebf77fdee650e7f303999a03f1d7a93eda7f6290b72b78","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"2eb2be80da401524c4ebf77fdee650e7f303999a03f1d7a93eda7f6290b72b78","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"2eb2be80da401524c4ebf77fdee650e7f303999a03f1d7a93eda7f6290b72b78","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"2eb2be80da401524c4ebf77fdee650e7f303999a03f1d7a93eda7f6290b72b78","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"322deb44a6f705c992536a51cf2fc1688bd5b8f2b825b2df64dc297bb8b09eb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3492154299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"322deb44a6f705c992536a51cf2fc1688bd5b8f2b825b2df64dc297bb8b09eb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2793611693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"322deb44a6f705c992536a51cf2fc1688bd5b8f2b825b2df64dc297bb8b09eb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2057842145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"322deb44a6f705c992536a51cf2fc1688bd5b8f2b825b2df64dc297bb8b09eb2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4288325551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"34b8cdecf5639a1ac7ee91cc4f714064ec379e6455cfd12b8bb02e22248bbda8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3554719159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"34b8cdecf5639a1ac7ee91cc4f714064ec379e6455cfd12b8bb02e22248bbda8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2188164771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"34b8cdecf5639a1ac7ee91cc4f714064ec379e6455cfd12b8bb02e22248bbda8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1296654685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"34b8cdecf5639a1ac7ee91cc4f714064ec379e6455cfd12b8bb02e22248bbda8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304725752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"38a90f4d27084c64ed365e74d96713193017c7be1a0133b46ef9c58353f91613","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"38a90f4d27084c64ed365e74d96713193017c7be1a0133b46ef9c58353f91613","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"38a90f4d27084c64ed365e74d96713193017c7be1a0133b46ef9c58353f91613","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"38a90f4d27084c64ed365e74d96713193017c7be1a0133b46ef9c58353f91613","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"3ddd7acdc273d9aee082a214412412ea6acfc4d3b3815d9f391712cd66b896b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5329573334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"3ddd7acdc273d9aee082a214412412ea6acfc4d3b3815d9f391712cd66b896b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1329901954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"3ddd7acdc273d9aee082a214412412ea6acfc4d3b3815d9f391712cd66b896b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"3ddd7acdc273d9aee082a214412412ea6acfc4d3b3815d9f391712cd66b896b9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4471310517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"414d81ab4cd6b144d5d7ff8890deff16187131ef70ef561d23235e64a9e3a602","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2992312034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"414d81ab4cd6b144d5d7ff8890deff16187131ef70ef561d23235e64a9e3a602","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3917689337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"414d81ab4cd6b144d5d7ff8890deff16187131ef70ef561d23235e64a9e3a602","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"414d81ab4cd6b144d5d7ff8890deff16187131ef70ef561d23235e64a9e3a602","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304899071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4204aec5ff81b3d331f27141b072979d838ed95bcd0de36e887ca9a70523060a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"454929db574a2087112f905213f5ed6f42e966f4f174598d3c7656135a549ed3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"454929db574a2087112f905213f5ed6f42e966f4f174598d3c7656135a549ed3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"454929db574a2087112f905213f5ed6f42e966f4f174598d3c7656135a549ed3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"454929db574a2087112f905213f5ed6f42e966f4f174598d3c7656135a549ed3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548779465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534220661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2639397697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519171898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4324739226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3055880144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3397732057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"4c61c2a65075e437a0887c02650bd69c2ad0fbfc7d8a42c0489ac4d67b17bd54","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2666128834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"537fe838e624e3a945280a7f7ac3003e593a469790084243a4ccca7da60df456","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"537fe838e624e3a945280a7f7ac3003e593a469790084243a4ccca7da60df456","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"537fe838e624e3a945280a7f7ac3003e593a469790084243a4ccca7da60df456","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"537fe838e624e3a945280a7f7ac3003e593a469790084243a4ccca7da60df456","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5717d66e2c928eb051a18ed6f061481d3a522f0a4cc96b4339db4313b140f6b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3582716859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5717d66e2c928eb051a18ed6f061481d3a522f0a4cc96b4339db4313b140f6b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3691041292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5717d66e2c928eb051a18ed6f061481d3a522f0a4cc96b4339db4313b140f6b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3564371699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5717d66e2c928eb051a18ed6f061481d3a522f0a4cc96b4339db4313b140f6b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3713492781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5b45afe11fc314e0a565a35fe82c809ec70f87b1c32ed22231317d666e1c344e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2643330707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5b45afe11fc314e0a565a35fe82c809ec70f87b1c32ed22231317d666e1c344e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1796530281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5b45afe11fc314e0a565a35fe82c809ec70f87b1c32ed22231317d666e1c344e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1355286535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"5b45afe11fc314e0a565a35fe82c809ec70f87b1c32ed22231317d666e1c344e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1303570784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60cabe14763f5d8760dc7140b049d11b8e23d847d3852b77e8e1d2df2bac0ae1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986613492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60cabe14763f5d8760dc7140b049d11b8e23d847d3852b77e8e1d2df2bac0ae1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.109711108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60cabe14763f5d8760dc7140b049d11b8e23d847d3852b77e8e1d2df2bac0ae1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1034116256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60cabe14763f5d8760dc7140b049d11b8e23d847d3852b77e8e1d2df2bac0ae1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096996486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60f6289e0d1225ac2b3a945523d2194f3b9cde98a50f7ec2205ab35286673c04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2109117932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60f6289e0d1225ac2b3a945523d2194f3b9cde98a50f7ec2205ab35286673c04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.222748154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60f6289e0d1225ac2b3a945523d2194f3b9cde98a50f7ec2205ab35286673c04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1586684189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"60f6289e0d1225ac2b3a945523d2194f3b9cde98a50f7ec2205ab35286673c04","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1116466157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0131333763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0133000293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0138333188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5059732171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1221590853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1184233922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4925606525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"65c6d5bdebf8d240d9184eeabd6b0492439e4579c397cf243520da1122dfc659","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2804660785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"65c6d5bdebf8d240d9184eeabd6b0492439e4579c397cf243520da1122dfc659","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2458839198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"65c6d5bdebf8d240d9184eeabd6b0492439e4579c397cf243520da1122dfc659","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1963183256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"65c6d5bdebf8d240d9184eeabd6b0492439e4579c397cf243520da1122dfc659","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1629877307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"689b21fb8fa98b2dd5934cb288acbddc829ad6311f73ac7fd22f66d99d53ae9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"689b21fb8fa98b2dd5934cb288acbddc829ad6311f73ac7fd22f66d99d53ae9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0204994378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"689b21fb8fa98b2dd5934cb288acbddc829ad6311f73ac7fd22f66d99d53ae9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0263322919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"689b21fb8fa98b2dd5934cb288acbddc829ad6311f73ac7fd22f66d99d53ae9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0338316757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3177830125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3556865649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3826100195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"717189ea4297d2bd8c71130f9f4df7f17e710022e01f1af1d6ab7ed0a1af3905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1963183256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"726282f70bce23d66c70376d1165031394e4a1cb010223109f243ff797e9486c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1829944203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"726282f70bce23d66c70376d1165031394e4a1cb010223109f243ff797e9486c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.179991667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"726282f70bce23d66c70376d1165031394e4a1cb010223109f243ff797e9486c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773678826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"726282f70bce23d66c70376d1165031394e4a1cb010223109f243ff797e9486c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1829944203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"72c5df25b8d0483bc9a8ccdc387b72eeee488c31e508928662bc3a3aaa7d7aec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1849489263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"72c5df25b8d0483bc9a8ccdc387b72eeee488c31e508928662bc3a3aaa7d7aec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2181195343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"72c5df25b8d0483bc9a8ccdc387b72eeee488c31e508928662bc3a3aaa7d7aec","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588118576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"72c5df25b8d0483bc9a8ccdc387b72eeee488c31e508928662bc3a3aaa7d7aec","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3464796547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.018832908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0229992324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0288320865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0363314703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7c5a93873d2235677aa5541e3524368e507c99f49290774adc81221e569a2a55","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1863941409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7c5a93873d2235677aa5541e3524368e507c99f49290774adc81221e569a2a55","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.184007337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7c5a93873d2235677aa5541e3524368e507c99f49290774adc81221e569a2a55","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1826581146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7c5a93873d2235677aa5541e3524368e507c99f49290774adc81221e569a2a55","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1898605228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"82fd8377d98a89237b105523a25b53958738c56084a0d3f3b701bc06112299f6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0891237995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"82fd8377d98a89237b105523a25b53958738c56084a0d3f3b701bc06112299f6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0917209194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"82fd8377d98a89237b105523a25b53958738c56084a0d3f3b701bc06112299f6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1011468117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"82fd8377d98a89237b105523a25b53958738c56084a0d3f3b701bc06112299f6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039359158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"a40b2f955080bc48a3eb5d3ebc8f65cf5e75597b82df9908f326db839f470dfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0505583014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"a40b2f955080bc48a3eb5d3ebc8f65cf5e75597b82df9908f326db839f470dfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651361037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"a40b2f955080bc48a3eb5d3ebc8f65cf5e75597b82df9908f326db839f470dfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0642041803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"a40b2f955080bc48a3eb5d3ebc8f65cf5e75597b82df9908f326db839f470dfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0385499547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0204994378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0263322919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b060a47d1a901e049b86fbd919462dc0c07339380d89770f1ea6097b6dbfd25d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0338316757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b21f8977cc0105a9ad354b08249bbbafdcf101ddd2fdedafc619c74f32f6e13d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b21f8977cc0105a9ad354b08249bbbafdcf101ddd2fdedafc619c74f32f6e13d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b21f8977cc0105a9ad354b08249bbbafdcf101ddd2fdedafc619c74f32f6e13d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b21f8977cc0105a9ad354b08249bbbafdcf101ddd2fdedafc619c74f32f6e13d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956962628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0940280666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0973811244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b2d9e949a3c4b561a37e2ac0cd55f373886141fd1aa1a8b5ae31769657008391","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0970428189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6354489125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1163248979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0995342775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0886008425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bc472ae027654b674b06a9102f70c8c3b4e896cd5d6e2539eef76be98c12f446","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3709709758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bc472ae027654b674b06a9102f70c8c3b4e896cd5d6e2539eef76be98c12f446","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642544105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bc472ae027654b674b06a9102f70c8c3b4e896cd5d6e2539eef76be98c12f446","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1794383791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bc472ae027654b674b06a9102f70c8c3b4e896cd5d6e2539eef76be98c12f446","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4629630842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bd4e00026685af18a12993199a1468f8c1989014b1b656c7cd7b3b807fc3b2a3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0976604314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bd4e00026685af18a12993199a1468f8c1989014b1b656c7cd7b3b807fc3b2a3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111413238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bd4e00026685af18a12993199a1468f8c1989014b1b656c7cd7b3b807fc3b2a3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993399601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bd4e00026685af18a12993199a1468f8c1989014b1b656c7cd7b3b807fc3b2a3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100375875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bf1a7ccdcab6f0def67bd1ce4d17c175ecce7043bf92782ed3e68262b5b33873","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130000539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bf1a7ccdcab6f0def67bd1ce4d17c175ecce7043bf92782ed3e68262b5b33873","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130000539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bf1a7ccdcab6f0def67bd1ce4d17c175ecce7043bf92782ed3e68262b5b33873","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130000539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"bf1a7ccdcab6f0def67bd1ce4d17c175ecce7043bf92782ed3e68262b5b33873","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130000539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c041a711a5eb71a70a018a2bb24ddaac31dcb70cf4dd50445fbada23176ef0b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2280653838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c041a711a5eb71a70a018a2bb24ddaac31dcb70cf4dd50445fbada23176ef0b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4012844852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c041a711a5eb71a70a018a2bb24ddaac31dcb70cf4dd50445fbada23176ef0b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2197484005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c041a711a5eb71a70a018a2bb24ddaac31dcb70cf4dd50445fbada23176ef0b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901736142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c3285fd0b71b2857988631c7a8ceb54c619acfc09d4be7ff119fd4a947248a2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0122334503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c3285fd0b71b2857988631c7a8ceb54c619acfc09d4be7ff119fd4a947248a2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0122334503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c3285fd0b71b2857988631c7a8ceb54c619acfc09d4be7ff119fd4a947248a2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0122334503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"c3285fd0b71b2857988631c7a8ceb54c619acfc09d4be7ff119fd4a947248a2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0122334503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927788325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925565175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987943383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"d057dec75c310bd602515df56ba35332a3a77098702b8ab0b7014ec0a0c608b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1094884596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0263322919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429975893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663290057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dab1860d6eb61e1aef6d693a55cd14f12d30de1784bf4da5129dd9a88bff5ebb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130003873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dab1860d6eb61e1aef6d693a55cd14f12d30de1784bf4da5129dd9a88bff5ebb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130003873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dab1860d6eb61e1aef6d693a55cd14f12d30de1784bf4da5129dd9a88bff5ebb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130003873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dab1860d6eb61e1aef6d693a55cd14f12d30de1784bf4da5129dd9a88bff5ebb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130003873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db179ab9be5f29fb984145e24be4036d826a4b1242340317f7ef2a20c6c28080","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969961527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db179ab9be5f29fb984145e24be4036d826a4b1242340317f7ef2a20c6c28080","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989959884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db179ab9be5f29fb984145e24be4036d826a4b1242340317f7ef2a20c6c28080","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0937164222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db179ab9be5f29fb984145e24be4036d826a4b1242340317f7ef2a20c6c28080","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979930708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db5802d72b241588205cd334105442c2e449aa8cb2b9919be7a311eb6a4eceb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db5802d72b241588205cd334105442c2e449aa8cb2b9919be7a311eb6a4eceb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db5802d72b241588205cd334105442c2e449aa8cb2b9919be7a311eb6a4eceb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"db5802d72b241588205cd334105442c2e449aa8cb2b9919be7a311eb6a4eceb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3958249338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3764905223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1919936809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dc24b0eb186a7a757609f2553b7a114b5da0519b9cda7d46cd1364c8834b70aa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1539221422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dee27f2d5ddeb03be31fba49da853e95cf43fdc4e67583a52b27eefe8e7ab4d8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2954768452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dee27f2d5ddeb03be31fba49da853e95cf43fdc4e67583a52b27eefe8e7ab4d8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2329819799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dee27f2d5ddeb03be31fba49da853e95cf43fdc4e67583a52b27eefe8e7ab4d8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"dee27f2d5ddeb03be31fba49da853e95cf43fdc4e67583a52b27eefe8e7ab4d8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4707011151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1283645754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1388567134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1440386209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1549860548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e83211cf1de33090261c74bc976922a40bbdfc87b41a05e9d5e5cf23bf2ccbef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e9c241882801d740d7d774f3bf19c20f380662f705ca2de66c4a1fa1210e257b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e9c241882801d740d7d774f3bf19c20f380662f705ca2de66c4a1fa1210e257b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e9c241882801d740d7d774f3bf19c20f380662f705ca2de66c4a1fa1210e257b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"e9c241882801d740d7d774f3bf19c20f380662f705ca2de66c4a1fa1210e257b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0163331134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.018832908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0229992324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ec8fd3ac5400f902a068d0ee5553565016604fc02e0399d9e6b67e4dc191bd2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0288320865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ed016d23bdbad0ed0d781dba30d63644670f26271c5058aaf204a5d934e2a221","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1429893738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ed016d23bdbad0ed0d781dba30d63644670f26271c5058aaf204a5d934e2a221","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1363232548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ed016d23bdbad0ed0d781dba30d63644670f26271c5058aaf204a5d934e2a221","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1329901954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"acled","id":"ed016d23bdbad0ed0d781dba30d63644670f26271c5058aaf204a5d934e2a221","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1329901954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2980474897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138116985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5954521987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0263322919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3898501871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3501917674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2554801314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4376082868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3881162267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312126617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2154834176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488222279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088255141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.409040501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3200559111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2554801314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3246486117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3551916825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088090831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4487975814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2763117532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1188246926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0288320865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2154834176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588131909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088090831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4188000461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388066185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.238814834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0954932762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4487975814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788524368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488222279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088255141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2209580477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1864709744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488222279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088255141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2055795783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3213351431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2463142178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0954932762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2289699595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2741475603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088090831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2806056742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3693268591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2929770506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4487975814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588131909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088090831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4360858531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1829810525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1254908115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4487975814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588131909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488222279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088255141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317584975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2929770506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3154823339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3291752944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788279788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0288320865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4188000461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588131909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1188246926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0288320865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4487975814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1793006708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488222279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088255141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3507487041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.329745756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.109658779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0421643244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3529403503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3683343875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2463142178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2441944002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127536103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688288003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0263322919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4662961437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2594250702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063257195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0263322919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4339906705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3760130093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2463142178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4297011195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994112508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088090831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3357708891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4491314546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2788115478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096326541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.160392063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5263929905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688288003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0256323494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4487975814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2621609541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1254908115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4487975814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2435175388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554965624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0156331709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.462231191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2519161664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788279788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0263322919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4662961437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2607466663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0863273626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0255323576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2382278352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.461239982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1188246926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0288320865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2211222611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0630444626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2788115478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088255141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4442021719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1998241893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488222279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088255141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2025814016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5525402627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088090831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5154587711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4787951168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2154834176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088090831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2036138353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2504948274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1621544658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288156555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1438792417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162922965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1454891684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2288156555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2154834176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1663207902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704388223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4068129155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303476611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.302104037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4954604142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2334471184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2159567074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2405296491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1888189417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2955811407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2641387486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2538870517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1789824074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1872204291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.267523215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1888189417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2059423855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1829860876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663290057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3363068239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.355066999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1837944278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.308455703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0463306488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4417187522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3829696566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4088008676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10299266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2296095429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2721225445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3896097301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1951677541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0451341149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1698260169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1793538972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.199651385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2462768665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2833086774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2735771193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2681925795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2593355462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2019497194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2117224222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367676058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2848444423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2619452374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2618621708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2565060324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588606552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2379379547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2629500578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3021048698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.331872347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2045209165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1906223317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1647445267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1453645483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2414841926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2325517244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2837042753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3159138225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3014740806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2711734291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2670343438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.249374383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2360156799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649983475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2940854484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3341409601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1945794775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3953600364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1496134942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1344509197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2275349102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2199000202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2124242397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1996903332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2450195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244575761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3218928823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3544331632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2587705507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2823417888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307331453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3613329006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422208894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2745808407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2952155372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3306436311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2931433425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.310775007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3103883388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2197287472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.259302321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795491654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3919399155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4529118514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.19442665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270280891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2587040346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889372301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3035451257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3051260562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138161099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3192345473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3209630855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.350370603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3902567109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.44059579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3052290376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2175991047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3677519367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3771166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2733957746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367184279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124442303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.321196103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2801060252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.240775011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3054202582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3256631336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2501281177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2266042562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.20612954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.179302199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2248288483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3039732872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.376739502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4535732618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682767582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3229147141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3988943307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.442070651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422953514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2700103684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3020383789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3563108415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3104580992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3581466393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3874091348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4372238601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2710374153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683929595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2783016408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.20893213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3520811611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1649736257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4466110916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2134014587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264092925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635911877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2414229861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2193721585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2616007876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2886543378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3142416659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2339385279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2623307316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3031330706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3171029934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2312209159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.239042183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635204711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2796056885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571693373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2825557638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3142229945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1852232287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2986970805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3168679454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3339155357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3661048573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2421340888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2404128212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2293548229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283329005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703579792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3083123306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3447510611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3729722779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.301262538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3200494384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.369289937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4068410451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303838792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2607312243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994561605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3324511997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2280266482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.310610563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3382235298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3870696217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2445012647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2965554714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3397087998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3783020047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887841861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275340918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3888654501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4359403847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3199121137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.376900579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1466423479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4270445676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1476689543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1397883466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142174304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"SOFRINDEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1258395746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1871332889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2164201606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2731780456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2444502234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2174193996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2104958811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2175110631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247994187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365352565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496284386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2344741715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1973432087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2873610802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764883782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250392969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.247260038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187177758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2210529254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2097982712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3378048458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1970601247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2983316633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2657522457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3002914165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2692487534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087092295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3451355403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4058993654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244413112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.242750483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2800795847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3167475634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2253305833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2483513579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2890821379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3293097588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3181270222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3437937032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1607317433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1620122817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3430838138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3696933691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4156254745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4635298914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2993609662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2131613565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3548388907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4015825619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2209802784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3203035908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3351312583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3389556787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4920888908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.54211573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1260716998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.119612833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303981094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3308134289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.193889355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1530707352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247024655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2097880533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2078789154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1979990959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3052020994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156377363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3435702199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3663838069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121768064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0441451231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546182622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771478228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5235298124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979191509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1213618999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1494280154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1969640992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122757983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124504506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130087381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2372787351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719815552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4163002515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2436299529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0454973839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0604961516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788279788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004928654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122757983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124434512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"27b3562010fedb45de26cc72b0f1dfcd422aaa195c5c1acdd369833f55a2ac51","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129767407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1321569305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1429893738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788197633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.199651385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121768064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d86299abee372110ff3496333f3d39205aca8db8b743419bdcadd550e8059e8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121768064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122784647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124504506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129757408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129757408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129837401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5001e35cea5c847a7b407ddb855e22f92b1a64ec7b26bbd8778aa5e6d98950d6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129941559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0567724102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766562786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0954932762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1204912223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0138333188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.01669975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0212993721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0276321851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138086724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3176083602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3229745859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"55c2216ba2f2608f6836da87412e72bcc1a20cb8fe88489f6dd706f6b78cb434","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3302739862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122837976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124754486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131087299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549440108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.076822541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1113795596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4342693429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488222279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4962936791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4787951168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4629630842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124087874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3125754403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3132753828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123087956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122837976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124754486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130087381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130087381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130087381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130087381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130087381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130087381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131087299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3132753828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138086724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130087381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156085245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3199415018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d0174469fd625915a26e4fb0dfa92578865bc3c97fdd31ba6a21a0df24c8797","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263076454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123087956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3125754403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3132753828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788279788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0829943031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0954932762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1181162488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0156331709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0204994378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0288320865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122757983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124434512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129784072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122767982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124504506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130087381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124087874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127420933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fa89a7d296950fe794a71be32c65e5d50930a8dbe0f9a8c780f27eec1529e60","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138086724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121754732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121754732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121754732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8a233d491589095301fdae256d9241a3443903ffa5c677a7e33720226c23d7b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121754732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688288003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0871606275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088255141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1338234602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b06b3e4e83fe2f7412cae94efce5f55ee864b57d15e6f693b8c4514c73742a10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0138333188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.018832908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0271655568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0388312649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123087956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3125754403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3132753828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121755565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121758065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121768064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121838059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554965624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6404485018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5954521987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5329573334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0910422018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1119575111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1611164656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3379473299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0138333188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.018832908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0271655568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0388312649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4354653435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4204665758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4163002515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2538136016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979930708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.109658779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.128823871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1563216117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654957408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563298272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554965624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0338316757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988263357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1396563143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.173820174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2163166825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529803368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0130333845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0156331709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0204994378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0288320865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123087956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124754486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127087627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129754075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3154752021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3196415265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3254827132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123087956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124754486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130087381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.051838519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0763838623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120121243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1531370694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129757408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129767407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129784072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129837401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122088038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123087956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe34d740b51f076eae014e050aeb93b8ac200f86f1f8b58afdd74e07868db3a5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123087956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2490334295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2305048196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2263014911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.228258317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2804894558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2486280752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2695108005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2970452483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2492928566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2948368306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296163751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121524338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.286403855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2462090325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2941953068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124375703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2563277466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479438697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3010658965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2235868994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"APH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2322949506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"APH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276616543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"APH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2079743247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"APH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1913078335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2455174294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646091494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2654030662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719545841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2338877307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852571843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2986582921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BAX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096447069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2342366759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2836831332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897580501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3067373848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2561262599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2458819278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2163508215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3491793549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926324117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2625909724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701962251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2808950513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2364382554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2221797591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.229932322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"CSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.221361225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2533382716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2676041203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2569497239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479766662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525897285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2602390824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2962966311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2119391506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2665301445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2963854679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2428585253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2316423135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2584867715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2807692076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2449371928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352951249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EPAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2846995061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EPAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2806810527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EPAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2480694562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EPAM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016352598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.243410578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2394055252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270298703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2309429186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772273307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3063485374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3489666996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3743675204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270554272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2156824708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2084467728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2105419393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2807295659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042699132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2503016149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.240995291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.254765476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276734347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2430049396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2328988337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2838838234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2974235874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2977281029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.308990417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2513096692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2692974584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2773906261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HPQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2278569522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752209921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2510097134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2492454157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2631232873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2476631005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2370952549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424227028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2334838215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2505025378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2486421604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2563475152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.248628015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.242508254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2342513967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.293548929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2263208651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2490639991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2391639004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.237206633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361307359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2765643411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2778187571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827268891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.264747671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635706699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2521048084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2895955185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2915674407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2504886411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2793493183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2881798001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296269686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2311041608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2779106104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2815523285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2942045974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642979656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2385632548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642253025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MDT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2552515038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241903408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2829978134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2412384242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317839527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633291187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2492835287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457605271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"MTB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574945221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753270109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2977807972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2997305639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102006179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506508778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994854225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119756878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2214886717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2426665636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2824778031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2937151339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3086349344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617015031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748123629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617790814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2747408555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753299689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2519174793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2561896855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2578438498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.238869534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2320919766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2275313006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2290209956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547750272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2449131297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2378634135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2266260413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3231400627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3384623745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3355500871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.33304348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896664791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.313999348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133764672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3349084156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2769303356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2989280989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.223776361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"ROP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2357368176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529738099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493795116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2548724601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2728096811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2435277546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2349070405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2998204631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2242592827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2804363881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2358855279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2841858153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2940115381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2534052351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2404497615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2248403394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2281212752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.239080752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258346346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2231169636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2152302544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SYY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2820836578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SYY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.28986541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SYY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3035889832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"SYY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2379970593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2401392891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2776906315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2405765248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250867889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2781503658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2840198113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2340401289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.239925721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2731868852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.310329835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.358733435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3831686926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.278457528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2512506815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.243647348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365353541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2304442955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2114290242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2038579896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2038263339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283019769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2225663545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3099279681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3144985067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VLTO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2771946972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VLTO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750670557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VLTO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2885885243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"VLTO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3101860462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.298501636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.30093985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3241045322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WBA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3343158464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2838966621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2943103903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3086411957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3207165593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"07dfb3bb74a3076bd819853f9b48cd43fb37f055c1d2cc529d7cb2b6e976bc2e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1908577121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"07dfb3bb74a3076bd819853f9b48cd43fb37f055c1d2cc529d7cb2b6e976bc2e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1927188857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"07dfb3bb74a3076bd819853f9b48cd43fb37f055c1d2cc529d7cb2b6e976bc2e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1931602032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"07dfb3bb74a3076bd819853f9b48cd43fb37f055c1d2cc529d7cb2b6e976bc2e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1941617428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"085aa9f35b860cf6846154b37a571c129546a81e327c7a189cc94998f8c55388","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2174206626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"085aa9f35b860cf6846154b37a571c129546a81e327c7a189cc94998f8c55388","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258065943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"085aa9f35b860cf6846154b37a571c129546a81e327c7a189cc94998f8c55388","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571698896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"085aa9f35b860cf6846154b37a571c129546a81e327c7a189cc94998f8c55388","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4121063623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"0d5c6d37045a7a4307f1d9eb41d5434eb5f1a83b03671247123b906c92c3a179","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0406893731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"0d5c6d37045a7a4307f1d9eb41d5434eb5f1a83b03671247123b906c92c3a179","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0416119096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"0d5c6d37045a7a4307f1d9eb41d5434eb5f1a83b03671247123b906c92c3a179","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0432319736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"0d5c6d37045a7a4307f1d9eb41d5434eb5f1a83b03671247123b906c92c3a179","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0454120599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"11952c0cffada5f7351c3fa6baa67c1c4ec4fc827ca8c80d645f37f44cd3e680","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0408093788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"11952c0cffada5f7351c3fa6baa67c1c4ec4fc827ca8c80d645f37f44cd3e680","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0411393949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"11952c0cffada5f7351c3fa6baa67c1c4ec4fc827ca8c80d645f37f44cd3e680","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0417697408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"11952c0cffada5f7351c3fa6baa67c1c4ec4fc827ca8c80d645f37f44cd3e680","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0425803479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"18099b217a418be18d794e3a55e1656853b754b5da1975a54e46f98808adc066","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0405042678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"18099b217a418be18d794e3a55e1656853b754b5da1975a54e46f98808adc066","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0406342729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"18099b217a418be18d794e3a55e1656853b754b5da1975a54e46f98808adc066","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0408417841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"18099b217a418be18d794e3a55e1656853b754b5da1975a54e46f98808adc066","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0410818016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0406518716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0414519032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0427969564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0447862351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"25c3a05384df0a5476d6748d4afab4976ccb1cb76cb92a00da5d530f0a2453ef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1353055151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"25c3a05384df0a5476d6748d4afab4976ccb1cb76cb92a00da5d530f0a2453ef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529838593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"25c3a05384df0a5476d6748d4afab4976ccb1cb76cb92a00da5d530f0a2453ef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582648682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"25c3a05384df0a5476d6748d4afab4976ccb1cb76cb92a00da5d530f0a2453ef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0630522575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"267fec89553d2c302abf6e8b6addd6988bac43530611578b7103abf8f13e5fae","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2730709636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"267fec89553d2c302abf6e8b6addd6988bac43530611578b7103abf8f13e5fae","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1898467721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"267fec89553d2c302abf6e8b6addd6988bac43530611578b7103abf8f13e5fae","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2226713703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"267fec89553d2c302abf6e8b6addd6988bac43530611578b7103abf8f13e5fae","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2003536877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3011f3ca5ab20c1b4df3135b234271fda6db030aee606c6c6bf9569c12566b87","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639056913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3011f3ca5ab20c1b4df3135b234271fda6db030aee606c6c6bf9569c12566b87","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656364597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3011f3ca5ab20c1b4df3135b234271fda6db030aee606c6c6bf9569c12566b87","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065414951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3011f3ca5ab20c1b4df3135b234271fda6db030aee606c6c6bf9569c12566b87","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667545039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2765286003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2778586529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2968675047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2716628079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2474655509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2671203282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2556802758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3cd3bef412eef494d9f3d4dcc6ee405237a0681e4dcb70e2037ae8a10b446860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2330497808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3f802ec5fc16d34fde00be717473d482fe678d11997a13c470e1e759e24baeff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0684730719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3f802ec5fc16d34fde00be717473d482fe678d11997a13c470e1e759e24baeff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675054336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3f802ec5fc16d34fde00be717473d482fe678d11997a13c470e1e759e24baeff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067287225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"3f802ec5fc16d34fde00be717473d482fe678d11997a13c470e1e759e24baeff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680313544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0404220625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0404220625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0404732895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0404747646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"4414efffdcfc85cd65949cc0a0b44d6041bffbe9220919a4b12bf553f903aec2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7370668142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"4414efffdcfc85cd65949cc0a0b44d6041bffbe9220919a4b12bf553f903aec2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0863710797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"4414efffdcfc85cd65949cc0a0b44d6041bffbe9220919a4b12bf553f903aec2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1051818237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"4414efffdcfc85cd65949cc0a0b44d6041bffbe9220919a4b12bf553f903aec2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6159020222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983217524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0862437747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760636721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"46d9b7df736fc8f0a6c0b9f10284c4ec39b34563564c0d6094be32a8ec8959e7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691914003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"495a07f5b0141a2afe2eaaa29f3dbc7bbc38c0a6bd8e76ea60dc3849de647407","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2743485141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"495a07f5b0141a2afe2eaaa29f3dbc7bbc38c0a6bd8e76ea60dc3849de647407","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3058397595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"495a07f5b0141a2afe2eaaa29f3dbc7bbc38c0a6bd8e76ea60dc3849de647407","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122136116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"495a07f5b0141a2afe2eaaa29f3dbc7bbc38c0a6bd8e76ea60dc3849de647407","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2766355045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"499050cf90d51025dbb9df6c7fbf23c49be924a378623e60e7b655e66af83caa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0411917939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"499050cf90d51025dbb9df6c7fbf23c49be924a378623e60e7b655e66af83caa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0441788121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"499050cf90d51025dbb9df6c7fbf23c49be924a378623e60e7b655e66af83caa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0492070109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"499050cf90d51025dbb9df6c7fbf23c49be924a378623e60e7b655e66af83caa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0562226914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"59743be4d8773848a677d155ac7007dbe4cd5340237b093ece625ce1eadf6ce8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.042559547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"59743be4d8773848a677d155ac7007dbe4cd5340237b093ece625ce1eadf6ce8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0438395977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"59743be4d8773848a677d155ac7007dbe4cd5340237b093ece625ce1eadf6ce8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0455899669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"59743be4d8773848a677d155ac7007dbe4cd5340237b093ece625ce1eadf6ce8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0478105547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"5f253a36f526abcc91e59bd66a280504c018faabcb46ff143736bdf11ce7c9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0642969317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"5f253a36f526abcc91e59bd66a280504c018faabcb46ff143736bdf11ce7c9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064808527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"5f253a36f526abcc91e59bd66a280504c018faabcb46ff143736bdf11ce7c9f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0624411333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"5f253a36f526abcc91e59bd66a280504c018faabcb46ff143736bdf11ce7c9f0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675385349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672605239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690708955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726515372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"63d3cb0218562c4e78d62e55e04db6f4c0dd30e04fe83be87bb273877759668c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0758032618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1654303065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1757455144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1929428946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"64515a0525fb014c0569ac6665a6698ceb10ce8cbb88bc3ed109613b1036be04","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2490500136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a67473236e2266010c820e9364ed7c8b1b3b30d08c41bff1c3f897d8eee82bf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0409742843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a67473236e2266010c820e9364ed7c8b1b3b30d08c41bff1c3f897d8eee82bf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0419642235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a67473236e2266010c820e9364ed7c8b1b3b30d08c41bff1c3f897d8eee82bf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0436793913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a67473236e2266010c820e9364ed7c8b1b3b30d08c41bff1c3f897d8eee82bf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461219879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a958cca15ebaa05e71f6eafd78e13d86bdf0b23659b7ed78ce3d01970adb72c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0404220625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a958cca15ebaa05e71f6eafd78e13d86bdf0b23659b7ed78ce3d01970adb72c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0405595679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a958cca15ebaa05e71f6eafd78e13d86bdf0b23659b7ed78ce3d01970adb72c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0409426831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6a958cca15ebaa05e71f6eafd78e13d86bdf0b23659b7ed78ce3d01970adb72c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0417507151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6c9dcca8afed3670d43f38ea1ef7cfbede16fc5944242189e56953ac59d7bdf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.041041887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6c9dcca8afed3670d43f38ea1ef7cfbede16fc5944242189e56953ac59d7bdf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0417044132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6c9dcca8afed3670d43f38ea1ef7cfbede16fc5944242189e56953ac59d7bdf5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0430330658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6c9dcca8afed3670d43f38ea1ef7cfbede16fc5944242189e56953ac59d7bdf5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0449369411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6e3c40ed55c7b13557d0d2f95b32238436f2f601db168eb3be6347d048709003","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653604488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6e3c40ed55c7b13557d0d2f95b32238436f2f601db168eb3be6347d048709003","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0668588081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6e3c40ed55c7b13557d0d2f95b32238436f2f601db168eb3be6347d048709003","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672741245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"6e3c40ed55c7b13557d0d2f95b32238436f2f601db168eb3be6347d048709003","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0679278503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"700a3c8b31ede5baecac6002b8ff9a79f689708b0e3cad952fd323e08c7870f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1127330223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"700a3c8b31ede5baecac6002b8ff9a79f689708b0e3cad952fd323e08c7870f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.120359324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"700a3c8b31ede5baecac6002b8ff9a79f689708b0e3cad952fd323e08c7870f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1280016262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"700a3c8b31ede5baecac6002b8ff9a79f689708b0e3cad952fd323e08c7870f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1371430877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"760ecad6cb71b7fc8741bd024f6bc478def8dc2c099401f2ef24acf2cc80a183","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2441842211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"760ecad6cb71b7fc8741bd024f6bc478def8dc2c099401f2ef24acf2cc80a183","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2316297246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"760ecad6cb71b7fc8741bd024f6bc478def8dc2c099401f2ef24acf2cc80a183","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3558042356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"760ecad6cb71b7fc8741bd024f6bc478def8dc2c099401f2ef24acf2cc80a183","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.252575753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0416699129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0433823806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461423897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"76a74bb21711fa0ff3b0d46d2c7754927810280e6d4b794588303e61129b3c30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0495030256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7916ce32b62bb4854c28f2f04238b9aba973832cce9256dcd1892b28d20ba35e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0475122429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7916ce32b62bb4854c28f2f04238b9aba973832cce9256dcd1892b28d20ba35e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512226897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7916ce32b62bb4854c28f2f04238b9aba973832cce9256dcd1892b28d20ba35e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554844582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7916ce32b62bb4854c28f2f04238b9aba973832cce9256dcd1892b28d20ba35e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0604662552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7e748917059573511cc91af8da493df9980e0011961468515eae520c29626c78","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0676004374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7e748917059573511cc91af8da493df9980e0011961468515eae520c29626c78","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706305572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7e748917059573511cc91af8da493df9980e0011961468515eae520c29626c78","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0756932574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"7e748917059573511cc91af8da493df9980e0011961468515eae520c29626c78","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0821213117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0402695565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0404195624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0408523795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"8660d6f039f015d02f3439589353c07b9e42746485e42acb5c7f0e3839a0a60f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0415604075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"881adb90c14ca001a2fd948d0e8df0a2db0cd228a165d81e1a56b97de65b6b67","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1827948932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"881adb90c14ca001a2fd948d0e8df0a2db0cd228a165d81e1a56b97de65b6b67","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4738505042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"881adb90c14ca001a2fd948d0e8df0a2db0cd228a165d81e1a56b97de65b6b67","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4657389834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"881adb90c14ca001a2fd948d0e8df0a2db0cd228a165d81e1a56b97de65b6b67","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4101738859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"893a3f3e93093c211b9d69c9bad46cfd062dd68bf59a8a66cc73a89e2bf7b8b4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2645281257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"893a3f3e93093c211b9d69c9bad46cfd062dd68bf59a8a66cc73a89e2bf7b8b4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.17917435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"893a3f3e93093c211b9d69c9bad46cfd062dd68bf59a8a66cc73a89e2bf7b8b4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5334111598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"893a3f3e93093c211b9d69c9bad46cfd062dd68bf59a8a66cc73a89e2bf7b8b4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2088284228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"940e88d2863b08fef33593f03434918a91e63f56b09844ad87e21e34879e19f1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1928877924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"940e88d2863b08fef33593f03434918a91e63f56b09844ad87e21e34879e19f1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.196897951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"940e88d2863b08fef33593f03434918a91e63f56b09844ad87e21e34879e19f1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2096583557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"940e88d2863b08fef33593f03434918a91e63f56b09844ad87e21e34879e19f1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2751861472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"9444c2fa89c1c39a3c986a5835e7b3fc67294b2f1fdcbcd195d1c177db308040","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0407693762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"9444c2fa89c1c39a3c986a5835e7b3fc67294b2f1fdcbcd195d1c177db308040","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0407293747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"9444c2fa89c1c39a3c986a5835e7b3fc67294b2f1fdcbcd195d1c177db308040","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.040991885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"9444c2fa89c1c39a3c986a5835e7b3fc67294b2f1fdcbcd195d1c177db308040","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0414519032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"962a548a44f3c489b4fa0be291849a53e79b263882e982cd181050c116a40c33","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0401620772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"962a548a44f3c489b4fa0be291849a53e79b263882e982cd181050c116a40c33","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0402598811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"962a548a44f3c489b4fa0be291849a53e79b263882e982cd181050c116a40c33","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0405532037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"962a548a44f3c489b4fa0be291849a53e79b263882e982cd181050c116a40c33","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0410826376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"96e5b654a67f7c33ff69d4ea01f2ae51b5d3e54dd75e884149666f3370e449be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4504754798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"96e5b654a67f7c33ff69d4ea01f2ae51b5d3e54dd75e884149666f3370e449be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.430177177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"96e5b654a67f7c33ff69d4ea01f2ae51b5d3e54dd75e884149666f3370e449be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4030917058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"96e5b654a67f7c33ff69d4ea01f2ae51b5d3e54dd75e884149666f3370e449be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2585862907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"972c722f84801889a79da76d8bf6128196f25393fb6cc62d3244712569372bd6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0404394632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"972c722f84801889a79da76d8bf6128196f25393fb6cc62d3244712569372bd6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0412397948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"972c722f84801889a79da76d8bf6128196f25393fb6cc62d3244712569372bd6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0426235496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"972c722f84801889a79da76d8bf6128196f25393fb6cc62d3244712569372bd6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0444684225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"98f6110cfbc4f72a90304ece74ed2a8bfe6c1d4dc199eae34efc27e8f9c930a3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0420294261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"98f6110cfbc4f72a90304ece74ed2a8bfe6c1d4dc199eae34efc27e8f9c930a3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0434419819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"98f6110cfbc4f72a90304ece74ed2a8bfe6c1d4dc199eae34efc27e8f9c930a3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0456098677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"98f6110cfbc4f72a90304ece74ed2a8bfe6c1d4dc199eae34efc27e8f9c930a3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0483604765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0438519982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0463120954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0507186697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550556412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a9cd13e76f65efaecf94ef9d0a245ee2ebaf32533229f3bfbd0ff3466509e98f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.159072055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a9cd13e76f65efaecf94ef9d0a245ee2ebaf32533229f3bfbd0ff3466509e98f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1906252029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a9cd13e76f65efaecf94ef9d0a245ee2ebaf32533229f3bfbd0ff3466509e98f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4834067822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"a9cd13e76f65efaecf94ef9d0a245ee2ebaf32533229f3bfbd0ff3466509e98f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1953154884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0411720922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0441722108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0492305109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563012905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b790bf6d6145da160304a3660aebacb5b64aa9d3e405b5847c7bf122b3dbd481","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0438543982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b790bf6d6145da160304a3660aebacb5b64aa9d3e405b5847c7bf122b3dbd481","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0452355529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b790bf6d6145da160304a3660aebacb5b64aa9d3e405b5847c7bf122b3dbd481","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0473078348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b790bf6d6145da160304a3660aebacb5b64aa9d3e405b5847c7bf122b3dbd481","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0503018532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b9da3ef2599e110e9db865b3f96a9685295efa58f13d4a75f5e687e4037abe83","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0440995079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b9da3ef2599e110e9db865b3f96a9685295efa58f13d4a75f5e687e4037abe83","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465599052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b9da3ef2599e110e9db865b3f96a9685295efa58f13d4a75f5e687e4037abe83","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510605832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"b9da3ef2599e110e9db865b3f96a9685295efa58f13d4a75f5e687e4037abe83","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554623573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1483cbc3653995ed0ef1e87236e31e15e50c1d36184cc931e3da3464a7f9cbd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0818244999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1483cbc3653995ed0ef1e87236e31e15e50c1d36184cc931e3da3464a7f9cbd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0914628811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1483cbc3653995ed0ef1e87236e31e15e50c1d36184cc931e3da3464a7f9cbd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1094944943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1483cbc3653995ed0ef1e87236e31e15e50c1d36184cc931e3da3464a7f9cbd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5965516569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1815663b5427dd027aac7f5cc1ae23d11b700bf596e9500c6cd834c21423b24","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0408720803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1815663b5427dd027aac7f5cc1ae23d11b700bf596e9500c6cd834c21423b24","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0420696277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1815663b5427dd027aac7f5cc1ae23d11b700bf596e9500c6cd834c21423b24","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0442803151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c1815663b5427dd027aac7f5cc1ae23d11b700bf596e9500c6cd834c21423b24","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0470809259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c513d49a1eb02d16f2d3c6fe29d7a4d392240b02704b81382bd942c589620752","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521247253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c513d49a1eb02d16f2d3c6fe29d7a4d392240b02704b81382bd942c589620752","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553548531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c513d49a1eb02d16f2d3c6fe29d7a4d392240b02704b81382bd942c589620752","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558223716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c513d49a1eb02d16f2d3c6fe29d7a4d392240b02704b81382bd942c589620752","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579924574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6ae95b390b51644d30a7a4a089b6a8f92a53fbf2bd1726e77c43365d6f0ebb5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0745257113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6ae95b390b51644d30a7a4a089b6a8f92a53fbf2bd1726e77c43365d6f0ebb5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0810604697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6ae95b390b51644d30a7a4a089b6a8f92a53fbf2bd1726e77c43365d6f0ebb5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0824263237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6ae95b390b51644d30a7a4a089b6a8f92a53fbf2bd1726e77c43365d6f0ebb5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1410020404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3004064447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2918813075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547893405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2793256109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c73f49b142df1c99713d0e6d585dc74d9243f57a234f768b09cd8faf2c807e1c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0412493952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c73f49b142df1c99713d0e6d585dc74d9243f57a234f768b09cd8faf2c807e1c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0422394344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c73f49b142df1c99713d0e6d585dc74d9243f57a234f768b09cd8faf2c807e1c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0446123282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"c73f49b142df1c99713d0e6d585dc74d9243f57a234f768b09cd8faf2c807e1c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0473904381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429318618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0421568311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0426018487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"cce7e997c9730ae040bf13bd97aa1e5f54ac13e4c5ba183812e7fef149b03335","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0443144164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d0282c2bfdc55698d49c300febe489d0d84378f6410e8b95e072286fd4ee9a39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0417694158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d0282c2bfdc55698d49c300febe489d0d84378f6410e8b95e072286fd4ee9a39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.041849419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d0282c2bfdc55698d49c300febe489d0d84378f6410e8b95e072286fd4ee9a39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0422422345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d0282c2bfdc55698d49c300febe489d0d84378f6410e8b95e072286fd4ee9a39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429302617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d2fd7076d508b0892c62ae491a016c31d15553d9af3e9da5e45e2b7c13a866ac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0417793162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d2fd7076d508b0892c62ae491a016c31d15553d9af3e9da5e45e2b7c13a866ac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.043241874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d2fd7076d508b0892c62ae491a016c31d15553d9af3e9da5e45e2b7c13a866ac","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0454394609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d2fd7076d508b0892c62ae491a016c31d15553d9af3e9da5e45e2b7c13a866ac","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480395638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0408819807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0417020131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0430847678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0450804467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"dcf4c26235ad98ef014c5180b45ab0396a58a325003127d8a0c2bd1cb22fdd6d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0697361218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"dcf4c26235ad98ef014c5180b45ab0396a58a325003127d8a0c2bd1cb22fdd6d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688696876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"dcf4c26235ad98ef014c5180b45ab0396a58a325003127d8a0c2bd1cb22fdd6d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721406169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"dcf4c26235ad98ef014c5180b45ab0396a58a325003127d8a0c2bd1cb22fdd6d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0816808943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e487c129147954c97df847e0f83678a5459f94fcb7416403bd9a2cdb23922e26","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847238244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e487c129147954c97df847e0f83678a5459f94fcb7416403bd9a2cdb23922e26","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3823651861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e487c129147954c97df847e0f83678a5459f94fcb7416403bd9a2cdb23922e26","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040857902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e487c129147954c97df847e0f83678a5459f94fcb7416403bd9a2cdb23922e26","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752634503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e80e2885f72b6e23cde12bc0f586708fa968a853b3ff69f6f7bb11c671113c7b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2999384261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e80e2885f72b6e23cde12bc0f586708fa968a853b3ff69f6f7bb11c671113c7b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3351930204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e80e2885f72b6e23cde12bc0f586708fa968a853b3ff69f6f7bb11c671113c7b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2773822341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"e80e2885f72b6e23cde12bc0f586708fa968a853b3ff69f6f7bb11c671113c7b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2757021676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f3ab570eb7a356d8d677264640094b1cda6aff7313a217ff4beeb9b8aa0f6545","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0448619381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f3ab570eb7a356d8d677264640094b1cda6aff7313a217ff4beeb9b8aa0f6545","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.048096966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f3ab570eb7a356d8d677264640094b1cda6aff7313a217ff4beeb9b8aa0f6545","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534597781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f3ab570eb7a356d8d677264640094b1cda6aff7313a217ff4beeb9b8aa0f6545","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0475045426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f699973d07a3cfbd2f7943ed5ea7f69c3b086c7931dc91ee541aec7281237366","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0462795962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f699973d07a3cfbd2f7943ed5ea7f69c3b086c7931dc91ee541aec7281237366","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480596666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f699973d07a3cfbd2f7943ed5ea7f69c3b086c7931dc91ee541aec7281237366","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509100823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f699973d07a3cfbd2f7943ed5ea7f69c3b086c7931dc91ee541aec7281237366","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542207182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f7c50a64ac0e5c1fe250d1ff9df9fda3754b73c141f34e17a2133dcf2c80f927","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0411818926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f7c50a64ac0e5c1fe250d1ff9df9fda3754b73c141f34e17a2133dcf2c80f927","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0423419384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f7c50a64ac0e5c1fe250d1ff9df9fda3754b73c141f34e17a2133dcf2c80f927","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0443898194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f7c50a64ac0e5c1fe250d1ff9df9fda3754b73c141f34e17a2133dcf2c80f927","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0470229236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f8c4630bd0774438cad39062456985c15faf696b3d7093049663634dba2b120e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714973915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f8c4630bd0774438cad39062456985c15faf696b3d7093049663634dba2b120e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778543429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f8c4630bd0774438cad39062456985c15faf696b3d7093049663634dba2b120e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7450692307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"acled","id":"f8c4630bd0774438cad39062456985c15faf696b3d7093049663634dba2b120e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784431662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.274682137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1696472024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0557602691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.046352122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077360048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1850986037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654802535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531224648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3235817902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1984031155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0738405842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2999042732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2036687345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0738505846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584200743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2661291342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2130508992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0776313591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614101927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2881385534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1871847095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1248528017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0774033261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216524063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4759613043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077880744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614501941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3442761219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.164121605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0738705854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058210066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2958298615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2171321209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.072850645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581625641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077355837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.174153652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656402599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531300651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3068804882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2236499502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771532152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061420293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3089526362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.183684949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0734606692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583700733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.264781032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2416095277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0868911003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686704797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2950319516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5770108351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771208139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614101936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2371458891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0781007527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0619002119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2134296168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2102681783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736005747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584000985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2877551023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2076441695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723805264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581325629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2815277768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1829033356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721905189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581001617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3524686625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2052991812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1183448443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993617945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2712036144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1879588863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726305363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581201624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.272425204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2289606409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0872002426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686604803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3341011248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1679408473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0768409028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614025933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532174814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1596648701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077350723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614601945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3251210608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1481706713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766506953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0613752912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3174190167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2065303463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0773146265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614226931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3441775344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1760055888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0728431447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581701654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2797158337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1614165924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658403688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531698667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2324549939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1357149894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653803506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530800631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532998969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1653491317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736305759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058412474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312771765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2137247012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0728606454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554399565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3015779699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.21012596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835909698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656303595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119368982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736405763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058412574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3550529586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1719272727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723606256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581227626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3418071742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1538449581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0731407565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583226705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3583718371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1961262772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726106355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581526647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3598474413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1489913811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766007933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583824738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2930199457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5806038615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726605375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553899545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3711723434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3280806391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.379582676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4056463272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.268857276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926607544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3502415156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3681422235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2741018187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.389762393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.425854506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4390550281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2903727366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2572669052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4000834868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4369249438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2088259227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3803327057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4938871967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5247285164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3291486999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4317168478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5148780268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3208503532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1729645044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2987894807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3751774024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3519026309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.317804649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3842442919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3482214357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3098274563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2537532722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0870811078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0616726029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.44628052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5532463586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.08233092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629101519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3201824259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137590512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680828565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2354535728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1740464841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0885711668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656902618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3036196717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6086017335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7886889558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692047733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3893301301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2816737591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5359919234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2445791119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.330222127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2828236104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2576846636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2386501331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748610416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3254256921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3899297168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2263553158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2548603557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3069229274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3511499602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2242550401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2596024822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3061522028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3517570956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.361910572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3224953196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093941495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3289077418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2865477844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3004328166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3171126953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.332754799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2537292317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2710241248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3097763774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3615649302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2830450579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016165237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3288185087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3672924428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.248743684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821688899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3226629343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3716044552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764855919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.309548978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3342499194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3600028335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2041109944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1728621724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1477767873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.13364129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2836717823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.324419359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3557671617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3814853053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.407691954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4918579377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1406944707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.118887782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3506299926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.319223611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127180832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3397663519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.307659294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3257654508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3492997029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3671698162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2763879661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2988186012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3006244301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2943442921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899859203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2846906517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2782821339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2745045708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821036979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.305932253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3344537806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3635141207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2933154589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2816477461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3226641372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2541971162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1408528722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1691231602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2225692143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2955862839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3012286691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3186153046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.341696942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3648243405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3370017291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2935667413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3085002039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3146205859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2803219863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2711590601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3105964869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2885845605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2717977875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277452013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3449041116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3707331481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2572043662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2756950263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2837393399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2942500359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.348443574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3125559278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3264565777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2858520606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3089286907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.285556086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.235163732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2138848131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.176818715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1949994906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2170170962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2503504905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2013906273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1694721482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1413104283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1226841971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635449483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.286327069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3115992142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3313609596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1445816386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1662156713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2030402945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2563254867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4260514964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4314361145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4347695427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4416608654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3440306273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3245466259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077897744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3456273322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3381443839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3302061166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3316383902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3535779297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3763781407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3984956247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1029283102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1221434558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1357307371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1548988368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2474596625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.30239423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.375479792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1944633103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3023095462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2905618913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2681150484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2605564937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3564231777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3610965287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3627509821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3509879324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.276358467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2820493138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2883367901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2935160917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.25336004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3136273528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876925154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2626849904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2712907599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2470961895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247546548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2021216592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1831119585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2059095927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2332077726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2763005979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.275962112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571500776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2477434296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3720788345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.257945768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3158508193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3005876753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2667646692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2741955386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2846066055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2222336865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506863241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2969648542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3639754373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1514085674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.172388842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1955737821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229437171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2521166852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2616915761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2770012149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2877426824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.376570081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3113239169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4017621509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.305473849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3300174306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3231664197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3351642426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.338908423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726756985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3447111651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.259292521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3748390417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4260866985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4896041387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1420350843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2727879624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826863573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3285435981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050593611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.238085524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424805821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.256259652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795816305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.292438725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.259256695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303509022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2170495589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.371346654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3524966862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3356155964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3185719053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060555705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3210810972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3372481374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3509247193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388825202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2760238779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2976393067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3193938003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2081328901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1746888773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425443775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1278691804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2802636918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2684202867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2266747249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"fred","id":"WTREGEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2004009081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311929534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1343530784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1398732997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1484236589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311156494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1324560024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1345238841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1376094062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.131233055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1327234169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1351356333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"16dd2567084591088af911d551c22e004d2dba82db5d31be3f51de8f8b3dd607","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1388361547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1314153612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1352455127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1419932796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1526637016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0883336574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972515101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104520321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1307062551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.130373045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1312256537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1345538853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1434759382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1476235022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1487535469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1626740975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1891990641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"27de3022128eaef18b823e16c7d1ca4d670abb8f82815882d8789a53ba8561b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311480506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"27de3022128eaef18b823e16c7d1ca4d670abb8f82815882d8789a53ba8561b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.132523105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"27de3022128eaef18b823e16c7d1ca4d670abb8f82815882d8789a53ba8561b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1347359925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"27de3022128eaef18b823e16c7d1ca4d670abb8f82815882d8789a53ba8561b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1382041297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.131183152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1343132758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1397443906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1477862087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1304130216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1312430544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1345437849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1434751382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1668142612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1669742675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1739545436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"3ff636ffa947b8f0f3adb55964cd75294716abea2c27933ad89d7abff42d633e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1886176235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1306104294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1314279617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1348358965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1443758738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1313954614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.134873399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1417857723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dafe704f93a6fbc6b0165298e12bd3a175f63592ce7b7684cf664edd64f5395","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1536037397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517222454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0685735009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964296026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1255573305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311555509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1342956751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1396439866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1475985012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1536037387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6776844657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5836807479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.465526075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311431514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1341932721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1393864775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1468668763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143816646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1313921005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1573442719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1987699935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311930524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1343037754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1397881923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1482035252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311854531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1343155769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1396335872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.147414398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0915012826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5974812937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5044776155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4197142632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.13037312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1312134532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1345259842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1435259402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0882008371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7147813646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6110780296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5168065728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.099424096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1164971712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1429933191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1793472569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1314429623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1354834221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1441958667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1658442228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1301730121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1302533153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1305854284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1315729674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311855521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1343231762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1396636874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.147516098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0719505094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792107966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1011816655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1254626258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1561864409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1593168647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1647491795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1728044981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311531508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1312931564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1348338964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1416483659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1303755201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1308255379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1317569747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1339291606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1973581567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1934322468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2071466375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.264255078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1302231141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1304331224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1310840481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.132826717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1561165381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1592077604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1645210705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1722370757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1325856075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1366381678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1436060433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1542542645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1301532113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1302638157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1307183336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b622a1686336779a1c33398b9760a102059ee40948b70aa5633559d1575b90fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1320466862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563598928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714004877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6795845408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5896209828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0910512648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998916145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6565736308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5936235359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311855521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1343156759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.139753691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1478248102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1206083445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1504526055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2070476718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2065208758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0474845418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582699684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0877711351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1321728912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0699129288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.076820702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984115559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1216724759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0438093965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0593400107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0973215128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1406732273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1030517395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104720329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1208024415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1338829588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2388771112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2536076938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2846689223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3251105217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0450294447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054569822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0745806134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"d8ef6ba516706b350a1a40149914034def70217a6152904b4b7be5b9c4c64ce5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1095719973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1754846041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1725444878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1742245543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1828948972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0848710204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0911612692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999616172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"dd47480f263c9c3b464c70be23fb2e4f08e3f223e44884d74a8dc654be0d2fbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1114420713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1704622758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6278261217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2271566477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2796587241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1328355174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1385035415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1482460268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1619840702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1564339507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1603144041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.167516789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1791172478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1303680198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1311491507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1343998792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1430950231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f1a686347066a696609d38ed5b7aa593625685f86fa80c507a8c996aa39a97f1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1738246385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f1a686347066a696609d38ed5b7aa593625685f86fa80c507a8c996aa39a97f1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748289331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f1a686347066a696609d38ed5b7aa593625685f86fa80c507a8c996aa39a97f1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2014181298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f1a686347066a696609d38ed5b7aa593625685f86fa80c507a8c996aa39a97f1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2239229198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1234826475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1338454573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1482635275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1679243051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2796691088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3254258861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3528445957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3858422601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818133749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2702978403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2606936969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3597813783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2644792018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514404772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3616679261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3855690646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3132159886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3368326608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.365492122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3969427004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529443728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2379134166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3797702145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4025450471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2721121385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2593773189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2372361091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2258078287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3043391439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2580426886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3522811492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3799811027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2714491259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.253777538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365377943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2184074941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3069299857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3266624935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3552253992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CDW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3904972748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2800782359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570899621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2326536292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2092698094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3287890907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3451101717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3671612575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3899400389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3094522174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3262844069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3459907108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.373108075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.265214386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2484194012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2381951867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2290602893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2641181041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2489353766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3657348612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CPRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3934356706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3065693804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3202045975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516035952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CRL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2402248214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646259515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2524091475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2312782319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.210728869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304426716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685445188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3261789466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466286524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2707046523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2670052745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2656113658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2659005385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3051510356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.324950271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2369166429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3845348826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2625991328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3339751511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2431925488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DELL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.364550744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821046589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2563263198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3602765413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2054219463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31995432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3369115008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3555631263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.381367599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2590799916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.323126043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493013408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3483782295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3463308704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3471182108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3405551515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DVA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3403567953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3094051329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3302551141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3582258721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3845770502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2816524538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2595996413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3463822454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3701493307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3027544088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3163062184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2504514724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2343832703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3152945459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.338918627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.224567178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3986893754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3094512424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481470402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3708370723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3979220282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2968322926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753400189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2688257285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"FOX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2638143183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547841044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3630562456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3692033604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3702530861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GRMN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574542872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GRMN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.241163549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GRMN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3632303059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"GRMN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.370287774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2662705139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2489827683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2263089216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2099406937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3071718885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3173902272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2578196592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.253267589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3165001838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2458072671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2249688595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2025512114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2934229347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184969549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.34777639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2194066593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"INTC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852134473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"INTC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2606774902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"INTC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2335363837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"INTC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2087247732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2727818166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2666813904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3237453515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3334549806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3061901978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230778611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2472196976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2338002111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3018743181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2566206952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2344468684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2138128964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.271570987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2576147756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2468337624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"KO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365595475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3152658886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3413481467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2213597918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.205244421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3033257833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3245592135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.347379469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3731030488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3503598964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2482427034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2484115595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2498490423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MRNA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2652599856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MRNA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2720696998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MRNA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2870984812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MRNA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3110679902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683253181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2512354678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2334170537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2152990261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3811366041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4063846257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.432307809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4598563184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2710362785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2536668445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2344076863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PRU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191268223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3037037275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2666036891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2511713761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2426074416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2969105748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3128348287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2541448149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2418402205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3067574552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2565501439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2387387097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2195336013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835962588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.272789186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2539709366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"QRVO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3635039202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2755084315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3318945847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3558219985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ROL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2127677951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3099367157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3314067967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3574531366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3844219197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3025030301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2630663955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424079433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2298462586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3680254479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3603522907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3596627027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3758964873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3224017314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.236959743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3858114997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"SYK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4214109368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"TGT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689945357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"TGT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3261805342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"TGT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3442508059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"TGT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283805749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682458749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2600574371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2606122857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"UBER","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3356904937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"VZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3013890568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"VZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2966603845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"VZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2954290051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"VZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2928251782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3167687364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.328786458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3575928516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3881731353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0388a8962c51d5923e46e862e11b2c4e1c91120cb822172cbe1ee6948fe8077a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435567573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0388a8962c51d5923e46e862e11b2c4e1c91120cb822172cbe1ee6948fe8077a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0469456528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0388a8962c51d5923e46e862e11b2c4e1c91120cb822172cbe1ee6948fe8077a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526801789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0388a8962c51d5923e46e862e11b2c4e1c91120cb822172cbe1ee6948fe8077a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607263093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"076252bac7b43dd18ee7db10dd99f0b47fde0b2eb4b1c98232ddbb1fde757884","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4928335541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"076252bac7b43dd18ee7db10dd99f0b47fde0b2eb4b1c98232ddbb1fde757884","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4625650689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"076252bac7b43dd18ee7db10dd99f0b47fde0b2eb4b1c98232ddbb1fde757884","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.47497514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"076252bac7b43dd18ee7db10dd99f0b47fde0b2eb4b1c98232ddbb1fde757884","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2030746419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0f07891857f427648e4e6633f88c8555a21c820bbe2df81a707f2ee658a3f944","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0951366328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0f07891857f427648e4e6633f88c8555a21c820bbe2df81a707f2ee658a3f944","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0951629651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0f07891857f427648e4e6633f88c8555a21c820bbe2df81a707f2ee658a3f944","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.104905696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"0f07891857f427648e4e6633f88c8555a21c820bbe2df81a707f2ee658a3f944","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0946850949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"1130449a96eba1a771560509bd1fb23e71b93bb4bd0b4d0af37a426da91ffd0c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424594668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"1130449a96eba1a771560509bd1fb23e71b93bb4bd0b4d0af37a426da91ffd0c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0425495743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"1130449a96eba1a771560509bd1fb23e71b93bb4bd0b4d0af37a426da91ffd0c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.042792676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"1130449a96eba1a771560509bd1fb23e71b93bb4bd0b4d0af37a426da91ffd0c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0431391069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"192c0715666e1585e6b2b3ea30c4af0c2fdd4225b995897dc89703cf0b3f3d20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702222731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"192c0715666e1585e6b2b3ea30c4af0c2fdd4225b995897dc89703cf0b3f3d20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702266096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"192c0715666e1585e6b2b3ea30c4af0c2fdd4225b995897dc89703cf0b3f3d20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702306328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"192c0715666e1585e6b2b3ea30c4af0c2fdd4225b995897dc89703cf0b3f3d20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702779365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0443427266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0443430599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0444991649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0446443815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.043546091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0436025332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0436810857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"29463a1985c42b6a8ef03bc12ea0e8d3e60486d94302c9f4d004e587418ecebc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0437838595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"35e89bafa203b77fa24b0530842e6d6eee5ecbbdc02d3e79df14f5c3db54b4ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3178236074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"35e89bafa203b77fa24b0530842e6d6eee5ecbbdc02d3e79df14f5c3db54b4ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3491969384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"35e89bafa203b77fa24b0530842e6d6eee5ecbbdc02d3e79df14f5c3db54b4ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2964728852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"35e89bafa203b77fa24b0530842e6d6eee5ecbbdc02d3e79df14f5c3db54b4ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3860848319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"3ecc72dacee2a2b4ca03ab7bd3bf40fb8403a55d7ac30905f99104bdecdd562e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2378350629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"3ecc72dacee2a2b4ca03ab7bd3bf40fb8403a55d7ac30905f99104bdecdd562e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4115505046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"3ecc72dacee2a2b4ca03ab7bd3bf40fb8403a55d7ac30905f99104bdecdd562e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4202946077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"3ecc72dacee2a2b4ca03ab7bd3bf40fb8403a55d7ac30905f99104bdecdd562e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4261277134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"425295e683656375e3fafef64e549bd04dee2cabd5afe5ebb055b1e86c6e2546","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0427150134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"425295e683656375e3fafef64e549bd04dee2cabd5afe5ebb055b1e86c6e2546","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0427732367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"425295e683656375e3fafef64e549bd04dee2cabd5afe5ebb055b1e86c6e2546","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0428566835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"425295e683656375e3fafef64e549bd04dee2cabd5afe5ebb055b1e86c6e2546","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429705857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"446f843e39d849a37dd2f59e3ce1ec612709bfd7cfaaa7762e4db8da8e42cb7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5184796642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"446f843e39d849a37dd2f59e3ce1ec612709bfd7cfaaa7762e4db8da8e42cb7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5107581878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"446f843e39d849a37dd2f59e3ce1ec612709bfd7cfaaa7762e4db8da8e42cb7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.507355765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"446f843e39d849a37dd2f59e3ce1ec612709bfd7cfaaa7762e4db8da8e42cb7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4928011109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"49803a43a0e323040582abdc3009ef783278ed9370aebeb8abad206110df1e4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3433532776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"49803a43a0e323040582abdc3009ef783278ed9370aebeb8abad206110df1e4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2454125449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"49803a43a0e323040582abdc3009ef783278ed9370aebeb8abad206110df1e4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3535444354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"49803a43a0e323040582abdc3009ef783278ed9370aebeb8abad206110df1e4b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4157836727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"4d5299262cdd63960ec1fef62ee0893f238443fcb914cc3fa1c92e4f15b61cc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435566473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"4d5299262cdd63960ec1fef62ee0893f238443fcb914cc3fa1c92e4f15b61cc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435566473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"4d5299262cdd63960ec1fef62ee0893f238443fcb914cc3fa1c92e4f15b61cc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435578728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"4d5299262cdd63960ec1fef62ee0893f238443fcb914cc3fa1c92e4f15b61cc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435578728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"51f89029c887797ea0c28703d519a0d772a2d1602ba6d43e02df7fc5032cdcf9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0790289282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"51f89029c887797ea0c28703d519a0d772a2d1602ba6d43e02df7fc5032cdcf9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0910422371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"51f89029c887797ea0c28703d519a0d772a2d1602ba6d43e02df7fc5032cdcf9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1253256767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"51f89029c887797ea0c28703d519a0d772a2d1602ba6d43e02df7fc5032cdcf9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1134539179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"535a16d7079e064f16984e5ab8912262a7566f7a973d5d644b9df81b411381b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0427232365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"535a16d7079e064f16984e5ab8912262a7566f7a973d5d644b9df81b411381b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0427814597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"535a16d7079e064f16984e5ab8912262a7566f7a973d5d644b9df81b411381b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0428982496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"535a16d7079e064f16984e5ab8912262a7566f7a973d5d644b9df81b411381b9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0430031766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0439232985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0439788519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0441264017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0442281755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"54592d021e4c47b32cef8f3f0cfe99389ab285c0e3cdcd761589aa8b9746208d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064939256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"54592d021e4c47b32cef8f3f0cfe99389ab285c0e3cdcd761589aa8b9746208d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723443003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"54592d021e4c47b32cef8f3f0cfe99389ab285c0e3cdcd761589aa8b9746208d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0746940974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"54592d021e4c47b32cef8f3f0cfe99389ab285c0e3cdcd761589aa8b9746208d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649650327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5881418e834b9c3b029ca2eecc88a10d4b9a873aa2e3f43207ad11a7ad5cffc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0695556313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5881418e834b9c3b029ca2eecc88a10d4b9a873aa2e3f43207ad11a7ad5cffc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755235095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5881418e834b9c3b029ca2eecc88a10d4b9a873aa2e3f43207ad11a7ad5cffc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0727999491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5881418e834b9c3b029ca2eecc88a10d4b9a873aa2e3f43207ad11a7ad5cffc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0764371405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5965b7f8bce2c98d94c4a89e5a2532c705b8249d861d9943321606ac1896adbc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0427983424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5965b7f8bce2c98d94c4a89e5a2532c705b8249d861d9943321606ac1896adbc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429761133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5965b7f8bce2c98d94c4a89e5a2532c705b8249d861d9943321606ac1896adbc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0431875494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5965b7f8bce2c98d94c4a89e5a2532c705b8249d861d9943321606ac1896adbc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0436214214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"598c7e24ae08d3f0ac0ac4ebec715643c65f3cd114018860361c92ac2515a7cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435037593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"598c7e24ae08d3f0ac0ac4ebec715643c65f3cd114018860361c92ac2515a7cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435605349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"598c7e24ae08d3f0ac0ac4ebec715643c65f3cd114018860361c92ac2515a7cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0438636342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"598c7e24ae08d3f0ac0ac4ebec715643c65f3cd114018860361c92ac2515a7cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0457092288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5cf6bb8a0c7ef53f1e36107ad116cbf905b4cc315afdaaccd70bb36986a6c454","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691287591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5cf6bb8a0c7ef53f1e36107ad116cbf905b4cc315afdaaccd70bb36986a6c454","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0724455185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5cf6bb8a0c7ef53f1e36107ad116cbf905b4cc315afdaaccd70bb36986a6c454","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0739374603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"5cf6bb8a0c7ef53f1e36107ad116cbf905b4cc315afdaaccd70bb36986a6c454","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0748732016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"60235dea3e58753b071b01083e32ef495124a139a870fe41bdc19ea6f0dc954a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3925419132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"60235dea3e58753b071b01083e32ef495124a139a870fe41bdc19ea6f0dc954a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4089199406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"60235dea3e58753b071b01083e32ef495124a139a870fe41bdc19ea6f0dc954a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4366300812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"60235dea3e58753b071b01083e32ef495124a139a870fe41bdc19ea6f0dc954a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2203530786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"63dec05c3692efa4131528ffa5f670c06a033ca49d449ddd485a88772f0663eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.097987856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"63dec05c3692efa4131528ffa5f670c06a033ca49d449ddd485a88772f0663eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.097987856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"63dec05c3692efa4131528ffa5f670c06a033ca49d449ddd485a88772f0663eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980017443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"63dec05c3692efa4131528ffa5f670c06a033ca49d449ddd485a88772f0663eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980017477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098087851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980322976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980349642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980171871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"6f626eb1eab4e34d6061a384d9f7862af9708bba47e7430c11f1f04c33b4cbea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429788931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"6f626eb1eab4e34d6061a384d9f7862af9708bba47e7430c11f1f04c33b4cbea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0428567024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"6f626eb1eab4e34d6061a384d9f7862af9708bba47e7430c11f1f04c33b4cbea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0428874823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"6f626eb1eab4e34d6061a384d9f7862af9708bba47e7430c11f1f04c33b4cbea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429687902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"84e8a33553bca96a7d38ce48abb191d8dbbfbb87c8a0d69b55ab1247bfa2a828","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707360297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"84e8a33553bca96a7d38ce48abb191d8dbbfbb87c8a0d69b55ab1247bfa2a828","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0431231075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"84e8a33553bca96a7d38ce48abb191d8dbbfbb87c8a0d69b55ab1247bfa2a828","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0433121001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"84e8a33553bca96a7d38ce48abb191d8dbbfbb87c8a0d69b55ab1247bfa2a828","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.043556535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"896f6a521a1cd845180d2a5d957efea9ec169f6b3ddcffff8955c649159e7e96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0704445966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"896f6a521a1cd845180d2a5d957efea9ec169f6b3ddcffff8955c649159e7e96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0704445966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"896f6a521a1cd845180d2a5d957efea9ec169f6b3ddcffff8955c649159e7e96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0704445966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"896f6a521a1cd845180d2a5d957efea9ec169f6b3ddcffff8955c649159e7e96","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.07044493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"89e5083c8ee7303d24a63bd25fe5ee8e4bb04f874d23072979a737436f2b0947","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1776931049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"89e5083c8ee7303d24a63bd25fe5ee8e4bb04f874d23072979a737436f2b0947","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1487304298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"89e5083c8ee7303d24a63bd25fe5ee8e4bb04f874d23072979a737436f2b0947","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1481391196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"89e5083c8ee7303d24a63bd25fe5ee8e4bb04f874d23072979a737436f2b0947","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1460536454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8ac832074fa141c02de481956bf1d26b7317bce6f4063da42e3f0f2cee3d3ef2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1443819329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8ac832074fa141c02de481956bf1d26b7317bce6f4063da42e3f0f2cee3d3ef2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1500940433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8ac832074fa141c02de481956bf1d26b7317bce6f4063da42e3f0f2cee3d3ef2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717637674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8ac832074fa141c02de481956bf1d26b7317bce6f4063da42e3f0f2cee3d3ef2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0701971619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424566891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0425134647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0426926799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429943348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8f241f64a166d7972b06fa09c6dd04cea5162a8ec1db4b5c8610c1354958a098","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707333631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8f241f64a166d7972b06fa09c6dd04cea5162a8ec1db4b5c8610c1354958a098","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708568028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8f241f64a166d7972b06fa09c6dd04cea5162a8ec1db4b5c8610c1354958a098","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710519063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"8f241f64a166d7972b06fa09c6dd04cea5162a8ec1db4b5c8610c1354958a098","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0712231218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9101f21194ebeb198969cb5ed205b28e84da8007453817b4bbb6bd4268da3431","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0858747721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9101f21194ebeb198969cb5ed205b28e84da8007453817b4bbb6bd4268da3431","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0880604646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9101f21194ebeb198969cb5ed205b28e84da8007453817b4bbb6bd4268da3431","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0858036638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9101f21194ebeb198969cb5ed205b28e84da8007453817b4bbb6bd4268da3431","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1230716536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"92d16801fd9e1a5ae9572c79cfc9a6c7b3cdc6407ad25c95fe324e682825f776","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.071247232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"92d16801fd9e1a5ae9572c79cfc9a6c7b3cdc6407ad25c95fe324e682825f776","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715151104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"92d16801fd9e1a5ae9572c79cfc9a6c7b3cdc6407ad25c95fe324e682825f776","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.072069311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"92d16801fd9e1a5ae9572c79cfc9a6c7b3cdc6407ad25c95fe324e682825f776","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0730417453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1237458506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1259413204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1260673155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1257319953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9d7e66fd0fa8d02b91ba55f5f2917802d1d8e521a7eec2a773d816d196d632f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2348741785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9d7e66fd0fa8d02b91ba55f5f2917802d1d8e521a7eec2a773d816d196d632f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2050420096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9d7e66fd0fa8d02b91ba55f5f2917802d1d8e521a7eec2a773d816d196d632f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2008770611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9d7e66fd0fa8d02b91ba55f5f2917802d1d8e521a7eec2a773d816d196d632f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1968248859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e344c349f723a4af7261b56c0c9ed253c106fa0956f2c5d3703ee5e5d6a4da8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.044431612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e344c349f723a4af7261b56c0c9ed253c106fa0956f2c5d3703ee5e5d6a4da8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0479984728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e344c349f723a4af7261b56c0c9ed253c106fa0956f2c5d3703ee5e5d6a4da8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054176565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e344c349f723a4af7261b56c0c9ed253c106fa0956f2c5d3703ee5e5d6a4da8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0628557817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e91997d235cb3828f5ef0c0d32632929cfe5f9c8861c287eb0e5de5857a7443","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4653110728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e91997d235cb3828f5ef0c0d32632929cfe5f9c8861c287eb0e5de5857a7443","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2154421592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e91997d235cb3828f5ef0c0d32632929cfe5f9c8861c287eb0e5de5857a7443","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1970255447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"9e91997d235cb3828f5ef0c0d32632929cfe5f9c8861c287eb0e5de5857a7443","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1785578211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1017443749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.101327169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1042207227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084513354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a1903c1a07479a8c52b1c9f52b03a59762179b9d88dacab3df7901d1d41c1516","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0433215442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a1903c1a07479a8c52b1c9f52b03a59762179b9d88dacab3df7901d1d41c1516","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.043414985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a1903c1a07479a8c52b1c9f52b03a59762179b9d88dacab3df7901d1d41c1516","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435436467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a1903c1a07479a8c52b1c9f52b03a59762179b9d88dacab3df7901d1d41c1516","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0445476075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a3e5164333e7fb0285a70c86caf5ca32175f03e08707256e5acdecefc6f66dad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424873557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a3e5164333e7fb0285a70c86caf5ca32175f03e08707256e5acdecefc6f66dad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.042543269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a3e5164333e7fb0285a70c86caf5ca32175f03e08707256e5acdecefc6f66dad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0427105681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a3e5164333e7fb0285a70c86caf5ca32175f03e08707256e5acdecefc6f66dad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0428907832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a770921e12578eb8ea7e703a0f1ab513e4807f113d4b94f1037beb1b99e82330","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0473537202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a770921e12578eb8ea7e703a0f1ab513e4807f113d4b94f1037beb1b99e82330","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0481092462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a770921e12578eb8ea7e703a0f1ab513e4807f113d4b94f1037beb1b99e82330","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.049231758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"a770921e12578eb8ea7e703a0f1ab513e4807f113d4b94f1037beb1b99e82330","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510211326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710336848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0441575116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0457258948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"aa2a35a39dd50a7e459b477a32c9fd9cfd897901c9431d8492af6f6084cfdcf5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0474772709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707276967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708609137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.071044351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bad17045f7fa6c1dffcf6834aa4f962602ec354b47364e81aa9fa22734e4c567","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0712831195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bafb5f387bd9eb8d558e2f34ded05172c69fb2d41ac3b189b62199c9f0042d5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087767383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bafb5f387bd9eb8d558e2f34ded05172c69fb2d41ac3b189b62199c9f0042d5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2043818131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bafb5f387bd9eb8d558e2f34ded05172c69fb2d41ac3b189b62199c9f0042d5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2087077554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"bafb5f387bd9eb8d558e2f34ded05172c69fb2d41ac3b189b62199c9f0042d5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1792373502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"c53896700f630837efea6a99bd40c9581d32e4b9a8835fe55e6d95234a0e8bf6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0493870852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"c53896700f630837efea6a99bd40c9581d32e4b9a8835fe55e6d95234a0e8bf6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0557641697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"c53896700f630837efea6a99bd40c9581d32e4b9a8835fe55e6d95234a0e8bf6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551237502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"c53896700f630837efea6a99bd40c9581d32e4b9a8835fe55e6d95234a0e8bf6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0504222671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cbad8021385851407236d46b1fafe5e78966cb0c5035f52d969e24de1ebf8d68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0763663655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cbad8021385851407236d46b1fafe5e78966cb0c5035f52d969e24de1ebf8d68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787969373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cbad8021385851407236d46b1fafe5e78966cb0c5035f52d969e24de1ebf8d68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0843339434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cbad8021385851407236d46b1fafe5e78966cb0c5035f52d969e24de1ebf8d68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0887148835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2110832182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2259223057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3237428208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3240038106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0481896875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0495035251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0515117801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549033144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0709665763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0753824039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0734993663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778284195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e323255417b051f6086cc3afd73811b5df5a18073dacc8845911e4868edb5978","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109943472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e323255417b051f6086cc3afd73811b5df5a18073dacc8845911e4868edb5978","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1170198898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e323255417b051f6086cc3afd73811b5df5a18073dacc8845911e4868edb5978","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1336862393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e323255417b051f6086cc3afd73811b5df5a18073dacc8845911e4868edb5978","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1985282638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e3e725eb02935c09f998cf84d68f302915cf79fa84877535262ee3e263d9ff6f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424429407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e3e725eb02935c09f998cf84d68f302915cf79fa84877535262ee3e263d9ff6f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424984941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e3e725eb02935c09f998cf84d68f302915cf79fa84877535262ee3e263d9ff6f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0425764111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"e3e725eb02935c09f998cf84d68f302915cf79fa84877535262ee3e263d9ff6f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0426766072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ea6df93328c2ac025c2e85e6e8e7f3ffbe287a69b267a91e394a3825f60963e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0454147958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ea6df93328c2ac025c2e85e6e8e7f3ffbe287a69b267a91e394a3825f60963e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461374343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ea6df93328c2ac025c2e85e6e8e7f3ffbe287a69b267a91e394a3825f60963e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0459309979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ea6df93328c2ac025c2e85e6e8e7f3ffbe287a69b267a91e394a3825f60963e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461675442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0432454361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0436481981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0444063908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"ed0d14ec9edc1c0e2c3e74388b2e26f87b1b9bef77d52ff821a94060a1e5edcb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0454759046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f0c322e138695ed94003cb146aa9fcad652b884dd25f71c442cd5510307997c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2768002087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f0c322e138695ed94003cb146aa9fcad652b884dd25f71c442cd5510307997c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2930884618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f0c322e138695ed94003cb146aa9fcad652b884dd25f71c442cd5510307997c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3157320224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f0c322e138695ed94003cb146aa9fcad652b884dd25f71c442cd5510307997c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3365423212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f12443caeb59f949548292c51ad75701260e0d93c4b76b003cfa44d5aa594a0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0443537261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f12443caeb59f949548292c51ad75701260e0d93c4b76b003cfa44d5aa594a0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0462897617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f12443caeb59f949548292c51ad75701260e0d93c4b76b003cfa44d5aa594a0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491757602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f12443caeb59f949548292c51ad75701260e0d93c4b76b003cfa44d5aa594a0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526422915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f173608b7721fd8094e681ece6cae5d3a51043a55f317775d2830975f4898ef1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424373576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f173608b7721fd8094e681ece6cae5d3a51043a55f317775d2830975f4898ef1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424376909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f173608b7721fd8094e681ece6cae5d3a51043a55f317775d2830975f4898ef1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424382465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f173608b7721fd8094e681ece6cae5d3a51043a55f317775d2830975f4898ef1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0424426907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0713333397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714040036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715026664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0716262172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0440567377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.044701157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0459822181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480889137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0433759865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0444092795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0460758811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0484202341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0437873038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0442098429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.045123585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fa23cf1ab8ae4be34faeccb0c0453b19974158a7a1cb10657339b11a869ce089","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461990986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fd391776f0c81914a2aedd5a5e06b3fa5f74c5769a82bcfbeb3b606c9117abf1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5870658759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fd391776f0c81914a2aedd5a5e06b3fa5f74c5769a82bcfbeb3b606c9117abf1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4467206873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fd391776f0c81914a2aedd5a5e06b3fa5f74c5769a82bcfbeb3b606c9117abf1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4055618494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"acled","id":"fd391776f0c81914a2aedd5a5e06b3fa5f74c5769a82bcfbeb3b606c9117abf1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.338489023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250776509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0953500333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615642766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526922907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2386852775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1227621213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618753756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2433834709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1187624025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0885408914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0802412154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109769664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1385794394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0604893186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523980799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2150090598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1042513882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615558325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524759647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2794858608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1732166212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623752449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528535055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2757106312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058209794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512867889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0452092483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1750318133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854743433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607643078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524535211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1654215589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765413656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509895783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0451649167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276458999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1030027284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0484535661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0438870777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1623753508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075152524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0471758382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0434900932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2023219693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0845965998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0484980088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0437898593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1729125584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1108177985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0893186377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0804634278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1186397154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526950672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2262074889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1045847085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658417763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537783583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2052211734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1019736993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673778286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534895918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2066333116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0973738788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658084443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537646921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2065175711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801523288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0474314949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435094269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1924126597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1223729031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1051625748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004655359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2061717257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961517043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061822711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526982904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.158495492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1018737032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0881994592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080186773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1764229232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.081007851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605976477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523896358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1680279373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103640412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0882187973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801884408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1103291264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129411479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1049181399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004293163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1695279064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.085141023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485092306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1582029669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0705860356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0482647957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435926725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1823801816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129399379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0884965587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801969949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1955650109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788079369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0476982623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435537863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.226167961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1029403282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617197161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527006237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2090576585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618225998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052731288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1852098592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978071953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610865175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0493869752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2278341888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.113695464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0891298673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0804412076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1564894602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0633196525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0476427089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435093169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1937447169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1282060087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0880631312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801968826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1814422253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0845744896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0613420919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526645162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1929820737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1043291629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0648973687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534978137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3379089346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4034619314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3806961533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3983552512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2556336616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4030908717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4575042664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4971138315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4659951144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4578316203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5734775174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.614300924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3047413941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3029103006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.366241162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223650968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081107326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.394851741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4340829584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4452493003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127154242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3650352982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3145765119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3516195105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5350243622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3772167807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3387866781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3412532485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2327899043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5391464337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4902696542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4987693224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4313332002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6778087507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927962797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0871631663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.230982939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6687716744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0934678786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812745072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4600536331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5917352964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1224739216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2128892981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2014758268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1274615933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0951739647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2922526768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4354810002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283408363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1898246337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2809227241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917087771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3041534056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2982446142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3229706633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3058836376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.294641643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.284843962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2865956259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827281832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2799102659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900842701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4352659508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2691517873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2906775952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2543954657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3600593985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2789535203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2824431197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2542917381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2294961565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2619060994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2958162807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.253624269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2326419259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2573011568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.298639838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2623052762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2783630395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3030101238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3303557399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3585949483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3074266799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133574594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.26559435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3416867424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1959994267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1745145677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1561613619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CARACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1500361575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3136951236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601068594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3509520136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3777824875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2060123536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.234276338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646101339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3054265446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2594465717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.271713012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2915934435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3097926594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2632738753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2429887011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3775146634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4032206346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109676918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3265328636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3478259539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3556505666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749370968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2988498555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3237634762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3502409258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050928252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2985651347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2978382763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2830812699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1680465361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.218369925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2073943762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.221150293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2650584888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2930601193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3191090316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3535186586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2735110123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764012262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2820344078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2910801311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2804669702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087507712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3195063659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3431479601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2834544538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722813699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2655279791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2620496106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.269858364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817851068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2860509915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2805290119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722969228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2408267104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2133981732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1816812166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0722160089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0826290366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999438001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1234692837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.160389768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.187748176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2017462675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.224234301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3899728314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2063188995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1764689779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.150374453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529941556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2608918994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2655526605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701700795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088061155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1392428638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1616909965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2002582221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4494234515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4277555979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4001769324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3896995694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3108258577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3064453793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093587627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3665352682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3834999874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2235846943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3126382513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353989286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2801562754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3025998733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1124315212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1051408754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.101206149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986195877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1108268328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085627804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1026051195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0973721047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4570731686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3995536498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2885664127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353616561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3452127471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3257975772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3682889138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2105704182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3406284838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3144722543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3079145975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2928072131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093808455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2985503929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.275410793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570107473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.322244935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2292131184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1983250231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1747765787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2661090348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2910188655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3383408434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3828462107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3015275686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2625890893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2304439635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2094100434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3620198988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3536811822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2803261637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2867264277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2592139816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2963810538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3381013163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3969696263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2156139956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2273426504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2349982373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.256769253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3873490305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2794186987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3023796708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3058460865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.364406248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2489399428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.248684184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2478403759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3741088854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3427837583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3490044936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2053776037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4987366899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2734436578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994913962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3285679791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3592029234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817548734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2430112908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4451314046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3323825008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.281246523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2484087376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1140696465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6563579066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1415847567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1453105372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2532587565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2907299833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123086298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2836591851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2444293012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2812410012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2431003283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.194715022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4163725522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4539464474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5131229972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1439830137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775386684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3426964389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.352527565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3605610115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2295002293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3773374236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.344180381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683024769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3075982949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3083520146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3367888283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3659456841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2872979945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2967669999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263075843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3607765476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317284482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2233163532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.227154314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2421489949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424334534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425231165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427916616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"03db6b3b50eb1718de13b4537b3b01187947d1743d8c25c4e7348a05ba1f476e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1435577428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424168985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424172318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425242276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"05829cc0dbcd637e42685a7d0ae170776a4180717f3c59f98296c4c79b873905","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1426647777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424915622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1428137719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1444219313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1505190267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8259119271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0821864791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7181358801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6339518348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425332273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427193311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1433609727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1448053608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0430427773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0449208151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0483775691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536866952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424307879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424866746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1426986664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"2d3ba574c5379ea8bfe688f6466fd7e65bc185c9f7e6726ce58dd3737766d704","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1431999801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424638966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425614484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142897102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.143627629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0436370875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0454203512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0478647002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521978644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424528971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425504488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1428531037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1436175183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0712176213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596152039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1178416821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0892868685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0468258519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0462318751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0463787582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465008923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424638966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425614484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142897102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1437165144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1428387709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1438053998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.146038646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1504384743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0770001185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0804452063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0850632483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0923629633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424392309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142495451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142724442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"4f174f02cc1dc51a814862c775553c464dc71518ef09d1f97731cd70b2e8444f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1432456439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424555636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1426000024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.143133315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1446863654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424971176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142930434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1441498308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1466164012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0894043028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062233143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1293637776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1687848754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424390498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425285352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142800178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.143436052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543533358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667306305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0907963578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1259616519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0428121197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0440981806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.046934181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519089868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427305529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1429499888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1434280812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"6e904795f6684d5595e6fb64257c2ac44a4a2c3e786131c4147454d369c45bfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1447730287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424665632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425304496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1428415486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7137b3cce09a895b6d044bcb106e43d258bf323aee0b44ab216ed41935587790","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1435054115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424445641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425417825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1428167718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7accf0926f9385302631d5c0816e9142e0e71f42d8520770e6b51877bee84938","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1435834085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7ee3e51cece25f65f1f145a1ac60fe3c4ceb0931b8b96831e389d3cbcc7841f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1441081658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7ee3e51cece25f65f1f145a1ac60fe3c4ceb0931b8b96831e389d3cbcc7841f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1488385367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7ee3e51cece25f65f1f145a1ac60fe3c4ceb0931b8b96831e389d3cbcc7841f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1660823081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"7ee3e51cece25f65f1f145a1ac60fe3c4ceb0931b8b96831e389d3cbcc7841f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6623740476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1478240121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.184567373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912329787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3661189446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424972287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1428277713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1444165982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1489611986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553532968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632307671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0716193286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0819647391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424472306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142544449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.14283366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1435304106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767635722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0853632365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.106184646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1431054272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715109995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0739081281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784746165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0902297133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0872631624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0958294947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1090067581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1269171701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427748845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.143938728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1467052866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1592047988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1048735861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1193396881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1235950776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1293837405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1713709905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1782040572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2057918692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2359521288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424528971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425834475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1429059905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1438176216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424945621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427059983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1437401802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.148121898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0911963422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0928518331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039180679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1242061648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1435055226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1457054368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1527384956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaecf17eba0528130dfd71f71621796694d7bfa83e3deaa049f579deb69e72b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1714603204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"adf5c1e65d1b1b0e53916adf2ed2b538cfe14b2e16da0991e2932b4e51dd7911","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142419455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"adf5c1e65d1b1b0e53916adf2ed2b538cfe14b2e16da0991e2932b4e51dd7911","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424887857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"adf5c1e65d1b1b0e53916adf2ed2b538cfe14b2e16da0991e2932b4e51dd7911","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427833331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"adf5c1e65d1b1b0e53916adf2ed2b538cfe14b2e16da0991e2932b4e51dd7911","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1438749804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987182708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1009292956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1067179586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1161287024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425082282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1428304379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1441970512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1471941564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982428829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1202334025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1301166646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5557525689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1215756344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6697063423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2036252871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2559565778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1338168301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1477048481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5105024645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.509147274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424472306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425781144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1429425446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d29cfe6522b9f89ae964739bd2fb256f33d5eced5b84359cc9600dfca4c02c8a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1444960395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0555418551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0830756055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1671730679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2055028181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2145915257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514678641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852998769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109655418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427387748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1430165417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1437054037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1451720132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7205058213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6629028763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2052807781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2387239171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1807817343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6130537505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5288014835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4433381527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424532304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142544449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1428083276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1435221887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2910442911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2881896454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917928574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048356567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514726282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3539963562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3772524751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3980881808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2484715699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3710652325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3920207669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AJG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4091168982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2692131262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685661277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2760061543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"APA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2771140682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2543578873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3398419104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3467079377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3576865629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750174873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2600299769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3480418314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3721055517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2739152979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.330112473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3525575417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3766672643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2494866293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3551909985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3578825526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3676503623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2949044629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.273411018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3317635243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3498797782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2838430255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275654334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3598025078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2242950175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896763537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127236597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3374581629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CPAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.240771537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3394137373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422675242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2308949796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CRWD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2195545595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896288939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2902799917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087768818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"CZR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3206162435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2584584199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516361167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2449125712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2345020566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2677202785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2521547256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.376621089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2071919323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DGX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753579271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DGX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2758456603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DGX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722418984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DGX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2637712286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.265554695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3398081244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3637032636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3867475744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2699019667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3260611392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2539597158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2486802006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2903357701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3013493914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162141032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3174535801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27273175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3284078894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2600719805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.257905232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772109356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3182823646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.338564233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3651569669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2605989879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3333144455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3404346449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3467054168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2784642455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.273209526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2578824733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2507558892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2556307321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2424127387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2357441299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"GM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2211053303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2710036463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3270971164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2497249436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"HOLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2381298771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2778261718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3170030103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353192949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2450959901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704981435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2591070401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3548843522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3754589057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704841691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3265997332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3472429135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3708520593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.277420919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3135103137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3281559626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3380431592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2575765231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.265245414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2730237978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"KMI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2865743515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2692297216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2622973566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2444275373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LLY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352053757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2762027826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642060104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2501211401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3580478769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2720297533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3337068871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3594502438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2236195503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2718369702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2550848724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2372589787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2158755731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2671529212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3294726475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3386676135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3497797814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703887841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2608981861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3366168065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3470987011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2717632355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3320369641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2374187353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"MTD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2222317717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633134325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2532665856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2353391594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.214985858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2935155031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3083406704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130659742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"NFLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3255636278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2723242174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2647222131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3282480452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3452505347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2656326087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3339813998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3526255147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3773811929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795270847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2715403455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3331930899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"PNC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2492231152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"POOL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2769353213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"POOL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2808103231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"POOL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2981339611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"POOL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2998665749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2756971197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701685896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2604998614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2486106399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3855672963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3856344458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.382084553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3909680666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2765635774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701633517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3314176041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2487196933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3238402098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2845013733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2937775651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SWKS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3091540509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2845427834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916092336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2911081807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040716227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2936213077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3219481727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3487376078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3803802228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795471525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2686746264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.329605238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2483493197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2784859856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3175768693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615648949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TECH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2468099487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3586888859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2504489384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2616947617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.268184841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2674137485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3265596706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3323876946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.336605453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2746728377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3283726486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3472535591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2272700699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685203967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2448873039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2202232228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.418931081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2707648751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3220219976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2545561241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479556545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2557390726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3518140042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3793797813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2011392842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3203499619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2427814415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2167847222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1949543943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6530299193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003893279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1233200298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"03a512e4fc8e601c0d473e06d72a35eea580441eacfde46391d75dead4f420b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1089274434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"0dfed41d5b80fd0cb749ef54c3b62ca9e4ab90ce199c2ad8d9b779037fbf57c3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0630631064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"0dfed41d5b80fd0cb749ef54c3b62ca9e4ab90ce199c2ad8d9b779037fbf57c3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638227301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"0dfed41d5b80fd0cb749ef54c3b62ca9e4ab90ce199c2ad8d9b779037fbf57c3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655629031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"0dfed41d5b80fd0cb749ef54c3b62ca9e4ab90ce199c2ad8d9b779037fbf57c3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680907856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105723276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1106447313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1161078925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1279195875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0471843312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0482445688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0496220172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"1e8a5e81ac4eff11e11bd1697307922b7ff9b6e08d1d37c1db897b41d0b13b8b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513878663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"212f531093f2fe0e8cfec3591ae5038d1c0d11b6b75f16b0eddb766b979ddc7b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3232138349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"212f531093f2fe0e8cfec3591ae5038d1c0d11b6b75f16b0eddb766b979ddc7b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3449426696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"212f531093f2fe0e8cfec3591ae5038d1c0d11b6b75f16b0eddb766b979ddc7b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.352959431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"212f531093f2fe0e8cfec3591ae5038d1c0d11b6b75f16b0eddb766b979ddc7b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3465189661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465959398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465741187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0466770127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.047080578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2508374781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3525427123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2523486641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2185060ba9b2f58bec2ac6579a8717d4d6dc4203eb6cc916cd17225ce53e665a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3146507222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0456723895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0458694383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0464837498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0475649174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1146734556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1198034771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1275520328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"2b0af6268af4a66ce42a63806de2890a3afd731d4f6a225ba3fcd677ce81a9d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1226694546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3020f82ccded2f61b438ae7304da05098605e4f70a7a261c49f8aabdc1e6a1e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0456035065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3020f82ccded2f61b438ae7304da05098605e4f70a7a261c49f8aabdc1e6a1e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0456726183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3020f82ccded2f61b438ae7304da05098605e4f70a7a261c49f8aabdc1e6a1e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0458217812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3020f82ccded2f61b438ae7304da05098605e4f70a7a261c49f8aabdc1e6a1e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461168756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485322406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0487675822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.049840449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520522781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3bc422d52f93246002a3425632561130af98a602d243a18c7f2f5e82b436d967","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1327852477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3bc422d52f93246002a3425632561130af98a602d243a18c7f2f5e82b436d967","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5363346244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3bc422d52f93246002a3425632561130af98a602d243a18c7f2f5e82b436d967","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1931241697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"3bc422d52f93246002a3425632561130af98a602d243a18c7f2f5e82b436d967","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1606231133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"473739fe22871b88fcfc8d996aaa9c53dcbb02c087206692e7ef1355d0f6718f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461914409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"473739fe22871b88fcfc8d996aaa9c53dcbb02c087206692e7ef1355d0f6718f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.046202101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"473739fe22871b88fcfc8d996aaa9c53dcbb02c087206692e7ef1355d0f6718f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0462170847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"473739fe22871b88fcfc8d996aaa9c53dcbb02c087206692e7ef1355d0f6718f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0462683146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614369331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638312568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635064103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"49dba3f6f7c5ca3332d34d40c12fc0db07347519a039307af49daea8798947f3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652702155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4a8d299b5cf8be9a1979273a6d5740453efadbd28976e46896963f8738bc8545","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637093432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4a8d299b5cf8be9a1979273a6d5740453efadbd28976e46896963f8738bc8545","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065162418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4a8d299b5cf8be9a1979273a6d5740453efadbd28976e46896963f8738bc8545","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067555683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4a8d299b5cf8be9a1979273a6d5740453efadbd28976e46896963f8738bc8545","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073640246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0463737155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0460162256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0461496226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"4dbbeb0825a605f55dd9d7c3838b2323a2fd2ff488e088147c7ca4e99046d342","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465575811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"524b0478c524b80e74ce4a8f3c5b19cc0980418581e5d19ee30539c2a0c375bf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2963515674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"524b0478c524b80e74ce4a8f3c5b19cc0980418581e5d19ee30539c2a0c375bf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3144433921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"524b0478c524b80e74ce4a8f3c5b19cc0980418581e5d19ee30539c2a0c375bf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852692035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"524b0478c524b80e74ce4a8f3c5b19cc0980418581e5d19ee30539c2a0c375bf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3058552233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"52ca6b6e4b38a184b77b9a06ae75db1b30762eb5f7838d2fa4596430555e993b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0611481556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"52ca6b6e4b38a184b77b9a06ae75db1b30762eb5f7838d2fa4596430555e993b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0619971794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"52ca6b6e4b38a184b77b9a06ae75db1b30762eb5f7838d2fa4596430555e993b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0633391488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"52ca6b6e4b38a184b77b9a06ae75db1b30762eb5f7838d2fa4596430555e993b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656356269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"56e6cb8efd8016906e1de891ee994fd7e3365cb8264305dbe813d3119dc80dc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0472192687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"56e6cb8efd8016906e1de891ee994fd7e3365cb8264305dbe813d3119dc80dc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0471428154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"56e6cb8efd8016906e1de891ee994fd7e3365cb8264305dbe813d3119dc80dc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0473956039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"56e6cb8efd8016906e1de891ee994fd7e3365cb8264305dbe813d3119dc80dc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0478006768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6780d561f985ba882c9513c0be2c115922ff2f6b6a57409b38b5be3a46e204da","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634531222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6780d561f985ba882c9513c0be2c115922ff2f6b6a57409b38b5be3a46e204da","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615418091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6780d561f985ba882c9513c0be2c115922ff2f6b6a57409b38b5be3a46e204da","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625776947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6780d561f985ba882c9513c0be2c115922ff2f6b6a57409b38b5be3a46e204da","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0645111301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6c9255010941f6762f24096f66df89bdd1a02e3e302f5702b1e4a01252d87db5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629542949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6c9255010941f6762f24096f66df89bdd1a02e3e302f5702b1e4a01252d87db5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0626443291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6c9255010941f6762f24096f66df89bdd1a02e3e302f5702b1e4a01252d87db5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638501977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6c9255010941f6762f24096f66df89bdd1a02e3e302f5702b1e4a01252d87db5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0650434777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6f4d823f3463ec32ca8461a180de0956f3be017cdac9f8292c0f369c03f453e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0464811154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6f4d823f3463ec32ca8461a180de0956f3be017cdac9f8292c0f369c03f453e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0469445936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6f4d823f3463ec32ca8461a180de0956f3be017cdac9f8292c0f369c03f453e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0481090532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"6f4d823f3463ec32ca8461a180de0956f3be017cdac9f8292c0f369c03f453e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0493802675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"715149aa6310841192f07abde9a0c88e354628b46009155b12947652b5f1febc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596036056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"715149aa6310841192f07abde9a0c88e354628b46009155b12947652b5f1febc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639991788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"715149aa6310841192f07abde9a0c88e354628b46009155b12947652b5f1febc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0713126061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"715149aa6310841192f07abde9a0c88e354628b46009155b12947652b5f1febc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0829400862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2790404799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2986456669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2546314119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"736d28112a540fbc6990a229c185d51b8aae9e724403cfb3ac4b6b2b45f166fa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.234915943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7a9662b3982076dfbcf944b2a87ffb0b70586d1c9d16d0e6565cfd41a6c87f7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0796919745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7a9662b3982076dfbcf944b2a87ffb0b70586d1c9d16d0e6565cfd41a6c87f7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0810199454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7a9662b3982076dfbcf944b2a87ffb0b70586d1c9d16d0e6565cfd41a6c87f7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0883029055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7a9662b3982076dfbcf944b2a87ffb0b70586d1c9d16d0e6565cfd41a6c87f7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0914476757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7c0826ceff3c1c5b9c54d4baaad26af69539b284d11d192966bd1de52a8b6053","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607525971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7c0826ceff3c1c5b9c54d4baaad26af69539b284d11d192966bd1de52a8b6053","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0611002057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7c0826ceff3c1c5b9c54d4baaad26af69539b284d11d192966bd1de52a8b6053","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596496602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"7c0826ceff3c1c5b9c54d4baaad26af69539b284d11d192966bd1de52a8b6053","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061469518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"80e9b944dc4dbf3d85acc62b66a9ea924872ce939bca810fa74f0be902bd8ce7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2495931009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"80e9b944dc4dbf3d85acc62b66a9ea924872ce939bca810fa74f0be902bd8ce7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2405261614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"80e9b944dc4dbf3d85acc62b66a9ea924872ce939bca810fa74f0be902bd8ce7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2590045317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"80e9b944dc4dbf3d85acc62b66a9ea924872ce939bca810fa74f0be902bd8ce7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649665201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"887c6db80cbbd1592bad675e72497a9d9730bc0746265d2f099a7412e48d437f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0794602642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"887c6db80cbbd1592bad675e72497a9d9730bc0746265d2f099a7412e48d437f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0897201307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"887c6db80cbbd1592bad675e72497a9d9730bc0746265d2f099a7412e48d437f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0997860187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"887c6db80cbbd1592bad675e72497a9d9730bc0746265d2f099a7412e48d437f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0781251765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0497454595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547164397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618530042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"88e8fc8302c47b3a8258e7ba032302ccb7afafd8892e1d8e62a7dc45c64393f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0716466869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714782349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0562506231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0567603315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9127732d9421311419209f0e16a68dbce070c15a210bdf238391de73b190626a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580316028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9838b0de9d5e3e34fcbb8959a23f07211e0d2f9ba5e97d360fb36385ab9a9327","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0791332721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9838b0de9d5e3e34fcbb8959a23f07211e0d2f9ba5e97d360fb36385ab9a9327","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0791570336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9838b0de9d5e3e34fcbb8959a23f07211e0d2f9ba5e97d360fb36385ab9a9327","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795364182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"9838b0de9d5e3e34fcbb8959a23f07211e0d2f9ba5e97d360fb36385ab9a9327","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800985178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a3d3642dd3fa06a603e9c5bc3375eb3e7311be5e912fc7783b5a264ca5f618b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631110417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a3d3642dd3fa06a603e9c5bc3375eb3e7311be5e912fc7783b5a264ca5f618b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0661598813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a3d3642dd3fa06a603e9c5bc3375eb3e7311be5e912fc7783b5a264ca5f618b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707314498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a3d3642dd3fa06a603e9c5bc3375eb3e7311be5e912fc7783b5a264ca5f618b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767691209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0478780481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0487311156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0500919129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"a555bb018c8a4006de405ebe06bdc5fe0a6c55958c8220894fae4e1ea108195e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516032919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"af283189eab35fbe54e992751ff4f4e6ea26295bc4f7f0bc508652e9a88a1c19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.050643772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"af283189eab35fbe54e992751ff4f4e6ea26295bc4f7f0bc508652e9a88a1c19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516377798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"af283189eab35fbe54e992751ff4f4e6ea26295bc4f7f0bc508652e9a88a1c19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537715441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"af283189eab35fbe54e992751ff4f4e6ea26295bc4f7f0bc508652e9a88a1c19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563730215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"afe81dfc1d70eddbaf80e8f7c2af20580ad51ac60ab1d343c661f45ea8c5be5f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0613120668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"afe81dfc1d70eddbaf80e8f7c2af20580ad51ac60ab1d343c661f45ea8c5be5f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0477028254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"afe81dfc1d70eddbaf80e8f7c2af20580ad51ac60ab1d343c661f45ea8c5be5f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491394799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"afe81dfc1d70eddbaf80e8f7c2af20580ad51ac60ab1d343c661f45ea8c5be5f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512180946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2390183721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3880341442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3309952106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2660391516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0467282634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0472727327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0479524811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b6d41b2321c0a60a3528dae9bfcf8cd0a92f624ed65db7fd40ea5e2d403cf1ec","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485937632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b9d431ef55b703b511f5d5ab5996e61ab3b6c58a476df4bfcf52075ccfab2dbb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612587181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b9d431ef55b703b511f5d5ab5996e61ab3b6c58a476df4bfcf52075ccfab2dbb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615998568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b9d431ef55b703b511f5d5ab5996e61ab3b6c58a476df4bfcf52075ccfab2dbb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0624704242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"b9d431ef55b703b511f5d5ab5996e61ab3b6c58a476df4bfcf52075ccfab2dbb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064987899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bbd1e81785ef849b814fc628d05e9e15d5a13e70b1c4d93310c6e2dc00ce77d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621083289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bbd1e81785ef849b814fc628d05e9e15d5a13e70b1c4d93310c6e2dc00ce77d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618401821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bbd1e81785ef849b814fc628d05e9e15d5a13e70b1c4d93310c6e2dc00ce77d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631230403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bbd1e81785ef849b814fc628d05e9e15d5a13e70b1c4d93310c6e2dc00ce77d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649444273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0764917398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771752526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785533356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814344879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c12dd92e0dc4c0c79ce040c86e7d5b03486b998b13611d03f4a81cdb9b0177a4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767669447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c12dd92e0dc4c0c79ce040c86e7d5b03486b998b13611d03f4a81cdb9b0177a4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0742441646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c12dd92e0dc4c0c79ce040c86e7d5b03486b998b13611d03f4a81cdb9b0177a4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0758933354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c12dd92e0dc4c0c79ce040c86e7d5b03486b998b13611d03f4a81cdb9b0177a4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767832959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643186735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636814498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0677372958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c204288933f5b3470af9e85f92ac5c601d910bf0bf2906356f16b5cefc56cc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.07055322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c9bb93a3e74ced4b7add8f2100cdeaa46237c20255e9861c7d7ae5e4b159a542","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3189010761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c9bb93a3e74ced4b7add8f2100cdeaa46237c20255e9861c7d7ae5e4b159a542","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2884055629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c9bb93a3e74ced4b7add8f2100cdeaa46237c20255e9861c7d7ae5e4b159a542","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3654029386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"c9bb93a3e74ced4b7add8f2100cdeaa46237c20255e9861c7d7ae5e4b159a542","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2941282248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d0b89877a55aff1d755b286d4d6546142b0119a641bfea89f9acc72210190598","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664163235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d0b89877a55aff1d755b286d4d6546142b0119a641bfea89f9acc72210190598","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0703767684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d0b89877a55aff1d755b286d4d6546142b0119a641bfea89f9acc72210190598","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760940779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d0b89877a55aff1d755b286d4d6546142b0119a641bfea89f9acc72210190598","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0867650754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1080253148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1090099119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145321254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1199286468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0603295849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0603887549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605141533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606604338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.048924962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0484546023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0485341231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"d467cb9afbbb2b14a92c56d1eee3fa1087ba942a5a90260fa0df343d7ec4c91b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0497589294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"dd4e5a9974475ddbbdaf357aae738fb3e1be853b5d6e17b6f384a38459871f9f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3142645884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"dd4e5a9974475ddbbdaf357aae738fb3e1be853b5d6e17b6f384a38459871f9f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2961685288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"dd4e5a9974475ddbbdaf357aae738fb3e1be853b5d6e17b6f384a38459871f9f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2999911065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"dd4e5a9974475ddbbdaf357aae738fb3e1be853b5d6e17b6f384a38459871f9f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2317521161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608603503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608603503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608619384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608628225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e17e2e7cd9e6238f55dda4a87017b373ceb04a9d13047102ad336554831c95cf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614001183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e17e2e7cd9e6238f55dda4a87017b373ceb04a9d13047102ad336554831c95cf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615650883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e17e2e7cd9e6238f55dda4a87017b373ceb04a9d13047102ad336554831c95cf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620139423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e17e2e7cd9e6238f55dda4a87017b373ceb04a9d13047102ad336554831c95cf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625731011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e1c8b9c3a733ea28a201cf0c6db4a0301d2af390dd498641850055b4cdd4082e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465252876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e1c8b9c3a733ea28a201cf0c6db4a0301d2af390dd498641850055b4cdd4082e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0466140437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e1c8b9c3a733ea28a201cf0c6db4a0301d2af390dd498641850055b4cdd4082e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0468457857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e1c8b9c3a733ea28a201cf0c6db4a0301d2af390dd498641850055b4cdd4082e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0473035681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525670471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537456887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0572365666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620498465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e7c2022e7d0304edeec2ba366307f468df90284b13c88a9b2df82d097fc4a730","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.046343016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e7c2022e7d0304edeec2ba366307f468df90284b13c88a9b2df82d097fc4a730","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0460434231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e7c2022e7d0304edeec2ba366307f468df90284b13c88a9b2df82d097fc4a730","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0462381889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e7c2022e7d0304edeec2ba366307f468df90284b13c88a9b2df82d097fc4a730","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0467515137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e9acbd3edd3958af273c8aa3a22ce3d4d012ae9865771dac15574d2b5aa1faba","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2252960082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e9acbd3edd3958af273c8aa3a22ce3d4d012ae9865771dac15574d2b5aa1faba","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4387364273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e9acbd3edd3958af273c8aa3a22ce3d4d012ae9865771dac15574d2b5aa1faba","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2398993948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"e9acbd3edd3958af273c8aa3a22ce3d4d012ae9865771dac15574d2b5aa1faba","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2355988699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2279124592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2472334422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2252002882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2127675441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714929392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707873112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0694938071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ed3705edd7f81f409b48aab5718da6cc4d929c8fc8630ce3a9a6c072a381c0c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688413497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ee1af13e0e1b084471674205ce3f430629ab96a8241f7bb4731808ebbac23e3b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2546621175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ee1af13e0e1b084471674205ce3f430629ab96a8241f7bb4731808ebbac23e3b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2335180418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ee1af13e0e1b084471674205ce3f430629ab96a8241f7bb4731808ebbac23e3b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2536478767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"ee1af13e0e1b084471674205ce3f430629ab96a8241f7bb4731808ebbac23e3b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2151840673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0806112871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080920347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823523276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0850625723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.046804432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0466191584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.047256031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f5c078eb7c25a0b7571f39324bbf75febd7b32f40a887d89a2137a17c40ed050","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0482076935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f711e2325c82921b7b9d48c5dce1295c191a739b9b91533ad606abeeee6f6bb7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715713423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f711e2325c82921b7b9d48c5dce1295c191a739b9b91533ad606abeeee6f6bb7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0722586193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f711e2325c82921b7b9d48c5dce1295c191a739b9b91533ad606abeeee6f6bb7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0737152819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"f711e2325c82921b7b9d48c5dce1295c191a739b9b91533ad606abeeee6f6bb7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0756351874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"fc22a20eb8097689f94477098e3c6e5065be3ee90024a8349d16376c2dda8024","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2578517714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"fc22a20eb8097689f94477098e3c6e5065be3ee90024a8349d16376c2dda8024","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2569876316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"fc22a20eb8097689f94477098e3c6e5065be3ee90024a8349d16376c2dda8024","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.337569376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"acled","id":"fc22a20eb8097689f94477098e3c6e5065be3ee90024a8349d16376c2dda8024","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3512626279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4888381914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1166542784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0759106276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680068537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4230311985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1410977317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0856501398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0751630684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4897744754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1174773654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0942939495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1108077733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4272922832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0955572128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511314387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0473073912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4126766431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1092981165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0568948461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511927113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4186309408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1256398944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644353659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553184326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.388562453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1240561094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670171396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625115791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4739534853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1280367486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706241529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750125515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.404065857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1570805208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0933677577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0697109743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4725234248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129139857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714693535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659259071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3914773009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978464849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558711945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509363879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.399814518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1102960242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657351053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563592735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1985907997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0899820787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0561325779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0493984985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3700455697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1212562055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0575132483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514274213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5056100638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0942170781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556066943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509085086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4218228252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827199062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0507439962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0472309237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2438420561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1182342416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075074897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673404573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2087262547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0928338104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702873082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656260214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4177607307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1485708236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750573101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680947564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4356975507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1160277887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0561786899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522233628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4110662789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088773162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563144984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510423909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4199221554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1151041161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621967897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659352149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.445994418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1168534575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687876057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581428858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4410043704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.11490378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0597347088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519245722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4415928229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1286572826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0709228845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060454571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162105881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0566479322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511556566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048614669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1542976835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0668550986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0564690108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4764149116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1414174396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0704871685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657655725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4137225197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033265603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588124724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531142102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4440541708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1475045819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0849443942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803213179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.424286516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1555808022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0915224322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0775583291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1994972618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0840358802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0589369734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517834161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4564866455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1027641571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706811471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655758876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726316922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1393456235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0575061903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0498255688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4692316363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1191110901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0853032369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667214675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2377679433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2184473754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2187371189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2295522487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2249861876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2114364564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2212468649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2100245754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2786876786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5403599694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2333528804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2310990118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682354836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2272655612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1968613238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2000492069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4062029016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4990691124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5709905782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5894018383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835242089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646418003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2351688563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2204366603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4147567328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5140862138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1687441054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1705818742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2287018276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2029630614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2010715057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2048146216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4526658094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1545789423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1224843739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1193978243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2681899555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1786256802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0873616566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637540294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.449020382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0947035799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3000069962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2161602222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006954776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0732985044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2961354556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3608353859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3283785474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2551926299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2771306037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2958682474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148180101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3347402883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.285940027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312841073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3452405269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3780150807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2741288801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2999271911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3456059802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191932084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2921597294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3108760452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3294220723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3468398961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250583731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2227683623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1966223382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1655335145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3269652516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3542022064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264091522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMCBPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.207559309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2882964894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3116102958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2802546218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2586383911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892824649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3110092957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3413747105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2408448881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156852701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2602197738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2412378797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2197023456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2989300941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3292099172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.373252181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4141618087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2533550146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2139844892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1782441975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1524131753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3301841901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3378721568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3617847817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3961382776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2824692109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2655726793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3616075587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3944790277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2895399434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2995679462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3113989666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.328982454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2942361538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2927783066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.289451502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156324213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263836039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3107335899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.343666463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3721237179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3294557114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2596027804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2523361737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2477175866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2869746255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3289556838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3615824047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.399679972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3219534867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2982669448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.317887863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2578681593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0882729346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1167025386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1509904469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1919017441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1467047602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1783275066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1868240306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2042336082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726003399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.254357606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2336887608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2227938736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3431974562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3286377483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2397535599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.215591871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.093267909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1254934693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1591818939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1900225213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085879921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.137018751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1721403201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2228167023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3160283047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3107591515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3019949861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3549896434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3573577434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2528672485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3352179161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3205175524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3047536597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3234323347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2961700603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.273125909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2608140603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4154179088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3546844078},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3226276229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3772961198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3299702447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3167132536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3733279973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"ICSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4312629847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2679792002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2360585542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2035979209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1746427565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1828927803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2196618724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617325727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296393443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2805307067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547303486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.234092059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3004192218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2678068636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2405156403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2158481675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3289554252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3629563459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4014703039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4377757857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1636531021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.191637531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2261586081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2575277811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917489941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2990672996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077158162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3244489838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2948588999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048887383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042903906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.306650151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244132612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2043011313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1980114862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2232088047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4539376637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2552326916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3429039884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2487028237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3909047428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3709568929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3509051821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6081976945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1907013226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2234537006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516493518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2694540111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2299448649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1934637738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1680144152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3178447379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2599703359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2122397803},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1833976809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5551164733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5045313844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4648841239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4083514006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2981636166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3216237829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3533354877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3970823817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899617768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.268247437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2123540092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1658262781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2980988376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131693109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3289617725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.344214893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896400621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2977657376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3090701637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3154368504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2509129404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3396025387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3022575304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.338898461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.340625283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102510422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2797978876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2572605281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3550186302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1987772739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1563310866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1260200027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424698239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1604313974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1892994148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4612593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3069181471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3212331125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3335383764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3456389004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2920860407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3222700572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3059603325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134188809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2047448274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1906876929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1770436358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1690458604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2411364627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2490795675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4368182619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2882558914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2426780819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2277156455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2282517692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2595764528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2803661187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2660383218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2714352278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3001314003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.356677072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365202961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2180949877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2090348706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1131884515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098508428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986780705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990854255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1209638854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1308863186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1745226153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.233669022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631341653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0740251009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6858155926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5666018954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0845318682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982526668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5861209603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1984094413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132356216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1134256006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1140566485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1152970997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653140924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662777506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0671582416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074495431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985150749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098637662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989944902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998095766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1131885685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132420333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1134449541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138490898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0996964115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1014457476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1066221169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1148556779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"48e155af8c4210bd99ee995fb8f1db51314106460ad1e9ccc10f995e12f84523","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985488918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"48e155af8c4210bd99ee995fb8f1db51314106460ad1e9ccc10f995e12f84523","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988552697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"48e155af8c4210bd99ee995fb8f1db51314106460ad1e9ccc10f995e12f84523","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007172405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"48e155af8c4210bd99ee995fb8f1db51314106460ad1e9ccc10f995e12f84523","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1044444751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063090927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120095217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1239583781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1388216183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987019919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990377784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0997746969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1014890958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985256585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987686904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998931544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1023060643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132164472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1133010261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138403783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1155365438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985254238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986098868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990797884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b1e224969367d47ae6856711b3f9d1335671d330c6ad42ac64f2803cf2a350f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005454941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132253874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986625845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990949487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c604eaec56ff1219f73f41b0658aa89cf7d475dccf07e22c801da7563ef2bc5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003952172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0630228377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726123856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6482448688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5355387827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984802517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985001319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986745832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0992462259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985226006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986258833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988584605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.099536018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985138362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985806524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098778807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0992669883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6634627149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.658963212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5045802682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"65e14b1699d6774ea0ba11ba43d73369ac6a518f3cf6824222ba00fea60f58ef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4223599401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984961323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985494206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987698668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0995126083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1197110238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1279454082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1476667588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"793b2cd84b35aaf26c07464c21690ad171f2168f639513b9883d63234e515e03","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788255476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.094959818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1126446646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.147242266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2003887635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0705670501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755478218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.695943716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5673120527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985195439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986036551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989577378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c269b12b666966a05a857c28a03353e201138ff0bf33c40dbe5c2355eb2ed39","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999785191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1463786658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1576009554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1875211792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2359947655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.127651323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1384736568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1649192645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2067072948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0594412118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653052698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1101650196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e49af05cd8a90f078d5efc3b90bb7d4c13bfc65d8ae2a73a0ecc5a3e86f2d7a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1556541116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039275911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145099513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1305487676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1486878813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984845483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985745413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988240079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"a58ff0767d8dc9e80e3460a22cb79ef1a0162021635e3e1a7a6fe4a4ff44e24c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0996801933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985272618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986708783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991088887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003169906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986316468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991451194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003101084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1028156551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1131960383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132622662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1134211899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b4bd48aff8c75b95155fb345df00b665241b1547efb1fe49626e981ba48fecda","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138069708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986505276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989632578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0996453589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1012818269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985488912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098678818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991743515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1002922868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2048549811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2151145073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4900741522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"bfa6b327d587f5dce2600cf2a858cc901aa4f0856afb2b2ac36105a227280b73","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4062490638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985133657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1076241239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.620308659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5369624265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1243105156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.152278014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4528153989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3103150181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662342257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0798716385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6184024098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5681187088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6888805616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6097227676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4890172152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3822549053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985019558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986260009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990408392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100387811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0630879266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0728515538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.090653908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109178277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0996781782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103078332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1089627995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1198590663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098680759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098794217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993062193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.101315115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1816630029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1913266411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2292165727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2913920565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1188228866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.131574419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1874035451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588956467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986386466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987919238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0992285243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006403713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985430683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.09876722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0997832842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1035698659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1133840757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1146182923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.126204777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1564951952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e9ae183b7e834f6311488072a7cbe5c8f887bfd2629b42d59bc83caa0d32fd07","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993251584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e9ae183b7e834f6311488072a7cbe5c8f887bfd2629b42d59bc83caa0d32fd07","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.101877994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e9ae183b7e834f6311488072a7cbe5c8f887bfd2629b42d59bc83caa0d32fd07","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1076138897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"e9ae183b7e834f6311488072a7cbe5c8f887bfd2629b42d59bc83caa0d32fd07","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1179171632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7124514203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6472762679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5410997629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4431576424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132062307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132909154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987879924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"wikipedia","id":"fe9051a7ff708ea4d1ad5b41ccf44718d0a1d5345993dbd4c6d07038df3fdd7f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993848206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2968079196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2781197138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.253774161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"A","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3693301981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798335404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529994134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2214415622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AAPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1980252871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3099551749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3315085547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3617756547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3895264742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303691304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3236818465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2431188222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.223713835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876708479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.309135735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2856890671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2613957341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AMZN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.273923651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AMZN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3463098847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AMZN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2272002863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"AMZN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4205625065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2894790525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2797571153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633972398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2515118751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3108171917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3299913526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3658628663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3996015347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2868369157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3269107813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3576202874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.223180537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3268566546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119397098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3416431806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3730579505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3030882269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3245551636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3526095082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3780197292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2824289862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2630301955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2395918272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2199268296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3035992674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3210147935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.350044591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3804895031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138695006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3420143206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3752609506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4125216828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3141804742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3417330854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3736468508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4099381054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131256733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3360510812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361113777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4034902234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3059292496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.262952322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2390213191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3988314818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2760162679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307609453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3519767629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3801724334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3111218519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2624909819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2434084095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2172237188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2851645066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307799215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3673819013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"DXCM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4054521738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3074964071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633390529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2376444858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2152828112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EIX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3076230942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EIX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3245266883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EIX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2504751001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"EIX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2353103104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"FIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117187619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"FIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3333867837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"FIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3692800554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"FIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3982163404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3011206493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617804778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3705082526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2104073195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2799866211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610017768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352278113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2116264579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3046258952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3154085621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2640978905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2560461501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2862463551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633495415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2368703572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2146086348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3080412884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2738365399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2541010162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2321899489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2879606269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.267627976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.359601212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3923427984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2950308819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27657187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2591811061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"HSY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2359281709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2844108538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685327333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2487361012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3744645026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2921116957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2695234165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516567762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2329412844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2885824316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2733999168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3513667845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3818396478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3160372338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3469077925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2241701601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2024278795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2850405148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3333868171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3618436172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2173556089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3049111784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3285994859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3530271208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"KEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2280275441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3112102643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3310298487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3587278957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"LYV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3920179117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3107732282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3418342333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3834123963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.428085212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077529969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3206458788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3423507326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.370669781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3091684058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3330224017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.365646232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"MMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4012697693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3120895017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2579919731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2344584067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2136145526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2859125576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750305717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2619056746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2491253408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3063397207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701637177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2427152401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NTRS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2199312577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2848175137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3318224995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3581406047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3860889334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3104744677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3268618562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3520672424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2312853168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2910903331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.274102407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3493614041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"ORCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3807643677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.298645693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.315879506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3458108524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3788294826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3072576368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3227661092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3447377528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2370858617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2903048349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3136231007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275097359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2427949298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3111754383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2550346393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2340852263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"PWR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2107107341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2850739746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2706795152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525205431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2353150807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2962428252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3216118577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2526462155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2372064187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2884027392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3033088339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683712318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SOLV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2530371279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096263521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3251266428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3441355472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.36656706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093761806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3328537541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3599807184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3899386515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3049907713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.276817701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3407126719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2478482913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3055028419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2660654483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2428496244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"TT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2223076439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2800104515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2624694746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2417477347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"UHS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2241167038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2883193015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.262907029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2383011377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"VMC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.215706868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3057146262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2654317725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2470098872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2246769963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3082509659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2609345913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2380423487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2160411111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"083f66e07d74d628962b76e05defc427f50cc21ade66a6b775ea6af83ca833b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513545614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"083f66e07d74d628962b76e05defc427f50cc21ade66a6b775ea6af83ca833b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516437718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"083f66e07d74d628962b76e05defc427f50cc21ade66a6b775ea6af83ca833b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524816136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"083f66e07d74d628962b76e05defc427f50cc21ade66a6b775ea6af83ca833b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525292451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0782176041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646080844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0645375692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0645889771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0cce8e2e3c7450545404b68c54bef00a17e1d48b0bec8d863ca3780cea83c9dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0642649793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0cce8e2e3c7450545404b68c54bef00a17e1d48b0bec8d863ca3780cea83c9dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064967819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0cce8e2e3c7450545404b68c54bef00a17e1d48b0bec8d863ca3780cea83c9dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0665264631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"0cce8e2e3c7450545404b68c54bef00a17e1d48b0bec8d863ca3780cea83c9dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686431859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"11b57e99712b298f2a97104d10205dd0dcaf858960e5cf32d2b612a87c43740e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064299474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"11b57e99712b298f2a97104d10205dd0dcaf858960e5cf32d2b612a87c43740e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0647618725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"11b57e99712b298f2a97104d10205dd0dcaf858960e5cf32d2b612a87c43740e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635562455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"11b57e99712b298f2a97104d10205dd0dcaf858960e5cf32d2b612a87c43740e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063963741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"18e6bbf2ac288adbb5a18fa251494c80469f3a97d1e516aa664f1194b8b00dc2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511912588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"18e6bbf2ac288adbb5a18fa251494c80469f3a97d1e516aa664f1194b8b00dc2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513635745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"18e6bbf2ac288adbb5a18fa251494c80469f3a97d1e516aa664f1194b8b00dc2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052067159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"18e6bbf2ac288adbb5a18fa251494c80469f3a97d1e516aa664f1194b8b00dc2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529924744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"1f6ea2b11a7e82ec63828373f1492524c696b15cedc9322255de817f1c902e9f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3574094368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"1f6ea2b11a7e82ec63828373f1492524c696b15cedc9322255de817f1c902e9f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.286519992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"1f6ea2b11a7e82ec63828373f1492524c696b15cedc9322255de817f1c902e9f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2857199923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"1f6ea2b11a7e82ec63828373f1492524c696b15cedc9322255de817f1c902e9f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912042006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652691873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656488714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067009134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686279754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"24f48970b33655db3ef398f3f7e2b1312ff8f6a15ee8215caedefc18968d77ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2849515716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"24f48970b33655db3ef398f3f7e2b1312ff8f6a15ee8215caedefc18968d77ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2739621024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"24f48970b33655db3ef398f3f7e2b1312ff8f6a15ee8215caedefc18968d77ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2758831542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"24f48970b33655db3ef398f3f7e2b1312ff8f6a15ee8215caedefc18968d77ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3425620745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"25c3f1b2e05b73f6803f231e4f0f12b9c9e87f6fbbc9d8c2fd71044ab729fdd7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560951385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"25c3f1b2e05b73f6803f231e4f0f12b9c9e87f6fbbc9d8c2fd71044ab729fdd7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576385083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"25c3f1b2e05b73f6803f231e4f0f12b9c9e87f6fbbc9d8c2fd71044ab729fdd7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618266961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"25c3f1b2e05b73f6803f231e4f0f12b9c9e87f6fbbc9d8c2fd71044ab729fdd7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0671163044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.394483106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.371335747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3339147096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3064094576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2971644087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2834002564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2790257319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2870109918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3574338031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2455738487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2300095918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4143042537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"342a14e2377140e8a95d331b6c112002f902a6bacd1017b3ead112d3438b6bb1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510364694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"342a14e2377140e8a95d331b6c112002f902a6bacd1017b3ead112d3438b6bb1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512705346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"342a14e2377140e8a95d331b6c112002f902a6bacd1017b3ead112d3438b6bb1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517731402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"342a14e2377140e8a95d331b6c112002f902a6bacd1017b3ead112d3438b6bb1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525175741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1352791588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1817611925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1486245744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1574707287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"3ca0979645976ff5355304f9b516663a361f953fa9ad0947f06f169c9b114c27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0763153407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"3ca0979645976ff5355304f9b516663a361f953fa9ad0947f06f169c9b114c27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0781090242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"3ca0979645976ff5355304f9b516663a361f953fa9ad0947f06f169c9b114c27","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814742333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"3ca0979645976ff5355304f9b516663a361f953fa9ad0947f06f169c9b114c27","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0864623892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0942707018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8403079245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0776683928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0861562841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064598977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649949769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659969765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662977658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"51f25df1e65bb2ccc486f571efa06a85c0051cb8e151d74501691c214a7c895f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0816937596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"51f25df1e65bb2ccc486f571efa06a85c0051cb8e151d74501691c214a7c895f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0802726549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"51f25df1e65bb2ccc486f571efa06a85c0051cb8e151d74501691c214a7c895f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0850377582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"51f25df1e65bb2ccc486f571efa06a85c0051cb8e151d74501691c214a7c895f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0882864411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"5407de55729fda0b39a70bfee6689e18fd527b9cf57dcb9ce050ff2f6d19eaf4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3619515402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"5407de55729fda0b39a70bfee6689e18fd527b9cf57dcb9ce050ff2f6d19eaf4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3498831241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"5407de55729fda0b39a70bfee6689e18fd527b9cf57dcb9ce050ff2f6d19eaf4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3306357635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"5407de55729fda0b39a70bfee6689e18fd527b9cf57dcb9ce050ff2f6d19eaf4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.343562074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511007241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514262387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521198263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"63ee265d459c916534b1a5898611b69944e2b834360a09c5c6289d4f480eaeb6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529383634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"674ebd85626e739eb7a4b759c8afd13b9cb1900902fda976750ce2fa104c1573","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513587203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"674ebd85626e739eb7a4b759c8afd13b9cb1900902fda976750ce2fa104c1573","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.050965901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"674ebd85626e739eb7a4b759c8afd13b9cb1900902fda976750ce2fa104c1573","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.050902861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"674ebd85626e739eb7a4b759c8afd13b9cb1900902fda976750ce2fa104c1573","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509628379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2295557125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2453422851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516037562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7074f97f63686c6cac8ec37d318af7722047d478afd67ec07489c18b2634b5f8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3681352877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063765189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638288864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639372964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7b22d178be713b7564ebe8fb1ae33270d26df6856613e85c58e30ff73467ed10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0640481436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0505953143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0506505059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0507933001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"7ee56ae14ece59ac25093d2d9262dc5b932f27e656a790ac22388826e6e3a4b3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.050976551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"87c956de55d1ac0ea8afe8293c9447209ad5cc607a22c453043125c008ef7cc6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31599198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"87c956de55d1ac0ea8afe8293c9447209ad5cc607a22c453043125c008ef7cc6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3476751776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"87c956de55d1ac0ea8afe8293c9447209ad5cc607a22c453043125c008ef7cc6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682305258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"87c956de55d1ac0ea8afe8293c9447209ad5cc607a22c453043125c008ef7cc6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2696410515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"8b2f4815aef61f9a0b81fce8bbc17136c8e6487509ceb57fcb3a54dff30b17f1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.066671503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"8b2f4815aef61f9a0b81fce8bbc17136c8e6487509ceb57fcb3a54dff30b17f1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0676491869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"8b2f4815aef61f9a0b81fce8bbc17136c8e6487509ceb57fcb3a54dff30b17f1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0694025019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"8b2f4815aef61f9a0b81fce8bbc17136c8e6487509ceb57fcb3a54dff30b17f1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715653958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"93a724b0c420f128e996e873a82865c23ea53aaf6a2956e8be8d6b375e6c2894","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2556515835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"93a724b0c420f128e996e873a82865c23ea53aaf6a2956e8be8d6b375e6c2894","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.377725218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"93a724b0c420f128e996e873a82865c23ea53aaf6a2956e8be8d6b375e6c2894","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683199994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"93a724b0c420f128e996e873a82865c23ea53aaf6a2956e8be8d6b375e6c2894","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2698515777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3399697829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3622842475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2716712317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"99dcc6f0d10b2c69f6a3c24415f4a480567edd3fdb2a54de50caf5ef91c17280","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.362636721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9a32899e0bf1edb236fa826f670493274c7e0fca42b8e8022f56e7432fc5c3c4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521057721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9a32899e0bf1edb236fa826f670493274c7e0fca42b8e8022f56e7432fc5c3c4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531389344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9a32899e0bf1edb236fa826f670493274c7e0fca42b8e8022f56e7432fc5c3c4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549334869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9a32899e0bf1edb236fa826f670493274c7e0fca42b8e8022f56e7432fc5c3c4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9564493851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509427559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516715088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530452156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547013761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1348139426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1153801611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1204780011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1051546389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9ed9286e52a16be3a5beb1a443e795bc2429300215c6ac967ec14cadbeb6e75f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633147383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9ed9286e52a16be3a5beb1a443e795bc2429300215c6ac967ec14cadbeb6e75f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3268515545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9ed9286e52a16be3a5beb1a443e795bc2429300215c6ac967ec14cadbeb6e75f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3224831353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"9ed9286e52a16be3a5beb1a443e795bc2429300215c6ac967ec14cadbeb6e75f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3140147177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1048274636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129301971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1554640219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1325663997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"acc636ad694b7666aeba3df0f4980bb294c650e6df097329ad7f91532d95b253","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649325395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"acc636ad694b7666aeba3df0f4980bb294c650e6df097329ad7f91532d95b253","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657515161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"acc636ad694b7666aeba3df0f4980bb294c650e6df097329ad7f91532d95b253","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683254097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"acc636ad694b7666aeba3df0f4980bb294c650e6df097329ad7f91532d95b253","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0698643039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"afeef9ddc9b6c6d1773d7a0a0ba5bc1df5a1ceb0a01ff1b2995082894c463896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514492477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"afeef9ddc9b6c6d1773d7a0a0ba5bc1df5a1ceb0a01ff1b2995082894c463896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524078504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"afeef9ddc9b6c6d1773d7a0a0ba5bc1df5a1ceb0a01ff1b2995082894c463896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539891393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"afeef9ddc9b6c6d1773d7a0a0ba5bc1df5a1ceb0a01ff1b2995082894c463896","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558582438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b56531512fb6a9e91e9af934df3b6f506a3f2103e10af0ce96705c79dec40ae9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1060796327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b56531512fb6a9e91e9af934df3b6f506a3f2103e10af0ce96705c79dec40ae9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1124539459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b56531512fb6a9e91e9af934df3b6f506a3f2103e10af0ce96705c79dec40ae9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1190083117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b56531512fb6a9e91e9af934df3b6f506a3f2103e10af0ce96705c79dec40ae9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1265049928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b6731f4873a909384d27d0ffdc950be2060df2966878f2b2edf8ab4d8fbae363","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518598912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b6731f4873a909384d27d0ffdc950be2060df2966878f2b2edf8ab4d8fbae363","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523323657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b6731f4873a909384d27d0ffdc950be2060df2966878f2b2edf8ab4d8fbae363","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531953738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b6731f4873a909384d27d0ffdc950be2060df2966878f2b2edf8ab4d8fbae363","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540393819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b835e277f744bcf6725ac1ee456a5bd4be38e8a39ee7b8a746917c25aaf0600a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614175178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b835e277f744bcf6725ac1ee456a5bd4be38e8a39ee7b8a746917c25aaf0600a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0640037799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b835e277f744bcf6725ac1ee456a5bd4be38e8a39ee7b8a746917c25aaf0600a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649148906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"b835e277f744bcf6725ac1ee456a5bd4be38e8a39ee7b8a746917c25aaf0600a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683412645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c677c77ae293deb8ec68f74fa184fcd0ce5edd2636f5a4c193eb16f6bf8a829d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656682432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c677c77ae293deb8ec68f74fa184fcd0ce5edd2636f5a4c193eb16f6bf8a829d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675691919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c677c77ae293deb8ec68f74fa184fcd0ce5edd2636f5a4c193eb16f6bf8a829d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0704945149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c677c77ae293deb8ec68f74fa184fcd0ce5edd2636f5a4c193eb16f6bf8a829d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0742013761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2628015806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2528182162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.305284458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2952265674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3872383194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4114422569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3651462758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3376568133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524441662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529833634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538820472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"de810b550ca9cbea5619bea116f1c8b00a9afcfcd965a349fa90f0a45ee324cc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548802047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e0b9e5b9defdf81501ce852410053d9fda0f31b5d5f70d948fe3a2c591047595","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649944895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e0b9e5b9defdf81501ce852410053d9fda0f31b5d5f70d948fe3a2c591047595","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644285692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e0b9e5b9defdf81501ce852410053d9fda0f31b5d5f70d948fe3a2c591047595","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651743058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e0b9e5b9defdf81501ce852410053d9fda0f31b5d5f70d948fe3a2c591047595","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0674485285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e2542e4e9629f8f80fe226a4129912b4f3f0219121807974e920c3b9589df19c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1371447896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e2542e4e9629f8f80fe226a4129912b4f3f0219121807974e920c3b9589df19c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1444075235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e2542e4e9629f8f80fe226a4129912b4f3f0219121807974e920c3b9589df19c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6724160981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e2542e4e9629f8f80fe226a4129912b4f3f0219121807974e920c3b9589df19c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1543138353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657966739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670456076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8961484281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"e5af3a39adde513b9951423acd136679dec9a6cd95d8f5a1cd5624f1d169481c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0742871836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"edf3adf1735d53cb20af975a837c6076f11edbebb6551ac2d2e4f47c590f790a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767570482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"edf3adf1735d53cb20af975a837c6076f11edbebb6551ac2d2e4f47c590f790a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636465719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"edf3adf1735d53cb20af975a837c6076f11edbebb6551ac2d2e4f47c590f790a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637101385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"edf3adf1735d53cb20af975a837c6076f11edbebb6551ac2d2e4f47c590f790a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637950291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511599246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.051413714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518861201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f204ea050434e9fb052f4c78a38eeec59da9c8680eadc814c8e1145edfd5622f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524410609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0507273032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0507319753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508288148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"f45b61befcbd8c062dcce312ddd847c9d7384ab96d672d1d52636682170e6464","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509707747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"fc9f2a466cd4e1b13920afdcdf403d468f31124894ee70f56b95d420d84c5c66","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3729883779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"fc9f2a466cd4e1b13920afdcdf403d468f31124894ee70f56b95d420d84c5c66","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2492989545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"fc9f2a466cd4e1b13920afdcdf403d468f31124894ee70f56b95d420d84c5c66","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.237793696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"fc9f2a466cd4e1b13920afdcdf403d468f31124894ee70f56b95d420d84c5c66","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2816410466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"ff6ddb84aeb6fa873054302a4c05d0641384836ea11b3e4a40dc7c044d156aa5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053796673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"ff6ddb84aeb6fa873054302a4c05d0641384836ea11b3e4a40dc7c044d156aa5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553627834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"ff6ddb84aeb6fa873054302a4c05d0641384836ea11b3e4a40dc7c044d156aa5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578701866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"acled","id":"ff6ddb84aeb6fa873054302a4c05d0641384836ea11b3e4a40dc7c044d156aa5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606866234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5294285918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1199790361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1121042735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3205556853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5324635546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.09121895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595679265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.335464815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5378538743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998898048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0870318627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1865777351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5886607248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904896548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599950842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4554437442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.515640747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969116006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612148205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2993579338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5229122792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0939516493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639016615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3228440283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4773629667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1119652485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0807115766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4625324069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1934595593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0976256075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0807463915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4439329736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5136917785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0952435757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767432884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.424783787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5262925263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0912509047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0587234531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3670308632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5699034167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0909732295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0807826552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3715057192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.546735551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0901832298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787727081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752162971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4979129648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0888253356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0796832341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2619047764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5362387661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.087767915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788002871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847794827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4563024067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1426510862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1304516345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3395432292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5373863428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0901058215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0752337079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3090658109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5233586879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.093364942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785213924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3014026769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4632237559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0952108593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0735674471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2052695419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5187681878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0996042786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0650060295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3215793947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4873790323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.113156384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2975608611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4880452295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1056202506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.07851022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2636739892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4658430947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1241555045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1095924851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2383912439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5075020772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979200688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0804371811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2490485656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5071589572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.090425335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792524974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2322927203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5651719442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0862918968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0747280256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3958762489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5387815276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.089509441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595727159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3770274303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5462227923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0862955856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711477639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3293001111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.51009258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0967338809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801042865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3381018646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6006325075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0815098242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0744121836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4904983844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4777746392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058661513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0875918624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.561427064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0903134403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784214456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5269109713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5885042027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0884583231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0740811842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4699862296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1480652383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991726998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0797937603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2040621308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5329688389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0974384374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0647209244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4503353897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5189534839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956095434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058400348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1900773191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4021409976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2286884366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5600251438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.308103113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2521753575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2105399598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2221529748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.28230399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5463883073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2443200092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4000373597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1992611343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1715779335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1481568904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2449621142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.331580371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3555668421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3547105432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2937280417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2150009109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1716581966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1599463593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2771989432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191078991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1804806782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1761767924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2891732581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1814989821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2718831558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4582433569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2277003255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6509580502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5071354762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2521673744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1863252959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.167167409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2964041985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4711400571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1476748528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0859569157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1611358325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.434186227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1558721782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999874286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1861944599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5239640734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1092636957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2092463392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3062842677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2865429519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270410688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3139472572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3082184715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.282467696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3593908679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2314586949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148187184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2802485569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2415640408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2114704326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2941996792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2873344447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889373636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2923314883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3095838046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2965607936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2860897183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2842371832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932739312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775073743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2652128405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2478047446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040526371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2794605087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3631422891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2325874166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2955633711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2868162534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818031584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2865901987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3000894964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2934263994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.326927399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775693073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3589503925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2201882786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1816707604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1515593829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.306619439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3324681413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3682025012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3964633376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2154971864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1853312533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1617483014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1509271633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3045349272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775794296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2618642188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2325705813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3268732017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2864183838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3128765027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2375802595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050123525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2986940661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3025172829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117290478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3012048719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2964914183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899169237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2845021573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0837949508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925620818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1170416338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1648526339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329993861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3233339791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3110201468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3001092428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2983718823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764428011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2688888945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.256980324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.290345769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2765006492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2618881232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2495889283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3270522297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304037778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162640908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3301248454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3003082499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3136498993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2920418665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2947771744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2797148534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3537787019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191959221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1942059248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750034216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0916223172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1340455118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1863607606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3524042619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4100986067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1698778552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1407979075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2672768338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27204317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.285063153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984563063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3419742379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2815019233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2895908775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016085659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2846307177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2945886858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.385912318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3724958787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2539105372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.251024859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3691164149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3704414944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3410214926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3312375449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2782225448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2550514496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3774148138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2405721211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.09462415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1002091456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1093973021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1193649778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899138532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3236760476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3625840268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4075189213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3609662437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3220792065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2691557794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2227713196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0871937393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100374022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1349837273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1817051519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3304128537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3104883684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2923498517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2760615242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3192113021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3572072049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3986358672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2164315931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1231332188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1382709313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1741513927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2340810507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2975445689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3005560552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048963573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.342464355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2846524379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753054356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3496381251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3628881985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3292023719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2872828359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117901156},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571402788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571366813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2639312645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2791414453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4778512141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4344699866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.261935985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2858311634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1349417977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142349284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.162419158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1882154338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2242802762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2556237701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901126592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2370476117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2509446857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775772522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3078368606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2961306893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.324265033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3526184567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.263408633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.327418252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2400801035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1980421474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1652990777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3201738414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3364919945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2597153882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.372305544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2378918091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2465521551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2720303756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3743435465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2946968715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932285032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3018142979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3114570962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.70536719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6629040493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1565516238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2014402059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.079435872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0897411247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145763983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1533307936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979484908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980628608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984676627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991727572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1022704354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.104636645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.108499696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"20efdec28913ecfb1e3a3e26ad2c99e1b4d7ad3f43b5a6202c46f9c277c17406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162492192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6838566724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6138830167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5182198977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"242e17fa4cf02fba614df523a64f8527f7776f3443e6281386b5eddcd84a097c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4296514954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1052358552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1205411122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1713621441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"25e629b0a54ee795ccbb7c44968f319952cae286525fa43501a290151a3f1d6c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2218042289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979468077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980318392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982895554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988252268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109836029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1110539187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1113120107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1119949709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978098088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978415486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980758246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a0d9f56fdc0fcc8e90b84afb5f0e7ab02f2751e91cc44d17e67ae9187d17aea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985535606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658101856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962086193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985780369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686581621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979310166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979917535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982753849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988667531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978098067},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978680963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980373406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983555207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0996944891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1015245936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099213797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.122849006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1110902218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1112948007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1118469073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1131706462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979480419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980200558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982760227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988415205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0855411264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0995726997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.13097795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1785463517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.15698894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1595186758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1644651475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1732017755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978440693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979590166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098908911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1015530167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514697719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540923497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652228715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.087233231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978309635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979051214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982291213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989870157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109745908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.111032066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1112723928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1118041705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.162456419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1812271841},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2375710675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"845581b74c2a3c6e656427871e89fcd0458d782248baaf1d56e13cdb0651c67a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2921237985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1326305809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1310253184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.144393734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1620766593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109886982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1110312924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1113254454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1119624657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979625429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980813324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987953337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008542828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1269918464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1325023705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1495444688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1663339356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111164318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1112115897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1119117473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137086939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.051323614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540896655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0616469783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0761049197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111099586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111950244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1115401164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"a6b56a1a459b72ebfc6fcae606a89899f1f08a97f4ca1881dbe33f3485e2c1d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1122628003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982478586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990738059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1013280168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1075161785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978060305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978581051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981031203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985691343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0940424388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006095413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1252411103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1464832069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803779706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0899148089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1130253258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5824251347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c11db639ef0a30ced800a69d5c3725b7f5b5e7c1df7735ceb4165154e82a05ac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1204880434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c11db639ef0a30ced800a69d5c3725b7f5b5e7c1df7735ceb4165154e82a05ac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1365962119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c11db639ef0a30ced800a69d5c3725b7f5b5e7c1df7735ceb4165154e82a05ac","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1835028465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c11db639ef0a30ced800a69d5c3725b7f5b5e7c1df7735ceb4165154e82a05ac","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506844088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979532798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098043385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985839653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003188094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1390897621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1557253084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2083463396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3820357426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511030352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528624029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576797693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cb3336ed4ee8ebe8364f97814f75d9777ef8dd30a8f775c29ac727372fcd14be","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664590816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1257976577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1383084049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5639304054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4751409679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.110964024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1110003266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111235897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d3c5e3b681d6299c57923b312b8886ccfcff2e8a46d138eecdca45f41df8bed0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1113683264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.137330579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1475832064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2044094991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2588305296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1309463711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1434726818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2027463419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4432357177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1215779539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1295147927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1513779417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1852726648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979519124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980680945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983443286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990537658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.097946754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980315977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982715033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb31216ce7bb24b3917c02eab7457186fad56268f214b6432f1058b847843f59","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988079637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0770550827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0878275108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1203728927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5229090538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111112213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111842213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1115723264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"fcd4c9217f96859652fff6e6d4ebb518a52bbd2e7a696f6fd31b9422a493b4ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1123223788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7767446425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6973023924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5875462692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5083204126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978100172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978383983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979892814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982603449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.313806494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3327887239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3534350763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ADSK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3793688523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2861976882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2765459513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2582526863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2428916448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901358348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2718119209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2488324574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2295379787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129286404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3381843148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2425925947},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4028516714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818728855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2575156229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3838185946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2062767549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117008775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3207744684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3389806765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"BBWI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3558333755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904910418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3281258767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3490025457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2389067601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162695838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2645865173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2398224132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2180265811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3201738714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2664166349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2439656558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2237975729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3160548953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3351733715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.24673957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2234877988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.307066524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275602516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3494536083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3717629365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3151511312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690386498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.244399042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3940668876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109449963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3235660289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642232826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3637361004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3097912898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.271018575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3601509918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DPZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3907578481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3150150966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3379346395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3621644055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"DUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3897701954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131553641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3240460828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3435199737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2500074886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179657456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3355274802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.360958356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3893732486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31210623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3296378431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.357056233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3835032122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3159503688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3297568948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2559739505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2416110012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2884777326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3349793008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3649516681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3956349789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048910136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184070215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3355148393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3534303021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131907331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3304906598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3561828635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2343125371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2854368974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2650185566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.244295542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"HWM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.222593278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3052978512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2830081918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3410232155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3646112051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2895438209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3280894277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3563423457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"KMB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.385960946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2784819341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2618819983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2402542949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207027623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3189901371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2637369421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410354893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4034515241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.318102574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3305886153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2582608306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3722350655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.315041711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2655825096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2417286634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MRK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2196402814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764833293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2605215471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2462495374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2363091212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3152467968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2717265432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516859981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NEE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2318681869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3132880882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3286610483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2554371163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2406224423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133060818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3209675818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2757304829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"O","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2651228411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122930356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.334823472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3596844213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3847451638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3083479215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2822372465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2582897922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PFE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2385123292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PYPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117481808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PYPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.332835755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PYPL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3611594238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"PYPL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3918627844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2873920296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.271432175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2485477924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2261579485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3101538224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2736067725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2499340723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"RF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283541245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.318630607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3432486288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3718853148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SBAC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2183969098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.319661255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2587042678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2327206016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"SPGI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4165349206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3009961366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2999922657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048549474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"T","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2965731092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129380942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2723164188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2531585036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3833488042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2855781327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2698241876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2507415536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2314889243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3183123253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.266379332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2414932852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4004105952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3082493689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3202457384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2681380597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3547433314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3161147387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3368913558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2460352601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"URI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229598448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3168357998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642646853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2412150484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"USB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244719594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184883952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2594281043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2336804464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2111395165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.180280461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1888181131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.478347546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"064b119526fc5987a8e1d67039009fa4f0af5cd1c8270e91573cb6d7dc97f954","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.280577573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509422048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509426167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509835815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"09d7cca6b5d49a076a2fc19e67e2a762a74a750e98c0a3721919ea639e58617d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510105641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0713027494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767617548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778434361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1165065661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634169471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634434731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635136769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636726132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1738d25709cb374aed7f84e35fd58e45f2ca11b2f9f498f02ae5491f98d395ea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632199395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1738d25709cb374aed7f84e35fd58e45f2ca11b2f9f498f02ae5491f98d395ea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0627744972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1738d25709cb374aed7f84e35fd58e45f2ca11b2f9f498f02ae5491f98d395ea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988445222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1738d25709cb374aed7f84e35fd58e45f2ca11b2f9f498f02ae5491f98d395ea","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0727929236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"18a3eaf3f3072efb0d7ce2368758f37231b473f3fe2eebbf093acc33210b0c1f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8724211173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"18a3eaf3f3072efb0d7ce2368758f37231b473f3fe2eebbf093acc33210b0c1f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8380662626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"18a3eaf3f3072efb0d7ce2368758f37231b473f3fe2eebbf093acc33210b0c1f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980509859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"18a3eaf3f3072efb0d7ce2368758f37231b473f3fe2eebbf093acc33210b0c1f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7134703216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1a5e379d6670bfe8564e978d9d627fc1ab82309d9ab68189df11062370c824e7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2237193083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1a5e379d6670bfe8564e978d9d627fc1ab82309d9ab68189df11062370c824e7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2219951382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1a5e379d6670bfe8564e978d9d627fc1ab82309d9ab68189df11062370c824e7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.227888836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1a5e379d6670bfe8564e978d9d627fc1ab82309d9ab68189df11062370c824e7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2337045853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1fd41b58c5c86d8a595e3eb462137f143bc01a1e718e705ef11d8e189fb2e745","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0955743788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1fd41b58c5c86d8a595e3eb462137f143bc01a1e718e705ef11d8e189fb2e745","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.086042394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1fd41b58c5c86d8a595e3eb462137f143bc01a1e718e705ef11d8e189fb2e745","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0901514728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"1fd41b58c5c86d8a595e3eb462137f143bc01a1e718e705ef11d8e189fb2e745","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0944574482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"237701ddf6119e28919865e295241bce1ca865485c4fd0dcb7c8d887584c4a78","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1980860025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"237701ddf6119e28919865e295241bce1ca865485c4fd0dcb7c8d887584c4a78","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1924595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"237701ddf6119e28919865e295241bce1ca865485c4fd0dcb7c8d887584c4a78","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1646677316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"237701ddf6119e28919865e295241bce1ca865485c4fd0dcb7c8d887584c4a78","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1711114699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0684980605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688555198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0751044281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"258962b1414442b5405004e2ff205bf89f759724ca079e098be9087efe1a1366","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777597495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510620053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511314498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513647459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"307875fbd2b627ff1a2401416cdb61f93732d6fe26066b6d06f220bce14b36a8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519260377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0884013046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0884028571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0884520113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0885123717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"3db338f224fae1f451242b9d0a4a9d4794270b234aa2ade2b88918150345588f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1946414622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"3db338f224fae1f451242b9d0a4a9d4794270b234aa2ade2b88918150345588f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5457389782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"3db338f224fae1f451242b9d0a4a9d4794270b234aa2ade2b88918150345588f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2180010574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"3db338f224fae1f451242b9d0a4a9d4794270b234aa2ade2b88918150345588f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.230948583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655202121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0704445643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0791625632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"464920ba72706d46dab98f4a7c96977ca4010648392c41d25e477696b384c6c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0933603672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4a5dc440b8c896ff727c47ee44703f6989406e177ac6de9ae9446ddeafdff8f3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517947875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4a5dc440b8c896ff727c47ee44703f6989406e177ac6de9ae9446ddeafdff8f3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520732827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4a5dc440b8c896ff727c47ee44703f6989406e177ac6de9ae9446ddeafdff8f3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052630473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4a5dc440b8c896ff727c47ee44703f6989406e177ac6de9ae9446ddeafdff8f3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532129629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4bffb59ef6e138c3d53c69a2490b5a7b24fad812dbb28bf61bb9324602f74042","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.305681088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4bffb59ef6e138c3d53c69a2490b5a7b24fad812dbb28bf61bb9324602f74042","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4347288518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4bffb59ef6e138c3d53c69a2490b5a7b24fad812dbb28bf61bb9324602f74042","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3475853619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4bffb59ef6e138c3d53c69a2490b5a7b24fad812dbb28bf61bb9324602f74042","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3785998244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4f2be874bff16e09c3ce6611fc413654bdec80e424c95401535c43ebfb5b76ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637017668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4f2be874bff16e09c3ce6611fc413654bdec80e424c95401535c43ebfb5b76ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637871724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4f2be874bff16e09c3ce6611fc413654bdec80e424c95401535c43ebfb5b76ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0640327557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"4f2be874bff16e09c3ce6611fc413654bdec80e424c95401535c43ebfb5b76ff","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644471132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683902499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717976409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0741700998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"51297bea4751f17de2777ca7452ea1740e4ba95b5e7fc9d615ddab2a2d37bb5d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0775062919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"526ff622b728157065b9b3f1236205e16706819d62ee42706073056ce13adc45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0759104202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"526ff622b728157065b9b3f1236205e16706819d62ee42706073056ce13adc45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0759106706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"526ff622b728157065b9b3f1236205e16706819d62ee42706073056ce13adc45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634368388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"526ff622b728157065b9b3f1236205e16706819d62ee42706073056ce13adc45","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634880525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"53a22dbab619912a0508c7ebd7347b9c9a6e264e0f77f7d8b502c8c5ec21eca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519719344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"53a22dbab619912a0508c7ebd7347b9c9a6e264e0f77f7d8b502c8c5ec21eca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526063734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"53a22dbab619912a0508c7ebd7347b9c9a6e264e0f77f7d8b502c8c5ec21eca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537386038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"53a22dbab619912a0508c7ebd7347b9c9a6e264e0f77f7d8b502c8c5ec21eca8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551645791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512296473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512935962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514753555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5423740e1ae09e96d2b652983818cc90e1ac682c05a307db05cf52bc26c14cf8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520199461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"56cc71b68cc4e427db897229aa641d7ae27e86df817f95c53c42529332b22b25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512994211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"56cc71b68cc4e427db897229aa641d7ae27e86df817f95c53c42529332b22b25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513447453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"56cc71b68cc4e427db897229aa641d7ae27e86df817f95c53c42529332b22b25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514422061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"56cc71b68cc4e427db897229aa641d7ae27e86df817f95c53c42529332b22b25","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.051536692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"57b6a2c4204ad2968e7545f1c576c8c13e9b34e95c36e7672c7d30cb0318da7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4289139526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"57b6a2c4204ad2968e7545f1c576c8c13e9b34e95c36e7672c7d30cb0318da7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3937145625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"57b6a2c4204ad2968e7545f1c576c8c13e9b34e95c36e7672c7d30cb0318da7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3653400542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"57b6a2c4204ad2968e7545f1c576c8c13e9b34e95c36e7672c7d30cb0318da7e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3511952993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1139007613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1243656799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1492020496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1824127241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5e92a41e03347de58db9ebbb5fc5972867c6b42d457adde9f667ed534ff11721","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517713884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5e92a41e03347de58db9ebbb5fc5972867c6b42d457adde9f667ed534ff11721","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520276335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5e92a41e03347de58db9ebbb5fc5972867c6b42d457adde9f667ed534ff11721","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052402777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5e92a41e03347de58db9ebbb5fc5972867c6b42d457adde9f667ed534ff11721","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530070666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5fac76773cb65a80b04b7dd463d25d31b951b35205e0a2b253b5b130dc06a193","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.205902917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5fac76773cb65a80b04b7dd463d25d31b951b35205e0a2b253b5b130dc06a193","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2094566054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5fac76773cb65a80b04b7dd463d25d31b951b35205e0a2b253b5b130dc06a193","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2368143314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"5fac76773cb65a80b04b7dd463d25d31b951b35205e0a2b253b5b130dc06a193","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4275010271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"605b2bbb61dba23dfc154d6cdd25223b72329a403c501221391a42e362ed8839","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.127478926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"605b2bbb61dba23dfc154d6cdd25223b72329a403c501221391a42e362ed8839","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1308648173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"605b2bbb61dba23dfc154d6cdd25223b72329a403c501221391a42e362ed8839","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1332897253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"605b2bbb61dba23dfc154d6cdd25223b72329a403c501221391a42e362ed8839","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1755423931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"62e2cd569275a850242faf89865fcf46ad6faca62bfdbcc83deec4800c47bc1f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520172341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"62e2cd569275a850242faf89865fcf46ad6faca62bfdbcc83deec4800c47bc1f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530730154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"62e2cd569275a850242faf89865fcf46ad6faca62bfdbcc83deec4800c47bc1f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551058302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"62e2cd569275a850242faf89865fcf46ad6faca62bfdbcc83deec4800c47bc1f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582282261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"630a227b8c9a22cd96905d71fe573664967324396b0367f11dddcc9dc53b4228","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0515241927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"630a227b8c9a22cd96905d71fe573664967324396b0367f11dddcc9dc53b4228","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521651356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"630a227b8c9a22cd96905d71fe573664967324396b0367f11dddcc9dc53b4228","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533856599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"630a227b8c9a22cd96905d71fe573664967324396b0367f11dddcc9dc53b4228","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553751254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644830176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0650773573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663023861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"797ab744a7aeb5243b5b1657fe778a0530469d0225b4e3777cee51ffc8bdf1e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689072409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"79f3e0697d0811093fb8a16a596b4f60311d4780121cc01f3eb50e414360c31e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7795616764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"79f3e0697d0811093fb8a16a596b4f60311d4780121cc01f3eb50e414360c31e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7504665806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"79f3e0697d0811093fb8a16a596b4f60311d4780121cc01f3eb50e414360c31e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1394054193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"79f3e0697d0811093fb8a16a596b4f60311d4780121cc01f3eb50e414360c31e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1338765151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"85eff6afad240d20fc89ccfbf3c0b1773616fbb83a6bf384f4ddf05e64d1d29c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519496858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"85eff6afad240d20fc89ccfbf3c0b1773616fbb83a6bf384f4ddf05e64d1d29c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520283884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"85eff6afad240d20fc89ccfbf3c0b1773616fbb83a6bf384f4ddf05e64d1d29c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522232886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"85eff6afad240d20fc89ccfbf3c0b1773616fbb83a6bf384f4ddf05e64d1d29c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525025882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"881adedbc4180ec5b42d7e3fcd356d2d67b4aebae171a9355827b73bc4b3cb41","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513668959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"881adedbc4180ec5b42d7e3fcd356d2d67b4aebae171a9355827b73bc4b3cb41","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516361407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"881adedbc4180ec5b42d7e3fcd356d2d67b4aebae171a9355827b73bc4b3cb41","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522442302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"881adedbc4180ec5b42d7e3fcd356d2d67b4aebae171a9355827b73bc4b3cb41","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535029704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"89b78a7a03ad8ee34ca6daa227bc3a617fff08e71c8f2112b872d2b73d0fe0eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2536200402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"89b78a7a03ad8ee34ca6daa227bc3a617fff08e71c8f2112b872d2b73d0fe0eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2599683301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"89b78a7a03ad8ee34ca6daa227bc3a617fff08e71c8f2112b872d2b73d0fe0eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2733916475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"89b78a7a03ad8ee34ca6daa227bc3a617fff08e71c8f2112b872d2b73d0fe0eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.292525766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638515911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0641959226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651110567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664694832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8abb89035e5c2ceec47fc96eed55dcb0df21982201df008039c17814d3d3e291","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509361529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8abb89035e5c2ceec47fc96eed55dcb0df21982201df008039c17814d3d3e291","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509363671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8abb89035e5c2ceec47fc96eed55dcb0df21982201df008039c17814d3d3e291","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509625064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"8abb89035e5c2ceec47fc96eed55dcb0df21982201df008039c17814d3d3e291","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509991792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a4586e1506c85c6e237b152e42fd793e8d3e0b787a6efc307f8b8f343b366ce9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0776724891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a4586e1506c85c6e237b152e42fd793e8d3e0b787a6efc307f8b8f343b366ce9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7892345088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a4586e1506c85c6e237b152e42fd793e8d3e0b787a6efc307f8b8f343b366ce9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7673258884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a4586e1506c85c6e237b152e42fd793e8d3e0b787a6efc307f8b8f343b366ce9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0976571428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519311376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525973756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053753808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"a66d097a92fdcca2d03b831800204bb9eab00f2f90091277bd47e58757eba919","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0555087311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"ae285b3ca766934d79d56f51488bcb3c05c304e7a7326c4d19e7f55d6c094d62","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787327707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"ae285b3ca766934d79d56f51488bcb3c05c304e7a7326c4d19e7f55d6c094d62","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666234305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"ae285b3ca766934d79d56f51488bcb3c05c304e7a7326c4d19e7f55d6c094d62","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663423479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"ae285b3ca766934d79d56f51488bcb3c05c304e7a7326c4d19e7f55d6c094d62","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689103534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"aec0cd2acb5e18ac569ef9e71c5c53597288c5b94748521392ef63ee6ed2b4ac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0575066395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"aec0cd2acb5e18ac569ef9e71c5c53597288c5b94748521392ef63ee6ed2b4ac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571104579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"aec0cd2acb5e18ac569ef9e71c5c53597288c5b94748521392ef63ee6ed2b4ac","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551505918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"aec0cd2acb5e18ac569ef9e71c5c53597288c5b94748521392ef63ee6ed2b4ac","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055572072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b01c3a8bdae44371f5917c6baffaef2b11e7977c1994d979d64f227f778c0f5e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517070595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b01c3a8bdae44371f5917c6baffaef2b11e7977c1994d979d64f227f778c0f5e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534565207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b01c3a8bdae44371f5917c6baffaef2b11e7977c1994d979d64f227f778c0f5e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0565057264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b01c3a8bdae44371f5917c6baffaef2b11e7977c1994d979d64f227f778c0f5e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060592385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b036b17c2b1b41097b241de55470381e25628027a379475d6348e1c0403c9b06","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526362229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b036b17c2b1b41097b241de55470381e25628027a379475d6348e1c0403c9b06","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549994819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b036b17c2b1b41097b241de55470381e25628027a379475d6348e1c0403c9b06","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0600203449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b036b17c2b1b41097b241de55470381e25628027a379475d6348e1c0403c9b06","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0668374268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b0f0ae742679c116beee145bba48a18b8fd0aecadea1270e1348ec28e51e9520","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854781038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b0f0ae742679c116beee145bba48a18b8fd0aecadea1270e1348ec28e51e9520","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0908138613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b0f0ae742679c116beee145bba48a18b8fd0aecadea1270e1348ec28e51e9520","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998624545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b0f0ae742679c116beee145bba48a18b8fd0aecadea1270e1348ec28e51e9520","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1081607107},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b3b4a39eaa66758e33a89a5c2cf5ee94a969bd5b28c02c43484f878e0e245aa9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654957651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b3b4a39eaa66758e33a89a5c2cf5ee94a969bd5b28c02c43484f878e0e245aa9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656498644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b3b4a39eaa66758e33a89a5c2cf5ee94a969bd5b28c02c43484f878e0e245aa9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067953728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"b3b4a39eaa66758e33a89a5c2cf5ee94a969bd5b28c02c43484f878e0e245aa9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711117777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"bbca237d399033e22dabcd6f2fad146631c75a743a2c2ef5eeb948a9c401a58d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8190964538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"bbca237d399033e22dabcd6f2fad146631c75a743a2c2ef5eeb948a9c401a58d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.125573509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"bbca237d399033e22dabcd6f2fad146631c75a743a2c2ef5eeb948a9c401a58d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1123473882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"bbca237d399033e22dabcd6f2fad146631c75a743a2c2ef5eeb948a9c401a58d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7145187035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c687506c847563d6d6fca34fb0ab2e248e35e1fbb725ba164fea6bee22a828b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0744617072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c687506c847563d6d6fca34fb0ab2e248e35e1fbb725ba164fea6bee22a828b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.072283095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c687506c847563d6d6fca34fb0ab2e248e35e1fbb725ba164fea6bee22a828b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0727588367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c687506c847563d6d6fca34fb0ab2e248e35e1fbb725ba164fea6bee22a828b0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0735582729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c8d909eb021c83582a7aaaca7c25270a44fa1d97459c4886bdd3981a5feda69f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.648241402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c8d909eb021c83582a7aaaca7c25270a44fa1d97459c4886bdd3981a5feda69f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6471314212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c8d909eb021c83582a7aaaca7c25270a44fa1d97459c4886bdd3981a5feda69f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1537537207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c8d909eb021c83582a7aaaca7c25270a44fa1d97459c4886bdd3981a5feda69f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.16590976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c929237ba08d3349ac630ca780bbb275f8c3376c0d064edcd142e494cf0ef266","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2510163353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c929237ba08d3349ac630ca780bbb275f8c3376c0d064edcd142e494cf0ef266","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2660632245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c929237ba08d3349ac630ca780bbb275f8c3376c0d064edcd142e494cf0ef266","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2813029605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"c929237ba08d3349ac630ca780bbb275f8c3376c0d064edcd142e494cf0ef266","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4544299604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522918414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535718692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0557770685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fca1a5a431e80d4fbb3fc0e789fe15adf7be100a668b8617354f40f2de6d437e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058487384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527831204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532273127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539539501},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553049267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4935708623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6948477943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999864524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1239257915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4554390511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6639651363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1052937062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1573782238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.204021094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987596737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4609606782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4392082538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6632243423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1020289511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.138301669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4809219677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7309187193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823149586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1310586211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.19029016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7104155996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1023804765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.13310839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2816902332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5747591232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1205712945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1371896282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4628727065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6891420327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0746771088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1691003106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4544003409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6681157191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006671122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1419088133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4644993052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7111940611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0825391102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1909484116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5087744629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7057461034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7674901664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1216306562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1922133685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7326836887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0732897725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.121717284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2112623879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6787228848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1211048718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0932088198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4725706312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7420821837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8297131649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962447172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3995554921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6532392198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0935751682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.156620121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4489108794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6411502748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1701601174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1173058246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4290740827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6561094656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1029150684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1433253562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2114932912},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109994616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1058562328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0951957236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4654786798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7085261358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0907785015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1338190661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4613937236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7235219064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8230451718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1469143127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4084942082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6543617129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0997881252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1500459307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4327015412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7068224908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778211542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.115680834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4148615306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6371185533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424230362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1047956451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4919796986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7182262297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760961195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1282317077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4539682622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7000053865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7871562336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1518988342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4328794402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6458562433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7475545648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424181186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4395747349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6755153076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1069252187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1191272842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4046249749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6358053675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.750715139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1209757544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.423168093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.129700625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1144946889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1123778829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3683504711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5837087391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1305266954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0976698169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4120373589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6796058085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1029395247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1001847327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4630624395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6899094299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1102462746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1371767653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4521051723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1363690219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.124650475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1629623124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4543627265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0958698533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0915832161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1171731188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4864247963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1026208513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0797684973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.19588559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4229389527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3481812045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3331833865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4736770716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932126652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1713485975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1346555016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5641850801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230957862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283885019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1758088779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3782348308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2997365718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3219890239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3514483146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3843915698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3338082558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3085806031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.281524531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2640844801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2985640123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3336118499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3688699005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4071478427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3046205143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3492824027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3994206988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4532418165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3143715241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994875536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.313043948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2946043313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2915742544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3343541237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3875463819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2150852617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3023963658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926619969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932072048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2867997141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093300521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.294969821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847239413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2765783854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2928865495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275901597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.354133742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2384666849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2861051454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3450358935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2505591661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CASACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2153762528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2385467883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1888879941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.164312738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1374434512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087724408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3080451522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.324428521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3920480725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303177827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2935756376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2890633863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2849417333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0782664976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0912833158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1274778321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1724523984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3024253212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817301955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3475145562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2440741537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295608708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2894972532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307183647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2881286507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134778215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2970946868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887786932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835034089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3313904706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2967873298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102852712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3270738558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3024567573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124886952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3298908598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DGS6MO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.342550144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2773629411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.249752363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2187454938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1945749164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938287281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071387562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1358830422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1713348675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3774779815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719870988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016160088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277382621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3068328567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122716918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3163158277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.323076206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0971846145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114674249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1469698927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.182447199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7467529349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6679207931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1716398721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2026585884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3409684177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646622951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3622605476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.333641801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3363093288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3375110411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2939094291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3386512408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3648844034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2367719276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.308421575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2882752669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3066352686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2046053254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2718883602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3028325422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.353688749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4022061152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657191989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.081184612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1108072203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1485231651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2236134445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.237266344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642842468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3078341153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.297232003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2965056255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3325771343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2939952761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3216463701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3323533485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750563057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2867129318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2828968407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3420973058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3551159888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2963244068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.299502032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2930950024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2406088366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2524450995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2543870001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2823840037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610056629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2725638397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897577789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3078895927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2160133999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2483961824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SNDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2982981769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5009490621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2105287732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2103315123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2391025424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1457011439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1560803739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1846869364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4952471939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2377537923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2073139884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1783378423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.158804104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6048496366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2061936087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.532156473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4606833355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2833014512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690663964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.259131813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525584864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2413559319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4098796923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2672473367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2956128269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.230389183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4215286901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2371238008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516818431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4565414935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1627375774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1258248806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WM2NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1047724907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2468209747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2114826601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1920525185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1883622883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1200892985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1240123569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1317617404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.145238311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5434161206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2539586115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4302432665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3630405908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959250758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960780226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964534311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0911b8db0a1cb2b49701cc4e9f6b2be9c00940a5c58025d447db032fe776caef","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972781623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1212693336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.137114009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1813532424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"0ebc517c2b923093d530d91187d38873cd5ae3b4e79b02f8c726ade19cc0fb71","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2225067705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532445644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0568901672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064547079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d0989190ba1a2a4b3f3738f02e6dd5f463afc712d7507c8a89d7f971d4c27e4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0825342548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0696051789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833649404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1078545161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"27e948952d66a749e55f37f9cb63036955768951570c627c3f16ec378df057f9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5637666158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960601214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962510196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972160134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.099058119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960215716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960561785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0963402876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0970080665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084048565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084506057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1086789518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0966547601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961149195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0965705116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998516047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.112476936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0864017085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961915187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518026378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669539229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1083961392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084283566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085427171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4093ea3dcb75afc668a669812c21296be9ce9b93593413b060d51c61133ac505","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088534617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959050761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959606792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962043939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0967269859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1014824765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1049428665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1135359176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1308337679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0911901048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0953843821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1057368027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"50ff16043ba629140f82ada741c6f24245bb98b8eefd7d55aac10f750d2d43ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1252581145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851899088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6881544603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1395439669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1792370948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052108582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543356935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0616368169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0797649528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959013247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959575252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962038434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969290574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960413208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961554313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0966731098},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5882ac81e7ec14b2d8b3da350027e1e7fee5373489361cc744e6d8f4e3a1f372","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981207347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0753219553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0935792541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1316715307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1816768937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0958951863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959119235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960138357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"5f484517610914d8596bbc5302f164a81bb62bab27d481137fe178bc7a038ed8","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962699418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960467207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961586187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0965096127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978013903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0971427017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0939593068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0895217837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8269363055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985997264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983151314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1012270809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"85d7ed10a6d383c81abc6955e6bd3804afc545ef6d4de46b3e124840fb1781a2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1087295009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0794148851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7045897604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1258859672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1577376171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085243549},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961262713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096631273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984724286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084048695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084916735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1087936323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1094603887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960413728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961159015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096410327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"92bc6951fbbfb5e57841214f3b0c0e102d6a1c8e8d052925262a27e18f26f309","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0971964512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1035946899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1193543168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1484938118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"93ec932ea125ee5a95d35826e66738e0962b8a822028d4fba7be70305113bc9d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.184723184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085948532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1087678502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1095924859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1118901461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1223943141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6504001146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5543217794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4615133877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129744273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1335790703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1683084685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2109077303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959062736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959410746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096169075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"b7cb5b21a17ddf6ef798011d1496bb1441ccbe7bfde036c17f0b71010b1b971a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0968467193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0958951248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0958955748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.095968375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"bbdac4e818e7a8d828669c585bd78abc8ec5d627fb815cc00bcc7b90c7a32fb3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960625759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1546449572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1404789518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1438538927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1540687155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651765056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691701864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0832349427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1118644466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536656051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0591835094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0727908737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"c90a910e5ea0ef3bdaedf23ce591e20a8da2df5b88c5b04e6264761959ddfcc0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0963670151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1027546044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1034245928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1133044216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1231042518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0749213372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0757263228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0811899781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0896860809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1140658594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1161149309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1192096193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1240982846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162593704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1286041565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1746983577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2320873633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0939610068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1057895518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1299241336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1706274339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960723702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0966386604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993459635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1065208392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085397552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961402734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964589916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.097094815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0860949431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1123544381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.151680608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2102898977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959065236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959935721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0963758155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0974576467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096405266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0970226143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0996704224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1064769944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960937198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096371715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982124331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"wikipedia","id":"fb7ce4d6ce29dcc6e69896826b6768a10dee8d6ac7ad85f22142d4fb3a84bec7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1035221411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2909044215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2731296473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496837628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ABBV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3897905337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835319016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3411211212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2443315446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2234212485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2864967201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3355206002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3599258644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3877570376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129757314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2634317177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.383872507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.204670478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892216928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3290397076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2581417286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457959297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130311635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3362951511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.370708064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2144479579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2863159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3440747897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3743482453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4099553698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3076901823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3303987538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2579859574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3721949315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087480922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3190633577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2744498499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CHTR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3543312776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2883406588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2699908701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3611724974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CSGP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3927129776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122169329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2762845075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529802352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3910310255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.315229566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2709413238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.247901962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2273588665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2941763324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3340434596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.356916635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.231310265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287569232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3308770473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2545600936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ED","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352046404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901394627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277204537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2586632677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"EG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2428524222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916161144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3274269675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3431237928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ES","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3625135541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3126002147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3295463063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.34738268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ETSY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506122528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2836923202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2644507422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2426174728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2211442217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3172493292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3380536356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2461027934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2254476559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2949268203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2787223617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2590541618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2403872683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892099191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2713516009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2484748644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2237229725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124682164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.337185891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.249525672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2302490774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3120685604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3387412965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3688331833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4019516415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3151728971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3291516534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3431787051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"IPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3607248914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316779313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3450030942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3781678689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ISRG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4150673974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2853543638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2637071554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2345807353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2108599476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3186028755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3413011861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3720011699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4091156035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2894550654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685055072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2464725634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247019493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3116951168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2737026259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2548963086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365745916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2967526288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3229555008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2640779678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3650838282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3185872318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3414537437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3748741987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"MSCI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2113630364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.317412303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2666283294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3711279971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2182454182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2942555631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2769649701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2614790849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493443087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129029193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3320722312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.252051738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2322371977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3180646056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2662701079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3669829599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2237923628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312129776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2709280751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2495914999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PLD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2297649401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2855858647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3339415815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2532709903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.236025434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2848075013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3384210804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.36622288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3946024331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2928642354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3136844853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3208494459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3300971254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3137015005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3373441591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2468378839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2269698184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3110367114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.328495705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2572665514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2408029733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3182597205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2754820215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2638681256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"SYF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3621487709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2851355872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2650057844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2418694693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.403178669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130884992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3395876615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422150271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2183923611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3172153602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2692490988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493906084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.228397405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287400255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3368952536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2448742169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TRV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2269697719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312075557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2701441963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2495769993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2295456398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2830342379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2596902268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3810745216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4164592977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917206518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2724793524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2500135953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2315759396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.286964451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2670544291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2471411321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3996902159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1013da778a92179ddad45b200e35715489ef1b9e233fb9238850d3e155330972","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556217872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1013da778a92179ddad45b200e35715489ef1b9e233fb9238850d3e155330972","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0566625802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1013da778a92179ddad45b200e35715489ef1b9e233fb9238850d3e155330972","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582957909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1013da778a92179ddad45b200e35715489ef1b9e233fb9238850d3e155330972","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606761022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"11eae91958ce653b31439c8ae25646932702bfc3c8539c9b8aef332ec0cfc9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528518847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"11eae91958ce653b31439c8ae25646932702bfc3c8539c9b8aef332ec0cfc9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528677874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"11eae91958ce653b31439c8ae25646932702bfc3c8539c9b8aef332ec0cfc9f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529826064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"11eae91958ce653b31439c8ae25646932702bfc3c8539c9b8aef332ec0cfc9f0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531477285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"126d174394bd924ac2e825033e45af82987438683a304d28323d39d124371d27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792357781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"126d174394bd924ac2e825033e45af82987438683a304d28323d39d124371d27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784236737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"126d174394bd924ac2e825033e45af82987438683a304d28323d39d124371d27","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801496543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"126d174394bd924ac2e825033e45af82987438683a304d28323d39d124371d27","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080598916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"17016efe277936b6eae64455c446b716f3a643da7982cee91db28f28a989f703","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714911222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"17016efe277936b6eae64455c446b716f3a643da7982cee91db28f28a989f703","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0729669466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"17016efe277936b6eae64455c446b716f3a643da7982cee91db28f28a989f703","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0743573725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"17016efe277936b6eae64455c446b716f3a643da7982cee91db28f28a989f703","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0757192489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1c001e5c84b5fd3c4a951b618b881a55da7bcd86e1d4b1ad190dde63c243e5dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.089711394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1c001e5c84b5fd3c4a951b618b881a55da7bcd86e1d4b1ad190dde63c243e5dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927016921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1c001e5c84b5fd3c4a951b618b881a55da7bcd86e1d4b1ad190dde63c243e5dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969133692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"1c001e5c84b5fd3c4a951b618b881a55da7bcd86e1d4b1ad190dde63c243e5dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1050509281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2058fb6621e12cd52c6646d5383504e79ec9b0d9281b28637dd6fb31e4f03cfe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1570821265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2058fb6621e12cd52c6646d5383504e79ec9b0d9281b28637dd6fb31e4f03cfe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1479447849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2058fb6621e12cd52c6646d5383504e79ec9b0d9281b28637dd6fb31e4f03cfe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1429398716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2058fb6621e12cd52c6646d5383504e79ec9b0d9281b28637dd6fb31e4f03cfe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1375662147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664474971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715186092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904720308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"235f28d247bb9ede0f719360ef3c7fd3988fc7e4ba65c703dfa36e2fbc0dfb01","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1204802608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657588725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662133656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669672826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0678258232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4782053119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4615071513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3932605339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"2e46df5b146400d2b997d510bae88153452d65e9a523828662d815911a017212","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3756658388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"30c3707c11c9a7b00631bd531a293949ae6d8741678899c0bb8572b3289bad07","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536915681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"30c3707c11c9a7b00631bd531a293949ae6d8741678899c0bb8572b3289bad07","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541899595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"30c3707c11c9a7b00631bd531a293949ae6d8741678899c0bb8572b3289bad07","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553363896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"30c3707c11c9a7b00631bd531a293949ae6d8741678899c0bb8572b3289bad07","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569258621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3572947da6aae4463525f4961072432105d4e007728a8b8b82188338845126bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1506384382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3572947da6aae4463525f4961072432105d4e007728a8b8b82188338845126bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7061124127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3572947da6aae4463525f4961072432105d4e007728a8b8b82188338845126bb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6717787576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3572947da6aae4463525f4961072432105d4e007728a8b8b82188338845126bb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6531660301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"38d3d006730c668958c31255bad84784678db5e511365cce4155c3d49c033ade","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0748792635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"38d3d006730c668958c31255bad84784678db5e511365cce4155c3d49c033ade","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063855742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"38d3d006730c668958c31255bad84784678db5e511365cce4155c3d49c033ade","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634075998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"38d3d006730c668958c31255bad84784678db5e511365cce4155c3d49c033ade","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0681880669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3ab117422024cfb0fc67251b6507c362a9e24e3cf888a1e4b5985d59d7342bc2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5613106719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3ab117422024cfb0fc67251b6507c362a9e24e3cf888a1e4b5985d59d7342bc2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5219347542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3ab117422024cfb0fc67251b6507c362a9e24e3cf888a1e4b5985d59d7342bc2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4820304457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3ab117422024cfb0fc67251b6507c362a9e24e3cf888a1e4b5985d59d7342bc2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4576108688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784906469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.078922882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800723255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"3c4ba30560ddf9c01bbdb644afcac3ad43e0745350f90daa59ece934e108566d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788430868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"46a6ff7ba711ba6c4e3ca527ed36325943de38b17f11ab5a9ac88a30f1480a66","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656114256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"46a6ff7ba711ba6c4e3ca527ed36325943de38b17f11ab5a9ac88a30f1480a66","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657169552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"46a6ff7ba711ba6c4e3ca527ed36325943de38b17f11ab5a9ac88a30f1480a66","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659185467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"46a6ff7ba711ba6c4e3ca527ed36325943de38b17f11ab5a9ac88a30f1480a66","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662960582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710587672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0764809232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0789292808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"477dba801f50b1ffbf54ba0ff6e94af99193558d93aba575d08c636166473600","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0866926963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"48aca886c5c07a2f09e075d993e4f1d85f5ac011bc8332301e950a1d2fa870d9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8374590866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"48aca886c5c07a2f09e075d993e4f1d85f5ac011bc8332301e950a1d2fa870d9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005146568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"48aca886c5c07a2f09e075d993e4f1d85f5ac011bc8332301e950a1d2fa870d9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099202438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"48aca886c5c07a2f09e075d993e4f1d85f5ac011bc8332301e950a1d2fa870d9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1224562765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"516439b3d17ba5c317b3b0472bed91b2699a3b338877dffa9e993299f986f66f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1352693045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"516439b3d17ba5c317b3b0472bed91b2699a3b338877dffa9e993299f986f66f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.135243455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"516439b3d17ba5c317b3b0472bed91b2699a3b338877dffa9e993299f986f66f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1410730039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"516439b3d17ba5c317b3b0472bed91b2699a3b338877dffa9e993299f986f66f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6923530011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"60168dd6efcae0849fcf2d9a7d565579caadab90cbfaf96f7aaa8f510507957c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5849672119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"60168dd6efcae0849fcf2d9a7d565579caadab90cbfaf96f7aaa8f510507957c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6251359659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"60168dd6efcae0849fcf2d9a7d565579caadab90cbfaf96f7aaa8f510507957c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1795542371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"60168dd6efcae0849fcf2d9a7d565579caadab90cbfaf96f7aaa8f510507957c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.554607738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"6642ccffacaa1ace44fee7f618b49d54db8da5422e88829f25b17818e581cbcc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3198080567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"6642ccffacaa1ace44fee7f618b49d54db8da5422e88829f25b17818e581cbcc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3064832876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"6642ccffacaa1ace44fee7f618b49d54db8da5422e88829f25b17818e581cbcc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540429463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"6642ccffacaa1ace44fee7f618b49d54db8da5422e88829f25b17818e581cbcc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4546444702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"717dec8614b8f3b1cf149ebf7964569979d532b30a7185bb0a32a0807a3454dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554629374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"717dec8614b8f3b1cf149ebf7964569979d532b30a7185bb0a32a0807a3454dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0570676096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"717dec8614b8f3b1cf149ebf7964569979d532b30a7185bb0a32a0807a3454dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0604125517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"717dec8614b8f3b1cf149ebf7964569979d532b30a7185bb0a32a0807a3454dd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621525215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1231712641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1090262093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1116480638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"732aea7fc95a4a92c5d80920cfc4767fc241d443be53629c5247a40a3ee335d0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1278869824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.07753311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0779831297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0780603588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"7aa9006bc88a639a3a8fc23ec4cebdc5d43ac67fa0cbcdde42722b8ce409ad05","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786167992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"86f573c0a1a22ba888a8b01c13552e8a547d1c4b2365be22d2fb4b8a3d5f5ad7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680138699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"86f573c0a1a22ba888a8b01c13552e8a547d1c4b2365be22d2fb4b8a3d5f5ad7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0699575863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"86f573c0a1a22ba888a8b01c13552e8a547d1c4b2365be22d2fb4b8a3d5f5ad7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0722390467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"86f573c0a1a22ba888a8b01c13552e8a547d1c4b2365be22d2fb4b8a3d5f5ad7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766918196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8a291ad29e8f622e44b8536559968f50ddee3ffd971c67878b3867b88b2e2ff0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.658253242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8a291ad29e8f622e44b8536559968f50ddee3ffd971c67878b3867b88b2e2ff0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6471585842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8a291ad29e8f622e44b8536559968f50ddee3ffd971c67878b3867b88b2e2ff0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2021532955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8a291ad29e8f622e44b8536559968f50ddee3ffd971c67878b3867b88b2e2ff0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5685287468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8c890f838064a395fd556d0a171a798e2a604d69372900325bd854f0ff1bf182","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545322661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8c890f838064a395fd556d0a171a798e2a604d69372900325bd854f0ff1bf182","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553045027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8c890f838064a395fd556d0a171a798e2a604d69372900325bd854f0ff1bf182","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0567083283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"8c890f838064a395fd556d0a171a798e2a604d69372900325bd854f0ff1bf182","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582482017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"9c9b1d1cfb9d8665e83e9464ad692a4560b1c6f8ff7fc00eb1e56d2b92271daf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904074349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"9c9b1d1cfb9d8665e83e9464ad692a4560b1c6f8ff7fc00eb1e56d2b92271daf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0775702677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"9c9b1d1cfb9d8665e83e9464ad692a4560b1c6f8ff7fc00eb1e56d2b92271daf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077494041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"9c9b1d1cfb9d8665e83e9464ad692a4560b1c6f8ff7fc00eb1e56d2b92271daf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0780877332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670488377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0679463016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0694980443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a66211b607b640098da240bb8cbd30a0defc7892d54118fa08c0651773f516a1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710345306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a7129df83838b8c27b6c3537f357e16db8318cc36348ebb25e8a9789e0a312c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654841658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a7129df83838b8c27b6c3537f357e16db8318cc36348ebb25e8a9789e0a312c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656196294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a7129df83838b8c27b6c3537f357e16db8318cc36348ebb25e8a9789e0a312c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658948077},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"a7129df83838b8c27b6c3537f357e16db8318cc36348ebb25e8a9789e0a312c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663333001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"aa21897e3fcb148dba1f9895e15a806de01461f8b5df910391f9dfe01245d48d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1485097751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"aa21897e3fcb148dba1f9895e15a806de01461f8b5df910391f9dfe01245d48d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.657385957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"aa21897e3fcb148dba1f9895e15a806de01461f8b5df910391f9dfe01245d48d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6040218817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"aa21897e3fcb148dba1f9895e15a806de01461f8b5df910391f9dfe01245d48d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5572676919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.095595742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005518561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1065205027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"af7ac5e5caaca66a503499b8551a99e4107f8c6f9a0766f42eb44a1650f85b4f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1208652541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"afbc861892ad72ca526910ca9f287c842fe68b0b17950d3e8d13e6ac4919f6ad","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0797104118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"afbc861892ad72ca526910ca9f287c842fe68b0b17950d3e8d13e6ac4919f6ad","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667062246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"afbc861892ad72ca526910ca9f287c842fe68b0b17950d3e8d13e6ac4919f6ad","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664450376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"afbc861892ad72ca526910ca9f287c842fe68b0b17950d3e8d13e6ac4919f6ad","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670892265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801359099},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0782542925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0797859659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0832367562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659800052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680768188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0701976321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075569289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c99962f984641559c44a3dbf67a7bc08a63d9c07659275fd56f16ab9f9fdddf3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537929674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c99962f984641559c44a3dbf67a7bc08a63d9c07659275fd56f16ab9f9fdddf3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542036123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c99962f984641559c44a3dbf67a7bc08a63d9c07659275fd56f16ab9f9fdddf3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550213101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"c99962f984641559c44a3dbf67a7bc08a63d9c07659275fd56f16ab9f9fdddf3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560548822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977269051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1056739673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1154410481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"d199cfa690b94f225b4e4d5509f048ebc53fcdf9c116ce061443c6c6cc69c477","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1545349707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533740746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536850002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544048058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e02ff5fc699586a199ace3f60e589c6fde72b03574ea2c3fe5396c58158a7aa1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552392633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2673027166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932922662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2862123889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0e1182b2e75babb1c76c389515d32cc3f4245128215d312f2d1a280e169e8bf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3962954813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652715195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652715925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652869148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e0eedc287a694592e7eb8a684475b8bb058d9310ffcbb92b3cb9821c42b88655","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652878102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8645949164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8436324796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1019770814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2297e8109bf147d20a5f40f41c116cf1e0333ac9446c78f49796951bfc3f837","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039416474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530467948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531282574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533287739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535638118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e721600074095633a190332cac92768be409b095cc6656f46525e50beabdebe4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540294753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e721600074095633a190332cac92768be409b095cc6656f46525e50beabdebe4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548344528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e721600074095633a190332cac92768be409b095cc6656f46525e50beabdebe4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0562516983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e721600074095633a190332cac92768be409b095cc6656f46525e50beabdebe4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0587998516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e7abf9f2fd718177e40a4d0650d7369ae70b2d3db0cd8a10defba2fdd76e776c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1043858022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e7abf9f2fd718177e40a4d0650d7369ae70b2d3db0cd8a10defba2fdd76e776c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1054832707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e7abf9f2fd718177e40a4d0650d7369ae70b2d3db0cd8a10defba2fdd76e776c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1076431832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e7abf9f2fd718177e40a4d0650d7369ae70b2d3db0cd8a10defba2fdd76e776c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1116158644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e9c055c39013de86ac9095f0d66d611e263137d6cb6ae995944f99078d3c70eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2051769431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e9c055c39013de86ac9095f0d66d611e263137d6cb6ae995944f99078d3c70eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2239852172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e9c055c39013de86ac9095f0d66d611e263137d6cb6ae995944f99078d3c70eb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.24286804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"e9c055c39013de86ac9095f0d66d611e263137d6cb6ae995944f99078d3c70eb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2619739089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"eb4a991b0b9ea903c8685dde291165eb8f72a609e28743e624a7ec37bbacbebe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0899270402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"eb4a991b0b9ea903c8685dde291165eb8f72a609e28743e624a7ec37bbacbebe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1001672628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"eb4a991b0b9ea903c8685dde291165eb8f72a609e28743e624a7ec37bbacbebe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143696167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"eb4a991b0b9ea903c8685dde291165eb8f72a609e28743e624a7ec37bbacbebe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1328845458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065586714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657026725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660035048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f276efc923dff4849790e5a7dbdb597edf7b4bc17671cfbbcc0d0efbb13b7cf5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.066508596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f3b7895b2148386ee41020abf11015f2362d2f1b6773f0f078beed857fea1080","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669163895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f3b7895b2148386ee41020abf11015f2362d2f1b6773f0f078beed857fea1080","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548383608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f3b7895b2148386ee41020abf11015f2362d2f1b6773f0f078beed857fea1080","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556509843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f3b7895b2148386ee41020abf11015f2362d2f1b6773f0f078beed857fea1080","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0574067542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f6d0eaf5d6550bcecbbabc407969c7145ce75956189f05988d2e8a306b417c14","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527916473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f6d0eaf5d6550bcecbbabc407969c7145ce75956189f05988d2e8a306b417c14","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528066675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f6d0eaf5d6550bcecbbabc407969c7145ce75956189f05988d2e8a306b417c14","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528569876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"f6d0eaf5d6550bcecbbabc407969c7145ce75956189f05988d2e8a306b417c14","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528923125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529438317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530637411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533411869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537172804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1f9d7e8bf2c1a64c9ca98131b27841da6fba51697a8af719d0ab32349ba014","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080617556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1f9d7e8bf2c1a64c9ca98131b27841da6fba51697a8af719d0ab32349ba014","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0834851198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1f9d7e8bf2c1a64c9ca98131b27841da6fba51697a8af719d0ab32349ba014","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851879168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"acled","id":"ff1f9d7e8bf2c1a64c9ca98131b27841da6fba51697a8af719d0ab32349ba014","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0909156836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4066103026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1765142898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6466311434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1001006139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3938255241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5774923414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5852222075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0875908307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2337995289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1469498021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.105435333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1851691398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540457463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1825979844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6516211069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1123276021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3704509292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6001019497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6212715828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0934357294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4025553728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6255715083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6553609921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.08417089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2460338563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1542914299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7032094139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1547396671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2477033212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1486547726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7288824733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.169749407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2538129503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1498297522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7111200259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1453848292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2541629443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6744906606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7146199652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085354678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3943205155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6115317516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6195266131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0976606562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4590793934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6006469402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6252665136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1091604569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4243899945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6525910401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6634808514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0839858932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4002154134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5955970277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6178266425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0745810561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2699826701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1664544641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6657458121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.101190595},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4348498132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1763442927},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6421412212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0860058582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.35886238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6100728269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6039380832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0780791955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3592211238},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5782723279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5504978092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0826609161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3418414249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5813772741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5797173029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795209705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496330228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1743793268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6522660457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1159603391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4053103251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5817822671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5727174242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0992206292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3646460298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5561527112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5273932096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0891808031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532662269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.547627859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1125153988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4084863869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6551784171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.631301859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0868518935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2648677588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1447498402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7115700181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0967806715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3722408981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1610003484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6356113343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.105580519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3530690304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5280309985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0947469567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3876328732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6108002777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5861223919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0811871917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.402899349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6516391074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6857454656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0894657982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2679395055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1894941149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5727224241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1174325136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2849424109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1736912277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1775755214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1335753464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887823444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2009503311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5669075249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1353650028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3720059022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1724793597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.62893645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964256776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3557733551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2146156852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5350121161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063105063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3758608354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6060068473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6871204418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137103781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3528415914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2147404024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5481585443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2306550228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649627571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.205473788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2004388752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2670677206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.217708576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2236984722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5522941628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.306585087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1826093902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1732567539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2133586513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3100292933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4244230779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3321368757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2117786787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4035724551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5750002785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1543691166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2128610696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2858089094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2099198349},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1965789826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247750424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4008469477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1477847876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1395549302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2742925954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2670445899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4524319548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4958399868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2686126939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617048293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1960389515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1896740618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6277758376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3822866671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1587745972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1026555697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3567528861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3900809056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1700939376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.30791418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2188285565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1610795573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6614121372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3345315516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.340978105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2539229484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4862439226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3313066075},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2922460045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3192167155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3629393232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4187783036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087663234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3383923686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3829873871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4310900515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2527929194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2202889634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1844309788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1559324006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2956722915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3294798802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3804240046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4298686533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826575375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2934037571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3104342337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3168180284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3177323422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3467530679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3961329357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4454198555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2978208913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3216858417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3571733931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2471884498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.310681877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3282649478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3544370359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516229688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2558655956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2178489479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1838936628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1564965407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2898174578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2774647361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3572788237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3839917179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2998242413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3192971213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3555979295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3916091029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3032841301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2967176208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223312456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2963584717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2998694202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3046215263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050839586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303634168},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3017194853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3092344563},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3253876775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3443016439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3083401033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3037310868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.301090466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2986634384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.081075851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0948003649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.120085524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1604933895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646579949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823532423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1226842023},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1803442308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6507243753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1604277164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1878012543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191916551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3103133052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847284989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3399880696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2650979124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3059394806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2823057226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3481420678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2600313294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2910982567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3056043335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3271479513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2782701915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102027915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2923673788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899900522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2941788574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3014478547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179134433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3335539747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2765963146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3183688314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2763489217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3511454826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2655455727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2799880274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4065635702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.430690477},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899410232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0876154309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961875975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.114910175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1518737746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3580810388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.252063934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3755793114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3188569335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3286094984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.340878159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3537879193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4665866735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229675696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2345808201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496047783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.421520391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2250369262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2267637859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2951213668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817849032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3411873064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3593953322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2979283447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3058348081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3073422787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3098815303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3038757204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2999511662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3166239434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3116916014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2979073246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2979532905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223872973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.30047141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3033925625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3299887793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2697507372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2619482478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1978229486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2000409985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2122557215},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2285478547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2757155509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2600401505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2399353443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2170557976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.294389204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917311585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2608295603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3882953089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.309895861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148401562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2937096117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.299797323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5840785476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5513806634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5081050375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4650588181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3037974276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3334938589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3656559409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3890777715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3072014173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892534086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3347200296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.279787656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2907474231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3484306928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3396718118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3365799026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4100270372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4144120647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4559461492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WLRRAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4529894356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4047995765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2316453286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2224010106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1980506533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2830533032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3786861648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3651544956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3476707446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2546953744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2371873668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2289606366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2154144193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1202159954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1186379936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1258653654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1422557555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977771687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978233852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979432414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981016746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.110425985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105522328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986258895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"0b350413b1a75fde7eb68df4eabcc4b213decb78c68b7116d9a0abe5a0a56f27","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003023104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1522809597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1779292653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2188335565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.269527678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977822681},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978318502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979969894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983893446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"25ae06cda2a115dcb46cbf0fc6bbe6975bfb3212b489e26634b6087d7163f0a5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979373514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"25ae06cda2a115dcb46cbf0fc6bbe6975bfb3212b489e26634b6087d7163f0a5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980485495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"25ae06cda2a115dcb46cbf0fc6bbe6975bfb3212b489e26634b6087d7163f0a5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983830437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"25ae06cda2a115dcb46cbf0fc6bbe6975bfb3212b489e26634b6087d7163f0a5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990937814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1232755248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1233318059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1249959545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1278717447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990306325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.119195283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1678344402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.234025141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1103970365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104504476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105869842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1110275791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977812051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978667656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981599981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988954353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979362014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980429996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983745438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990458822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979110649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979919705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982579629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"526c6528b20e5f276b77169c5421bffeddf4b52da372dbbe75ec1bee9126aa19","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989822958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0794709714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7435644637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1087941813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5452de11a0b8b0c855feb8d52ee116aa4b1ac3b7e719039ab35667c34cf2552b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1276119775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560422774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610506406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0731431311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"558aebef0c3c95c9559e54f27e8fa908da02917d9833abb9a2330d10b1b2b953","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.095770139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784181203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7052730255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6207083972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1680826996},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977730053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978326662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979728013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5c16552f64a5618561c82bd2f0207465acd9a8f20545856878a2c2d0a5215e96","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0982738461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536841683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556214347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0633700004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785434875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979209567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980927852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985206958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ff232a05617d574bfc6bad7c1a7122242e61e6418756e6aece8e60143ba635e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0994078884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977760553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978331562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980723626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6a1db1f9778fc5a45d290bbc14fbdd0594da68b8d8c94afb1ef7c1d7ac4d5537","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986314404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977883545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978979541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985421454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006531669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.097785955},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978461055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980026133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983671445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0809422459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0870022909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1013568422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1152460184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548231485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581078916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710224678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972840127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978524034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979731013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983825457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"8fd87bcc69c631b6d6f0eb2b91e50702340edf62f8f72c6fab9cde008fc4d941","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993258399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711111663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.731544672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6319713974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9073847fed8835b0457068f50f90de690f18b44c7257d0b1fef838bfabeda796","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.54006799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631013551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659525057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0753922921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0922807494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1163853317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1390749386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1874041011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4398447267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579619941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0727268883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0940854682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1103200368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.121735239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1386899452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1924340139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"a1c131d5c2ad476fc579b30b72ea6762e3b6324b0252a57c10c890436604f44f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2450181027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.097785906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.09784637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980035858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0983261582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.097901003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980016508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981919975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986169416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977760187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978467265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980209355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8b7f515a77f84eef9f67684e3e0fda572a040c30c2331fd2ae9cedf838805e3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984331063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0842158892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969706682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1184102966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1433148651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0889908064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.127680136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1644294992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2159786059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1190203555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1478709195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.217763575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c37effa43385e2f5a9a91bc99a278ac376fb8f10f1e11ea39fb621bfbf6e2c2f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.305712051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533790455},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546318863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0600769795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0738343711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667562917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0699461365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788409823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969006694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1474960426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1582946055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1907440432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.238998207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0968506702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1154403481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1639295079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4505695408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137054782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1202452648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1385549476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1612545542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1001756626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1118654101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1450248355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1751601664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978060037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978956021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981736973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2b3905701cc6e48e39c4b858b0ab42ffa7f5db8a6e0830c06fc94daf49cfb4b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991206309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977609305},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977911245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978728655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098077712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979821006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098709688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1015758384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.110770929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1103909966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979472637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980973246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984323938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1123354019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1160753371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1268851498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1405249134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827789182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3424150944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3750470128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ABT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4094000312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3202313257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.26573406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3770059097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ACN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4095096674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916374048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719121689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.249637808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.229436726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2968329738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2766049128},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2565795511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2341473666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2891632826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704629699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2508749401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2328695535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3030795592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3144091114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2710989712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2527951645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2914892356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275161925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2616349228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BKR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2492944277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2834341022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2672075662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3661107234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"BX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3943608599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2919487942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3309217125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2604987745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3763427634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3182595117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682150202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2470171316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.399294413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904058327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2734177698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2539658583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CMI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2346314722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2833713167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615764021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2356524885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"COO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4181137873},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.289213183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2669991496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3782124303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4158044308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.286909137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617797034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2366599036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"CTAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4142110577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917654161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3304394484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3558427113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DDOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2356571373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2843112902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2627412001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2380515237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2155789852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2921698303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3337884915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2551718104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"DTE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2374948787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3200318948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2724805674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2467632003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229210071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2921811734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3323714648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3593762775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2326513903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2883182331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2707029159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2497517861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2297327823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.294609089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2882825926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3381002036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2562180104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2873179008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2654078884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2399916486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2180339575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2868916272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3377134544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2492171633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3904624605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2920665964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27886808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.260296937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2404898851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2960637966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2800031881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.261305249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3711197592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2864800635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2668788739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2449689035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216605952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826238796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2650212521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2426500295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"LRCX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2226760265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2886487826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2717197259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2530734608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MET","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2353040851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3142367637},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2739636059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2532637093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3897378836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932151592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775617572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.256137785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MKTX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3930290035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2882465272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.335610195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2594123416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2436443756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2908257868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.277865619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.352733631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2427100949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876469634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2736296329},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2534317647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NDSN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2347999739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2927694243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2740554063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2534353346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.234296424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2866231266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2700646331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3590727565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"NTAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2365749675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2807859954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3543416113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3862129851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4185099665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889320177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3351061012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.252358656},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OTIS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3849684892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2953105112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3294423621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2590643749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2448253004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2903295146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2679498529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3717324465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2181421216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2885523335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2687542967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2494283657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"ROK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276118226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2857974965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3405610127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.367731695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3991581383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2936030205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2745178701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520587575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2343209044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2910929057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3308395983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610058121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TAP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3726055276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901397542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3417851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3722864855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"TDG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4101202144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"UAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2970101481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"UAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2829248528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"UAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2637761197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"UAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2501156724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187128805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3412708277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2452723347},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VICI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3981014277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2962285929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307792552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2581986937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2416112968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2888890597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.272047304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250356408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2296253966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904229876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748959689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2549373007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2381259444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0626544581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636248913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"10f8102f4bdd0b5db500869814917ff6f93cbd646ee39b75aad04e35c82a9269","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979425466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"24b8ba0edfa45228c3ab6b0ff8508712d611d3300c9df35f3213538f35016917","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0979123472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"24b8ba0edfa45228c3ab6b0ff8508712d611d3300c9df35f3213538f35016917","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099171391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"24b8ba0edfa45228c3ab6b0ff8508712d611d3300c9df35f3213538f35016917","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7108267263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"2957a6c81bb774fe85855ce3514e39f84944acf0265a9a6a6020ac54bc668c1e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3769056626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"2957a6c81bb774fe85855ce3514e39f84944acf0265a9a6a6020ac54bc668c1e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3606561942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"2957a6c81bb774fe85855ce3514e39f84944acf0265a9a6a6020ac54bc668c1e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.343181847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532559224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3693807055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"29cec9b1e064ff3bd83697866c37c4146e05ad96ff1e1ce53430ea4bed9bedfe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4000302619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"30e24c7adcde5a3b56d8828782f43f83f74bd14d4cb880536d4ca7a7e60c12bd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672962708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"30e24c7adcde5a3b56d8828782f43f83f74bd14d4cb880536d4ca7a7e60c12bd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672133101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"30e24c7adcde5a3b56d8828782f43f83f74bd14d4cb880536d4ca7a7e60c12bd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669140293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662141049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662475584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"35f003cdc2d9136604facd287af81b2204ee30d5c512d7ff4cc0e5b7153dff36","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663504441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990070282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0894726934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"39c5b1a8f0aa3ee1a768e46ccdc5f1c1e002783ebe12f6ba97b44bb869efa7d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.803467171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5852061031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1918751189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"40b3473267e8fd3786207bf54ac5cc4daa4feb95decf0546b45d15109389ed82","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4857570764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"43978019f4c4313a98877a44cfcc5b67d8ff5e3b38f79b1a37020471f6faafab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0684622325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"43978019f4c4313a98877a44cfcc5b67d8ff5e3b38f79b1a37020471f6faafab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711825103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"43978019f4c4313a98877a44cfcc5b67d8ff5e3b38f79b1a37020471f6faafab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0705069221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.071546254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0758539294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0821208708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54b946b5bb1f27ad718c986b0e4fe0d381ef13050e432ae3d38290fb8fc544ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.136525878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54b946b5bb1f27ad718c986b0e4fe0d381ef13050e432ae3d38290fb8fc544ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.141955784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54b946b5bb1f27ad718c986b0e4fe0d381ef13050e432ae3d38290fb8fc544ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1463094585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54eecbdca7698be8d5bd3545c994aad5e0c69f603bb2eed96c83c4df5eb8801b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786008448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54eecbdca7698be8d5bd3545c994aad5e0c69f603bb2eed96c83c4df5eb8801b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0661777991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"54eecbdca7698be8d5bd3545c994aad5e0c69f603bb2eed96c83c4df5eb8801b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664033103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539486615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545839981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"5921c6ffc9748441a5225ca88163da4b938b103c7f0540861f345a705fbd1130","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558197271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"644ca9601121c83f70791a8496df412fc0b607bf3d49105573f9122ec5d54bee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667634874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"644ca9601121c83f70791a8496df412fc0b607bf3d49105573f9122ec5d54bee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0684179103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"644ca9601121c83f70791a8496df412fc0b607bf3d49105573f9122ec5d54bee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0713173625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535625667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536439173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"660997c1e02a13ce590521ef6d3f4d036389f44a6c90cfc578a187625c4b2085","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053776877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"698466b8d63b8314526046ff2b7bc60e9f1ea54910407155ed95a8e70f373bf9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534386694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"698466b8d63b8314526046ff2b7bc60e9f1ea54910407155ed95a8e70f373bf9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534666703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"698466b8d63b8314526046ff2b7bc60e9f1ea54910407155ed95a8e70f373bf9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534976848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6a95269bd94aca4747d5761b0fca1d5f60baf0ca834b8936bb1c5db934d3a461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080322102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6a95269bd94aca4747d5761b0fca1d5f60baf0ca834b8936bb1c5db934d3a461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0857587578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6a95269bd94aca4747d5761b0fca1d5f60baf0ca834b8936bb1c5db934d3a461","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959108318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6bb20f2fa953ad52e9a54da9ce45747426263b23358b1fc8839ebc8c55a65c8f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1898337043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6bb20f2fa953ad52e9a54da9ce45747426263b23358b1fc8839ebc8c55a65c8f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2078283925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6bb20f2fa953ad52e9a54da9ce45747426263b23358b1fc8839ebc8c55a65c8f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2447527526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786012828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786623952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787609871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7525f05236eb1b07da89692f332fa3e5a48bfd0931afb8288dee7956a049e782","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1169526172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7525f05236eb1b07da89692f332fa3e5a48bfd0931afb8288dee7956a049e782","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1300312906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7525f05236eb1b07da89692f332fa3e5a48bfd0931afb8288dee7956a049e782","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1452527768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7618bfe9ea3faf2b1fcafc7d860dce9b58eb0c9ef6a29af004b5976ab59df30b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0857267588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7618bfe9ea3faf2b1fcafc7d860dce9b58eb0c9ef6a29af004b5976ab59df30b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0855005127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"7618bfe9ea3faf2b1fcafc7d860dce9b58eb0c9ef6a29af004b5976ab59df30b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0863155001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534688273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534853925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535148335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8d77f76d5b06156370549217985dc333d962677bf93f6b76d7f93574c08e0669","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540287206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8d77f76d5b06156370549217985dc333d962677bf93f6b76d7f93574c08e0669","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541852294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8d77f76d5b06156370549217985dc333d962677bf93f6b76d7f93574c08e0669","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545124492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.078733381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0788222815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8e8f8e8f1728eea042c282feb01cb7b1d7831135d67fd7c53071dadefe773417","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0789242433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8f66b465d186abe320bf50c3ce4b36ba4eeaaaf9ed54b7b3f0e2b7c056dbb92e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0794932163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8f66b465d186abe320bf50c3ce4b36ba4eeaaaf9ed54b7b3f0e2b7c056dbb92e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0810025027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"8f66b465d186abe320bf50c3ce4b36ba4eeaaaf9ed54b7b3f0e2b7c056dbb92e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827638722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9755a3f0fb1e92417cbdd09fcfaceda69ce82071953538c25376044a45987bea","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539708846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9755a3f0fb1e92417cbdd09fcfaceda69ce82071953538c25376044a45987bea","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541626743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9755a3f0fb1e92417cbdd09fcfaceda69ce82071953538c25376044a45987bea","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545081423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9a78c5cc2fd823b2c6d89a29890490cda7f28c4179c2b2aecc7b07466e8385b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659566526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9a78c5cc2fd823b2c6d89a29890490cda7f28c4179c2b2aecc7b07466e8385b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659574554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9a78c5cc2fd823b2c6d89a29890490cda7f28c4179c2b2aecc7b07466e8385b8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659965123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9bcb4e5af77993b2f61acdd782d86a901ddbeb1d6098e4b404408fafce177b93","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544025511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9bcb4e5af77993b2f61acdd782d86a901ddbeb1d6098e4b404408fafce177b93","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548429435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9bcb4e5af77993b2f61acdd782d86a901ddbeb1d6098e4b404408fafce177b93","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0557435779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0897460442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792735336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9c4b01945b2c904b225bba7cc46eef0a69e75af43994b1fc6530a29d1f232c0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0781055594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536214167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536966679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539702761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0586480276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588969732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9e689e10d06d0f1429c1880d45995e0a2f8d7bee963366562791b4183527d7df","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0598423069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552062372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558289264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"9ee79c34058bf67436b96f8a4448fd8252ada80c18363ef7e5977692bdba7714","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0575193971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0840403375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0882177152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a0d634ef1d2faff827cf4b6c0ad85e6c7defa785e0cfa1dd4651987baf269aa0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0840750369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a6dc4f712f75ec5810e66a3e7e09ac7835c1efc1141d53547d0f52d9d33190ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5550223761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a6dc4f712f75ec5810e66a3e7e09ac7835c1efc1141d53547d0f52d9d33190ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2132032993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a6dc4f712f75ec5810e66a3e7e09ac7835c1efc1141d53547d0f52d9d33190ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2609736716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a71824f8c6d14811feabd3a417205fd1ecd2ffbfc3818e4b7e862b0bf32a818b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544737499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a71824f8c6d14811feabd3a417205fd1ecd2ffbfc3818e4b7e862b0bf32a818b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549141923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"a71824f8c6d14811feabd3a417205fd1ecd2ffbfc3818e4b7e862b0bf32a818b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0557471778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b135db546c0f6fa1aee79e17858ac5519f1dc40650f7be41bed07b575b591919","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0570928545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b135db546c0f6fa1aee79e17858ac5519f1dc40650f7be41bed07b575b591919","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583572326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b135db546c0f6fa1aee79e17858ac5519f1dc40650f7be41bed07b575b591919","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0600752028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b4c131fd1c3447d265b8e9a1bb8d941de82c20210f1e7cfafeb3806d40ebaef6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664460984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b4c131fd1c3447d265b8e9a1bb8d941de82c20210f1e7cfafeb3806d40ebaef6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540677299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b4c131fd1c3447d265b8e9a1bb8d941de82c20210f1e7cfafeb3806d40ebaef6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542972744},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8443986617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0887832554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"b54aed70f20dc7be94de241f9396ad030a1aa892fa8f7ea5c5fd41de628c1b88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006502997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"bfe28789b1fb017c39e6cac557106c6b0bbbafdfdb50e987b05992d95177cf01","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7884845806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"bfe28789b1fb017c39e6cac557106c6b0bbbafdfdb50e987b05992d95177cf01","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1309789242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"bfe28789b1fb017c39e6cac557106c6b0bbbafdfdb50e987b05992d95177cf01","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7011548439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"cf3066302737d85cdb3d3188414916e9ce8bfd53786f1b06da0e4251f12e0dcf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534340885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"cf3066302737d85cdb3d3188414916e9ce8bfd53786f1b06da0e4251f12e0dcf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534533836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"cf3066302737d85cdb3d3188414916e9ce8bfd53786f1b06da0e4251f12e0dcf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535017872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d04c5905c5e94ada7746da46a6c11b842a5fda81323982f5f4fa6f002b13cfc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664623421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d04c5905c5e94ada7746da46a6c11b842a5fda81323982f5f4fa6f002b13cfc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666829383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d04c5905c5e94ada7746da46a6c11b842a5fda81323982f5f4fa6f002b13cfc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0671566301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d9dfe7c80498053fb7ccb057a45a1471505fe274e49158cf45b9e56e996fbd98","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672209915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d9dfe7c80498053fb7ccb057a45a1471505fe274e49158cf45b9e56e996fbd98","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0679071171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"d9dfe7c80498053fb7ccb057a45a1471505fe274e49158cf45b9e56e996fbd98","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.069300993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e0f76685b373f0a78fc81e0f2ca310945c121e6113daa0394ee00e0a276c7a0a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0976856511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e0f76685b373f0a78fc81e0f2ca310945c121e6113daa0394ee00e0a276c7a0a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1046675801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e0f76685b373f0a78fc81e0f2ca310945c121e6113daa0394ee00e0a276c7a0a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1150445003},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e14e4760acb5af34d7a6f7799283e4490f63dbb8df02a14a46c810d774b2b475","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0819331741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e14e4760acb5af34d7a6f7799283e4490f63dbb8df02a14a46c810d774b2b475","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707707175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e14e4760acb5af34d7a6f7799283e4490f63dbb8df02a14a46c810d774b2b475","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073280724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e23431ccb960c5a77d030e4c9f7c1e0aed45898ad4e9ed7d2784eecc22dfe4a8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2648786539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e23431ccb960c5a77d030e4c9f7c1e0aed45898ad4e9ed7d2784eecc22dfe4a8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2746734842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e23431ccb960c5a77d030e4c9f7c1e0aed45898ad4e9ed7d2784eecc22dfe4a8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2965368553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710620124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074375705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0811205881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e7a52dcf3f8c21af25be5a47a717630b25be0467bfe7a8a304642719f2a74442","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710638624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e7a52dcf3f8c21af25be5a47a717630b25be0467bfe7a8a304642719f2a74442","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0847000261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"e7a52dcf3f8c21af25be5a47a717630b25be0467bfe7a8a304642719f2a74442","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.083607895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"efdcb1c990c5f8d0d0e75ab06796d795b1047aa49b9d037687b4a5bf4c028820","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1721497607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"efdcb1c990c5f8d0d0e75ab06796d795b1047aa49b9d037687b4a5bf4c028820","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7033535058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"efdcb1c990c5f8d0d0e75ab06796d795b1047aa49b9d037687b4a5bf4c028820","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6738867164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"f3fa9d7314b6c62fbe0daf66dfea1d6270c06500c2a0025f16795fb0ff000160","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534269355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"f3fa9d7314b6c62fbe0daf66dfea1d6270c06500c2a0025f16795fb0ff000160","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534431207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"f3fa9d7314b6c62fbe0daf66dfea1d6270c06500c2a0025f16795fb0ff000160","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534877855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"faec5cf3edbc2ff9187f2ae7f829607b0e12e3d88e381d0decae1818103ddeb2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540750068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"faec5cf3edbc2ff9187f2ae7f829607b0e12e3d88e381d0decae1818103ddeb2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544021511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"acled","id":"faec5cf3edbc2ff9187f2ae7f829607b0e12e3d88e381d0decae1818103ddeb2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551863876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3569712959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.207153566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5561941048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3462062529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2038201195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5445494122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623909627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2856172106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1678840847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.32553635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3019217639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.193810013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4735258321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612859318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3388220925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2480904502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5707561738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599122061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3441655412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2027740066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5269497511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643458788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.327550174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2260748921},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4788172558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9151761352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3512969761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2271816562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5428251583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596672599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3349711893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2229741629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5486724862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0627610063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3538559283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2239069358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1439099237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0587559757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2906825032},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1997468243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4821938206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708520661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3312332556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2437282636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.143509882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0597460585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3332766434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2318836464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5505552953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0604621961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3853996849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3128221409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6054765641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9556955331},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3317046471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1918153756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1533561211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588859734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3244221296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.230056478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1486912786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620453687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2833201419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1822172992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1861887799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795824148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295976657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2144774447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5627363814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0591261193},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3333320385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2202042112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.149943611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0718874481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2016179783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5911558952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0586760271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2995082633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2245860339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.49138711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0743463555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3248895844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2109213287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.069356292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.371716573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2725172497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5990844452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0574909976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3480043833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2634974945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1447797155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.377984293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2886646045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5591305021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649021692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2875070101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1905466639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2083948975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1151700981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3113234763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2380084086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1835419608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1113513143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3556577554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904357236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1407264739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618914214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752998614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2181752206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5311813547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0609581875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.332807253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2801442973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0587609756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2956788216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2301525404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1533874496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606121935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162008366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2390465449},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1891795728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.074552302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3292810398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1954442408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2104143891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639759352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2785266611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.194409139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.19930887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635437427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3601267494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2782601653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.191857056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0743307058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3033881571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3699571176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081198691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1352086404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896257954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3346945016},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4200555322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048130474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2674409853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3554950672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1255898176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3334320936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2237599013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3953252526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.164864137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3516180223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2728091652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3531815195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1593842319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3352753696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4925568244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3358861734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3151151226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2667077363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.37033051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2872670159},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2438127689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1868187565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3206004406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3629721418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3586884763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1758963958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2780117163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2561506849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4111338174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0926004392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3827518036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2735822531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2236981446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3690384278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2316779792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3146498722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1785089005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5623522491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2550725738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.336601161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3062343506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287684234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3238940321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3512879565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042257509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3095078829},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3097108843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3169855517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3103867706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2844882389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2515759138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4150359893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.308872351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042003806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3092781778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3165012667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2972655551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3432673739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.23875456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4349225289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3021447324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3337737907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422851983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4287454068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3036911727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3241047591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690399053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.376590151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081734705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353782675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520329672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4203349264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303010332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.281722861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2611240053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2442539738},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134989366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.306988713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.299859058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2971681713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3099857651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3025783865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3039879804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIEY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3001823357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3538988066},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2300639154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.199654658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1692131603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2905728009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2781530719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2497772091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2265303998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3467864906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3445847269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.342715782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3463655431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3242920223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3418112054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2538637344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2354689725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148214518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3365976879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3596756636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3863784694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3017061185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3004367313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3026111586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3087379091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.082679045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0934145732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1125223253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1503432169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102294946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3199509018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3006462148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3365653691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3084123183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296042706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3304147939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2788251127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2906226611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852796301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2845361251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS10","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2860044239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3065205875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3191953317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3295785737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.283652235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2761303511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479307442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4121459941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1910543743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2624036522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2261241734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1864611882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1551889425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2589823252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2716028071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2783812064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.289095444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.13601824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1493953421},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1878114953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2396817729},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162160035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3037222351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3204356376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3399483299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3626374577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3795310633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3394251444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3274724692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3787022326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4294597413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5411018173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2148804987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264738017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.240333776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3267778969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2861032074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2880592907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3444578615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.329483601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3664177071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4177802576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1841599636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3332572784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3673253526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4078367289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQCOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1926462015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3012165698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3171942575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798984048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2684675225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31739581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3508274021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2339441282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2087626081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2836103458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2633421226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2374118828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2136417096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1686186943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1704816038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1908528249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2274621411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3098136775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040774021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3106467544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3163194833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932463897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2944334871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3237744548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322884257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3039460907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2959331721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.205441592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5054593065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2692650007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3580504233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2431595599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2419767713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2423153101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2478238494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3019751819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3350329779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3583336915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3860999907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3025805476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2981181964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3229138786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2993659691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3407777763},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3301850525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096301175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TMBACBW027SBOG","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2874198396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2548793913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2067161869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1599609419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"TOTBKCR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1310304663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.299243851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.299101062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3192830603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3030484327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4886381617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4737835379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422396825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2759622529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5150532296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4823543223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4356502828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.387596558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2487937878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2255695049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2148127149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6228269545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.596853002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5447174711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4798386288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1110367207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111474718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1113634391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0802b5b12af1b6cb6e4fe0b9a0e0d3823118535bf951137614e499af0cf329d1","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1117807068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985758357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987115333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991767753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"0f2532ef303196d59163eca38db9ce68b93b23343c320fc091d29106a5c324c6","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1000644599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984216933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984807553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098641344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"11fa5610f111d380c8edbfacc9ef3153b22a2e4088afd24a125dab8b21eacd88","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.099048262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1040602906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1292147547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1723490073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2277480473},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098410702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984514903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985595615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"17a76738a6d44a7201b2667ab83c6dee316e1d7a763240e1f3597d687955ce6d","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988645312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0880055688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977815494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1225198708},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1527077474},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984255898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098495938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986678851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"228f58f43e797536b588717941b28dbd1e4eb5b91fdbf8a85e983bdae81a5806","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991041275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985630864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987699328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0994400212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"38ffedf32d4ca14903ace5aea31ec5a49444b8f646db87a8d0a32746c5359abe","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005775015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984832373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988082816},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1001017592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1040701905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1296075479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1543112199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1686591212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.185232184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538139113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546173974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0566883115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636695905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554361337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579076404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618176226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3eefe990de6f2a6700e2b2f62c0d42634f8b264adb121af16ddfb67b02af1eca","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664041432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098440701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985116373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986967341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991673259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989118298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.099247724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004113539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037389462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539907083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550895892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0590563705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.068142863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985357394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986067176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987552456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991527262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542474538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0557323281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632471479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.081130588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0781388464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0945226021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1246748334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.171248994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969921402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6882550674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1493944051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"5e5fae96f10319998728a48a5c42d909cef7cce4a39c194ac10e68c9a35ee023","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1906360728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0839479048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004453726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1281746759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5505678212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.069585838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812280863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1023982694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1338952006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2014769525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2028527412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2042926058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"61c0fb3703e68cee2439afd5c2d71522bc6649a1fa154491f58981456fa8ab68","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2072584029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984181399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984778904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986311482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c834e9904b9b09a57386aa94c93dc600991e09d47658cc609744c020e4c220c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989791812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540592571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547587949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0574394485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"7c17d34e37d8cea481d3933f4e1c2c091bd523c3980043e539cde90fbc08f29a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8957227223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984256413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984814363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986593227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990993916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0997017662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007039488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1021784732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1044152345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985621364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986471364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989637914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999086626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984157394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984574512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098583138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"88305b6a23ef54bc19a115b4bda19fb289d1a052a0905bd2b9c15a82f4a0d678","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989194472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0880667678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972603085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1057951606},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1189945263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1181449966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1281810227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1552643033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2036484649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987710323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.099250774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008887956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1059134585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1436395048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1621941833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.213513294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4261396095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1423199276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1485837691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1550496071},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"9fc87840aa0bebfcd6c03cdfbcdb1b6a11120bdb0419d0d9334301cf536a88fd","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1613549978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984230398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098468448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986218119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989958039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984273902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985029689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987107458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0992129246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984156524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098471418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986043727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988468935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977803494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7149346051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5989016158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"b8e27a7e7701b6421105d5b5b9d78fdee04c5639bf6b26b609afa54b447fd55a","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5041432578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1001003092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1153899943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1430095157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1757189489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984168149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984770519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986575723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990824399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0642089782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7967536529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1068285353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6018764316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.165380378},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1839788058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2186382052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750072284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985918354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0996222175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1155260919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427732698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986107351},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988562308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007785475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1086514611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f29c6f83166a6d890c34703dbcb2c1f785937e0d9911fcab7c1c8019fb0c1023","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986405345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f29c6f83166a6d890c34703dbcb2c1f785937e0d9911fcab7c1c8019fb0c1023","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989929784},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f29c6f83166a6d890c34703dbcb2c1f785937e0d9911fcab7c1c8019fb0c1023","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004120038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f29c6f83166a6d890c34703dbcb2c1f785937e0d9911fcab7c1c8019fb0c1023","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036726973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0908004204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0947753515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1083301166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6e3e3769143b8cd7eb46d257e5c5200c3d9ce18883382593eb5850d49097c9e","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1274247858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.322323965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2696786565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2498496173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ADI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2298341775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3160611762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2767778977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.353394094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BIO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3771844127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3185013671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719512767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3669649422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"BSX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4023019699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"C","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2948397465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"C","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2831173757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"C","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.343421203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"C","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250748815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3194212897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3424330709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3722834344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2222958793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129110603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.281903665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2627516605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2456810188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2982866086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2838986358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2622559847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.244141246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179256198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3343731038},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2551282272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2368796517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"COIN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3088061497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"COIN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3212359772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"COIN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3357709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"COIN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3534024587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2895391658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27214458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3605701209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3890985592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3137548596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3347295685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2535149454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"CSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2335518734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2893697459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.273532633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2544066767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"DOV","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2315480534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2905274657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2727657109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3652550856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3932827539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EQT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3135995169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EQT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3242694622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EQT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.270196817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EQT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532296685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3141062333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.332500672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2586243789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"ETR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2401840552},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3198481872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3396490901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3708529948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4026419762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134090171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2815725846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2678232854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2496101367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2922324624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2804865679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3427965266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3659721089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2911754854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2713779777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2502489116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"FRT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2297637929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2914759469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2756397867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2576430597},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2396475558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.321433593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3412597199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466824074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"HCA","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4005508924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3210764639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.341777411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3698287047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4006204196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3097016026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818944979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610764863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IFF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2427958275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821301824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2664145148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.248042819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"IR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3960721938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2957505819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2769993178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2594787566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"KMX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410895148},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138314244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3299462409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.350632358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3742587273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2928528907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748715791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2507812459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2254378232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2874667058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2678525064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2449903446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.224249043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"META","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3212113604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"META","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3383562984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"META","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3666028959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"META","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3969887726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.293025291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3358250484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NKE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3629265736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NKE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3928959916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2922259402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2735654876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3625214358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"NXPI","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2323859288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3158676327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3342110915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.252382859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2339610978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889033884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719666611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3597326187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3906699691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2952376735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2809891827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642470248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2493699289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134699063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277967506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.264583671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"SRE","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466208116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3210228188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2710310254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.247599463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TDY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2266766029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.318566377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749984648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2551712012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2386117725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2908273391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.276406011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540350699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TKO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2352141844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3219850398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2673220164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3749267584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TMO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4087969772},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.323819582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3422887672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3672223324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TSCO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3981793106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3005876175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117096187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2906987865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2709677731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900390819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749218897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2554729914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"TXT","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.237700825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916101203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2825043382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2639185749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2463229851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124161757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2819162271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2651028731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"VLO","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2498778452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2867490132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3411855343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.368259231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDAY","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3960767837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2941547422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2807170207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2674884627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2543072682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WSM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2911543707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WSM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2790453141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WSM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610005375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"WSM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2395770691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904071583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2734270361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2572287599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2391364814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3154411235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753275644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3595098611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"yfinance","id":"XYL","horizon":180.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3884525403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"03bb1ef2f37b80e18f8f439cdee2b401d0c8dd7b9ee23c174dc33de82d77e8ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634908936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"03bb1ef2f37b80e18f8f439cdee2b401d0c8dd7b9ee23c174dc33de82d77e8ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683558093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"03bb1ef2f37b80e18f8f439cdee2b401d0c8dd7b9ee23c174dc33de82d77e8ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0806255967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"055b227f00fa9402721de3d33f8ad7a0dcc1a1d03a25eea711db08742ab14a94","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1194406741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"055b227f00fa9402721de3d33f8ad7a0dcc1a1d03a25eea711db08742ab14a94","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1255867176},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"055b227f00fa9402721de3d33f8ad7a0dcc1a1d03a25eea711db08742ab14a94","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1462069603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2113633312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2281430405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4544641187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"09c29b4250d2e7a801631722af12a39843e3765d3bc764391c8ff68e552a6166","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1880700654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"09c29b4250d2e7a801631722af12a39843e3765d3bc764391c8ff68e552a6166","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1827108082},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"09c29b4250d2e7a801631722af12a39843e3765d3bc764391c8ff68e552a6166","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1994664179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"0ba9035d5decb9528c784d2824f9eb84b64eb1860e4ebe7bc263c5e6787a48b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0661771476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"0ba9035d5decb9528c784d2824f9eb84b64eb1860e4ebe7bc263c5e6787a48b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666755509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"0ba9035d5decb9528c784d2824f9eb84b64eb1860e4ebe7bc263c5e6787a48b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675601411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.066612692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0668398361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"137df0b7a4554647968b599f4ac27ea3fea264e2a454e2eb10f95c49ad25446e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0671347825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536829641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536076659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053656968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"21b95fd95d946e38f2aae421de38ffde58fcab3cad92f857b64ddc306b298d41","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534279181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"21b95fd95d946e38f2aae421de38ffde58fcab3cad92f857b64ddc306b298d41","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534469817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"21b95fd95d946e38f2aae421de38ffde58fcab3cad92f857b64ddc306b298d41","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534939184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"347997cc473a5e1e034565d5996ccf223641f796b49ec22a238e23563fbb4160","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851809678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"347997cc473a5e1e034565d5996ccf223641f796b49ec22a238e23563fbb4160","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0902666796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"347997cc473a5e1e034565d5996ccf223641f796b49ec22a238e23563fbb4160","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956615862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"36d9eb224f6555d519de9205b8d4157d55bd732a0e08f433b0405736742e7593","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0572836012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"36d9eb224f6555d519de9205b8d4157d55bd732a0e08f433b0405736742e7593","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0585539292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"36d9eb224f6555d519de9205b8d4157d55bd732a0e08f433b0405736742e7593","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0598197072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0947583423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1010401735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"41fa73f9b3c32f2235d2b91081a8d3491f7667ad222079a07b9af607a7c31e74","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1078122061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa907b68f619b63ce5cd9b49cb9926a3db074421a4a14b6d2f04e10216cfa9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2375881268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa907b68f619b63ce5cd9b49cb9926a3db074421a4a14b6d2f04e10216cfa9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5407906728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4aa907b68f619b63ce5cd9b49cb9926a3db074421a4a14b6d2f04e10216cfa9d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5100976046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0790082747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0793906181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4d3138e094a948d6402ff572086e04bafa2de05844ea6db755dae68c71ebab61","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080319352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4fb7b4d5b7f6aee1d66867aa605ca9b3a56e0117cc4795c950fed4188a8a7e1a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7725180573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4fb7b4d5b7f6aee1d66867aa605ca9b3a56e0117cc4795c950fed4188a8a7e1a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1209739475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"4fb7b4d5b7f6aee1d66867aa605ca9b3a56e0117cc4795c950fed4188a8a7e1a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1361934338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"53f095ec85afa740101aa7c729e652f9cfd24dd57872898303726bc8a86a7388","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0776789498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"53f095ec85afa740101aa7c729e652f9cfd24dd57872898303726bc8a86a7388","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.079021587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"53f095ec85afa740101aa7c729e652f9cfd24dd57872898303726bc8a86a7388","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0802552531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1104233809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1244884491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5a5dd6f530b482865f37a6aaf52048dd38c69a777464ca020f6a8fd1d0c35a25","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1052101207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.085343465},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0906961222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969685135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6bb3a3aa40aa7a4c5d0ba9762d2e33efcb5131606b4fa3a7f6f5e1b9aa15f63f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726960341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6bb3a3aa40aa7a4c5d0ba9762d2e33efcb5131606b4fa3a7f6f5e1b9aa15f63f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0770669584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6bb3a3aa40aa7a4c5d0ba9762d2e33efcb5131606b4fa3a7f6f5e1b9aa15f63f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823638166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6183633785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2104197976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6be5327d38fcd7b8d34c96fb3a0856891d14f2fbdc60951828e96e4dda36b34f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5377091261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6f2caec49706be33cbee65b63605146e6d654da82c054c0e098ec422a89ec92b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0877406734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6f2caec49706be33cbee65b63605146e6d654da82c054c0e098ec422a89ec92b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0951419952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"6f2caec49706be33cbee65b63605146e6d654da82c054c0e098ec422a89ec92b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1026014659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"72120b9fbfb12e23d2f05bde69e1fddbb4b816fef91a04fc021f138d770c4823","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8628675416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"72120b9fbfb12e23d2f05bde69e1fddbb4b816fef91a04fc021f138d770c4823","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1197522812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"72120b9fbfb12e23d2f05bde69e1fddbb4b816fef91a04fc021f138d770c4823","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956400365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6601636042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.183445265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7324000fa5d5d32e83c2d260425c63152ec88965e22de78f03bcf54a74b0f973","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2123398143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"766f114edc027e02123f3398c14402952b326c3c4d300c88a838a317bed96edc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667794412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"766f114edc027e02123f3398c14402952b326c3c4d300c88a838a317bed96edc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0703774368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"766f114edc027e02123f3398c14402952b326c3c4d300c88a838a317bed96edc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690835092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7789e3268403020b81e95cfc7a90446448986989db02d1237afc7af42efc05c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1060801556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7789e3268403020b81e95cfc7a90446448986989db02d1237afc7af42efc05c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1081763693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7789e3268403020b81e95cfc7a90446448986989db02d1237afc7af42efc05c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1146243076},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7c7f4bb8e6b6eaaaffcf8397ba1e99c30c5ed1be3676dede2c72a20cdae104c1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582535344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7c7f4bb8e6b6eaaaffcf8397ba1e99c30c5ed1be3676dede2c72a20cdae104c1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595422121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"7c7f4bb8e6b6eaaaffcf8397ba1e99c30c5ed1be3676dede2c72a20cdae104c1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0618159227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545341988},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547991942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"8a531050a50c0b37027e4e2ef0fed0009a62ed5767e0953cb67cc75be496816d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055335435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1259500113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1299029428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"952de03f3e1b6b9679a372ef16b72ea4b7b42d841f504feb5819d06ffe1de921","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7357780439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"98afd51ce16d3f7540f9ca54353dee0f9e7514db215fd5942f427e80c5111280","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0668625352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"98afd51ce16d3f7540f9ca54353dee0f9e7514db215fd5942f427e80c5111280","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551245511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"98afd51ce16d3f7540f9ca54353dee0f9e7514db215fd5942f427e80c5111280","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0565092146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"99534e3a72fbbf93c30a5ca0c576afa799b12e57e4dd7df7d7a33a8c4be78aaa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670158961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"99534e3a72fbbf93c30a5ca0c576afa799b12e57e4dd7df7d7a33a8c4be78aaa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0671635985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"99534e3a72fbbf93c30a5ca0c576afa799b12e57e4dd7df7d7a33a8c4be78aaa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0674850494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536250276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537064382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9aefd8b419366567aaa3db496990a33a29714c732520d422004b383bc02d1272","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538701353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9c4b4c3da1318944ae23b47df8b8d11a14cec31426486874d38b04c97b54872c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0783909379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9c4b4c3da1318944ae23b47df8b8d11a14cec31426486874d38b04c97b54872c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533966712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9c4b4c3da1318944ae23b47df8b8d11a14cec31426486874d38b04c97b54872c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533973242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659061058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659062559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9cf5bd4d978bea8033ab0cfe860f909b73ae468f0430863185b38ec6eba7f505","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659068103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0586260279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0621259673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"9d4864773266c4a569d83762f1da3547a387adde920f67bf504071990bb39b3f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687521025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"a5b72c68c2339dc8bc81a7ef2b739560dd5228604588cb61944f8d00cc661e1f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1734139888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"a5b72c68c2339dc8bc81a7ef2b739560dd5228604588cb61944f8d00cc661e1f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1832788179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"a5b72c68c2339dc8bc81a7ef2b739560dd5228604588cb61944f8d00cc661e1f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1969285814},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ab7af7f097bd58fe0b19b5067af47418259ea6a774ee4379b05a16892a8ae3c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691508456},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ab7af7f097bd58fe0b19b5067af47418259ea6a774ee4379b05a16892a8ae3c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0589809718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ab7af7f097bd58fe0b19b5067af47418259ea6a774ee4379b05a16892a8ae3c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614659287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ac43cd61f87f519f995adf1968358c113855c60957e12599c8744994b3964593","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3930351831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ac43cd61f87f519f995adf1968358c113855c60957e12599c8744994b3964593","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3439710333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ac43cd61f87f519f995adf1968358c113855c60957e12599c8744994b3964593","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2941718963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b116d87ad801f2eb66404d27cdbcf83eed05f3173fd506fc17da22254ad87536","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0922457454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b116d87ad801f2eb66404d27cdbcf83eed05f3173fd506fc17da22254ad87536","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0906467231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b116d87ad801f2eb66404d27cdbcf83eed05f3173fd506fc17da22254ad87536","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0926998875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784546608},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534605701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b1f34345e780ed887155b55c13cf66dad7385e372d0ccc2a1b491a9d65a25d4d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534615309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0793819808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0798269506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b23d9f826a6e4f783fe494e782ce70a79e458640f0cf4d2eee3e562824161200","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0806886081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0994572704},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0908129202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"b9045a3183366b432065a3aacd9502d996bfc28443636af61f2905a64b95ed9f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8141363361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c39d11c3fb96c753be09fabd013cebe406da61f4eb3f5f12d24b41501f749f53","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1366391261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c39d11c3fb96c753be09fabd013cebe406da61f4eb3f5f12d24b41501f749f53","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1766311831},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c39d11c3fb96c753be09fabd013cebe406da61f4eb3f5f12d24b41501f749f53","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2665520249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c5b9aa50a8b18f5229a92dcf63f4a62607a36d7d79b94ff49e3bf42da7d47b08","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767921631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c5b9aa50a8b18f5229a92dcf63f4a62607a36d7d79b94ff49e3bf42da7d47b08","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0682448613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c5b9aa50a8b18f5229a92dcf63f4a62607a36d7d79b94ff49e3bf42da7d47b08","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707008687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c6d4bbade6c13b80b9471713e992cabe74ac23b92b41b04a33e5da56a15f6cd7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537673756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c6d4bbade6c13b80b9471713e992cabe74ac23b92b41b04a33e5da56a15f6cd7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537764645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"c6d4bbade6c13b80b9471713e992cabe74ac23b92b41b04a33e5da56a15f6cd7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539067182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675022247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0685975576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702184836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1a65b6f444f2ee04ec46b2a13c431728e27a6415b24f70e61923ade44bbe7c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800468567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1a65b6f444f2ee04ec46b2a13c431728e27a6415b24f70e61923ade44bbe7c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0807034954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1a65b6f444f2ee04ec46b2a13c431728e27a6415b24f70e61923ade44bbe7c0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823843162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1aaefde181285ed2c3764b1af19c3c50a377e9c621e6adc48e44ceba3c8d2b9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0701800797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1aaefde181285ed2c3764b1af19c3c50a377e9c621e6adc48e44ceba3c8d2b9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0708092613},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d1aaefde181285ed2c3764b1af19c3c50a377e9c621e6adc48e44ceba3c8d2b9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.916749258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535488674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535548239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"d8bef2384c7a9f0cd46d52d9f307c80844500ae589652470140a59cbaf951d20","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535652826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"e25d20b75343fb0c9cd67b0891dac2d5045e3485a0e79247f5c66e1fad02c66c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658652845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"e25d20b75343fb0c9cd67b0891dac2d5045e3485a0e79247f5c66e1fad02c66c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689527895},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"e25d20b75343fb0c9cd67b0891dac2d5045e3485a0e79247f5c66e1fad02c66c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0746838497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ebcb744b66dd6c20525acca405947325ba5e709434293a54618fa0f687ba5735","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6608475923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ebcb744b66dd6c20525acca405947325ba5e709434293a54618fa0f687ba5735","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1858615731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"ebcb744b66dd6c20525acca405947325ba5e709434293a54618fa0f687ba5735","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5626909433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"fe30e48ca357bef8e04efccce83241aa399e9c884084c833833d50b10ec56e26","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1626498754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"fe30e48ca357bef8e04efccce83241aa399e9c884084c833833d50b10ec56e26","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.689549095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"acled","id":"fe30e48ca357bef8e04efccce83241aa399e9c884084c833833d50b10ec56e26","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1535647828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2799791487},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.223668118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.536149671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2510935093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.175713949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5020355232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2537388249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1806138641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4008509653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2403189183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1803538686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4444754309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2649950959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1928386522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.496559512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2616695161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1837588096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5242634444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.309528081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1786570044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3530995734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2387410603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1603391005},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3177956648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514011376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1579192573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2340158924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2517074984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1812788525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5272149418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2397126957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1683890759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.187407622},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2679123513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1941036303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5245865429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2501237096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1832550183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2102758761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2315955513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1757539483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1902380848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852310774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2091583694},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1838506361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2665022319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2133132974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2121760645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2893819793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2394728441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1483578369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2260942275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1713097458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1885199226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2865120716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1791638892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617603658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.279395399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2199195689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1833125409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2563575515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1709352818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4778225609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2569425414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2029884764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5286099348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3183264777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.257657529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.130339986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295341876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2150032682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1852592302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2110833361},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2060263973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2709722983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2165932406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5632745527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2774188781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2315579813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1806475919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3446010584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3877102925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1346917907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.274127571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2203412712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1638443845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2363916842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1867237582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2157737832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2727813169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2116361265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5384350035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3351907134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2415576462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5580309793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3161969661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1907751915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5674309945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3103066167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2442327617},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5230401044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2898848184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2581445521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2886040667},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31566615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3232680432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4467785619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3176021872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3614666531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4481492281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750105398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.393408906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3152003224},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3422307104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2548648658},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3857227298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3113056706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2778614236},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4210638324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2881327486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2356694186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795744761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3416032135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3949551499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5145628982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3275613177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2553803685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3520477433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2827964578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4200663228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3118782372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3916325679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2866170272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179306344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2864117585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4189558298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3496707877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3316506055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3557918809},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3040873408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3196291883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2796632505},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3159929583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3533521074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276712103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3034040686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.301754882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2992024856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3111429979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3517475821},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361580048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3024487308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3031822739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC4A0C710YEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3080842047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2626486386},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3913171892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4489049258},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2980962877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3362083893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2369916121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2865757981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3787003015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4039253644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304184178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876602792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"CREACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690107241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574114974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2744242503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3306144714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3188268657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2735532805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2558985164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138485252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3301368666},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3520735761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1368833787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1423313359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1615175145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081297603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904376269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2787130851},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2986698134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2844211644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3487961871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912563391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3160250424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3157298191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2943853673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096011971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3086446862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2971828219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3197755555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096181503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2803659423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2371150018},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1906571583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2609730706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3477451548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3545046256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2918581901},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3320878853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTB6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3425121257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31289849},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316676728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899736713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2785292438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF2YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2767239598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3118841725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3384368022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2608214243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3099967634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3125529686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3178469703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.413421716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3221440317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2755045312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4808403647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4743520125},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4602578948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270777739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2264840172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2952304938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3037557993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060505013},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3235262513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.358060953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2289070794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3056025957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3097243734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIFHA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3071809009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3026688113},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077679749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.313989333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3366132643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3420223273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4465971585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4528090395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4311387557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2705931068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775480512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"RIFSPPFAAD90NB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897785218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2583544464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2597256655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR180DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2563333577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2407586229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.22345897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2406755629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2816815698},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3495788315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3900769665},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6156768462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5737685364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190002542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.29778991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296412188},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3333880131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917752255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642050527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2253538343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5772601425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5676615012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5345965513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2642339525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.25275709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"USEPUINDXD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2332532858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131929757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646713055},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VIXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.242584722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.26253793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3550677948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"VXVCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3458915812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2816386998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2898504818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3409190368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4864276928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2052795782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2165953788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.403946402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2312339546},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2236850509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2840015174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3832028633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2530109585},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.356492509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3464086291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3473757677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984268397},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984845432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986515219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989605335},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100602485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103632748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985718857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988935302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999045626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736669673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851405185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7057447643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984105926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984362056},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2828a545f898c8f13f5c613c6f6cd01e6f4bbbc96e285969f39f2b926eaf90d7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985332594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984218893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984924956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"2fba64d43aa5d7177f38979d8c93d10e579c21c66e539f37e088c4d9f791424d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986511084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986266848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991529757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1018564788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.05389286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549514416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0577114438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985518371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0988223839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0994321773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538637105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547048459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4651d16e683bc20fe0c0a04dcbb52fddf2982ec3df016a52643e5aee291b37ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579150903},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985371548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985968323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987715823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1769363413},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1969597808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216066037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"57ea48993ece0fc4bc79a71f7e8074b46aba52003044da4ee4fdbad5972148f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.238124468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"57ea48993ece0fc4bc79a71f7e8074b46aba52003044da4ee4fdbad5972148f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2471639129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"57ea48993ece0fc4bc79a71f7e8074b46aba52003044da4ee4fdbad5972148f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2563647559},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546274472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573009509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5ca04a3a78c7ffe5817f080f95e883a83edd6a1471caba48d435448a2d879b52","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660365495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984223393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985625384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d3843b63337bfacb27814102cd56f9d2bc77974d84c80d81aa0bdb2a0e057d9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990210909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0875827773},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1056415693},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.132639296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984269392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"64a2f13b54dc91d5869907852cd6792941a530300de5c0ca9de055879af31502","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986717845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536137648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054005458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553673344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984593877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987065334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0997241158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984257508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984840373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986521843},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544988995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0565866133},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"831a289e8d494cce6ac96eb97eadd8a2d80ec3d7e406ae440bad864583a12adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620334189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683729249},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0782656376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8702851a2593fcd3d2587481a2fcb623e775e3cbfe86abad2641bb34a13138ce","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1094509647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985357864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985616859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"87e7a67add0d7b22541fc2a586dc693df417e2805ed619aa45acec927e0ee3e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986751339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969519039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1164674871},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8858797caf705a63035ce385c7e41cb40f87b610063d4b00877e2dcf2beed9d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6101814203},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0828255586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0999002627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1363496311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540681569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560141232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623085141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540005581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551546881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0593301657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984254898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985107883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986914867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989204797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0994363208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"975d02beef1ceddee5c08e950f851f87e0544a43acf3a0b2d21c2e2eac16c3c5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1020371757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851257591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005826488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1294237802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054293653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563000682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b2d7953344ca7b2fd37c2ef0d9664053da9a26d774fcd4c6e315e74340bd6bf0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634488944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098440689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985366388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987480457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984155405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984711943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"b899fff1b7d81ff8f5203e1233c0fcf42d9ab6058d40a023e3a8b395dbb1461b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986102252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0970901334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162180356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1516543659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984260893},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098582638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991001911},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1112854164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1114321604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1117723575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1030614579},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1228298654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1839188068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0930354817},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103170406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"cdca2eb7619f3a2c6a954fe6a316587bcfb568e3ef409d92b8eabe5dd2515bc3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1200961627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0671555538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851783246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.113855515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1150762997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1269647937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1630041692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540142578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554754825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d5e1fda224104cd3bac9ce8ab4b4face291793306f3bcf515c4be96b4fef9f7e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059950755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1158612861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1363946303},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5375226794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984219463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985091653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"d700c61c4b988b77ca70229e22c13ef7a0c0bff407f8056a5c363c58b514aa6c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987974448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984656411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985862775},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098815274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984206399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984676015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985991883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670927766},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0990981377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.609583234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109167228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109612235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1110984317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912925986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2711696994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ALGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2500049408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901694673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.276883087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2559974357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897486281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2745993463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3575756855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2820825785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3539761502},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVGO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3847225778},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896118653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2699130256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"AVY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3693634976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900592336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2742134605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLDR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.355413582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2886726057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2736375962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3640838326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2880847068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3430328339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3766081521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3141376819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3348308957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CAG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3608312967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2853773788},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3455464732},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3778965418},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2891029063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3404966231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CTSH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.366070987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2944997339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795125986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"CVS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3476290584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3175525429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3308503225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3522833407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887737736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2762867383},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3590117892},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3091730126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2855498134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2694700333},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2944945636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.28550234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EBAY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2664526945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2931044997},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753814897},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EMR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3638864214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2910008202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2720063408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2508447534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3100166688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230739974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"EXPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3428976885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2939310395},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3282942876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GEN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3476730105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2875614544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3379175751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"GL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3647347342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3104602767},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3286220268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"HST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2626778484},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131868975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3251169354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3420076872},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2828387936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3420375981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"INTU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3714995959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2902054262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3395838651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3698798315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897151547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2705592476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.368416628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JPM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2874072523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JPM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3356754624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"JPM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3661908087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2918898856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726671261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"KEYS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2549060805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917769389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.275413217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"LOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3618267085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835365989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3510831488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3884922593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876876625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2761135589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.356991621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2929656004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2708632242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCHP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3651121628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2921413758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2762104878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.254229446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2860657309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2702417192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MCO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3691524006},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060080382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2934999059},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2884961452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3125886323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2802807618},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MPC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2646575995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2833604321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3542103747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MSFT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3895315028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3143341856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3271343353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3483393307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296516685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2832580946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2655676774},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2931590894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2805410711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"NWS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3509844516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3178637939},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3337142373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3607651762},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3143260441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2810773541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PHM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3512772835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2936625184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2777374207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"PM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570242316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897918975},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3351735406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"REGN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3588652298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287083626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.266829211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SHW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3736149117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316836085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2729127384},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"SMCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3641039983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899317887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.272063525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2534755454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"UPS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148814629},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"UPS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.273585558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"UPS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3593350177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2857009749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2645975687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"yfinance","id":"VRSK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3803366752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0709902835},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0728218617},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"036e39099f365726740a0aaea804c6d592f460fa1258a4fbb0da49b0757e58b5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721919145},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"061f9fa01e974bc5cc72bf3ba3ebfd6fca17bb2adf6b9d619c995d837131df5d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0789538723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"061f9fa01e974bc5cc72bf3ba3ebfd6fca17bb2adf6b9d619c995d837131df5d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0798053325},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"061f9fa01e974bc5cc72bf3ba3ebfd6fca17bb2adf6b9d619c995d837131df5d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0793973853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"088cc487ca78c081cefb0a5aeff38ea6cce71a14bb2ac7be65db7dc527aee78c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543541323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"088cc487ca78c081cefb0a5aeff38ea6cce71a14bb2ac7be65db7dc527aee78c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548873426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"088cc487ca78c081cefb0a5aeff38ea6cce71a14bb2ac7be65db7dc527aee78c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558085002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1016e4e71595527973e72a2d8ae90c087f012526ecd43ac767932afffd94d5df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1202526318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1016e4e71595527973e72a2d8ae90c087f012526ecd43ac767932afffd94d5df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099805307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1016e4e71595527973e72a2d8ae90c087f012526ecd43ac767932afffd94d5df","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145060552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1061061bb25116eddc7f7306852a16f8c8a68245b49856aef732fe0c1dc26091","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479892114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1061061bb25116eddc7f7306852a16f8c8a68245b49856aef732fe0c1dc26091","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.270226255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1061061bb25116eddc7f7306852a16f8c8a68245b49856aef732fe0c1dc26091","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4471018146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1091a78b4799b92f7b8ea3704705c644cf2650eeeaa70f080175af707cf3d1e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6000206471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1091a78b4799b92f7b8ea3704705c644cf2650eeeaa70f080175af707cf3d1e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5362523046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1091a78b4799b92f7b8ea3704705c644cf2650eeeaa70f080175af707cf3d1e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.471068068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931802744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0976394831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"12377d27a8d6eedb1d6ad912bb047048e8e0256933c6ee3a96b0da5dcf9de9e5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7658128428},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0751902291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755424921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"155b1075d6e53f231727571a2ae13d79ef5b766970fd007e6dc514eea3e40642","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080016385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"15a15edfe63373c78f96f021d69a22d0cc78ad843b86bf7435063c45805c1ac7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925904347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"15a15edfe63373c78f96f021d69a22d0cc78ad843b86bf7435063c45805c1ac7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663020759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"15a15edfe63373c78f96f021d69a22d0cc78ad843b86bf7435063c45805c1ac7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663680759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"17e8ea9f39ec6d86c5a1b4303926853aef60111f842e94b1c747e7fe7fd4ce85","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.084347278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"17e8ea9f39ec6d86c5a1b4303926853aef60111f842e94b1c747e7fe7fd4ce85","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0871489611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"17e8ea9f39ec6d86c5a1b4303926853aef60111f842e94b1c747e7fe7fd4ce85","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0879916976},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.08347491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0820450684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1b0686655f315a3ad63a09d8ec60284b5be2511f35873d0dd0b22977ff51fae3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0857025406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1e1abe7bfd12ca1c9d9253d135bc6123c3430edabea92593d07452825b04f7e1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544736587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1e1abe7bfd12ca1c9d9253d135bc6123c3430edabea92593d07452825b04f7e1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548768169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1e1abe7bfd12ca1c9d9253d135bc6123c3430edabea92593d07452825b04f7e1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556560286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1ec12e411114606e68adbef8f6fc85afe4760425d8af7b04dc6276f04ec8026e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1170541594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1ec12e411114606e68adbef8f6fc85afe4760425d8af7b04dc6276f04ec8026e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1181125801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"1ec12e411114606e68adbef8f6fc85afe4760425d8af7b04dc6276f04ec8026e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1232460517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"220ea7e511e67ba9d9f82ee8f0b5baf5fe5bdc5f34a5e71f6cd45934f7ed7d26","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0697833913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"220ea7e511e67ba9d9f82ee8f0b5baf5fe5bdc5f34a5e71f6cd45934f7ed7d26","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0712549723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"220ea7e511e67ba9d9f82ee8f0b5baf5fe5bdc5f34a5e71f6cd45934f7ed7d26","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0756636105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"26219a3351e6deef5e6af9564c756f778c14920233b5392a1809b03972d51f2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0740274406},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"26219a3351e6deef5e6af9564c756f778c14920233b5392a1809b03972d51f2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607171297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"26219a3351e6deef5e6af9564c756f778c14920233b5392a1809b03972d51f2a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610116559},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"272fbf6a0ec7c2f66bac164188298c8ca870b641a38d879d56fabba34849e6d7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0657961068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"272fbf6a0ec7c2f66bac164188298c8ca870b641a38d879d56fabba34849e6d7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664651006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"272fbf6a0ec7c2f66bac164188298c8ca870b641a38d879d56fabba34849e6d7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666165864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536381679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537918047},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"283e98c8176eb64886ae366971c76b5e20b71753d7ca4cba9df041680ea47b02","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540838293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"2d590d296710d26ebbf15d7c0f2d0512f4bb219b85cf99596d3c3d2de65090af","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6113914319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"2d590d296710d26ebbf15d7c0f2d0512f4bb219b85cf99596d3c3d2de65090af","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.575711657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"2d590d296710d26ebbf15d7c0f2d0512f4bb219b85cf99596d3c3d2de65090af","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.257427576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531211876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531175586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"329e4b7c4020d2b769732c3f2c1b0c2070fd399772047b6ee13e9f1e1bbd7d7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531392123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"33c0bbd6d55f34b3d915926c3c162a021f55da71b1ce4f05c3ac107c968d2f54","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1034978492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"33c0bbd6d55f34b3d915926c3c162a021f55da71b1ce4f05c3ac107c968d2f54","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8268016074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"33c0bbd6d55f34b3d915926c3c162a021f55da71b1ce4f05c3ac107c968d2f54","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0843891727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"35286dd484845e7ddb16a81724bdcab94c7a5a506d8eed97a049a688b95e0091","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10149585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"35286dd484845e7ddb16a81724bdcab94c7a5a506d8eed97a049a688b95e0091","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099490571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"35286dd484845e7ddb16a81724bdcab94c7a5a506d8eed97a049a688b95e0091","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1532798289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.05365266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539189246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"3a0bda4587ae79a24c67b131bafbb27d0a9c9a413da5f0ae46e39272e131b5fa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054323516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4abea952feac95b930f3a577254e2b03792097e8c95ed1e4d70cd14533c086d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054115843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4abea952feac95b930f3a577254e2b03792097e8c95ed1e4d70cd14533c086d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542321867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4abea952feac95b930f3a577254e2b03792097e8c95ed1e4d70cd14533c086d5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545660828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4e1bc00239683eaaec1b22f3a34e81a5762d4780307b3f0be33f3a156371dcc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1082295841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4e1bc00239683eaaec1b22f3a34e81a5762d4780307b3f0be33f3a156371dcc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1124448455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"4e1bc00239683eaaec1b22f3a34e81a5762d4780307b3f0be33f3a156371dcc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1173011593},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"548b165d16b8ca445d41c099a94850b85aab631346ef7bf2cc73551f78d44e2d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1767399773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"548b165d16b8ca445d41c099a94850b85aab631346ef7bf2cc73551f78d44e2d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1844705004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"548b165d16b8ca445d41c099a94850b85aab631346ef7bf2cc73551f78d44e2d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1964637587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6ab884939d068008b39a7b9ebe630f16921aa403e5062c8521c7c7ca03064634","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1205214365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6ab884939d068008b39a7b9ebe630f16921aa403e5062c8521c7c7ca03064634","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077498664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6ab884939d068008b39a7b9ebe630f16921aa403e5062c8521c7c7ca03064634","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077362496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6e2a6755b011a2942868217d63ede0bcb2dc03a8bf80939c16927d04a0a47b04","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0661896675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6e2a6755b011a2942868217d63ede0bcb2dc03a8bf80939c16927d04a0a47b04","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0671452855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"6e2a6755b011a2942868217d63ede0bcb2dc03a8bf80939c16927d04a0a47b04","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0677064664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"70c40492a9021e3b7fc8862878f00bf4baa0c9ad469deb83302910fcb80b94d8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536909221},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"70c40492a9021e3b7fc8862878f00bf4baa0c9ad469deb83302910fcb80b94d8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542959218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"70c40492a9021e3b7fc8862878f00bf4baa0c9ad469deb83302910fcb80b94d8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552676583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7a463ec9cd62bb6deca4e28d4794d99ff755e6e37cc10ca1c7ebc6ae8dee303e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660812334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7a463ec9cd62bb6deca4e28d4794d99ff755e6e37cc10ca1c7ebc6ae8dee303e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658743403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7a463ec9cd62bb6deca4e28d4794d99ff755e6e37cc10ca1c7ebc6ae8dee303e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663099717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7b337fe2202f26bf7d3070dbc2f0d0348489a08dbd571a86f2b85895e046a5fe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5858449687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7b337fe2202f26bf7d3070dbc2f0d0348489a08dbd571a86f2b85895e046a5fe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5189437327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"7b337fe2202f26bf7d3070dbc2f0d0348489a08dbd571a86f2b85895e046a5fe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2737341483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"85779cc091a393ee2b1943831e785466d0640e09304b2780c0a2d3bdb577b30a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540697646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"85779cc091a393ee2b1943831e785466d0640e09304b2780c0a2d3bdb577b30a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543598167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"85779cc091a393ee2b1943831e785466d0640e09304b2780c0a2d3bdb577b30a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549456589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"8583a121bf253d062fd008da0e47e9d66f16e1362a603a072f423bf4f0be0b1e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554000272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"8583a121bf253d062fd008da0e47e9d66f16e1362a603a072f423bf4f0be0b1e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556316076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"8583a121bf253d062fd008da0e47e9d66f16e1362a603a072f423bf4f0be0b1e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0561373474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9102855bf23a8d879a68f0bd46f0f7af33645025c7e878d20e33736ea41248fe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673546028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9102855bf23a8d879a68f0bd46f0f7af33645025c7e878d20e33736ea41248fe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067786609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9102855bf23a8d879a68f0bd46f0f7af33645025c7e878d20e33736ea41248fe","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680683983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"94a2017d5fda41c80178ffce379b51ce798a0e8cb84c1b963ad6df695dd15503","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531425545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"94a2017d5fda41c80178ffce379b51ce798a0e8cb84c1b963ad6df695dd15503","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053169296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"94a2017d5fda41c80178ffce379b51ce798a0e8cb84c1b963ad6df695dd15503","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053207116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9ff71b64f474e9dbf003b5b0c5f82e730a5bae694508b2d5cb0aff623d05b055","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1156022127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9ff71b64f474e9dbf003b5b0c5f82e730a5bae694508b2d5cb0aff623d05b055","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0898866968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"9ff71b64f474e9dbf003b5b0c5f82e730a5bae694508b2d5cb0aff623d05b055","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098515338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ac104740ba3b09b1bf17f92de4171dc413862436c70af22695fa07809f77f757","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533525012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ac104740ba3b09b1bf17f92de4171dc413862436c70af22695fa07809f77f757","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534702906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ac104740ba3b09b1bf17f92de4171dc413862436c70af22695fa07809f77f757","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.05372108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b4c4fc33dfefc6907605416dd018160b79b5c13528d59109b8a6c9adbecb0039","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0681080741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b4c4fc33dfefc6907605416dd018160b79b5c13528d59109b8a6c9adbecb0039","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688928106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b4c4fc33dfefc6907605416dd018160b79b5c13528d59109b8a6c9adbecb0039","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0705022837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b5f2223a0eb1682992153bebfcde421ca645159fcee9ebbaf4f5f4c73d26b660","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0817905954},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b5f2223a0eb1682992153bebfcde421ca645159fcee9ebbaf4f5f4c73d26b660","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0826959103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"b5f2223a0eb1682992153bebfcde421ca645159fcee9ebbaf4f5f4c73d26b660","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.08454212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"bda644d5c08dd48462c653899272adf410bba09768825581be427a1abb3e23be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540965009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"bda644d5c08dd48462c653899272adf410bba09768825581be427a1abb3e23be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544427639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"bda644d5c08dd48462c653899272adf410bba09768825581be427a1abb3e23be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550287636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c0c4d75a19a17c2f89f7418af8d57f1b759deaa7227d6340bc7ed4bb9163e7da","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662369901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c0c4d75a19a17c2f89f7418af8d57f1b759deaa7227d6340bc7ed4bb9163e7da","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662371938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c0c4d75a19a17c2f89f7418af8d57f1b759deaa7227d6340bc7ed4bb9163e7da","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662537333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c6fdc907ed80ec9d8b7e1c12a992e66770a3eb7e70b8d4c9bb964b4fe03ec7d8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0718806541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c6fdc907ed80ec9d8b7e1c12a992e66770a3eb7e70b8d4c9bb964b4fe03ec7d8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.072817178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"c6fdc907ed80ec9d8b7e1c12a992e66770a3eb7e70b8d4c9bb964b4fe03ec7d8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0774385445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"cabbb65452598d17228627229bc7758dafce1fa5a26a28d85a1ceabdc420f1f2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531211871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"cabbb65452598d17228627229bc7758dafce1fa5a26a28d85a1ceabdc420f1f2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531211932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"cabbb65452598d17228627229bc7758dafce1fa5a26a28d85a1ceabdc420f1f2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053201914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531002581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531005155},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531180829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"dd5c0c229b308e4cb30b62fc828624a898a82edab14297da7c89dfba765c6991","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2193471178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"dd5c0c229b308e4cb30b62fc828624a898a82edab14297da7c89dfba765c6991","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2686220978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"dd5c0c229b308e4cb30b62fc828624a898a82edab14297da7c89dfba765c6991","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3099426599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0853059618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8598784887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"e5ffe17ccc9c4e16973d03080e0cd8c7218b17b8cb8f6f349679fc96782a5660","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0907834859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f490237184136347ea95c9466c4274c4a5e822cb0617d8aef4bd71a2e5a8f4e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812758582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f490237184136347ea95c9466c4274c4a5e822cb0617d8aef4bd71a2e5a8f4e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0824695946},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f490237184136347ea95c9466c4274c4a5e822cb0617d8aef4bd71a2e5a8f4e2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835209626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530895565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530897151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"f6fa28120912083a233d99753e42b613d5652298d5fbb58722ba354fa32a2236","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531059276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fa5c459888712f0db20da33f57950bd27931c665b9fca6ba93f41b54309eb166","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540579246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fa5c459888712f0db20da33f57950bd27931c665b9fca6ba93f41b54309eb166","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541376924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fa5c459888712f0db20da33f57950bd27931c665b9fca6ba93f41b54309eb166","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545164881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fbdfb73d1acf919ac1adcacc5727cb44936d22164d54ee0a264baafd02e0efc0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543618692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fbdfb73d1acf919ac1adcacc5727cb44936d22164d54ee0a264baafd02e0efc0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547908164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"fbdfb73d1acf919ac1adcacc5727cb44936d22164d54ee0a264baafd02e0efc0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554462898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531876723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533016849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"acled","id":"ff1ae6f30cb2d07ebb9bd4739c13e55c9f8016b120e1fa19aaee2f3f912e8d45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535795537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3047518106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2437734237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077936649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3280128809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2731365696},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823050683},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.346575529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3231681282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1209787368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2742600878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.226303115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803560691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764413973},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2345050064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0801103324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3200618504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2560365766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823840157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2606205863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2779734097},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0889734867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329855233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3005312953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0965629573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2979661922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2614260481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920524328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187602021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3166470782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1340366262},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2623145484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.208978701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707998098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3022523108},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2769365681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760313867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2692559403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2153629089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0727629669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3155874024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2627365738},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787524382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2691639446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2324260599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0853524355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2819734081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2502471052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0843945412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2670931296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2380313207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1118682142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887450464},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2320734284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750419134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2697817198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2256839573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702524416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2583379917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2154925931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.084862962},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2807615091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2278313249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075705071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3142714718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2863260379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.093005064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3185926743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571155235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0783103331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2921944566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514628942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0863366456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2599235077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.216334698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0776665965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2624457875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2161734349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0861208562},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3246163996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.29165872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0840939623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.301112872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2337174278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080905911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2919643856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2422892137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784892804},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2724647687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2456944755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800208587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3013196781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2472628959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0774787545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3145196456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2718418333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129840032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3515112238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277786526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1356787308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2897219612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2137471201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766103864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3306660845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2853614525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1211147367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3234681281},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3108518936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2831933824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3428418044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3635996907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5271890978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2929307697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3083758379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2312031515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117009805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3291488479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2061892775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3390227901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.353060876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2433122836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2769380056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2968489807},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5546853957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134809595},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3129819402},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1984584944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2632168368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.301675979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2440471078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3155672844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3260121426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2739555718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2820059943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3063632493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1214622599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2931105286},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2888470895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5096038222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3290371058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3477326116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6039259087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3068577147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3347997024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1703366114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2996624651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2990453692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1902826858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.30637899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3335154603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAA10Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.370640461},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2998144357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3323773307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2450255268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2954976832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3031398245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2964860855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2958917756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093812234},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3126219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3044498013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3278941086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2723269425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3083132379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899483379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2853587845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093615502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3477006874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2292515605},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926450587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3085135897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3023958915},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3197823422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.266879483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2412284616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077037963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3365495724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481404203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3155574126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3332549566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3580447098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3235698425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3545522538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.370872862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2969951157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3086649299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3117878446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3005639778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.305903329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3095938355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2850012594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2709162865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2554864971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917635848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3363503075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3606554751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.311603417},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3260622283},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750648472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156975813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3295590942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3454435993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131374775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3045910903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2937499599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904184416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3279777297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3312997316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3031670183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887910969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2717823668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752070492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2484838676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4112973892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3650674909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3423370733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3173160225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750844413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3576899694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3318953574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2435042542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2428556899},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2543843421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2712015166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3526445668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3116489149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF30YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3162180083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3136660156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109447536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0951328355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1046005135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1135808832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0838546674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0947445651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1246861008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2419932226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2434343918},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4171790883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3131688173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.291729487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3355106767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1697383574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NDR12MCD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2032383788},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2872443392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303527284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3198268782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1873325271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1996247078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2244660969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3022845814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127594101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIVA30YF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2902465476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683709423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT1YE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2388218118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2059773496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2110936666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2480615168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.231328175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2330407763},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2423887004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2976623109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2923994076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899373223},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2975618401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826646289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635408138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2525238691},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2032047384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"TLAACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1583330756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2831913178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2695373533},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WEI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2556034235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2162553131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1999625307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1929990539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3438944673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3481834103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3587408777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3748401452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570851703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4026592331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2683057414},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3702330131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2448647312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6428427225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6260361548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5842163838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1883586046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1905622353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"135a1523e67a012ce700a810c8c0c152a5bc6f0f01303ffe7ae28daf9ba4aa7c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1968340222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1229892525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1562079507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5834996012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137435824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138071629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"1f8f1bf444de5afdcc4e19bb6f62c56a8e8267992075876bbab5da68fd892eb0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1140131212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.126900156},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1269583154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2763fcdcb26acd3051a7685b0ddc8b0d9d0093f9f41f4c49a6c9b9a64eba73de","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1271955369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005898114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006535766},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b2cf6ee0a5b3ab260fde9b7f9119132728d2186d360ede11d2daeb748f9f8b0","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007768045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993445351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1185389483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1616497589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005896409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006481703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008042845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537561326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055275553},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c37fef353460bfd130fde0117638badaee913ee8c79b8cdf4c35e2c5710126a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0590039725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005804956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006013503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cf177fcea2454521655b9b1a5056fd9780d75de458e0293856fe92f55b7430e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007236403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004528515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004955883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"43e0c7911f8e4b5b28d526e98adcb42489e2095bd6f5294c57292660c3e84fb9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006250126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137370034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137956892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"578b6f4c4242c577108c48e77da044b1675916d03d231aebb5bc2cb9b8f4cdfa","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.113952437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1024912991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1092204712},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"585e3caf472aee5e1f6175c850a7752c43ae486a3e6dc7cc3debe1ba847d83c7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1258094084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635018587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0847783304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1169643166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143933368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1264069555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5402474945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0859704267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132384039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6227c48a37c20188a81f2c1b25fd1a991467c7871710adaa58466c0bd780a742","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5947561728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005792209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006219609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007499829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005792335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006223272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6540d67ba213efb81fdf8d939252ad9ea3de3afdc911c2d53adc82f946996f14","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008123382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6785580e4c4831a5468a3d99044a87b81b89aaf3659b8e4c05032abf6d799a87","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004476936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6785580e4c4831a5468a3d99044a87b81b89aaf3659b8e4c05032abf6d799a87","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004748662},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6785580e4c4831a5468a3d99044a87b81b89aaf3659b8e4c05032abf6d799a87","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005944956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053401659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539296062},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"6797a1d0a791aa20ab4de7d1a465a06b24e6c8100ec1a796c306f47e612923be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055367974},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054159185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.056713184},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7233fa748a364e7e93f1899c23ff71571fb3e78b55a1bd951648209211af3cc7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0648366544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670606008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0688338633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"72a33a32e409997da4782833a3893e503ff84ad71005d422f9c2e00dd193350a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750081239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004645883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005248083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"777e45ec0e466493a45b8a56e8569b124b04f9f49da990393971011932c7cd13","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100700495},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576022363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0609532349},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7be763022f7a4e8a84a4c78d8934b9f47dd708514a9373a810892a34a679254e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691069158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d2d5c43b22024f78ac4b1eb85813305f14440e53280d5a0c638f477130deba7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1002734821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d2d5c43b22024f78ac4b1eb85813305f14440e53280d5a0c638f477130deba7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1352734678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d2d5c43b22024f78ac4b1eb85813305f14440e53280d5a0c638f477130deba7","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5554417179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006740342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071104307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1275227059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"82732eccc0e28610e2796f3d44bc2c080cbd67cfe7fb15681ec6e2685ed9fa45","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005764325},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"82732eccc0e28610e2796f3d44bc2c080cbd67cfe7fb15681ec6e2685ed9fa45","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006130698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"82732eccc0e28610e2796f3d44bc2c080cbd67cfe7fb15681ec6e2685ed9fa45","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007316324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005844319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006590219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d359028f1e19c3ac73dad358d6c28445f5e93362ec41529d08985c0ec857f15","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008397981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004530173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100481232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"917240d03f7e16595c3decf76c8e905081ffcc59d16c50f0128332abd87516ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006039693},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666269694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0678946531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"926083f9ae268e48beea5516d8b48024d0a4d5ae7b5ef0c7d18f205dfc831b90","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0763910707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004525909},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100495023},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006229346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005845346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006432188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"9c4b9ce4cb2cfd34285144f313872a60369b4443302f72822a14baff601239dd","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008156397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005897456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007646403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"aa891f1f350d0d5e590dff3bdb7f1df495cd195d71b9b51442633e9a16476a0e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1029856395},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005856951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006027267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"b269220241112843dfc2097270d1f5e70e84fd914090c8b648e19f480d877c86","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007785498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0869346466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1073569565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1372878709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0837630677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0908313806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1034629544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005843267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006491319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c834eeadf075bd754f6beed34c60b69b3bb2937378d694eaadfd3bc2ab0eb99b","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008287476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545458165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569180787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"c846c6eb73a939076d4054972dfb1149cc8b3bac31526882171d6b9ff87a7adb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0626830237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920682222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1501313565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"cd6801b8a20588d4cdac5d6f486b2b61e70ded89ed9bb2ecc65f4812fe432586","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5071101586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1315051009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1498471461},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"d4fd9e41e71c3e5a2992b9c8b36ff655eb7265b7a46a434484f1267eabd59b92","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.197862916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1134630556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1127471612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1295629438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004540362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004810625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006038551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005791677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006062761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb0009bb2a47917fdac0432af83e2e6b1a3f6132ac742717517b31f0eb47ebd9","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1007101977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005844825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006433245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f048e63f2f8ab26d2eaadd1c152e5563dd6693f889cc91a4de78b96b2d563a16","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008702192},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138105297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1139371739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1143446869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0914721102},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1071573343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6387123058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2804007003},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3511276473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3847520958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3154535514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2768440471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2565255319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2871756599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2665660715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2433595734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134748267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2762500116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.354028084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2894495808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722283548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"AMP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3627290372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31770394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3357385249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3626618128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.291855498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3291298028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BIIB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3519140197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2875202094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3370839129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"BR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3626640968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2890914367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2678503377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CARR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2438649339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3208632889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689223621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2475515558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904626049},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2724851034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3606319943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3202680875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689652937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"CMS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2460369176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2932178514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2763720127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574177309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2831177797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2672243297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"DOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2451464415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3208264956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3342645081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3558215893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2908021059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3327376945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3585744923},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2870952176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3452670297},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ELV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3768101481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2908969148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2730471841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ERIE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3638760831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3139704236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2759940197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ETN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2565195791},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.314231769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2774400948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EVRG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2598255462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2908961107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2736482042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"EXR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2538874565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"FAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896603425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"FAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750999955},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"FAST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.253790315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2910862368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3306947724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GEHC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3575333727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2866086686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2663917803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOGL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3751218394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2915597472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2810357725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3492624555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2843402924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2611375479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2357600448},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2928674515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2757694371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615498644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2909943779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750931908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"HBAN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3588084522},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2905929097},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2753219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2523765434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2895582505},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3400867433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3704491041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2861299872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2745999079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"ITW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2509956975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316861422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2734522479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JBL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2526169754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3164734316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2794320838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2618937844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2921317089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3365986353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"JKHY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.361930268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2845864744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2637674938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"LIN","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2338596345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2995113847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.283140607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"MU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2676166333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148260304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3304425323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3536516233},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.288550563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3389318584},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PANW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3658288393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PCAR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2875191873},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PCAR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2717141079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"PCAR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2470127651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2887033258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2808903882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3464087686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847175857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2643616037},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3736938173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795748959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2574159893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2319757345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2918649689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.278117039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"RVTY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3541589272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2882418568},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2734026881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3596221405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3177224431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3359757191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"TFX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3604727053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3105616956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795238031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"VTR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2595528224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3169628491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726741362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WELL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2482275281},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3176851392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749000472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2583689294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2844879646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2641865118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"WMT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2402571293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3222039467},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2718783814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2526829292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"03711ac82da1400cf7d3484c97203d9d904de557286a5b234cdc14e12e0912eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542327597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"03711ac82da1400cf7d3484c97203d9d904de557286a5b234cdc14e12e0912eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544010677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0676759975},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"0bdb5b24d2ed896f7d00f5ebd49b95d8b2ba783f0ad922d96901e3066d4c55eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0677251147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"213e07e438e3379a7cf8222200179bed623f5dfc2873820a657355c637aea661","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054514903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"213e07e438e3379a7cf8222200179bed623f5dfc2873820a657355c637aea661","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552316104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"27debab58f74725ea6b0b5962c22da5c0abc0933ea10b5ed390d749cb966bf3c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821037217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"27debab58f74725ea6b0b5962c22da5c0abc0933ea10b5ed390d749cb966bf3c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3699854255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"2834d888f18f82dd885fb1ca66ff5530aa87298b5d64f975d49108788122c6e8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540049557},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"2834d888f18f82dd885fb1ca66ff5530aa87298b5d64f975d49108788122c6e8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542692072},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"2a6fb8d31ed0c3c8a3979ed45193095eed13b2ab6ec2c8027c26e91fa86bd717","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536236947},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"2a6fb8d31ed0c3c8a3979ed45193095eed13b2ab6ec2c8027c26e91fa86bd717","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536239725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3775779648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"32b257cefcf4fdf2fd5d459610eef4812a23d974658034eb911e3d32a97e3ddb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3607646673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"337bedd10c1c1dce4b5497f8dca1b33c0303654487c461d388bd899c2b5493ae","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.344724225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"337bedd10c1c1dce4b5497f8dca1b33c0303654487c461d388bd899c2b5493ae","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2778285706},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"342d47368fb7d67239fb78f58656f6ab39818d985bfc6c43abdd731aaff3b681","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3180677674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"342d47368fb7d67239fb78f58656f6ab39818d985bfc6c43abdd731aaff3b681","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3359848423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"34cf2f160ee79c946afff7e5a09731842bacd8d00488b279a4839790533c7532","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675080368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"34cf2f160ee79c946afff7e5a09731842bacd8d00488b279a4839790533c7532","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675084863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"413b1dde240eda8fe4a75026bf87f8d06b9a5703782d0602eecc0ff0ee5bc923","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539705062},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"413b1dde240eda8fe4a75026bf87f8d06b9a5703782d0602eecc0ff0ee5bc923","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542761496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556205183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"41a6e29023f0c57570d61d50295fcdb403ccbb676a9ba783f70bcb4fcf48c8eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552561346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535856409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"45db5d06a001a6fa62eb9b23236adab43c56970d70a833ca206fa42a57f4b7e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535859782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715923843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"47619c438468e68230b4bc6fdf1344f6e47c94af5323ed729a028c95c3ec7328","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0752490288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"4ac8435e5efdb7b2a506bc2171ff3f89711981138b29636b430d08054775d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2610609999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"4ac8435e5efdb7b2a506bc2171ff3f89711981138b29636b430d08054775d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.371618756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"511f3b0c89f309eeb69f924c0fa445814f458454f3faee9a6af3c5a90d5a2a9d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054184641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"511f3b0c89f309eeb69f924c0fa445814f458454f3faee9a6af3c5a90d5a2a9d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546788617},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"51794320e4eaf6dce73fcec311904174799ffab326819036ed38b71a8c4fb88e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054231819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"51794320e4eaf6dce73fcec311904174799ffab326819036ed38b71a8c4fb88e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543106669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.343306425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"5943cc320316116ea2cae4edccf97a70160a2beea0ef31525405ce2d1eca7160","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3269182168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0696783589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"6208fc9de32a0c70420ccd15b638ec7fdf2d1345d0a0b4fa9b2a079d9f7aa585","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691666965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7803086892fc327ac5bb9b12e868c533c5f75f13de20adb7e578874681cbf039","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542623882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7803086892fc327ac5bb9b12e868c533c5f75f13de20adb7e578874681cbf039","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547982825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f431340a31c933ce12e5f50350b55958262dfecdf7d7dc780016a07fb5671e0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0704984434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f431340a31c933ce12e5f50350b55958262dfecdf7d7dc780016a07fb5671e0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0682652728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f431ca2860143ca3969b57d233e4ed36d0a8943fb040a1beb5573085c75804e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537582132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f431ca2860143ca3969b57d233e4ed36d0a8943fb040a1beb5573085c75804e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537598278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f6734c8944f4e8ae9bfb5029fbe17745a6b9ea42839b1ec065e7cf17733178f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537529306},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"7f6734c8944f4e8ae9bfb5029fbe17745a6b9ea42839b1ec065e7cf17733178f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537534867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537972382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"83df1cdcf4de44a5db87a93f685229ca6a0aa0d5432db04ec977900ea7d0ff79","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538411415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"94024406efd3b31d9fed52aa7f75e0d773ab280b527167d29fe2c7da9e3f8049","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0811530655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"94024406efd3b31d9fed52aa7f75e0d773ab280b527167d29fe2c7da9e3f8049","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0853161497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"983648d31063f8c663754970501c04bb493c31adb8d6b65d1e1f9dc195c581f6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0677221211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"983648d31063f8c663754970501c04bb493c31adb8d6b65d1e1f9dc195c581f6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0679780773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"aab8a113335e0ce44c678f9c27e1eaf14e12dae127db54c830d705e9d6ca90b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0813871645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"aab8a113335e0ce44c678f9c27e1eaf14e12dae127db54c830d705e9d6ca90b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814042829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"ac79637a2ec06be6493cc0ec541585668645e3dda51fc7b2fd494926aa578bb7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541966538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"ac79637a2ec06be6493cc0ec541585668645e3dda51fc7b2fd494926aa578bb7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549030991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"aff18fd224bd26a4eced9a215c6ac14ba44e361c88465e51412fda54d51a6d4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.095266315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"aff18fd224bd26a4eced9a215c6ac14ba44e361c88465e51412fda54d51a6d4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0813928684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c27914dff280a3815515bf9f10f3c59d61735af8ef915e762a7dff178a69cc11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0562829114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c27914dff280a3815515bf9f10f3c59d61735af8ef915e762a7dff178a69cc11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059276894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c51ef3e231e76e8bc2f34e6818aeb9c352130e68a7026fcf329141614f65a19c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2557763587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c51ef3e231e76e8bc2f34e6818aeb9c352130e68a7026fcf329141614f65a19c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.395362582},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3458687287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"c6beb1094ea37b62753907500f55b9c0e6b5258add44477a8a5f7839e2ae22e3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.327173798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053641701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d1e000ddd18c8e12e57e99662ff85c9430bad9aea77876fac679bb6063198b3f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536460397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0719206955},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d2abe18d313c4cc0787b3fc8b244c82446bb2c7ab1526054de37ab2af7d56881","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717500806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d57555e4bb9d6451b3002e2366da287a89269b163adcd1bf49e848f0df88a811","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2793301101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d57555e4bb9d6451b3002e2366da287a89269b163adcd1bf49e848f0df88a811","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3243974639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d5f1e9c92dc961c7fefdaef3655bc7dc38816254dfe1043bb4244faebb22ad94","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1286833885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"d5f1e9c92dc961c7fefdaef3655bc7dc38816254dfe1043bb4244faebb22ad94","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1128654686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dbc453f8703351fad4dfdc3f496f4c1dd380527f38a49c0ecfa3ad8fe0b83cac","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535953035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dbc453f8703351fad4dfdc3f496f4c1dd380527f38a49c0ecfa3ad8fe0b83cac","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535954724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dbf841d9fd3a6629131e06e4fd7bc0fb58dc5a9129435d4c0b98472ba220ba78","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541133533},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dbf841d9fd3a6629131e06e4fd7bc0fb58dc5a9129435d4c0b98472ba220ba78","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543162069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dc6ece8237f233089bf891ec750633d283402255fd5b60b99d0b3853f2d65ee4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1956383822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"dc6ece8237f233089bf891ec750633d283402255fd5b60b99d0b3853f2d65ee4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.517661738},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"de66ba6519ef01e06d7059e5eee45e8a22fa9d553eb6ce5aef1352bac8b6e1eb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055644563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"de66ba6519ef01e06d7059e5eee45e8a22fa9d553eb6ce5aef1352bac8b6e1eb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554443757},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2780955974},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"df4cf738388f89b108e5b0a377d8827248bb7a3c19b4e4e55e1b59de99717a96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3836385727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"e274f8a2957087f0701ff64ef42f41426098c6460e3c1443bff3853c2c642a96","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1014738259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"e274f8a2957087f0701ff64ef42f41426098c6460e3c1443bff3853c2c642a96","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1068966477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"e98c06f8469d894f8f50b23de9c98ae8689485d36e2058e94ef34633a2616ffe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615127621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"e98c06f8469d894f8f50b23de9c98ae8689485d36e2058e94ef34633a2616ffe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615583222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"eae0bc4de7369ea4d3f8b87eb29c6c67ee79ceb05a4fd07d0a50f7053918dedb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0679696409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"eae0bc4de7369ea4d3f8b87eb29c6c67ee79ceb05a4fd07d0a50f7053918dedb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541419839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"eaef280097718cac83d54dfce2b21145bbe6cc2598359ab22bb41c3c7ed74088","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539651123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"eaef280097718cac83d54dfce2b21145bbe6cc2598359ab22bb41c3c7ed74088","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544435564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0697278639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f46164652cf1876782c2731cc6f4db92ec9f2d58fc82e138c458f18cf604ec11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723181793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f5f31cd8e043254c116cef976ff36ff61281e3bbe503131e7126f7e16f64a0d3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683483955},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f5f31cd8e043254c116cef976ff36ff61281e3bbe503131e7126f7e16f64a0d3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0677986182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538938585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"f7318125ae5a8420e03475a140651eb409bc32c74746311fc5ab124c48612cf2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540714846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"fac8c551d8ebb11add6d4f67f263cd9e870bf5a51c7796598f9fe9e0b5a69353","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1227775986},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"fac8c551d8ebb11add6d4f67f263cd9e870bf5a51c7796598f9fe9e0b5a69353","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1333032655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"fadc22b52bd6724520276b68ec26b48713c46e052b7415107e43509c1bf3e772","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675504794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"acled","id":"fadc22b52bd6724520276b68ec26b48713c46e052b7415107e43509c1bf3e772","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0680567241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2808234501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1399441576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622736162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3598104169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1599867315},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2913096152},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1666902717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687298194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2724587558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1420756663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664851498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2816315681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1525635353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692112163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2653870441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1507746187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644016074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3424902905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1618972765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656350645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2790060283},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1512297457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0694243335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2557585812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1456141594},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.069452114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2746297093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1406901812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659351502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2923230196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5974888263},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599178244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3383801203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5233273589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1216741721},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2639624174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6158259026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646349642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410639783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1367974593},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646182958},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2592261347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1330704012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702133015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2720833056},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5865985007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0633806717},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2657458239},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1199598491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620541498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2254859103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6641395415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623960729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2682033584},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1467416867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0667685115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615121713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5794914497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687867695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2794569699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5454622951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670907661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2813891309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.58807637},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659962118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148597387},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5264258585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658008589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2553316639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1331982905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0756971849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2708082178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1483864825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646421038},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.270799702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6124153667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582077084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2406574401},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.628030364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0727191084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2423114828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1247232022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0627681103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2654399767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5609770982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0797531473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6702114839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582703813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2427058921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5856892426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581079206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2647239117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5739571512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672074444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2345540369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.124311426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0627736664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4115682333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1167235222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0625903147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.219458208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6393815026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0591177441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3773496641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3600034798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2635623597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2891352603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2364768959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3511914848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2433417781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.186524968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187926236},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.263618801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2011486571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304715071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2619214195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2081160226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3266900393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817315641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1823783389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3190323887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2451931659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1895743195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764340046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2990805438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2333685392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2918008991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2044041784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0914654332},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312868957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4054778868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1238631272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3852151382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1860361752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008477076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2670596415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4746744303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1084115774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3502151249},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2522472941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2938921424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2618415752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2269768304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3065462372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2839001326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4029380739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2994622436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852459257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2725941619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3012475904},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3326241228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3714093194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3165278497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3039021147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912822977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3239313216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2585759429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3984699602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2998469676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.286503098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CAEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764208322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081489418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2665664394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4083875615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.292490943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2721978169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3732439282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296445749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2757223867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2547133818},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2975818978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2869823251},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYBEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2794072597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3094639087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3092189654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3163848182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3064606194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3438227751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"CC4WSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3855791884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295211769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2809464425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685624202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2996649666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2885408205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DCOILBRENTEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2703097245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304383377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3053120885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXJPUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3086858929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304498877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2975320143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXKOUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2920940055},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2944968527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2729591552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.249426057},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3144202527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3251943296},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3357645176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666545446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0756571484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0971693797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0712909378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0774750664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARU","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.099194887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1019868395},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1183690281},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.165854386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2978133999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2953575741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2938650196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3021902484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2978317723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2951072521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3258579273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3632109658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DJIA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.216748395},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0710502699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105259992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1393944946},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2979807019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2576160541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216894229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3455606347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3377875572},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB1YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3323096331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2730021817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3574192232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.345535599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3049177475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3041086552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3066566504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2982528893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3030489616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3095433833},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1102212943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1281412071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1699492166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3189391878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3062472728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287521131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2301570882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119191173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3079229362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3092347473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2947764432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2786912437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3529887341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3583786593},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3759242073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2540303821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4039190749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.409560252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3933781104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5138063912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.468577986},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3975391522},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6708952434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5490183309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5382282992},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218157243},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1331490803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTSYAWARD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1518267601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1563994343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1756462178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"SWPT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2014072869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124059598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3372646748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y2Y","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3715619815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3016552493},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2729070989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2418238104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2988549836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2978115852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2938047648},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2704972501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2387660407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2048625205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.477235895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4919416255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4709929879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3055480704},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2943619463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826439703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2544046089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2041893578},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1912285404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4128656115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3532918025},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"fred","id":"WORAL","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.334517267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0117323aa66a6bfa92485b98cd86cf58ff7dca3f8e5f75ae82fd29e57f4d3d74","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037450004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0117323aa66a6bfa92485b98cd86cf58ff7dca3f8e5f75ae82fd29e57f4d3d74","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037454093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0117323aa66a6bfa92485b98cd86cf58ff7dca3f8e5f75ae82fd29e57f4d3d74","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103764404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1300137997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1587944643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2216896063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037451106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037469525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"05f09faefe344f218e0c533a274423e2676cef788a3af3725fb5f04806d9c815","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037691371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0d2b133c7d77ed33197368f9375238e4f02bb858403478f340f654173792e2c1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036007765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0d2b133c7d77ed33197368f9375238e4f02bb858403478f340f654173792e2c1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036190022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"0d2b133c7d77ed33197368f9375238e4f02bb858403478f340f654173792e2c1","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036557276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039836338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.104384509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1084c41175ae9f0235e8eebfce488d810a43c3d46a0274aca6a4a0a3231c5a7a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.105397275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037503893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037745262},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1038307257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0883318411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1055446787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"127f33fb2530ea03d3af0420afc5e0f283b23503e3dc7ff0ccd8e84dfd241f49","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1374200426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0816289934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0934946021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"15a2309ff037755f0cfaabde0da65f0a646573fb07183b089529109298a8d195","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1192126608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964978639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7335498336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"193c1a4a77b48de9298abf69f353564b06506ed55a358060ea002afe9f3662d2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1809230093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0750971803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0830313094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004788373},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037698901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.104295389},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"1ec488ae658cc1505c86120e2ee58fec127f1620d43d11489cec8698e74f1367","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063868882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0732524952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0884317956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2b364d69f4259a683453d7ef82e467dce8ab263096f26a4df9aea7f07a7a60f5","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1281913392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037576667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10381245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f9337f5d2cc530629386a651bc047c7b76cb3d2fa3222a2fca72a8a7a20e7b2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039159603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036169881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036742805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037781126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10406253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3a13f78a8056f9265ee36506b60902a1c8664d0ac23b68d190bdd1e29101a035","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088677343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1042891639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1053146001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3b03f66d22f6b63289ce178d5e07aa06e35edc1015be866baf956e7864fc4076","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077980714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037573355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103781124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"3e4a4efdf003cb2adc2cbc448f81b9a07581a38c82b16b408e4c0256c597336c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1040109632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1306532302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1546069615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"51e319ff3614eb258031bc209592fa36df164e35f100e2415575dda647fc9617","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2090582639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037517778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037919502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"571af009841487e9e0a39bcfd4821a6edf1ba0a32e5f9f22fb2cbca285b91eb8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1040555439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0815408526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1075878641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"5d675aaaef89c7e9b340de20f164638503d97a39dcac53d5db6762f613f2c591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1713015213},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036063182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036248203},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"694a82f721a3e2a378e2f3dd32bd5aaa9606567705be6905c9af0f885748c874","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036479897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037505549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1038018378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"74f2b04743e373fb503773e173540041879c53b80cfe756dd054a124caee9860","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1038817364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037464463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037638383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b7a730c70c28c718432769ece59b4227d805ae20a4e4ee71ec62c8ef3915ead","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037960302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077464225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1196720748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1549223488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037464478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039139651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"82f7697e98ceedd1ed4ff23bb768ab79f85b3624a9b3580a136b42fbeed81beb","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1042621756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766542809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0882262749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8cdd7e6836d4ad5c7964232f54746ec002813b42220648e34541e1757fd1d2be","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1289414144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0798087084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0845202921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1637504614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543009832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0562034412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0624478165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736136981},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0815978323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949380037},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037340015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037344132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"99751ecb48146412bfdfa4a11e46fd6626b35271085faff29b87295d5cff9e5c","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103737333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037949488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10386257},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1040798929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037393193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037394999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a053f94d47f58e79e8783826b820aaaca04ae43c92d4fb252ec642fdddff41cf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037576989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0758750366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0891054748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a3de2e17c5017add302c14a85f3ca286486e11a0cc02d291e7e0c7200b25e643","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1106895837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1350105278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1593486456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1756199985},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037504999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037678449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"ad6d62b2f887e0b7905ab1db114ab6273e1cb2e2938434503034fbe5f20d7b4e","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1038154375},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1264636664},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1289208034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.137988169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037506132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037521484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"afa1e56e70828bc7652952bec38fa47b05f3ff2bee9046c21d83d5921bb83516","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037908645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037853917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039493665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb2e00debc6f7f58dec5ffafb4472f91e4e8fbca267c918cd3f16c8c8dc57591","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.104837275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1176242259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1176245959},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037357795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0937047609},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7933276145},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6662988573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0883541211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989385161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1177847398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2492e4d012f9a1d2d56d0fa594799965a6d4acbf26142552c94e50ce2356b00","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036102219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2492e4d012f9a1d2d56d0fa594799965a6d4acbf26142552c94e50ce2356b00","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036187361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2492e4d012f9a1d2d56d0fa594799965a6d4acbf26142552c94e50ce2356b00","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036905494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1262031774},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1393787723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"e4c3fda35e4b253c934eebdf98862c588007d197588a7b279c6b3ef3ba85a7ee","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5104166312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938045567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1148677805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fa4d2a497c94285f4ec72ff280426a2a86bc41776a0e62658dd1bc72eaeb192a","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.528825969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0716148865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.082266566},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129411984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.317648793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3334423822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ABNB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3527725888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2848759082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.343343787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ADP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2473308984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3135169381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277789342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3539669749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3161576808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3305331942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AIZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2608040831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093243608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2842147894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3435430383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3199343847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3444479366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"ANET","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.243618765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AZO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.317374853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AZO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3390480665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"AZO","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3707666086},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2856295638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.342452891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BKNG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3694618806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3160396791},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3400332786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"BLK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3749451486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.315951881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3351935455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.362718739},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138782041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.338210337},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CDNS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2494557621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2952588197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2854394825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2691327545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2906346991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353104819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3616110015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3177274636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3252092945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CLX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3451629563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2954112641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3257613984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CMCSA","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3469194198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3163985121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3398301781},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"CME","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.365057762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3170730444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.337222522},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3653219053},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187314134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3357179042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DECK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.36211876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3177317194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353634524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DIS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3649642787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3147919011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2758722626},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"DLR","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2576659433},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3121193488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3346966837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"EW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3638216714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295318847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2805838015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2677150052},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3197417695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3411143901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"GWW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2450739299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3161204894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3318225576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HIG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3583074484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3091836274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2849774194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"HPE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2654518491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3098236392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3253387893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3402506764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892901948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2687961661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"IT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2464859118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3172679216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3304761982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3566290911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2944200885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3285722176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"LHX","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3534607837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3169805528},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2754358149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2575167991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3094952496},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3197616167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3345015109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3113944911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.327328952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NI","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3559077272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889646101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.344293351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"NOW","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2418493291},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.320697436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3372470576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PEG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3610383161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3163630968},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3300500139},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"PKG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3552277006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3154057316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322404311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570539916},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134596489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.325561857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3411638669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3118831388},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.283014652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SLB","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2658902591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2929957218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3380959577},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SNPS","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.251560723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3091652307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3204626474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SPG","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.27396322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3181834832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.336443426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STE","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3631945684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127113861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3323121407},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615850199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3115696541},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3327138709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"STZ","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3579708927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123091421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3247656785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"SWK","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3446563228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TTD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2922806403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TTD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3369867772},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"TTD","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3655981677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3188545585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3426250645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"UNH","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.239750836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WAT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148981042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WAT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3336882044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WAT","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2542130494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184973551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3411310663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WST","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2452750392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109688737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3274375157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":90.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3539056368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"00a049905199ac469a9fba64b6344da53114af7d80235f8884dc50c4f01901f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1315605006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"00a049905199ac469a9fba64b6344da53114af7d80235f8884dc50c4f01901f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1333686264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"044c3011fda3cd18f3e9571cd86f61175b53237aa850e3f5530cf7d2374492ba","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0812951832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"044c3011fda3cd18f3e9571cd86f61175b53237aa850e3f5530cf7d2374492ba","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0813276309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"0753f9ed5ca42a8980428b1952cebf8a524e1515f19d8ed408b2ad33396669f7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3014810999},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"0753f9ed5ca42a8980428b1952cebf8a524e1515f19d8ed408b2ad33396669f7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3006134017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"0d4ec7a241c5fc470e0b742bb1d3c91f5b5fd37c59118505ca7eb9e3fa7ac4fa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0674814343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"0d4ec7a241c5fc470e0b742bb1d3c91f5b5fd37c59118505ca7eb9e3fa7ac4fa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538237927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"123bdd8a9e5f84206cb36447b6dc44a964e248de37c6ac5dabc3128a2a3f0f46","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808924328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"123bdd8a9e5f84206cb36447b6dc44a964e248de37c6ac5dabc3128a2a3f0f46","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670265436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"181e33842a92a3925dcd3f8bb70011f87f6c168e6f997a63fd08bf499a1f738e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3051388673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"181e33842a92a3925dcd3f8bb70011f87f6c168e6f997a63fd08bf499a1f738e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3474403881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0681520849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"19e88e9b09a731389bfc1e5d1c20493ef450b1f1234435c937a557ba1b8048f4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545107366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"1cca39143d5ce5dfa1bfb48e0b99b9c970cfa4049011704bd3107bfb6ea1c3db","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3448003894},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"1cca39143d5ce5dfa1bfb48e0b99b9c970cfa4049011704bd3107bfb6ea1c3db","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2597661935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"274a20120661b1ee2f638a19e5c425aea6c60ea7b75b8b29b7d21d85e00edfc6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605355431},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"274a20120661b1ee2f638a19e5c425aea6c60ea7b75b8b29b7d21d85e00edfc6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652141235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"2978e6b4d3cccbdfacbed29e60e49d3de40d1501f1e32597e84e5f0e624cc47f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560326753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"2978e6b4d3cccbdfacbed29e60e49d3de40d1501f1e32597e84e5f0e624cc47f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0577134962},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"3157077f3f4bb5666b520971f3fb90fef7569ffa3347093e432c2ba7b64ad019","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0742582529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"3157077f3f4bb5666b520971f3fb90fef7569ffa3347093e432c2ba7b64ad019","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.076956468},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"409a5ded50c02a0fd0f086671ef1262fbed31503178fb56d3045076d77da8112","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2690218318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"409a5ded50c02a0fd0f086671ef1262fbed31503178fb56d3045076d77da8112","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3728674147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"4125088f11f16e7d2a2c4f0d23887aaf2b9766b9a7ee0cd324e16e82250df434","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0676939278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"4125088f11f16e7d2a2c4f0d23887aaf2b9766b9a7ee0cd324e16e82250df434","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0661875545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"418b3b6cf1140eba6e21f20c2d1050b41088dc0963bd7bdc813226ccde9dfe72","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2748462061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"418b3b6cf1140eba6e21f20c2d1050b41088dc0963bd7bdc813226ccde9dfe72","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3219630988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530840752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"430471f6d9fd4cd3fa537e4993c738c07c5a67c71d21094ada0ba8144970dd3b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530842435},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"55e875e1b0802c85349c46d50eeebb0fd29ce7e02733f9962332ba16cf12bf49","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.152982816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"55e875e1b0802c85349c46d50eeebb0fd29ce7e02733f9962332ba16cf12bf49","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1565263381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"616432adb62d57d9bd7e8f8844695f7671554d5d80e2ce2b8b689e2673eceee1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0914748687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"616432adb62d57d9bd7e8f8844695f7671554d5d80e2ce2b8b689e2673eceee1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1040975792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"643c5961fe41035d9e260380459f5050f7202251691a6f6ca85c87701a8f1c19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711300641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"643c5961fe41035d9e260380459f5050f7202251691a6f6ca85c87701a8f1c19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0720912716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6a91e7ed6c1fee060fd80808d240fa26d31968aff20f634d593fe343247ac98b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687915935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6a91e7ed6c1fee060fd80808d240fa26d31968aff20f634d593fe343247ac98b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683240466},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6b54163ef0fd03bb8fe13a9bc84a45e66a5ea4c9f892e9843a7b32d9e9e54889","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3486621901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6b54163ef0fd03bb8fe13a9bc84a45e66a5ea4c9f892e9843a7b32d9e9e54889","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2618370367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6e8a71ee5341795f1c3c1c1b63222e5e6368c6a3c4d9652eeb3ac7aaf878d363","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537251933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"6e8a71ee5341795f1c3c1c1b63222e5e6368c6a3c4d9652eeb3ac7aaf878d363","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539249912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"7346aa891f4b0bb16562944b521fae5a4b25866f3d5829050b4288f4105eaa6e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533048206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"7346aa891f4b0bb16562944b521fae5a4b25866f3d5829050b4288f4105eaa6e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534412365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"73b4211a0b5e36e8b9e6e5cd7ea56a9e96e48cfc915aeb098ad12df98295949e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686127977},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"73b4211a0b5e36e8b9e6e5cd7ea56a9e96e48cfc915aeb098ad12df98295949e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686985841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"79f0173ffa67eb11babd74a5a35b4588b01f2eeae678dee1d512a2252aff5888","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538158963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"79f0173ffa67eb11babd74a5a35b4588b01f2eeae678dee1d512a2252aff5888","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541826553},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"7a7120b9a21fde5f708183084258b18d27d795ffd965477f60986932a010a49f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.087305511},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"7a7120b9a21fde5f708183084258b18d27d795ffd965477f60986932a010a49f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0877206943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"822017f9638dde6e392933bad78ba8c8e847c9e7a7bb58a1295500f516a39cd2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808759761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"822017f9638dde6e392933bad78ba8c8e847c9e7a7bb58a1295500f516a39cd2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0809041512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"84560290f0fdd0e711e926a753f1afc7e2f130115d683bccf996c12bd11ddfc4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054075564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"84560290f0fdd0e711e926a753f1afc7e2f130115d683bccf996c12bd11ddfc4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547174645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669759847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669764425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"8a674c0c1e915dd8a5897a031e36909008a9fdf2e2c8b1e4d76f728a14e85953","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054194991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"8a674c0c1e915dd8a5897a031e36909008a9fdf2e2c8b1e4d76f728a14e85953","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544222571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"94024406efd3b31d9fed52aa7f75e0d773ab280b527167d29fe2c7da9e3f8049","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835365169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"94024406efd3b31d9fed52aa7f75e0d773ab280b527167d29fe2c7da9e3f8049","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0864276402},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"9c2a318d050a0c01e7aa14d9c4a0b5d5256c82d1fdbf9bd89259d170bb6a86b7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833731672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"9c2a318d050a0c01e7aa14d9c4a0b5d5256c82d1fdbf9bd89259d170bb6a86b7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0857136241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534025043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"9d634c992383178a8000854793cb90aec47d883128079809aa4156161857c7a2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053440467},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551120013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"a36c4727f9d334924e44a4111eabd2dc2f390fccdf5a72f0242b2e2889a2bcc2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0568216173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530899102},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"ab03ce9b4b4ceab969c1bad45e9f7b360fbf88df20fcd9119736e345e77f577b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531071947},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1169943051},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"c4d1d7b83e216fb15864501e943bf3de27b0cc5f2299517c6e05da3f181669c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1367126718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130858194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d3ae7ca5f3d1ec8e76718de9b64cd08b3ceef5d0fa7d65d50028aa99168fce2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2706523965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d6cfb1dbeff7cb7fde1788b6d3fcab7adbebac4f6d9609a2c221b6815dd39907","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998157325},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d6cfb1dbeff7cb7fde1788b6d3fcab7adbebac4f6d9609a2c221b6815dd39907","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033533318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d88c1f6fb332d08add9d5dbbddfb34e317bdb14d98f4e465fbe09b96525bc481","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532413159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d88c1f6fb332d08add9d5dbbddfb34e317bdb14d98f4e465fbe09b96525bc481","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532822206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569133487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"d8fd625887b1335ac000dfa80bd67b53c98c7db1b64c50a1026e0c2355034850","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581927548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2306919439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"daa70278458462c2b1c196c2881abf8c6adc756249d153f935763ec14d730da8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.233949215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"dc55c43ce17ab2246dbe364c2eb8e4a9194d66bdb215004fa108595f00320394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053198515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"dc55c43ce17ab2246dbe364c2eb8e4a9194d66bdb215004fa108595f00320394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532603134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053296602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"e2dd788be5180dc96b1202b861fc7a6ff3bc7c146b492d1a1686bb3c21adc9b4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533860649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736197444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"eaa5bb6a84590ac40778a6a1be2403f6b7e60f1e636987566dbc5517c0ae406c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1170687136},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"eb5315a618033ded4b60bd36f659477ec080cff43e308268d1d6fe472768ae8d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543395327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"eb5315a618033ded4b60bd36f659477ec080cff43e308268d1d6fe472768ae8d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548644187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0809663169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"ef975d67bd3d41f2a9babd718e581e073023ec59ed12957d637d723f4dfcd44a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0813130516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.376029633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"f1f34d2f7e1994e08b5b6932a804607965e58467532dd1b35bdaef303297393b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.290740967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"f926682cc23c69ba51e3f9f6a46664eababcc63145fc83417cb4abf455b04c08","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053212483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"f926682cc23c69ba51e3f9f6a46664eababcc63145fc83417cb4abf455b04c08","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053213427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055679945},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fe2f9ddce1fd5004071e1f65d64ac6a3ffb15c68159f18378602e43f8147084b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0570357476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fef64d8f20c964d6708373e1472436bf6580e5dfa0bb2e431894d50fafff84a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949167707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fef64d8f20c964d6708373e1472436bf6580e5dfa0bb2e431894d50fafff84a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800444473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fff8d1d6b7d9eee2f6b482635d4cc8df11acd69cfc229ed893605d02dee9bd5a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900412857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"acled","id":"fff8d1d6b7d9eee2f6b482635d4cc8df11acd69cfc229ed893605d02dee9bd5a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3019150878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4215261965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1210571692},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2161839533},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085503592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4257195921},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1298858326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2472583458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1276133824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2523661753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1287968345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2220284082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1353419354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2251401742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1256798551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2050267029},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1241574802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2181399856},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1144676194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2222617649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1135397486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.219127743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1064668169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2445473336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1255131718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2144646914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.112371799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2183113687},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1351308031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2122727861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1107339116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2269610126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1224017486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2040828749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1068390764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2024015944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0886736988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2139258969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1209738276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2255188147},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1212794138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2107848274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1211627354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2012758348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1065390464},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.232340597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1199348344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2191142383},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162789122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2299658994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1254584612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2151233224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.111839578},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4830760166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1043888307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4841102517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1055778388},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1918642715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003495366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1993107962},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1010149367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2039901753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1021497172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4424377806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105783404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4432728222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1166789523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1911192533},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004439905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1947762304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1051994331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3313797622},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3619479983},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2754022853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818241185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3407349911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2197003969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984013889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2654768875},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926589385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2557660754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3397518015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.532977538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2958153707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2277345361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3059979418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772895067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3258126456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3004545697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2148711267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.130678581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3955653952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1487099429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3972618234},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1506212458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2943866547},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4182847217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2520203054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2254065248},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312084399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307363219},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2809029722},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3507235225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184999081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3456871871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2937882195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3329998486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3051291447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A2CAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3299413593},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.311209361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3377699552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2961100618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3314335484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3132463754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A1HYBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133277371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3005771352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3067566614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3194153047},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"CBBTCUSD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.26740034},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296143393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"CCSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3363639979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3054970235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3050743217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.31877492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3392612192},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3327305881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSUK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3200921465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0695835408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0789500853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3013729614},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3137645272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148259178},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124163392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916071158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3324558348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3492545642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3001704598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3011731118},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2685379414},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808274217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DPCREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0949389237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3606473787},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3609340316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2806817425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2756102342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3116817371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3133633402},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0696560473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"ECBDFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0729965707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2562230502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1925169596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.095552629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKXAWNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0978242681},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119316064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IC4WSA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3526323837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.339858813},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3211819895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2693496871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2723246198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3301181306},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2491300312},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2906678517},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3518828339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3025383363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NFCICREDIT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3225885327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3196333764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"NIKKEI225","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2636284013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3048806208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3842779159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"RESPPANWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4019250299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2529549551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"SOFR30DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601109829},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3035764382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2956403749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3001777782},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3106068733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925222176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"T5YIFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2791797705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2650744841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2215450512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6055618177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5712765535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4274091526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WALCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.437061708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3151421217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WDTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4331005174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4239147515},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3947639164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2937649158},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WLODLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3846892475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2894271668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3804372299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2956506058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WRESBAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3465346907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6294588845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"fred","id":"WSHOSHO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.615048777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0733357715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0844257172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032781643},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"1d9b2c247a0f16b0531b5fc49bfed62658a4e7c10dc8bd6fee98fb5ff57cf8c0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10336834},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0751637326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0873093398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0896484633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"274e2a09f7060b8ea234c1d6a91ec3e43b523a2911042a8696ac2b42fc531ca8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1091115266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032242144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"39e342f01235a496925d1ea1b365bf20ad46eaf58543fbb58b90661acd709a3a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032267841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031515405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"3cc7f7be1cc6927ebdfa620d34c53a686644033aa555eb47ca7e251c6143d678","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032281054},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0729912925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0738427112},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033363923},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"49f838083a15df2741b0b3ca6a9964e621d3f71ad50793a0b6cb7ad4745cc390","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.10363998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536088483},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546842895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032338821},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4dcfeb94aacd20d9b8c0ddb9a70c8419cd915f38d1f8c04eb773490007fa2394","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032683302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032281042},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"4e9244fd658bf1e286f52541539fbdaaf2440059a622bd6966f082167b4ce179","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032456077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1030898682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5261497265c39a0c3c10e1acbfa9fdbba8744cf43a767572b76db79e5af4229e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103108759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032353266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"542803238e72a73fbfdeb6fc18e2475361b083f959142af1a4fc6eb152ea482a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032583845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b84647ac79598cc907b31cf1a0eb5aa9b35ae2365e8fcd340f335dc7d4f564a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1030946586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"5b84647ac79598cc907b31cf1a0eb5aa9b35ae2365e8fcd340f335dc7d4f564a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031116798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032784426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"62556cf51abc14f53aeb1d98c5ebfdf9bcda241f98f0538808d5c33aea76e95a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033381725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162597699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"63d85393d0ecb6f7c121039246e9ab76878565399969c1474632cb539403a9e4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1427179819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706632812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"6ddf6aade8e3c1be768d76de6adc1152f00cf9db1f99dae035fe43743a92dcdd","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.081364299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"829075fe690276eb3114bfa2836d3aa34ad61cce046054b986c3c5e8b755b15c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540838404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"829075fe690276eb3114bfa2836d3aa34ad61cce046054b986c3c5e8b755b15c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0557520077},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103239327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"866850774b503973bd23c08c1fd62ccd144a4916516975d9ef2108b09f301da0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032744989},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.151421326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6123453364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654516473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8b6c74cb5bf033e46a25b9ff3bddc361af7720dd4b3bbbd6352ec8a9c283d406","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0763749096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8bff28e35f0e33813ec5f3f2b14d37d4196d63fac21b2a7e9933707a27f671d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032337154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8bff28e35f0e33813ec5f3f2b14d37d4196d63fac21b2a7e9933707a27f671d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032847205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033014438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"8c05f7d8605668275d1ab94ca60e71c3726b73284c6ebe7bf442482bb9533a5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1037284867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077741769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0873496216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1263681734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1653431299},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031336498},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9a8c4a4cf5fcc2682d964be5bf1aaf2276ef0c8b20180eb0429344ca53026896","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031808228},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d5864e3e45973c1e336d54db06b8e02d5bb02f5790b0923deb638b92164d384","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032282287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"9d5864e3e45973c1e336d54db06b8e02d5bb02f5790b0923deb638b92164d384","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032452382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1272478369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1549776356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.090376314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"a987eef385663d96115ba6c113ffb3dc7e83affdcaa8c53421220e4e9e1f95f8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1149287768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0895040043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaadedc56af38da29e04e6086cdd03ebd3844f5c88aa7e2d20c5c5388f455141","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1006273423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920764846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103516521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0841035182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918931329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032334953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032409446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0971158795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"beccd776bdc07315be25d08c346969bdd986c7dae80302f14d3b1892fa674ecc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105005548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032338287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032691684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032449393},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c150752b0fa15c095b60111b38a411aeebf04a4b39802edf4dc4c82a2fe89cf8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103312795},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0880871956},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1345307429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0809809272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0907763542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0820365886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"c8c9d8e957b21aad9595e05489ef0a157621c079c5666495bb702c6be0582125","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1090115166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075947089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce43fbbc6a80c2fa7b134080496856a3c4a7dc36b6c9da296af575223d5ab65b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1128674589},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032408272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf373450466c71a49a7f2e82e176b66198255960bb1cf71d1721cd258d0c2b81","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032692747},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0739302756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e03302c1f15124763fbe6535f046fce38d6cf3912e9b7b11889f9bcc523f597c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.085253578},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032238405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e2ebe8c99e10583715b46ee35c93275a9a6b5721f812e6ce07f996daa8159732","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032282176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067924062},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.08101982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032683855},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"e70f0209e1cc709009b034055f3a94fa2775c96d8f164e9e38e19dfc7a1d0cfb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1035801962},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032523839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"eb4d01e0fd670e44d248625ba3b147e687537912e193de4455f1fd78607cf63d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033381703},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2cfd4cd4dd2dcf1a05ea950e3ae4b2ed9146c64b51dc5c56315875cc43e0e0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919042451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2cfd4cd4dd2dcf1a05ea950e3ae4b2ed9146c64b51dc5c56315875cc43e0e0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1127174438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031004803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103108205},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033001104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"f9106f3b9841f95439ebf55649231126b43964900268038b93902cc15a645134","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1033732844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032239955},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"wikipedia","id":"ffe024b62430e4329259f98ad29cef7947944254b803f241de3b51e2653358c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032450021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3135756882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AEE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3272051414},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3013711869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ALL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3175931428},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119688031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"ARE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3259054371},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899853241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"AXON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3350808415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3168313241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3389589911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148619222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.278015663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3242601463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"BRO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3493114409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.317668845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.330874337},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3234160982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2724388278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156983673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322553347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187797209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3413147571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3155103508},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3304757704},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130819927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DHI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2812141469},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2949528914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"DOC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223528354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3196435432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EQIX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719641345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3180707508},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EQR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2787477874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295339682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3265481107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2927389308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FANG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2791660847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.314974089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.334082567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102406963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"FSLR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2787127824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3214410649},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"GOOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2637150001},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3145089096},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2772758783},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3193905869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"HII","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3366980014},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2899320889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IDXX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2700551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3156018093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IEX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2730647758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2865164031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2694983878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912825654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"KKR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2746910469},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3153181642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"LEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307827124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2867825002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MAR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750271756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MOH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3070036125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"MOH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3248618462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2956312114},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NCLH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2852013182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2911986886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NDAQ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2928826079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.309588024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NEM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2854148707},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138778144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"NSC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2799563224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109941142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3240946738},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3138923512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PAYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3287018128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900506905},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PODD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3367151671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3168173695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"PSKY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2810326164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3182413965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RJF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2727890779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3223616013},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"RMD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3397413775},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2923974206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"STT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2762681135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2913082808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2766263882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3150981345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"TPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322708714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"VTRS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3116618408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"VTRS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2861588798},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2900337318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"WDC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2785426636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926417565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"yfinance","id":"XOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3247171823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"00ec60fc48a12136178cf46443d3b8e7ea0bea0c368afe41200f20c6329f7dd2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622708979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"00ec60fc48a12136178cf46443d3b8e7ea0bea0c368afe41200f20c6329f7dd2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0506390683},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610942809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0a81aa2d53af747a506dc58c0cb97875d737f3f35f7d9a3678307fc029b4de69","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061154525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554685193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0ee200f355dc5e62e7ca9e179090cb40cf516a03996d7f3b8c21c16249c69466","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563493915},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0f227969fe8bd73b70dd1652c9d80059ef9e7fbbafe1e86366e9c3f7b00a28ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523267032},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"0f227969fe8bd73b70dd1652c9d80059ef9e7fbbafe1e86366e9c3f7b00a28ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530681073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"102767a88f6d075527f03c402c40e476cf5c467e5173922095d58b4f7bc99921","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0984111986},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"102767a88f6d075527f03c402c40e476cf5c467e5173922095d58b4f7bc99921","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1010214537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"10dd44afffe94d13e79aa679225f20a837818f17004460ab0b000884bee6b453","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620003698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"10dd44afffe94d13e79aa679225f20a837818f17004460ab0b000884bee6b453","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0515015065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0496348797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"14a7a20a9f1c2c96df98336dac569e523de1fa5c439058f5c1723d09fa7e84b8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0497044287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"1a1a62f30060096bde1974f01231b6fbd543e89dee58803a35a07834bbb71cb9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0726081005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"1a1a62f30060096bde1974f01231b6fbd543e89dee58803a35a07834bbb71cb9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0613653122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"20ef5a47055e5593c63f1dfb0979def75d522e2d74abeaefc8e5a53a8fd20bd6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520896021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"20ef5a47055e5593c63f1dfb0979def75d522e2d74abeaefc8e5a53a8fd20bd6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527584612},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643150837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"216fc0f48a7f08603a466a09af87ca53545d9ee878fa9a695e697bf8eb51fdbf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542015133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608522871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"26abb72d282439d6aaf2133336ed1a475a7c647c30a6739d0654c04406a4b74b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0544769269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"270e01f2c86479e7c72867ec5c7cc84cb41762bacf7ed7f8814d5ce0e99ba3de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.050227126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"270e01f2c86479e7c72867ec5c7cc84cb41762bacf7ed7f8814d5ce0e99ba3de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0502619326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"27f93eed3e1f9314f12558ef9b081d2340ec4b20f324f801a3da34e6e4498ac6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2096814477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"27f93eed3e1f9314f12558ef9b081d2340ec4b20f324f801a3da34e6e4498ac6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2361414055},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"2c589789ca64da4b396d27477dd221f02e18f8d1c4eb050f5f6f5acbb1cfd55a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525491849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"2c589789ca64da4b396d27477dd221f02e18f8d1c4eb050f5f6f5acbb1cfd55a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538539084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"3a1360a4e194b535b3a9e62cd39b441d828778aeea087e36d8a73ce5e3352506","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0502556986},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"3a1360a4e194b535b3a9e62cd39b441d828778aeea087e36d8a73ce5e3352506","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0502451082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4702e7ff2f55b8a5db773cc75d7b6447bc272eee1bf2b839ef8f84c7ef282a4f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0495767409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4702e7ff2f55b8a5db773cc75d7b6447bc272eee1bf2b839ef8f84c7ef282a4f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0495906662},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4703bb3b6388a56387e7e4a2b489a02f2374fe7a0173ddaa3ace4a6fbc9640f5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617869476},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4703bb3b6388a56387e7e4a2b489a02f2374fe7a0173ddaa3ace4a6fbc9640f5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0505814777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"47aceb7529788153ac770e83d9a51e70f5bd5ed5d7476d32fb586424ac444039","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0992012842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"47aceb7529788153ac770e83d9a51e70f5bd5ed5d7476d32fb586424ac444039","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0991358301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4c5838cada42d44ac688a0efee008646d66f82d768050b79247d1187336b7041","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583821069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"4c5838cada42d44ac688a0efee008646d66f82d768050b79247d1187336b7041","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0593129188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"51d732942c96e49feab240dba706ac169da31dacff3cca8107c2866113324aa3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119051872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"51d732942c96e49feab240dba706ac169da31dacff3cca8107c2866113324aa3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3184730065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5932fbd2a5b1c25113929c442e4df8f8ce6dfa4013bb37cdc4bd28a3dc143018","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3012099523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5932fbd2a5b1c25113929c442e4df8f8ce6dfa4013bb37cdc4bd28a3dc143018","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3028872137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5c85331f03dc37ebab48332b19bd8ebde8c22ff0984b939facd489b87280a7a5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0642115658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5c85331f03dc37ebab48332b19bd8ebde8c22ff0984b939facd489b87280a7a5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0655683748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5deef8db1c971774080b8a4647dba21f84c61214a5891baeeb431d9f0f40a2c1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0497788132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5deef8db1c971774080b8a4647dba21f84c61214a5891baeeb431d9f0f40a2c1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0498461759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077710361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"5f437d89238ba3b30f988c3d7280f20003d242af1ef1a0fb943e486e3ebf3e0f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0818449581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"60e3d1c01c9ccd0be42f525efe7b0eb8e2fb9ef4aa12ef5e5f9eb1d02376fd3c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3877332007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"60e3d1c01c9ccd0be42f525efe7b0eb8e2fb9ef4aa12ef5e5f9eb1d02376fd3c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.38123779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0503597379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"6d9d7200951ce0f2e717f375d12ce911b7399f58a0ac0a56172979ab52f1901a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0502875752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"78ced8d1691dcc09a76703270781778b7ada7ec4616397081f73975eca3228fe","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1072490935},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"78ced8d1691dcc09a76703270781778b7ada7ec4616397081f73975eca3228fe","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1093971699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"78fa565cfb6bbc2bd79844dbfec8854fa8759f077a2258f793c5398648d5222f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795336581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"78fa565cfb6bbc2bd79844dbfec8854fa8759f077a2258f793c5398648d5222f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2668970161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"7e2cda65cb0b8c2de02a53102ab27a981cd27008ce5be5ae95e4a393472b7a2f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0609914811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"7e2cda65cb0b8c2de02a53102ab27a981cd27008ce5be5ae95e4a393472b7a2f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0496328669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"8bbae492677b57778c0df09916eb6d0b4f9f776614a55efda43fb06f7ebc51be","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3080665111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"8bbae492677b57778c0df09916eb6d0b4f9f776614a55efda43fb06f7ebc51be","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.300779242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3426066416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"90c1396d0ab77242a9ae8c0450fd8a8676d3c1ad919248b3107a8fc08caf0ea3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3401500673},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"adce5fb334dbde74c2272f01e353c670e8855f2ebe7f60ca798562b7507ad56b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833211532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"adce5fb334dbde74c2272f01e353c670e8855f2ebe7f60ca798562b7507ad56b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0843010852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b04f6aeb8f3f9be05df9e81a8d1b08ca73b0a1780641f62d271fd600d603494d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547676408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b04f6aeb8f3f9be05df9e81a8d1b08ca73b0a1780641f62d271fd600d603494d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055481761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3252711604},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b10813a3b22b28a75f7b0970764c45da96f0c7ca7e95c756f9dd4d72e68d20ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3356576812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4400839838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b1bd1dcc07e5e43b1d02d7f26edbda9df4116aaca2a266d6090e360a2f8f98e2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2304864891},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2515795741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b3b8099d53c65ee5a0b52414c70ffee2aea5c95ae89e1e612c8e27250f35d829","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2560113623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b99cde44bf887959b2da15efc5f730789011e25782adac3bf20f2ef5e81b073a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1064046901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"b99cde44bf887959b2da15efc5f730789011e25782adac3bf20f2ef5e81b073a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.107692136},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"ba4369563a5038da71698e33c2f8393cf07d83b6115427b145051374d046afd8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2665782456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"ba4369563a5038da71698e33c2f8393cf07d83b6115427b145051374d046afd8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750196432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"bddb3c88ed316b4d4363d2ca5c5acbf165e0e1a254c8c42a64edf6cdacd16ee7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.062492441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"bddb3c88ed316b4d4363d2ca5c5acbf165e0e1a254c8c42a64edf6cdacd16ee7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521131019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"bee9b4f96f23d458deedbf4d273b0b0356790f020c737c06f66c67c3ccae90ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569504329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"bee9b4f96f23d458deedbf4d273b0b0356790f020c737c06f66c67c3ccae90ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583777869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"c35fcf7b563fb0e0f1b2bafb28de6cf49348fcc9eefad3910903bd08fdcbea2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511094587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"c35fcf7b563fb0e0f1b2bafb28de6cf49348fcc9eefad3910903bd08fdcbea2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509833432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4340147066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"c8efef925f6ca8dda786a0ffd199765a7d0e6e61b577f1e23bcfda44abcb255e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2433514932},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537970151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"cd6b9ade12913c585759c17434485c00786a4538f61f164a8d86c948f8765688","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553998111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d13164a14ead5bbbeebceb2c273af666cdfcf8d8c769d57fab9f7afbf13c6d8f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0895687936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d13164a14ead5bbbeebceb2c273af666cdfcf8d8c769d57fab9f7afbf13c6d8f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0924115017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0943954075},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d57847aa88a64ffccb11e4e303a14a96c90783e4f8f06f9a85e8ceffb8a934e1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1014971323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.37058768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"d84d2563e2124a48eb5ae1315cba00ea80f0220ecce0bf8a3558a77020ce4a50","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2679151002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.087132502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"dad90c8903ebe665e367fba42b6a0fcc3cdf7c04c559b5f8678d390a9ff1a923","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0888141838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"e06472142c571193cbc6dc5d563d572b1589a4d2f020c2556e42859ab3da6c28","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0497791636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"e06472142c571193cbc6dc5d563d572b1589a4d2f020c2556e42859ab3da6c28","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0498780379},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"e705fa1f2a3f807ce3cdfb23788a4d3c0e4f86cfae6c8e13448400814af51772","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2276429174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"e705fa1f2a3f807ce3cdfb23788a4d3c0e4f86cfae6c8e13448400814af51772","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2285398659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552698125},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"acled","id":"fd6a02c79b7a675c24e10f5af7d35640512930b6aa549dcaa9e3de73fe665f1e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0568584831},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1979981175},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1281985885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2121934762},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1285531316},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2118085058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1383762587},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2002112102},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1277512024},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2075162351},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07037.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1203986411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2036298976},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1368919957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2141824669},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1277518045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.214030658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1346550631},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2040117132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07139.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1326121951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1996844697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1176486597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2227159507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1409166845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2313842558},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1462711938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2082855026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1327996938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2218888653},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1441848443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.250688671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1503893478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1901345342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1198213723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2094207677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07280.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1200395526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1871390998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099350754},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1826618573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1182486556},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1807911427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1169575734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2058480645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1255213338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1996162884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2020988625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1322166068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1971174416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1161178064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2084071381},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1854709293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07558.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1134577789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1868254656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1102578005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1727846512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1135077785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1855800194},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138895941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2105161485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1280959148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1803498729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162059422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1897118097},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1247213392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1919572491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07690.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1201350065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1767339362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138932004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.173993734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1094850784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3542152451},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316188229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61970.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2372814729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2926477046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2526386578},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3132409685},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2519471803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3293491854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4541997412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3433106087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514430592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.333975443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.459748827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3369697636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.445660745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2438377177},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.71805.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1635181688},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2438042869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.184426416},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2290660896},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1722755638},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2155186854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1503363162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2313773452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1685083585},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3580003529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2627530244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2439655128},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410611294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2857249006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"AAA10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2924799426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3486669293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3783949951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3197704146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3419799183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2969857209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A0CMEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3014429735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876845778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAAEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2949973655},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2962192536},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A3CA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3263051938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3107810116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3394375946},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3033706232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A4CBBBEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.323558789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2569893399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.224575912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.307077135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.332784463},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3222924862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A2HYB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3426462132},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3059178799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3169161895},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2877035546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"BAMLHE00EHYIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3347392634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042244334},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DBAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3180043797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.303083499},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DEXCAUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3106781715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.306595006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DEXMXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3244428654},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.301611632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DFII20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042856238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3029550342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3017623708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.297505255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.300027333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2956580131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3176911115},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904254596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DHHNGSP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.293731971},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0861210684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0945676277},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2477542607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2128789429},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2858913749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTB3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2919752613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3004888937},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXAFEGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3043379269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2986251443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"DTWEXBGS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3060426501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.323215844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3461203645},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4276177055},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4204162773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296086385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127322742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2541946841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2088558382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0858069172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"H41RESPPALDKNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0888070711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1214994126},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"IORB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1309345616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"MMTY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2369040208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3102204592},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE15US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3011004235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2731611044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"NASDAQ100","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2472911665},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2953100712},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2906768919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2984102304},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.189776074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"RPONTSYD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.495500729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2784426059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"RRPONTTLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2942938777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5238622445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4805473714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2322217129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SOFR90DAYAVG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.240305836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2699660206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"SP500","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2539159319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3197945195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"STLFSI4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.350688966},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2253300941},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"TOTLL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1842083623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3077415185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179487952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2909720663},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2978276012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3730988011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3716985523},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2499989618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WM1NS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4002997271},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3207023199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.268317993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1312537165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"fred","id":"WSHOMCB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1340918106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904736163},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"010b47bbaa7da364dad379ac8357ecc6a7b74173db1edbe5e1460811e9098c7d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905293445},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904742185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"0138a4e78eddc4613dbc98a6ab5a4db9ba30d9ca7118805a5ee6c4ed1e673b47","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905310718},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773618931},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"03288caeb42fec07ed971589de97f4a580c64bc1b75a916af289fdb34a04da42","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1981890253},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972760699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088578099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008558731},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"14b53bc593c52fa6616a9d0b81b58de35be6d1361196c29778ba80a1b04f1f63","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1150127421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0980715191},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"1b12215032357c20078f36029eca8e2c67788d7834cba572d712b7d769a288ee","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088214465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904914348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"1bf36264e4dd1b5888ab63799964466399ff5b54b8a2dfab336fc2b6b93e214c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.090531845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904497078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"2525a40a08e2116a34cd952e86bf0817cfb4431a1cb2e88a645dc5587290a185","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904919802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904947525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"289ddcc2051a5fd3581e8b5fc22a1b1d0a2f001b928b26a9d0ea271dbe3914df","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905639352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905130724},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"3603d5be46eba00d81d4dcee409a50885a1ab7acc49128d20b0847c12888082c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0906869912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1112351121},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1208623198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0906846144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"451aa86022cadf5f8c08fc46fecf8c86d46b17ed4f97a03c14380c9c75837f23","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0909247491},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.102186264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"49df3df4af8ed84e5e9c9ed5f8f91b804c54aacb3ada9aa917a5af2a67c72916","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.104458976},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508447923},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"4bf1375c2c1b2ff0018f2a2c8d361bde5be87f9b21db6f35dc7fb38d755cf9f0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528424607},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904642545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"56e1c59eae8bd7a9eef15c80d31e198c0133ee52ba48ad1a800ac4768abf46cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905198105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0903788442},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"6b1c68a507fa625722143674cac09c96d837fd8efb49e20bb9a3d5ee14d1cc99","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904465255},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1300986211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1388577893},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904508119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"7b3b3daea3d3ddab8bcc4462169fece4ea5c5dcc9cf8d98f52d8bc4efff3d467","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904684436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5947115868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"7bd4c6721da823b89d18611bc24498d2566aab30014f3c221d507a700da4af2a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5307631005},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"80622d988880cea15ff86d0eae9dc576026cbdd12ab2a6fca8c18795c26e3b02","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1036351179},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"80622d988880cea15ff86d0eae9dc576026cbdd12ab2a6fca8c18795c26e3b02","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109896137},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904354797},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"84259aa600eedf03ebae06b31605446da5b6703bb652cd445984ac05effec11a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905542062},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5466503101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"891a110ca63ac46515ff54b9a343bc8e5d74f2f674be7010a203945809dd8a55","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4923915853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519638757},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"8f2ea4ca0e1613f5ed5071b15f8c6eb0e365f00e19ec57a6311aa23ff655e644","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554718066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0903326195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"93b31b445760b990547b8faf13a1d90a4c7253740aed0e42d74e067e641084c2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0903483616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1319258815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1312077046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"9b23662b0dcbb885aa00dfa3ee17560462db1c6fe0c6c750ba5cdaf5c6f3a33a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904584068},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"9b23662b0dcbb885aa00dfa3ee17560462db1c6fe0c6c750ba5cdaf5c6f3a33a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904996293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1533022377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1737919714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"a67901002a226895b47278a52d5b429858dab5b056cade86b2525d6845b3d709","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1165895759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"a67901002a226895b47278a52d5b429858dab5b056cade86b2525d6845b3d709","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1286849488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904538928},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"aaaa39a987ff6041625a0717c12963cd476cd1521fb0dadf8ad8608cb603f654","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904815994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0879670418},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ab5c58a4f7851613998a972c236017f60c6f9cd402b83743cac441683c363680","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1009098636},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904686658},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"af1719e4facbc21e03efea8315ce04cf3a6ab9dace4e5534b952f96e14e0063f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905226573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.093730742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"af60e8d92ed933ab2a234879f7d583ea3db3c72b09f47d76fe5d6d3b7f3d09ff","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.096553757},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0914942907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ba3191fe67f3420686002df6da16e07e8fd659695552b14d90cd6305973facfa","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003487764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904414537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"bd9d8a912fb3f75a06cd3f5d063e80c1f8e47a6d6955199039ccf9ba15b6e34b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905090737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0996680326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"be40b31eeb9702e5a94cd3418b7abfe0d3a314ee09c1f36d77e82270e456a36f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1136596853},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904765276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"bf21328b2a7b5451358d108faa8c4c244853a2e7a04d18f9147656d269de3e34","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905452399},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0640819757},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"c907f6c2f20d03900179318b2eb8027873677867b8b7f9d2d5766809237502d5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672126364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904552982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905235377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904880712},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ce8c2a8c37c4d37d23fb2691310cc9335e4fde570d08fa6a19b253310c2ec7de","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905954354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905268436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"d10020e1d60273be946e2f669002958101893df71eec238ab37b4b7e43f3e8a1","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0906734404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1571666657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"dadd517a58009c84362694393623ebcca9e7339eab40e7fc61947c22d9cd4e3d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1670360082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0900352097},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5ef5991f0340690d21eec9e1fbc20d3b80d3d6dfba96b040c306080ae2ae990","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0939806376},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1273724169},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ec3328f161d3c6dbc3b2c17966ae939acd89542093acc38da2f7655d1e9a0587","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1463893374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.090444951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ee34f87f6d9a8d40de0c69aac8c86ef6e35278a05bbd8431cc1348f3313fc081","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904728344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0903449471},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904091694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6390708398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"f73ed34ca12a3e74504043f868ef2cfa4a585fe0b5ae28354b1e20ab9f7bde91","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.579487984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0781971532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0858243744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1147395884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1294031258},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2878861391},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ADBE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2700001124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3066748081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ALB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896149003},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2836838009},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2644536883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"BEN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.296918176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"BEN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2856150193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2898328603},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CAH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3253394531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2863500394},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2709620866},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892063313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CINF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2713507022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2895982892},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CNC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2800971911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2850397261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CNP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2708031368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2898754588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"COR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277318544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.290981339},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CRM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749422362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892270827},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"CTVA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3241011839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2858749942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"DHR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3354216998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3017147404},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"DVN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.30956142},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3039669608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"EXE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3166358674},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2917221696},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798820354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2881816848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3363251292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2970659327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.323483278},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3091605256},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"FOXA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2833083882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3052870222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2800864199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3074012073},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GPN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2768977442},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876420369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"GS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2722989543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3134516199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"HD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2710574852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"HON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2831654325},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"HON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3421392769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889167709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"IBM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3219137412},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.312001087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"IP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3314849007},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2872394881},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"JBHT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2759174172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2875645289},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"JNJ","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277472361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3124648369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"KDP","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2710704244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3002761749},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"KHC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2893932153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2885156844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"LMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.325074377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2931198104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MHK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2786173254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MOH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2920717697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MOH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798189199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2920137817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2811952168},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2878243234},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"NVR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3290605617},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2818252796},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"OMC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2687586444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2911279119},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2758946773},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3031106441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"OXY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3172273501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"PGR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.316882356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"PGR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2648517567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2857031686},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"RSG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3365177067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"SCHW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2863468274},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"SCHW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3277182851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2871311809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2724753485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916482217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2771416985},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"TTWO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2841243354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"TTWO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2716685081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2844971672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WAB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2681061488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2895739629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2764607785},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2989938521},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"WYNN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2834652632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2876920859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"XEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2702326326},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2954262651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ZBRA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750040758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2873271189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2738670135},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.321556021},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"085ad65ea78c233bd2751e83a48fca5d20c8c9d10868ebac09692725e692b19e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3199478527},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631729786},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"091314f45a73a4953da7a727ea5606d21f2c9ed1e669596e4f18029949a9b9b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620097164},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1a8cf53a74b9cfc6614ad866389f9a29f69d8a73c64531f903846d29297f173f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510661422},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1a8cf53a74b9cfc6614ad866389f9a29f69d8a73c64531f903846d29297f173f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522268811},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1afdd177add6bb79d09d8130a0da66f6155ac6b798ce06fa195f0c3dfbf64337","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766605998},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1afdd177add6bb79d09d8130a0da66f6155ac6b798ce06fa195f0c3dfbf64337","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0773035695},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0847476884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1c4e38e6c1b15a095947818119b8e0c116cae2a4db771040d1ee85e3fbbb7759","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610443382},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1c4fe6c25f4f8dc413630dcb35adc40f81c42a748541f8aa61d79b03fc9a5bf5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2980463292},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"1c4fe6c25f4f8dc413630dcb35adc40f81c42a748541f8aa61d79b03fc9a5bf5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322780957},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"201ac64a00529b084a1a5599c91d1241d5df081a0860e630f28ee123978a0b05","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0799612477},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"201ac64a00529b084a1a5599c91d1241d5df081a0860e630f28ee123978a0b05","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.09915901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"274a20120661b1ee2f638a19e5c425aea6c60ea7b75b8b29b7d21d85e00edfc6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554141988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"274a20120661b1ee2f638a19e5c425aea6c60ea7b75b8b29b7d21d85e00edfc6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559674106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"2f109c1b141224bb77aa48fe005a7ce9d7aca2934baf9e82121c8537ed7ba157","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510221652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"2f109c1b141224bb77aa48fe005a7ce9d7aca2934baf9e82121c8537ed7ba157","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508665555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623076202},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"3e272d9d753c83953c629150251fbbcbd4137ab471719a0358320d340ad5ece4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510261993},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"3fcc16d757fd4ab8088ffbf74eee68a683aea0657b932d2aaa0848af268bbd93","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3305535715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"3fcc16d757fd4ab8088ffbf74eee68a683aea0657b932d2aaa0848af268bbd93","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3451392509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2893263105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"4476c4683b3d76dc10bc59d7ae2a7b22aa2a0b81eb2ce7bf33f77e9068dd17b6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3344463266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0793666353},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"4b1e70e038443a845aaa4cbdaa7d0010174d8e1552bb8aa59b7c61a8295dd77b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0798000525},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"594971c4da4cc1b0853cb4a66d66f18663649c2259bd9049d16c2d47ae830845","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2190479484},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"594971c4da4cc1b0853cb4a66d66f18663649c2259bd9049d16c2d47ae830845","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2227631434},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"5b194a489803848654c2bb57d074abc6b917c747368857d12d4f672a20f6af1a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0490256227},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"5b194a489803848654c2bb57d074abc6b917c747368857d12d4f672a20f6af1a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0490257657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3826485563},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"5b46d0bfa13c0cfa52aaa699e70b5205b424de3fd41c24e6ecebfef962f11c68","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2659345444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"60aeaebf9803b4e98ad4fd1e8b47f425915b2082ecd4c47482f809c07149f525","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0603519618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"60aeaebf9803b4e98ad4fd1e8b47f425915b2082ecd4c47482f809c07149f525","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610149639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634813659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"657433f92e130ea85ee0fa23092a5b56e98f2b52147086344179c3a7dbd6bff5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520652098},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0959478437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"70aefb23d97555acf920fcdcc9ad6416b90e2e990f05fb3066383a1f7fcc956b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981580809},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"78aa5c08a83e880c46c669735f49d554fe938bab17a200571b7ed39d57061af9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637920551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"78aa5c08a83e880c46c669735f49d554fe938bab17a200571b7ed39d57061af9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0647236634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"79692c91ff95fc298034fb68b40e5e1348a2edc4dea49289cb42fa178b4f4353","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622052671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"79692c91ff95fc298034fb68b40e5e1348a2edc4dea49289cb42fa178b4f4353","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0640245715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"7b16ac49c3f4618236fd8ffaaabad8a50eb0d60c8e689c364e7618d5bb066d09","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3066681403},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"7b16ac49c3f4618236fd8ffaaabad8a50eb0d60c8e689c364e7618d5bb066d09","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2747972116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"7e999232e3c6975548145b07f2768444af543cf52d517136fd77088b289b03f2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0767844138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"7e999232e3c6975548145b07f2768444af543cf52d517136fd77088b289b03f2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0781831211},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"80636d98db7db43707218b6dc1014d9770571f8604159128f43094c5f17e44e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.088075368},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"80636d98db7db43707218b6dc1014d9770571f8604159128f43094c5f17e44e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0890784192},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0498031193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"855f638a75fadc667d8b259c646ba42dd7dab74c564d1052ab1788115be5838d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0495099225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491259116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"897df10eea1ce69116cdd575c9757746a702d275e4c467583952653b767385ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491410226},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"8ebd4baa35766dcb4178ca130850fa107eb8b0c31bf52964a5704c62d31679ae","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620810564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"8ebd4baa35766dcb4178ca130850fa107eb8b0c31bf52964a5704c62d31679ae","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0506339967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"8ec4363b05a62fa005feb9e7256c84a514fe6ffa599889e6590d4a9f427a991e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765506858},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"8ec4363b05a62fa005feb9e7256c84a514fe6ffa599889e6590d4a9f427a991e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532526778},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"98b628df321b43a81fb84bb161012e955a6f0679054d7f5fb63fe768200dd2e6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0498869884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"98b628df321b43a81fb84bb161012e955a6f0679054d7f5fb63fe768200dd2e6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0498260756},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"99effe55927fdda5ff71f38875f3e17c0b286059ab7f34de1b2a6fbbe8ad906b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0745964742},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"99effe55927fdda5ff71f38875f3e17c0b286059ab7f34de1b2a6fbbe8ad906b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760695212},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a28a1139cdb6fb817651be872c09d4607133b7e4ec4bafa018a7e5e0b23dad87","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.049030294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a28a1139cdb6fb817651be872c09d4607133b7e4ec4bafa018a7e5e0b23dad87","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0490542549},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a31cef507e61853411ec79a024f7a700d8ffdcf63fea111b4aed6d5c095536c4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0624589524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a31cef507e61853411ec79a024f7a700d8ffdcf63fea111b4aed6d5c095536c4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.051290619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0498457823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"a5aa748caea44dda8caeb27ee28d9bd7222bbbe75adb908ceb510a7969582f7f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.049795354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"ae29e65838ae79b6b8d371516d778ddfa3b553824ea5a6a58ab17c82f33daed4","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.12167144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"ae29e65838ae79b6b8d371516d778ddfa3b553824ea5a6a58ab17c82f33daed4","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1345367865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508992914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"b14bf7c2c8b0295d2979580a100f83318ddc1d9c709488dc768f082d1334635c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518521372},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0790611},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bdc02d2039411e9e4fd27650a1a014f7549d7b4d8b59828433997acb956a8987","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0804770883},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bee9b4f96f23d458deedbf4d273b0b0356790f020c737c06f66c67c3ccae90ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723835222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bee9b4f96f23d458deedbf4d273b0b0356790f020c737c06f66c67c3ccae90ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736574354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bf20dee9de8bc31a7d6d1f25098298cfa844d267c0c4b9a9cab993f593e63c5b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646598392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"bf20dee9de8bc31a7d6d1f25098298cfa844d267c0c4b9a9cab993f593e63c5b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.06228639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"c60ceb20ec94de9fc1625df8d7710c1c0b775b8be102d3bb2668ccc9e0ac3fd3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622991924},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"c60ceb20ec94de9fc1625df8d7710c1c0b775b8be102d3bb2668ccc9e0ac3fd3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0504900046},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0739602087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"caa67b6bdc678845af6f776ba5bcf2ee8c0cd15de667dad6938a73d1b4772053","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736011464},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0856572901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"cc4304e857488ac2b535a3f3ff91aa3a0fde3249cedad93214da851c7bf56461","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0863942538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3673732197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"cfb1f99217646618c04c2f69c4831d1a6d6e4fb87f9b5c0354e9acd02742fd7c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3584932634},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617585745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"da0c3e27f3322b9dcd4a5185685640168a12fa7846b21aacc11f9918e466fda7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0498149806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e01c189262cfb4dc4a2dc2ebbfde7ecfc484d3d07cc806cf4415761c77e5c66e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0822098064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e07b01bc6c3b45240c9361e57d0e69bfcf83edda464527199ab85e13b90ddf50","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3570234551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e07b01bc6c3b45240c9361e57d0e69bfcf83edda464527199ab85e13b90ddf50","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2836796922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553381526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e5073bb6a4000f12ce01b7c279fdd72f95561711548c300240e883da3699f17f","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580242529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765268011},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e6341e1ed10656b47ac291730a50ad23a56ba60feeba5375fc8eef0e8c12df24","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0565144045},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e63fd3a4f000586ceb18e2040dfe6a10077ef14d4936305dc15e8c3b36db8c4b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0611418952},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"e63fd3a4f000586ceb18e2040dfe6a10077ef14d4936305dc15e8c3b36db8c4b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612350337},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"f8ca99b4de1c397ccb77af3a72dd7e9f7dd65feae7bd2fc5c9d18d5d66f8ef19","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2726696571},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"f8ca99b4de1c397ccb77af3a72dd7e9f7dd65feae7bd2fc5c9d18d5d66f8ef19","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2709899035},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"fe04b3beca8f9c8781c85ce5db7b2b6c3f4b661bb30e095645b9dd4a16f97fce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0628422146},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"acled","id":"fe04b3beca8f9c8781c85ce5db7b2b6c3f4b661bb30e095645b9dd4a16f97fce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653917475},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1276845081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07015.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6297154542},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07020.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1188332608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07027.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.124019897},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07072.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1208599058},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07110.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1249351877},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07117.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1225735259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07130.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1622762309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07149.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1404546599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07168.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1351737847},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07181.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.120926079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07190.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1155606184},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07222.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1967155642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07240.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1578615061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07255.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1371993088},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07299.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.116884635},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07335.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1464879172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07434.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1608430195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07460.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1425649031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07471.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.14740708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07481.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.135484716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07510.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1440176682},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07535.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1544218492},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07577.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.133761366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07591.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6302991415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07607.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1595646361},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07621.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1574057555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07627.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1607857621},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07630.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1569242942},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07650.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1220458217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07747.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1464541709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.07761.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1053138872},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61968.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835357244},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61972.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4967828309},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61976.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2586375183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61980.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2869993822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61996.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2313714547},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61997.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4324873715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2715029748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.61998.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2830691524},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.67005.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2265650153},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78890.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1642500265},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78894.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1430286354},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78897.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1883580529},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.78925.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1650315723},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81401.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4051565514},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"dbnomics","id":"meteofrance_TEMPERATURE_celsius.81405.D","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3081510939},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3106342972},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ANFCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3417130172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2973639551},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLC0A1CAAA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2674905065},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3052747282},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3285605816},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2826302637},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A0HYM2EY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3390706743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.310489531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"BAMLH0A3HYCEY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2891131273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3947266348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"CCLACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4463165581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2523796996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"D2WLTGAL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2718387063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2868631948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DCOILWTICO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3296793133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3118514801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DEXCHUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3302463438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.294147078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DEXUSEU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2789751094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778728397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFEDTARL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.085894015},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2992960644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFII30","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2946531501},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.307357967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DFII5","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2859604133},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2934939868},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS20","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3029742449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3225485841},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS3MO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3250190555},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.286628789},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DGS7","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3308618837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1045879335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DPRIME","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1131792241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2617516862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DPSACBW027SBOG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2199743651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3348374919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"DTB4WK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3380262396},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2954333803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ECBASSETSW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.278835629},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2390249022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"ECBESTRVOLWGTTRMDMNRT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2500070743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1563356267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EFFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1688865186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3109757744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3100091287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"EXPINF5YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2969270548},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2986353314},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GASDESW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3120910769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2599331967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GASREGW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.213433101},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2647472711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"GVZCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2518290427},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3097771452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"IHLIDXUS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.321020188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4233619864},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"IUDSOIA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2378549091},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.290116913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"MORTGAGE30US","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2906049876},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2825673633},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"NFCILEVERAGE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2708111518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3273435837},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"NFCIRISK","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3590925768},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3090167591},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"OBMMIJUMBO30YF","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2847277161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601621106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"OVXCLS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2362563715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"REAINTRATREARAT10Y","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3007732043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4789657583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"RESPPLLOPNWW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4585277938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4508431561},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"SOFR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2465977668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3126498189},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T10Y3M","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2719388443},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916498329},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T10YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3266928362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.298410242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"T5YIE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.295055911},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3182604472},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"THREEFYTP10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2644913002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2451373991},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"TOTCI","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2182462522},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5175758338},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"TREAST","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4952432392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2973503879},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WGS10YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3015644254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2937337679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WGS1YR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.302985627},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506466284},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WLCFLPCL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2483790662},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481276241},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WRBWFRBL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2777151865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3340088063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"fred","id":"WRMFNS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3670848268},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1229819317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"044affc3cf8e3c981c601f7e8fc6a1144659454792c35dede40dde1a5ab85e60","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1209624933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920146545},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"0648b066e360ba11cc3e3971672e67ef2401a8497cc3d6437c66184041f48d8b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920726186},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918907277},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"1136efa42c5d7f76d1d728374dcf42ff7bccec4a1ead6bfa8f6cd6847f483eb3","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919720925},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920215606},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"19fe79dd3c949d77e31f598f3012001f0ec798dae23ab312f28e40ad40a80046","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925126094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0896421474},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"22bcaab07d791e348a1aa7cb7882884d09277c98ea7ec782f658e6db24d88ae6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1052499293},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919779384},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"29c188aea14fb8a9bc4846f9a8f28fc46dd6010917d4a34aed7dd6e1baba8fdf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919928217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920443031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"2f5a42ad551f99dbef187a76fd94767165c2ea7070594696bede916853029019","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920911574},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919811857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"39d7aa6828192b95302b58e3d018da55ff26535fcef6dda5a46484622347bda6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920102908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c53314baf24ff5c680b4010fa3711d077810d93fb7a446e1b1ad7735aee2016","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1367226857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"3c53314baf24ff5c680b4010fa3711d077810d93fb7a446e1b1ad7735aee2016","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.54573516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919907494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"3f79fef8b53b581dbdebdc948503b3f98a289c621bada6d46bd83ef5bd526515","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920209148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0975056689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"435f70fb95065aabb5a279a5c1e27442005176e42441fe75140479096d990949","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931285362},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1363935683},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"607f772fb118b26ae86cf2647783fe1e08bd926da72267110f4c5158e9e783c9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1434696245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1024922528},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"61b318b9bdb76e9542d1f2aa781cc2769131805d843d72806e7b338097f56d5a","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162044298},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919813743},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"62a97de6a809b87851c284ae04792ab6ddd70518772fd3e0b1e7af339e5bcba8","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920245943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.091872889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"6c4fc7461e8c51a54d4ef4e03d00a08d0ec3b2651f7f48d5f8ef4224dbbf7933","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919342104},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1101937906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"76eefc47356f6f8254bbc134dc46e8127fca413bb79a551af09a829cfb2603b0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1219483984},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919956513},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"7d768dfd9c45e0a386a542f0f8e71760ccb8540803419a4eb15824a2a99c30cc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920490159},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1168808518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"804ef781f2394ae2530ebba1e8860271a5a50b2c09add52a538780bc67384f10","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1241723839},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919812238},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8167f63d775c4d8fcd839c9508668f56d91e4925c2cd8717167f57ad1f553057","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920162444},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919826488},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8850b07d7643e65d4ac189cb0f0e02ec890e0f4c6c28f0ed31687c7abcd61e8d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920221888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0733163694},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"8d6e75ca19e4dbf74ea7f7910116ee0c192613feb78bc17e14998bbf2c06167c","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0789924677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.091976469},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"903583557dac4eed86c81cac642b20fe7f3425e9ae902f331a29ae6516172741","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920053689},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919766581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"959b6aaf209f8aeebc8d606028930c9ffdcf7cc7c218762ceae689872c37e331","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920206176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0936525424},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"973539acd6a838fe6f407c21a333008830bbfe642b0add5d257d7bc8a008b851","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062763183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1244762978},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"98293d96d72cc181fde43e3d8c9692a88f882f11135d9b971d18fdedba497ada","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5384215449},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.115640487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"9e712ffaf3b7b079b10bfaa1e1d67f7ec51de118ee8eeaa7a10f8b0fde9b5910","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6279748823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1517113002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0601f09d73e005eb0e78fabad1f250b9fd228c10c848fb756bb0197025986ab","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.590848651},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.091876344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a08ab7a8da73e5bfa8b5e081f2121c39cc9e145d7a8dc45d8b710a973f010171","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919628869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920166554},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a0f7ccc411718188182aa504a06736515051d1c75312c77806caf08e51b651a9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.092185701},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8000be71eeeeba1faf969b8bffe6b925896c5b2b91a17186432ba5e1c4246a0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1001003138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"a8000be71eeeeba1faf969b8bffe6b925896c5b2b91a17186432ba5e1c4246a0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1053271347},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919779331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"b77a2fd36d28f8276f7fbd8cab839736c4c4b2b47953c4fc59421c019c79ad0e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919969844},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919824588},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"bb66140460a30e52c40df6caf0cc2132290b84d1349935b21dc8db4bec5a0bb0","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920155485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919675516},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"bc15eb0f0fb842254b4977157a5d92d7c57514724c7197e095fca4a9076f2bd2","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919829356},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0939673602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c097d5216ff8068a20a5c9592860a003ccc06dd4eb7da842d86c3816a68c3ab6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7109623683},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1116940333},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c28f340263644425dd87c3cf915351620e452358d2118a20e27fb20ba76cfa64","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1569885117},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098543965},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c76424a0e0e742fb5e9691f25c2f48a070fa3b3e08aa9163b365a2eb48815acf","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.111557102},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.091986792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"c9751fbf14e5207b9bb384bd7e28b66bd342fb1600aec0feb5312de3e43c83ce","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.092006702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1300001201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"ccb75c44436ebc9d35d79e03799e81be999dde80d339866b8ca81c3a125f41bb","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6361717064},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077123105},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"cf91185d7ed1d797383671d02b9c6a4bf3b0de9ca0e33a660be015d0d9e411e9","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.116009154},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0963222886},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d2daa62a41e7a5eaf55204881cd8e187dd02762971677ed9b012c6a3c441ed11","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1152657165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920130947},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d455fb6d0ccaf27484700d10afcfe99b03acdb8f22c72f19eac825ad207108c6","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920848124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1219865486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"d61d058797047fb9793684b123dcf88a66f843695d9e65e9bc6df0f49ec9d936","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1377943216},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919777907},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"df0932a080ff4b89f7bbded3df80186cd70d746fa565b9b9c6fe001a7dd81c0b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920376714},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918526727},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"e38d9036894c7574f34ae300dbac617e07c4b132111d06d5c0b2768b49c4612e","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0918595794},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.09215854},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"e5c8cf6650fd05b5886d299c9cd6c0462dfda4225c42739903f0ec1600d5e5dc","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964592302},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0919860423},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"f2edd6958c8fa5ed1c897a3a09be7eafda909d907b898f44c8f459f2a5a5264b","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920160229},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6a47cd336b6ea14b142b18f6b8e0880362d28b6e3fc3fdb35ea95eebe07b94d","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1170331616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"f6a47cd336b6ea14b142b18f6b8e0880362d28b6e3fc3fdb35ea95eebe07b94d","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1909855661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"fbc957258e4d6de0fbc809180959d294831a87aa87d0749c599b5fb52f17d967","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1292069457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"fbc957258e4d6de0fbc809180959d294831a87aa87d0749c599b5fb52f17d967","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1489107583},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005537825},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"fc09de14d0727e2cb5d2a269bf6c2d9912633827d12c854944e01fa5e4641794","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1186449497},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1068692902},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"wikipedia","id":"ff153a13090a11be47ca39fcf8f8e54ad7c8fae80d681d26b58cad0e02b2d9ed","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6319708936},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889306849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AKAM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.277203408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2862123502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AMGN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3251967402},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892509615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AMT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3319080502},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2890825923},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AON","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2643872099},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2819478843},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"APO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2657919507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2933689862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"AVB","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2731157753},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2980636619},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"CHRW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2870492425},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2889955994},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ESS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2730022715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2966499436},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"F","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3127859193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835022535},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"FDX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2725197183},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2875427598},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"FTNT","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2700358067},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2836122522},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GDDY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2686173134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2864312815},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GEV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2732538227},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3104283166},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GLW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2708542129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2903886901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"GNRC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749679198},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2853677305},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"HSIC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3307502019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2895858537},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"INCY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2778298734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2914589661},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"IQV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2762997392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2892760481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"KLAC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.274001171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287780396},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3289697504},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2881237432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LULU","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3270256176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2975079833},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LUV","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3200162225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2864092242},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"LW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3304973679},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2839040331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MA","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2666578565},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901770802},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MGM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.323747193},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2881487708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MMM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.322930735},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2970555187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MOS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3106828276},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925498586},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"MTCH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2795658231},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3130669927},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"OKE","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2723890771},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2775397769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ORLY","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3429686922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2856532207},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PH","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3335941708},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2842511486},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PNW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322992432},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2882838725},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PPG","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3308354953},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3059023848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"PPL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3187741751},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2842507155},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"QCOM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2660984002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2863539366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SBUX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2750444222},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2875860319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SJM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2759860327},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3096553275},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SO","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3262942171},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2869720646},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"STLD","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2745624667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2886360543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"SW","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3217960331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2882767996},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TEL","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3230603259},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2870708079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TER","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3227253279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3179617287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TJX","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3360125581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2922779192},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TPR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3227153538},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2860579455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"TXN","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.270229413},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2866836676},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"UDR","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2761874037},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3215637729},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"WFC","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3448487167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3136921066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"WM","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3320452575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":7.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2890032008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"yfinance","id":"ZTS","horizon":30.0,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3262071787},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1285","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1601965256},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1286","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2607434927},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1290","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2039282572},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1342","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1524196584},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1353","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2180246007},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1861717914},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1364","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1335026276},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1373","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4493815527},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1374","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1605562004},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1386","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4396703449},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1399","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1035609015},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1906571023},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2196997539},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"0750nMx1Fqq4CWdoBHdX","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1443831371},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"0m2HGw8Pd4ZTIgga0Pzv","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1503761723},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"0yVJeShTMcm0FA8UrcCL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4005599419},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"2ZLAoe3EAFVhcFAXXfPp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.155040717},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"3wRmZN5B5UypDistmDUA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2271093174},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"4puVWhIkvQiHnTxbH4NL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4153141321},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"5PBiCM7mofSHR55eoXkP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.22446585},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"AM1axfn3jAan7o8XYSfW","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3257959133},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"AXdiGoQlSHAH9vzCVAN1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1074905767},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"HFuD5HPpd2ZR9gLk6nhj","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1068056705},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3151451253},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"IUetZc700ZLVlkWh6n0D","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1034845549},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"JNC9AKTKeNrRJ4QYzB9I","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1213875099},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"KCFbp1TH0RYN4j5zYdmh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4178806525},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"KtGRsTouYWiDPaPhRC3o","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1757968877},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"Nc8DWWUyYm6CQp6PvOEv","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080646573},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"PNVVTlruggno0Yw5tjVS","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.43836266},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"TPkEjiNb1wVCIGFnPcDD","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1195489078},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"UQRBDDvSiDEEsJbevE4p","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1899619665},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"VB1RhUVlnNfhclAh4LvR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1138694141},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"YleFhm7mAbAVzTW1dUmI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.157569435},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0929235768},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"ex1RJ8NMa2JT0zcrPtQg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3577468366},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"iPG19DGNrWEkbUBjfk6L","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2616500603},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"iUA9Ddc0CVYiNthwVluW","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1041730948},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"iokMHn6kkmntt9E0aHHz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4710209131},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"l9dhLkCSjs5m0baSCsgf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3715511167},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"lFx5LHHUTgHnQPquiOMs","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2822016274},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"taYZcNp99aWqZLI2nq9v","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2486826107},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2686349317},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"yVAEXGniXeFkCfHQajGo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0838916889},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"manifold","id":"ylIXgDeMDCYkltnmAlpZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3287412093},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"13467","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1641518521},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"15010","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067783685},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"15619","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0860063047},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"15796","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1781959548},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"17178","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1227580268},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"17179","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0681976314},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"17180","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1594008582},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"17432","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0435087279},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"20695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2785511218},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"20720","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2747097427},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"20895","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2294879556},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"21114","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1478048903},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"23876","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4493855952},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"24034","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3990890463},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"2577","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1094653738},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"6427","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1791126003},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"6456","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2817511216},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"7444","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3828766669},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"metaculus","id":"7664","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1691686002},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x009f3196eb90f47b7eb23e1cc0b06759806df193ec58a0dab081eaabbe8a1310","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1704787139},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04787bbd66241501604f377f11b897879c1593b019bb3363dac0a73e99b4a131","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3163312921},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0590ee8929a1178e5490b8a98915d2e3697b5b67ec7872cf3d102814db65e5ad","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2232761248},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0784ce77446e73c456f7ea8216108ce3a2673488aba71afdaadb0939324b4c59","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.128225253},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x10c085ad9796aa0f7eda5ba053722c8c12357623257f301d01a2414ffee3ba40","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0874841063},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x122678509891ed9fe0b9ad7ff7a71a1a36aad334d9eae2d5421648b511371df1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5267119668},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x154efa11ed56deca4d0d06adf2bb711a420f5128f2a274be0d6631ed4380ca78","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3099597307},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1742f180a7ff24c2a89f3775e8f4243169085b7a25a50f15c76090b816e4c994","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2096518238},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x17620fcf724a1f33730294e7cb5b6cd09a4cd37b0a635173cf839709c5500b5a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2479745803},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2b56ba9f29601cbd226521a3081b150232f10e7e46591e4e33826aa406c3dbcc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0855278564},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2c1d8f3388f56e1641a57eec4d7645cb1dccb42054cf0d6aacc7e353d778b4f1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2121976329},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x31a5dcf98ab184ef2c167c7daaca2155242d61f841cb9ac9615f1e03c77b7732","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.206078278},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x349b7550429a7da9ef8e25d421a8053aabc0b254d81f39edee18d8cad04a43b8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0642278579},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4043107449bc2145e5c31d0551c6940d72d3d8cf9d81a17115eb111635cb55a1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.24808927},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x438883974dfc3b261a0826c47f3f54329e9632314f85e5950b85f57d9e490363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512508654},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4727f17403578f6dcde55e284c0c62fa2b773bf14f9ea1478426b26f0e5a439d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986511316},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ac4849343a847d75cff15174a139ef9c4bc89bdb8c8bcdd7bee61204912d549","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1995395682},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ddba39e67b2f7f4a78808a4975fbdd8b591f73207b8f1fd9b607821481aa994","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3958855982},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x573dfc705c8f4250064b3ad30d2cc43397f16c9fc5b343473c860bbd04d7a3ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3552879569},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5986206793f3c14534b0f559fc4f4d18d81e563aa7e65c1f9b0f7e9281e5b033","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639170041},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5c9490cd2121384ebb7a08b0aed1fa9a5239d98096d91b4bd6827c47c94951b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5072278335},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5cd8bb97af43191779906af4e624fd87eb2a07bcdb19a22b8f0943cc20dca848","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0289959536},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60752c2a562d7faff00a82238520a13a9a5a5ee2927afd397d224dc54361afd6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1963773827},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6102f6b038bfeff39a2e6f0ebf35ea841c4ded4120855b1cb8e9f68b8df0224a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1241078285},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x63634b4e14297a748923f86dca4fa0c6c659db0f5fadeeb8e419e48e20759c34","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521540832},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7970aad0f57cc6e4b4227affdb969e8a6db419db839dcf522c451d38175534a3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0336140661},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ade8b93914ae38b2fc95cba3e6796667b838add5f06ee2dc97b812fbd464c32","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2514256146},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7e912d337aec54d321a4d415bd05e5a6676c3f04617f07def1281be7e0af3e91","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0448561557},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8087cd3c2a88c34848bbb180b1fe7d119f8e116333de68f103cf3e408a7d5868","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3637407723},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81bb9ebd9312790810d3d40ee6545d97a8cbaee3233959b3e2bb4c37604e5e82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.539246862},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x87ebcc9f6660a5b9613650c3d91bae01f4503b11eb61a782b993bbc3a5d41b04","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2052294792},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8ba020facbdb28e70792e5de86005dd98d47f29824ca602c4027b00e0e9a7e5a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.36856491},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x997b475d23a34b3683f6d9886d45261ac8ff69fd8a5c04618b54a3c5f2eb642e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0645554441},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fce1292bea6748addd9a96632ab7455f64028671816e964a692686573079574","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0623382025},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa05e93dbcfefc56ee0ab0151512dccaae63840650eaae9ed8a89d5dcbe238f22","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0741653734},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa47e90f1232464539a75336de9fa41856285bc2dd5250ee509084ee90cf2d26e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583484527},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa4855d0b28960be4824c31c280d274572e176313d8efda21446cabe6bdc32efc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2011863425},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa8b22d7d3402b9823aca8ba68fa9beee749049bf67b8efa0935fcb8963d5d357","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2587774801},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaadfafde42e214e0db9c6a652cdaf2ec1203c0f41e8380d5387f370b89945285","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0649101765},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad1b0c00056e2f29ac47f2b410a91f2dda57181d5c01257f6efa395089805558","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2055614706},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb122e0e3150fc235ab62a0f17b04e7385c87e185790ef1d1a3816590ead9d2b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1792445841},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb3a14c854a91cc1d57bb4ed3ce1f74a1c3a08b9d6316f30874bda08e90fa663e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1140629545},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb3e11395bc67c2ad811de3ea4f58d47778e7a7d209eb73bc04a21c5a7472c186","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1801899202},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb4dfe263c46220c1ecaccfd524914457f60278f5507107e8f303fa6ac2ff5eed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2027338845},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbce0ff6f8ee396ec39e76c8b60d747272e8bf4bd65f31d0e131b64aceb0be3b5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2128580219},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc471a026180a086c0a887e8ba73d8016bc8dbd9539ef85ea199d666f240aca17","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686899263},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc5db10fafffb5283a093c435ce617a61f0127e3a24a57419e7d25550c6b8df38","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0345473506},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc8081f7c63082b34b1b2497f339c291e00587e8800b48db8096fbe763c2be31c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1943137698},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd9773233f3dd345b0cf99b4338e9663dee025c76bcdae2d8f11efb4327a3566d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3718360297},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdbc21bd5109333eb7d6f35e6d5ac6e64b39844ceba0abcb790ea87269e6bb97e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6676097213},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe610902a9cbe5a4969466a5b853f9165fa071b9804aa7f71db768db5c757b96b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2035381948},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xea27d1fc974b4aa0756d37bb2c72e9e424b74a271e291b195510dc68399e5071","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073051133},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xea3b3876ef2d1777f4320c79e9fb08cd4dbea4f174403995b8884f34aa5d76c9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972478333},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xed3a181bf912941cd49a24094cfba00ba30d3a48afe00cdabf32041324edc83e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1589239645},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf16beeed75c5f75a6bec765511631c5f145b0328d20a29d4f73b1f7f3dbf8657","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1334032073},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf5875410202b3545491774ab5e712a6e05a0ffe780c52270cc8d70cc95164411","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5004823133},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf80032ad5496e997beb357f01e9fe69382d7c755cde2352eba37410db006c21d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2169238493},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf808e139238945c244d8d54011908c2856a2a53b51f3c28ffaeb95de48677fae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1738588861},{"forecast_due_date":"2024-07-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfe495172d67c0bd95c8c62b9a9f9815b6e35d9653e5a1f4f8c1abb051e4f3638","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0308009294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1464570298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"infer","id":"1386","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3906840323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1107760196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.187931754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"1BskFw5s4FlnaJET30ai","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1841375865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"28RJ23fKDFMr4Mo8YQ4f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5543060134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6676135357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"AaZr2KnQYHGRVHzvKoHa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.333645811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"AtLFLzDlSERmVcSdUapy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1855972002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1270290553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"IWT36MaBUPU5dtiCygxo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1316703516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"QVCzHBisAcKNfHYEAB4G","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2555359186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"QtxO4jGNyhDzq5s3NrcG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2151109748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2714052573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0731180941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"Sqnu2sPyuC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2179601409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"WjigEUrHmJzDR7P5XXi0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2155670777},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814737379},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"dcgscdEUc0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1020458304},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"h2h0QzCqqC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2337668342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"llC0sSgzg8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.688716951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"manifold","id":"sis542tw6o","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4612998604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"10176","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785111675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"13467","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1606785263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"15370","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4710003967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"17519","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760606922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"21856","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1159832896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"29027","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1799408321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"5768","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5132687204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"metaculus","id":"7335","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2038670908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0ac91dc0674ea0b91e6eb9cc4a20968976d30fbce391a9050c70eaddf2fba354","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1267666183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1557811382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702560008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x189113c537d5f827fe5ef4805b431bc2d908241b5335032186715a3eb16a8983","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563518441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1bbdc459d73e6972f5ba1f687d739fde70a9774f4875611699fb00a9eb28f090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0811871405},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x267caa12157e2494fa6ef09c62bae0c2966d85a2b84d1e9d3c15e75d973b6a07","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535503724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x324d699420ad881471d0fd29acc86e664e397bd6461b3fa440dcd3efc514ac79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0806168338},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35aaaa9b77b25834ddf3647bd4c34376ba3f1dcd87e3d4801c829b3658b15b82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0729856607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f816d82200f0198e72df1175e21d9f757e274307a5f93d075e3c14c7f9a4377","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643685601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4833d7259bc503e8d211c477f7d21a00629e926382f920195d697fca38d4ad9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512080835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1297948534},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e26e75da2ec8c084efdb89b1883e7889f21ad32bc36a81ed13c001bebb72929","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573862087},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4fa70c404d4c33639d5f3883226ccf2392fbcc87bb5e4029f87bacf53d0ae6b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518452489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4fccc0dcb625ea55ff1ca0409bb44fe1952c04bc16cf5255002ceb2cc3791888","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1061431388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x50b8b0f741566a420756d975faaf4cc4716229cd5183c3a35b3b20ac2b5050ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4507146638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54377fdef57c1c82b31385a9164e87ff58a92ec6bb64cd55bc6d88a9e2b82fd6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0501747189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x55881f30e5f88d7dece08a4e63daa633a9c1905ff0d454088dc16d19881fe3f8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0712470689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553767914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b2691a691ece9066c2b855815e6c8784011833b17d85c65976dc7494b18e002","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0642748111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b38be7d23ad6179dbbc460e4f753760594c3fb64478f2d441776cbcd794db8a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558195995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5ce0d897bd66142c43a38204a67ad85bc3e0643382258411a5aa58ca3e825082","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.837752948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5dd6d072364a196c2c980b52d9df93599a63ff497619e0b6a028f9ec7d4d3252","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0561362057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6305af093bee55cfc31252a2ee4fac4b5af533b4884fda44978a1dfc8354343b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1292991553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x63e3c9432d9e3a0e9665d1152fc0a05f6ed17c9033eb9290062d25d2afb2bed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3559953065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6452c3d3e25f381ce39e9b7ffb06cf9d7a7cf1cc6c13044c2403c4606b77e5f8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4052198101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x677826754ff7328696c121a398fdf495dcd2e04f84ecb6494b85b2883ccaa6ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588538657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x67cc22ede739a48424f07683b53b546579345c8c963a9b21b7e6c31501e84353","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1081805558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6924e1f680ceef1cf6cc14a4704a3b455b0816f04e1e09523fac4c2769aaa56a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1087084411},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6b38815380c25cd7a3a13ed39fb0ebb24397154f237a2488198c133bed0533c9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1443818313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73b046b7970a1780f1d7a0cacf73413325911dd87cdc5b63cfdc27496110fb1b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580998733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7c3c06dfd81958876a723f95d518933ed321e96666cd005bff82f5dc18494e32","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0495933966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0779086736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.089074561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1443988311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x961b81e093d72e41855131ee700d7e649a1b627cae26fa1b639897f79b51f62d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637313166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d4aa0f7fc078388aa90b44726a7918756dfa3ef3b5d286759bc5677d466aed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0743144598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d98de23d9a87c7fe785f5b80fe0a030cc46b28863dd2b67971fe95cca4814da","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1177058503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569623848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa2bc057dc5589c13f985a22e36678d8a5fe85ea8b96f5d3256123c3951d142b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0818293372},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa57a712aa14e925e0e1615b737549a09b0f09db451910b68af6910b6f8b0494d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563064539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.09710573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa9fcdaf248a0560f83cf7c7e75cad23d3151b2169a22f22b316eb822bdc27329","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0968417326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xab6faa3e66abacc484bbb4bd31ae5e2a56d6f6252b5023631f1bd9e5299fa2f8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.051196943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xadde598dced41995a4f96f5c8602608514539ac4467d623ed9f280bcf7c2f9cd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1195141915},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae05fb58c41ea3d2a51ac95ca0f5c48824038dc2d1dbf6ac3453ae39a76e71f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612170294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaf11eaf31826a155b5aa4d28fafcebfd641ed153210d547fb431b7797ef30d0c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658622951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc0955534ca110306e37acafd184115ec86a0c989bf2ebd937b0f3b34f49e32c8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660747929},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0735684673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc84ac0cca6352c640525e455600e3d7798bbf5b2259444b78910c99e1dcb7c33","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1087354408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc85fe2698d8434f9ebd0fa82d75fe2da36edfc81a354b85fef1582d889e5655f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1146360063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0780746719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcecc6b0236a69618a3ca577c54bb92080b0c9f2dc767de37175baa7ffd08e704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517514999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1695731866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd76d5172fffaaf2b0d0db29bd944a462654a20a4a327860e4e0438d13b6a4bee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0763184396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3b31dd451916bf35fb28b6c9e6c1b249dac45ef6c2e02b4ef2faa40308b82df","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0491595885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4232633781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe87b10afe191706bb36b22526b65983e2a88a12ccce36827e857e16791973493","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7031931956},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeb681c0ed923daa35ca2af168502b6e8dead38cfbc71505d10cda6653a4a0216","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1156087309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1075828743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf78b84e417dec6b34f6cbea7002cfb4b16df21aa1cecc8eb701e2e58baf3fcdf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0502343902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb6268e2f40d8a59d1320117d20e11ba8547273641205de1ca446f40f90cd913","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554492126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-02","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfd1769e0e3f29a593d521c545cbe84b559869b188b0b085fcc33756e4ba0bb0f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563924531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1390300126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"infer","id":"1386","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3746134079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803447733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1708203436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"8WoZ7HL8NtCEIvdQT1FA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2732100033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"9t61v9e7x4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.407831931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.642311713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"AtLFLzDlSERmVcSdUapy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1447541403},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"BRalVVT58UX4tIFgVeP7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1220109296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"BcJbQTDX1rdmaLYGKUOz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7293866336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"C8MtRn2ixX8Y0rV2Oqcy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031482904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2571204751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"Fmq1kCc4ecrMwZYN4QZF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4752233633},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1267956151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"IWT36MaBUPU5dtiCygxo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.158516348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"JXCBlhekZVLlHS1pmX0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.201015631},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"Ku10BoO4J0oiKmH5rLVQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3169735254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2955966355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"Sqnu2sPyuC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1451442954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"dcgscdEUc0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1039407153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"gTpJ2NRBMPIL7IJenUsE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2211220112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"h2h0QzCqqC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2364826706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"hkmwaaZrisxgrs5Q3zGz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.416087805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"manifold","id":"nMv5WyihlTP9vYXwQmE7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.077036371},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"12613","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0857094655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"17917","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669186625},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"18360","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0875941306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"20172","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.365709154},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"21167","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2693604604},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"21856","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1103704232},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"31764","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1234027668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"34838","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2428828393},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771938564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"35566","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608627336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7369266315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"35574","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1585806171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"metaculus","id":"35576","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964328251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x08c8fffc2fb962e36d835621b82434b941a8a124f47558454d8eb666eeed59f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111692905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0b60a98cc4b0350162ed884db7e46a9fde4dadf7a6900a4ef7c9322f4db8461d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1787076092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1517766109},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0ff3c9a02e75c984371ca27a0527e66d01f9781f3e0889c8a777c7eabf7e2d27","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516651466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14a5164a7390e4aaf3516ed32476afb1f8b5573e4416cf71bb16ebf48361b6bb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1756983761},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721706471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19ee98e348c0ccb341d1b9566fa14521566e9b2ea7aed34dc407a0ec56be36a2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1082812143},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x221f8019e282a5e317f753a52338b9fcc9b727e2080b25d15454fcab21d17454","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536653323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x31857453bb6440d23f1da2773e630cda769d6ecb6322c309a9f20f9f74966735","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1897914591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0719014092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3724888af3107c46ac749a7d1eff85d685fc5518db4983f354d21a15b4998559","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545572789},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3a5a0289c93118833ee682065e6935ded62984992f97fd5a59b4d2271214282d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0633888002},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549258848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x46fb01da8662e5eb2496b600bbe874d230f05f3e99b382f2791015ef55b464af","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0891446522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4833d7259bc503e8d211c477f7d21a00629e926382f920195d697fca38d4ad9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528576187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4889d2e60921e596e38ac65047f01380bf462abe631f1a27e562fa6203cc7e9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2293074815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4b774c74e8672a632d6c12d04620f0c19a3ea10e74871a0239c9392805b70a90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4473516907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4bcdc5f24786e4ea5279a4f859d8879cc08b98cfaa2924862947c65db0f010ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1758964582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1288610645},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4f8f8d8c90f5bc2b0ed06e961b5fc9ed3fceca912dc2e242a38927407ec04257","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558121582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4fccc0dcb625ea55ff1ca0409bb44fe1952c04bc16cf5255002ceb2cc3791888","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0799213321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x541ea33998e7cdd6e3ac240de7ffcfb00d549517958d4150880e4ae10727c82c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0876956909},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560550876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b2691a691ece9066c2b855815e6c8784011833b17d85c65976dc7494b18e002","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0606460356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5c7d2463fc1a62a07bdf90d419269e1460f2f4511fe6276a82b037361f4b9349","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1070331237},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5dbd7b90d7a729863a2f931406348ee5c7b79f227c6458cb727914ce96db63b6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595706226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111255201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6301809524e73edb9ab1bd180101ae6d9588ba78075a64c479f334a6d2a12975","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0909172951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6531afe133dd1087f336e160eebee4af020e2107bd279b40d5039d1d033007fd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1213008652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x664b1ef991cea7d4a781d753d72ed3aa1f308977d96d20d5714fe354caa8cc90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532403211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x67cc22ede739a48424f07683b53b546579345c8c963a9b21b7e6c31501e84353","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0917419514},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6f084d200834d7f47d818a652b094f349fbe6cd5b8d02a80866910258313002b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1745628846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fdb5a3c2b2e161cc0ef10302fccfcae1f38d38ea0d906e385e604ba15b616fa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523476438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79e6ec2dff92558eb36b5e2e2221bf4be45364f3726897163d80702abb51d315","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0734726045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7be6233d547d49405c77bafc5e9d3eec72bb10559f913f8c9df75a9852841548","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0849402144},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7e84002d49c772d2083afaec7fbe129481f7ef8d269973dfa9b14c7fe9ee0b03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554345328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0928293647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1081735192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1518385933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e9b6942b4dac3117dadfacac2edb390b6d62d59c14152774bb5fcd983fc134e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1467514592},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x924efdc8795f4221f57c2b960a38aa00e0320a8a50000dc0ba118e1776a64ad2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0648396846},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x92d46fc5e0f2d91a5175e8620f07a42daf2881f96d2066f691c0bae4db70570b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584561317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x961b81e093d72e41855131ee700d7e649a1b627cae26fa1b639897f79b51f62d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0628387857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x98f8c3c5ce0af4b45b30b1323e132f1f430cea4df5de4089dade2e23082e1743","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673791554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9b063963d2ae120f91dff588f763050c4eef52d5892370da38da7f22d524ecbb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0886789476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9f6ae0491387ec1e539b682e7ea99c77dfff1049e711be2add4c01600a70b81c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534024793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620319183},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa5663d39d2e7dd9345f616eb3f873c0109d96a52076e2185bdecb7135006d59e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4592274845},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae05fb58c41ea3d2a51ac95ca0f5c48824038dc2d1dbf6ac3453ae39a76e71f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0648185302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777342553},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0783111935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce0f82dc8bb789ffd3bc2928db80bbc539fa04dd223d6e15e2d81eabf8e279fe","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721874937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.167757186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe1f3dde136fcfd141336058cbd495e8cab5696cf07af790a772caae036cbfff5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530903941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3b31dd451916bf35fb28b6c9e6c1b249dac45ef6c2e02b4ef2faa40308b82df","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519862689},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe4f063d0d54ff69eaad58ff347326773eed7baee642c61a513139207c7bb5b90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545884336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4135181065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeac27563a0f0db51e9179af69d4557165a55144264e382f994738b4a5a839143","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777185048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb6e175f630cd8d873d8051881c4db72f839842208c606b41bcdf750a1552f55","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538255673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfd1769e0e3f29a593d521c545cbe84b559869b188b0b085fcc33756e4ba0bb0f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534032485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-16","source":"polymarket","id":"0xffffb2874475ae9c1e3a0e3c3c4b4e329eb3105427aa484f357bf41c5fd77c4f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2798376596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1551182337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"infer","id":"1386","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4550398431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711953184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.211458131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1585927385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"9t61v9e7x4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4062156425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6328613015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"AppIq82IcA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608985462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2717592229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"IWT36MaBUPU5dtiCygxo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1660732776},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"JXCBlhekZVLlHS1pmX0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1662673967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"K8qazyZJ3tXyuLlzkkyk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.345865587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"R2PYH7Cwjk59eILygi1W","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1083518009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"VPhhCbZ5S8zj4owac8As","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637471381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"YVmNKSXBBxo2I3DXL3ge","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4039429737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"dcgscdEUc0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0832061322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"eZptlPJe8gq9rb0Gia6t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1312155271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2355066108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"pNdoqfEP3Eet1vIc44dj","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.57207369},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"sis542tw6o","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4058131755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"manifold","id":"yZpALnnSSy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1251984792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"17410","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1362882576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"17443","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3268111064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"17917","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717659437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"19724","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1627200926},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"34511","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656927581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"35265","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1486700837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"35268","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3709747709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0703154883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"35566","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571564344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7330250017},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x039b48827f3c6b83f50153715af8a66f2b74b04fcfc5def13acb3f151eeb3d81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1357559391},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x05af636e0989accb08334a74f69e5368e0aa28fe498fd16a3ca991e6dc5ae2cc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.168933733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0863a9a895ee478f311512ac2b19d8de65000030aff0027db9e604f937f6c8a4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1302030265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0ff3c9a02e75c984371ca27a0527e66d01f9781f3e0889c8a777c7eabf7e2d27","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0413444381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14a5164a7390e4aaf3516ed32476afb1f8b5573e4416cf71bb16ebf48361b6bb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1855383004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.070820034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1c1778a7bef91fee7efead8137b7232fc9960216c840af64fc7782b11fff9a74","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1930210324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1f308d5009b7264e4f425417a8552fc08bd0939c9a73e74c03c8bc05242845a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1235205336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e2e16f8f0c48e31806861cf0a5ac06ad329088fdde80bde3df21ec282fa7f87","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692035444},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0751484459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3610ae06425dab843b276102e4c8648654c05dd292e0e96a97a14493cdcfbbed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0932428324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x362c61cfb577a719526b03e7596a3ef3d6d9aadf5292e2e2391c2cdf62892730","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2161228994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0859257255},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0440287101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4b774c74e8672a632d6c12d04620f0c19a3ea10e74871a0239c9392805b70a90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4199311771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4bcdc5f24786e4ea5279a4f859d8879cc08b98cfaa2924862947c65db0f010ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.179334876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4fccc0dcb625ea55ff1ca0409bb44fe1952c04bc16cf5255002ceb2cc3791888","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1025673725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x51f7452fddea310ba15955cfa8fa21419335b16f8310074e43f48c4856d7e0b8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3710486346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x541ea33998e7cdd6e3ac240de7ffcfb00d549517958d4150880e4ae10727c82c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0952155155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54a7ccadce22f5dcd774ef26ede3ee6b50b0c7e0b5d1ad0be7ba98780f897b51","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.043714119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b2691a691ece9066c2b855815e6c8784011833b17d85c65976dc7494b18e002","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0871541808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5e8042ee380c9246f361bd68dbc50876e798d429e20799daffa435b8e089feca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1743317478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1155575626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x64e32392edae4ffa0df7134e38039fd598cab75a3e348b163de25c59fa011619","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0969348234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x74e9197dc739a6f4b8b92acbc066278143850716cf2e50159f62a0ef90fc50a5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1394664528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0960119706},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x801aca082e8ab25e24a9d822f9b16effc21681be6fb852865a522a2da2f4d2d1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0650337235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0915302745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.142568273},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e9b6942b4dac3117dadfacac2edb390b6d62d59c14152774bb5fcd983fc134e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1490257657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x907768d66ca516f0d013b5c364058bcbd5fe9ccb983d8756efdb26a5ee35c614","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.134207404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x961b81e093d72e41855131ee700d7e649a1b627cae26fa1b639897f79b51f62d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0490794406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d4aa0f7fc078388aa90b44726a7918756dfa3ef3b5d286759bc5677d466aed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0776521407},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530882046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa50b3eb85d01e333e361b89bfdae819cb53122be9fed5c5d51db9b858568c7f3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0897655916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa57a712aa14e925e0e1615b737549a09b0f09db451910b68af6910b6f8b0494d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531740342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981973242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa8c94b83ed914ebb3b8d54e1038675c8a31704b2e15f5df9a619388002aedc7e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1140655275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae5e043ee3cec6bf13db32898b940f86c459c8f0509d007535b44f4e6fa4b0d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054480035},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1e762b46837d6befa9cbd28a59c91f5dd0e59621676fcae443f275041986b49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1357212118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc531ab3ca41abb7d9c8a77601565670a7f491f66de4dd897fbe560831f3a04b6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0460228478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711802615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc6dd54b2eb2346363b44be5a1cf01227a79b62a4abde1a80a8221a2944af0ce7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0864337826},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795075396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce733629b3b1bea0649c9c9433401295eb8e1ba6d572803cb53446c93d28cd44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0482802469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1464609914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd43a90b2547d8ae5902180c5880ce94490e4c6eea5be3a78270456ce8e58bdb4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.047221394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe0a5b98f6e96050b794603710e39a0e3f5c0e24b409f51370b75b46a45d2dbc3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1133394362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe4f063d0d54ff69eaad58ff347326773eed7baee642c61a513139207c7bb5b90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0468893739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4331259469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe70c1185b4684b0370ffae9c8a89ef8bf68d535fc77af993fdaf4717bbca3306","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653977124},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf29fa22170d0b76f638c36ecb9adbdd57696e743e49c2681a748b1f149b1f84c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552275241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf379802b7062e7054167a393f1bcb7c3eb01b9db56cbe04c63044c54bced14ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.184317936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4fc60c446a50830bbdb08cad7e1931807426181f9201bead23b29bc3e047a79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1665111064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf759fba6c4fd415128bc840a1bf99708244720d7e613ef4ca02f0e15157b2f14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1078849213},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb6268e2f40d8a59d1320117d20e11ba8547273641205de1ca446f40f90cd913","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0477677466},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-03-30","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb6e175f630cd8d873d8051881c4db72f839842208c606b41bcdf750a1552f55","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.046659155},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1520787964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1048584239},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2175139047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"1BskFw5s4FlnaJET30ai","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1639972051},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1507355271},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"9LUOtIpQ5t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3578201015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"9t61v9e7x4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4083878195},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"Ku10BoO4J0oiKmH5rLVQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2689320086},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2457667178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"R2PYH7Cwjk59eILygi1W","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1292641339},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2527237958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1185007028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"cnowgnMl9y1YEhE32NUG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2195144041},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"dcgscdEUc0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0900711793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"gqDRCKDkBri7KXmFuOXF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581650461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"h2h0QzCqqC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2562708968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"manifold","id":"hPU6PpN0Zg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055955734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"10176","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0686642832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"11332","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1994441039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"12112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2224440723},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"17408","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1970441072},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"17520","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1393201863},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"20333","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1275802424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"34509","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5357596428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"35265","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1474561751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073884276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7367113672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"35575","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1772921342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"metaculus","id":"36257","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4724637295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x00c220e55ff24400522bc2dc87bcb4441ef5c1fea77185f5203b75ae3e506d6f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060017745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x02a9f99a4a053a88b41f8b83af688c1070512b221ee771029ddd8c9c0041012f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1651041509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x036378d7e507b986b2fb92245512435ce417d05f8f76e0a75440923cb4aadecb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0944692478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0b16eb7741855ca3d4383fabb8b760c897c2165d603916497f484b87ba9826dc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5737885906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1397291857},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x10c67b5db2cf01b838843390ee2a8ae553049fcc5d5cdd2cc381923d690f96a1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0482328012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12d7301c569d569d9a465d6edb5613d1f984019d8abb1d194312668687044500","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0418643299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0753095241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1cfde498b977cf83dd6a0276fb287de98dbeb79554c61368d074736730883ad8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1109578652},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x23d39d744428faab5f87466cf3f9ec6745deb5614a3ff87e6beff451fffa16e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1958241088},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x29d65debd486144386e3d06ac15528434ee11fb844579fb2204906e655bfed51","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.140288185},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2bcafeaa34b577a82baf2137057b3f9f02f4d50ee3bc6908c0a5899a3260e50a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3528488935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0821772646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35aaaa9b77b25834ddf3647bd4c34376ba3f1dcd87e3d4801c829b3658b15b82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672867251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x362c61cfb577a719526b03e7596a3ef3d6d9aadf5292e2e2391c2cdf62892730","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2200170757},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3ea4ec25d0491fa7c374ed61762ec9d604c52b56df0d8c5f30ccdb71a838bc1e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0759134332},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0879492567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0475420021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1218804602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52212eb28a3d13e49da743fec5b0c34ce1eac7c0ea8b8d83e724c781270fa770","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2059677049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54377fdef57c1c82b31385a9164e87ff58a92ec6bb64cd55bc6d88a9e2b82fd6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0417125701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x56030c3b4726de62df7d8ffe81f194854e89a3e0804ab1fa8b376a6be6bb3851","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.220472085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0457006047},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5a2c59ffeb6d19ec30d9a1a689b0a2f50381d442f9a159ab9dfd2a2aae0948bb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.042545479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b38be7d23ad6179dbbc460e4f753760594c3fb64478f2d441776cbcd794db8a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510105574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60e45f2a5cccd16fd60eda5f96670f946b2281b7ce59595b621eee05de4eda49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595572957},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x677826754ff7328696c121a398fdf495dcd2e04f84ecb6494b85b2883ccaa6ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0507067978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x69b147dfeb842c081e6587feb5674018f37c51098b604f0c69d99dac2e7cc47c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.098714492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6ee22365b6602d928aa7136f549cc0d718bb16b044a6d15191041b84b5f1f43d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1186763746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6f6a615bee9e8a1811ecbafbe6d3b73c36369789229eee051aaa996175aa1287","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0405954217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73b046b7970a1780f1d7a0cacf73413325911dd87cdc5b63cfdc27496110fb1b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.048358561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103079196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1063082316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1474465852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x89ec96860a8439042a3a97a9d9ae619cf8b3c6d1bb84c4e9afde605f4a3cd26f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0568203094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x98da00373106f21a7e68fa294c5d51af835fbdb8dab309da78dfdfd049fb68cc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0844542715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9b063963d2ae120f91dff588f763050c4eef52d5892370da38da7f22d524ecbb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0770963116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d7427139c12b62d791d4f942843b9c8060c9942b3b14b5be8ddb8380b7a0f8f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636323001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcfb9bf9287879a8f4b67ca9af614c819b73c299d63a0aa8d56d013e763005c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1106852256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0951522469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xac1633898094d2acac1f08417926b46e7507dbb38f73003bdc69098e0c463f02","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058609297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae05fb58c41ea3d2a51ac95ca0f5c48824038dc2d1dbf6ac3453ae39a76e71f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0605652943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbe69842f45365d1ac0ff96513c1dcef6253408e085e43dd8e01434c4146e8769","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511243172},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc017605da04aeb24bed768ca1fad3772c1f2dcf78506f6e868208765ee25aaaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0410217611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc26b4fd76b0b5546bfda17f4303a026d8857fb0780d57715549c714c9c0d7fd9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3148159457},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706713204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc78e064f1dcfbb5f177f6d097c5c55a23de3505cfedcb180155675792dd57660","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2290204233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0838332624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce733629b3b1bea0649c9c9433401295eb8e1ba6d572803cb53446c93d28cd44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0474373523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcecc6b0236a69618a3ca577c54bb92080b0c9f2dc767de37175baa7ffd08e704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.042568319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcf8a3c45dd5d9dcc57318aba8ef1026a0655bdd823d5440f5fed377b0dfef014","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0565767797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcff749d64c31308b9d53486a83c3b06403e58a76dd2e3c561bd406572638fb5e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596139856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd097c9848fb8b63b8700bf29cfc94f91ab952ff783025c89343e68b397eedb18","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599123052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd25ff3223a2233f6cd96a349455ca3237931c64358792f90c5f02d8cc39be38d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5562556147},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1584589701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdc509c3f309aad9ad2ce3efc1d9d7394bd68eec00ce7bd529c718363a6e49951","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608565839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe0264a076a3acd50925e115032eb993b51cb8b5026eb7cf79245c63f8408b3e6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0682652837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3720478672},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe9e10cfbca3a0aefe6fb9ba590b1812a9572b2744ed8f656ecb9a10f0752df12","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0430095683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1080602692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xef3446eac0c8baefadf48c8007429643bdb3d81fbcee4074395600cc40a7c682","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0874214675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-13","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf164a0d86e0080be4a1e559ebfe2f15b15770b67950cf9cae6923b1fd69f598c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0700837212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1357940575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0709583162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.218751392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1406287856},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"85llAdStSR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111541976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"9t61v9e7x4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4344738961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6599829298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"Ctl0Ihc6Cz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3996325187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1407981494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"QVCzHBisAcKNfHYEAB4G","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2260923068},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"RtqWahA53xW6RuLCTD2k","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0877957356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.07030009},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"WjigEUrHmJzDR7P5XXi0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1391546848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0907184165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"nMv5WyihlTP9vYXwQmE7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0907805313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"manifold","id":"nx9c41fs7t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.231977162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"12112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2341670104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"12613","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0866678805},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"17373","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2607980435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"17520","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1166704651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"20172","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3272428674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"35266","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.43842562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0698601228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7349462935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"35572","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1967187366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"metaculus","id":"35576","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1306118437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12d7301c569d569d9a465d6edb5613d1f984019d8abb1d194312668687044500","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0455659517},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717460882},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19f9be5aafa49f68294e14e03dfb0c4b35e4e5304f41c30140942e2ddf3711ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2145256322},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1d6f2f967ebf572de38a27ea879c668de22fd3b95540a6cbe17ee5818db57223","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0639314769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x20c21803b308b63153e9c821a55f6c4aec287f8bcba90639dd3fbb0ffe4ca300","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595877096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21149909e80c13a5c21889b6d648671d4ebe40a87bca022fd7b7f37fba646af2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7053402607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21400affa8e3fdfff07bb8421d708635bc7be52f5396268dd281ef92a31bb86f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2330100795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2824855a28f57ac9abe1ee115f688b2763b53f1da10b1e881d685f4c4ef4f41a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612017095},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x29d65debd486144386e3d06ac15528434ee11fb844579fb2204906e655bfed51","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1091816724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0736204674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3642c7a7c9ac737ee35be2ffa14c0f91a928b22544219576a020ba72d4ac8d22","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0892712942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x36c83576575af62aa27da668d4310b76ad9102eb0c19ce6fe0aac88c668287d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1443152998},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3e15582e2252432aa69de4d284d0384c8812794274e14daa68a0a40fb80c67ed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0769635793},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0852678806},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40ee70f4ac20bac0565f5a0455e5a06d54856f0dcc7960a1b9033d9939ee5966","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.21050171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4319532e181605cb15b1bd677759a3bc7f7394b2fdf145195b700eeaedfd5221","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2460609753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0483102619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x453157d57aa34741278cb3d6f20d3d01b138395c3ae9eb34e2b97137fe0f2eaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0601222875},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4b080093a8b8eade06f36e577ca260e2bcc37c7fcfe0304036d6dfd051825507","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0503527877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1201977149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x50b8b0f741566a420756d975faaf4cc4716229cd5183c3a35b3b20ac2b5050ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5198575121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x538166715f9c8dbd7ecb32fcb13cf4692f6da0d68f9b6fbacbcd300012e3b754","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.281605801},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54377fdef57c1c82b31385a9164e87ff58a92ec6bb64cd55bc6d88a9e2b82fd6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.04524365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54f155194204503af41a7aa07c8ba488668f5e0aeaa40ce328a78a5f43eb3b61","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1274307749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0494495898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5b38be7d23ad6179dbbc460e4f753760594c3fb64478f2d441776cbcd794db8a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509312359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5e8e585d855c4288c3805064e74fc7ea1dab47dc0e9b42a0dbd9ca5f49c997f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3248471779},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1185437409},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60e45f2a5cccd16fd60eda5f96670f946b2281b7ce59595b621eee05de4eda49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632480542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x677826754ff7328696c121a398fdf495dcd2e04f84ecb6494b85b2883ccaa6ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536174427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6a67b9d828d53862160e470329ffea5246f338ecfffdf2cab45211ec578b0347","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7246092251},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6bd47dc35a87927922a279a4fc9f63aff316294cf953523f77c7a33a6f47af38","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0728612951},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x74f65609db661f4e166df3cb604c5557a60cf55448a7ce1e7884afc9d54f912a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0751740277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7b94d6cef097f44d4f2327f2777b0c3f79048d25dad50bd9e752c7ea3fb80acc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053629452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962704662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925980526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x88fad6af135ca7cbd55a8bda5a1243125ded68b1e521066009cc990b13960b88","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0884782253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8b4d1584715be1214797eb680966c68238ef24ec4b8f38b293fe6f808620770b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1583499111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e9b6942b4dac3117dadfacac2edb390b6d62d59c14152774bb5fcd983fc134e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1412394293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8efb4c843e360d922a27c2afbd5ad671ee44772c2d84fa113549d82d7cfc3e0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0938256388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8f930d8198b8c189f1935a3eb61a38daa3ed0395a06c50291587cf9229e8d6fd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.045305918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9107ead2f3c70967b3f792e7a96fceb49ad5e2af454b05996356e8a40de573c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0741018467},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9939fd74f2d2078cafd04de7a9a8060b27ff331f8db4a737121519b81440de1e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0467443482},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d4aa0f7fc078388aa90b44726a7918756dfa3ef3b5d286759bc5677d466aed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711576745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573279166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0930954664},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xadc74c7282d955d2603b56ba7eee2831b295bb71596a056e46e5848b13562377","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.066539442},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae05fb58c41ea3d2a51ac95ca0f5c48824038dc2d1dbf6ac3453ae39a76e71f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596437441},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc28a6a59080f7ed26620bfe111ce0bac356057cdd182a252f26632a0524aaa09","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582999941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0698901314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd009ac14bccdd12925a2d9f8d910411556e4ed153337abb18a97b97fabcf7db0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2570609747},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd25ff3223a2233f6cd96a349455ca3237931c64358792f90c5f02d8cc39be38d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6008506112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd2f7e89f40398eaee7f1eb271de7cb32ff32377122c9272f41115a77f91b24c3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784328551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1473377824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd4699ba6ee735bac56afd4fa8ae3a6a9c89dd375ec760edbc011b16271ac1d20","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1930859437},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe4f063d0d54ff69eaad58ff347326773eed7baee642c61a513139207c7bb5b90","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0499749946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3505057972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe70c1185b4684b0370ffae9c8a89ef8bf68d535fc77af993fdaf4717bbca3306","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599784423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1003763367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf887203734a8875cef2f354235f69f00a05d3d17bb645a0828c585291c83f3c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5296264771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf904c9f6ecae72a847f164f750ceec6b0ba6c98e8fc28837feb09119e3e2eada","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3750670804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-04-27","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf931e094c21b844b916c65258bc9b24311f13f91507fe8efda9923217fc79523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620367526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1398027984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0757277739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6352771046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1968213946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1622375707},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2120823641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"Nq5dlzEEpU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2723658889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752724756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"QtxO4jGNyhDzq5s3NrcG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3063646754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.078028443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"VPhhCbZ5S8zj4owac8As","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766209587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1244592976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"Znyy6p696A","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1627468713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"h2h0QzCqqC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925043048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"lNUgd6UEQR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0473724964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3216345889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"tu2ouer9zq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6821545533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"manifold","id":"yZpALnnSSy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1264903542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"12112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.200363337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"17373","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2960861253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"17408","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1948406062},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"17791","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0842678084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"26328","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0925450864},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"30960","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518018786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"34512","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0707132543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"34514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2057769768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35262","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.128849655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35268","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3632225317},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35562","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3205043227},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35566","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0587905649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.425618026},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"metaculus","id":"35577","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1791133234},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x01ef26bf9a5179ae2528a41ade585df98b12ceda486a6d7ef0a86697d3082a81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.076886906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x05af636e0989accb08334a74f69e5368e0aa28fe498fd16a3ca991e6dc5ae2cc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1659371787},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1479196785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0693128443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x20a7cb88730bd709c39eff84e88c822b21a1707549e0bbb1c42751ee0c991fc1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516466967},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x221f8019e282a5e317f753a52338b9fcc9b727e2080b25d15454fcab21d17454","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0494351157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.070200754},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35aaaa9b77b25834ddf3647bd4c34376ba3f1dcd87e3d4801c829b3658b15b82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631589881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3711ce4799322ea9a6d7b445c39af9849ccde8b25b9e7b09314813ef787f12c2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588208954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3a92a26ce837b361bd044acc2c0b81346ad66e9a891fc5ad27b9a35e6701c6e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1984075289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3ad0371eb2adc9174872a91c34ebdb45a2449fb1e3306b36ebda7544cef3fca6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1142215093},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3d711bcfe9890cdd10c72971ff84fa238a74eddfb1979d001a40601528ba3fc1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1223314804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0935734961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x42e2f652615d33f0ff3a6d1ba4fe0ebbb29384304072992d873e5aa7f9de063b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0490518769},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533999705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x47c9a51dd1e87410d89eb0c1e3994c5c4d8cc4116f5b362f9327c06ba373a7c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551285171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4c9ccd1404d105968de9b1ff3226fbafdc0b6e402a26bbcad3a84a1b62296783","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554965287},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x50b8b0f741566a420756d975faaf4cc4716229cd5183c3a35b3b20ac2b5050ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5615237945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5dd6d072364a196c2c980b52d9df93599a63ff497619e0b6a028f9ec7d4d3252","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512237532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1077825961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60e45f2a5cccd16fd60eda5f96670f946b2281b7ce59595b621eee05de4eda49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0627087037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x612e354e6b36704334d47025db5ddbf4d2c5e53732279a7ff6cbbe765dc0ce97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533545614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x65e312f680876528b4c57cde75064d0d4f317a03436c9aa9b47a754e8101d873","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2127417539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6614828eb735b658bb9c448b6d217f639f3ee17a3d0776cd41b1b86398491b3c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569643819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6a67b9d828d53862160e470329ffea5246f338ecfffdf2cab45211ec578b0347","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7309091298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6cb6468b0c5ea55d408c7dfbd66cb16b222093bf511e74669c8f06bb85027c58","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.049944207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1157764194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x71baa735915e904511e27a6b89114a66b90a0ecfcec4b05b24eb8bd2906ce7a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0665382516},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x755d103d6b7d25abbb371986a60fd734aeda734485dada467fa38cb674a41cb3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1510024987},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0953724064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x806963fb1a01b90ba87711a2f996ba125c934ed3c5a1e39e0836c94af69120ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.463754414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1068098682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1453040291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x834a4109dbd18f97695e4858b3a18d21fff19bc2dc7c055f18b96843ac1de17b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1101910181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1553769446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d4aa0f7fc078388aa90b44726a7918756dfa3ef3b5d286759bc5677d466aed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0817485341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0590434741},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa57a712aa14e925e0e1615b737549a09b0f09db451910b68af6910b6f8b0494d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0545419376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962871342},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0879297312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa98284a87e97931bed95d06bee22c68aac45b5d37d7c8e5e0112e072a167bb31","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0619916578},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaed051a9552f2c7c9c1c5519b59af6df9aa81277d52d6e8eac00331691676660","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0681189345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaf11eaf31826a155b5aa4d28fafcebfd641ed153210d547fb431b7797ef30d0c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808519085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb38ff89ca80358305983b93c73fea18d3269d7776f3bb77bfd75b0ce838cae70","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0648157164},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbe69842f45365d1ac0ff96513c1dcef6253408e085e43dd8e01434c4146e8769","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546996191},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784169978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0860189459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcddb4f52babca280f8e5fc4b9146f2520f0bfb88e134ff9ac8d52ea674185d79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0852462181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcecc6b0236a69618a3ca577c54bb92080b0c9f2dc767de37175baa7ffd08e704","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0483791492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd25ff3223a2233f6cd96a349455ca3237931c64358792f90c5f02d8cc39be38d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5827181262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd8b9ff369452daebce1ac8cb6a29d6817903e85168356c72812317f38e317613","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520791515},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3784373141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe87b10afe191706bb36b22526b65983e2a88a12ccce36827e857e16791973493","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7353595985},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1010051941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee49c41419021c5282902eabae4a3f58a9c3a7c20dadd8a389385509087eb881","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8199648684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeff54605054d6070060667186f674f6b1bb85413b0dea7ad510b252a45409f44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9361585902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf42ae7d2d4707b7a8dde4394c471dc4926985cfbc5ebc92635949dd124b92cf6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9085085158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-11","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfd1769e0e3f29a593d521c545cbe84b559869b188b0b085fcc33756e4ba0bb0f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0499629683},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1548960678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0741675795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1414","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270900571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4105267104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2522102499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1675364318},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.531408337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1659196494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"5n4fsbzm94","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0837759493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560114725},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6305349126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"AtLFLzDlSERmVcSdUapy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1323410165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"Cg6Oy62I52","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2979465735},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"DPSqhbtgeZGPEzt6KBnm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551171634},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1625752281},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2506301748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"POZ2i84qdzsmKIN5b2xd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1557078134},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"QtxO4jGNyhDzq5s3NrcG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2845637118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0689518291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"VPhhCbZ5S8zj4owac8As","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0645905306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1204810727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0881521657},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"eZptlPJe8gq9rb0Gia6t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1354078004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2150934381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"h2h0QzCqqC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2606614745},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"mqIkDr66P84o5wxxKuD9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0975868545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2976423589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"10176","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0813032205},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"17714","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1019350518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"18360","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964895938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"34516","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3555215771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7309900438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"metaculus","id":"36399","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6735717799},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x039b48827f3c6b83f50153715af8a66f2b74b04fcfc5def13acb3f151eeb3d81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1228233492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x05af636e0989accb08334a74f69e5368e0aa28fe498fd16a3ca991e6dc5ae2cc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1614725898},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1321095e16f2904ccae2520e22e635b69bd4f25fc54afd3d0d838a3bf54550ad","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1278414888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663234495},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x178e0828e81556f971edb8c7ec556e9281640477c65c56f0e6f44a6ba9ff9156","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0872214174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1cfde498b977cf83dd6a0276fb287de98dbeb79554c61368d074736730883ad8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1438841808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21400affa8e3fdfff07bb8421d708635bc7be52f5396268dd281ef92a31bb86f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615377558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2bbdf4f2353a903d9a216968722cebea9caf9763844c6a13b3db120e37c66f32","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0500831551},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2df97e2172cb226d6faf9c83f6ee8c503ca9f74356c13a8ebeab128cda656aa8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1374915404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3015ee036921f18ee3e446556335c6c2301e8666279e33ff15d21d851ff1e316","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120030582},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x324283263c83e789fc092ed8d3333aa93ecc6ef0ba5479db05bbcb2471c92d01","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.210064223},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0775452635},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3a92a26ce837b361bd044acc2c0b81346ad66e9a891fc5ad27b9a35e6701c6e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2036814917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.084071404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x43a9d4954f0d8a7241194ca3b2cd67e8aa953ea10758469faf25fab5e4437ac9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1647907737},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0501661097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x46fb01da8662e5eb2496b600bbe874d230f05f3e99b382f2791015ef55b464af","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1299998424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1186728011},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x50b8b0f741566a420756d975faaf4cc4716229cd5183c3a35b3b20ac2b5050ef","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.509595539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x564dc4a385305c482015061537989c4af69f1556f40b958a7bd6e4cf84ad1e2c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1276189886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0503389848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x580ffec1f7b057910f9f596c80d203870f3028b04784a982d158d3581514299e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541915668},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5a378fe7c6e208d4d43020278d3666e46fe82be14beadc1240914b06b93eb9f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059301036},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5f45f396da9abab7848fa049eb91986290dc370b681e42e4f117d6ac4cfb4bac","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584230241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6541a8761b97d252205e5934fb7f3312cd460cb1d07c722e0bbe3f8181ddbcb7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599983091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6ac410efb3f814c425e889eb52aab64f1d8b792fcf3348646b75f45c7800c014","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7310804643},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6c21b21e4e18b01887221429c4dea83232f5eb43ebd8c5849bc334ecea3e68de","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576814327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6d2f4940373a13567e53de6fd2015186c298249329a5f03771a6b160f5e4a7d6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3615897628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e9fda006161184b29a2df3754b5b9c3757f8a2adc1f44291fe9907f8fc6ae97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1483432746},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1090532382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7340d11f38c12e86886114cf7d3e0f1063758de8b7ac81db7e580b797aa9dd75","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3867761425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x74f6aa8144daf93f45c67ac5134ec1b6acc1c80fde043cea457929cbd6afd007","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2266851313},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77783da9b3549399a4bc0ba504f03c33f6cafca89f6ef5d96cb1d9492dfd22d5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851498138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7beceb04f7b1d4f0dde80b58c6f43c23b8ad54b21c693e172c974f480b46483c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162728905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0971602874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81be71c406085cede3485dbd3801cc083d077568f63fcf1136aa1e7beadf214c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1347771182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x829f5e072fb9b46f9769d010d41d97636be8570910c9f48b7ac203359ec642e8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1002402894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x833d5d5148ac80ef7a7a52b5aa3006d24ea21eee6cae5c98bd618bf6151919bc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0939623194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x889d2a7ceb311b540ceb60232528719120e67458d870fe2046c0eddafdf76d7e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1642682847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8c90561ffcdd15e5258609a891f227dbde5d48e219cd5319c231bb5dda56a4ff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1212556209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e5dd56e494bac55a67a36b7044cefd95dfe7bf8c893f7d82a58c9681990100d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1637362276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e9b6942b4dac3117dadfacac2edb390b6d62d59c14152774bb5fcd983fc134e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1532498572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537502029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa07f15fdd0baa90adf78bd4d66543083334a7e5235a95fa5f241c4e519ea83f6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0467535621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa38126691a9799b574bc89e92e03daba67e63da1187dc821cab6b616e4b02361","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962446959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa57a712aa14e925e0e1615b737549a09b0f09db451910b68af6910b6f8b0494d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0560265343},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa5c12010762d72819add78f2030ffc7e65b8296896527e5e2087d7ac2b42d3e5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1794578285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0861179963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xae05fb58c41ea3d2a51ac95ca0f5c48824038dc2d1dbf6ac3453ae39a76e71f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0572545233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb12a219f75d35ad91ee9428d22e47f1ee6de61f5d79466b1749c8b66aed2f2d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120134673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb3a76d0e65e030f0c6549e905086e5677dcb9172d3b4bd58808e1671a0bfbf79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0455714818},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbc5e208a1e31c0a32950c011c2cac6ac17b1df4d2cf07d5b1a9f3fadd7c2fca5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0825148235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0744868979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce733629b3b1bea0649c9c9433401295eb8e1ba6d572803cb53446c93d28cd44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520509291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd25ff3223a2233f6cd96a349455ca3237931c64358792f90c5f02d8cc39be38d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5837592226},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1620423742},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd8d889f4c49f58d98538d08182a07c27206f0e98f9f0a125eda3abf94305c8f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0463359823},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3590636248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf23ebfcbcbf1648c1c8b03bba6468f1ff34e417dd0988a935c6fb863a7787d1d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620810377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfaa9a6cd431d92c91fc2322e961d59866471dab2b314a474c9e8308ffba62e6f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552316129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-05-25","source":"polymarket","id":"0xffdd774123c13df21ce755bfd4f65bde47a74f1377ea73c8b130d84c59831173","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2337362722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1844590583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777683804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3941467123},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2678116941},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.149217206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.526812623},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2124849781},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1749745511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1575","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1979040279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1576","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3418871986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1578","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3284363475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1580","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1714261575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"infer","id":"1581","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3493634217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"1BskFw5s4FlnaJET30ai","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2459455822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1387982659},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530503886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"9t61v9e7x4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4108420084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5865277532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835841899},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"IWT36MaBUPU5dtiCygxo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2875564936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2787708015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"LhX5FOZNhVvaI79gtvni","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2272198556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2427010092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"cWo9pRQFGfKsTDgC7VTj","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1518461275},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"hPU6PpN0Zg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778706177},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"manifold","id":"s4GyWK57MvM5wGvwPMhk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1002831935},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"21531","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2467148885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"26328","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0883993264},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5950778242},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"35571","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2709312842},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"35577","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.167182445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"metaculus","id":"36934","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4397960615},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x01d150bd16d2edf88980f26fb9f5f778d6cb661827037d7e9c24fe3a0f3009ed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0609836748},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x039b48827f3c6b83f50153715af8a66f2b74b04fcfc5def13acb3f151eeb3d81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1565562722},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0a7e45f69a8d2c45fc008fa9d8242efa13264ba540a782d82f613d673f1d1205","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1000706958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0ac91dc0674ea0b91e6eb9cc4a20968976d30fbce391a9050c70eaddf2fba354","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1312445554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1445008654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x15ef292e550795785df3ee5eac729517fc850936e877b165998c94351c12544b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.047170496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0574653808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x199d06911b2e6dbd3b2b4275d07ecbccf72358e46607485a403de5b90cdfdb1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666756111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19ee98e348c0ccb341d1b9566fa14521566e9b2ea7aed34dc407a0ec56be36a2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.190386352},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1b6f76e5b8587ee896c35847e12d11e75290a8c3934c5952e8a9d6e4c6f03cfa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0915832908},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1cfde498b977cf83dd6a0276fb287de98dbeb79554c61368d074736730883ad8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1431914217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1ddc0e7de1634d1204dda3bef66ffe18b0d52d8605c0a363755480de0dc81d41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6922974031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x224e5df8cf6b8d42f18cbee74bbe0c4863c73e9fc4f51b4115c103b291c35214","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552836969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2bcafeaa34b577a82baf2137057b3f9f02f4d50ee3bc6908c0a5899a3260e50a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3525137048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3015ee036921f18ee3e446556335c6c2301e8666279e33ff15d21d851ff1e316","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.147786037},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0987040445},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35aaaa9b77b25834ddf3647bd4c34376ba3f1dcd87e3d4801c829b3658b15b82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0690783759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3a92a26ce837b361bd044acc2c0b81346ad66e9a891fc5ad27b9a35e6701c6e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481985802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993040377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c7a35bcc7eca3f6e7f3ff8a942261958252b316af0ea44f9476912dff7e748","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3484304171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.046724626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x45dfeb8088ef684004f6da7ab453cb1e7cacb14330b06a4eb7ba556e47201c43","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717235547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4bcdc5f24786e4ea5279a4f859d8879cc08b98cfaa2924862947c65db0f010ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2286650904},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1158390194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x553e544e90a507cbda445ff4e625d664d1693ca7ab2b2cb1c911bcdce5a97d5d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4919881443},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x564dc4a385305c482015061537989c4af69f1556f40b958a7bd6e4cf84ad1e2c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1175197089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0465912942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5fb8a735c3216b05603d9a0620342441aa5c263e39395b0c0310297e1302a0f1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835811427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1119163966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60e45f2a5cccd16fd60eda5f96670f946b2281b7ce59595b621eee05de4eda49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554271953},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6a67b9d828d53862160e470329ffea5246f338ecfffdf2cab45211ec578b0347","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7484301084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6c8a58fbff19479adec1e3f4111bb5622398e5b5ef3cf0c611a41cc234c6f8ad","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1338536512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e9fda006161184b29a2df3754b5b9c3757f8a2adc1f44291fe9907f8fc6ae97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1420647677},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6edc6c77c16ef3ba1bcd646159f12f8b8a39528e500dcff95b9220ccfbb75141","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6710143079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1293212436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7340d11f38c12e86886114cf7d3e0f1063758de8b7ac81db7e580b797aa9dd75","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3031676319},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77783da9b3549399a4bc0ba504f03c33f6cafca89f6ef5d96cb1d9492dfd22d5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1038873198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77eaf36a80197a13ff32e31f05b54e824a6fd21d93f1001abcc18ba8d9a7ed16","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4557958825},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7cb962714c60c82f7fd72cb0a5222c592c114e1d1c2c2cc65a22459d5de141c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.297911649},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0853666937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0896041463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8c90561ffcdd15e5258609a891f227dbde5d48e219cd5319c231bb5dda56a4ff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105384537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9b93c610b88d5af6cf4b346bae27e92645e36b8f4d45a86ba6f9287e8765fa04","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.131516219},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d4aa0f7fc078388aa90b44726a7918756dfa3ef3b5d286759bc5677d466aed5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0888759878},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d8debf9203c6da07e77218d91fe8d4213c8d68d4c2864a9639b70572f49c76b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0581537065},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552045311},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa2a8100778036aa3b7c6966359d440bd392465346e394c15ec7e04979212fce4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2749885721},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031925359},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa908e77b6376510856d9a22e3f56cb99f7034681f3b0fba5376c19adc94523f2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0964342782},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3606636136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb1a6136ad23d19526c4929d2e79c79e999628de931ca2475d138fb31637fd2c4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1540376337},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc2846f35e85eb09a094edbd4e93e345d3c682dc0436615adc27122222fccbd81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1583432105},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc2e5f441b24c3bde052635a5ca1d10a7fa8740e4efb8df6b815276e887aa979d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2796626865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0842115399},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc7a571b438d14b6fb34afad62ae1bd99d6cc9ea390b2adb6b868ad3b0b624aae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1111879048},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd5a64f75a5d7107e53e7c3eaf52865624a0c79ad8c41379faef4285494991326","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5403657697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd97d95f15edfe56fd412a3e95929497903f16069964f63b7ced90172cd723d61","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0705001933},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3771175961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.111109114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xef5880e94212f24f17d45b756c9aa42bc7d39c3feda659fc22417adae5e22d00","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1818864471},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-08","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf8b487261c924bbf63a422effd23e80381d152441249ace2aa13af4ab8137a36","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608680094},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.258760607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1413","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0887438581},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3663233131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.226285388},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1854596289},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5895848937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1467151314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1189805374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1575","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1998434887},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1576","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2599949278},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1578","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2615648316},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1580","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1723429268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1581","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2733363619},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1585","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137511081},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1596","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3101804593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"infer","id":"1597","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2389531427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1545704867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0698240007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1689415636},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2104971601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2315421142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2485796638},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132967493},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"cNFd1y1J8PgOJllEy4uJ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0942348314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"cU2Oq6qOsL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3215731044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"kCikWdlPijovPazB9fP1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2589088541},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"njIsNltHOS7eR4ZUgaXX","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2544280229},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"nx9c41fs7t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1822392945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4006296052},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"manifold","id":"tu2ouer9zq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6745055796},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"10176","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0734407235},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"12112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2162938691},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"17520","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1278745357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0870408431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4254108196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"36487","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1654081992},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"36488","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2489422673},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"37112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2270754083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"37552","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1362412759},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"metaculus","id":"4919","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.430877201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x08c8fffc2fb962e36d835621b82434b941a8a124f47558454d8eb666eeed59f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1576768811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d82012de5e3275b934dcf446b1cce93705b37e9ffe22470fd6caf7411d1d1f6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0764157497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2062426417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12d7301c569d569d9a465d6edb5613d1f984019d8abb1d194312668687044500","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646427295},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x134bc0bb11dd106662b5d8412bbc404548891e34b6b019a1da19c26b23dda475","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854982462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x161230064f6ce2924f0237a5b1b8de1bed35e91888ea91a6e0bc23de1d8118dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675526717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x184228c1bfc9502d38f6f9984667f3da7b2f955616f195a3ba28b51fb0539bfe","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0702261119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1cfde498b977cf83dd6a0276fb287de98dbeb79554c61368d074736730883ad8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1021263925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2ad8f879ef5b4befd518567e03c972648816df918ed7bb03fa4f6bbf79975532","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0929076447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2bbdf4f2353a903d9a216968722cebea9caf9763844c6a13b3db120e37c66f32","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654507366},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2dac5b263a09b9a84d775bbc1cbc856559dbe49d3a2b875e7e6ad42a88d07b3b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660426584},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e43d977463a0d78a859fdd95d1570287b888ed6c9d4670532d46c22a3a7478f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792157743},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3015ee036921f18ee3e446556335c6c2301e8666279e33ff15d21d851ff1e316","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0915449661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0920825542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35aaaa9b77b25834ddf3647bd4c34376ba3f1dcd87e3d4801c829b3658b15b82","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656090713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3642c7a7c9ac737ee35be2ffa14c0f91a928b22544219576a020ba72d4ac8d22","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1354080186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0898158675},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4502ea4d02add2af615bbce9318b8c6354c584a4a78fe95110ece52de31099d4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064662063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52dde4a6bf4493e06461504e2651dc090b0e11bcdc6d486f727b0272d8e8880e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2207753528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5412ae25e97078f814157de948459d59c6221b4c4c495fdd57b536543ad36729","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.072968136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x570568964af751a02d31d4d829fed2f7afe8f51fdf592e0338a08cec065f01ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646473962},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x590d839e2b36e01deeb261bcdaa2fc319cd414b084b4bc2f64ed89fef485c61a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1768833001},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.130074555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x611f34804ed4f35b72c0e5d92ca9ce09ca70be8e573a891add05b0a355d1024c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0762157479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x62995cb8a7c8c0d216a8882109bd1e05574b5df87d313f06cb3e1cd5593e6d13","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1729183485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6541a8761b97d252205e5934fb7f3312cd460cb1d07c722e0bbe3f8181ddbcb7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0674927545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6cb6468b0c5ea55d408c7dfbd66cb16b222093bf511e74669c8f06bb85027c58","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064748647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e9fda006161184b29a2df3754b5b9c3757f8a2adc1f44291fe9907f8fc6ae97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1204245535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6ee22365b6602d928aa7136f549cc0d718bb16b044a6d15191041b84b5f1f43d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1558768653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6f7fbdcded63d55e8bdb693028dd86d40c69336b175ed7defc9250e42c9cb05a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662447435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7cb962714c60c82f7fd72cb0a5222c592c114e1d1c2c2cc65a22459d5de141c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.195589798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1129378209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0952159151},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8a3efd9a41cb8bff7474de6b67f4efa778ac4dd5d8caea008b8087af0a19a0e6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1088827019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8be38f21b6c39fff2de0258b1d18fc9feafdef9e95f14d7f81db3bd3d7effeff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.111541142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x99e0e1db59afda81f07b3a8f541879eaf3f4c23a3381c8ba35937c3adc0a32d1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1158890969},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9e998b6cf62315fe13fd80e8a57c3b1bb9c7affcdada886b44efdcfd28c4e4b0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2329651267},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa257136f50d15c4151d7fa6464cba6a6dfc5dfa325d9fb6e414f7b642ba84381","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1067480165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6de2e10501f82a91e012ab54223416fcd3644b0ec054bdb22a68e2062527e50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6065204127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1262599381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3158761894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb303fceda7906a905f697c1f9eac462da9cd8c9b1a8d18898363437a7be31561","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1262432713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb3a76d0e65e030f0c6549e905086e5677dcb9172d3b4bd58808e1671a0bfbf79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0654157363},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb7f9d3f61910ecf7a5e6e46f487a039e91a92b68585f05ec9b22cb34d3804bbd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1756082889},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbe69fd3d55f4a3accb1a665733d18a215895d05beffae5f417de21a88bc992b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1354292688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc30cf28f8108d5e883038c89afeaaead56c19730ed7211249cbf60c35ff76890","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1543015181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc3a89dee3b659822e32f8388f615907ecf262466576f18ecff7619f6d4d6914b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1154078427},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc634b556b8f47434d7837594ff59c9daea654c4d5c9c50e2a352736db1d5c656","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0855095797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc7a571b438d14b6fb34afad62ae1bd99d6cc9ea390b2adb6b868ad3b0b624aae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0862649196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0841158174},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd00a85533ae7178ba291e844789a74dc0d2d31ca93159fe10341ceece98df61e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5620866885},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1729083485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd87fa4ed709b451e4fec7e09e4e600d86e8386f1707a1382fe963523b9a9fa21","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0929516451},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdd69d77168d6820d90f89550bb21bba1bdbe52e9247373105ce1a5fc9f55d4ab","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0882076034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2544839827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe87b10afe191706bb36b22526b65983e2a88a12ccce36827e857e16791973493","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6438478243},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7735076315},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfa48a99317daef1654d5b03e30557c4222f276657275628d9475e141c64b545d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2912843064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-06-22","source":"polymarket","id":"0xffea59c51b27dd000038fb9e8f659bfb3ea3cb8a4283a9e774bdef9844a27141","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1041077433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3450430678},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1738367112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972160499},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5531198012},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1118034142},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0975160548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1585","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1015755358},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"infer","id":"1599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1008124194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0848123472},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"5n4fsbzm94","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683418913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602929152},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"AaZr2KnQYHGRVHzvKoHa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3585100091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0709168327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.146872917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1181940588},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1810285097},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0577553861},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"UnsISN6Qyd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1254928208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.080099458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"cU2Oq6qOsL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4441612531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1760354555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"gTpJ2NRBMPIL7IJenUsE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1985034948},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"hIZy2ULp8Z","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1742958518},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"kCikWdlPijovPazB9fP1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3993900022},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"llC0sSgzg8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7389212612},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"pz96pzyIIC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3038288919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"s5sgqZ9qQ5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795498834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"manifold","id":"z0xj9vne49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1576033431},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"12112","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1658034765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"13467","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1340429599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"2937","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1162726709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"34516","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3925571646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"35261","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0992823945},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0846621567},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7034723217},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"35570","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1137426297},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"35573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4810786044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"38691","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2139942603},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"metaculus","id":"7444","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4807385989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x02dc46f4354c1cc447577db82ba62cca1bda737bd67b73fe966ce1bfe580868f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3359187434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0734609995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1174610902},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x08c8fffc2fb962e36d835621b82434b941a8a124f47558454d8eb666eeed59f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0881011127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0a7e45f69a8d2c45fc008fa9d8242efa13264ba540a782d82f613d673f1d1205","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0700219436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x13d630af7d1d92f010d9856abe48fc75eee24686897533948b919164b64199b3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0794402968},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x16e0225d19b649692f9a1483a57b14e101bd1d5148f6636f3ce30d1043335eca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714139663},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19ecca7a34f32dc88335202882783f28fd372ab53b703485fb4cc0dd46537b0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0943553394},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1bbdc459d73e6972f5ba1f687d739fde70a9774f4875611699fb00a9eb28f090","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0673375},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1bef2cec162d5499c60c1acd8e3c5a3acc321aee580deda1f01aa40dadbda374","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660620792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21400affa8e3fdfff07bb8421d708635bc7be52f5396268dd281ef92a31bb86f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1250434385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x226c6d5a8de377a56641a498191c5e1f3792b81618841afb8879a5d817f13771","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615223054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2762fb84cbeb75c3fbeaea2045cfe94b65dfcf1c945e76ebaefce62e211f99ce","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1318754247},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2993e8c18922f93787756e02dc262c193b79f05c7b952a0c9656e948f9977c88","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0927729137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e43d977463a0d78a859fdd95d1570287b888ed6c9d4670532d46c22a3a7478f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0692701314},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3126cccd9042f185cf2bc8621521c5b32b299ba3f41a10b8300ae5a1ee84d21a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3438015966},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x356057e0820341fb332b9de11d61dafe8e762617a0eb0a491f8904d3ba9e3a01","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569453309},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0903222488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x37100ed3560699c48d90a027e65da10a04e395785b598289163e3bbfdaca99e6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0719263496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4319532e181605cb15b1bd677759a3bc7f7394b2fdf145195b700eeaedfd5221","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1566258272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x43c6353aaf12e34068e62043b933a6186def30bdcecfbbd461de2288b97f2505","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0820139137},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5a542fe246448e58671948b2f28bb746d7694172ad3c57b28d5cf86126834cf0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2308570346},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1030749562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1017905353},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7028fcfbf64ce6e64670e10d19fd7683eba964432ca99426dd168b5f0091323d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0597742519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x712015ce8ac2c87d89bfacff5610f225c147a147441a78654846d1462921ede7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1638440696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0587018345},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79342e0d3cce6f59378a6a016531546b773490b30ce51700265bc13e6651bd72","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0684618932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5001489146},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706079531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765245244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.121504981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x83765aedcb4a590b396164f436f9113ad27e51a7d56dcc3bb7b776da455fb9eb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800156812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x84d62ee93bfa7d38836e278801c8c5ccb791482d36b0fbedc990ac2ba1610d9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599862804},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e8a20aa06f5913e9efda697f16b9525b70ce1f720851e8f1a13bd46072a6126","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0777744447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9939fd74f2d2078cafd04de7a9a8060b27ff331f8db4a737121519b81440de1e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569340307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9a76ce64d7da9eac3f42aa09b1d25eb610ccc16eaf4849493b3d1698fb79ba57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0583712291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9ba0e12a339b01159f86cd697890e24ab2a25749cdaa8beb6a1a744fb4a93610","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6290535112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa3958a7207ea6ed2b47fc7e3b03943e9f3c4a745cb71d7515dc529dd91e102ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3475020568},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814165039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0683462914},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3859670574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1c4e7857dfd1fe47c1e6a11813aaca3f622a5f47769cd765be8c7a8336af555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573571126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb96bb2fdb468a1cb699369dea9c383633e1d35a7bbd6c18f9ffd6871dde5dd4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1070697462},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcc2bd8cbba68f1fe46e89445b61e2c581ea96527438889eb749a852fba647920","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0634143111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd407fc7bc044a509b1eb3059d8a85af5493425d9edb677781dcc7a98c1554adb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656068468},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd6e0317cee513cc3afdc1954ac576b241ad2287536e88b17fd3a77b4c3d0976e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1480920884},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdf6a672e18c94c70b53260043fbc49a73395d51de3d5db2bcd5afd23efa13f97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6102907061},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3523365104},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeaabc7d6b6cdfb530da706539f1acb62aae36305bc06231ef4341d5e2ef62979","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0881022127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xebfda84c91d3dafde3f49bd132aadc9e762b88023021806e7345cd526fc7e1fa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2657051014},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeee36eb4a7474ed4415c966a86491a2880d799479c776776a0e1b06671e3b690","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1085531703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf513ac8ba9915f8da013900cf283d1800104e8789cb90b4fea176cc4e03df47c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956325602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfac98674a774531c2b7def1ce530ef2eaa78a1c444f794923826f2660b1eaa14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1095525616},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-03","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfdb79c231b8bd8220c34492ec80cb0125928e486f3a4aa0b0ffeff2031b1badf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1698860429},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2667456282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1542555101},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1191028869},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5548377108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0864655257},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0890127365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1585","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0887510621},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"infer","id":"1599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0823545886},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"09U2cQZqCR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3472324165},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"66FpF5wc6FoUxdSUp9Ch","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0733284753},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0591309812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"7L7arFnaO0Nom1bLY295","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0899314478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6537158119},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"ERAQ2GcY83b6TeC7x0Yf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0659978931},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1182672687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"LhX5FOZNhVvaI79gtvni","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1923202212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"P0OAOZIpyq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2140311424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"Q9gRdQ0Z9t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0805017525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.061232301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"W8iOAuLrMal2MAwPPg62","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0766165976},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1477581046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0799840555},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"cNFd1y1J8PgOJllEy4uJ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0792225186},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"dy9yI9PLIh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0663214907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1793529728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"fXpDY62ibnxfUbqAaAEC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1803755718},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"h7dapoa4cm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803782167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"hPU6PpN0Zg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0709565954},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"llC0sSgzg8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6831768943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"mqIkDr66P84o5wxxKuD9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0808968043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"manifold","id":"s4GyWK57MvM5wGvwPMhk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1018464058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"19724","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0828428709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"21531","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1404759453},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"26328","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0915539428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"34514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1909090521},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"35573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5169853653},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"37347","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.126620452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"38893","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2904197163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"metaculus","id":"7444","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5330297376},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x02dc46f4354c1cc447577db82ba62cca1bda737bd67b73fe966ce1bfe580868f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3507555564},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0720380583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x08c8fffc2fb962e36d835621b82434b941a8a124f47558454d8eb666eeed59f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.090135727},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0c4823aafbe6bf931478b1fe3b30a1437663233e22b4492aebe7b0ac457623e5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1351677469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x16e0225d19b649692f9a1483a57b14e101bd1d5148f6636f3ce30d1043335eca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0694229589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19848149723bbd00545b98f45aa239864d8afd2194fec522af4dd2cb222f9766","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1207010341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x208963021564bd01f7b346795490456505f7156e9e636c3c3cc0794c04aecf45","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2806566768},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21400affa8e3fdfff07bb8421d708635bc7be52f5396268dd281ef92a31bb86f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1445717325},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x293fb49f43b12631ec4ad0617d9c0efc0eacce33416ef16f68521427daca1678","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0589634503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e0d7de7bb40128de91aedced917f4b8e47918ba6ab6fd4d8efc61ffe7740c6a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3877886122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e43d977463a0d78a859fdd95d1570287b888ed6c9d4670532d46c22a3a7478f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0684519355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2f2fd73638998d19d3a2c480a55eb4ad7cc9a67ecb9d08533d4b86e050af5c91","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0781234476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x319825b4422801a53da59c796e17cfb0fb08bd5183f30d837bf6c1ae564fb9cf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0668274983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x31cd7997445b8ad0233d6dfa0c183072ae240dc29691f7910ab464f36cbc36ff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0794998025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617769655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3c29c5915bdfef95a58c9e4ec2435c759633c94fcb9a2038bbe05b787e5aa3c7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833708963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f3ab94bfcb8a771c37805ff85aea28a8f1bfd2132196b9e378a428ea9de80bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0600263344},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x40c02fe4023e316f5ef4c0a5afd3e5eef81538d9ee98b315f503f2d1326fc7ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784234463},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5374a734024814a7e91a50b025cf0924bcf99756f40384beb260ede9322ca28f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1004122364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54416d15d2428ec5fb1e6f2e646f0fd570f367be80d9dd285c479c8e9ce238a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.248975458},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58a074070b409a0e7fdf15a2a3b0f80d2ff77c8a5161cbfcd7a464b7331cf7ce","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582324536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5c9847f65f9c4b05e19e08b5b1b82067822adc126a031bf1c1862a7a769af5b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993317135},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1035788888},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x612e354e6b36704334d47025db5ddbf4d2c5e53732279a7ff6cbbe765dc0ce97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.060125334},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x68c327454a085b95c7ad375ec60a2dbc4163c4d5584963e782c876a131f033d2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615591053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6c3d5fba5442f3e725eb89b7cffcc341ca3105cddaac09c1e4bc8e7010f0fe40","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0951212879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7214ecfdc0d4e45a3b1e2903e19df196851867c0793f8b4b1f25f5f921679835","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353445145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7340d11f38c12e86886114cf7d3e0f1063758de8b7ac81db7e580b797aa9dd75","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.409096961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77b4a1d4cd398a86c18b6bb9b5218917dc9f04b01a3cd4bae1c71ea345f15fa8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.454721756},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4880993839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666693046},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0764678995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1078245364},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x850c1624dc9d8ca9850195df05293ff85273e6b92e89a9551cd0a57c2f72aceb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100334459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8be38f21b6c39fff2de0258b1d18fc9feafdef9e95f14d7f81db3bd3d7effeff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1031994739},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8c866938d6598760f8d18bd624d6ba822b79f7e23604573f52cf8e769614fa5e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1122156556},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9aa6086535a4b3145e9f7378dd58a7a8c30c4b15bd4fe17eb6990817f5cd3cd9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1663536069},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599346404},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa38b66d42e953997abb37d1f6ee5304c289f40511d5274150564a009bd1dc44a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0774491173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa4ff70673e8d6f76261400c0ffd9d7970bf6d8aec5f8f44b20434e59e3e3141e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582108982},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0877657654},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xac79577895d581eaee3b3690a80b8c575422e404ef33e58bde8cb6a906b7cf5c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0588512286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3269195523},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb58d0e3b3dd34b2b8d8997e6ce36ca3873bdd6034fe0dde633f11e50d4b18c69","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0677123833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1c4e7857dfd1fe47c1e6a11813aaca3f622a5f47769cd765be8c7a8336af555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582325647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc7391c0c0c87078baaa914595d39b6a7037780e992bf264e9cd2b7fed6916d8d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582892034},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb1531b00e984865530f13e4ce35bcbc7d71615af98827b5e9aee2ca2984b626","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675540506},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb96bb2fdb468a1cb699369dea9c383633e1d35a7bbd6c18f9ffd6871dde5dd4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1449570641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xda8ebb9d7998b0e37f912b78d8f71a9e36b8a8b5b2afff4bb1f8106e29ae0604","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1365342964},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xddf468f8f181c3d02fd9614fceed3b7488ea5a0f90e921b18231cc8127ca77ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0931404079},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdf26e0868001c55b6ece885a3012633eb5c31afb17c76ad9423a2de99b3aa4b6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0856318583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdf6a672e18c94c70b53260043fbc49a73395d51de3d5db2bcd5afd23efa13f97","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6002541301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe371bb4a38f3714fc1ef7a8ecdaca8a8005aecead9ec95eb5ed8184ca55a94d7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.05755879},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3860928699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.808512528},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf005ddced69842c3943edea3b8fb24187240ac93becdc1532c5b9db34f9dd2c8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4749077765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf0aa54d57a0b28671028986f60c2c78d95e7b901ba036daf665fe2cd3b103ea6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1046252452},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf14a0ca39d0ad5c98806e7aff25fbb6033c41093d1051fa5220f726c211cfe68","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985094949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-17","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfc4453f83b30fdad8ac707b7bd11309aa4c4c90d0c17ad0c4680d4142d4471f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635269854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3912206214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1306261569},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1032575963},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.588488854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1568322294},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0799307328},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1585","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0872328728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"infer","id":"1599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0879193272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"1BskFw5s4FlnaJET30ai","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1781086719},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787406824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523013201},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"CGb5hO1YNNR2bAPun9WF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905915539},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"Lc2SQtQQCg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576388937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2261714836},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"SqEcEtuq28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529137686},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"UnsISN6Qyd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.180321496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1297627286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0836282728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"cnowgnMl9y1YEhE32NUG","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1714261479},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1561632557},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"ln62Z8L0Sd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1263485408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2126821627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"manifold","id":"s5sgqZ9qQ5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0646767511},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"12539","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4546627598},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"20172","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2178697307},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"35263","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2916762387},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"35572","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1910031121},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"36488","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1263544233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"37307","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1766439266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"metaculus","id":"38691","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1987210126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638463179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1431522586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0a43fb8a97a73157bb3185ff74e751a8743530460013aec336810e3c8a344550","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629333684},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12b6268efb832fe64bb746b9f50a51245b761d6b170e172b3cd81a7c4f39432b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0836437876},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x19ecca7a34f32dc88335202882783f28fd372ab53b703485fb4cc0dd46537b0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765388291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1a5edf9d6f7813a5289f8e410c5a033abbd52576fc1a2d44aa34f2a4c86303c1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527589942},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x216cfc5952a75a6c2005fa90a1f49524401abdde826aaa916af4c88a70426363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0624248703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x226c6d5a8de377a56641a498191c5e1f3792b81618841afb8879a5d817f13771","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548334436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2993e8c18922f93787756e02dc262c193b79f05c7b952a0c9656e948f9977c88","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1259312509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e43d977463a0d78a859fdd95d1570287b888ed6c9d4670532d46c22a3a7478f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580545983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x319825b4422801a53da59c796e17cfb0fb08bd5183f30d837bf6c1ae564fb9cf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602767132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0865681261},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x386813cf90074b5b5bc274d145be89a20f07386a3f8a7d370781a0af7196dc25","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0751079106},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3c29c5915bdfef95a58c9e4ec2435c759633c94fcb9a2038bbe05b787e5aa3c7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.086359312},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3cd73b3b011b96614556ee480172abf25896a8e1085ca4ee683892e61d2a080b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1784499868},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3e98b1cce4001e971c9b0500408e89e06dd75a1bf2c60e763d0e5f8464a9f6a1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0561070786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3ee86a850a9f5b495d65ad5e409e5903a1f14ccc78c4e8bfa82fdb4c497b543d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3742547913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f3ab94bfcb8a771c37805ff85aea28a8f1bfd2132196b9e378a428ea9de80bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537973733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4405c62496c4fdd275d17ec31567a01534013c518c314ce61bb633b5e7cb6426","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550725231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x468d2a45052a19334bd591db94acae2a55294e337ad2fb7c2a49430cd244a811","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523939262},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4b795c2a883712e8e78db7b76ab82da20430badfd925512147a4812ce84079f1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833111175},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x522bcdb642283507233874b9e9eca991d445135dcd82dba6e6cf09dcf40e5b7d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.175020415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52847ca1413b76a5570b97c0c432e38dbe61b0140f9d45e912604591b08f6fca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.05302974},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5e67d2599f32e6cd86a760bf28796da2e796377e5d711b739a1686b0d17dc31c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508669812},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0946712715},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x712015ce8ac2c87d89bfacff5610f225c147a147441a78654846d1462921ede7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2059291943},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525737984},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x74f6aa8144daf93f45c67ac5134ec1b6acc1c80fde043cea457929cbd6afd007","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2309644138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7cd79521e16e9f6f1e82311edb96e0a2f4b2dbc92fd7264a7add59f54b054109","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7297005179},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4940004575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571490461},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1247576919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x84f148876e026a2c7bcd1007498a982d9c968fbd7ff6956e0d2d11f86ec0aae9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2014092716},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x856817ebe659b1ad43383049beb1f45453c5663961f884347bf76c88ffa095a5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1130015131},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8838304ca258f5a75be1bde60aac106190ff9ca64e5478628b8ed454a68dbb5c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998143571},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x898656e7d7a2edeba07fffd1c4ef2098de00cb680cbce087274f09d87fcf3e12","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977948944},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e9b6942b4dac3117dadfacac2edb390b6d62d59c14152774bb5fcd983fc134e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1385918642},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8eff77c559ceb1141d32741d418b923b613b84d5a6e701d22466bb374b20156a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5674552507},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0x959899cd8459386dd0b0e46d13ce7d6b693f864641643c8629ef18762ef88a32","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa257136f50d15c4151d7fa6464cba6a6dfc5dfa325d9fb6e414f7b642ba84381","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1389548734},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0970915679},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa76a7ecac374e7e37f9dd7eacda947793f23d2886ffe0dc28fcc081a7f61423c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2481237288},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760162277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xac668145450c97698032df41289265cc1eab25bc5f42c4d4809922ea7db39f3e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8303738798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xadbfa8a84df49adfe502a7b36082a96b3207c9aaa82aeeba5988310e1acf75ad","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0640808532},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbb50a8be669052c941c30a8892b48ba104fb09ffd7d82f963b511f3db855e0a1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1189307214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc2ecc146cbbc8f24186766ef0b2cd56a1757227aee4cc9f951920538769a3490","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0556232282},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc30cf28f8108d5e883038c89afeaaead56c19730ed7211249cbf60c35ff76890","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2359349509},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc33864b627355a80ffc177e9fb26f029c2343c5fff190b41b6e0f1b590797d72","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6444277797},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc62d6e935097ab9bfd31790bf222e863b6a1509d2ae4602762ee6b8ec4acc07a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0904123406},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd65c4072e48a82a9cd49e8e6be332792fb13e8e076134d860d110427fc01d374","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3696752641},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe64a95a022a9012b0e5cba0c4c3c8e81caf10f7dd5a091c24714ed154e02c13c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513123548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2832146283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee3898d16e04818aa853e39e1533b368ad57ca092ec0e6298ccdf41b62786ab9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6972284639},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-08-31","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4b2d2cc364a536813bb400a0aac9dce912e8c880f4f368bdbcc59256d50a3f0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1572022599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2896917424},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1092181167},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0864600837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6054179697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0929718669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"09U2cQZqCR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.267012045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"66FpF5wc6FoUxdSUp9Ch","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0682743377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531755512},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"7L7arFnaO0Nom1bLY295","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0898457714},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"86c2ccz9tQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0763379324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7500852519},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"CGb5hO1YNNR2bAPun9WF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.081137862},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0617476103},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"K8qazyZJ3tXyuLlzkkyk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3680988986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"LhX5FOZNhVvaI79gtvni","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0608330208},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2869894374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283503728},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"RzsZN6SlUp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2597989129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0749673426},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"cI9O2UsgOQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1060829919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0733141381},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"dy9yI9PLIh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569479228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"mqIkDr66P84o5wxxKuD9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0712168029},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"manifold","id":"zqPzgyRyu9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3666987422},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"10220","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542765202},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"13467","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0781183122},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"17917","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523301293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"21531","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1015211212},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"2937","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0786907283},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7795122989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"35573","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5347183291},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"39771","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8318538949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"39783","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1721320184},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"metaculus","id":"6948","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0763591697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x027eeeaba097b5f3b166eace64668b2e6b327acc7c6b314ae5f03b33b51425e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3764933936},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07c96dbd0f70e5a27a0e15c22042abcc57bc6acc7f740f7935e0a08cde5e5138","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1188963786},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1247322214},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12a561b723e051783fb5f5a67fbc9764986ae2996ca7b2ebcef0dc2d9b222fec","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629901416},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1672bfe7ef6d85a4ecffa9faf1149ef1a1661dd919598ab46b04a6ae0a4ffab4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054925883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x16d24ebfbf42d9f4c24f11962424d41829db6cc542593c09acee647958020382","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723495336},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1985caaa507a1de1c390b2c4957e5535cb530634bd7bb4c5c1e75fbd6cc22e64","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521627755},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1a5edf9d6f7813a5289f8e410c5a033abbd52576fc1a2d44aa34f2a4c86303c1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525632852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1bed9a7702b0855686f4f65a9f65d51afeb7ca0c60f48937f4377269087cec25","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0874695991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1d395b8dea9dd429fbce85f8b8cbd5aa85ec8a2e8980755756be3eec03da5b9a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0784565198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2136be6fba772eb946ef5a886f2645cf71eed6ff977cec21b0833d2c5946e898","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524041308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2239eba5e038d08aa4ced697362abce36aad9602a412cd1288b8a1164d349c80","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548127398},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x23b63fa147a0fa4ea0869c83885fd1dfde6830981790984634efb72620a47975","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0559384136},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x25a4ea049d3bd46fe71ad8676feef9098bb37cbd9d9336280dd6188a7659813c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547333189},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2a34915c245f4b94976dda8afddb56452caf0ba2307500f78d7f08813d467917","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0730276724},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x310c3d08f015157ec78e04f3f4fefed659b5e2bd88ae80cb38ff27ef970c39bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0589477558},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x34a8aa834927033bb6ac7bd96c508972611b826ca6d61e59c6d7d0cf3571d463","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5051027979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054646938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x385458d81b805f220ccc137a23e5e24d1c6ecb61a189ba2edf8812b099129af9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1951528702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3e6cb7ad03e2687d0befe8706bb9ac276b3d74c0a8c7e02bf3c6b796e25601c0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6006703853},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x419c7ae262b7b17f41a077eeaec4b2d3881406ea3a4cf0d5984536fe0bd3c995","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1073776491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4928bece364d2def95c920459ab1fa54f449f99f33b0dbc93d6a84f80d9c9669","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075471138},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e4e89fd4a8b605664a3745981cd9034905ef59f385c893b8f29add42f3b4e00","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105441478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x53f82bd52566e30ae3f8131cb92095dd92ecdf2b0204af0edc226ee194e923fe","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4146512844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x56a161fce05c462bbe64fdf80b83f720406150b11ae2d35c94907ac3d0eace80","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0609965274},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58d6aefe2c32e491460bd0a115153ebeb67b77c801e092615ffa01f625148aec","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519223572},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58e092763b1321e8368538bf5b78fc200d9409e105700e06eceb66b35ef371aa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0874038102},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0893708983},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x617c7a90eda304d6875abfefa3638ecedb2fffe3321aa207a9e23e8fc686fb75","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1781349266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x62b0cd598091a179147acbd4616400f804acfdff6f76f029944b481b37cbd45f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723622703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x62f31557b0e55475789b57a94ac385ee438ef9f800117fd1b823a0797b1fdd68","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534986323},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x68469fb64aca83a6ae036946381e20a8c8d25b6e690da1b2bb23e250abc2a261","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1145434813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528860197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7455e92b9e9c842ca260e65f0d640108223fd9f3430f997472825763654d96c7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1127296419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77b4a1d4cd398a86c18b6bb9b5218917dc9f04b01a3cd4bae1c71ea345f15fa8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5899099529},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77b5bfe44beb0641905f76ee2f32f96f47d8863bcad586678224a6dc02f03ad3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0567357356},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77eaf36a80197a13ff32e31f05b54e824a6fd21d93f1001abcc18ba8d9a7ed16","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5777939533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5002515245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631846662},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d0139c21a36eaf6aacda9ccac75f58a45a9f2209b336351bebcce4ab11b3b03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0610987765},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x957b4d2b6a84c8bd4ef6e89f983d2d1a805be8d592e79177940058b66a204476","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522827819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x99108ebfee8726dd985c617e76bba8c9176f69407c9fb5f2242df830d42af129","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576391225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d24d9f9b5995949cb158d943793dea20bd448e1b3971cb6f7418bb15e719661","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058847533},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9e54856d758cd7de25b75c97273a38d711642f16eacad57e61982028f2791206","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531799114},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa322e5cfd4c13c562553e4d18617be436c7ee24257b3b60a3757567ea99ce277","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522125382},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.102138958},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa76a7ecac374e7e37f9dd7eacda947793f23d2886ffe0dc28fcc081a7f61423c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2835692042},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7abf914ff943453e41273a20df7ed5f10738bf34071d7a6a34e0dfd557b30da","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0724450591},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa8533ac7382ad55fde02964b221eeab55da2ffe538a5da2c3f84449695d3ba8c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523123795},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa8c0a8ea0b9f3c6dc3ff1cd5163c280eeb075f17b23e50632f01a9da78683062","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1797227417},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad0144e9296cf5133595a42c2155be25c8f24eb1a79266c0ec81a40a2f806933","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1567904286},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3140531488},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbadc6cd0d0ea4a71e3cab24b4856311a5720866c2a62d805f2aeb1ddd0dba990","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1666010272},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbb0e4120b64af4ff962dae9fda5e73f3ea14c689dd22e4099adeafe69700e546","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0855968259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbea5d5174cb5355eaf0f8cee780e67d0b22a6ff614ef7ec82cc2fe6ce8f4b111","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0672044601},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc3d9deeb6a32be1d084651a5d55aba34bc54bc18fabf2af8bc94b30849d70033","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522290254},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc4dba193fa3b80410da74fd559d7071cc8835bbd4651a75e1e9fb3c3d7bec780","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6822240949},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc5e382cc0cda0a640c8687ed85e8182e006dfcc7ba3a6fa6c68d53e5782f5320","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571685476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce40c461a55895fb30e24da5d3b5e01c3e5ef3897808f0ccfd4d7a9fc420c7ca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1367117485},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce733629b3b1bea0649c9c9433401295eb8e1ba6d572803cb53446c93d28cd44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054199153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd459f7a9a61a7c36807a0a4066cbc1579e9b6277894baf778569f026ff5e69fb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527105865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe574324078501de57aa22beaaeafe461518a6556f0f97764bbbbd78d3a8e8048","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518865548},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2880787043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf2dacab4d4700731e0b39a055cd3d522711f8c25fbd4a86dd4945f6aa8f00a63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814125993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf34b156ecf111694d6e6841a7effb807f9483cb0cabfaa3e50283530d96d58ce","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563798703},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf5bd04e6c5fb5400dd9deef7f67f2658b32430fc148f3ab52f011acf779fcb41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0972906187},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf5ec2524e8d5fdd9f4f7e1084ba14805fa78aacc9f31d58e0c713100c3a462ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1940117749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb6717befc0ec8bb8389512c3739b5e4bca290f2a8a908e894cadb5a3785d9ae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.099690874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-10-26","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfccc16f3bba1210d40db55ee1b71c741be5b14dc3512aba5dc32de5c6e0c4bde","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5826087008},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3116741007},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1079694341},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0887146439},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5829269321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1172109695},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"66FpF5wc6FoUxdSUp9Ch","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632340536},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"CGb5hO1YNNR2bAPun9WF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0774940554},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"Cg6Oy62I52","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2822172593},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059243348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1200353279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0616568932},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"IWT36MaBUPU5dtiCygxo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0682982839},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0923040355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"Lc2SQtQQCg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0804428989},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"Q9gRdQ0Z9t","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687100894},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"UnsISN6Qyd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1343801392},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"WjigEUrHmJzDR7P5XXi0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1219268599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"Zn0R05lcyR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0678456614},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576484891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"cI9O2UsgOQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0998162083},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"cU2Oq6qOsL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.375534063},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"dUpnZIpOU8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.067271486},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"dy9yI9PLIh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552108492},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1091249438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"g6IOcCUnIz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1689886448},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"hIZy2ULp8Z","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1558927986},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"llC0sSgzg8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7329284627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"ln62Z8L0Sd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0906830919},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"qt0dEZpUqu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3411292632},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"rF0NagHSV237D4FXYJgK","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0636124259},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"manifold","id":"s4GyWK57MvM5wGvwPMhk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1026808111},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"12117","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1260825877},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"18541","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0915251433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"27208","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535092368},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"29086","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785577015},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0706021952},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6112261198},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"35569","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1211426028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"36487","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0989723959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"37115","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.154812791},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"metaculus","id":"39322","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596571178},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0c23ad7af38087ab27f94fd35eec62b4f53c0d6edd16bf04d85b7c456dc777de","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1300336157},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x11db077700a35d7415b6198c5e5a53adcf1db1819a09831f7eaf148f88243c40","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542772798},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12b6268efb832fe64bb746b9f50a51245b761d6b170e172b3cd81a7c4f39432b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0995787627},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x17815081230e3b9c78b098162c33b1ffa68c4ec29c123d3d14989599e0c2e113","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0829235324},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1ca2465222c60f5803c22fd94c6c40fa2321447f9af5be6f77dd1a5644355dd5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723692577},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21d5b50fd0bc5013be79a7cdb4b3f0917127071cf27a324804c030f6eb06f5b4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3194602058},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x240f4f76613f69c1b5072abf9904a445c009cc526c2d301f7181eb33eb3785e8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765724385},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x257b18205f908aef01ef2d1d50e6fea7d29cf5486fe04031d8b101394476faed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2925687655},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x25a4ea049d3bd46fe71ad8676feef9098bb37cbd9d9336280dd6188a7659813c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548399837},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x277a7364c4d2c69d1cbf073440f674efb215471e444b0f52e65a49c5d38e195c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550771979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x310c3d08f015157ec78e04f3f4fefed659b5e2bd88ae80cb38ff27ef970c39bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596272301},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530991464},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x385458d81b805f220ccc137a23e5e24d1c6ecb61a189ba2edf8812b099129af9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.254397508},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3bc785525e9bb8e8f2e64ed116ee8b8169abca30a2beaa1b366365f220dbb1e0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4120658609},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4928bece364d2def95c920459ab1fa54f449f99f33b0dbc93d6a84f80d9c9669","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778025587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e4e89fd4a8b605664a3745981cd9034905ef59f385c893b8f29add42f3b4e00","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.167190141},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4f7d83388f21541ec765e3eda3a9b8d2b5a3b20f0d7531fc4aa46089fb1bd588","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0670731828},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5203a95598f18205fa5d1fae7afdefedfbb356679f1ae6e3911c54883a462034","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512071855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5e8e585d855c4288c3805064e74fc7ea1dab47dc0e9b42a0dbd9ca5f49c997f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2137510204},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5f8c3f31e7c3f5470f016e036848ff7495031bd45aec804b9bef539490866fd7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0687474946},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x607c517eec2acc6e4d888a725d2d73a99b2d1088f150f1b05470dd9d6ef19379","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0948655669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x635be9337933a0e2b17c01b31e0f6017ac54fcbe409ef9cf533e7cbe8880429c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522443279},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0913124543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x712015ce8ac2c87d89bfacff5610f225c147a147441a78654846d1462921ede7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1579127129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7267c8c3f3db61dded13533b6707c3a3d45a5519aee71917052ddba3275d250f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1019686671},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518241624},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77783da9b3549399a4bc0ba504f03c33f6cafca89f6ef5d96cb1d9492dfd22d5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0598871194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7cfd30f4f97746310435098e61aef950463ca3ac02997c6a7b506cde13423be4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519376538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.537886751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546525824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8114cbebc2067256e7e399624ca5a0628d0e70204f55005a86dc0eb083171498","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0650823562},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0594459163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0924938626},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8bf53bab21d7dfcd8f6c311c6f78d41678475e9184b6f16f5bbd5a9da3b1508b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523264566},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8e54ef30fcab377514426f2940753d2319443057577c2dfc38335bb3853142cf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0892370896},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9322e033c6dc8be6d8495cc44ac578abaa28a8cccdb783de1bff0026066d1d05","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2271083024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x967cb0061acc3f6e52c3ba4ecd17aa1191e3d50418c6858a2dac66d45c5ac874","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629681537},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9ec16fa75bc05ef9f9fd786f7122bdec55e708586cee5cbe059fc1b297bead17","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522241277},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa257136f50d15c4151d7fa6464cba6a6dfc5dfa325d9fb6e414f7b642ba84381","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1959722822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa320756f4fc6ec9df78a0828ec4d6b5f92ac334044634566fc19cda36023f8e1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543495928},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa4e7e472e1f4b0f5a9e88c0d086053ef51bb4dc150cf861bef48232447d3b636","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516921365},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0811970702},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3458253923},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb2abfc4e48334d87681240cd6a7e63c728e13973fbd68951b45bc86d6c4491e4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1751241847},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1c4e7857dfd1fe47c1e6a11813aaca3f622a5f47769cd765be8c7a8336af555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514291246},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc2846f35e85eb09a094edbd4e93e345d3c682dc0436615adc27122222fccbd81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1683478867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc497f1ebe1bd67defd4484935758d242523b29ee36283025c16a32e4ddfb46b6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052123827},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce733629b3b1bea0649c9c9433401295eb8e1ba6d572803cb53446c93d28cd44","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527465819},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd3320fd4b325ce3d629fbaffd90bebd0a4f45042d91bf207c9866704d630bdb9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723384575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd3a26e8ca4f4dd9a7933e65fb1a36851b4527f7adadf477ca65106714ee26335","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1150945225},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd407fc7bc044a509b1eb3059d8a85af5493425d9edb677781dcc7a98c1554adb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0632385494},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd56c9ee002e2ae2766bb390373a18ecf78201df41533f2d7470f9440cbba18d7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552388491},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd837e5deb894a485d1c4558e81c31ea2192205c9a15c114a06f69f558db2499e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0843957428},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd87e6b4c5ee2c553ef726e9b6f788765bc6422d28ae31faa69e1d3838ee641d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0566346089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe4a2b3d43921a62fd693cbaca54249feec7b52fdcd5c7dd8c809a38179c1cbb0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2170594813},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3053109057},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeca33037ccf02ba4f3a22e863b33dcdbd4cd8946bd38d2d8aa200bdd2c185421","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691381979},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee3898d16e04818aa853e39e1533b368ad57ca092ec0e6298ccdf41b62786ab9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6852923438},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeefdfb2a32f7304c9f07a7a752731529b6b28085c02cc711d9714f9f0511fc14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0694537496},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf18253f5c0b0ffc42172a435892bbcbdaab54119e874580148961e298dad6263","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0809098807},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-09","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb0c98ef42c5c48b5ecca31e555aa0565a31958261e2d6c7b4cb15bbd417cbba","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.36671054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2739746867},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993592674},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0804055308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5910764454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.097182764},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1674","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7574976228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1675","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1093311594},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.083549855},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2516042244},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0622434531},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"66FpF5wc6FoUxdSUp9Ch","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602592961},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524571241},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"AaZr2KnQYHGRVHzvKoHa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3625348913},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0593435362},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"D5o5fIGpQnjANdl2DxdU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0962599028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755418192},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"RJH3aufks8LK0Pjyhrgl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2595956149},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"RzsZN6SlUp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2145532712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"W8iOAuLrMal2MAwPPg62","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0936013483},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"XNj8OH2nbvgjiaHvHuAp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.081628699},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"cI9O2UsgOQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0905064709},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"d2sZ8AIILQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9217525676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"dUpnZIpOU8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0643094832},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"fXpDY62ibnxfUbqAaAEC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1341621682},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"hPU6PpN0Zg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0615714713},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"oj4g2w07uo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5002347389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1833945117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"qt0dEZpUqu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4109895031},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"manifold","id":"rF0NagHSV237D4FXYJgK","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0695304859},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"24814","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785352696},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"26328","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0831785024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"27208","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0562039116},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"2937","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073370233},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"35564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760740021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"35567","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6049240434},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"35569","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1178293475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"36488","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0890190937},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"38712","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1278893687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"39756","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1954798469},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"40437","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0981941586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"5768","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7612788995},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"metaculus","id":"7444","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4672167692},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x085126eca944aa0780b425fcc46ab7276cd02f2f59b7934ca9e5ddccfbc03ea6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534714973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x099952efaf314cb44fcc6179e1fd8ca309e473f7dd924e980a381b70648f2887","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0679139574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0ac91dc0674ea0b91e6eb9cc4a20968976d30fbce391a9050c70eaddf2fba354","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0793965881},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0c4c1d224e536067363a96bb1916acfcfef47d503b8838c0113a39104ac05428","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1381602414},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d82012de5e3275b934dcf446b1cce93705b37e9ffe22470fd6caf7411d1d1f6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0575310835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2049638936027998accd2d320af8a7838ed1f673a00d0a22a288d5f678015e03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2709953811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x21bdabe2791e7a70a02829be6a3dd7452fd4f6cba3b1fa1abed109941d8864d2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599217004},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x23b63fa147a0fa4ea0869c83885fd1dfde6830981790984634efb72620a47975","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055345118},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x28c6eb83627e96f11777ff333703d5bdbb15799c4df7e8f290049464e54198cf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0539024583},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e51ed86458e0a53ef3a2e882d2f857683dfe41822c2c26176c971e25a5a8db2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548703021},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0656903412},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3d64b85493b8e6602ea4dc4ebfa1e8b998594c8439e4e0d730ce6e44f7e587e3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524425475},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ef4a5e6c74f646ce7126c7283b1a679c76db679b3237c2c6eaac27249b13dfd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1315438446},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x528f7bcfd3328a767e72e8d27ea7d345a861ec94c81004f347e571c08a3b00dd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0569811296},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x53511c6b839a6f653f7b5b3e1e6b8e0f90b8b62a3a55731b47158f5057f8f23d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0700040717},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5df1f890ef485a7a79a4bce4b3c7bb4c12b2e09a65809bbae8cdfa04e5ae9ada","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053722419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0724667891},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6d1ed397657b875e9908b33609df303fe66938fe2a7af7f36c39fb45b3b0a1c7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0592941459},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x712015ce8ac2c87d89bfacff5610f225c147a147441a78654846d1462921ede7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1502773396},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x71731ea04b650cd0d6d644c947f3d53200ed50f10688591863db1a36b464a22d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578264981},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524088972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77b5bfe44beb0641905f76ee2f32f96f47d8863bcad586678224a6dc02f03ad3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543178607},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79fe1c0701d145ed4b74e6b7b3658acbc9b016b70e7321afdb777ad14e8c236c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538478074},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0585751783},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596153357},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x830eb792fa2f2a591b5a0610a76400f80228629105f4f5896434be777665265c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.064676284},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8370b54d8b25a8a408ddb402ff7a03178139f59593ee97c03a10a43523516404","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2008476973},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x850c1624dc9d8ca9850195df05293ff85273e6b92e89a9551cd0a57c2f72aceb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0975804043},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x89c555d51c3ec91cda2cc7ee12f8d69b2376f81c46b0588c1616579de7ac8c62","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0669627377},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8da154fd9e7dbe6b0f22ab3626f36da576bdbffe533e4528fa7fd3411ae898bc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0694570053},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9ec16fa75bc05ef9f9fd786f7122bdec55e708586cee5cbe059fc1b297bead17","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535136425},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0730690934},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0627749206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3563372348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xafa3f21a2211a95b222a0704d1b763a48770905ff090b0143ae724013b51dbaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644751701},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb5f6d7f3158494f1c433c25237e61cd33eec00943a6cd95d67b1d0b06cb7ce2b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075769025},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xba6ca85827ba3fbf64fc67e3c14283dd0ea82a1ce780609a7c4f6bf469748757","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052514648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbc19b7dee8883e27c2e617cfa9a8875c5f014643f760f72121f4a769b19536c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1309198401},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbd52b67bf1d97f233f1ab26362496091e04e27e2442cffc0803ad4a462f8cd45","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0549560527},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbe1c736f56cade44537b90c07edb9209eba1ab044fa57b6f3900b8fd26570c61","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0564351132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbea5d5174cb5355eaf0f8cee780e67d0b22a6ff614ef7ec82cc2fe6ce8f4b111","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0575676712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1c4e7857dfd1fe47c1e6a11813aaca3f622a5f47769cd765be8c7a8336af555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518245576},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc62d6e935097ab9bfd31790bf222e863b6a1509d2ae4602762ee6b8ec4acc07a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.070260211},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcc2bd8cbba68f1fe46e89445b61e2c581ea96527438889eb749a852fba647920","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558579216},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce00f57f6c107650846b17205996ba79979a94b942c5665b2d525599669c13af","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1099752545},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce4459c8dfc2b0800778305722ee9a2ad2c62f001c8a40d5e0b136c9e6a679d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518197436},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd19badcb162eedeecce239e19a99e90f1b7751ec043f86d3dd5176c582a4316f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554598688},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd3a26e8ca4f4dd9a7933e65fb1a36851b4527f7adadf477ca65106714ee26335","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0797393906},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde03be115f0b584287ca34466b6d813dfc64d32771be3bff04b048a4bbe5569f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0570062423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdfeb85c9ead70f3bd0745bb8fec317a21fda07780453d239a255afaa72a190b0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573327196},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe202539dfbeced92dc4112f134a205c80ca6cf4db32bd82f05b291c297219fd8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522006978},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3260522206},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe9b8664d3302d33a25b0612989da47a520ec005d1da55fd73f85750a8837513d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0553613561},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xea378c9f7da196849f2afc2d56ccb2efa087bd76e02e30c44748c0693520c201","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1233594497},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xeaab9021b99acc38699821455c9332838c88f1609071f7f2e39da2f56e52d9e7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563889129},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xed01e807e649339cb23739f6735fb9c2284560cbd7bd9ad210c786127fb5f66a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551404166},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xefe3a05506e08fefb8c1998aa607fcce31e32a6852ef60bee4c71d0935c97950","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0520621573},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf06011674951b6a853154b841dda3bf555f72f5514d9a64b50a81de836a6c19c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542898605},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf2b177d6267194487880857175f9876fb2d352188f681dfe8bb732a665512305","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103409308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4b2d2cc364a536813bb400a0aac9dce912e8c880f4f368bdbcc59256d50a3f0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1291456276},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfc4453f83b30fdad8ac707b7bd11309aa4c4c90d0c17ad0c4680d4142d4471f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543274733},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-11-23","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfdc5e6ae42b83659ba19f06ec0051c001ad5f9679f4b0b4e4dbaac5c6e82f4e9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517020547},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2713940852},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985913792},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0731375327},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5929280423},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755940865},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1674","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7478539758},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1675","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1370615574},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0800984419},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2929873844},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"09U2cQZqCR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2055579222},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"66FpF5wc6FoUxdSUp9Ch","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0558482971},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"6A0Csq0Z9c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3284418024},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"6MyYH9TqA0FgSsx7Pare","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541151089},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516978731},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"7L7arFnaO0Nom1bLY295","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0723302938},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7526885628},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"AaZr2KnQYHGRVHzvKoHa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3178792785},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"AtLFLzDlSERmVcSdUapy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1258905599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579042669},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787321794},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"UnsISN6Qyd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1132962199},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"cE1pnjaMDDaOF16V14Y2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0590711269},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"cU2Oq6qOsL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3728743348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"d2sZ8AIILQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9597534252},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"dy9yI9PLIh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.055543263},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"hQQPLApOcA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.057904181},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"oj4g2w07uo","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5244088916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"pdcRPllUC5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1385007999},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"ygZRENPOg5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2027201611},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"manifold","id":"zqPzgyRyu9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2010921127},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"10176","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538705389},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"10220","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0787919647},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"15370","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5317038687},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"15602","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.124920991},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"17095","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0635056565},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"17110","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.078200711},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"19949","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120371498},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"20172","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1802463824},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"27208","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065696522},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"39002","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8290322221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"metaculus","id":"40407","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0956357838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0398ee767efc168f65bb148d7ac5874406ecf38b0585262c259c07b72a40b362","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755832045},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x039b48827f3c6b83f50153715af8a66f2b74b04fcfc5def13acb3f151eeb3d81","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1523062972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0580971308},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1241327854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d82012de5e3275b934dcf446b1cce93705b37e9ffe22470fd6caf7411d1d1f6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547870073},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x10b0761fd0412d6ea433ced8d4b0aa589c11831aee0f6f96383468526c979818","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0644293326},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12993004a50c8a25454afbc8ccea7a52f9e6f5ddfaa218feea52a4e95cd874bb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0867358354},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14aa27565d1f23e7770fb56459deafa6d4e179753e936ce0a6b24fa874e939f1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579780924},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1b74c3efe140a09049e0eb6b6a2112e00fa4d199cdc718c1a58af1abf6d9e49d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528324435},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x243e5b9e30e381aaf91ee500db1be548210e8bb8c2a463f5bb3f86ffe8ac3f86","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0575845771},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x293ca6031d80a410833bacb197ed6c193e79b0cdaaf6539d8b0f88f245e1ddd8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517453858},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2beb6918bff42cd269377fffeb7d458c1e18a06efa56097de608397dd8d640b4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0629440525},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e24ca91d308d503fa3711b0ff3b4c40e0d971e72bbc8012448c0ece02328a69","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2099540925},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2ff4e1a7dd9e8dcd56ae537b2a360e1dfb7cc0498849af11d275e10de13e5635","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523594402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x313787d313815069851d81a35de415dcfd9e223ced2a0ab19fcf9ad367ff0a76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7740733833},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0526743049},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3bfe92e518e3cc7f569b70cbafcf40449bd9498c7159129275c33822500457b5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542389535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54416d15d2428ec5fb1e6f2e646f0fd570f367be80d9dd285c479c8e9ce238a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2239295039},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54e136864bfd047505b0911da4246b0317d2a7305708bde3026b54699abead92","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1125714161},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0853725112},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x69d6b4d10ccd09a4f78bde4510cacdc9900db0e9b24d4cffcc1fe9f686f94253","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0660997874},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6ee22365b6602d928aa7136f549cc0d718bb16b044a6d15191041b84b5f1f43d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1350461126},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1029248854},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x712015ce8ac2c87d89bfacff5610f225c147a147441a78654846d1462921ede7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2109267994},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516051228},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x752a5087b40fea78569dfedb2257bf7499eefb50970fded264c94af8b40c1027","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0641473736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7601fef4bc7a7c280d4a7c3c3575afd7f3902b360f01ce2ec0bbaa03df65a105","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0827908054},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7a250aca74f2938d9fee6b975cc5a588de54c25a673e272e0884023bc1be7a61","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0665406905},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7a6a33627efd7e57152db2ee806570408e019bd72967158d4bc630863207c6e1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0567975091},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7b11f426ea2f966b193d4a30bca3b9a7a94e1972dbf3fe095d41d21a4793029a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596433917},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5453239651},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0550047589},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81fb3e948db1f5645556dbc01b96f50c319f1331ce8b745701197b8264c1d344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0567028084},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x850c1624dc9d8ca9850195df05293ff85273e6b92e89a9551cd0a57c2f72aceb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1215372171},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8947925aa89cdf1e70d7755df73c099c1977d322fb64ac20a2d2ee9850c9f913","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2165824019},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8b89c599a91f9d6520e24bf1be251cb87cf43267cefa3cebccfc6f685aacff1a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6486673587},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x92d98653c47967f7516f20ebc4bc04bf21d59cce083431cdcc9b3eaa0ed2bea4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1641615811},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9954b4eef49a268b810bc260ee9278361e29a8f6f4ad816a804dd613ef73a968","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0699868524},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9d24d9f9b5995949cb158d943793dea20bd448e1b3971cb6f7418bb15e719661","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631992543},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fcb9901d142b5046467b4ea329508bdb19274eb1fd0fc833ee1916edd11cb73","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0540394145},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0652656815},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa95216e111897ab824478333cefaf4cf6d21e5bfa159fe8a6c5cdc294edf368c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595236033},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb7f9d3f61910ecf7a5e6e46f487a039e91a92b68585f05ec9b22cb34d3804bbd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1116487096},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbad74413f87762c2b4423dfcd72ccce4c561bc59f33e7ed474b33ef917b802a0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.051412646},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbd9fd3b8f8d03be096d57504e836bbc0bf46853184302a75787d68d2f6ffe273","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0695336117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc798fb82e89b618fb35e32f3c23933b0b69ee7a3e917e6d05e5052127ef72a6d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543709044},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc8f7efe4f5cf3c6d5b51cdd87cbd360e7f2a3b9999f6b8fa96d2dcd96e287141","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525628916},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb8af0c28d73c486a1bd1080eb4183709cc4cc3eed4420c7551d6298b0adb6f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0862325298},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcc2bd8cbba68f1fe46e89445b61e2c581ea96527438889eb749a852fba647920","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0543758169},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcc7d2919c23e00507e33848288f15fb3473e536bad6e94e355ae71e7e651ed0e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5912633526},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd01204c643956b06dcb7ec56f07ea473bdc9e61a7c29bd1318df0e249b1050ea","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0542838538},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd1754bc54ec5b0af53339ad69d868bcdf5510242212a400db22bc865b103bbfb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053330535},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe4a2b3d43921a62fd693cbaca54249feec7b52fdcd5c7dd8c809a38179c1cbb0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.181175489},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-07","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2924049883},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1554","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2752909153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1555","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0842947661},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0713163838},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1563","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4462045139},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1564","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0932592115},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1675","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1560439092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0785132752},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3340191922},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"1BskFw5s4FlnaJET30ai","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.078311197},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"1N2cnoqviIjoUdO3g5ke","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0607224163},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"25QZ5yn8hQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3456505503},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"6Zyd999ZP9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0522773085},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"7L7arFnaO0Nom1bLY295","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0668508302},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"86c2ccz9tQ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0876361907},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"AZNPqIQuA0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6992581848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"CGb5hO1YNNR2bAPun9WF","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1160296447},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"D38AIR8f03odzU8ZvoKr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0715559348},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"IglOIIg2AI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.075199293},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"Og5u9CudhA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2576419299},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"P0OAOZIpyq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993812749},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"Pd59AAtPOR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058802132},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"R2PYH7Cwjk59eILygi1W","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.057548544},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"RzsZN6SlUp","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2122499218},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"UnsISN6Qyd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0870845231},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"cU2Oq6qOsL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3394853194},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0664791162},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"fXpDY62ibnxfUbqAaAEC","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1620950306},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"g6IOcCUnIz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1677755712},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"qR35cYHecZVxkh7n8kJ8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0551119476},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"qt0dEZpUqu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552330265},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"manifold","id":"s4GyWK57MvM5wGvwPMhk","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1153027599},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"17408","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0875424266},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"22560","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.063711808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"26328","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0684535415},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"30344","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0771219028},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"38671","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1460909408},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"metaculus","id":"4919","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6600660268},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x02665608f02cd63c26bd78a419f932db289b5300fefc0e18e50b151349fd85b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536419367},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0563166182},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1253266064},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0cd467df4030e7da99133ae20665f0905e6a9cbc6706d11c87712730a0434170","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0986021173},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x15a18c82b90f8f6de9bdac99dd763865910338fcab9366b119fcf8d372d4768b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1181787433},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x182b89f680380a2428daedda8d8fca19416569f8c3fcec997f00780f69f81f4c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0943574373},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1a5edf9d6f7813a5289f8e410c5a033abbd52576fc1a2d44aa34f2a4c86303c1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0765329117},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1df6862b69a47872e75864cac21b9ae9ea0cb552884d38aea9170c5fe5321bc6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.071559676},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x216cfc5952a75a6c2005fa90a1f49524401abdde826aaa916af4c88a70426363","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.054946596},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2ff4e1a7dd9e8dcd56ae537b2a360e1dfb7cc0498849af11d275e10de13e5635","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0523580402},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35915279267a71c7a89e07747e645107bd7720209a7ac145ab36af6c6ac35c67","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0650939808},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x366c465e379145d0ec1ae70dfcaea8f69cb42e769895edfb420888891e3df9f5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0589755245},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3b1a3232b14a029f96a3e1b04a5d8dde31575d74024389b53631e73b4a494480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538119504},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3b7e03065f6437f93e3aa6fc2cb4ac0af068d7c8b0ffb32e26296b078feaa507","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":1.0256087253},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3fe28ac4aee597a761ce00692605e9b8701a544365eb781ddb7453fb10ae31fe","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3990441802},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x41da88e6d6db2ebf5fbb868d93e97c3052121a59d1222c00774119427ec9efe1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.103931355},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x44416d349bbeb6edcbf23027e6966ec1fce5a9b7d64d26fd3529f9465c40c450","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0516065848},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x468d2a45052a19334bd591db94acae2a55294e337ad2fb7c2a49430cd244a811","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0638736221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x552c0807e8b239ef4e7ecb9d9e192519ba283acb731c5bd89b6b1cda658a2f8c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584855835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0855228248},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60acc46cda1f0619259acf3ef8c77bf734ff08cbed256ca3d1e9444138e21266","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0892710513},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x60c447987af838c9a074ad7d44751135be94a20580982b72d76e9b542572bfe6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0651957685},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x62b0cd598091a179147acbd4616400f804acfdff6f76f029944b481b37cbd45f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552030478},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x69b009591dd768c3878e2ff9b28b8661e039409ea2f156ad70aa5224c08702e0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1142857158},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6aff6e0b36e00aef86b91c825b2e67561e172faa4b5ad0db7c91a38c87774826","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578770292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6b2e51f006ae5613849c3913db2a766390a05c2d67bc8b0b0872d3d63cb517ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760192575},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e6a763252b7d1773a82e293be9e3c689a245cf07a3053bc93589d99b4ee0916","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0512832256},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77eaf36a80197a13ff32e31f05b54e824a6fd21d93f1001abcc18ba8d9a7ed16","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.647585751},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7a250aca74f2938d9fee6b975cc5a588de54c25a673e272e0884023bc1be7a61","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675556977},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7bd85b3f517c51a036127fd585193e811754662a33e0657fae6f2dee09755c39","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0527833432},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7dd03775ae64ca4da06121fd75397e3a16cd54bd02a52faee8c22799e34b8458","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531914835},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7ffa1fcfaeac86d4a89afcb74c90296f0e7c3744ce5206183c9cb38651526e63","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533412221},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x80075f84b96d341fa75f7d95616607d23116f6fb41cf44f1d079f6fd6524b601","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1277268108},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81d74bd6a217892b3835dde991233ac5ba181741fcc51904980b98865c20530f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0533532972},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x86d3e198cc89b22d04ea77fd9d760b557d934d04d974578526ac4b063d588113","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1065653736},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x88fad6af135ca7cbd55a8bda5a1243125ded68b1e521066009cc990b13960b88","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0596656918},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x92d98653c47967f7516f20ebc4bc04bf21d59cce083431cdcc9b3eaa0ed2bea4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.169030321},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x94867c89a77b18380ce1bf85006f3ccf2ef5252e0dc6319677aaf615bd857bf4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0513995834},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9883c17e49888b1e1fc4227d3eca7f4dc7d8394157073714f57965cb31ae5f57","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0764581481},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9ec16fa75bc05ef9f9fd786f7122bdec55e708586cee5cbe059fc1b297bead17","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0778771207},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa15eb6144875ec22c24b18c6f34e0ce2d5783765f740de9a4ac0e8fdb10fa832","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8445260822},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0720157292},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa8b8e51444172fa84241a90ada79de23ea3ae3a3eb7262fa99f206d147bc8df5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0612047027},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaa368b9b8a22b8fd9338f3e46b4ce5f856233ac5ff45e30557384846279acee7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2060282648},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xafa3f21a2211a95b222a0704d1b763a48770905ff090b0143ae724013b51dbaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0567025209},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xba9aa10e79d2411a71685731968a8dd15662d1d900173f189c3261174bde1108","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1243287993},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbacb4cac4e7ceecce559529eb0111f0db4e45cbcc739db3957acc885a8f82173","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519646374},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc848576777751e56a4db0eb5e7d4c764afbe80e116fc75584e69c0914be0a5b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0568869602},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcc5494faf5ceca60a77a46db255b8c8e30b1bcc7d94d9138f5d4e945bba1ad34","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.147821153},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd3a26e8ca4f4dd9a7933e65fb1a36851b4527f7adadf477ca65106714ee26335","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0574767644},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd56fc2650cd0885e6aaec513b12fed083cac789b70ec6a48314fbfb079f6ef4d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0795108697},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdb4143780c085f54f82e6baf461e4df46ad900df8148d03258da93cf2c64b165","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1832571542},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xde9fec321fb6a4a264d6d012ad2bfee3b29e123797ce02765dca14cae96e26de","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0871919866},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe26424b7a84fe280b7202c5bd8a6c2763985510ff6a2c663c7aedd23881f7c79","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620363586},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe6508d867d153a268bdab732aa8abc8cc57e652d28a23aa042da40895bf031b2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3146039454},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xec80d091f823b3fc853a3fdb01e3c18500d7e4d1405d54815e41ae54eb719962","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1680162959},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf0de2f1576cf959a259b5ffb9771f927da827e3bf7bd21e6385b3a10216646e4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0691884092},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4b2d2cc364a536813bb400a0aac9dce912e8c880f4f368bdbcc59256d50a3f0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0878107285},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf66b13dd3447b8908fe4d3cfbfdfd9e6a18f506f6d694af5ee3c800d907b1301","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532535965},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf8a6ec4f777d3453e9171ebb219eb3d79dcf5b38d247e514f437bd2dfc834d47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2901829726},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf9eec8c6bd3bcd3effa86198cddf3283c550a52e7dc3441f3d786a08285d90cb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530475705},{"forecast_due_date":"2025-12-21","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfd96c4b3a2776ef499ff06ceb78948b62eef81c1d645a4f82aacc0632fbac36d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.057924017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073234235},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821840227},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4885548124},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.065607041},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3867754182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"manifold","id":"Lzdc89CSzq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1600871769},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1309952028},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"metaculus","id":"10220","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0532495967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x005866e059fa8deb3adb20f9b169a61a63a7289d55c6f3758bb105ee06ca7dca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.104528623},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d44a3b546096156afdf40be8f37bce617970ee3d0901d35f4ade50d46ae18a8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6442175597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1858125f6f8bafdbaa63b3bb90cb0a01ffb8f1f2ab56fd71484135b8fa624986","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0721644317},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x18b1dc1565575cb2ff48bbc078070170ca3278691860cca7c97131fc657a9530","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0614534988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af30","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.102726744},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x257b18205f908aef01ef2d1d50e6fea7d29cf5486fe04031d8b101394476faed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.268730559},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2701e5a5b751418c5c5bf0faaafdea60ac9fc893eb75fd88e902cd97458d375b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0578656748},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2c2a97f760dd525d97c9bfbed6fe3329bc835c2d6899e14b017ed6e8ae63a1fb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0709270214},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2e1a4dc939f815ba720dc1eba072191c2271bb0ea2fc36c54535db0121d8c48d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0579919369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3ddfb68ae4ca088d2ae91ed40d88a3a68266b9855bea5e33f8a8e1d53ab5ff2b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0755690862},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3f34e931e2457b68c4acce8c4f4d0f5e5a1a9d68afb44afb70af88478718dd76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637313605},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e16c5196f59f08fad56fea688a65daeba2e5be79b7c04acd56ca7395cdb0885","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1028444272},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5deeed404db866c400ba881b376216c3c2bf0b3a3e9372cc61a1395ac3d83e37","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1123463969},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6680cae9b37261f6c1ec3313f9ad175708bb9722e94285b5b0a5b50a9972d312","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0561021507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6956a94cc63efdd5bccae33b4cf8a0880df301116ccf1f329cad25683392044e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521146208},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1422211363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x72b25fe7b05903658eea56ffd995dc4f0f252d49d6a9a202bac103dd29ab2ba5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0554880113},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x75a306decbed1a9668d948fc331a899a3809defb55734e2eb5c2dbe1d4a3a03c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0548502801},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x77b9efbaa8958fc73ebbdfb6649eea71bec2abe28d1e88988a0a8064caec8c41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0538313269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x796f36313d1142d739eafc84298b81832a1fa0efd4d332fdc7f03a9a906ff012","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3119617608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79bc9eae1f5ce8f3f58648f45e7ff7cf182a8314e2d1a5b536520c5cc4b3e097","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0620718355},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7dd03775ae64ca4da06121fd75397e3a16cd54bd02a52faee8c22799e34b8458","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0555444188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8b8213717b514954ca6372540403fd11ec624db18deb943b99f2ec40f5c38908","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0582914531},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8cd80bf80e98abaf64e504363ffa8f557a9cd7b0c6cce02590bfe8025c329691","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3353141887},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0x998acf9ed1bbda06d59df70786441468872c72b2de59cacbea93625b14a5efcb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0696681508},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb1e4027b58c6321ede3fd8e3737b2b440ccb51fc569854795f67dd407b3569d0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0541437078},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb6f3732fc2464da2ed17f4270dc87ac59a2b4b1ed711d491f9584ca9a783c95c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0637260974},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbb7bd534d9050f6d00f42fe5aed6e8a7fb0e1e633db19f4299436d11434324ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0613102106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbd34bea66b3d5850bbba37d2697059cf9ae4f5e6abb7a60a9fee41aac6e60b77","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0835783452},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbfc25a82b6a6476895991401059bab3a73df1a9278400d70dfad080774a981c4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1048119363},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc23d4f3a1a96576e93f32ab1806c6d85f5a3d1925df7c80bdb97cfd6787b4dfc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0653207161},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc6b173db2582f7ccb12b7e541ab510934013b2640006712ae35507ff75d707f4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552069485},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcba24842ceac7a40d2a8b9adde1f4407999b6505193b9fd68156ae76fbffa706","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6224695784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcd14407814c97e5fa5684e4154a63be045c048365a8b12acab3f20bc9286d3a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0714489116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd3320fd4b325ce3d629fbaffd90bebd0a4f45042d91bf207c9866704d630bdb9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717046462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd6203f8805d1812e3b189da3f6036989940a415ae3a0fecf83555b455394fdb8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0546753869},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd87ac5bb74a21061d4f223d2a83c0269607fcb6d4c74d5a3d3220209d089431a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0599189069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xda5e93ecce25875195aeed7d427f16e9edab7296ea5d02d841ae733ba2a8a89f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.053717711},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xdfeb85c9ead70f3bd0745bb8fec317a21fda07780453d239a255afaa72a190b0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0592368076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xef7924196f13374e10ac52ce8cd50bb0693379f4bdb84a266ff267c2e879c33d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0535639755},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf0d4ee47d3abe6161f1e8f93bfe46d06d1ffd63f48e71c49aa81b2250e152e8b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4326488659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-01-04","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf8b730810252255fa217a2828b46b7a3c0ed63b702c817461270ce9e65b5ec25","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5316335287},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0576365828},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3135910324},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4748620357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0573251174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2999675457},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1722","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595533462},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1723","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1312702596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1725","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2410627167},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"infer","id":"1726","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1020599842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"2gZEQtlQyO","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.479541845},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"4kreogtql1","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4257560209},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"5qIUdqQIOl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3287574699},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"6uQmk7jqqcG4gUvPkkTr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.207133017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"8y9hsccOnU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1798190564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"AQOlO0nOsc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0958195415},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"Ehu8pd5PLP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5496432111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"L2qLAZEntz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1850382012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"LpP5sE6dnE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0675363929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"NhqOACq9Pu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2303526455},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"PCt0P5qsCZ","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0961922366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"PlEyIhRSPc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0711981187},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"TeB8Z7GvhUdx2tB48bbO","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0677844419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"Ul8h2UzIPt","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.764310824},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"Y1YDkx1SzzL93AFDpG6v","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0571761938},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"ZJ9LlySKX4dldqcpdQ4G","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5631554573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1665411048},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"i0gxu4hz50xefKXiKCI8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2626941861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"i7MP3oGFn6nUnrHe9aG5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4399528319},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"lLZAqRlld9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.058260799},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"lsO2IQ5LlE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0517574043},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"m7scZNu2LwMHTfnhW0IV","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2966474734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"t0LUU2E2ZE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1090652544},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"tcnaai25qi","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1609301352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"ylgphSdccA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1100309964},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"manifold","id":"zUONycg925","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8210908397},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2151347719},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"39992","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3095066134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2601790346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0586965141},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40849","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0661131509},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40852","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.548150095},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40862","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0501076599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40864","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2032014867},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40865","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.540522348},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"40875","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1659072482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41091","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4693281908},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41140","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3376176111},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41205","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.059268734},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41316","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4322227849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41343","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0764187204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1644960873},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1969348453},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41489","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.122874033},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41508","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4125228644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41512","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5084391441},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3072010671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41595","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.158085002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41861","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2118236741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"metaculus","id":"41869","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1567461185},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x02f0c60b4f9551c97fe67bc6f02df357de52ca969f0e9159e06a5aca69cd2bf6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524092617},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04b1198c2a888f4d162cc5eea844b2f67a80e684d37d8e75bbcde2fc2d06755b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0489273103},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0a2f5de6fcdacae0f56cb60cd05765e0e9998b605f6cc9c8885ee2a87ad85175","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7611061803},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0a999ae98b3c9e593cbbd33e2f940df1b071ac0ab9ede42ed12eeb8f7eef461e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0851086437},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d14f5dc9fb3250ec888b1ac8d9fe9a0ce06f9d3ea60fdf138e8690622fea84c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1287253982},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x101c26a9ff336abf4dffeb109dc40b92d9f55882dd471e57ee875794a6561bf3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525163863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x11a8cc3ed975d554331e153d3dd2b8fab52b3ecab40f9f1064683b32de4fad47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6344664134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6148128261},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14dbdb6274de6bcc65ce2b628c6636ff210fd452d095b0f14fdb1d376b31cecf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0528485377},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2096cd3bedb878cbfb5d30308968616a1dfd80e17b278ca6bdc72f9dde4776a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4671734217},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x212cc6584803e23a777960c163f882466db4cb88cec4983b3b95a8b3e75815d2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4229654093},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3659029a2ffcd2df378dad1d1a3f2c3a1d3662174aaca0c063beb46596084443","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0814688145},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1863793323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x38837354d63a13a8b8707988d10343c0b7c0bb4ed6b2208a1167cd134250fe2e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2091139628},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3b74dc0c578dd2d5ac066b98d4a8849995240003c921b44558fe9f06400f1c55","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.147612822},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x41f7b9b2054fbedf0e559eb4f3567682b5ce3ec4b17a61f4b6efa7071ffedb0b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3707346806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x48d65cfb64a9351ff56ca2377041f9bf558ae4755991080694b254a64917345b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0510812671},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4b23c2e3ee806915cc1186641d292acbc6b26d7a7746ee93c910b8b0c87d4bca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4288254792},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x51c5e5e7fb2afce5f9fb3239bbd002542ab7ff567ec7656b052173bdffb3051a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0587103066},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58234757c9519ddfffdbc8f33bea3b172d5a55a7fedb07c6df4fed1e97ba1ca7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8790113713},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5bacc34a8e6a55ba0ec728af334b7685e8fda1e9304ec95f0249bb15ea3c941d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7441220266},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x618280c029aeb0044177f58ccc15fa38be1a8db304189b935a26d5205256ee3b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.507762758},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0515836678},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x662270576ae01d80a6eec9f8579c93987338f646010117e9c98fffe7c38b220c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8776436002},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1708682838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9040226176},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x781a06aa5779f97724b75ed8128aaf72c4a8955c893a6fefdc0efd7cb001c513","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5199571532},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7a3227795ce17d9cc5378a9b373d6defd4b25112206531e0c7768f6092002410","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1244540405},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7d99e856ca49dcf748ff0072af624a65bafcb44a34b914b5a1466211674ae729","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2544759465},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8533de32e4bcfc22d1c8fe8d79be73b319505c2bc19733f62d2d217695df463d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0749756151},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d2f1d7b05bdc074c2cdba4e4b51be5673953f9b22b3c0fc8e3bf5cbed13c90f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1079834819},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d4e6f7486e32dbd406028a3cecd9883df353c81011124418db811ed9cd9d1d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0841855779},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x99a0fdc1bb6308873bf87eb75a47e21c8340fe20fb6b033444c1d21392da10a9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4891906107},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fbe1832139c5e67dbf93813aabb9ac67ab8dd3d7d32fe86957ff761a8fa1532","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2247902885},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa1f08ec3bcc1434cb0b695bd5ee9f81268ef45fb73f752b3a1c1fb1d35750866","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2466846446},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xaeea5f917fc5746387b5f9c0a4263dba035dbb3f0ac6ad72bf92183d21e26739","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4808128667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb6f3732fc2464da2ed17f4270dc87ac59a2b4b1ed711d491f9584ca9a783c95c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0594500666},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb80648ac5065ea63ccd08aea88b6c2faf5f324fa0cb9c26abb8a29c5a53e0d41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6285608817},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb9223ddfda277ecf96cea52aba3d6a47e3bb001bf0173fb3e2145566c28e0c24","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9173668832},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbd20296a99221f2e4426779353376c6f9f877dff7a8bbdc2bd91d52f3030f113","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0507703933},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc5e382cc0cda0a640c8687ed85e8182e006dfcc7ba3a6fa6c68d53e5782f5320","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0505914357},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc829edf5ca6961e441c266546064b629c29a9313694689c0768db92810db62ff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2524962322},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcbeecb8b1c7937145991ebb0d4c402b908c37f0f09222d8962c1f6fdfe5a9870","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.276934092},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce33ad5f0fbcc1a4861cc92b81814cd174020d16df3dc80d5c287d5f047e68fc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1798852613},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd185f10a7d0f07e733e02a6811fc2930fb7478166107669fe58bd7ba37aa9895","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1722863336},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd405c18b0df642e7f06aadf359183cb8208c1ff6b3a3bca3f8206dca2eb9532e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0731179143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd87ac5bb74a21061d4f223d2a83c0269607fcb6d4c74d5a3d3220209d089431a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0647403369},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf4e3ed7607fd945a06ab045076f808e9fe6488fed1d56b924b7eb6836fdf9d1f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5648222639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-01","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf562feabe9922f78e99b488df4fcef6be8cbc831605388751538d178585007aa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5297648359},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0566899596},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3064224232},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3604349919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584863346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3122273392},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1722","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0589398838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1723","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1505539409},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"infer","id":"1725","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2283542715},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"0q0RRPtScc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3023741767},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"65zU6OlPId","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5061249074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"6uQmk7jqqcG4gUvPkkTr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1775704842},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"8y9hsccOnU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1062523307},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"AQOlO0nOsc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1009068313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"C96pyn9Z5Z","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.051289144},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"IIgUPUpq6E","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0584068081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"ILztIIlPyl","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0500809546},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"L2qLAZEntz","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1861146308},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"LpP5sE6dnE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1174234849},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"NstCUAzyt2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0760597859},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"P255hsOyEL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1424229631},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"Q9gNdcP2lc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2821946495},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"QsQUZ22Z28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0624058737},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"Y1YDkx1SzzL93AFDpG6v","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0534525012},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"ZJ9LlySKX4dldqcpdQ4G","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5785642366},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"ccugdghNgy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0854555575},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"cp9s0lqSCy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3042564761},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"cqcSp5ZC9h","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509849913},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0595423026},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"f2i3zt28mm","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.100895411},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"lLZAqRlld9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0537312129},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"lOIsUpOuLg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2032284943},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"lnIC5ggZh6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1536023089},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"lsO2IQ5LlE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0509188246},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"m7scZNu2LwMHTfnhW0IV","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2841673134},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"sIS2UNptC0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2212992848},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"t0LUU2E2ZE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0977093116},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"t8dLUsqqNE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4729078162},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"tcnaai25qi","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1105676863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"tgT5NHOu7VA8sSAuAtJb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0802358084},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"yhCRLptzUL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0530024784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"ylgphSdccA","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1027585901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"manifold","id":"ypNI2z6IRI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.233506408},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"37307","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0681893793},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2486108736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"39992","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2839940642},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40005","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3032273199},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2380720273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547727668},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40711","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0518395564},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40849","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0631616218},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40852","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5428985752},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40862","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0511894479},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"40865","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6268093478},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41091","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4685377641},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1384391231},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1980666331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41489","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0662227206},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41508","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4149213138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2700052318},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41561","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3267438917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41595","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1468779507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"41869","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1654723201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"42135","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6200038197},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"42274","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3322049808},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"metaculus","id":"42284","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3454465385},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04b6c4174ccaf58a69722fa6f699584ae5d2f84d20ea81055cdff2e464e6aaf3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4308623745},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0b8382c3f8bf1a2ba7d9d37846edb54eb266a326b73d2338dc86a5959bf22ee4","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2603941733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0d14f5dc9fb3250ec888b1ac8d9fe9a0ce06f9d3ea60fdf138e8690622fea84c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1420404702},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x11a8cc3ed975d554331e153d3dd2b8fab52b3ecab40f9f1064683b32de4fad47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6403148489},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6013663949},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x14dbdb6274de6bcc65ce2b628c6636ff210fd452d095b0f14fdb1d376b31cecf","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0514855022},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1e17e60a28b3f9ddb668c5fac7b225095a5734a3825cf013659166045e94322f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.052459165},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2049638936027998accd2d320af8a7838ed1f673a00d0a22a288d5f678015e03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.287412106},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2096cd3bedb878cbfb5d30308968616a1dfd80e17b278ca6bdc72f9dde4776a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4504336705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x257b18205f908aef01ef2d1d50e6fea7d29cf5486fe04031d8b101394476faed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1792951672},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x281565cae359040475640be8bc20f4efe15245fe0251805fd338fb1a3e45ffae","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5924275421},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2821de9fbe90c422cb220dad69fe44dfdea8fdf8fb779e562b44be6db8c1daff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.251630917},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2df3bce3a7e1b85fd6e26dcc87cb54a61052388e0bf676cbfcd94258d4b93343","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0861528624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x337e5c84b83679d5557acafcf78b5c5d4d932b9fcd7dfba7966249d64f0f0a0f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2839787865},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3423f60496f083e12e770f9ae961b31637823cdfd2361cb578b2596651ba53b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1193836172},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x34fcbccbeaf57becfe5b45c9e1713876e288eb2c8d0f32d57d0c078cea92b6e0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0720549331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1788236552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4290a4aa43a0707f0f1193c73667074f2ef5ce8ab5d6fcdd4ca645bfe1528f03","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1549293071},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x42ddf5ef540070c0c7a44011d7b66d252edb2162d68a72d9dd429d5b93c6736b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3960186123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x484727c382ab50cd8ded2f655a0259bdbac4117b04dd82bd90627190c5eb90cb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1009259833},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x48d65cfb64a9351ff56ca2377041f9bf558ae4755991080694b254a64917345b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0499719667},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x48fbf70c1713e71a405052bc4641e26dbba435fa557672c4040763c901cbf606","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1142850267},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4d0d43382de6021ce0e906774caf6fc73fbe24078c9a75c6d7ae07b04299f8d0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0519355143},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e65282819c98c6aed529f357fbf5983b1ae9407a3c25bd50fe97b2906df68f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.066008777},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4e99f6a90d91428c77816ca5884607b744420904cff1df30d5633c6f5eae5108","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4997237494},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5bacc34a8e6a55ba0ec728af334b7685e8fda1e9304ec95f0249bb15ea3c941d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7298491543},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5cd80b8fd72f37c78260a4f8fa0d5bbaaad3adffcfc2c0705e05ee20b8672908","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5511690419},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x626d0441b078eefbe2c49047960e7a3b6b4512c235507a2528ccc0f95f2474a6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4003227616},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6c56930693777443c84bc172003442d9e317476fdcf59c9b26a60034001d9c19","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3793339573},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa908777d31b9b31f311560d879231b8853f7f728278acb3ccc82bf3a52b5d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1097308784},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7858c69bcee88426d6ee415e3b70e2f3f31c2ada1b3c68de7e37ce7b39014d3e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0525689562},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7906cde04153c8c31e52ad747596c56b0ea7ce224a07bc604ea65206fb53a2c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4151393684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7f81f50d29b43799df512b52574cfe3ffbadfb62ddc71bacf89f4e0dc4c5ffed","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4386392736},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x84c7382fc6881416a2b07b0ebe9da32daba8be44a48623a0c3fe4b22f816431a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1341002245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d2f1d7b05bdc074c2cdba4e4b51be5673953f9b22b3c0fc8e3bf5cbed13c90f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1120164386},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x98737df66d3a7aceb83e22aca51672a56fda0f8d5677578d193fd6d4ce6bcaa2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658405138},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x98aa2f28e0610fa97d787c6e9875e37160cec1f4219dbdf86a3111616e8b700d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0529835518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9f297733ff47d610334d4195c109296df51ec3fac02af7abed55adacd4bddacc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.121634997},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa70a86d250db7b0eb5f19b7856d13acf2dbfc554b8792fe9e004b521e8f601f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0494509004},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa998022efc89d60331ac15e78103dafd765e65eaea433405638c4e293d2b0fa6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5184202851},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb2e1fde8d5b6d178509efb34b3850c69a7bc742c361ba6016054e50302f833c7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2094532677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb80648ac5065ea63ccd08aea88b6c2faf5f324fa0cb9c26abb8a29c5a53e0d41","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6329704341},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc5e382cc0cda0a640c8687ed85e8182e006dfcc7ba3a6fa6c68d53e5782f5320","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0521699439},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc829edf5ca6961e441c266546064b629c29a9313694689c0768db92810db62ff","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2737022863},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcba24842ceac7a40d2a8b9adde1f4407999b6505193b9fd68156ae76fbffa706","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6403162378},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce33ad5f0fbcc1a4861cc92b81814cd174020d16df3dc80d5c287d5f047e68fc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1511719473},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0524088874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe94749bbf616139120735f9720de5b1a94b61cb7da0feb633f97f113d61a167b","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5183986741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xead308d7628ff4bf7c89df1d52163de37501a627c7b7588cc523c07ef9b0f4bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0674399518},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xee07342762446b03520f52f84b7a9b354d6fdad1d65cc4f2f942c484a9983a06","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0497639675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf74795c449ba15be6b0541c73beaa51d01d840606c84331ad97375b55004ccba","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.304545148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-15","source":"polymarket","id":"0xfb80c14c1497596d2b10533873c6ffca9dadf062807ffb104a9c86e04fae7d89","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1265516438},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1680","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0463784252},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1681","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3627740597},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4081019632},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0477982352},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.280009031},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1723","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1794574215},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"infer","id":"1725","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2236836201},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"6uQmk7jqqcG4gUvPkkTr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2012301709},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"9RNqh5yzqR","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1097800922},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"EP58QE55q6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.458313878},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"LpP5sE6dnE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1596685481},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"OlQq8h8qOh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3282551398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"Oungh6yUUg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3870176776},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"P255hsOyEL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0993271344},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"Q86zpNZRsU","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0405205705},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"Q9gNdcP2lc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3123721608},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"QsQUZ22Z28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1551658759},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"Ul8h2UzIPt","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7237848269},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"ZJ9LlySKX4dldqcpdQ4G","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5924543079},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"ccugdghNgy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1024916074},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0531079182},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"i0gxu4hz50xefKXiKCI8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1722770765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"lOIsUpOuLg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2021829677},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"lqRAnA8qPO","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0658682507},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"sIS2UNptC0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2102379871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"t8dLUsqqNE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4159680861},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"manifold","id":"ypNI2z6IRI","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.308421174},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"37307","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0803192087},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2933875264},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"39992","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2723056948},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40005","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3473557426},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40599","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3072011716},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0489885069},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40849","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0833010288},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40852","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.584642303},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"40865","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7371559912},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1734101772},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1415647023},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2832057017},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"41869","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1429056122},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42135","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6235422823},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42139","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.261437506},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42284","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4472058063},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42430","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0899885331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42472","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4043012335},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42480","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5641286081},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7852514764},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42489","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8813697195},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42490","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0752919328},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42491","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3328330061},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42540","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0831460273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"metaculus","id":"42548","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1661874453},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x04b6c4174ccaf58a69722fa6f699584ae5d2f84d20ea81055cdff2e464e6aaf3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4039486082},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x09ab024402ce8e8a2c36e1456640a2920a74b758fcdb4a7eb8c4c4a12e8c1476","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1190933812},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x0f461cb384aa6289cc3b216ac9916b12a0dd90eccb46b198158507df81944a0e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.513828576},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6128752301},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x149e2cdbf5b3df3142452412c4c9f4e8f39379020ba1bc25c1811a3f43c8ad27","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.043453367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x15ba9c42b7b541d4acfcf44ac0c9d1e7740f4e3d320868b2eb2543596a2d2154","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3470659697},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1d18ea76e6b90075064466ed428970fc6932c7fc3bf32e74855e622a982a694c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9358352656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2096cd3bedb878cbfb5d30308968616a1dfd80e17b278ca6bdc72f9dde4776a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4001239581},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x313787d313815069851d81a35de415dcfd9e223ced2a0ab19fcf9ad367ff0a76","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8090019006},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x35d4c895922c49d59ea09eedf6bbf2e7dc52c363225e6ce5b6a6489e9ce10965","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5512084294},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3acb42d4a4da859a82ec3c78e6be641489985672ea7f28ae73da7c253af32fa8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3248920919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4ccff8c606ad71080c7611d28f1593a528a8ca6c11c1fb63bfa24a7eb2ad30d7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8538935656},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4cf389adc069a4d713e1ddb6348c96afd6df78e6bf676c7dce1780135186d90e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1299840131},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52a5ce595e0f0816e17e5f40dbd5967c88beb4b9f21000bfdd9a1ff26c281fdd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0789316624},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x58234757c9519ddfffdbc8f33bea3b172d5a55a7fedb07c6df4fed1e97ba1ca7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8178934631},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5cd80b8fd72f37c78260a4f8fa0d5bbaaad3adffcfc2c0705e05ee20b8672908","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5225265929},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6236706915},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6c56930693777443c84bc172003442d9e317476fdcf59c9b26a60034001d9c19","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2872707157},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6e1fbd722b0aca8a4e05c7c2f4ff1428d4c97f2ee02056712463d00c1c705a55","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1873238224},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x6fa908777d31b9b31f311560d879231b8853f7f728278acb3ccc82bf3a52b5d9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1005215398},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9596799967},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x78f97eed822885c3813ab7ba0ba41a5c1bb0ca0f0f622698bfc0460931aff51a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7511855456},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x79bc9eae1f5ce8f3f58648f45e7ff7cf182a8314e2d1a5b536520c5cc4b3e097","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0499231552},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x81b06cb917c9a2aabc67a7765bc3c640e88a699bbf451b29915049c0766cde04","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8513981094},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8d4e6f7486e32dbd406028a3cecd9883df353c81011124418db811ed9cd9d1d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0536776526},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x8df5a4256840dee05851250c0490da7593597faff3a7f9a156ccbbda7fec76f8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0547839652},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x939bf902c7ba884c1310f19b6be20576f823952460f6367c9f10c08cd449ee60","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.5338285888},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x97de9adea81f908cc2b372c23627d8121ecbe1c21336d4263465fd3d1262d378","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4131141482},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fe87b4bec41ca0b2e5f09b79e59f9aba6a88feab636db30b70fa103c1b54e5a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0585760698},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa3186ffc28c45f336920279d5085529d530690a1623997819f3a3db05119dbaa","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1595643615},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa998022efc89d60331ac15e78103dafd765e65eaea433405638c4e293d2b0fa6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4292987039},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbefea6668e49e328db4d5c792bc15cea309bbc06101dfd6ced1e0556ad3ea301","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0406058602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc4170a15840e61b89216fcdf6368f63486b51f037e5c0546d63ae75b14fa5c2a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4207614712},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc451f03563e65567ee326fcaf2128915afa777cb31805c40ddae0a19cf1013f7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6145388675},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc6ddb19f848ac363330d0a690cfe6818d4c51e837161a41d42675eda27767ed0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0506581898},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc942d7049a9487c1fe5481c41e7014855fb7df7e69af2d5a7ea18af2d4c2052c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0598964684},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcb139a61f2cc201078f5ed717781b7227b740645d07fec2a07d2d4bcd16ff8a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6878843688},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcba24842ceac7a40d2a8b9adde1f4407999b6505193b9fd68156ae76fbffa706","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6505479814},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcd215b8330a35098a1a3f6c46b6492347edb5e74c1e0a95ac4d3d54aece6c262","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.7982389846},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xce33ad5f0fbcc1a4861cc92b81814cd174020d16df3dc80d5c287d5f047e68fc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1773127365},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd08544f6162283dc8d0a82f16362aab837a8537379df9bbe604960eec9cd4618","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0552010109},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd2016eb15c8b61cb95fe512a0c91f43fc46793e9ac0a30595d08dcffe637fdd2","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1010398601},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd72622d154dfe65b9c019d6afcfe75a55717e5c502db611f555b101aafbf6ec5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0602110254},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xd73f60114a0e7169a55082daef1228cb27fa50c939eea22cb0589f6bac6ce5d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.209306791},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe0e60764a3827a8c93ed961c73cfb02b0b6bf6820b8c8cb94fa99af46de9094c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4437285313},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3033b163d0e0e30cb3154049f28295dada348030e5c6cdfe58ed0d4e393c7e9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8245708196},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xead308d7628ff4bf7c89df1d52163de37501a627c7b7588cc523c07ef9b0f4bd","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0717101237},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-03-29","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf6890c707d1e327b006b9511bdba8c98ec4e4978646c6ffcf3ec8750c26a666a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0739095342},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1698","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4478786227},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1699","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0456684047},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1703","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1935997741},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"infer","id":"1725","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1996823076},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"0q0RRPtScc","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3052259234},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"6uQmk7jqqcG4gUvPkkTr","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1946907857},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"EP58QE55q6","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4877350059},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"IIgUPUpq6E","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0442777279},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"NIhOcZOQZE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1738362148},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"NLPzcQ2Cy9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3584593044},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"O6R80dnggu","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2302715625},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"OlQq8h8qOh","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3903634149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"Oungh6yUUg","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4618336311},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"QsQUZ22Z28","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1600476008},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"SZtPUQqhp5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6292196503},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"UdsLNSc2OE","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.370052602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"ccugdghNgy","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0666460343},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"dgPNU5ICzP","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0458187323},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"g2lE0I6Etq","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0468828838},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"i0gxu4hz50xefKXiKCI8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2124001487},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"n0SOsuUccS","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0508896889},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"manifold","id":"yhCRLptzUL","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0429142919},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"37307","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0732740512},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"37523","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3312606871},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"39992","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2783759836},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"40417","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3377034733},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"40695","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0456971644},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41140","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3747030659},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1824480874},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41514","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2801052979},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41561","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3227464951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"41869","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.130939083},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42135","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6546618884},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42430","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0793206037},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42485","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8292456806},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42489","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8742070903},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42490","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.073830188},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42491","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3474081283},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42542","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0416114951},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42616","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4598640331},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"metaculus","id":"42729","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0867871882},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x00cf5f4a419743e3bbaea3d01537c895ecfd8edba5e539967fe662573de44f23","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2799636447},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x12e3cc1640a58ee52e0ce2237c95ffefb7f543d65c0061043f23c803b215f099","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0479043901},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x1dce1f13c565d8c34807aedfd6f75b41e0908f34fabfd2b56c362f190202d4b7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2545234367},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x2096cd3bedb878cbfb5d30308968616a1dfd80e17b278ca6bdc72f9dde4776a7","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4390328458},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3acb42d4a4da859a82ec3c78e6be641489985672ea7f28ae73da7c253af32fa8","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3093668805},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x3b6e28dcff1d4cfed3e169baefd383fb2ac39698d695baaf9eeb73f0e83cd6f0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0818663019},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x45ca0f412d4c8700ed1cb835a35ddbdda1ab02027dcd7366ed8e3ac83b603910","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.245547345},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x4cf389adc069a4d713e1ddb6348c96afd6df78e6bf676c7dce1780135186d90e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.139244944},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x52847ca1413b76a5570b97c0c432e38dbe61b0140f9d45e912604591b08f6fca","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.03962127},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x54b36f27449bac18ab792efb1fce8e923d6dc190a311cb28aef0926583ae5760","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4432821204},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x5c60f587c76b49b7b3236cdb7f2a8d796aa9566659da670407bc2181aa8499cb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8456883567},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x634ac8f30b4aac7e4be6c968097e4c4708f047e6641d005d3a0948c45f0912d3","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8379836796},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x68beecc857017df8663fa36c0c86310dec7305aa88fe830c94651391314afc1c","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1261069934},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x781a06aa5779f97724b75ed8128aaf72c4a8955c893a6fefdc0efd7cb001c513","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.475007914},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x7906cde04153c8c31e52ad747596c56b0ea7ce224a07bc604ea65206fb53a2c5","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4503891374},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0x9fe87b4bec41ca0b2e5f09b79e59f9aba6a88feab636db30b70fa103c1b54e5a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0492730364},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa5a13e1bc51f0a6f2763f6c2de0ffc20f2d76df2726ecbe1592a269b4d92d18d","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3583091988},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa66db20af4919780b9ee9ede1ad0c79050bbdcff217d9fb6f3d0c65ab7c5a210","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4416166149},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xa6ddb7146f48a12dbf73456d654211b01d7493829932c31b7fe85d82120d338f","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3482997852},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb412664463bbfe21be44b1963291205ab332afd4f7f6e0d027aec1ba7a9e6793","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0443435602},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb564e5e20a0d3ab9b07d24ff25b19001d9d6b2d1d3121d4b9a2a0691713643cb","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1163975765},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xb9b15d243a2adc2c7c63cfe9f92de8a079a38a8035a1638b3151d19d53b3ed2a","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0427138639},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xbef7518445fa4a7c6460d9157e2d4a8097320914988d13a809c486eff50e5c06","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4357321559},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1109800f5de195bbbbaf81b783de4792b6a8a2fbe9b604c715a39c5ae2a2a47","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1470055728},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc11a6a29ad4dbe16920928339cd9ad3bf3f9a2ab63e52ff5bfb8d177cdfb4d35","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0985775346},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc1c3ea2f7de17860533ca15f8f97458a88030dfa1a46c8be5396b5cb60aaa2ee","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3202286657},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc6ddb19f848ac363330d0a690cfe6818d4c51e837161a41d42675eda27767ed0","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0480780906},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xc8e9ba9e25f5adcf7e159e62c24ca3bda9a5245a049acb94fdd534e67ed1969e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.3035383732},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcba24842ceac7a40d2a8b9adde1f4407999b6505193b9fd68156ae76fbffa706","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.6796723273},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xcfeec50a34d9429bfdc60d180f391b828924b88bd40c5b2361a43b7375b7a533","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0419658245},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xda7e08ef489f722996e957ade4139a4003c707e4b103472ac111672dfe34444e","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.2565674618},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xddbfffed3078bc556ff8fabc7ff92515c092b5f38db97e557b5f8ee8af8b2597","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8704133225},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe2ab9e3d506238a9a1a1f7f3448f5483645ab7ba16e1499929428b96ca27fd64","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.4770447963},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3033b163d0e0e30cb3154049f28295dada348030e5c6cdfe58ed0d4e393c7e9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.8070173539},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xe3e8574f967e628750dff67c641944a84da281ced40ffe7c76e42649e89a6887","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.9202190123},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xefb4d37ec67929c1bbffb16454c5bb8bf574ed367f52c54495a28f0717a1e005","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0772218173},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xf2a4a7765e2f05824fce5cd598c6c4a636a5aadc12607c05527b340f161fd2f9","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.1948867599},{"forecast_due_date":"2026-04-12","source":"polymarket","id":"0xffdbbf2c3b9aa808abbcb35beb2b20a93572570aa5dd1bd1b630cade2f809f26","horizon":null,"leaderboard_type":"baseline","question_fixed_effect":0.0887359763}]